BTCUSDT📊 Bitcoin Weekly Analysis – Smart Money Concept (SMC)
On the 1W BTC/USDT chart, we are currently observing a corrective move after a strong bullish impulse. The price is approaching a high-probability demand zone formed between two significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
• 🔹 FVG 3M around $74,000
• 🔹 FVG M around $66,000
🟩 Long Setup Zone:
The area between these FVGs represents a discounted price zone where smart money is likely to step in. This is labeled as a “zone for long position” on the chart.
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🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
• The market is in a retracement phase, targeting inefficiencies (FVGs).
• If price taps into this zone and shows signs of bullish intent (e.g., weekly bullish engulfing, BOS/CHOCH on lower timeframes), we can expect a strong upward move.
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🎯 Mid-to-Long Term Target:
• Based on the current market structure and SMC model, the next major target is $130,000.
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🔐 Risk Management:
• Ideal entry: within the FVG zone
• Stop-loss: below the lower FVG (around $65,000)
• Confirmation: bullish price action on lower timeframes or weekly candle close with strong momentum
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📌 Conclusion:
This setup offers a potential high-reward opportunity if smart money reacts to this discounted zone. Patience and proper confirmation are key.
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BTC-D
WHY XAUUSD IS BULLISH ?? TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSXAUUSD is currently trading around the key psychological level of 3000, and as expected, price action has just completed a textbook retest of the previous breakout zone. The support level near 2960–2980 has held strongly, giving gold the momentum it needs for the next leg up. Price has reacted with a clear bullish bounce from this demand zone, confirming the structure and setting up for a potential continuation toward the 3100 target.
From a technical perspective, we’re seeing a classic bullish continuation move. The previous impulse to the upside was followed by a correction phase, which respected the support area now acting as a launchpad. This bounce, combined with strong candle formations on the 12H and daily charts, suggests bulls are regaining control. Volume is gradually increasing, aligning with the anticipated breakout from the recent consolidation.
On the fundamentals side, the gold market remains well-supported. Recent macroeconomic data shows inflationary pressures are still lingering, while expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year continue to weigh on the US dollar. Geopolitical tensions and increased central bank gold accumulation are adding further demand for safe-haven assets like gold. These drivers remain bullish catalysts as long as uncertainty stays elevated and real yields remain low.
With price holding above 3000 and a strong structure in place, I expect continuation toward 3100 in the near term. This is a high-probability setup supported by both technicals and fundamentals. I’ll be closely watching for higher lows and continuation signals above 3020 for additional confirmation. Risk management remains key, but the market structure strongly favors further upside.
$BTC is at a critical pointThis is a follow-up to my previous warning about a potential CRYPTOCAP:BTC correction, published in December 2024:
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At this stage, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at a critical juncture. If we compare the current situation to previous corrections, we can observe that the RSI has reached a potential reversal zone, and price action is currently showing some resilience.
📍 The $81K level appears to be strongly defended by the bulls.
Two scenarios are now in play:
1️⃣ Bearish Continuation
If the MACD continues its downward move and the RSI drops below 30%, we could see this consolidation phase extending until July 2025. In this case, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may revisit the $72K zone.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal
If the MACD has already bottomed out, we could witness a bullish rally over the next 3–4 months. This would likely propel CRYPTOCAP:BTC to a new all-time high.
Unfortunately, the SPX500 correction adds a layer of uncertainty. Had the traditional markets not started to retrace, the odds of a solid bounce from current BTC levels would have been near 100%.
For now, everything depends on how strong and well-funded the bulls are—can they offset macro pressure and prevent CRYPTOCAP:BTC from sinking with the TradFi indices?
🚨 Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!A downward trendline connecting the recent high points indicates bearish pressure.
A horizontal support level around 77,500 USDT shows where the price has struggled to drop.
Current Price:
As of your chart's timestamp, BTC is trading at approximately 79,883.75 USDT.
Potential Movement:
If the price can break above the descending trendline and stay above the support level, there could be potential upward momentum. The upward arrow suggests a bullish outlook.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Look for resistance at trendline breaks and the next significant levels above the current price (e.g., 82,500 USDT).
Support: The 77,500 USDT level is crucial; a drop below it could signal further downward movement.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
It could be worse for Gold and Bitcoin, right? Apple alone has shed nearly $640 billion in market capitalisation over just three days. The S&P 500 has fallen more than 10% during the same stretch—its worst performance since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. In Asia, the selloff is even more severe, with Japan's Nikkei 225 down nearly 8%, South Korea’s Kospi 200 off almost 6%, and Taiwan equities falling close to 10%, triggering circuit breakers.
In comparison, Bitcoin and Gold, while under pressure, appear to be weathering the downturn with relatively less panic.
Bitcoin has declined around 10%—a notable drop, but not unusual by crypto standards. Trading near $76,000, it has returned to pre-election levels, breaching both short- and long-term support zones.
Gold is tracking its worst three-day performance in over four years. Although some positive forecasts are emerging. Deutsche Bank has revised its year-end gold price forecast upward to $3,350, citing rising recession risks and renewed safe-haven demand.
BTC.... HOLD THE LINE!!!!BTC is still on a daily downtrend however every lower time frame structure can provide evidence of a reversal. Bitcoins price is at critical levels of support and as long it holds the line Class Bullish Divergence is all we need to get some follow-through. CHOCH is the evidence we need.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
XRPUSDT → The bulls won't hold support. Falling to 1.9BINANCE:XRPUSDT is under pressure despite quite positive news. The coin, being in a downtrend, continues to test the key support. The chance of a breakdown is growing
XRP continues to test a strong support zone on the weekly timeframe, relative to this zone, in the medium term, two scenarios can develop, which depend on the general mood in the market. If the current backdrop persists, the chance of a downside breakdown and further decline is quite high.
At the moment, the focus is on the key support at 2.0637, relative to which the retests continue, and the reaction is getting weaker and weaker, which in general only increases the chances of a further fall to 1.9 - 1.63.
Resistance levels: 2.265, 2.365, 2.509
Support levels: 2.0637, 1.9
The cryptocurrency market is going through bad times (Tariff War, high inflation, stock market decline, disappointment of the crypto community due to expectations) and until the situation starts to change, the technical picture will remain negative. XRP may continue its fall after a small correction.
Regards R. Linda!
EOSUSDT → False Breakeout of resistance (counter-trend )BINANCE:EOSUSDT.P within the consolidation distribution 0.54 - 0.6 reaches the key resistance and forms a false breakdown without the possibility of continued growth.
The cryptocurrency market is showing weakness, especially after yesterday's Trump speech and the approval of new Tariffs, which creates risks and pressure on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin is back in the red zone after rallying, while altcoins will continue to look for a new bottom. EOS stands out in this list, which strengthened quite strongly and the purpose of this maneuver was countertrend accumulation and liquidity capture relative to the range of 0.7 - 0.8. The distribution is tempered by a false breakout of the level 0.82 - 0.86
Resistance levels: 0.82, 0.86
Support levels: 0.793, 0.666
If the bears hold the resistance 0.82 - 0.86 and the consolidation under the level will end with the breakout of the trigger 0.793 and price consolidation in the selling zone, it may provoke a reversal and fall to the zones of interest: fvg, 0.64, 0.541.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Has Bitcoin entered a downtrend?Bitcoin is going down, the whole crypto market is going down, too. So, does this mean Bitcoin has entered a downtrend cycle? That is a million- or even billion -dollar question.
Let's analyze Bitcoin's two previous downtrends. The first correction wave dropped about 21.7%, and the second one dropped about 32.8%. If this pattern continues, the current correction wave could drop at least 32.8%; the latest Bitcoin's bearish candle is a little short of this amount.
Also, the previous horizontal resistance area, which is now a support area, coincides with the 32.8% drop value and the 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement levels, too. So, this area seems like a good place for Bitcoin's correction to end.
Moreover, the major uptrend line is the last line of defense for Bitcoin to keep the bullish phase alive. Let's see what happens.
BTCUSD: Can this M2 supply signal trigger a massive rally?Bitcoin has neutralized the previously oversold levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.383, MACD = -1887.100, ADX = 31.814) as it is making a strong technical rebound on the 1W MA50. Today's analysis features the Global M2 supply, which is a leading indicator for Bitcoin. Both in July 2024 and November 2022 (the last two major bottoms for the market) when the M2 started to rise aggressively, Bitcoin declined and consolidated. It followed the bullish trend of the M2 with a rise of its own much later. This is similar to what the market has been experiencing since January 2025, when the M2 started rising but Bitcoin peaked on its ATH and started a decline that continues to this very date. If the pattern gets repeated then by end of April - start of May we are in for a strong Bitcoin recovery (if not earlier).
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Bitcoin: The Grand Ascension Blueprint - Ready for Lift-Off!
The Most Important Bitcoin Chart You'll See This Year.. As we said before in pervious idea for enrty in 74,500
and that what happen in one month
Looking at this daily BTC/USD chart, we're witnessing the formation of a powerful technical setup that could define the rest of 2025. This isn't just another prediction—it's a strategic roadmap based on key technical levels that smart money is watching.
📊 What The Chart Is Revealing:
🔷 Perfect Channel Formation
* Bitcoin has established a massive ascending channel (gray boundaries) with textbook precision
* Current price ($77,626) testing the critical lower boundary support
* Previous touch points have all resulted in significant bounces
🔷 Triple Target Trajectory
* TP1: $82,400 - Initial relief target (conservative)
* TP2: $85,700 - Mid-channel equilibrium zone
* TP3: $89,100 - Upper resistance test before potential breakout
🔷 Historical Context Matters
* We're constructively holding above the December 2023 breakout level
* Current consolidation mirrors the pre-pump phase from late 2023
* Blue trendline break served as the first warning of trend change
Why This Pattern Has MASSIVE Implications
⚡ The Timing Effect:
The current position at channel support presents a rare low-risk, high-reward opportunity with clear invalidation points. The pattern suggests accumulation before a potential explosive move toward $130,000 by August-September.
⚡ Macro Alignment:
This technical setup coincides perfectly with post-halving supply dynamics and institutional capital flow patterns. The projected move higher follows the historical post-halving performance cycles.
⚡ Risk Management Precision:
* Invalidation point: Clear break below $74,000 with volume
* Ideal entry zone: $74,800-$75,500
* Risk:reward ratio at current levels: approximately 1:5
he Hidden Message Most Traders Are Missing
This isn't just about price targets—this formation suggests Bitcoin is preparing for its largest percentage gain phase of this cycle. The projected path (purple forecast line) indicates a potential 68% move from current levels in just 90-120 days.
Institutional positioning data supports this view. The methodical stair-stepping pattern in the forecast line suggests strategic accumulation phases between aggressive price advancement.
📊 SEE YOU AFTER 3-4 MONTHS .. FOLLOW ME FOR MORE DETAILS 📊
We've now hit our level 6.1-6.2% precisely! We’ve finally hit our ultimate target of 6.1-6.2% (3-drive pattern ✅), which we first talked about back in March after taking the 5W/5D HOB at 5.3%. We said that as long as USDT.D stays above the 4.76% SL, 6.1-6.2% would be the next target - and here we are.
We did see a very decent reaction from the level, as mentioned before. Scalp longs could’ve been taken, but personally, I only took a small, quick scalp long on BTC. I’m not really interested in longs until CRYPTOCAP:BTC takes its 🗝️level.
I got asked a few times today about my plans for BTC, as the boss hasn’t taken the 🗝️ level yet (though it’ll very likely take it eventually). While it’s difficult to know exactly what’s going to happen or how it’ll play out, I’m simply going to focus on the USDT.D 6.5-6.8% resistance levels/EP (no liquidity). If that matches with 72K on BTC, it’d give us additional confluence to open a long.
So yeah, even though it’s hit our level perfectly - including other majors like CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL and #ETHBTC - BTC hasn’t taken its 🗝️ level yet, which probably means we’ve got a tad higher to go on USDT.D. That level could be the HTF resistance/EP at 6.5%-6.8%.
Conversely, if we reject and see a pullback, watch the 18H HOB at 5.63% and potentially even the 17H Demand at 5.49% (wickfishing), where some profits on longs could be taken. Watch 5.03% - if it breaks below this = MTF bullishness on assets.
USDT.D hit our target of 5.6-5.7% as mentioned in my last idea. USDT.D has closed above PSH at 5.51%, which warrants caution. However, I’d like to wait for the weekly close to confirm the direction USDT.S is headed toward. That said, we’ve now taken the 5.6-5.7% level I mentioned last week in my idea, and this should provide enough liquidity to target downside levels. If we overshoot and wick, keep an eye on the 6.1-6.2% level as our next liquidity target, which will likely align with BTC’s 68K-72K range. On LTF and MTF, there’s not enough liquidity left in the current range, and I think if we go down, we’ll see a smooth ride until 4.35%
Shorting BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin put a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle yesterday, with high volume, which is very bearish, and now I’m expecting it to continue to decline.
It also tends to follow the US Indices, which are heading lower.
My target is about 70k, maybe even lower.
Good luck to you
Breaking: Bitcoin Loses $80,000 Support The price of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) today saw a noteworthy downtick of 2.24% today making it down 7% since last week losing the $80k grip. This move came days after Donald Trump the recently elected president, on Wednesday, announced a minimum tariff rate of 10% and higher rates for 57 economies like China (34%), the European Union (20%), and Japan (24%). Fitch Ratings estimated that the effective tariff rate could hit 25% on average — the highest in more than 115 years.
The asset has tanked to the $76,000- $74,000 support point, placing CRYPTOCAP:BTC on the brink of a selling spree should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break below the $70k support, possible retracement should be around the $60- $50k support points.
Similarly, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC trading below key Moving Averages (MA), and the RSI at 35, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is gearing up for a reversal albeit the market is still volatile. If Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) should break the 1-month high resistant a possible uptick to $120k is feasible.
Bitcoin Price Live Data
The live Bitcoin price today is $77,615.23 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $78,391,741,615 USD. Bitcoin is down 5.64% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #1, with a live market cap of $1,540,502,278,162 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,847,937 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
We are at the decision line. As you can see, the situation is quite clear. If it supports this decision line, new Ath is on its way. But if it cannot support, a bloodbath is on its way.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Bitcoin will grow inside upward channel to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Previously, the price moved inside a triangle pattern, where it faced pressure from the resistance line while holding above the lower boundary. After the breakout from this formation, BTC began forming an upward channel, signaling a shift toward a bullish structure. Inside the channel, the price reacted multiple times to the support line, especially within the buyer zone between 79600–81000 points. Every touch of this zone triggered a rebound, indicating that buyers consistently protect it. Most recently, BTC bounced again from the 81000 support level, which aligns with the lower channel boundary. This rebound shows that bullish momentum is still present, and the structure remains intact. Now, the price is stabilizing and preparing for another upward move. I expect BTC to continue rising toward the 88500 resistance level, which is both the TP1 and the upper boundary of the current channel. This level also aligns with the lower edge of the seller zone, making it a natural target for the next wave. With the price holding above key support, the confirmed channel structure, and repeated bullish reactions from the lower zone, I remain bullish and anticipate a continued move upward toward 88500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀