$BTC.D and $DXY are in diametrically opposite directionsIn this blog space we have been discussing Bitcoin Dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) since Dec 2024. On 9th Feb 2025 I posted a blog where we discussed the Fib Retracement levels in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart and we said that we can expect more upside and has broken past 0.618. I said it is possible that the dominance can reach the 0.786 Fib level at 66.12%.
I tried to plot the Dollar index TVC:DXY in the same weekly chart as CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and it was quite surprising that the FIB retracement levels in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D are the same as the top to the bottom levels in the TVC:DXY chart. We are looking at the last 5 years for our analysis.
When CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has broken past 0.618 Fib level and trying to reach 0.786 @66.12%. But the TVC:DXY has broken below 0.786 and in the near term the TVC:DXY level can end up at 0.618 Fib levels which can take TVC:DXY to 104.
So, in the near to medium term is CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D @ 66.12% and TVC:DXY @ 104.
Btc-dominance
$BTC.D is at key Fib Retracement level. More upside-expectedThe most important story of this Crypto cycle has been the relentless strength of CRYPTOCAP:BTC against other crypto. The index CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D which measures the dominance of BTC in the total Crypto market in terms of Market Cap hit its low in Dec 2021 when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D hit a multi-year low of 39%. That means only 39% of the Total Market Crypto can be attributed to $BTC. But since then, the Fed quantitative tightening began and most of the cryptos faced a meltdown. Even though CRYPTOCAP:BTC faced a bear market in CRYPTOCAP:USDT terms but still it fell less than the average Crypto. Since then, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart has made a bullish double bottom and then made new higher lows and higher highs. If we plot the Fib retracement levels on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly chart we saw recently that the Dominance chart stalled around 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels. Since then, the Dominance chart has been making new highs and broken past the 0.618 . The next key level is 0.786 which will take the dominance to 66.12% percent. Watch out for my blog when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D reaches the key level for more insights.
They wanna Cill us, But we will rise again soon!Bitcoin is oscillating in a rather boring price range, while altcoins have experienced a significant price drop. However, we shouldn't lose hope. A historical comparison suggests that we can expect growth in altcoins. This is not an investment advice, and I do not consider myself an expert analyst. Please invest in the crypto market with risk management in mind. Wishing you all the best!
$BTC.D prediction based on the current situation.CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been climbing steadily since the start of this bull run.
It’s often said that an altseason begins when BTC dominance drops below 55%. However, the 54% level appears to be a strong support zone, with the MACD showing a low point and the RSI entering oversold territory.
My analysis suggests that BTC dominance has established a range between 59% and 55%. It’s likely to bounce off the top resistance, pushing dominance back toward the support.
If the next drop breaks through this support, it could finally trigger a true altseason.
When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 BehaviorCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger:
The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins.
You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season.
Historical Patterns and Timelines:
Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally.
TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC:
The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season.
Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections:
The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally.
Future Predictions:
Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.
Altseason is cancelled for now.USDT.D shot up like a rocket during this crash, while Total3 is in freefall.
BTC only took a -4% hit, but the altcoin market? A brutal -8%.
It’s clear: CRYPTOCAP:BTC and those ETF approvers are running the show, draining liquidity from retail investors to keep pumping BTC at the expense of altcoins.
I warned you—invite these guys to your party, and they’ll clean out the buffet.
If you’re holding altcoins, all you can do is hang in there and hope BTC throws some karma their way.
BTC.D NEXT MOVE It is expected that Bitcoin dominance will move in this path, with the next action being a retest of the 58.70% area. After this retest, it is projected to drop to the key level of 58.30%, where Bitcoin dominance encounters both dynamic and static resistance. From this area, a decision will be made whether to continue with a significant drop or rise. As you know, an increase in Bitcoin dominance usually indicates a dump in altcoins, while a drop in dominance signals a pump in altcoins. However, other factors, such as Tether dominance, also need to be considered.
BTC dominance 2024-2025(prodolzhenie prognoza po dominacii bitkoina 2023-2024)
Proshlyj prognoz otrabotal prakticheski ideal'no, nemnogo promazal po vremeni (uskorilsya), nemnogo oshibsya s metodikoj raschyota dominacii (uchyol al'tkoiny - podrobno v obnovleniyah na proshlom prognoze po dominacii). Odnako v celom prognoz pravil'nyj!
Nakaplivat' bitkoin bylo bolee pravil'nym resheniem nezheli otkupat' al'tkoiny.
Podavlyayushchee bol'shinstvo al'tkoinov obnovilo svoi minimumy k bitkoinu.
Teper' prishla pora razvorota. Tyazhelo sprognozirovat' tochku razvorota (kak eto bylo s proshlym prognozom) kak po vremeni tak i po urovnyu, odnako ya sklonyayus' k variantu chto eto proizojdyot ot 55-65% vo vremennom promezhutke konca2024 achala2025 goda. I ustremitsya v blok 35-45% k koncu 2025 goda.
!!! Etot prognoz bolee kak prodolzhenie v popytke najti mesto razvorota, a ne kak samostoyatel'nyj predydushchij prognoz. Ya by ne stavil mnogoe na nego, odnako tendenciya dolzhna byt' yasna - gryadyot al'tsezon.
$BTC.D dominance again overheated. Time for the Alts to catch upCheck out this chart— CRYPTOCAP:BTC is on fire, but the market? Totally overheated. 🚀🔥
Sure, CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance had its pump, but now all the indicators are screaming *RED ALERT*:
- **RSI** is overbought with a bearish divergence.
- **MACD** just hit a bearish crossover.
- Sitting pretty (or not) at the **61% resistance**.
Translation? We’re ripe for a (much-needed) dominance correction. Expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC to chill sideways this weekend, with a likely correction kicking off next week.
Now, about those altcoins... 🤔 The memes have already had their moment—most hitting ATHs. But hold up! There's still plenty of action brewing:
CRYPTOCAP:ETH is waiting to pump, all the DEFI ( CRYPTOCAP:RUNE , CRYPTOCAP:UNI etc..) are waiting to pump.
Some great projects are under valuated like CRYPTOCAP:INJ
Also the L2 and L1 haven't pumped yet, think about CRYPTOCAP:AVAX , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:MATIC etc...
Ket's start an altseason! Even a mini one, for Christmas!
Bitcoin Dominance Peak: Altcoins Ready for Massive GrowthGet ready for the biggest altseason in history! According to market trends, Bitcoin's dominance has reached its peak, and a significant shift in liquidity is expected to occur soon. This means that investors will start to diversify their portfolios, moving away from Bitcoin and into altcoins.
As Bitcoin reaches critical levels of adoption and price consolidation, capital tends to rotate into altcoins, driving their prices higher. This upcoming cycle is expected to be one of the most significant in history, given the increasing adoption of blockchain technology, institutional interest in crypto, and new innovations across decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming, and Web3.
As a result, the value of altcoins is expected to skyrocket. For instance, a portfolio worth $5,000 today could potentially balloon to a staggering $250,000 to $500,000 by 2025. This represents a massive growth opportunity for investors who are willing to take the risk and diversify their portfolios. The impending altseason is expected to bring unprecedented gains to those who are positioned correctly, making it an exciting time for cryptocurrency enthusiasts.
BTC Dominance Topping Out, Going to All Time LowsBTC Dominance appears to be in a potential 7 year flat pattern. This coincides with the end of 7 year bear supercycle on alt/USD and alt/BTC pairs. The end of the flat pattern is evidenced by wave-c relating to wave-a by 61.8% in price and relating to waves (a+b)/2 in time (yellow boxes). The false break out from the orange trendline, as well as the wisemen on monthly, weekly, daily, etc charts, and the bearish momentum divergences, are all further evidence that dominance has topped.
From here, it looks like BTC dominance is going to retest the lows, and considering the likelihood of the end of a 7 year bear supercycle on alts, and the beginning of a new alt season, BTC's dominance could fall to as low as 12%.
Fundamentally, little has changed about BTC over the years. While some activity can be moved to layer 2s, the main BTC blockchain is still slow and inefficient, with only 7 TPS most people will not be able to afford to transact on Bitcoin. This will make retail traders and economic activity move to layer 2s and other chains.
One chain which will capture a large share of economic activity from Bitcoin is TRON. It has already captured the largest share of USDT, leading to high TRX burn rates. As Bitcoin's fees begin to skyrocket again following skyrocketing Bitcoin network activity, more of Bitcoin's activity will move to wrapped BTC on chains like TRON which are fast, extremely liquid, low fees, and accepted in most places.
While this will allow everybody to afford to transact with Bitcoin, it will also cannibalize Bitcoin's dominance. Chains that are similar to TRON which can capture a large share of Bitcoin's economic activity by acting as Bitcoin's layer 2, and in doing so are burning their native token for fees, are going to see their circulating supplies drop very quickly because of money earned and burned from fees, and their prices increase much faster than BTC.
It would not surprise me to one day see BTC completely lose it's dominance as the largest crypto to coins which have better fundamentals, especially where they have very high fee revenue and burn rates like TRX, and are significantly faster, more scalable, and turing complete. Either way, I don't think we will ever see BTC's dominance this high again, especially as regulations in the US and around the world begin to favor BTC less and create a fair playing field with other cryptocurrencies.
$BTC marketcap critical point, signaling the alt season coming.CRYPTOCAP:BTC has reached a critical 60% dominance level, which in the past has often signaled the start of an alt season. While history doesn’t always repeat itself, several other indicators confirm this signal:
- Stochastic RSI is highly overbought
- Bearish divergence
- MACD is also in overbought territory
Based on my analysis, altcoins are likely to see some relief in November, potentially pumping and outperforming $BTC.
BTC DOMINANCE / BTC.DI think #BTC.D is done>>
Good Luck >>
• Warning •
Any deal I share does not mean that I am forcing you to enter into it, you enter in with your full risk, because I'll not gain any profits with you in the end.
The risk management of the position must comply with the stop loss.
(I am not sharing financial or investment advice, you should do your own research for your money.)
BTC Dominance Update - Alt season confirmed ?#BTC.D #Analysis
Description
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+ Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has surged to a local high amid a sharp decline in altcoins, driven by recent recession fears. This rise in dominance has brought BTC.D close to a significant resistance level, a key area to watch for the potential start of an alt season.
+ The current BTC dominance is hovering around 57%, near a major resistance line. Historically, a rejection at this level has been crucial for the onset of alt season, where altcoins outperform Bitcoin.
+ Looking at past trends, alt season has typically followed a rejection of BTC dominance from this resistance. If history repeats itself, a pullback from this level could signal the beginning of a strong altcoin rally.
+ Should BTC dominance begin to decline, the next significant support level is around 40%. A move towards this support could trigger a substantial shift in market dynamics, favoring altcoins.
+ A downward trend in BTC dominance from current levels would likely fuel a major alt season, as capital flows out of Bitcoin and into altcoins. This scenario could present significant opportunities for traders focusing on the altcoin market.
Conclusion:
BTC dominance is at a critical juncture, with its proximity to a key resistance level potentially setting the stage for the next alt season. A rejection at this resistance could lead to a decline in dominance towards the 40% support, igniting a robust rally in altcoins.
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BTC Dominance in consolidation. Altseason will have to wait.As you can see in the chart, CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance is showing a pennant flag consolidation pattern. This might give some relief to the altcoins that are bleeding, but unfortunately, this pattern is a bullish one, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance could grow up to 57% before having a pullback.
Do your own research (DYOR). I hope I am wrong since I own a lot of altcoins, but that is what I see in the chart.
BTC.D # 004 (RIVERSAL TIME ZONE , ALTCOIN PARTY )Hello dear traders.
Good day .
First of all thanks for your comment and support.
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As you can see bitcoin dominance on weekly Gann Square reach to the reversal time zone and stops at Gann Square Fan line.
We expected to decline and support in next Gann Arc resistance.
Altcoin season will be higher growth than last seasons.