BITCOIN historically sees huge rally when Gold peaks. This time?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is coming, slowly but surely, out of a consolidation following the test and hold of its 1W MA50 and one of the reasons it is about to rally strongly may be flying under the radar for the majority.
That reason has to do with Gold (XAUUSD) and its long-term Cycles. As you can see on this 1W chart, every time Gold peaked in the past 10 years, BTC started the parabolic rally of its Bull Cycle. Equally during Gold's past 2 Cycles, when it revisited that peak and tested that Resistance, it made a Double Top and declined again, which for Bitcoin was translated into a Bear Cycle confirmation.
With the help of the Sine Waves, we can be expecting that Gold Double Top in early April 2026, which means that by that time BTC will already be in its new Bear Cycle. As a result, it is suggested be already out of the market with our profits by the end of 2025.
So based on all that, if Gold makes its Cycle Top now, which is highly likely, Bitcoin will start a parabolic rally. Now, will it be the strongest of its Bull Cycle as the past Cycles suggested? Could be, but even if its not, it should be enough to replicate the late 2024 one and give one final opportunity for profit making.
But what do you think? Is Gold's potential peak here give a very favorable rally to Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC-D
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Update. BTC has broken out of a descending triangle, leading to a strong upside.
Currently trading inside an ascending channel, facing resistance near $90,000.
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above $87,000-$88,000, a continuation toward $92,000-$95,000 is possible.
A strong breakout from this channel could lead to an attempt at $100,000.
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection at the channel's top may push BTC back to the $84,000-$85,000 support level.
If the support breaks, BTC could drop to $79,000-$78,400
Resistance: $90,000, $92,000, $95,000
Support: $85,000, $84,000, $79,000
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Magic of statistical models and mathematics Hey everyone! 👋 I wanted to share some of the magic of statistical models and mathematics with you. ✨ Check out how price reacts to Fibonacci levels, those levels are determined by using the VAR statistical model. 📊
It's amazing how numbers and patterns can reveal hidden insights in the market! It's like watching a secret code unfold right before our eyes. 🤩 The way price respects those Fibonacci levels is truly fascinating. It's a testament to the power of these models and the beauty of mathematics. 🤓
Enjoy the show! 🍿
Bullish bounce?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 85,975.56
1st Support: 83,546.45
1st Resistance: 91,753.89
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
The start of the first important volatility period of the year
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This is the first day of the volatility period.
The key is whether it can rise from the downward channel.
This volatility period is expected to last until March 26.
The point of interest is whether it can break out of the downward channel and receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
If not, we should see if it can find support near Fibonacci 2.24 (83646.12) and rise without going below the downtrend line.
If it holds above the downtrend line, we should see if it can rise above Fibonacci 1.618 (89050.0) during the next volatility period around April 5th.
In any case, if it breaks out of the downtrend channel and holds, I think it is likely to turn into an uptrend.
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(1M chart)
As I mentioned before, we should not forget that there is no trend line formed by the low point of the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart, so volatility may occur to create a trend line.
Therefore, whether it can complete the trend line while receiving support near the 69000 ~ 73499.86 range and rising is an important point of observation from a long-term perspective.
In this sense, what we can choose is to see whether it can receive support near the current location, that is, the StochRSI 50 indicator point of 83983.20.
If the support is broken, it can fall along the downtrend line.
This period of volatility is expected to be the first important period of the year.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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Bitcoin Price Analysis – Bullish Setup with Caution AheadThe short-term trend is bullish, as we observe:
- Price movement is above the short- and medium-term moving averages.
- The price is forming higher highs and higher lows.
- Support levels are steadily rising along the moving averages.
However, there is a noticeable loss of momentum in recent hours, which could signal a potential short-term correction or profit-taking phase.
Bullish Indicators
Moving Averages:
- The 10 EMA, 20 EMA, and 30 EMA are all indicating a Buy signal.
- The 200 EMA also reflects a Buy signal.
- This indicates that the price is trading above key averages, supporting the continuation of the bullish trend.
ADX = 29.49 (Buy): The strength of the current trend is still significant (above 25), which reinforces the continuation of the bullish movement.
MACD (Buy): The MACD has shown a positive crossover, which supports the bullish signal and continued upward momentum.
Bearish Indicators
Momentum = Sell (Value: 4,249.13): There is a noticeable slowdown in momentum, which may indicate the early stages of a correction or temporary weakness.
Some Long-Term Averages = Sell: The 50, 100, and 200 Simple Moving Averages are showing sell signals, suggesting the longer-term trend has not yet fully transitioned into a bullish phase. These may also act as resistance if the price continues to rise.
Stochastic RSI Fast = 90.56 (Overbought): This indicator is in the overbought zone, pointing to a potential near-term pullback.
RSI = 53.34 (Neutral to Overbought): Not yet in the overbought territory, but gradually approaching it, which should be watched closely.
2025 Performance Lagging: The latest chart shows that 2025 performance is currently at -6.46%, compared to a strong +111% in 2024. This discrepancy suggests a phase of ongoing profit-taking or broader consolidation.
Outlook
Short-Term (Hours to Days): There is a potential for further upside with key resistance levels at 88,500, 89,000, and 90,000.
The nearest support levels are at 87,500 and 86,800.
However, caution is advised due to signs of short-term exhaustion in indicators like Stochastic RSI and Momentum.
Medium-Term (Weeks): As long as the price holds above the 86,000–86,500 range, the uptrend is likely to continue. A breakout above 90,000 would be a strong bullish signal that could drive the market to new highs.
Recommendation
- For Short-Term Traders: Take advantage of the current move but remain cautious of sudden corrections.
Watch for potential buy zones near 87,000 and 86,500. Use a tight stop-loss strategy if these support levels are broken.
- For Medium/Long-Term Investors: Indicators show that the uptrend is starting to stabilize.
Consider partial entry now while closely monitoring the 90,000 level.
Avoid going all-in at current levels and keep capital aside to buy dips if the market corrects.
BTC - Decision time "Bullish or Bearish"?Bitcoin (BTC) is currently approaching its downside trendline, which is acting as a key level of resistance. If BTC manages to break through this trendline, we could see further upside potential, potentially leading to a continuation of its upward movement.
However, it’s important to note that BTC is also forming a daily rising wedge, which typically suggests a bearish reversal. A rising wedge is characterized by converging trendlines with higher highs and higher lows, signaling weakening momentum as the price rises. This pattern often precedes a potential downside breakout, meaning BTC could experience a pullback in the near future.
The key question now is whether BTC can break through its downside trendline and continue its upward trajectory toward the $91K mark, or if it will face rejection at this level and reverse its direction. If BTC breaks through the $91K level, there could be significant room for further upside movement, potentially pushing the price even higher, as this would likely signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
On the other hand, the Stochastic RSI is currently in overbought territory, which suggests that BTC could be facing mounting downside pressure. Overbought conditions often precede a market correction or pullback, as buying momentum may be running out of steam. This could add further weight to the possibility of a downside move if the market fails to maintain its bullish momentum.
Ultimately, the market’s reaction at these critical levels will be crucial in determining whether BTC can continue its bullish ascent or if we’re likely to see a reversal in price action.
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TAO ANALYSIS🔮 #TAO Analysis 💰💰
🌟🚀 As we can see that #TAO is trading in a symmetrical triangle and given a perfect breakout. But there is an instant resistance. If #TAO breaks the resistance 1 then we will see a good bullish move in few days . 🚀🚀
🔖 Current Price: $271
⏳ Target Price: $305
#TAO #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
JUST IN: Bitcoin Reclaims $88K, Eyes $100K Breakout!The Price of Bitcoin shocked sceptics surging nearly 4% today, reclaiming the FWB:88K pivot- now setting its coast for $100k breakout amidst a bullish symmetrical triangle Pattern.
On the daily time frame, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed 2 bullish candlesticks, should a third identical candlestick evolve, it will lead to a breakout of the ceiling of the symmetrical triangle formed- placing CRYPTOCAP:BTC in the $90,000 - $96,000 range. A break above this pivots would cement the the move to $100k and beyond.
Similarly, should the asset faced selling pressure into making it dip below the $81k range, a selling spree could emerged.
Bitcoin Price Live Data
The live Bitcoin price today is $88,452.78 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $29,835,452,540 USD. Bitcoin is up 3.95% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,755,025,651,822 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,841,384 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
BEAM Trade Setup - Gaming Sector StrengthWith the gaming sector holding strong, BEAM is showing signs of momentum after forming a higher low, signaling a possible upward move.
🛠 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $0.0075 (Support Level)
Take Profit Targets:
$0.0083 (Initial Resistance Zone)
$0.0098 (Breakout Zone)
$0.011 (Major Resistance Target)
Stop Loss: $0.0067
Looking for bullish confirmation before entry. 🎮🚀
BITCOIN 4H - 8th time lucky? The 200 EMA is a great indication of the environment a certain asset is currently in. If the 200 ema is not being respected as neither support nor resistance then generally the market environment is rangebound. If an asset is in a trending environment then the 200 ema is often being respected, as in the moving average acts as a key support in an uptrend or as resistance in a downtrend.
What we have seen from BTC is a clear shift from rangebound PA where it seems as though the 4H 200 EMA has no effect on price and is sat relatively neutral with no gradient, to a clear downward gradient capping off any attempt for the bulls to move higher. Eight separate occasions the bulls attempted to flip the moving average and failed each time, until now?
Having ended last week strong with a reclaim of $86,000 an early Monday push has seen BTC close a 4H candle above for the first time in 7 weeks. It is important to note that when the MA is still sloping downward it is still seen as a resistance level, a retest as new support while the slope levels out is always a possibility.
I am now interested in the question of, if Bitcoin reclaims the 4H 200 EMA, does it flip to a bullish trend or another rangebound one? That's where the $91,000 S/R comes in, as a reclaim of that level would put BTC into a LTF rally and therefor bullish trend, rejection off that level would see the MA level-out and becomes less important and therefor rangebound.
Comment with your thoughts on this idea.
ARC ANALYSIS🔮 #ARC Analysis
💲💲 #ARC is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. If the price of #ARC breaks and sustain the higher price then will see a pump. Also there is an strong support zone. We may see a retest towards the support zone first and then a reversal📈
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#ARC #Cryptocurrency #Support #Resistance #DYOR
EURJPY NEXT MOVE, DEEP FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSIS EUR/JPY is currently trading around 162.300, having recently completed a breakout and subsequent retest, indicating a potential bullish continuation toward the target price of 168.300. This anticipated move suggests a gain of over 300 pips, aligning with the pair's prevailing uptrend.
Fundamentally, the Eurozone's economic indicators have shown resilience, with stable growth and inflation metrics supporting the euro. In contrast, the Bank of Japan's commitment to ultra-loose monetary policies has led to a depreciation of the yen, widening the interest rate differential between the two currencies and favoring a stronger euro
Technical analysis reinforces this bullish outlook. The pair edged higher to 164.16 last week before a slight retreat, suggesting consolidation ahead of a possible upward surge. As long as the 160.02 support level holds, further rally remains in favor, with potential targets at 164.89 and 166.67. A sustained break above these levels could pave the way toward the 168.300 target
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a confirmed breakout could present a lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated 300-pip movement. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to mitigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in navigating this trading opportunity effectively.
24/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $87,453.65
Last weeks low: $81,140.91
Midpoint: $84,297.28
Great weekly close for the bulls! A reclaim of the weekly high in the dying hours of the week is a huge win and has spurred on an early run for the weekly high.
The overall goal for this move should be $91,000 in my opinion, and a must not lose area is $86,000 or 0.75 line/ last weeks weekly high.
What happens at $91,000 is yet to be determined and I have an idea many will be tentative around that area. On the high time frames a reclaim of this level unlocks the capability to retest the highs from a TA standpoint as price re-enters the range bound environment. A rejection of that level would make a $73,000 retest a very real possibility.
In terms of altcoins we're seeing some strength returning with some strong gains but relative to their sell-offs it is a a drop in the ocean so far. Currently the market conditions are a traders dream but a long term investor/holders nightmare. No major news is planned to come this week so unless something drastic happens TA should be the driving factor this week.
BTC/USDT: Bullish Momentum Targets Key Psychological LevelOn the 1-hour timeframe, the BTC/USDT market is exhibiting a clear uptrend, marked by higher highs and higher lows. The recent break above a downward trendline led to an extended move upward, bringing the price to a test of last week’s high, where a potential pullback could emerge.
Zooming out, the broader structure reveals the formation of an ABC pattern, with the move appearing to target the psychological level of 90,000. It is common for markets to consolidate around significant levels before breaking out, suggesting that price may hover near this area in the short term. Barring any unforeseen market disruptions, the current momentum supports a retest of the area above 90,000, with the next key target at the resistance zone around 89,000
What BTC is showing?! Full Scenario As of now market is really slow... Why?
As the History of BTC shows that market never formed a new high with out retesting its Support or previous Resistance level, as in 2020 market break its Resistance level which was 19,000 and market formed a new high in 2021 which was 68,000 after that market didn't formed a new high until it retested its last support level 19,000. After retesting 19,000 market shows us a new high of 109,000 and since Market has formed a new high it didn't retested its Support level which is 68,000, so According to me history will be repeated here, till market don't retest its previous level which is 68,000 market will be slow and bearish. After that market will perform a new high.
According to RSI there is also a bearish divergences which support my vision.
Watching for the same 90K area Part IIMorning folks,
Here is just minor update to our last idea. BTC mostly was flat in recent two sessions, so action is started only today.
So, the plan that we've prepared remains valid. Since an area around 90K is a strong resistance, we think that short entry attempt there is relatively safe, and at least should give us the chance to turn it to breakeven trade.
Now, on 1H chart we have two patterns that point on the same area.