BTC - Let's Keep It Simple!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🏢BTC Building Blocks:
📉 Short-Term Bearish:
BTC is currently trading within a short-term bearish block between $81,200 and $87,500.
📉 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $81,200 low is broken to the downside, BTC is expected to enter the long-term bearish block.
📈 Short-Term Bullish:
If BTC breaks above the short-term bullish block at $87,500, it will enter a short-term bullosh block phase towards the $95,000 structure.
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $95,000 level is broken to the upside, a long-term bullish movement toward the all-time high would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Btc-e
Bitcoin $200k in June 2025Despite the fact that US stocks look bleak, there is no better time for growth than the spring-summer of 2025. By the end of the year, the statistics will start to come out quite sad, and if you do All Time High, then only now. I am waiting for positive news
I estimate the probability of such a scenario at 65%
BTC - Is history repeating itself with the M2 money supply?The expansion of the M2 money supply generally leads to increased liquidity in the market. As more money circulates, it must find a home, and some of it inevitably flows into speculative assets like Bitcoin. In previous cycles, when the money supply increased, Bitcoin tended to benefit from the added liquidity, which often drove up its price—especially during periods of strong demand.
In short, a larger M2 supply means more money is available for assets like Bitcoin, potentially pushing its price higher.
The Global M2 Money Supply and Bitcoin: A Closer Look
Lately, I’ve come across comparisons of the global money supply and Bitcoin's price movements, often accompanied by charts showing a clear correlation. The conclusion drawn is that when global M2 supply rises, Bitcoin’s price follows after a brief lag. But is this conclusion accurate? Let’s take a deeper dive into the matter.
Global M2 Supply and Bitcoin in the Current Cycle
In this cycle, the global M2 supply is steadily increasing to new highs. After each dip, Bitcoin has mirrored this with a corresponding drop. Currently, Bitcoin seems to lag behind the global M2 supply by approximately 80 days. The question is: is Bitcoin ready to follow the M2 supply increase and reach new highs? If you look at the current cycle, the answer would be yes, indeed. However, when examining past cycles, this conclusion becomes more uncertain. Let’s explore why.
Global M2 Supply and Bitcoin in Previous Cycles (2017/2018 and 2020/2021)
In 2018, the global M2 supply continued to rise even after Bitcoin reached its peak. This could be a warning sign for this cycle. While many are forecasting higher Bitcoin prices due to the rise in the global M2 supply, it’s important to note that this doesn’t always translate into higher asset prices.
In the 2021 cycle, the global M2 money supply continued to rise until early 2022. However, Bitcoin had already reached its cycle top and was entering the early stages of a bear market. This highlights a key point: the increase in M2 supply doesn’t always guarantee further price increases in Bitcoin.
Conclusion
While the global M2 supply is rising this cycle, and Bitcoin has mirrored that growth, there are reasons to be cautious. The global M2 supply has reached new highs, but we must be careful not to assume that this will automatically lead to new highs for Bitcoin. In the past two cycles, the bear market had already begun while the M2 supply continued to rise. Therefore, it's important not to get stuck on the idea that Bitcoin’s price must rise simply because the global M2 supply is increasing.
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Is the Altcoin Season Over?Is the Altcoin Season Over?
What's truly unfolding for Bitcoin is precisely the weekly analysis I've laid out for you. While many of you might be eagerly anticipating an extraordinary altcoin season, the harsh reality is that there isn't going to be one. Instead, we've been riding a Bitcoin-dominated season. And once the trend you see in the chart plays out, the market will essentially come to a close, paving the way for a heavy downward spiral for both altcoins and Bitcoin. It's a bitter truth, but it's the reality we're facing
HelenP. I Bitcoin may break support level and fall to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few days ago, the price made a small upward move before dropping to Support 2, which aligned with the support zone, breaking through Support 1 in the process. After that, BTC attempted to rise but failed and continued to decline, breaking Support 2 and reaching the trend line. Following this move, Bitcoin reversed direction and started to climb, soon reaching the 80100 level and breaking it again. It then pushed up nearly to Support 1 before correcting back to Support 2, after which it made a strong impulse move back to Support 1. The price consolidated around this level for some time before correcting back to the trend line, from where it resumed its upward movement. In a short time, BTC broke through Support 1, climbed to 87500, and then corrected back to the support zone. At this stage, I expect BTCUSDT to pull back to the support level, make a small upward move, and then continue declining, breaking the support level. If this scenario plays out, I anticipate the price falling to 83000, which aligns with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC Looking Bullish | Trade view for 22-23 March 20251D/1H/15 minutes all show a bullish pattern in the BTC.
After Applying Fibonacci we find a strong Golden zone for support with good volumes. BTC is expected to move higher.
Entry, SL and TP are mentioned in the trade view.
Note: Due to weekend the markets will be slow. Make sure to enter with small quantities.
Happy Weekend with the trades.
What now BTC?I' ve described all in the #btc chart with call out balloons. Above 102K is the temporary invalidation. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC price movement in ascending channel declines, the target will likely be the retest zone of november rally and there also a CME #bitcoin futures gap waits to be filled by MM. Not financial advice.
BTC/USD – BIG ESPRESSO SHOT–is the breakout of the decade ahead?On the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart, we observe a potential bullish scenario based on the well-known Cup and Handle formation.
Between November 2021 and November 2024, Bitcoin formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern.
The "cup" part (marked as 1-2-3) is characterized by a rounded bottom, indicating a correction phase, accumulation, and gradual recovery of bullish momentum.
Then, in the second half of 2024, the "handle" (marked as 4-5) formed as a short-term consolidation in the shape of a triangle, which was followed by a breakout that led to a peak around $109k in January 2025. A correction followed, pushing the price down to approximately $76.5k in March 2025.
Currently, the price is making a pullback, testing the key zone around 87K–$93k from below.
To confirm the bullish scenario, we need a strong hold above the $75k–$76k support and a clear breakout above the local resistance zone at 87K–$93k.
As of now, this retest has not yet been confirmed and requires further observation, as there is still a risk of a fake breakout and potential drop to lower support zones — such as $66k or even $50k.
This formation suggests strong upside potential for Bitcoin in the medium to long term, and if confirmed, may signal a continuation of the uptrend with a target around $127k–$130k.
WATCH CLOSELY
BITCOIN vs GOLD History will be repeated.Bitcoin has often been described as the digital Gold. And with good reason as it posseses the scarcity attribute of Gold like no other asset.
More often than not, we've seen Bitcoin replicate Gold's trading pattern and why not, as market psychology under certain set of conditions tend to be similar.
What better patterns to repeat than the long term ones. And on these charts you seen those.
Bitcoin's current Cycle is a Cup and Handle pattern, similar to Gold's formation after its former September 2011 ATH following the amazing rally after the launch of its ETF in the early 2000s.
Once Gold crossed above its MA50, it never broke back below it, in fact is provided support for its Handle twice.
Bitcoin is on a similar situation right now having held its MA50 last week, the 2nd time it supports it since the Handle did in August 2024.
Based on this Gold fractal, this is the best time to buy BTC again for its final rally of the year.
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BTCUSD: The Cycle won't peak before September!Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.334, MACD = 3198.500, ADX = 54.017) which, having kept the 1W MA50 intact as Support, suggest that this is the ideal level to buy again upon the continuation of the Bull Cycle. Despite the recent 2 month correction, the Cycle hasn't peaked and according to the Pre-Halving/ Post-Halving theory, that suggests that the time from the Cycle's Bottom to the Halving is almost identical to the time form the Halving to the Cycle's Top, we have until the end of September before the bull run is over. And that's because the range from the Cycle's Bottom to the 4th Halving was 75 weeks (525 days), which indicates that it will take around the same amount of time from the Halving before the Bull Cycle tops. See how amazingly consistent that has been on all of prior 3 Cycles. Consequently, the best strategy here would be to hold and start selling in September.
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BTC-DOM- BTC dominance can't keep rising indefinitely.
-If we see a BTC dip, BTC dominance could climb to around 66% (71.8% Fibonacci), but in my opinion, that’s likely the maximum.
- If BTC surges too quickly and too high, altcoins will be suppressed, causing BTC dominance to potentially rise also to around 66%. However, once again, I believe that's would be the max.
- After any of both cases, altcoins will start to moon fly.
- 36-bar, 1096-day uptrend on the BTC dominance chart. That’s a significant duration from 2018 to 2021. The timespan from 2022 to 2025 could mirror the previous one.
- Take note also on the Bearish Divergence between the trend and the RSI. ( i will post weekly graphic also to show a more clear view ).
- An uptrend of this length indicates strong, sustained interest in BTC compared to altcoins. However, long-term trends like this are prone to exhaustion.
For now, just hold your alts and practice golden patience.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Could Pectra Upgrade leads Eth to 11K this cycle?
sentiment on ETH never has been that low while all the arguments against ETH will just be vanished with the upcoming Pectra upgrade
volume is as low as pre 2017 era so I think we can consider ourselves around June July 2017, when ETH made a ~70% retrace from 450 to 150 than peaked at 2K
Despite some delays I don't see why the upgrade will not happen...patience is key
_______
In a more technical view lets zoom to the daily timeframe
- its visible on the weekly chart: ETH bounced from weekly POC, saving it from collapse (?)
- around 0.5 fib now from low cycle to top cycle
- bounced back above that big blue trendline, its an important support that we dont want to loose
I would say the low has been done on the 11th of March, as for BTC
2 and a half possibilities here,
- bullish scenarios : I think there's too much stake on this asset, we bounce from here to see at least 2800 zone
either only up from now, either we go back to 1800 to make a double bottom, sort of H&S pattern kinda happening often at least this cycle
as long as we dont make a lower low this scenario is valid
in this scenario if the upgrade keep its promises and volume is back, I don't see why we wouldn retest new ATHs
- bearish scenario : we breakdown for a lower low aiming to 1600 area, the retest of the trendline above would fail and it would probably be the end of this bull market, that a lot of ppl have already called
______
fast check on whats happening if we zoom again:
Heres the 4H
4H closes in 1 hour but as you can see for now ETH pinged from that blue trendline i think we really dont want to loose
I bought a bit again today, lets see
cheeeers
BTC Showdown: Smash 84,700 for a Rocket Ride to 93KMorning, trading peeps! BTC’s at a crossroads – if we punch through 84,700, we’re looking at a sweet climb to 88K or even 93K. But if we slip below 83,500 and close there, brace yourselves for a dip to 76,300 or lower. Let’s see where this ride takes us today!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Bitcoin update 21.03.2025 (6 more months of bull market)Bitcoin Update : 6 Months Left Until the Bear Market
You asked for a Bitcoin update — here it is. I don’t post updates too often because I’m currently focused on developing my academy. But let’s get straight to the point.
Where Are We Now?
There are only 6 months left until the end of the current bull cycle . My vision remains unchanged: we’ve gone through a correction and are now forming the bottom of this move. This is a classic consolidation phase, where the market is preparing for its next big push.
I’m still bullish, but it’s important to remember that we’re in the distribution zone . This means upward movement will be accompanied by volatility and local pullbacks.
What to Expect in the Coming Months?
The next 2 months are likely to be monumental. We’ll see new highs, but in 2 months, most people will have already forgotten about this forecast (as usual). People tend to ignore long-term trends until they become glaringly obvious.
However, publishing exact targets on the chart right now isn’t the smartest move. We might not even reach them, as emotions and news drive the market.
Key Moment: May 2025
In May, there will be a major announcement in the US regarding cryptocurrencies . This will be a turning point. The market is currently moving based on the current sentiment, but after May, things will change. When politicians start talking about crypto, it’s our signal to exit.
My Take
Don’t underestimate the importance of timing. When everyone starts talking about Bitcoin, it’s already time to get out. Until then, we’ll see growth, but keep this in mind: the next 6 months are for closing positions, not opening new ones.
Be prepared for a significant correction after September — more than 50% from the peak . This is a natural process that repeats itself over and over again.
Conclusion
The market moves in cycles. They work like clockwork:
151–152 weeks of growth (bull cycle).
51–53 weeks of correction (bear cycle).
We’re nearing the end of the bull cycle. Act consciously, stay disciplined, and remember that success comes to the patient.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin can exit from triangle and rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. On the chart, we can see that the price entered a downward triangle, where it rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the resistance level. After that, BTC bounced from the 86500 level, climbed back to the resistance line of the triangle, and then started to decline. Soon, it broke through 86,500 and reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. BTC then broke this support and dropped further to the support line of the triangle before reversing and beginning to rise. In a short time, the price reached 81100, broke through it, and made a retest before continuing its upward movement. However, it later corrected back to the buyer zone, then climbed to 85000, and started declining again. Shortly after, the price dropped to the support level and then rebounded to the resistance line of the triangle. Given this price action, I expect BTC to correct toward the support line of the triangle before bouncing back up and breaking out of the pattern. From there, I anticipate further growth toward the 86500 resistance level, which is why I have set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up to $87K, breaking resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price entered to wedge and at once dropped to support line, breaking two levels, after which it bounced up.
Soon, it broke $80200 level and then tried to grow, but failed and made a correction to $80200 support level.
Later BTC rose to $85400 level and then some time traded near, after which it turned around and corrected to support line.
Then price in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking the resistance level, but a not long time ago fell back.
Bitcoin broke $85400 level and continued to decline, and in my mind, it can soon reach support line of wedge.
After this movement, I expect that BTC can bounce up to $87000, breaking resistance level.
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Bitcoin in coming days ...frankly, Bitcoin will reach $89000 in the coming days.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!