BTC-D
BTC/USD 1D Chart 🔼 Resistance:
• USD 123,263 - local peak, strong resistance (green line)
• USD 119,120 - level tested several times, recent reflection
• 116,224 USD - zone of previous consolidations
🔽 support:
• 110,945 USD - SMA #2 (movable average), tested in the past
• 107,804 USD - local hole
• USD 103,542 - strong support from the past (historical retention of declines)
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📊 Technical indicators
📉 Trend:
• The yellow upward trend line has been broken - a potential bull weakness signal.
• The candle pierces the trend line from the bottom - it is possible to change the direction to a side or downward trend.
📈 Medium walking (SMA):
• The red SMA #1 line acted as dynamic resistance.
• The price is currently testing SMA #2 as support.
• SMA #5 (blue, approx. 98,600 USD) is very strong long -term support.
📉 Macd:
• The MacD line is below the signal line → Bear signal (Bearish).
• Red histogram - inheritance impetus is growing.
📉 RSI:
• RSI has fallen below the level of 50 → the advantage of supply.
• Currently, it is approaching the supply of supply overload (<30), which can herald the technical reflection.
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🔮 Scenarios
✅ Scenario Bycza (Bullish):
• Maintenance of a price above 110.945 USD (SMA #2).
• Return above the trend line or testing USD 116,224 and piercing up.
❌ Bear scenario (Bearish):
• Loss of support to 110.945 USD → decrease to USD 107,800.
• If this does not keep the course, the next strong level is USD 103,500.
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🧠 Applications:
• Short -term: the market looks weak, the candle breaks the upward trend.
• Medium -term: still in the game, but if it does not reflect from the current levels, a greater correction is possible.
• Commercial decisions: It is worth waiting for confirmation of the direction (reflection from support or continuation of declines).
Bitcoin Enters Correction Mode?Bitcoin is already trading at support in the form of the previous all-time high and EMA55. Bitcoin is down more than 8% since its 14-July all-time high. We can see that a correction is already in, a retrace. This retrace we consider part of the normal workings of the market, price fluctuations which invariably always show up. The end result is a higher high, a rising wave, higher prices on the long haul.
Support is strong at current prices but even stronger is the support zone right above $100,000. As long as Bitcoin trades above $100,000, we will continue with a strong bullish outlook. If Bitcoin manages to move and close below $100,000 monthly or weekly, we will consider the short-term, the mid-term and update our map if necessary. For now, the bulls are still in control.
When Bitcoin peaked 22-May it went sideways for an entire month. From a peak of $112,000 it hit a low of $100,000. Now we have a peak around $123,000 and prices can easily swing around in this wide range.
After a few weeks, or several months, exactly as it happened last time, Bitcoin will go up. So you can expect retraces and corrections, but this is only short-term long-term we grow.
Namaste.
Could this be the end of Bitcoin’s trend?The Current State of Bitcoin’s Trend: Has the Uptrend Come to an End...?
Based on recent analyses, Bitcoin has exited its 4-hour channel over the past few days, and there is still a possibility for further correction. However, this does not mean that the uptrend for Bitcoin is over.
My targets for Bitcoin remain the same as before: 123,700 and 129,710. It’s even possible that we might see a wick above these prices.
For those with more capital who are looking to buy Bitcoin, there are two good entry levels:
110,880
109,770
Everything else is clearly shown on the chart. Please be cautious, as there will likely be high volatility once the market opens.
Be sure to open the analysis link and boost the analysis with your likes.
BITCOIN: THE PERFECT STORM - MULTIPLE BREAKOUT PATTERNS ALIGNED⚠️ CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS
🛡️ Support 1: $115,000 (-3%) - Triangle support
🛡️ Support 2: $110,000 (-7%) - Channel support
🔴 DANGER ZONE: $105,000 (-11%) - Multiple pattern failure
So...
Strategy: Quick profits on pattern completion 🎨
Entry: $115k (Triangle breakout confirmation) 📊
Stop Loss: $114k below (Tight risk management) ❌
Target: $125k (+10%) ✅
Time Horizon: 2-3 weeks 📅
Risk/Reward: 1:6 🎯
________________ NOTE _____________
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Bitcoin is highly volatile and risky. Only invest what you can afford to lose completely. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately 🚨
BTCUSDT 1D – Retesting Key Support, Will Bulls Hold the Line?Bitcoin is retesting a crucial structural support level around $112K after its recent local top near $120K. This zone previously acted as resistance and is now being tested as support — a textbook bullish continuation signal if it holds.
Historically, these flips (from resistance to support) have triggered strong upside momentum, as seen after the $78K breakout earlier this cycle. However, failure to hold this level could open the door for a deeper correction toward $100K or even the $90K region.
This chart outlines the major structural zones:
Long-term accumulation base near $70–78K
Resistance flip zone at $110–112K
Local resistance near $120K
📌 If bulls defend this zone and reclaim momentum, we could see another push toward cycle highs. If not, patience is key — the next high-conviction entry may come lower.
How are you positioning around this zone? Let me know in the comments 👇
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #142👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's get into the Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its correction and we need to see what is going to happen in the market today.
📅 Daily Timeframe
First, let’s take a look at the higher timeframe. On the daily chart, that curved upward trendline we had was broken by yesterday's candle, and the breakout candle had high volume.
✔️ For now, I don’t consider this trendline as broken and I’m waiting to get confirmation of the break.
🔍 Currently, the price is in a correction phase, and this correction is quite natural since the price had very low volatility for a long time and was stuck below the 120000 zone.
💥 But no trend reversal has occurred yet. In my opinion, as long as the price is above the 110000 zone, the trend is bullish, and I will consider the trend reversal confirmed only if a lower high and a lower low below 110000 are formed.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, the corrective movement of the price continued, and after a pause at the 0.5 Fibonacci level, another bearish leg formed down to the 0.618 zone.
🔔 The RSI oscillator also entered the oversold area and then exited it again. I believe there’s a high possibility that until the end of the week, Bitcoin will range in these areas and the probability of a bullish or bearish move is much lower.
🔽 However, if the 0.618 Fibonacci level breaks, the price can move to lower areas like the 111000 zone. I think the likelihood of this happening in the future is high because that zone is a strong PRZ, and at the same time, it counts as a pullback to the 110000 zone.
📈 In the bullish scenario, if the price is supported from this area and starts to move upward, since we currently have no highs below the 116000 zone, we need to wait until the first bullish leg is formed and then enter on the second leg after the new high is broken.
⚡️ For now, I’m not opening any short or long positions. I prefer the price to form more structure so I can make a more comfortable decision.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
#BITCOIN - Short-Term Options [EXPLAINED]As expected, the price dumped below the descending channel , currently consolidating right below one's support level.
As expected, the price dumped below the descending channel , currently consolidating right below one's support level. On the chart I've described two possible options for the price movement: strictly positive and hmm.. okey.
Strictly positive: some consolidation below the support with, then quick retrace back inside the channel and new upward rally on the next working week. Entering LONG position will make sense after the breakout of the $116,500 resistance, not earlier.
Hmm.. okey: Bitcoin is not strong enough to come back inside the channel and dumps to $111,000 support level. Near this level we must see some consolidation to gather more power. Possible fakes down to $108,000. In some time (1 week+) we will have chances of going back up.
👉 Overall, the support of $111,000 is crucial right now. If we lose it, Bitcoin goes towards $100,000 and the current bullish phase might be considered as finished. For now we still have chances.
BTC DOMINANCE UPDATE- So, all elements are annotated throughout the graphic, like always.
- Timeline.
- Older Top Dom (2021) (red doted line).
- New Top Dom (2025) (red line).
- Some supports ( Orange Line ).
- Some Bottoms ( Green Lines ).
- Most important in chart : Fibonnacci Retracements.
- After this chart, I’ll drop links to my older BTC dominance posts.
- Not much to say, just look at the chart :
- In 2021, BTC.D formed a double top because Bitcoin spiked twice and hit two all-time highs.
- That doesn’t mean BTC.D will behave the same way in 2025. I don't expect another double top, but who knows.
- We could see a retracement down to the 45–47% range. That would likely signal the start of a new bear market.
- For now, i don’t see the end of the bull run yet. I’m mostly waiting for a strong BTC push in price, a fast dip in BTC Dominance, and the kickoff of Altseason.
— it’s going to be wild and fast! Just my personal opinion.
Stay Safe !
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin’s Game Has Changed: Fresh Support Zone, Targets Sky-HighHey Dear Friends,
Until recently, Bitcoin had been stuck in a range between 112,331 and 105,344 for quite some time. But that range has now been clearly broken. So, what does this mean? This zone, which used to act as resistance, is now expected to flip and act as support.
According to my weekly trading model, the long-term target levels I’m tracking for Bitcoin are: 127,818 – 137,000 – 146,000.
Since this is a weekly setup, it might take a while for these targets to play out. Even if we see pullbacks to the 112K, 105K, or even 100K levels, I expect to see strong buying pressure from that zone.
I’ll keep sharing regular updates as this setup develops.
To everyone who’s been supporting and appreciating my work—thank you, truly. Your encouragement means the world to me and keeps me motivated to keep showing up. Much love to all of you—I’m grateful we’re in this journey together.
#BTC Update #14 – Aug 02, 2025#BTC Update #14 – Aug 02, 2025
Unfortunately, Bitcoin has closed below its current channel and now appears to be retesting that level. If this retest confirms, I expect a pullback down to the $110,000 zone. However, if Bitcoin manages to re-enter the channel, its first target will be $118,800. Although it’s a descending channel, moving within it suggests a relatively stable market. Closing below it may not end well and could deepen the retracement. That's why I recommend caution with all coins right now.
Even though it seems like a distant possibility at the moment, don’t forget there’s also an imbalance zone around the $103,500 level. A sharp wick or a significant drop could bring Bitcoin back to revisit that area. The probability is currently low, but it can’t be ruled out completely. I don’t recommend rushing into any long or short positions at this stage.
Long-Term Technical Outlook: Critical Decision Point Approaching
The chart illustrates a long-term technical structure where the price has been following an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. However, recent price action indicates a breakdown below the green ascending trendline, raising concerns about a potential shift in market sentiment.
Currently, the $117 level is acting as a pivotal support zone. A sustained breakdown below this level — and more critically, below the red lower trendline — would validate the bearish scenario. This could trigger a deeper correction phase, with downside targets aligned along the red projection path. Such a move may lead to significantly lower price levels in the medium to long term.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above $117 and breaks below the red trendline, this would confirm the start of a bearish leg. Based on historical structure and projected trajectories, this could result in a descent toward the $93 level initially, with the possibility of extending further downward depending on market conditions.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
On the other hand, if the price manages to reclaim the green trendline and more importantly, stabilize above the $204 resistance zone, it would signal renewed bullish strength. Such a move would open the path toward higher highs, potentially re-entering the previous upward channel and continuing the macro uptrend.
🧭 The price structure is now approaching a decisive zone, where either a confirmation of bearish continuation or a bullish recovery will likely unfold. Both scenarios have been visually outlined — green lines indicating bullish continuation, and red lines representing bearish momentum.
📌 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
DAY UPDATE REI/USDT THE INCREASE CANDLE OF UP $0,03 - $0,05REI is an interesting coin since the update of Q4
We have seen that this coin was able to increase to $0,031 and until here $0,018 zone, a return to where we are now. There is a high chance that this coin can recover next 24H if this coin is able to confirm the confirmation $0,02 - $0,021
This coin, as before, was targeted at $ 0.02 and had low volume. We expect that if it comes back to $ 0.02, it will be confirmation of the volume, which can take the trend with a candle to up $0,03
REI CONFIRMATIONS ZONE
Higher time frame
When you look normally at this coin, then this coin is in a trend line of breakdown. This can change with the next confirmations. The question is, are we going to see again $0,02 the next 24h? If yes high chance of a break.
We also have a cycle update 2025, check it here, expecting $0,90
Reversal from Channel Bottom or a Real Breakdown? Identifying th
🎯 BTCUSDT - Analysis
🔹 Analysis Date: 1 August 2025
📉BTCUSDT:
Price is currently moving inside an ascending channel and has touched the bottom of the channel again, offering a potential buy opportunity.
However, for those seeking a low-risk entry, the zone around 118,000 could be ideal—if price returns to the channel and confirms support.
Although it seems the channel’s lower boundary might break, this could be a fake break to mislead traders before a rebound.
The support at 110,000 is a crucial short-term level; if it fails, a deeper correction toward 98,090 or even 94,000 is likely.
Our targets remain at the upper boundary of the channel.
⚠️ Risk Management Tip: Wait for confirmation near 118,000 if unsure, and always size positions based on overall volatility.
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is:
What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here?
Let’s dive into the technicals.
🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure
May–June Range:
BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C:
✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE)
✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE)
Full Bull Market TBFE:
➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected
➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone
Pitchfork (log scale):
➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting.
Previous Bear Market Fib Extension:
➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit.
2018–2022 Cycle TBFE:
➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped.
Macro Fibonacci Channel:
➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) →
1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K.
✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance.
Daily Timeframe
➡️ FVG / Imbalance:
Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low.
BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely.
Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook
We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting.
The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C.
➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K
➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326
➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry: $120,300–$121,000
Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300)
Target: $113,500
R:R ≈ 1:2.3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000
Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500)
Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes
When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools.
Here’s why:
➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings.
➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves.
➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone.
In short:
When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry.
That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes.
⚡ Final Thoughts
Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase.
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$BTC CME Gap + Bad Bart = Easiest Short EverCME Gap + Bad Bart is like taking candy from a baby 👨🏻🍼
Look at that textbook bounce off the .382 Fib 🤓
Pain ain’t over folks.
RSI still shows room on the downside 📉
Global Liquidity drain on the 4th.
Looking like the 50% Gann Level is next ~$111k
Get those bids in 😎
And never forget the BullTards who were telling you about the “Bollinger Band Squeeze” and UpOnly season 🫠
USDT Dominance – Potential Wave F Reversal?
We are tracking a NeoWave Diametric formation (7-leg corrective structure: A–B–C–D–E–F–G) on the USDT Dominance chart. Recently, price reached the projected resistance zone of wave E, and early signs of reversal are emerging.
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🧠 Structural Analysis:
• The structure has developed with alternating legs in price and time, consistent with the symmetrical diametric rules.
• Wave E has likely completed, reacting from prior supply and resistance.
• A pullback from here can mark the beginning of Wave F, which in diametrics tends to retrace significantly toward the internal balance of the structure.
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🔍 What to Watch:
• Confirmation of bearish intent via a break of internal supports or lower-timeframe BOS.
• Possible retracement targets: 4.2% → 3.95%, depending on momentum.
• A decisive break below 4.00% would reinforce the wave F scenario.
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⚠️ Implications for the Crypto Market:
A drop in USDT Dominance typically indicates rotation into risk assets (alts/BTC/ETH). However, context matters — if the drop happens during a general market sell-off, it may reflect risk-off unwinding into fiat, not risk-on rotation.
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🔄 Strategy Note:
• Avoid premature shorts or longs; wait for structure to confirm.
• Watch for smart money traps (e.g., false breakouts or liquidity grabs) around the recent highs.
⸻
📌 This is a high-risk zone for entering long USDT.D — be cautious with stablecoin bias.
📊 Analysis by CryptoPilot – Precision through structure.
BITCOIN 2025 TOP PREDICTION!This chart represents the M2 Money Supply / BTCUSD correlation with an 84-day delay.
You can see that the M2 Money Supply has formed a double top (with a lower high) in late September.
The price of bitcoin tops out 525–532 days after the halving in every cycle.
What does this mean?
In my opinion, bitcoin will continue to follow the direction of M2 in a highly correlated manner. This would mean that BTC's top is only 2 months away.
What price will bitcoin top?
That I'm not entirely sure of yet. The M2 / BTC correlation can be placed in a plethora of different scales. However, it currently looks like the top will be BELOW $200,000.
I hope to be proven wrong, but as of right now, bitcoin is following previous cycles perfectly (excluding the fact that we created a new ATH prior the halving, this was because of ETFs).
Given diminishing returns (and assuming that "supercycle" is not reached), $135,000 - $190,000 top in late September makes sense.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: NOBODY IS WATCHING THIS PATTERN !!!(warning)Yello Paradisers, I'm updating you about the current Bitcoin situation, which is extremely dangerous for crypto noobs that will get rekt again very soon!
It's going to be a big move soon. I'm telling you on a high timeframe chart we are doing multi-time frame analysis and on a high timeframe chart I'm updating you about the RSI indicator, the bearish divergence, the moving average reclaim, and the channel reclaim that we are having right now.
We are observing a shooting star candlestick pattern, which is a reversal sign, and I'm telling you what confirmations I'm waiting for to make sure that I can say with the highest probability that we are going to the downside. On a medium timeframe, I'm showing you two patterns: one is a head and shoulders pattern, then a contracting triangle, and on a low time frame, I'm sharing with you the ending diagonal because on a high time frame chart, we are either creating ABC or impulse, and I'm telling you what the probabilities are for the zigzag, which is a corrective mode wave, or the impulse, which is a motive mode wave.
I'm sharing with you what's going to happen next with the highest probability. Please make sure that you are trading with a proper trading strategy and tactics, and that's the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #141👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, the exact bearish scenario I told you about happened. Let’s see what opportunities the market is offering us today.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, I mentioned that the price had tested the 116829 zone too many times and that this area had become very weak. I also said that if the price made a lower high than 120041, deeper corrections would be likely.
✔️ Another perspective I have on the market is that sometimes certain support and resistance levels simply aren’t strong enough to continue the trend.
🔑 For example, in this case — despite Bitcoin being in an uptrend across all cycles — the 116829 support couldn’t hold, and the price broke it to reach a stronger support zone, one that might be capable of continuing the trend.
📊 Right now, this is what might be happening again. Support levels like 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zones could be where the next bullish leg begins.
✅ At the moment, price has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and the previous strong bearish momentum has slightly weakened. If you look at the volume, momentum is still in favor of sellers, but based on the long lower wicks on the candles, we can say the bearish trend is showing signs of weakness.
💥 On the other hand, RSI is approaching 30, and in an uptrend, when RSI nears the Oversold zone, it can often be a good entry point for a long. However, we’re not acting on this yet — we’ll wait for more confirmations before opening any positions.
⭐ For now, there’s no trigger for a long position on this timeframe. A break below 115000 could act as a short trigger, but given the trend Bitcoin is in, I’m not opening any short positions at the moment.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
The price has dropped down to 114560, and I believe today we might enter a corrective phase. However, if the price stabilizes below 114560, the correction could continue. The next targets would be the Fibonacci levels from the 4-hour timeframe.
🔽 I won’t open a short position with the break of 114560, and I suggest you don’t take that short either.
📈 If this move turns out to be a fakeout, the first trigger we have now is at 118736, which is quite far from the current price. For this trigger to activate, we’d need to see a V-pattern form.
🔍 There are no other triggers right now. But if more range structure forms, we might consider opening a risky long on the breakout of the range top.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin will continue to decline to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Following a period of a broad downward trend, bitcoin's price action has been channeled into a large downward wedge, a pattern that signifies converging volatility and a period of consolidation before an eventual decisive move. This market action is taking place between two critical, well-established zones: a major seller zone capping rallies around the 119500 resistance level and a significant buyer zone providing support near 116000. Recently, an upward rebound attempted to test the upper boundary of this wedge but was met with strong selling pressure from the seller zone, confirming its validity as a formidable barrier. The price is now correcting downwards after this rejection. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, anticipating that the bearish momentum from this recent failure will continue to drive the price lower. While a minor bounce or retest of local resistance is possible, the path of least resistance within the pattern's structure is now towards its lower boundary. Therefore, the TP is strategically set at the 116000 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.