BTC Testing Major Resistance >>> Rejection Likely?Hi guys!
Did you see my last analysis about Btc? Let's break it down more!
Bitcoin is now testing a major resistance zone around $106.8K, where a descending trendline has already pushed the price down several times.
This area could act as a reversal point again. If BTC fails to break above, we might see a move down toward $102.2K — a strong support level from earlier this month.
Right now, the market is showing signs of weakness near resistance, so this could be a good spot to watch for a short setup — unless bulls step in with strong volume and break out cleanly.
attention to these levels:
Resistance: $106.8K (trendline + supply zone)
Support target: $102.2K
Outlook: Bearish unless breakout confirmed
Btc-e
Bitcoin: Break Out Or Fake Out Can Be Long.Bitcoin has adhered to my previous week's anticipated scenario almost exactly. While this may be a coincidence, I have called similar scenarios like this numerous times just see my previous articles, I left the illustration on the chart. From here, there are two scenarios to consider, one offering greater probability than the other. Let me explain.
First consider that the Bitcoin trend has never changed. The broader tend is bullish and the previous weeks only saw a brief corrective structure which found support in the 102K AREA )see my previous article). A reversal developed and confirmed and now we are in the process of rallying back toward the highs.
Scenario 1 The Breakout: IF the high 106's are cleared, it is possible price can break out to potentially test the next resistance around the 110K area. Since this environment is typically a lower volume time of year, I believe there is a greater chance of fake out. How you manage the risk all depends on the time frame you operate on. Smaller time frames can pin point more accurate signs of follow through while maintaining tighter risk while taking the breakout on this time frame exposes you to more risk. If taking the breakout on this time frame, consider mitigating risk with smaller size or being prepared to exit IF a conflicting signal appears like a bearish pin bar.
Scenario 2 The Retrace: IF price rejects the 106K area (fake out possibility) then I will be watching for a retest of the 104K area minor support. This is the level where I would be looking for confirmation patterns like bullish pin bars etc. This would not only constitute a higher low but also establish a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern. I do not put a lot of emphasis on the broader pattern, but it can help foster a self fulfilling prophecy. This reversal offers a greater probability since it is coming from a pullback within a broader bullish trend. Also the profit objective is greater since the 110K resistance would still be the same.
How you mange this again depends on the type of strategies you employ. My analysis is meant to provide an overall roadmap of the possibilities that I anticipate and nothing more. If you are a day trader this information will not be used the same way compared to if you are a swing trader. The key is how you define the risk and the confirmations. If the market rejects both scenarios, then we simply have to readjust to the new information that becomes available.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin’s Reversal from Supports — Is the Correction Over? Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous idea , and it also reversed the decline I intended and started to rise from the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) , Support lines , and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,500-$105,265) , and Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave Y . The main corrective structure was the Double Three Correction(WXY) . If the Resistance lines are broken , we can confirm the end of the main wave Y .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising after a re-correction from Cumulative Long Liquidations Leverage and reach the targets I have specified on the chart.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $102,883-$102,181
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $101,318-$100,748
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines.
Note: $105,500 is an important price for Bitcoin, and if Bitcoin can close the 4-hour candle above it, we can expect a break of the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin, Fast & Easy. $100,000 Support Holds +AltcoinsThe main support is not $100,000 but $102,000, so we make this a range. Yesterday, for the first time this range was tested and it holds easily... We are strongly bullish above $102,000 and Bitcoin is already trading above 103K.
This is really good news but we are not fully in the green yet. Bitcoin can continue sideways, consolidation, and only after closing above $106,000 we are looking for higher prices. Once $110,000 gets conquered, we can start talking about new all-time highs and sustained bullish growth. Meanwhile, the altcoins grow.
So we are not there yet but this is the best ever. For Cryptocurrency to thrive we need a strong Bitcoin and Bitcoin right now is very strong. Are you trading any altcoin? If you are, feel free to accumulate, load-up, buy and hold.
As for Bitcoin, here is a very easy trading approach:
While above $100,000, ALL-IN bullish confirmed.
If it goes below $100,000, stay out and wait to see what the market does. As soon as there is a support level created, we go LONG. If it goes below $100,000 just to recover the next day, we are again ALL-IN as soon as Bitcoin starts trading above 100K.
This process can be repeated many times but once Bitcoin takes off, buying below $110,000 is a major win because soon Bitcoin will be trading above $150,000. We have targets around $180,000 and even beyond $200,000 is possible this same year. Never forget the bigger picture.
The bigger picture is bullish for Bitcoin and the altcoins, the short-term can create confusion because the chart, market conditions, can change within hours.
But there can be a drop, a retrace or a market flush, but knowing that Bitcoin will be trading above $150,000 soon turns such an event into a non-event, it makes it into a simple hold.
The action on the side of the altcoins confirms that Bitcoin will continue to grow. Short, mid and long-term.
There is no retrace, there is no correction, only a small consolidation phase in anticipation of the next bullish wave. You already know this. If you didn't, now you know.
In 2025, Bitcoin will continue to grow. Just as it grew in 2023 and 2024.
We are entering bull market season. Bullish momentum will only start to gain force.
Namaste.
Bitcoin will continue to fall to support level in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. This chart shows how the price rebounded from the support line and started to grow. In a short time, it rose to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and it even soon broke this level. Next, the price rose a little and then continued to move up, but later corrected the support line. After this, BTC rebounded and rose to the seller zone, breaking the 108800 resistance level. Then it rose a little more and turned around, and started to decline inside the downward channel. In the channel, price soon broke the 108800 level and continued to fall next. Later, Bitcoin broke the support line and fell almost to the support line of the channel, after which it turned around and made an upward movement. After this movement, Bitcoin dropped to the 100300 support level, after which it turned around and, in a short time, rose to almost the resistance line of the channel. Price didn't reach this line, turned around, and continued to fall in the channel. In my mind, Bitcoin can continue to move down top support level inside the downward channel. That's why my TP is 100300 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin’s Final Wave & Time Reversal Zone _ New ATH Loading?Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the weekly time frame and answer these questions :
Can Bitcoin create a new All-time High(ATH) or not!?
At what price range can Bitcoin's uptrend end!?
When can we expect the uptrend to end!?
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin appears to have managed to break the Resistance lines , although we saw a fake break a few months ago , and it also appears to have a Hammer Candlestick Pattern in the previous weekly candle , which could signal the completion of Bitcoin's pullback to the Resistance lines(broken).
In terms of time , if we want to analyze the Bitcoin chart and look at Bitcoin's past, in general, the months of June(Average=-0.13%/Median=+2.20%) and especially July(Average=+7.56%/Median=+8.90%) have been among the most productive months for Bitcoin , and the months of August(Average=+1.75%/Median=-8.04%) and September(Average=-3.77%/Median=-4.35%) were the months when Bitcoin had a correction . Technical analysis tools show the end of the upward trend and the beginning of Bitcoin's correction at the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing the main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Bitcoin to trend higher(+10%) in the coming weeks and create a new ATH . New ATH could be created in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and TRZ , and then we can wait for the start of the main correction .
What do you think about Bitcoin’s future movement? Can Bitcoin create a new ATH? When and at what price?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
$META Short Swing - Fractal Repeat Play - Sub $600 Target@everyone 🔻 META Short Swing – Fractal Repeat Play 🔁
Entry Trigger: Week of June 10, 2025
Ticker: NASDAQ:META
Current Price: $697.71
Target Price: $593.66
Estimated Duration: ~3–4 weeks
Conviction: ★★★★★
🧠 Thesis:
This is a nearly perfect fractal repeat of META’s July 2024 top:
Identical weekly candle structure: topping wick into fib + supply zone
Weekly gap fill target lines up exactly again — same 15.5% drop
Wick gap fill = $593.66 (same confluence from 2024)
Bearish fib roadmap from 0.786 → 0.618 → 0.382
Volume and momentum exhausted on the run into $702
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry Range: $690–702 rejection zone
Stop Loss: Weekly close above $705
Primary Target: $593.66
This level completes the wick gap fill and matches 2024’s exact structure
Secondary Target (optional): $580.84 (full fib gap + demand retest)
🛠️ Options to Consider:
6/28 $650P or $640P – standard swing
7/5 $620P – for deeper move toward 0.382 and beyond
🔍 Setup Snapshot:
July 2024: -15.56% in 28 days
June 2025: Targeting -15.53% in 28 days
Same gap, same wick rejection, same fade roadmap
ETHEREUM is repeating BITCOIN's 2018-2021 Cycle!Ethereum (ETHUSD) has found itself on a very strong rally since the April 07 bottom, which resembles the V-shaped recovery of Bitcoin on the March 09 2020 bottom. In fact BTC's whole 2018 - 2021 Bull Cycle resembles ETH's 2022 - 2025 Cycle so far.
So far ETH is struggling to break above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but the most important Resistance of the Cycle is the ATH Lower Highs trend-line. When that broke for Bitcoin, a parabolic rally started. Do you think we will see such a break-out on ETH too by the end of the year?
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Support and resistance zone: 104463.74-106133.74
Hello traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
When a new candle is created, you should check if the HA-High indicator is created at the 99705.62 point.
The reason is that the HA-High indicator was created, which means that it has fallen from the high point range.
In other words, it also means that it can fall to around or below the 97705.62 point.
Since the current candle fell to around 99705.62 and then rose, it can rise like this when a new candle is created.
We have several indicators that can determine the high point.
Representative indicators include DOM (60), StochRSI 80, and HA-High.
Therefore, the high point range is 104463.99-104984.57 and 97705.62.
Therefore, in order to turn downward, it is likely to start when it falls below 104463.99-104984.57 and shows resistance, and it can be interpreted that the downtrend is confirmed when it falls below 97705.62.
If we think about it the other way around, if the price stays above 104463.99-104984.57, it will eventually create a new high.
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When we first study charts, we start to become curious about charts as we learn about price moving averages.
As such, when we look at charts, our understanding of charts changes depending on how well we understand the average value.
However, when we first learn about price moving averages in chart analysis, we start to study all sorts of different analysis techniques as we realize that there are ambiguous parts in conducting transactions.
As a result, chart analysis becomes more and more difficult, and we end up giving up on chart analysis.
If you have studied chart analysis in your own way without giving up on it, you will realize that it will eventually converge to the average.
No matter what indicator or analysis technique you use, you will eventually converge to the average and then diverge.
Therefore, we should try to analyze the chart using the easiest and most convenient method.
The reason is that chart analysis is ultimately just a means to create a trading strategy and has no other meaning.
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The basic trading strategy on my chart is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart and ultimately represent the average.
The HA-High indicator is the average value that represents the high point range, and the HA-Low indicator is the average value that represents the low point range.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises near the HA-Low indicator, it is a buying period, and if it is resisted and falls near the HA-High indicator, it is a selling period.
However, since it is an average, if it is supported and rises near the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it is resisted and falls near the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Because of this, we need to adopt a split trading method.
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The auxiliary indicator, StochRSI, is an indicator that moves based on the 50 point.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator value is below 50, we need to focus on finding a buying point, and when it is above 50, we need to focus on finding a selling point.
A decisive hint for this is when it enters the overbought or oversold zone.
The auxiliary indicator, OBV, is an indicator that adds up the difference in trading volume according to price.
If you divide the OBV indicator into High Line and Low Line and understand the movement of OBV, you can understand the movement of the price to some extent.
However, since not all indicators follow the price trend exactly, you should not try to judge everything with just one indicator.
If you express the OBV indicator in the form of an oscillator, it will look similar to the MACD oscillator.
As I mentioned earlier, this is because the chart eventually converges to the average value.
Using this characteristic, we combined the OBV indicator with a MACD-type oscillator.
If it is located below 0 based on the 0 point, it means that the selling pressure is high, and if it is located above 0, it means that the buying pressure is high.
No matter what indicator or analysis technique you study, you must have a solid basic understanding of the average value.
If not, no matter how good the indicator or analysis technique you learn, you will not be able to analyze it as you studied and create a trading strategy when you actually trade.
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(1D chart)
It is highly likely that the uptrend will resume if it rises above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90.
To do so, it is important to see if it can receive support and rise around 104463.99-106133.74.
If it fails to rise, it will eventually show a downward trend again.
If it meets the HA-High indicator and falls, it is likely to fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 89294.25 point, but as the price falls, the HA-Low indicator is likely to be newly created.
Therefore, we need to check if the HA-Low indicator is newly created when the price falls.
Since the OBV of the auxiliary indicator is located near the Low Line and the OBV oscillator is also located below the 0 point, we can see that the selling pressure is strong.
Therefore, we need to check whether the OBV rises above the High Line when it is supported near 104463.99-106133.74 or whether the OBV oscillator rises above the 0 point.
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I think that all indicators or analysis techniques are ultimately tools that confirm whether there is support at the support and resistance points or sections drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore, in order to use indicators or analysis techniques, it depends on how well you understand and draw the support and resistance points or sections according to the arrangement of the candles.
Therefore, you need to first check how reliable the support and resistance points you drew are and practice creating a trading strategy accordingly.
Ultimately, it can be seen that how well the support and resistance points are drawn depends on how well the chart analysis or trading strategy is made.
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If you look at the 1W chart and the 1D chart, you can see that the important volatility period is around June 22.
The volatility period of the 1W chart is from June 16 to 29.
The volatility period of the 1D chart is from June 10 to 14 and from June 21 to 23.
Therefore, when the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated at the 99705.62 point, it is important to maintain the price above 99705.62 after passing the volatility period of the 1W chart.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, we need to see if it can be supported and rise near 108316.90.
In summary, we can see that the important support and resistance range in the volatility period is 99705.62-108316.90.
Among these ranges, it is expected that the wave will start depending on whether the current price is supported in the 104463.99-106133.74 range.
In other words, the 104463.99-106133.74 range corresponds to the middle range of the 99705.62-108316.90 range, the average value.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin Approaches Resistance as Momentum Cools: What’s Next?Bitcoin has been on a strong upward trend 🚀, but recent moves show signs of exhaustion as it approaches major resistance zones 🛑. The appearance of a three-drive pattern on the 4-hour chart, suggests the market could be due for a healthy correction 🔄. While the broader trend remains bullish, I'm watching for a potential pullback and then looking for renewed strength (bullish BoS) before considering new long positions. Patience and confirmation are key in these conditions! 👀✨
BTC.D (Dominance at Critical Fibonacci Confluence) 2025 Weekly
**Summary:**
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is testing a major Fibonacci confluence near the 66% level. This zone historically acts as a major pivot and may signal either a continued dominance rally or a potential reversal setting the stage for altseason. We use three layered Fibonacci retracements to outline dominant trend zones, key resistances, and projected targets.
**Chart Context:**
This chart uses **three distinct Fibonacci retracements** to map the historical and projected behavior of BTC dominance:
1. **Primary Fib** (100% to 0%): Captures the macro move from BTC.D \~100% down to its 0% level at \~0%, which aligns with the first altseason (2018–2019).
2. **Secondary Fib** (100% to 38.88%): Maps the first bearish wave to identify potential recovery levels. BTC.D retraced up to the 61.8% (\~73.68%) but failed to break further.
3. **Third or the Current Fib** (73.68% to 38.88%): Maps the latest bearish fall in BTC.D. As of now, BTC.D is hovering at the 78.6% retracement level of this move, indicating heavy resistance.
**Key Technical Observations:**
* **1st TP (Resistance):** 66% — Strong Fibonacci confluence zone:
* Fib2 48.6% ≈ Fib3 78.6%
* Major reversal zone historically
* **2nd TP (Support):** 52.25% — Multi-Fib confluence:
* Fib1 48.6%, Fib2 61.8%, Fib3 38.2%
* **3rd TP (Ultimate Support):** 38.88% — Historical BTC.D bottom, aligned with the first altseason.
* Intermediate Fibonacci confluences between 48%–60% serve as layered support during decline phases.
**Indicators:**
* No external indicators used; pure multi-frame Fibonacci confluence.
* Price action structure and historical patterns highlight potential market rotation zones.
**Fundamental Context:**
The current phase of the market reflects increasing speculative activity in altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates. Historically, high BTC.D correlates with Bitcoin-led rallies, while a sharp drop often triggers altseason.
* Growing inflows into ETH, SOL, and possible now XRP, and mid-cap alts suggest capital rotation.
* If BTC.D faces rejection from 66%, the market could enter a new altseason phase.
* Macro tailwinds (e.g., easing monetary policy, risk-on sentiment) support altcoin performance in the medium term.
**Philosophical or Narrative View:**
BTC.D acts as a barometer of market risk preference. As confidence expands beyond Bitcoin, money flows into altcoins—like tributaries branching off the main river. The rejection from major confluences signals this psychological shift, marking phases of creative decentralization.
**Related Reference Charts:**
* TOTAL3 Fibonacci Setup (Altcoin market excluding BTC & ETH):
* TOTAL2 Correction Probabilities:
**Bias & Strategy Implication:**
* **Primary Bias:** Bearish rejection from 66% followed by correction to 52% and potentially 38.88%.
* **Alternative Scenario:** Brief breach above 66% before reversal.
* Traders may consider rotating into altcoin exposure if BTC.D confirms reversal at the confluence zone.
**Time Horizon:**
* Mid to Long Term (1–6 months outlook)
* Weekly timeframe tracking
**Notes & Disclaimers:**
* This analysis is for educational purposes. Market conditions may evolve rapidly.
* Use proper risk management when acting on dominance signals.
Hanzo / BTC 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Bullish Retest )🔥 BTC – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Retest : 107000
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
BTC Macro Cycle Outlook (Log Chart)Bitcoin continues to respect its logarithmic ascending channel that has defined every major bull and bear cycle since 2015. Each cycle top has historically aligned with the upper blue trendline, marked by sharp rejections (red arrows 🔴).
Currently, BTC is pushing within a steep short-term channel, mirroring previous parabolic phases. If the structure holds, we could see a final push toward the $300,000 zone, which aligns with the channel resistance — potentially marking the next cycle top.
📈 This chart captures the bigger picture — filtering out short-term noise and focusing on the rhythm of Bitcoin’s long-term cycles.
Do you think this cycle will end like the last two? Or are we in for something different?
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin is bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!!I currently expect the price to correct slightly, as indicated on the chart, and then pump by about 6% from the PRZ . This signal is reinforced by strong positive divergence and a wedge pattern. In summary, the PRZ is a solid entry point, derived from the confluence of touchlines and pivots. However, if the price ignores this zone and falls below it, my analysis will be invalidated.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
BITCOIN → Correction. The hunt for liquidity...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trend
Bitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself...
Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming.
Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback).
Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400
Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100K
After a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110K
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC 1H Reverse H&S Morning folks,
So, drop is done due to Trump-Musk conflict, although we haven't called to trade it. Anyway, current picture is much better and doesn't need a lot of comments. We have reverse H&S in progress, with potential area for entry around 102.5-103K where we expect the right arm should appear. Invalidation point is ~100K (bottom of the head).
Super high risk setup BTC with 60 R:RIt looks like BTC is about to close the weekly candle above 106K.
If the bulls are still in control, they need to act very soon. The 100K support level has been successfully retested, and now could be the time for a move upward.
📈 Trade Setup (Educational Purpose Only):
Entry: 106,040
Stop Loss: 105,431
Target: 144,000
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:60
This is a super high-risk setup, but the potential reward is significant. Proceed with caution and always do your own research.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After looking at this chart, we can see how the price traded inside a consolidation, where it reached a resistance level, which coincided with a resistance zone. Then it some time traded between the 108500 level and then dropped to the support level, thereby exiting from consolidation and breaking the 108500 level one more time. After this, BTC started to trade inside another consolidation, where it rebounded from the support level and rose to the top part of this range. Then it some time traded near this area and then dropped to the trend line, breaking the support level and exiting from the consolidation. But then BTC started to grow and rose to the 103100 level, broke it, and continued to grow. A not long time ago, it made a correction to the trend line and then bounced and continued to move up. So, I expect that BTCUSDDT will correct to the trend line and then rise to the resistance level and break it. Then, I thought that Bitcoin might continue to move up next; therefore, I set my goal at 110000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin - Bitcoin holds $100,000 support?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its short-term descending channel. We can look for Bitcoin short positions from the supply zone. If this corrective move occurs, we can also look for Bitcoin long positions in the demand zone.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Bitcoin network transaction activity has dropped to its lowest level since October 2023. According to data from The Block, the seven-day moving average of Bitcoin transactions has recently declined to 317,000—marking the lowest point in the past 19 months. This decline comes at a time when Bitcoin’s price still hovers near its all-time highs.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin Core developers have recently stated that network nodes should not block the relay of low-fee or non-standard transactions if miners are willing to process them. This highlights a shift in Bitcoin’s policy direction and indicates a growing acceptance among some miners of lower-cost transactions.
In certain instances, miners’ appetite for transaction fees appears to have diminished. Mononaut, founder of the Mempool project, pointed out that a transaction with an almost-zero fee was recently included in a block. This could signal reduced network activity or a declining need among miners to prioritize high-fee transactions.
Currently, only 0.3% of American investors’ total assets are allocated to Bitcoin. Real estate dominates their portfolios, followed by bonds and stocks.This means that Bitcoin accounts for a very small portion of U.S. investor wealth. However, if even a small fraction of capital currently tied up in real estate, stocks, or bonds shifts into Bitcoin in the future, it could have a substantial market impact—an encouraging sign over the long term.
The United States has emerged as the dominant force in the Bitcoin ecosystem. A report by River outlines how this dominance has reached its peak. The U.S. holds nearly 40% of the total Bitcoin supply, and American companies account for a staggering 94.8% of public Bitcoin ownership. Additionally, 82% of development funding and approximately 79.2% of Bitcoin ETF ownership originate from the U.S. The country also commands about 36% of the global hash rate.
Since 2021, the total value of Bitcoin mined by American companies has reached $42.6 billion, accompanied by over $30 billion in investment into Bitcoin mining infrastructure. The U.S. now hosts more than 150 Bitcoin-related companies and 40 mining sites with capacities exceeding 10 megawatts.
Today, nearly two-thirds of all Bitcoin in circulation is held by individuals who rarely—or never—sell their coins. In just the last 30 days, roughly 180,000 Bitcoins have been moved to wallets with historically low selling activity. Meanwhile, whales continue to accumulate Bitcoin at price levels above $100,000.
BTC: Decision Time Ahead! A Quick Update!!Hey Traders!
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Bitcoin is once again testing the descending trendline resistance on the 4H chart.
We're currently at a make-or-break level:
A clear breakout above the trendline could trigger a bullish move toward $110K+
A rejection here might push BTC back to the $100K–$98K support zone
📍The green zone remains key — last time, it held as strong support.
But without a breakout above $106.5K, bulls are on the defensive.
Watch price action closely here — the next big move could start from this very point.
What’s your take? Bullish breakout or another dump loading?
Bitcoin — Breakout or Bull Trap? SFP Setup ExplainedAfter a clean drop that nearly tagged the psychological $100K level, Bitcoin printed a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) — sweeping the lows and snapping back with strength. That bounce wasn’t just a reaction — it was a liquidity reclaim.
Now, price structure is shaping into a potential Inverted Head & Shoulders — a classic reversal pattern often forming before a bullish continuation.
🔍 Key Level to Watch:
$106,694.63 — This recent key high was just taken out. If we see rejection here (SFP), it could set up a high-probability low-risk short opportunity.
🎯 Short Trade Idea (Only on SFP confirmation):
Entry: After price sweeps $106,694.63 and shows rejection
Stop-Loss: Above wick high (e.g., ~$107.4K)
TP Zones: $103.5K and $101.7K
R:R: ~1:7
✅ Cleaner setup with confluence from structure and liquidity — high probability if confirmed.
📚 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Work So Well
SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the most powerful setups in trading because they:
Trap breakout traders
Sweep liquidity and reverse quickly
Offer clear invalidation (wick high/low)
Allow for tight stop-loss and high R:R setups
Using SFPs in conjunction with key highs/lows, volume, and structure dramatically increases your edge.
📈 Why Order Flow Is Crucial for SFPs
1. See the Trap Form in Real Time
SFPs are essentially traps — price sweeps a key level, sucks in breakout traders, and then reverses. Order flow tools let you see this happen:
A spike in market buys above resistance
Followed by a lack of follow-through (no new buyers)
And then an aggressive absorption or reversal (selling pressure hits)
Without order flow, this is all hidden in the candles.
2. Confirm Liquidity Sweeps with Delta & CVD
Watch for a delta spike or Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) divergence — a clear sign that aggressive buyers are getting absorbed.
This gives you confirmation that the sweep failed, not just a random wick.
3. Tight Entries with Confidence
When you see actual trapped volume or liquidation clusters at the SFP level, you can enter tighter with conviction — because you're not guessing, you’re reacting to actual intent and failure in the market.
4. Early Warning System for Reversal or Continuation
If the SFP fails to trigger a reversal (e.g. buyers step back in with strength), you’ll see it early in the flow — and can quickly reassess.
🧠 Bottom Line:
Order flow lets you stop guessing and start seeing the actual fight between buyers and sellers. Combine it with SFPs, and you're not just trading price — you're trading intent. That edge is huge.
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