BTC SHORT TP:102,200 18-06-2025Let’s keep it simple: this pump looks fake.
I’m entering SHORT between 104,550 and 105,500, aiming for a target between 101,300 and 102,300. Average RR: 3.4 — solid and clean.
⏱️ Timeframe: 2H
⏳ Estimated duration: 12 to 24 hours
⚠️ Context: Bearish continuation — let’s ride the wave, not the noise.
Use your stop-loss based on your risk strategy. If price doesn’t move within the expected time, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
Btc-e
BITCOIN This is the long-term picture. Don't get distracted.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating lately after making a new All Time High (ATH) last month and this is already making part of the market nervous over whether that's the Cycle Top or not.
This is one of those times when it would be best to ignore the short-term noise/ volatility and stick to the long-term picture. And that's exactly what's shown on this chart, with BTC on the 1M time-frame showing the incredible symmetry among its 4-year Cycles, with Bear Markets lasting 12 - 13 months and Bull Markets 35.
Based on that, this Cycle's Top is expected to be priced by October (2025). This also matches the Sine Waves as implied by the 1M RSI, which as been trading within a Channel Down (diminishing returns) since Bitcoin's inception.
So do you also think that we have around 4 months before the market tops? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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CHFJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCHFJPY has continued to play out exactly as forecasted, breaking out cleanly from the descending channel on the 3D timeframe and rallying strongly above key structure. Price is currently trading around 178.00, already delivering solid upside from the breakout zone. The bullish breakout was confirmed by consecutive impulsive candles with minimal retracement, a clear sign of institutional strength behind this move. As long as this momentum holds, the next major target is 182.00 – a psychological level and previous structure high, now acting as a magnetic zone for price.
On the fundamental side, the Swiss Franc continues to enjoy safe-haven flows as global macro uncertainty persists. The Swiss National Bank has maintained a relatively tight stance, with inflation staying stable and CHF demand picking up. On the flip side, the Japanese Yen remains broadly weak due to ultra-loose monetary policy from the Bank of Japan. BOJ’s reluctance to shift away from yield curve control and negative interest rates makes JPY one of the most attractive funding currencies, driving consistent CHFJPY upside.
Technically, this move is supported by a textbook breakout from a falling wedge pattern, which historically has a high probability of bullish continuation. The volume and momentum on the breakout were strong, and we have a clean higher high and higher low structure forming. This confirms the end of the correction phase and a transition into a trending bullish cycle. With the current risk sentiment leaning toward CHF strength and JPY weakness, I’m confident in further upside toward my 182.000 target.
I’ll continue to trail stops below 174.00 to lock in profit while giving the trade room to breathe. If price consolidates near 179.50–180.00 with low volume, I may look for re-entry setups on pullbacks. As of now, CHFJPY remains one of the strongest trending pairs on the board, and I’ll stay long as long as the structure holds.
$COIN 30% Pullback Confirms if we Fakeout Recent 15%+ Rally 🧨 COIN SHORT TRADE IDEA — FAKEOUT TRAP IN PLAY
Ticker: NASDAQ:COIN
Date: June 20, 2025
Thesis: Breakout trap setup — expecting a rug pull / red reversal tomorrow to confirm.
🔍 Context
Price broke above range today with a big +18.8% candle to $295 — but...
Volume spike may signal exhaustion, not strength.
RSI = 68 → near overbought
MACD curling into a bearish cross — same signal preceded the last -30% and -40% drawdowns.
History: Same range-break setups in Dec and Feb collapsed hard (-30 to -40%) over 16–25 days.
💣 Trade Plan (Short Setup)
Entry Trigger:
🔻 Enter short if price closes below $277 tomorrow — confirms breakout trap.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $253 (top of old range)
🎯 Target 2: $235 (mid-range support)
🎯 Target 3: $208 (full breakdown move, matches last 2 cycles)
Stop Loss:
🛑 Above $297 (breakout highs)
Timeframe:
1–3 weeks (16–26 bars historically)
🧠 Bias
Bearish unless bulls hold $280+. If we get a big red daily candle tomorrow, fakeout confirmed — high-probability follow-through expected.
NXPCUSDT → The coin is being killed. Searching for a new bottomNXPCUSDT is testing the bottom at 1.1675 while Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies are in a global/local bullish trend...
NXPCUSDT is showing its weakness in the cryptocurrency market. There is no potential or driver for the coin, and it continues to be killed... Against the backdrop of a growing market and Bitcoin forming a bullish trend, the NXPC coin is testing the bottom...
After a strong and long-term decline, the NXPC coin is forming a flat (consolidation) in the range of 1.5637 - 1.1675. A pre-breakdown base is forming relative to support, which could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation downwards...
Resistance levels: 1.2532
Support levels: 1.1675
Focus on support for the range and bottom in the current coin at 1.1675. This is a risk zone and a panic zone. If the price breaks out of this consolidation, there are no obstacles below and the fall could be aggressive. A breakout of the consolidation support could trigger a continuation of the rally or a decline with the aim of forming a new bottom...
Best regards, R. Linda!
The Importance of the 104463.99 Point
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is around June 22nd (June 21-23rd).
Therefore, waves can be generated at any time during the volatility period.
The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point of the 1W chart.
Therefore, it seems that the price defense is being done well.
I think that defending the price at the high point is significant because it raises expectations for further increase.
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If it falls after a period of volatility, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, and I think the important point at that time is the 99705.62 point.
Therefore, when it falls, you need to check whether the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises to around 99705.62 and whether it is supported.
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Even if it rises after receiving support near 104463.99, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 108316.90.
The 108316.90 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart, which corresponds to the middle value of the high point range.
Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend, it must be supported and rise in the 108316.90-111696.21 range.
Currently, both the Low Line and High Line of the auxiliary indicator OBV are showing a downward trend.
Therefore, in order for the uptrend to begin, OBV must rise above the High Line and be maintained.
If not, it is highly likely that it will fall due to selling pressure.
One hopeful(?) thing is that the PVT oscillator is showing an overall upward trend.
(Changed from OBV oscillator to PVT oscillator.)
Therefore, we can see how important the area around 104463.99 is playing a role of support and resistance.
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In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it is virtually impossible to create a trading strategy at the current price level.
In such cases, you should conduct trading through day trading or quick response.
If not, you may experience a lot of psychological fear and anxiety.
The basic time frame chart of all indicators is the 1D chart.
Therefore, if you cannot read the flow of the 1D chart, you are likely to end up getting faked and suffer losses.
Therefore, you should read the flow of the 1D chart and create a big picture of how to create a trading strategy, and respond in detail on the time frame chart below the 1D chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin Short-Term 1H Timeframe, Next Target ConfirmedWe have two drops on this chart. The one of the left is more extended and long lasting compared to the one on the right. When a move is sudden with major force, it tends to end suddenly as well.
The recent drop was very steep and the force needed to keep pushing prices lower cannot be maintained, it requires too much energy; for this reason, a higher low is in place and the bulls win the game.
The action is happening above the blue line and space on the chart, this is the 0.618 Fib. retracement support. This is the most important level and so far it holds. Prices went below just to recover. Can be called a failed signal or a bear-trap, whichever you choose, the action is bullish above this level and bearish below.
Bitcoin's main support stands around $102,663, this level was not challenged. Since bears failed to push prices lower, the next logical move is a challenge of higher resistance. And the same pattern repeats, up and down, up and down... This is the short-term noise. When all is set and done, Bitcoin will resolve going up.
Patience is key.
Thank you for reading.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC – 15min Reversal Structure & Fibonacci ReclaimWe’re currently witnessing a potential short-term reversal on BTC’s lower timeframe after a volume-supported breakdown and sweep of local lows.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price swept liquidity at local lows (~103,929.27)
Entered into a clear reaccumulation box with responsive buyers
Volume profile shows prior POC just above – room for fill
Fibonacci retracement aligns with key structure:
0.5 = 104,372.94
0.618 = 104,268.23
1.0 = 104,816.60 (final high target for this impulse)
📈 Potential Play:
Entry Zone: Just above the sweep candle (104,100–104,200)
Target 1: 0.382 at 104,477
Target 2: 104,816.60
Invalidation: Close below 103,926
🧠 Mindset:
This is a classic liquidity sweep → reaction → reclaim pattern. If BTC flips the 0.5 level with strong momentum, a short squeeze toward the 104.8K area becomes likely.
Great opportunity for scalpers or day traders.
Let me know if you want this turned into a long-form breakdown or sent in another format.
BTCUSD: Israel-Iran conflict like October 2024.Despite the Middle East tension, Bitcoin remains long term bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 63.167, MACD = 6883.200, ADX = 33.150). It remains supported on its 1D MA50, in fact in the same manner it was during the previous Israel-Iran conflict. I was on October 26th 2024, when Israel launched three waves of strikes against 20 locations in Iran and other locations in Iraq, and Syria. Simila to the June 13th 2025 attacks. It is more than striking how similar the two price patterns are. Assisted by the U.S. elections on November 5th 2024, a massive rally followed the Middle East conflict. A repeat of that may very well send Bitcoin to $150,000 and above.
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BTC Approaching Key Confluence Zone: Pivot + PRZ + LiquidationsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) appears to have broken the Support lines and is currently declining .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a corrective wave C . The corrective wave structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the Support zone($104,380-$103,660) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,471-$103,124) , Monthly Pivot Point , Support line , and 50_SMA(Daily) , and the small CME Gap($106,190-$106,150) will also fill.
Note: Stop Loss: $102,520
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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SUPER Long Setup – Confluence of Fibonacci and Major SupportSUPER has retraced into a strong confluence zone, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and a major support area. The $0.55–$0.58 range offers a solid opportunity to enter a long swing trade.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.55 – $0.58
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.75 – $0.90
o 🥈 $1.05 – $1.20
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.50
₿itcoin: Holding steadySince our last update, Bitcoin has traded in a relatively stable range. As expected, there's still a strong case for the crypto leader to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. However, a deeper pullback below the $100,000 mark remains a real possibility before that move unfolds. Regardless of the path it takes, we continue to expect Bitcoin to reach this upper zone, completing green wave B. From there, a corrective wave C—also in green—is likely to follow, driving the price down toward the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This move would mark the end of the broader orange wave a. For now, we’re watching for a potential b-wave recovery before the final leg lower toward the bottom of blue wave (ii) takes shape. That said, there's still a 30% chance that blue wave (i) isn’t done yet and could extend significantly above $130,891 before any meaningful correction begins.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Ascending Inverse H&S on the BTC weekly chartThe longer it takes to break above this neckline the higher the breakout target will be. I have arbitrarily placed the measured move line at July 18th 2025. If the breakout were to happen on that day the measured move target is around 208k, which could take quite awhile to reach or if we entered a truly hyperparabolic blow off top we could reach such a target way quicker than when the dotted measured move line reaches it. *not financial advice*
BITCOIN All boxes checked. Couldn't be more bullish than this!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has filled numerous bullish conditions with the latest being holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. This is basically the 3rd time testing and holding it since June 05. Even if that doesn't hold, we have the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) directly below it as the ultimate long-term Support.
This trend-line just so happens to be exactly on the neckline of the Right Shoulder on the long-term Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that has been in development since December 17 2024.
On top of all these, the market also formed a 1D Golden Cross a month ago, always a strong long-term bullish signal. IH&S patterns typically target their 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which sits at $168000.
Is that another indication that Bitcoin is going after 150k at least on its next run? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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99K and 97.5K potential targetsMorning folks,
As you can see, not occasionally last time we chose only nearest 107K and 109K targets. Market indeed looks a bit heavy. Now short-term context turns bearish and we consider reaching of 99K target as rather high. Next potential target area is 97.K - butterfly target and daily Fib support.
Obviously now we do not consider any new longs and need some clear signs of sentiment changing, that we do not have by far. Let's see what will happen around support area
BVOL: Volatility Compression Before the Final ExpansionThis chart might not get as much attention as BTC dominance or TOTAL, but Bitcoin volatility (BVOL) is one of the cleanest leading indicators when it comes to identifying market tops and bottoms.
Just look at the history — every major macro top or bottom in BTC price has correlated with a peak or trough in this chart. Whether it was the ATH in March 2024, the October 2024 breakout, or the deep pullbacks into key lows, BVOL has nailed the timing with precision.
Right now, we’re seeing volatility compressing hard — currently sitting around 13.17 — and heading into my targeted demand zone which has historically marked major inflection points.
🧠 What does this mean?
Volatility this low = market indecision + positioning. It’s when liquidity gets sucked dry before a major expansion move.
My expectation is:
- BVOL will soon hit demand and reverse
- BTC will complete its current correction
- Once volatility expands again, it likely aligns with a reversal and move into new ATHs — the final bullish phase of this cycle
Just like in past cycles, low volatility precedes explosive directional moves. This current compression is setting the stage — once the lid comes off, the move is usually fast and decisive.
⚠️ Watch this closely. BTC correcting into demand + BVOL hitting this low = confluence for the next trending leg.
Big picture context:
We’re deep into the 4-year cycle structure, with a macro top expected into Q3/Q4 2025. This setup supports the idea that after this consolidation and volatility reset, BTC could make one final leg up before distribution begins.
Let the volatility tell the story — it usually whispers before it roars.