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BTC-D

Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊 Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact. Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎 Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm! 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers: Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation. Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry. Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏 Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game. Final Thoughts My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
by SkepticLab
1
Bitcoin : Missed $100K? Don’t Miss What’s Coming Next!!MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN BINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to show exceptional strength and strong bullish momentum. When we look back at the charts from 2023 and 2024, a clear and reliable pattern stands out. Each time Bitcoin touched the 50 EMA on the weekly chart, it triggered a significant rally that led to new all-time highs. That same setup appears to be forming once again. MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN tested the 50-week EMA around the $75,000 level and has since bounced with conviction. The price has reclaimed the $100,000 mark and is now challenging previous all-time high resistance. Historically, a successful bounce from this key moving average has not only signaled recovery but also sparked explosive upside moves. Following this repeating pattern, the current cycle target is positioned at $150,000. A clean breakout above the current resistance zone could act as the trigger that launches Bitcoin into uncharted territory. The technical structure remains bullish, momentum is clearly accelerating, and the overall trend continues to favor the upside. This moment represents a textbook Buy and HODL opportunity. Technical indicators are aligning, market sentiment is turning increasingly optimistic, and all signs suggest that Bitcoin could be preparing for another historic rally. Stay ready for what could be the next big move. Follow Our Tradingview Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
1
The Final Parabola: What History Says About Bitcoin’s July MovesIf you’ve been following here for a while, you know we’ve been nearly pinpoint in calling all the moves for Bitcoin. The altcoin market, not so much, but check out previous TAs to catch up on my perspective. The two wave counts you see on the main chart have been in place for many months, I believe since around October 2024. As you can see, things have been playing out perfectly so far. The four year cycle continues to follow its path. If the same thing happens this cycle like the last two, we should see a top sometime between October and December 2025, anywhere from 185K to 225K, followed by a cycle low somewhere around 48K in October 2026. Bitcoin’s Julys Every July during the 4th cycle year, Bitcoin begins its final parabolic run. This has happened without fail since the beginning of the Bitcoin Index chart. July consistently marks a major bottom, and then it's off to the races. The “only up” period that follows typically lasts 4 to 6 months and happens just once every four years like clockwork. Here we are once again, the 4th year of the cycle, in July. Bitcoin has just hit all time highs and we've had a Hash Ribbon buy signal. The perfect storm is brewing. Like always, the stars align in the second half of the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle. Time Cycles and Fibs Looking at this time wave chart, we can see that every two waves like clockwork have marked a top. The next major wave appears to land in December 2025. If we zoom into this smaller time wave, it has pinpointed the bottom of every small wave so far. The fact that we are once again at a bottom in July during the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle is just another sign of the magical stars aligning. This smaller Fibonacci sequence I’ve been tracking has already hit twice and predicted two major moves. The next dates to watch are August 2025 and January 2026. There’s plenty of talk about an extended cycle. But during the last bull run, many traders and analysts said the same thing. In the end, Bitcoin topped out at exactly the same timeframe as the previous cycles. If we reach the top of this model in Q4 2025, and we see a Pi Cycle Top signal along with a Mayer Multiple over 2.0, that will be our trigger. If you've been sidelined this entire time, it's now or never. You don’t want to be the one buying in at 185K in Q4 2025 when everyone is calling for a million dollars. The time to act is now.
BNC:BLXLong
by Sporia
11
BTC re-accumulation and >140k$The year started from manipulation on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the whole crypto market after Trump's tariff announcement. Since the start of the summer season, we've already seen another manipulation between Trump and Elon Musk. On BTC I see weekly FVG and good pinbar candle. I guess we have already entered to consolidaton and summer will also consolidation, but starting from august we will see the final uptrend with euphoria which can finish on October nearly 241.000$ on BTC, but let's see it later I think this period will be light with base summer and $MOCHI because it's a memecoin which holds the bottom well , when in that time another altcoins are making another bottom
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Pavkos3
TOTAL Q3 As Q2 closes, Q3 begins... The 2nd quarter of 2025 made up for a lot of the losses of Q1 peaking at $3.5T in the middle of the quarter. Since the peak a steady downtrend channel has formed and continues to be the case going into Q3. What can we expect to see in the next 3 months in the crypto market? For me there are two different scenarios that are bullish, and one that is bearish IMO: Bullish scenario 1 - The most likely scenario I think is a breakout above the downtrend channel and a move towards the range top. My reasoning for this comes from what we know about the driving forces in the market. Just last week BTC ETFs had a $2.2B net inflow, MSTR bought another 4,980BTC for $531.9m, various ETFs on the way for other majors such as SOL. Crucially the M2 money supply is at a record ATH. What that means is huge demand and the means to purchase with a what feels like a deadline closing in. Bullish scenario 2 - We see a trend continuation until the range midpoint which has provided support before. It would coincide with the bottom of the trend channel and therefor I believe would provide a good launchpad for long positions. Bearish scenario - For me this is the least likely situation but one that must be prepared for, a loss of the range midpoint would be a major setback, one that would mean a potential revisit of the range low in a symmetrical move down mirroring Q2s move up. The reason I believe this is the least likely is there is just too much in favor of risk on assets like crypto currently, I've mentioned the fuel that is the M2 money supply piling up to be deployed. A US interest rate cut all but confirmed for September and the institutional race for acquiring these assets before it is too late. In conclusion just keeping it simple on the chart, a breakout above the trend channel is a great long opportunity to target the highs. If BTC continues the grind down a great place for it to turn bullish is the range midpoint as has happened previously. In the event BTC loses the midpoint a retest of the weekly low would make sense to me.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by ProR35
2
BTCUSDT – Bullish Momentum MaintainedBitcoin is maintaining a solid bullish structure after breaking out of its recent accumulation zone and filling the FVG gap around $110,400. On the H4 chart, BTCUSDT has just completed a successful retest near the dynamic support zone and is now aiming for the potential resistance at $112,949 – where it intersects with a long-term trendline. A breakout above this level could signal the start of a new expansion phase. Major news from yesterday regarding new capital inflows into several approved spot Bitcoin ETFs, combined with rising expectations of a Fed rate cut later in Q3, are fueling strong buying momentum. This rally could gain even more strength if crypto markets continue to attract liquidity.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Mastering the Bollinger Bands- How to use it in trading?What is the Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands is a popular technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s. It is designed to measure market volatility and provide signals for potential price reversals or trend continuations. The Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: a simple moving average in the middle, usually calculated over 20 periods, and two outer bands that are placed a set number of standard deviations above and below the moving average. These outer bands automatically adjust to market conditions, expanding and contracting based on price volatility. The indicator is widely used by traders to understand the relative highs and lows of a financial instrument in relation to recent price action. What will be discussed? - How does it work with the lower band and upper band? - What does the narrowing mean? - What does the widening mean? - How to trade with the Bollingers Bands? ------------------------- How does it work with the lower band and upper band? 
The upper band and the lower band serve as dynamic levels of resistance and support. When the price of an asset touches or exceeds the upper band, it may be considered overbought, suggesting that a reversal or pullback could be near. Conversely, when the price approaches or breaks below the lower band, the asset may be viewed as oversold, indicating a potential rebound. These bands do not generate definitive buy or sell signals on their own but instead help traders assess market conditions. The interaction of price with the upper and lower bands often provides visual cues about the momentum and direction of the market, allowing for more informed decision-making. ------------------------- What does the narrowing mean? 
 The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands occurs when the price becomes less volatile over time. This contraction indicates a period of consolidation or low market activity, where the price is trading in a tighter range. Narrowing bands are often interpreted as a signal that a significant price movement may be coming soon, as low volatility tends to precede high volatility. This phase is sometimes referred to as the "squeeze," and traders closely monitor it to anticipate breakout opportunities. The direction of the breakout, whether upward or downward, is not predicted by the narrowing itself but usually follows shortly after the bands have contracted. ------------------------- What does the widening mean? 
The widening of the Bollinger Bands reflects increasing market volatility. When the price starts to move rapidly either up or down, the bands spread further apart to accommodate this movement. This expansion typically confirms that a new trend is underway or that a breakout has occurred. The wider the bands become, the greater the degree of price fluctuation. During these times, traders may observe stronger momentum in the market, and the continuation of the move may be supported by the growing distance between the bands. However, extremely wide bands may also suggest that a reversal could be nearing, as the market can become overstretched in either direction. ------------------------- How to trade with the Bollinger Bands?
 Trading with Bollinger Bands involves using the bands to identify entry and exit points based on the behavior of price in relation to the upper and lower bands. One common approach is to buy when the price touches or breaks below the lower band and shows signs of bouncing back, and to sell when the price reaches or moves above the upper band and begins to retreat. Another strategy involves waiting for the bands to narrow significantly and then entering a trade in the direction of the breakout that follows. Traders often use Bollinger Bands in combination with other indicators such as RSI, MACD, or volume to confirm signals and reduce the risk of false breakouts. It is important to remember that Bollinger Bands are not predictive on their own but are most effective when used as part of a broader technical analysis framework. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDEducation
by Youriverse
31
The Critical Blue Line – Will Bitcoin Soar or Sink 🔹 Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Key Blue Line, Bear Trap Possibility & Long-Term Scenario On the Bitcoin chart, the blue horizontal level has acted multiple times as both support and resistance. The price has broken it several times but failed to sustain above, indicating high-volume decision-making zones by institutions and large players. 📉 Why this pattern keeps repeating: Strong supply and demand concentration at this level. Inability to break and hold shows market indecision. Repeated fakeouts are likely used to shake out weak hands. 🔍 Important hidden scenario: Bear Trap Potential If the price dips below the blue line but quickly reclaims it, it may form a bear trap, tricking short sellers into entering prematurely. This move could ignite strong bullish momentum from trapped sellers and renewed buyers. 🔮 If price holds above the blue line: Signals market strength and potential bullish structure shift. Targets: 109,800 117,200 120,000+ (Long-term) 📛 If support fails again: Retracement toward the lower channel near 101,000 or lower is possible. 📊 Conclusion: This zone is one of the most critical decision points in the current market. Traders should combine volume, candlestick behavior, and confirmation signals to avoid getting trapped by fake breaks
by TrendShot
1
TRX Approaching Cup Breakout – Market Decision Imminent TRX/USDT – Daily Chart Analysis TRX is shaping a textbook Cup Pattern on the daily timeframe — a strong bullish continuation signal if confirmed. Price has gradually curved upward, and we are now testing the key resistance area at 0.29–0.30. 📌 Key Scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Breakout Scenario: A confirmed breakout and daily close above 0.30 would validate the cup formation and set the stage for a rally toward the next target zones at 0.35 and 0.45 — measured based on the cup’s depth. 🔹 Bearish Rejection Scenario: If the resistance holds, expect a pullback toward the midline (~0.24) for potential accumulation and base-building before the next move. 💡 Volume confirmation and breakout momentum are critical to watch here. The market is approaching a decision point. 🟢 Our directional bias remains bullish — we anticipate the breakout to occur, leading to an upward continuation. However, we’ll wait for confirmation of the breakout and completion of the pattern before entering a long position.
by TrendShot
2
CoinMarketCap chart and correlation with BTC Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (USDT.D 1D chart) USDT dominance is showing a downward trend along the medium- to long-term downtrend line. The decline in USDT dominance can be interpreted as an upward trend in the coin market. Therefore, if it remains below 4.91 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter a bull market. The coin market is expected to show a major bull market until 2025. At this time, the USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 3.42 and then rise, causing the coin market to enter a bear market. Therefore, a major bear market is expected in 2026. ----------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) You might think that it would be good if it continued to rise in a bull market, but in reality, that is not the case. The reason is that if the price continues to rise, you have to buy more money. Therefore, it will show a pattern of falling when appropriate and rising again when appropriate. As I mentioned earlier, 2025 is a major bull market, so it will eventually show a rising pattern. So, when should we buy and when should we sell? It would be nice if we could know this a little bit faster, but we can never know. Currently, BTC is renewing its ATH, so it is even more difficult to predict the movement. Therefore, we can only predict it through predictable chart analysis techniques. Among them, the method I use is to predict and respond to the high point using the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and the DOM (DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM) indicator using the Heikin-Ashi chart. The DOM indicator indicates the end of the high and low points, and the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are used to establish a basic trading strategy. The sky blue (#00bcd4) arrow is generated, indicating that the DOM (60) indicator is likely to be generated soon. In other words, it means that the end of the high point is becoming more likely. When the DOM(60) indicator is created, there is a high possibility of resistance, so the price is likely to fall. Therefore, you should think about a countermeasure for the decline. However, as I mentioned earlier, since 2025 is expected to show a major uptrend, it is recommended to sell in installments at an appropriate level to preserve profits. The reason is that we cannot know how far it will fall. The start of a full-scale decline is likely to begin when it falls below the HA-High indicator. Therefore, if it falls after the DOM(60) indicator is created, we should observe whether a new HA-High indicator is created. If a new HA-High indicator is created, the key point is whether there is support in the vicinity. If a new HA-High indicator is not created, it is likely to fall to the current HA-High indicator location of 73499.86. - A trend line has been formed between highs, but a trend line between lows has not yet been formed. Therefore, it is difficult to predict how far it will fall once the decline begins. In the 2025 bull market, BTC is expected to rise to around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92). Therefore, we should also consider countermeasures for this. ------------------------------------------------ (BTC.D 1M chart) When will the altcoin bull market start? I think the timing is when BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline. I think the rising BTC dominance means that the funds flowing into the coin market are concentrated toward BTC. Therefore, we should consider that a market for trading BTC has been formed. If BTC dominance fails to fall below the 55.01-62.47 range, BTC dominance is expected to rise to around 73.63-77.07. At this time, it is highly likely that it will encounter strong resistance and begin to decline. Since it has not fallen below the mid- to long-term trend line, it seems likely that it will continue to rise. In order to eventually turn into a downtrend, BTC dominance must fall below 60. If not, I think it will be difficult to expect an uptrend in altcoins. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This period of volatility is expected to continue until July 11. Therefore, the key issue is whether there is support near 111696.21. If there is support at the 111696.21 point, it is expected to rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43). If not, we need to check whether there is support near 108316.90. As I mentioned in the previous idea, three conditions must be met to break through the 111696.21 point upward. - The StochRSI indicator is showing an upward trend with K>D, - The PVT-MACD oscillator is showing an upward trend (if possible, above the 0 point), - The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is maintained above the High Line, If the above conditions are met, I said that there is a high possibility of a stepwise upward trend from the 111696.21 point. - The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 18 (July 17-19). Therefore, we need to see if it can be maintained above 111696.21 until the next volatility period. If it fails, we need to check if it is supported above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, near 108316.90. If not, it is likely to fall to the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart or near 99705.62. - The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. However, if the HA-High indicator rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise uptrend, and if the HA-Low indicator falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend. The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend. That is, we can see that the support around the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section will be important turning points for the future trend. ---------------------------------------------------- On the USDT dominance chart, it seems likely that August 3rd will be the volatility period. Looking at the BTC chart, it seems likely that August 2nd to 5th (August 1st to 6th) will be the pre-movement for the volatility period of August 1st to 6th. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
6
BTC Peak forecastedHI, This is the weekly candle on BTC… showing in orange, a likely topping fractal, which would also likely propagate into something more like the dark orange, as we seek historic resistance levels to test for support. As an interesting side note… i see DOGE coin as showing increasing strong bullish signals, which could indicate we are in the much prophecized decoupling of the DOGE-BTC pair… which will be a spectacular transfer of wealth from the dying giant to the intrepid coin of unconditional love! Thats what Dog’s represent… and it’s how the tribe feels about their coin too. Biggest pump and dump of all time… the crypto geeks Pump btc, get the military dark money to buy in, and then dump it… empty bag. And where are they moving their money too? The favorite alt coins… and DOGE moves the biggest and fastest when it jumps and runs! Good Luck!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by DHLawrence
1
Bitcoin's Next Target Based on a 210 Days Long ConsolidationAfter each 210 days long consolidation phase Bitcoin advanced 137% on average, from bottom to top, since the November 2022 bear market low. Such an advance would put Bitcoin at a price of $170,000 next. Now, the 137% is just the average. In one occasion Bitcoin rose 83% while in another occasion total growth amounted to more than 200%. We are counting the rise from the consolidation phase lowest point. Let's look at some numbers: » An 83% rise would put Bitcoin just above $135,000. » A 128% rise would put Bitcoin right at $170,000. » A 202% rise would put Bitcoin at a price of around $225,000. ~200% is how much Bitcoin grew between late 2023 and early 2024. How much will Bitcoin grow exactly? We don't know. What we can know for sure is that there is plenty of room available for growth. We are aiming for at least 100% growth starting from 100K, that is, a target of $200,000. Can be $180,000 just as it can be $220,000. That's the cycle top. Do you agree with this target? Leave a comment with your number. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
Bitcoin dominance chart ready to dump?Bitcoin dominance aka the btc.d chart has been in these 2 rising channels now for a long long tie, after ust recently being rejected down fro the top trendline of the neon yellow channel, there seems to be an opportunity here for it to potentially head down to retest the bottom trendline of that channel as well. If this occurs this could lead to an altcoin season. Price is right now combating the 50ma(in orange) and trying to maintain it as support. If this moving average flips to solidified resistance that greatly increases the chances of price going down to retest that bottom yellow trendline. Being that both of these channels are rising channels probability favors price action eventually breaking down from them instead of up so I have arbitrarily placed the measure move break down target of the yellow channel in a random spot below roughly where price could break down from the channel were it to be rejected strongly enough here by the 50ma. It’s retested this bottom trendline multiple times in the past and has always found away to avoid the breakdown thus far though so a breakdown there is definitely not guaranteed if it does retest the trendline, but even heading back down to retest the trendline in the first place may provide enough momentum for an alt season *not financial advice*
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by DrDovetail
Wyckoff Pattern- To understand trading at its core, you need to understand the Wyckoff Theory. - Everything you need is in the chart and yes, it's simple and might look like copy-paste, but it's pure Wyckoff. - Remember this post i made in 2021 ? check it again : Remember, trading is like a washing machine, it shakes you up, spins you around, and pressures you to sell when you should be buying or Holding. Not a price prediction, just a smarter way to level up your strategy. Happy Tr4Ding !
KRAKEN:DOTUSDLong
by thecryer
3