BITCOIN → Consolidation and compression to 116K. Correction?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P continues to consolidate, with the price testing support at 116K, leaving behind the zone of interest at 120K-121K. Are there any chances for further growth?
(Alternative scenario (if growth to 120K does not occur))
Fundamentally, there is nothing particularly new, and the hype surrounding Bitcoin is stagnating. Technically, on D1, consolidation is underway with pressure from bears against the backdrop of an outflow of funds into altcoins. However, the dominance index is starting to rise, which could trigger some correction in the market. The price on the working timeframe, without updating local highs, is testing lows, and the latest retest of the liquidity zone is provoking a fairly aggressive reaction that could bring the price to retest the zone of interest at 120K-121K.
But! If the price is squeezed between 116K and 0.5 Fib with a gradual squeeze towards support, the chances of a breakdown and a premature fall will increase.
Support levels: 116370, 115860
Resistance levels: 119650, 120100
Technically, the market needs a breather or correction, which is generally a sign of health. The nuance with Bitcoin is that below 115860 there is no support until 112K, and if the market breaks the current consolidation boundary, the further correction could be quite deep. In the current situation, I do not yet see any drivers or reasons for another rally.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Btc-e
BITCOIN Isn't even overbought yet!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been rising strongly within a structured Channel Up pattern but even this consistent and steady uptrend since the April 07 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) hasn't been enough to touch the Pi Cycle's overbought trend-line (red).
Throughout BTC's historic Cycles, all Tops have been priced after the overbought level was breached, which currently sits around $180000 (and rising). Given that the 4-year Cycle Theory won't change, even a repeat of the 'weaker' +136.49% last rally of the previous Cycle (Jun-Nov 2021), would take us to $180k exactly but still will be below the overbought trend-line. This just shows the immense upside potential of the market even at the current stages.
So do you think we will get that kind of rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Powell’s Comments Could Decide BTC’s Fate: New ATH or Rejection!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has attacked the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) several times over the past week but failed to break through, meaning that buyers are still hoping for a BTC increase or even a new All-Time High(ATH) .
Bitcoin has reached a Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) again and is trying to break the upper lines of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . The Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($117,255-$116,675) is important and includes high sell orders , so if Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and the Resistance lines with high momentum , we can hope for a continuation of the upward trend.
Whether or not the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and the Resistance lines break could depend on the tone of Jerome Powell’s speech today .
Jerome Powell will speak at the opening of the “ Integrated Review of the Capital Framework for Large Banks ” — the final major appearance before the Federal Reserve enters its pre-meeting blackout period.
Market Expectations:
The speech is officially about regulatory frameworks (like Basel III), but traders are watching closely for any hints regarding interest rate policy. Even indirect comments could move risk assets like BTC.
Rate Cut Signals?
With political pressure mounting (including criticism from Trump ) and markets pricing in a potential cut later this year, Powell may adopt a cautious, data-dependent tone emphasizing flexibility in decision-making.
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In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the wave structure of the main wave 4 correction is over. The main wave 4 has a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , so that the microwave B of the main wave 4 has a Double Three Correction(WXY) . Of course, the breakdown of the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and Resistance lines can confirm the end of the main wave 4 .
Also, there is a possibility that the 5th wave will be a truncated wave because the momentum of the main wave 3 is high , and Bitcoin may NOT create a new ATH and the main wave 5 will complete below the main wave 3.
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($121,000-$120,070) AFTER breaking the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and Resistance lines .
Second Target: $121,620
Third Target: $123,820
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $117,450
CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,429-$116,878
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,053-$115,411
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Technical Setup: Support Holds, Wave 5 in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) filled the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675) and started to rise, as I expected in my previous idea .
Bitcoin is currently trying to break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) . In the last week's movement, the price of $118,000 can be considered as one of the most important numbers for Bitcoin , with a lot of trading volume around this price.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave 4 near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and Support lines . The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) (so far). There is a possibility that the 5th wave will be a truncated wave because the momentum of the main wave 3 is high and Bitcoin may NOT create a new ATH and the main wave 5 will complete below the main wave 3.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($118,277-$118,033) , break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and reach the targets I have marked on the chart.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $116,960
CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $121,502-$121,134
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,612-$119,783
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,810-$115,522
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN FINAL WARNING BEFORE HUGE MOVE!!! (urgent) Yello Paradisers! I am Sharing with you my idea about #Bitcoin of what's going on with Bitcoin right now: be very careful because the Fear and Greed Index, a special one, is at "Greed". We are seeing funding rates, the accumulated funding rates, as extremely positive. We are seeing bearish patterns forming.
In this video, I'm describing the confirmations we are waiting for that will confirm that Bitcoin is about to make a huge movement. Make sure that you are trading with professional trading strategies and that you are waiting for confirmations before any trade execution. Also, make sure that you have tight risk management because only the best, most professional traders will win long-term in this game.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
AVAX Long Swing Setup – Waiting for Support RetestAVAX has been rallying for two straight weeks, showing strong momentum. We’re watching for a healthy pullback into the $22.50–$24.00 support zone to position for continuation. If this zone holds, the risk/reward setup favors bulls with clear upside targets.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $22.50 – $24.00
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $27 – $29
o 🥈 $33 – $35
o 🥉 $40 – $44
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $20.50
HelenP. I Bitcoin will rebound from trend line and rise to $123KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see a very clear and long-term bullish structure. The entire uptrend is supported by a major ascending trend line that has acted as a reliable foundation for the price for a significant amount of time. Currently, the price is consolidating above this crucial trend line and is interacting with the key support zone between 117500 and 116700 points. I believe that the most probable scenario here is a brief corrective move downwards for the price to properly retest the main ascending trend line. This type of retest is often a healthy sign in a strong trend, as it allows for the confirmation of support and gathers momentum for the next leg up. A strong rebound from this trend line would serve as a powerful signal that the buyers are still in control. Therefore, once the price confirms its bounce from this dynamic support, the path should be clear for a continuation of the uptrend. For this reason, my primary goal for this trade idea is set at the 123000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin- 175-200k by year's endEvery major Bitcoin move over the last decade — whether a jaw-dropping bull run or a brutal crash — has shared one silent macro trigger.
It’s not the halving.
It’s not ETF hype.
It’s not Twitter sentiment or TikTok FOMO.
👉 It’s global liquidity.
And right now, this powerful force is expanding fast — the same setup that previously drove Bitcoin from $5K to $70K in under a year.
But here’s the twist: as of today, Bitcoin is already trading near $120,000, not $20K or 30k.
That means the engine is already roaring — and if this macro thesis holds, the next stop might just be $175,000-200.000 by year's end.
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🧠 What Is Global Liquidity, Really?
Global liquidity = the total money sloshing around the financial system.
It’s often measured through M2 money supply, combining:
• Cash
• Checking/savings deposits
• Easily accessible liquid assets
The most comprehensive view comes from Global M2, which aggregates liquidity from 20 of the world’s largest central banks.
Right now, Global M2 is not just rising — it’s breaking to all-time highs.
And if history repeats itself, Bitcoin tends to follow this wave closely.
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📅 Past Performance: Bitcoin and Liquidity Walk Hand in Hand
Let’s break it down:
• 2016–2017: Liquidity surges → BTC +5,000%
• 2020–2021: Post-COVID easing → BTC $5K to $69K
• 2018 & 2022: Liquidity dries up → BTC crashes ~70%
It’s a recurring pattern:
Liquidity drives the crypto cycle.
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💡 Why Liquidity Moves: Interest Rates and Central Banks
Central banks control the tap.
• 🟢 Cut rates → Easier credit → More lending → More liquidity
• 🔴 Raise rates → Tighter credit → Less spending → Liquidity contraction
In 2022, the Fed tightened hard.
🧊 U.S. money supply shrank.
📉 Bitcoin fell from $70K to $15K.
But starting August 2023, the Fed paused, then pivoted.
Since then:
• 🟢 The U.S. M2 supply rebounded
• 🟢 Global M2 began expanding again
• 🟢 Over 64 global rate cuts were made in just six months — one of the fastest global easing cycles in history
The last time we saw this much cutting? 2020.
And we all know what happened to Bitcoin then.
U.S M2
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🟢 Today’s Setup: The Engine Is Already Running
Fast forward to mid-July 2025:
Bitcoin is no longer at $30K — it’s already testing $120K.
Intraday highs have touched $123K, with a current consolidation zone between $117K–$120K.
This isn’t a "recovery rally" — we’re already in price discovery territory.
The question now becomes:
Is $150K and above next… or are we topping out?
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📈 Charting the Path: Bitcoin vs Global M2
When we overlay Bitcoin price over global liquidity trends, one thing becomes crystal clear:
📊 Bitcoin tracks liquidity direction.
• When money supply expands, Bitcoin rallies.
• When money dries up, Bitcoin tanks.
Given that global M2 is at record highs, and liquidity conditions are easing globally, the chart suggests there’s still plenty of fuel in the tank.
And if we follow the same growth, Bitcoin could realistically reach $175,000 before 2026 kicks in.
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Technically:
As we can clearly see from the posted weekly chart, you don’t need to be an expert to recognize the strength of the current uptrend.
While last week printed a small bearish Pin Bar, this alone shouldn’t raise major concerns — especially considering the presence of multiple key support levels, starting from the 110K zone.
In the context of a strong and well-established trend, such candles often reflect normal short-term profit-taking, not a reversal.
🎯 Conclusion – Don’t Fight the Tide
This isn’t about hopium.
It’s not moon talk.
It’s about macro flows and monetary velocity.
Ignore the noise.
Watch what the central banks are doing.
Because Bitcoin moves not on wishful thinking, but on waves of liquidity — and the tide right now is rising fast.
Whether $175K comes by year-end, one thing is clear:
We are in the middle of a liquidity-driven expansion phase, and Bitcoin is already responding.
Stay focused, manage your risk, and don’t chase — ride the wave. 🌊
BITCOIN Accumulation Phase almost completed. Higher from here?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is making a strong rebound on the bottom of its 1-month Channel Up and this analysis is in direct response to the one we published last week (July 15, see chart below), where we called this one-week consolidation:
We won't be going into too much detail then, as you can see the price made the Accumulation 2 Phase, after an identical +25.9% Bullish Leg, same as April's and by breaking below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it hit the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.
As per the May 05 fractal hit, as long as the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) supports this Channel Up, the market should start Bullish Leg 3 towards Accumulation Phase 3 and eventually peak at around +43% from its start at $140000.
Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated in the exact same order? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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The Oracle Singularity: CHAINLINK is Inevitable or Cooked?How many marines are tracking this ascending channel?
How many are watching this Fibonacci time sequence unfold?
How many are following the mirrored bar fractal that might just be a crystal ball into the future?
Today you get all three in one TA. The value here is absurdly high . Even though I offloaded most of my LINK a while back it continues to act like a compass for future macro crypto moves.
You really need to look at the TA to understand what I mean
Now look at this
The deviation in the LINK bar pattern seems to be reaching its conclusion around mid October 2025 and if you’ve seen my last Bitcoin TA you know I’ve been targeting that same mid October 2025 window for a potential BTC top. That’s a serious timeline confluence.
But here's the twist
The main chart projects a $200 LINK by April 2026. If that plays out then I have to entertain the possibility that this cycle extends past my original thesis and that my Bitcoin top call may come in earlier than Chainlink's final move.
If Bitcoin does in fact top in mid October then LINK likely won’t have the legs to hit those upper targets.
Back in 2021 when LINK was trading at a similar price it only took 119 days to reach $50 that would put us at November 2025 for a repeat. Something doesn’t quite add up
Now check the main chart again
This Fibonacci time sequence is liquid gold. It’s nailed major tops and bottoms for years (see the blue circles). Every major move has hit right on time except for the 3.618 in October 2022 which was a rare miss.
But here's the kicker
There’s no Fib time event between October and December 2025. The next ones are in August 2025 and then April 2026
So is LINK trying to tell us the cycle extends into 2026?
Maybe. All I’ll say is this
If the cycle doesn’t extend into 2026 then LINK IS COOKED
LTC Litecoin Short Term Pull Back Quick and SharpI believe Litecoin Is topping out on the 2 hour. Looks like we may come back down and tap support at around 104 but I wouldn't be surprised a wick hits 100. I have buy orders around 103-106. I am not super confident on a deeper pullback so thats why my buys are there is so i don't miss the dip. Id rather make a little less money than miss a buy in trying to nail the bottom. Litecoin is starting its breakout from a 7 year consolidation and accumulation phase. This should be pretty massive. Litecoin is going to benefit considerably from these new bills that are being signed and many of the favorites in the top 100 will soon disappear!
The time for Litecoin to shine as I have been talking about for years is now. I am almost certain that this is that time. My predictions all still hold if you would like to go read them. I was just off on timing. Timing is the hardest thing to predict especially with how wild this planet has been lately. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
BITCOIN → Consolidation, retest of 120K. Correction of dominanceBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after a rapid rally and touching 123K, rolled back and entered consolidation, giving altcoins a chance. At the same time, Trump signed new crypto laws, but will these laws open new doors?
On June 18, the GENIUS Act was signed. Information can be found in the sources, but there is no direct reference to BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P , except perhaps indirectly: increased confidence in the crypto market, increased liquidity, possible new rules, and pressure on decentralized assets. Bitcoin has not always grown on positive news; more often it has been a deep pullback and liquidation before the momentum.
Technically, Bitcoin is currently consolidating, and I would highlight several key areas: the upper range is 120K-120.9K. The zone between these levels is particularly important, as this is where buyers were previously liquidated and sellers gathered (liquidation is possible).
The bottom is 117K (confirmed) - 116.2K. There is a liquidity pool on the support side.
additional scenario if the market does not reach resistance and decides to form a long squeeze before growth
Theoretically, I am not yet expecting a breakout and growth of Bitcoin. I think that consolidation may continue for some time, especially against the backdrop of a pullback in altcoins and a deep correction in the dominance index.
Resistance levels: 120100, 120850
Support levels: 117000, 116230
Since the opening of the session, the price has been working off the liquidity capture from 117K. There is a reaction - growth, which could bring the price to the zone of interest at 120K. But the question is: will the price hold in the 120K zone? A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction to 117-116K. Thus, I expect the market to remain in consolidation for some time or even expand the current trading range...
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC/USDT – Bullish Pennant Setting Up for the Next Leg!Bitcoin is currently forming a bullish pennant — a classic continuation pattern — right after a strong 14% impulse move. This type of structure often leads to a breakout followed by another powerful rally. And it’s coiling up nicely.
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
🟢 Bullish pennant formation in progress
🔽 Support zone: $115.5K – $116.5K
📏 Flagpole projection targets $135K+ on breakout
⚠️ Currently consolidating with lower volatility — breakout could be near
🔍 What to Watch For:
Clean breakout above pennant = breakout confirmation
Daily close below $115K = invalidation zone
Volume spike will likely signal the next move
📢 Final Take:
BTC is showing healthy consolidation after a strong move, and this pennant could launch us toward $135K and beyond. Keep your eyes on the breakout and manage risk wisely.
💬 Share your thoughts below & smash that ❤️ if you’re watching this move!
THETA Long Swing Setup – Accumulation Phase Near BreakoutTHETA is still consolidating in a range, but momentum is quietly building. A break above $1.07 followed by a higher low would confirm structural reversal. We’re eyeing the $0.95–$1.00 zone for a clean entry on retest, offering solid risk-reward if support holds.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.95 – $1.00
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $1.60 – $1.70
o 🥈 $2.10 – $2.20
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.90
#BTC Update #9 – July 22, 2025#BTC Update #9 – July 22, 2025
As previously noted, Bitcoin is currently trading within both a horizontal range (box) and a tightening triangle formation. Although there was a drop last night, price didn’t pierce the lower boundary of the box and is now showing an upward reaction.
As long as BTC holds above this box, there’s no major risk. Bitcoin has already completed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement from its previous impulsive move. If that correction is sufficient, the next upside target is $127,900.
However, one key point to watch: Bitcoin failed to break its previous high in its last three attempts — a clear sign of price compression and market indecision.
📌 No need to rush into Long or Short positions. It’s best to wait for a confirmed breakout before acting, as premature entries could carry elevated risk.
HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE 2.0HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE ⚡️
Usually, a 3% move doesn’t make anyone blink—but this one? It sent BTC into all-time high territory. I almost popped the champagne… until I remembered I’m in a short.
Not because I don’t believe in upside—but because my add zone in the HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE hasn’t been tagged. Yet.
Here’s the breakdown 🧵👇
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Before anyone goes bUCK wilD and cracks open that dusty bottle of Veuve, double-check something:
📅 The July 10th daily candle needs to close above the monthly swing high (orange line).
If BTC bulls lock that in, then a move deeper into the HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE becomes real...
play-the-game real…
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Where’s this HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE coming from?
🔻 Solid red line – a trendline from Dec 2024 that has held strong through three separate tests — marking it as a key line on the sand.
🔻 Dashed red line – goes all the way back to Dec 2017. A seasoned veteran of resistance.
I also drew in a white ascending channel—not just for looks. If BTC breaks out, this channel will help us ask:
“How high is too high?”
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Now enters Fibonacci — where nature maps out key alignments on the chart. 🌱
🟡 Gold lines = Fib golden ratios
🔵 Teal lines = Fib Degen Ratios
It’s wild how they just line up:
• 2.618? Right on the top of the channel.
• 1.618? Sitting on the 2017 trendline.
• 0.618? Near current support + bottom of the channel.
Also had to draw that horizontal support white line to keep an eye on.
A Bounce or bust? Ask the bUCKmOON!