Btc-e
Bitcoin still in downtrend.... When choch?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still playing games. The price is still in a downtrend while currently running to resistance. The ultimate confirmation of reversal is a choch follow-through led by a bullish divergence. It may be in the works but I want more evidence.
Full TA: Link in the Bio
BTC - In depth analysis leading up to the FOMC decision today!BTC Price Action Analysis Ahead of the Fed Decision
In this analysis, we will discuss the current price action of BTC leading up to the Federal Reserve's rate decision later today.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to release its rate decision and Dot Plot. Following this, Jerome Powell will hold a press conference. Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to maintain the current federal funds rate within the 4.25% to 4.50% range. This decision aligns with the Fed's cautious approach amid ongoing economic uncertainties, particularly those stemming from recent trade policies and tariff implementations by the Trump administration.
Investors and market participants are eagerly awaiting the Fed’s updated economic projections, which will offer insights into the central bank’s outlook on growth, inflation, and employment. These projections will be crucial in assessing how the Fed plans to navigate current economic challenges.
4H BTC Chart Analysis
Currently, BTC is forming a tightening consolidation pattern, characterized by equal highs and higher lows. This suggests that BTC could potentially break to the upside by taking out liquidity above resistance. There are numerous stop-loss orders accumulating just above this resistance level. If BTC manages to trigger these stop-losses, it is likely to revisit the Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.65).
Meanwhile, the Stochastic RSI is rapidly rising towards the overbought zone, indicating that if BTC reaches the Golden Pocket, we could see a retracement from that level. The overall price action remains bearish until BTC clears the 92k level.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily timeframe, BTC’s price action remains bearish until a higher high above 92K is established. During this correction, BTC has formed a clear downward trendline. We need to wait for a breakout above this trendline and 92K before considering long setups on higher timeframes.
The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart is also moving into the overbought zone, indicating that BTC’s momentum may peak in the coming days, potentially leading to downside pressure. Because of this, the 73K support zone remains a key level to watch.
For now, a temporary bounce could occur, but further downside remains likely. Traders should focus on risk management when opening long positions at these levels.
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CRV Trade Setup: Potential Relief RallyWith seller exhaustion appearing across multiple projects, CRV could be positioning for a relief rally. If the market structure shifts bullish—forming a higher high and successfully retesting support—we may see a move into upside liquidity zones.
🛠 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $0.46 (Support Level)
Take Profit Targets:
$0.57 (First TP - Initial Resistance)
$0.67 (Second TP - Mid Liquidity Zone)
$0.77 (Third TP - Strong Resistance Area)
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.39
Watching for bullish confirmation before entry. 🚀
Bitcoin at the D-Point of a Bullish Gartley – What’s Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading near the Support zone($80,600_$79,000) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Support line .
Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern .
Educational Note : The Bullish Gartley is a harmonic pattern that signals a potential reversal in an uptrend after a corrective move. It consists of five points (X-A-B-C-D) and follows specific Fibonacci retracements, with the D-point acting as a key buying zone.
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin is completing the microwave B of the main wave Y .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise at least to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage . If the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) is broken, we can expect further increases in Bitcoin .
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($80,600_$79,000), we can expect further declines.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Inverse Head & Shoulders in Play – Bitcoin’s Bullish Setup!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $84,500 as I expected in my previous post (even higher).
Right now it seems like Bitcoin has managed to break the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and the 200_SMA(Daily) . The formation of the classic pattern , the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern , could be a sign that Bitcoin is preparing to break the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) .
Another Classic Pattern that we can see on the one-hour Bitcoin chart and hope for an increase in Bitcoin is the Fan Principle at the Bottom Pattern .
Educational tip : The Fan Principle at the Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern where the price forms a series of downward trendline breaks, signaling weakening bearish momentum. As each trendline is broken, buying pressure increases, leading to a potential uptrend.
According to Elliott Wave theory , with the resistance zone broken, we can expect Bitcoin to enter the next impulsive wave , which will likely continue to at least $86,300 .
Also, Today's U.S. economic data release could significantly impact financial markets, including Bitcoin :
UoM Consumer Sentiment : 57.9 (Forecast: 63.1 | Previous: 64.7) – A sharp decline, indicating consumer pessimism about the economy.
UoM Inflation Expectations : 4.9% (Previous: 4.3%) – A worrying increase, which could push the Fed toward a more hawkish stance.
Declining consumer sentiment may pressure the Fed to adopt a more accommodative stance, which is positive for risk assets like Bitcoin.
Rising inflation expectations could increase demand for inflation-hedge assets like Bitcoin.
However, if the Fed sees inflation rising as a concern, they may maintain a tighter policy, which could weigh on markets.
Today's data presents mixed signals, but falling consumer confidence and rising inflation expectations could ultimately fuel Bitcoin's next leg up.
Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the upper resistance zone($87,000_$85,820) after completing its pullback and complete the mission of filling the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) . Of course, a CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) has also formed.
In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,300, we should expect further declines.
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $87,800, we should expect further increases.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
$BTC Bitcoin at critical point... Head and shoulder Pattern!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin is at a critical point
Current price: 91000
Bitcoin has retraced over 16% from an all time high of 108k, Price action is currently forming a head and shoulder pattern which is usually a bearish pattern!
#btc needs to remain supported around 90.5k to continue its uptrend to all time highs at 119k
If MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN price action loses support at 90.5k then expect prices to retest supports at 85k and then 80k.
Definitely a critical point to watch! What do you think?
DOW JONES This is why chances of a brutal rebound are so high.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 31 2023 High and last week it hit (marginally breached) its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of October 30 2023. The price went on to test the bottom of the Channel Up and rebounded back above the 1W MA50.
This is an incredibly strong long-term bullish signal and it is not the only one. The market also made a Lower Low rebound on the 3-month trend-line while the 1W CCI got oversold below -150.00 and is rebounding. The last time we got these conditions fulfilled was exactly 2 years ago on the March 13 2023 Low.
That was when the index made a similar Megaphone Lower Low rebound on oversold 1W CCI that initiated a +13.57% rally. Both Megaphone fractals emerged after Dow rose by +21.00%.
In fact, every oversold 1W CCI rebound has produced very aggressive rallies. Based on those similarities with the March 2023 fractal, we expect the index to hit 46150 (+13.57%) minimum by July. If the more aggressive scenario of the November 25 2024 rally that made a Channel Up Higher High on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension prevails, then our more optimistic scenario is 48900 (Target 2) by September, which could technically be the end/ Top of the current Bull Cycle.
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BITCOIN The 2021 Pivot trend-line that is coming to its rescue.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has stayed stable after last week's rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the level that offered support on the Bull Cycle Channel's previous Higher Low (August 05 2024).
Technically however, that is not the only major Support level that may be coming to BTC's rescue as we've identified the Pivot trend-line that started on the April 12 2021 High as a Resistance and since then made another 2 contacts (as rejections). This is the first time now that is being tested as Support.
During the previous Cycle (2018 - 2021) a similar Pivot trend-line was the level that supported Bitcoin during the last year of its parabolic rally on January and June 2021. The June 2021 contact in particular tested the 1W MA50 as well, which is the exact situation we're in right now. That double support hold initiated the final rebound towards the Cycle's new All Time High (ATH).
Check also how similar the 1W CCI patterns between the two fractals are and based on that, a 1W CCI reading at 200.00 would be a solid level to sell and take profit. As a result, we expect this Cycle's Channel Up to accelerate the current rebound, technically its Bullish Leg and make a new ATH, which would be the Cycle's new Top, ideally with a CCI at 200.00.
So do you think this cyclical Pivot trend-line is coming along with the 1W MA50 to BTC's rescue? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Given the reduced downward momentum, the bullish Ichimoku on the chart, and the formation of support zones, Bitcoin is expected to move toward the identified supply level.
Currently, the price is in a discount zone, and an upward move toward premium levels is anticipated.
A 4-hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this setup.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
FIL: The Life-Changing Setup You Can’t Ignore!FIL has been in a massive 3-year accumulation, just like LINK before its explosive run. The setup is textbook perfect—and the window to get in won’t stay open forever.
Right now, FIL is at historical lows, setting up for a potential 600%+ move. If you're sleeping on this, you might be making a huge mistake. Don’t be that kind of stupid.
Entry: NOW
TP: 19
SL: 1.8
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4-hour chart.
Price: Currently around $82,753.16, showing a slight increase of +0.05%.
Trend line: A descending trend line is visible, indicating potential resistance. If the price breaks above this line, it could signal a bullish reversal.
Support level: There is a strong support level at $78,424.30, which has been tested multiple times.
Indicators: The price is currently in the cloud, indicating a state of indecision. The green cloud above indicates potential resistance, while the red cloud below indicates previous bearish momentum.
Resistance: Keep an eye on the descending trend line and the upper edge of the cloud.
Support: The $78,424 level acts as a crucial support area.
Monitor breakouts: A breakout above the trend line may indicate an uptrend, while a breakdown below the support level may signal a further decline.
Volume analysis: Monitor trading volume to confirm breakouts.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
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DYOR. NFA
10D Chart shows Falling 3 , Pullback to 3/18!! $SPYAMEX:SPY shows 10D trend very clear. It is my hidden gem. We, by my charting, Should pullback until 3/18 ... not sure how far but I have plenty of targets on the way down to my ultimate target at 5200... I think we could flush to $560.. Good Luck yall. Gems I tell ya... sorry I'm so bad at explaining things..
$SPY $SPX OLD CHART BAR PATTERN COVID CRASH NOW!!!!Holy crap.... I just came across an old chart and literally in the nick of timeI tell you. All I'm going to say is... I'm a pattern chart trader and this is the COVID bar pattern attached to our daily from like a year ago almost and I loaded up an old layout to do work and boom... here we are... Good LUCK ... Not sure what the trigger will be but we are here.
BTC overview - Will we make another huge bounce from here?In this analysis, we discuss BTC on the weekly timeframe in correlation with the RSI and the Stochastic RSI. Is BTC able to bounce from these levels, or are we heading to lower levels before the next bounce? I will explore this in the following analysis.
After a long consolidation in 2024, BTC reached a new all-time high (ATH) at the end of 2024/beginning of 2025. However, by making a new ATH, BTC formed a bearish divergence with the RSI—similar to what happened in 2021 when BTC reached a new ATH.
At the moment, BTC's price action looks very healthy. It is making new highs and higher lows. During the recent correction from nearly 110K, the RSI dropped to around 44, a strong support zone for the RSI in this bull market. The last two times the RSI bounced from the 44 level, BTC saw an increase of approximately 180% and 100%. In both instances, the Stochastic RSI was also oversold and bounced back to the overbought zone.
Currently, BTC is heading toward the support level at 73K, which aligns with the Golden Pocket, while the RSI holds support at 44 and the Stochastic RSI remains oversold.
It is crucial that BTC maintains support at 73K and the RSI at 44. If either one breaks, lower levels are highly likely.
If BTC finds strength at these support levels, we need to see the RSI break above 79. This would indicate the end of the bearish divergence and open the door for higher prices. However, if BTC reaches a new ATH and the RSI fails to break 79, we must watch for a continuation of the bearish divergence.
Can Bitcoin hold this level and make a significant bounce, as it did the last two times, with BTC at support, RSI at support, and the Stochastic RSI in the oversold area? The coming weeks may provide a signal on the direction BTC will take—bullish or bearish. For now, it could go either way, and we must wait for a clear market direction.
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BTCUSD: This isn't the Top by any meansBitcoin remains slightly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.137, MACD = -3097.700, ADX = 33.471) as even though it appears its trading on a macro bottom, just over the 1W MA50 (1W RSI = 45.068), it hasn't broken out yet. The market undoubtedly took a psychological hit with February's drop but despite the voices calling for a new bear market, we are here to show you why this Cycle hasn't topped yet and is still far from doing so.
This metric measures BTC's temporary stops/ tops during a Bull Cycle. It is a Halving-to-Halving method, starting on the most recent Halving and ending on the next one. Stop 1 is where the starting Halving takes place and the market pulls back. Stop 2 is the next pullback on the 0.236 Time Fibonacci level. The 0.382 Fib prices Stop 3 and basically the Cycle Top. This has been happening on both previous Cycles exactly as described and on the 2012-14 Cycle it just had to be adjusted a little before the 1st Halving due to the Cycle being much shorter since it was the earliest. Nevertheless, it fits the Stop points perfectly.
Note also that distance from the Halving (Stop 1) to Stop 3 has always been 76/78 weeks. This suggests the we can have a new Cycle Top by October 20th 2025 the latest.
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