BTC IdeaIf you look on crypto twitter you'll see lots of Elliott Wave techs calling this move from GETTEX:49K wave 5...for me, its too obvious, too many people seeing the same thing.
What if the dip to GETTEX:49K was wave 2, not wave 4 and the move up since is part of a larger wave 3, not the end of wave 5?
I think the key might be in the green box on my chart...it looks like a set of 1-2...(1-2, 1-2, 1-2) if thats the case there is much higher to come than the ~$100k top people are calling for wave 5.
Higher?
Btc-e
Bitcoin Analysis==>>First Attack Will Fail!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Important Resistance lines .
I don't expect Bitcoin to be able to break the important resistance lines in the first attack . What do you think !?
Bitcoin managed to form a New All-Time High again today.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 3 or even main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame , which can end in a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage and then to $88,000 in the coming hours .
Fear and Greed Index is Extreme Greed (84-87).
For a better understanding , I suggest you look at the analysis below in the weekly time frame .👇
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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102K is the next oneGreetings everybody,
So, BTC is taking important targets one by one. 85 all-time AB=CD target already is behind and next one is 102K. NOw price stands between them, but BTC is not at overbought on monthly chart, so potentially it could keep moving higher.
THe major intrigue right now is the retracement. Whether BTC shows response to 85K target and then will turn to 102K or, it will go to 102K directly and after that will start the pullback...
Based on performance we suggest that attempt to reach 102K has more chances now. Thus, we bring you the chart with potential 3-Drive pattern that could finalize this action.
If you would like to wait for deeper retracement and don't rely on 3-Drive, then your option is potential 4H H&S pattern and ~80K support on average to watch for:
Our opinion that 3-Drive has better chances to happen, but we will see... We consider no shorts by far.
Give me some energy !!!Bitcoin has completed its 5TH upward wave, and now it's time for a price correction down to around 84k. The price can correct itself and then continue its growth.
every uptrend has to be corrected, that's the nature of the market.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Can Bitcoin reach 100k?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price keeps reaching new all-time highs following the recent U.S. election. BTC recently surged past its previous ATH and quickly touched the 80k level. Now, many traders are wondering - how much higher can Bitcoin go before we see a correction?
Based on current trends, Bitcoin can potentially reach the 84k-86k range before taking a breather. However, this will largely depend on external factors, such as Bitcoin-ETF activity, political statements, and overall market sentiment.
At the moment, market sentiment remains extremely bullish, which suggests that Bitcoin upward trend may continue for some time. However, if a correction does happen, the 74k support level will likely play a key role in determining whether the uptrend continues or not.
On the other hand, BTC price might just keep pumping up to 100k before correction happens.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Bitcoin cycles + logistic curve = New bull run 2023-2025 I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's price weekly logarithmic chart.
Firstly, the chart examines growth and fall cycles, sometimes referred to as economic cycles or trade cycles. As you can see in my analysis, the growth cycle usually lasts approximately 150 weeks and is always longer than the fall cycle that spans out over the course of approximately 51-60 weeks.
150 bars on Bitcoin's weekly price chart, mark the beginning of the next pulse of the growth cycle that we are currently in. Everything in our life is based on cyclical patterns, especially when it comes to financial markets.
If we analyze the rise and fall, we can conclude that the fall occurs faster than the growth of about three times.
About logistic curve
The logistic curve describes the speed of information dissemination among people. This graph describes the distribution of information in an environment.
At first, an instrument is of little interest to anyone, investors are afraid of buying it, and its price fluctuates around r °. At this time, the initiated ("elite"), solely owning important information, begin to buy it, and the price slightly grows. Then the information is shared with a small circle of insiders, individual purchases grow into active buying, and the price of the instrument abruptly takes off. The general public is perplexed and can not understand what is the reason. In the third stage, news comes out and investors fearing not having time to "jump into the last car" buy up this tool that the "elite" and "proxies" are happy to sell to them at the maximum price (with joy, because at that time the "elite" there is already new information that the "elite" has taken into account, a new logistic curve in another instrument begins, or in the same, but with another sign, sales begin). The third stage is completed, when the whole society is aware of what happened, discuss everywhere, in the metro, all who could have already made There is no one to sell.
The only thing that changes is the slope of the logistic curve - the information dissemination rate
As a rule, 90% of bulls in high. And then the market unfolds and vice versa
If you are constantly being told the same thing, then everybody knows it already. It is necessary to look not at the news
If everyone around you screams the same thing, then you are in the upper zone
The task of stepping back from the noise (this time it's useless overpriced NFT pictures)
"WE WILL BE GOLD BEFORE THE PORN, WHILE GOLDEN IDEOLOGISTS WILL EXIST" Rothschild's
"The same situation with cryptocurrencies, but this is only the beginning" Mr.EXCAVO
Best regards EXCAVO
The cryptocurrency market is a market of expectationsLots of good news, but that's just at first glance.
Expectations and reality
1. Last week we had good news about XRP victory, and this news was spread all over the internet and the market reacted with growth. XRP is not a security, but those contracts sold to early stage funds may still be considered securities.
So the case is not closed yet and it will continue as a subject of manipulation
The SEC can appeal this decision at any appropriate time.
2. FTX - there are a lot of rumors and different statements now about the reopening of this exchange, there are a lot of forms on the net ( fraudulent and not) about FTX account recovery and confirmation. Hope is given:) not the fact that the funds will be restored
3. I would not be surprised if they start to restore UST and LUNA case, if they do not start to restore at least give hope. ( reference - the cryptocurrency market is a market of expectations )
4. BTC ETF.
This is the same expectation that has been jutting for a long time and now strong funds such as BlackRock have joined, which have been buying physical bitcoin through other funds for a long time (e.g. at least 10% of Microstrategy belongs to BlackRock).
On the expectation of ETF approval the market is inspired ( I wrote a post about Blackrock ).
In any case after ETF approval we will see a drop here there is a logic:
- ETF contracts can be bought more than physical bitcoins.
- Need a good entry point into the market, 30k+ is not the best entry point
- A drop in price with physical bitcoins + media resources etc. seems to me as very logical and very likely.
All these points should happen at the peak of the hype, when many disillusioned in crypto after FTX and other shocks will start to re-enter the market, it all explains the Logistic Curve - the speed of information dissemination .
The Which curve explains that when FTX crashed in November 2022 was the beginning of a new cycle, which I talked about in previous posts, then everyone was afraid and thought it would go even lower.
And the end zone of the cycle is when the crowd comes into the market, a lot of noise shouting about a bright future, we are on the cusp of these events.
At that time of course we will see a lot of dumb money big green candles on small capitalization altcoins. And that's the time to get out.
Frankly I got out even earlier in stablecoins and now I only do swing trades ( positional orders positions with small stop loss )
If we talk about the time when all this can happen, it is a difficult question, because according to my previous calculations in September-October I was already waiting for the bottom, I am still waiting for it and my portfolio 100% In stablecoins is a proof of it.
Well after the fall we will have the most interesting negative news, here is the list:
- SEC appeal question on XRP
- SEC questions to all crypto companies that made public sale - fines, lawsuit.
- Questions to crypto exchanges ( bankruptcy of crypto exchanges)
- Regulation
- CBDC implementation and trading in some jurisdictions BTC/CBDC ( currency )
You definitely won't want to buy cryptocurrency on news like this, and this will be the moment when the new cycle begins.
So ladies and gentlemen we are here for a long time and welcome to our community. And remember, trading is not a sprint - trading is a marathon.
Best regard EXCAVO
TON → One step away from a rally. Trying to change the trendBINANCE:TONUSDT is coming out of a prolonged consolidation, but only one action separates us from the distribution phase. The bitcoin rally is favorable for many altcoins....
In my opinion, TON is a rather undervalued project that has a fundamentally significant base (many altcoins cannot boast of this).
Technically, the consolidation lasted for almost 9 months and, consequently, this energy should be used somewhere. The exit of the price from the accumulation begins to show us in which direction the distribution is likely to go.
The focus is on 5.420 and 5.150. If the bulls hold their defenses above this zone, the coin could show a flight to the moon in the long run. But don't look at cryptocurrencies with rose-colored glasses, assess the situation relative to the risks!
Resistance levels: 5.420, 6.133
Support levels: 5.151, 4.51
The price is breaking the resistance of the bullish pattern (descending wedge or descending triangle), we have to wait for confirmation that the trend change will be true. The fight for 5.420 continues. Let's keep an eye on this zone ;)
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:TONUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
The point of interest is whether it can rise to around 98.9K
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I think there is a shake to touch the target point of 3.618 (98841.11).
This shake seems likely to change into a trend as it passes through the next volatility period, around November 16-19 (maximum November 15-20).
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If it rises to around 3.618 (98841.1), it is expected that there will be a movement to determine the trend again.
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If it falls below 2.618 (87814.27),
1st: StErr Line
2nd: M-Signal on 1D chart (approximately 79.9K-80.9K)
It is expected to fall to the 1st and 2nd above.
Based on the current price position, if it falls below 75571.99, it seems likely to turn into a downtrend.
The 75571.99 point is the BW(50) point.
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When the StochRSI indicator approaches or touches the 100 point, it is necessary to pay attention to how close the StochRSI EMA indicator is to the StochRSI indicator.
The reason is that the StochRSI EMA has never touched the 100 point yet.
This means that the StochRSI indicator will eventually fall below the StochRSI EMA.
In other words, it also means that the decline has begun.
You cannot tell how much the fluctuations will occur with the StochRSI indicator alone.
However, you can tell the start and end of the trend.
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In that sense, there is a high possibility that volatility will occur when the StErr Line is touched.
Therefore, if the StochRSI < StochRSI EMA falls below the StErr Line and the StErr Line turns downward, you can see that the downward trend is likely in progress.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Alikze »» ADA | The scenario of wave 3 or C rising super cyclesAccording to the analysis of the previous post that was presented in the 8h time, according to the cup pattern, it made a growth as high as the height of the pattern valley, after which it encountered supply.
💎 But in the weekly time, due to the fact that it created a reliable floor in the golden zone of the previous wave, it faced demand.
💎 Currently, this return wave can be a pullback to a broken structure and a swing, which should meet good demand in the 39 cents area.
💎 First scenario: Therefore, according to the structure and movement behavior, it can have the first target of 0.8789 to 0.9766 by maintaining the green box area.
💎 Alternative scenario: if the range of 39 cents is broken, it can retest the floor of the range of 23 cents again.
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Here's Exactly Why Bitcoin Is Having A Hard Time With 90kTraders, from a technical perspective, I really don't expect Bitcoin to beat 90k immediately. Eventually, yes. But right now there are two big technical reasons why Bitcoin is having a hard time managing to beat 90k. They are the same technical reason for why I called the year end price target of 88k-92k.
First, see that horizontal ascending pink trendline? I took the top of our high on 12 April 2021. I then drew it to the top on 08 Nov. 2021. This is on our weekly chart. I then extended that trendline to the right. Boom 90k.
Second, see that inverse h&s pattern I have been discussing for the last year and a half? I measure from the top of the head to the neckline. Now, I move that measurement to our break of the neckline. Boom 90k.
Now, I am not saying that we won't break 90k. This post is simply to make you aware of how I was able to call our target of 90k and why Bitcoin will have difficulty breaking through that price level.
✌️Stew
BTCUSD: Amazing Rainbow Cycles tell you where to Buy & Sell.Bitcoin is vastly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 85.391, MACD = 5410.00, ADX = 45.265) as the recent weekly rally since the U.S. elections has pushed it past 90,000. Even the 1W timeframe got overbought (RSI = 74.244). However that overbought state has no impact on the current trend as during Bull Cycles and especially when the final 12 month parabolic rally begins, BTC tends to stay massively overbought for a very long period of time.
On this chart you see how the Bitcoin Rainbow Wave and Bands indicators (by Leoum) are applied with key pressure (both buy and sell) zones among Cycles that can even project future price action. This is a very powerful tool for those who want to plan their entries and exits on a long term scale.
Right now BTC is past the Yellow Zone where buying was suggested before the parabolic rally begins. This has historically been a few months after each Halving. The price just entered the yellow zone of the Rainbow but remains under the middle (purple line) of the cyclical wave. This means that despite the massive recent rally, it is still a fair buy.
The max level to sell on this Cycle is the Red Wave Zone, with the indicator suggesting a max value of $258k. However it is recommended by this model to start selling inside the upper band of the Fair value Zone (orange line), which currently gives a minimum of $145k and a maximum of $211k. Technically that is estimate to be a fair High for this Cycle.
When the next Bear Cycle begins, the model shows that it is best to start buying inside the green zone where BTC is expected to turn oversold near or at 30.000. Amazing as it may seem now, this zone is between $94k -$77k, which is approximately the trading range of this week. Meaning that the projected bottom of the next Bear Cycle could be around the levels we're at now.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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ETH to $5000ETH looks bullish, it might just shoot up the moment BTC calms down, now it's silently going under everyone's radar while everyone is focused on BTC.
Everyone saying Sol, Sui other nonsense will change ETH. This the most clear entry signal.
ETH ATH coming soon.
INDICATOR USED - 'MONEY PRINTER' my own fresh creation.
#BTC cycle analysis, where will it top? Hey guys i try to share my idea behind this chart in this one
sorry for long rant :)
also at the end video was cut cause of 20 min limit, was just trying to talk about how Pi cycle indicator is significant in past & how it had marked tops in the past, we are nowhere close to it so just few things to keep an eye on