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BTC-D

Sideways are the point of interest until around December 3rd Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The Fibonacci ratio on the left was drawn in the first rising wave. Therefore, I think it is highly likely that it will sideways around 3.618 (98841.11). I think this sideways movement is likely to continue until around December 3rd during the next volatility period. If it continues to rise, it is expected to touch around 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85). - (BTC.D 1M chart) If BTC dominance rises above 62.47, I think a market where only BTC rises could be created. Therefore, whether it can fall is the key. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend. Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
BTC Long Term OutlookLooks pretty straight forward for me. Another bull run in horizon. Below are my reasons for this belief: Fundamentals - Next halving is coming in just over a year - May 2, 2024 - There were a few black swan events in the past year and price of btc managed to keep very strong still. - The black swan events occurred due to human fault, and the trust in the traditional systems are broken. People are realizing slowly that crypto is actually much more secure and people friendly compared to the centralised traditional systems. - Price of everything has risen in the past year to all time highs; houses, cars, lands, even groceries. Inflation is real. And to be able to hedge against inflation you need to but assets which are scarce by design - Bitcoin and Ethereum. (I expect Ethereum to be better in terms of hedge against inflation in the long term tbh - due to the new token economics after the merge) On-Chain Data - On-chain data shows the wallet addresses with equal or more than 0.1 btc balance and 1 btc balance are at an all time high. - Address with equal or more than 1000 btc are at Sep 2019 levels, I take this positively as there are 440 less whales to dump their btc - all time high on this data was on Feb-March 2021 which is the first top of the 2021 run. We can easily see that a lot of whales decided to sell out and probably triggered the bear run down. People have been accumulating and it shows by the amount of smaller addresses (retail) popping up and hitting all time high. Indicators ACMF (money flow) - still under 0, which is ok considering we are in a bear market. On the weekly chart it shows the only times we have had this low was close to the bottom of the cycles. TLL RSI - One of the longest oversold stays on this indicator. I expect this indicator to make a move up soon and that will be one of our serious que in the short-medium term to validate this idea. Hope you enjoyed it, if you did, please boost and comment what you think about it. Thanks
BNC:BLXLong
by TheAlchemist888
1
BTC - Thank Me Later!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard. 🗒 Do you remember this post from 2023? As mentioned back then, BTC was forming Pattern 4, which was activated after breaking above the falling green channel, leading to a surge of over 200%. So, according to the educational post, where are we now⁉️ 🔑A falling correction after a bullish impulse signals what? That’s right — we are now in the process of forming Pattern 1. For this pattern to be activated and the bullish continuation phase to begin, we need a weekly candle close above $70,000. Of course, in the meantime, as long as BTC is trading within the falling channel, it can still retest the lower bound before activating the phase. ❗️N.B. Always remember, nothing moves in a straight line, so we might see a correction (in the form of a higher low) along the way. 📉 Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen, and why? Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! 🗒 All strategies are good, if managed properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
55
Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach? Bitcoin continues its impressive rally toward the psychological barrier of $100,000, driven by both fundamental and psychological factors. The rise in its value is supported by growing adoption, institutional investments, positive market sentiment, and key developments within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Adoption and Acceptance Bitcoin’s growing acceptance by businesses, financial institutions, and individual users is increasing its utility and value. As more entities begin to accept bitcoin as a form of payment, demand naturally rises, solidifying its position as a viable medium of exchange. Institutional Investments One of the primary drivers of bitcoin’s growth is the involvement of large institutional investors such as hedge funds, investment firms, and corporations. Their entry into the market significantly boosts liquidity and builds confidence in the cryptocurrency, attracting smaller retail investors in the process. Planned Regulatory Changes and Strategic Reserves Future President Donald Trump’s proposals to establish strategic reserves in bitcoin and introduce cryptocurrency-friendly regulations could be game-changing for the market. Such measures are likely to attract new market participants, driving demand and increasing bitcoin’s value. Media and Market Sentiment Positive media coverage, endorsements from influential figures, and expert analyses play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Media narratives have a substantial impact on perception and can amplify investor interest, fueling price increases. Technological Improvements Advancements in blockchain technology and updates to the bitcoin network are improving its efficiency, security, and scalability. These innovations make bitcoin more appealing as an investment asset, contributing to its rising value. Macroeconomic Factors Global economic uncertainty, inflation, and the weakening of traditional fiat currencies are pushing investors toward alternative assets. Often referred to as “digital gold,” bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a hedge against currency devaluation and a reliable store of value. The 2024 Halving This year, bitcoin underwent another halving – the process that reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half. This reduction in new supply, coupled with sustained or growing demand, has historically led to price increases, and the current cycle appears to be following a similar trajectory. Infrastructure Growth and ETFs The cryptocurrency market’s infrastructure is rapidly evolving, making bitcoin more accessible than ever. The growth of exchanges, cryptocurrency wallets, and inflows into bitcoin-based ETFs are driving demand and strengthening the market. Seasonality and an Unstoppable Trend Seasonality is also working in bitcoin’s favor. Historically, the final months of the year often see strong performance in the cryptocurrency market. The current upward trend seems difficult to halt, and breaking through the $100,000 level appears to be only a matter of time. Conclusion Bitcoin remains one of the most dynamic assets on the market, drawing interest from institutional and retail investors alike. The combination of fundamental, technological, and macroeconomic factors suggests that the rally toward $100,000 could not only materialize but also set the stage for further gains. Will bitcoin surpass this symbolic threshold, or are there still hurdles ahead? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Long
by InvestMate
1
Btc currently retesting top trendline of rising wedge/pennantIt now has 3 consecutive candles above the rising wedge on the daily chart. Should the retest maintain support the breakout target for the entire pennant is 117k. Should the top trendline of the wedge lose support the wedge could still potentially breakdown, in which case we could then see bitcoin correct further to try and fill this gap on the CME BItcon futures chart before resuming the uptrend —-> For now probability favors the break upward until we lose the top trendline of the wedge/pennant as support. Jim Cramer announcing he’s bullish on bitcoin could easily cause enough downside to change that probability though. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Bitcoin’s CME futures gap gives a clue for the 1st big correctonAnytime you see a gap in price action like this they almost always get filled, and typically get filled sooner than later. So while there is a chance bitcoin could turn the current mild retracement into a deeper pullback that goes down to fill this gap, until the current support on btc is broken, which is the top trendline of the rising wedge it now currently has 3 consecutive daily candles above(not shown here), I think it’s more probable that bitcoin waits for a much more powerful resistance line that results in a much stronger rejection before it corrects back down far enough to fill this gap. If the current pullback doesn’t lead to the gap fill then my guess is once we retest the top green trendline of this group of channels: That this would be the perfect time to have our first significant correction of the current parabolic phase of the bull market. I will be prepared for either zone to have a chance to fill that gap and plan accordingly, Also a few measured move targets around the 115 - 116k range so a pullback could potentially occur around that zone as well. *not financial advice*
CME:BTC1!
by DrDovetail
LINK Breaks Macro Downtrend, How High Could This Bad Boy Go?*Opinion*: Out of all the cyrptocurrencies, I have long been a believer in Chainlink's fundamental potential in regards to it's utility. It has been one of the most manipulated and suppressed assets, and I believe it is criminally undervalued. The real kicker here is not just WHAT it does, but WHOM it helps. Big banks control the world and LINK helps big banks connect to the digital future of finance. Big fundamental play here.
Long
by rickycarlisle
1