Get started

Btc-e

Bitcoin to $115k or pullback to $91kGood Evening Traders, First I would like to say, congratulations to all of you who have been in the game for the last 3 bitcoin halving cycles. Through all of the "You buy fake internet money" comments or the never ending explaining of the Tokenomics of different cryptocurrencies, I have to say KUDOS to all of us who saw the vision, stuck to your guns and intricately added to your bags over the years! We are finally here on the cusp of full regulation and a final hush of the naysayers! Ok, now down to brass tax! On the chart I have Highlighted a few important details. Something I did not point out on the chart is the massive printing of USDT that has been happening over the past few days. It seems to me that we are on the cusp of a massive influx of capital into the alt coin markets. But, for now lets focus on Bitcoin! As stated, you can see multiple points that I have highlighted... These being mostly bearish for the big dog of market cap and the grandfather coins of crypto Bitcoin. The first few things to notice is the bearish divergence on the MACD histogram, the bearish down cross of the MACD line over the signal line on the MACD indicator. You can also note the overbought area on the RSI right above that. In addition to this we do have some gaps on CME:BTC1! Which generally get filled sooner than later on most charts. With this in mind, it is possible that we could have some good news amongst the movers and shakers down at the Bitcoin conference this week. Yet, we could get some sell the news type events that could ease the price downward to fill in these gaps that we have below. In my experience at the beginning of each alt coin season Bitcoin generally leads the rally and can trade sideways to down during the upward movement of the majority of the altcoin market. My personal thoughts on the chart currently is shown at the top of the chart. if we close the daily candle underneath the hyperlocal resistance shown on the red line at the top of the chart, then we will most likely start pulling back to fill the first gap that is shown on the chart below in yellow. Albeit, the MACD is a lagging indicator, we can gain a lot of insight using it and my favorite sign on the MACD is using the histogram to point out bearish and bullish divergences. This shows a lack in momentum in the current trend that is shown through the price action of the assets trend. Especially, after a straight run up like we have just experienced as of late. In conclusion, you can make the assumption that if we close the current day under the red line above it is very possible that we begin what could turn out to be an ABC correction leading us down to fill in the gaps on BTC1! to the downside. If we hold the first support, BTC may show us a little more juice potentially reaching for just under $115k. This in my opinion would likely be a bull trap for the time being. Summers are not the best when it comes to crypto growth and it always seems like we are waiting for the Ground Hog to see its shadow to find out if we are to the moon or back to McDonalds with our friends! I hope that this analysis has helped you gain some insight in your research. I have added supports to the chart to show you where we may turn around and start heading back into price discovery. Stay Profitable, Savvy
CME:BTC1!
by Crypto_Kinfolk
1
BTCUSD: About to explode to 135k by July.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.730, MACD = 3423.900, ADX = 23.501) as it is expreriencing the strongest pullback since the start of its April bottom. Having completed a 1D Golden Cross like on October 27th 2024, this pullback seems a lot like the one that suceeded that Cross, which tested the LH trendline and marginally crossed under it and as it held the 1D MA50, resumed the uptrend and exploded to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension. That is our target on a July horizon (TP = 135,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
GameStop (GME) Is the New MSTR — And It Might Moon Harder ! If you haven`t bought the dip on GME: Now You need to know that GameStop (GME) is the new MSTR MicroStrategy — But With Meme Power! GME GameStop just made its boldest move yet: the company revealed it has purchased 4,710 Bitcoin, officially entering the crypto game in a serious way. While it hasn’t disclosed the total price paid, the intent is loud and clear — GameStop is transforming into a Bitcoin-holding company, just like MicroStrategy (MSTR) did back in 2020. This isn’t just about hype. In March, GameStop raised $1.3 billion through a convertible note offering, specifically to help fund Bitcoin purchases. It also updated its investment policy to formally add Bitcoin as a reserve asset — the same exact strategy that led to MicroStrategy’s 10x stock explosion. But here’s the twist: GameStop brings more than just Bitcoin exposure — it brings meme momentum. Unlike MicroStrategy, which had to win over the market, GME already has an army of loyal retail traders, massive online visibility, and a cultural legacy as the original meme stock. If MicroStrategy was the corporate face of Bitcoin adoption, GameStop is the internet’s version — louder, faster, and potentially more explosive. Yes, the stock dipped on the announcement — typical for big moves like this — but long-term, the upside is undeniable. Bitcoin on the balance sheet gives GME new life, and volatility is GameStop’s comfort zone. With Bitcoin becoming a political and financial flashpoint — highlighted by major figures like JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr. attending the 2025 Bitcoin conference — GME’s move couldn’t be more timely. This is more than a pivot. It’s a power play. GameStop is no longer just a nostalgia-fueled retailer — it’s a digital asset powerhouse in the making. If you missed MicroStrategy’s rise, GameStop might just be your second chance — with even more firepower behind it. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:GMELong
by TopgOptions
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap: Structural Breakout Aligns with Macros## 📊 TOTAL – Crypto Market Cap Ready for Expansion Phase? --- ### 🧵 **Summary** The crypto market is showing signs of strong macro strength, with TOTAL reclaiming major support levels and forming a structurally bullish setup. Our multi-Fibonacci confluences and hidden bullish divergence point toward the possibility of a sustained breakout and new expansion leg toward \$4.9T and beyond. This bullish view is further supported by powerful macro fundamentals expected over the next 8–10 months, including: * Central bank rate cuts and liquidity expansion * U.S. and EU regulatory clarity (stablecoins, ETFs, MiCA) * Strong institutional adoption and geopolitical shifts * Ethereum scaling upgrades and Bitcoin halving cycle effects Together, these narratives form a compelling foundation for a broad-based market cap expansion. --- ### 📈 **Chart Context** This is a **weekly chart of the TOTAL crypto market cap**, providing a bird’s-eye view of market cycles, macro structure, and capital flow across the entire ecosystem. --- ### 🧠 **Key Technical Observations** * **Reclaim of \$3.02T level** (key support/fib level) signals macro bullish momentum. * Market is forming **higher lows and bullish continuation structures**. * **Support zones:** \$3.02T (reclaimed), \$2.57T (key pivot), * **Resistance/TP zones:** * **TP1 – \$3.75T** (100% trend-based fib + -27% retracement expansion) * **TP2 – \$4.9T** (161.8% trend-based fib + -61.8% retracement expansion) * **TP3 – \$6.9T** (261.8% fib extension target) --- ### 🧶 **Fibonacci Confluences and TP Logic** We’ve employed both **standard Fibonacci retracement** and **trend-based extension** tools to build our target structure. The **1TP and 2TP zones** are defined by confluences between: * **Retracement expansion levels** of **-27% and -61.8%** * **Trend-based extension levels** of **100% and 161.8%** If price reaches 2TP (~~\$4.9T) and **retraces toward the parallel legs** (100%–127%), this would confirm structural symmetry and open the door for a final push toward \*\*TP3 (~~\$6.9T)\*\* — the 261.8% extension. --- ### 🔍 **Indicators** * **MACD Crossover** and rising histogram bars * **Hidden Bullish Divergence** between MACD and price – a classic continuation signal * Weekly trendline breakout from accumulation zone --- ### 🧠 **Fundamental Context** While not directly charted, key macro catalysts like ETF approvals, global liquidity cycles, monetary easing, and increasing institutional interest will likely play a role in the next phase of expansion. This chart captures the structural readiness for that narrative. ## 📊 Fundamental Context (Extended Outlook: Mid-2025 to Early 2026) Below is a detailed breakdown of upcoming macroeconomic, geopolitical, and crypto-specific developments sourced from: * Bitwise Asset Management * Fidelity Digital Assets * ARK Invest * CoinDesk, Reuters, Axios, WSJ * CapitalWars, Cointelegraph, Coinpedia * European Commission (MiCA regulations) * U.S. Congressional records and SEC announcements These events are chronologically aligned to support a structured macro bullish thesis for TOTAL market cap. Bullish Crypto Catalysts (June 2025 – Feb 2026) Summer 2025 (Jun–Aug): Monetary Easing and Regulatory Breakthroughs Central Bank Policy Pivot: By mid-2025, major central banks are shifting toward easier policy. Market expectations indicate the U.S. Federal Reserve will stop tightening and begin cutting interest rates in 2025, with forecasts of up to three rate cuts by end-2025 bitwiseinvestments.eu . Declining inflation and rising unemployment are pushing the Fed in this direction bitwiseinvestments.eu bitwiseinvestments.eu . Easier monetary policy increases global liquidity and risk appetite, historically providing a tailwind for Bitcoin and crypto prices bitwiseinvestments.eu . In fact, global money supply is near record highs, a condition that in past cycles preceded major Bitcoin rallies bitwiseinvestments.eu . Should economic volatility worsen, the Fed has even signaled readiness to deploy fresh stimulus, which would inject more liquidity – “another tailwind for Bitcoin price growth” nasdaq.com . Liquidity and Inflation Trends: With inflation trending down from earlier peaks, central banks like the Fed and European Central Bank are under less pressure to tighten. This opens the door for potential liquidity injections or QE if growth falters. Analysts note a strong correlation (often >84%) between expanding global M2 money supply and Bitcoin’s price rise nasdaq.com . There is typically a ~2-month lag for liquidity increases to flow into speculative assets like crypto nasdaq.com nasdaq.com . The monetary easing expected in mid-2025 could therefore boost crypto markets by late summer, as new liquidity finds its way into higher-yielding investments. One projection even models Bitcoin retesting all-time highs (~$108K by June 2025) if global liquidity continues upward nasdaq.com – underscoring how “accelerated expansion of global liquidity” often aligns with crypto bull runs nasdaq.com . U.S. Stablecoin Legislation: A landmark regulatory catalyst is anticipated in summer 2025: the first comprehensive U.S. crypto law, focused on stablecoins. The Senate has advanced the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act to a final vote coindesk.com . Passage of this bill (expected by mid-2025) would create a federal framework for stablecoin issuers, resolving a major regulatory gray area coindesk.com . Analysts call this “one of the most important regulatory developments in the history of crypto” – potentially even bigger than the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in impact coindesk.com . By enforcing prudential standards on stablecoin reserves and permitting licensed issuance, the law would legitimize stablecoins as a core part of the financial system. Bitwise predicts that clear rules could trigger a “multi-year crypto bull market,” with stablecoin market cap exploding from ~$245B to $2.5 trillion as mainstream adoption accelerates coindesk.com coindesk.com . A U.S. law would also likely set a global precedent, encouraging other regions to integrate crypto-dollar tokens into commerce. Bottom line: expected stablecoin regulation in summer 2025 is a bullish game-changer, improving market integrity and unlocking new liquidity for crypto markets coindesk.com . Regulatory Clarity in Europe: Meanwhile, Europe’s comprehensive MiCA regulations have fully taken effect as of late 2024, so by summer 2025 the EU has a unified crypto framework. This gives legal clarity to issuers, exchanges, and custodians across the 27-nation bloc pymnts.com skadden.com . The harmonized rules (covering everything from stablecoin reserves to exchange licensing) are expected to expand Europe’s crypto market size by 15–20% in the coming years dailyhodl.com . With MiCA in force, firms can confidently launch crypto products EU-wide, and institutional investors have more protection. U.K. regulators are on a similar path – e.g. recognizing stablecoins as payment instruments – further globalizing the pro-crypto regulatory trend. By mid-2025, this regulatory thaw in major economies is improving investor sentiment. Goldman Sachs recently noted that 91% of crypto firms are gearing up for MiCA compliance – a sign that industry is preparing to scale under clearer rules merklescience.com merklescience.com . Overall, the summer of 2025 marks a turning point: governments are embracing sensible crypto rules (rather than harsh crackdowns), reducing uncertainty and inviting institutional capital off the sidelines. Initial ETF Impact: The first wave of U.S. spot crypto ETFs – approved in late 2023 and January 2024 – will have been trading for over a year by mid-2025 investopedia.com . Their success is already far exceeding expectations: BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust amassed a record $52 billion AUM in its first year (the biggest ETF launch in history) coindesk.com , and other Bitcoin funds from Fidelity, ARK, and Bitwise quickly joined the top 20 U.S. ETF launches of all time coindesk.com . These products have unleashed pent-up retail and institutional demand by offering a regulated, convenient vehicle for crypto exposure coindesk.com . By summer 2025, ETF inflows are still robust, and many Wall Street analysts expect a second wave of approvals. Indeed, 2025 is being called “the Year of Crypto ETFs” coindesk.com . Observers predict dozens of new funds – including spot Ether, Solana, and XRP ETFs – could win approval under revamped SEC leadership in the post-2024 election environment coindesk.com . If so, late 2025 could see a broad menu of crypto ETF offerings, widening investor access to the asset class. This steady drumbeat of ETF launches and inflows adds a structural source of buy-pressure under crypto markets throughout 2025. (Notably, Bloomberg data showed over $1.7B poured into spot crypto ETFs in just the first week of 2025, on top of 2024’s flows etf.com .) In short, the ETF effect – “shocking the industry to its core” in year one coindesk.com – is set to grow even stronger in 2025, channeling more traditional capital into crypto. U.S. Political Shift (Post-Election): The outcome of the Nov 2024 U.S. elections is a crucial backdrop by mid-2025. A new administration under President Donald Trump took office in January 2025 and immediately signaled a markedly pro-crypto policy stance. Within his first 100 days, Trump’s appointments to key financial agencies (SEC, CFTC, OCC) effectuated a “180° pivot” in crypto regulation from the prior administration cnbc.com . Industry observers describe a sharp policy reversal – where previously the sector faced hostility, now it’s courted as an engine of innovation. President Trump has publicly vowed to be “the first crypto-president,” hosting crypto industry leaders at the White House and promising to boost digital asset adoption reuters.com . He even floated creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve for the United States reuters.com – a striking show of support for Bitcoin’s role as a reserve asset (though it remains to be seen if this materializes). More tangibly, regulatory agencies have begun rolling back onerous rules. For example, the SEC under new leadership scrapped a prior accounting guideline that made bank crypto custody prohibitively expensive reuters.com . And the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has “paved the way” for banks to engage in crypto activities like custody and stablecoin issuance reuters.com . These changes in Washington brighten the outlook for crypto markets: with regulatory uncertainty fading, U.S. institutions feel more confident to participate. In essence, by mid-2025 the world’s largest capital market (the U.S.) is shifting from impeding crypto to embracing it, a narrative change that cannot be overstated in its bullish significance coindesk.com reuters.com . Geopolitical Easing and BRICS Actions: Global macro conditions in summer 2025 may also improve due to geopolitical developments. If major conflicts (like the Russia-Ukraine war) de-escalate or move toward resolution by late 2024 or 2025, it would remove a key source of risk-off sentiment. Lower geopolitical risk and easing of war-driven commodity shocks would help cool inflation (especially energy prices) and bolster global growth – factors that support risk asset rallies (crypto included). On another front, the BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa + new members) are continuing their de-dollarization agenda in 2025. At the BRICS summit in October 2024, they discussed creating a new gold-backed reserve currency (“the Unit”) as an alternative to the U.S. dollar investingnews.com . They also announced a BRICS blockchain-based payment network (“BRICS Bridge”) to connect their financial systems via CBDCs, bypassing Western networks investingnews.com . Going into 2025, these initiatives are expected to progress (with Russia currently chairing BRICS). While a full-fledged BRICS currency may be years away (and faces hurdles moderndiplomacy.eu ), the bloc’s move to settle more trade in non-USD currencies is already underway (by 2023, roughly 20% of oil trades were in other currencies) investingnews.com . Implication: A shift toward a more multi-polar currency world could weaken U.S. dollar dominance over time investingnews.com . For crypto, this trend is intriguing – as nations seek dollar alternatives, Bitcoin’s appeal as a neutral, supranational asset may rise. In sanctioned or economically volatile countries, both elites and the public might accelerate adoption of crypto for cross-border value storage. For example, U.S. sanctions on Russia and China have already catalyzed talk of reserve diversification investingnews.com . Fidelity analysts note that “rising inflation, currency debasement and fiscal deficits” globally are making Bitcoin strategically attractive for even nation-states and central banks coindesk.com coindesk.com . Summing up: a backdrop of improving geopolitical stability (if realized) plus a weakening dollar regime provides a bullish macro and narrative case for borderless cryptocurrencies as we enter the second half of 2025. Fall 2025 (Sep–Nov): Institutional Inflows, Adoption & Tech Upgrades Surging Institutional Adoption: By autumn 2025, the cumulative effect of regulatory clarity and market maturation is a wave of institutional adoption unlike any prior cycle. In traditional finance, major U.S. banks and brokers are cautiously but steadily entering the crypto arena. Reuters reports that Wall Street banks are now receiving “green lights” from regulators to expand into crypto services, after years of hesitance reuters.com reuters.com . Many top banks have been internally testing crypto trading and custody via pilot programs reuters.com . As one example, Charles Schwab’s CEO said in May 2025 that regulator signals are “flashing pretty green” for large firms, and confirmed Schwab plans to offer spot crypto trading to clients within a year reuters.com . Banks like BNY Mellon, State Street, and Citigroup – which collectively manage trillions – are expected to roll out crypto custody solutions by 2025, often via partnerships with crypto-native custodians dlnews.com . The OCC has explicitly authorized banks to handle crypto custody and stablecoins (under proper safeguards), removing a key barrier reuters.com . And the SEC’s friendlier stance under new leadership means banks no longer face punitive capital charges for holding digital assets reuters.com . The net effect is that by late 2025, institutional-grade crypto infrastructure is falling into place. More pension funds, endowments, and asset managers can allocate to crypto through familiar channels (regulated custodians, ETFs, prime brokers). Even conservative banking giants are warming up: Bank of America’s CEO stated the bank “will embrace cryptocurrencies for payments if regulations permit” and hinted at possibly launching a BOA stablecoin for settlement reuters.com . Likewise, Fidelity and BlackRock’s crypto units are expanding offerings after seeing outsized demand. This institutional legitimization dramatically expands the pool of potential investors in crypto markets, supporting a higher total market capitalization. Crypto ETF Expansion: In Q4 2025, the roster of crypto-based ETFs and funds is likely to broaden further. As noted, analysts foresee 50+ crypto ETFs by end of 2025 under the pro-industry U.S. regulatory regime coindesk.com . By fall, we may see Ethereum spot ETFs (building on the successful Bitcoin products) and even funds for large-cap altcoins. For instance, Nate Geraci of The ETF Store predicts spot Solana and XRP ETFs are on the horizon in the U.S. coindesk.com . Internationally, Canada and Europe already have multiple crypto ETPs – their continued growth adds to global inflows. With a year of performance history by late ’25, crypto ETFs will likely start seeing allocations from more conservative institutions (insurance firms, corporate treasuries, etc.) that needed to observe initially. Fidelity’s strategists noted that in 2024 much of the ETF buying came from retail and independent advisors, but 2025 could bring uptake from hedge funds, RIAs, and pensions as comfort grows coindesk.com coindesk.com . In summary, fall 2025 should witness accelerating capital inflows via investment vehicles, as crypto solidifies its place in mainstream portfolios. This sustained demand – “2025’s flows will easily surpass 2024’s” according to one strategist coindesk.com – provides a steady bid under crypto asset prices, reinforcing a bullish trend. Nation-State and Sovereign Adoption: A notable development to watch in late 2025 is the entry of nation-states and public institutions into Bitcoin. Fidelity Digital Assets published a report calling 2025 a potential “game changer in terms of bitcoin adoption”, predicting that more nation-states, central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and treasuries will buy BTC as a strategic reserve asset coindesk.com . The rationale is that with rising inflation and heavy debt loads, governments face currency debasement and financial instability, making Bitcoin an attractive hedge coindesk.com . By Q4 2025, we could see early signs of this trend. For example, there are rumors that Russia and Brazil have explored holding Bitcoin reserves fortune.com , and Middle Eastern sovereign funds flush with petrodollars might quietly accumulate crypto as diversification. In the U.S., President Trump and crypto-friendly lawmakers like Senator Cynthia Lummis have openly discussed establishing a U.S. Bitcoin reserve or adding BTC to Treasury holdings coindesk.com . Lummis even introduced a “Bitcoin Reserve” bill in 2024, which if enacted would set a precedent for national adoption coindesk.com . While such bold moves might not happen overnight, even small allocations by governments or central banks would be symbolically massive. It would validate crypto’s role as “digital gold” and potentially ignite FOMO among other nations (a game theory dynamic Fidelity’s report alludes to). Thus by late 2025, any announcements of central banks buying Bitcoin or countries mining/holding crypto (similar to El Salvador’s earlier example) could spur a bullish frenzy. At minimum, the expectation of this “sovereign bid” provides a narrative supporting the market. As Fidelity’s analysts put it: not owning some Bitcoin may soon be seen as a greater risk for governments than owning it coindesk.com . Ethereum & Crypto Tech Upgrades: The latter part of 2025 is also packed with technological catalysts in the crypto sector, which can boost investor optimism. Chief among these is Ethereum’s roadmap milestones. Ethereum core developers plan to deliver major scaling improvements by end-2025 as part of “The Surge” phase bitrue.com . This includes fully rolling out sharding – splitting the blockchain into parallel “shards” – combined with widespread Layer-2 rollups, aiming to increase throughput to 100,000+ transactions per second bitrue.com . If Ethereum achieves this by Q4 2025, it would vastly lower fees and increase capacity, enabling a new wave of decentralized application growth. For users, that means faster, cheaper transactions; for the market, it means Ethereum becomes more valuable as utilization can skyrocket without bottlenecks. Progress is well underway: an intermediate upgrade (EIP-4844 “proto-danksharding”) was implemented earlier to boost Layer-2 efficiency, and the next major upgrade (code-named Pectra) is slated for Q1 2025 focusing on validator improvements and blob data throughput fidelitydigitalassets.com . After that, the final sharding implementation is expected. By late 2025, Ethereum’s evolution – including MEV mitigation (The Scourge) and Verkle trees for lighter nodes (The Verge) – should make the network more scalable, secure, and decentralized bitrue.com . These upgrades are bullish for the ecosystem: a more scalable Ethereum can host more DeFi, NFT, and gaming activity, attracting capital and users from traditional tech. Investors may speculate on ETH demand rising with network activity. Beyond Ethereum, other protocols (Solana, Cardano, Layer-2s like Arbitrum, etc.) also have roadmap milestones during this period, potentially improving their value propositions. Overall, the tech backdrop in late 2025 is one of significant improvement, which supports a positive market outlook – the infrastructure will be ready for mainstream scale just as interest returns. Bitcoin Halving Aftermath: Although the Bitcoin halving took place in April 2024, its bullish impact historically materializes with a lag of 12-18 months. That puts late 2025 into early 2026 right in the window when the post-halving cycle may reach a euphoric phase. By fall 2025, Bitcoin’s supply issuance will have been at half its prior rate for ~18 months, potentially leading to a supply-demand squeeze if demand surges. ARK Invest notes that previous halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) all coincided with the early stages of major bull markets ark-invest.com . Indeed, by Q4 2025 we may see this pattern repeating. ARK’s analysts observed in late 2024 that Bitcoin remained roughly on track with its four-year cycle and expressed “optimism about prospects for the next 6–12 months” following the April 2024 halving ark-invest.com . That optimism appears well-founded if macro conditions and adoption trends align as discussed. By November 2025, Bitcoin could be approaching or exceeding its previous all-time high ( ~$69K from 2021) – some crypto analysts foresee six-figure prices during this cycle. Importantly, a rising Bitcoin tide tends to lift the entire crypto market cap. Late 2025 could see a broad rally across altcoins, often referred to as “altseason,” as new retail and institutional money, emboldened by Bitcoin’s strength, diversifies into higher-beta crypto assets. The expectation of the halving-driven bull cycle can itself become a self-fulfilling sentiment booster: investors position ahead of it, providing additional buy pressure. In summary, fall 2025 is poised to be the crescendo of the Bitcoin halving cycle, with historical analogues (2013, 2017, 2021) suggesting a powerful uptrend in crypto prices. Reduced BTC supply + peak cycle FOMO + all the fundamental drivers (ETF flows, low rates, tech upgrades) make this timeframe particularly conducive to a bullish market cap expansion. Winter 2025–26 (Dec–Feb): Peak Momentum and Continued Tailwinds Bull Market Momentum: Entering winter 2025/26, the crypto market could be in full bull mode. If the above developments play out, total crypto market capitalization may be approaching new highs by late 2025, driven by strong fundamentals and investor FOMO. Historically, the final leg of crypto bull markets sees parabolic gains and surging liquidity inflows. We might witness that in Dec 2025 – Feb 2026: exuberant sentiment, mainstream media coverage of Bitcoin “breaking records,” and increased retail participation. Unlike the 2017 and 2021 peaks, however, this cycle has far greater institutional involvement, which could imply more sustainable capital inflows (and possibly a larger magnitude of inflows). Key macro factors are likely to remain supportive through early 2026: central banks that began easing in 2024-25 may continue to hold rates low or even consider renewed asset purchases if economies are soft. For instance, if a mild U.S. recession hits in late 2025, the Fed and peers could respond with quantitative easing or liquidity facilities, effectively “printing” money that often finds its way into asset markets, including crypto nasdaq.com . China’s PBoC could also inject stimulus to boost growth, adding to global liquidity. Such actions would prolong the “risk-on” environment into 2026, delaying any end to the crypto uptrend. Additionally, global equity markets are projected to be strong in this scenario (buoyed by low rates and easing geopolitical tensions), and crypto’s correlation with equities means a rising stock tide lifts crypto too – as was observed in May 2025 when stock rallies coincided with BTC and ETH jumps blockchain.news blockchain.news . Investor Sentiment and Retail Revival: By early 2026, investor sentiment toward crypto could be the most bullish since 2021. With clear regulatory frameworks, high-profile endorsements (even governments buying in), and tech narratives (Web3, AI+blockchain, etc.), the stage is set for a positive feedback loop. Retail investors who largely sat out during the harsh 2022–23 bear market may fully return, spurred by “fear of missing out” as they see Bitcoin and popular altcoins climbing. This broadening of participation (from hedge funds down to everyday investors globally) increases market breadth and can drive total market cap to climactic heights. Notably, the availability of user-friendly investment onramps – e.g. spot crypto ETFs through any brokerage, crypto offerings integrated in fintech apps and banks – makes it much easier for average investors to allocate to crypto in 2025-26 than in past cycles. The removal of friction means inflows can ramp up faster and larger. Social media and pop culture hype also tend to peak in late-stage bulls; we might see Bitcoin and Ethereum becoming water-cooler talk again, drawing in new demographics. All of this contributes to strong sentiment and capital inflows in winter 2025/26, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Continued Policy and Geopolitical Tailwinds: The policy landscape is expected to remain a tailwind into 2026. In the U.S., if the pro-crypto Trump administration stays aligned with its promises, we could see additional positive actions: perhaps tax clarity for digital assets, streamlined ETF approvals for more crypto categories, or even federal guidelines for banks to hold crypto on balance sheets. Such steps would further normalize crypto within the financial system. Regulatory coordination internationally might also improve – for example, G20 nations in 2025 have been working on a global crypto reporting framework and stablecoin standards, which, once implemented, reduce the risk of harsh crackdowns in any major economy. On the geopolitical front, the BRICS de-dollarization efforts might bear first fruit by 2026, such as increased trade settled in yuan, gold, or even Bitcoin. If Saudi Arabia (a new BRICS invitee) starts pricing some oil in non-USD, that could weaken dollar liquidity at the margins, and some of that displaced value might flow to alternative stores like crypto or gold. Additionally, by 2026 the world will be looking ahead to the next U.S. Presidential election cycle (2028) – typically, in the lead-up, administrations prefer supportive economic conditions. This could mean fiscal stimulus or at least no new financial regulations that rock markets, implying a benign policy environment for risk assets. In Europe, 2026 will see MiCA fully operational and possibly updated with new provisions for DeFi and NFTs, further integrating the crypto market. In sum, early 2026 should carry forward many of 2025’s positive drivers – ample liquidity, regulatory support, and growing mainstream acceptance – giving little reason to suspect an abrupt end to the bullish trend during this window. Bitcoin Halving Cycle Peak: If history rhymes, the crypto market might reach a cycle peak somewhere around late 2025 or early 2026. Past bull cycles (2013, 2017, 2021) peaked roughly 12-18 months after the halving; a similar timeframe would put a possible top in the Dec 2025 – Feb 2026 period. That could mean Bitcoin at unprecedented price levels and total crypto market cap in multi-trillions, barring any unforeseen shocks. ARK Invest’s analysis as of late 2024 remained optimistic that Bitcoin was “in sync with historical cycles” and poised for strong performance into 2025 ark-invest.com . By early 2026, those cycle dynamics (diminished new supply vs. surging demand) might reach a crescendo. One metric to watch is the stock-to-flow or issuance rate – post-halving Bitcoin’s inflation rate is below 1%, lower than gold’s, which can drive the digital gold narrative to its zenith at this point. Moreover, Ethereum’s upcoming transition to a deflationary issuance (with EIP-1559 fee burns and Proof-of-Stake) means ETH could also be seeing declining supply into 2026, potentially amplifying its price if demand spikes. Thus, both of the top crypto assets would have increasing scarcity dynamics during the period when interest is highest – a recipe for a dramatic run-up. Importantly, capital rotations within crypto during peak phases often send smaller altcoins skyrocketing (as investors seek outsized gains), temporarily boosting total market cap beyond just Bitcoin’s contribution. All told, the early 2026 period could represent the euphoric apex of this cycle’s bull market, supported by solid macro and fundamental fuel laid in the preceding months. Even if volatility will be high, the overall outlook through February 2026 remains strongly bullish for crypto’s total market capitalization, given the confluence of loose monetary conditions, favorable policy shifts, geopolitical diversification into crypto, institutional FOMO, and major network upgrades powering the narrative. ✨ Philosophical Reflection In the ever-unfolding rhythm of cycles—accumulation, expansion, distribution, and reset—crypto mirrors the deeper architecture of nature and consciousness. Just as seeds lie dormant in winter awaiting the kiss of spring, so too does capital bide its time in the shadows before surging into momentum. The Fibonacci spirals found in shells, storms, and galaxies reappear in price action—offering not just numbers, but a language of emergence. What we witness in the TOTAL market cap is not just a breakout—it is a reawakening. A collective pulse of belief, liquidity, and intention. In this confluence of technical geometry and macroeconomic tides, the market becomes more than price—it becomes a story, a symbol, a signal. We don’t just analyze this chart—we read it like a sacred map, charting the ascent of value, vision, and velocity.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by BitonGroup
BTC - Let's Do It Again!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the lower orange trendline and moved higher as expected! ✅ 🔄 BTC is now retesting the lower trendline again, so we’ll be looking for new trend-following buy setups as long as the red structure at $105,000 holds! 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
19
Bitcoin will fall to support line of channel and then rebound upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Bitcoin spent a considerable period trading within a horizontal range, bounded by the buyer zone around 92000 - 93000 points and the upper boundary just below 103000 points. Throughout this phase, the price respected both limits, bouncing between support and resistance, forming a stable consolidation base. Eventually, BTC broke out of this range with a strong bullish impulse, entering a clearly defined upward channel. Since then, price action has been guided by the structure of this rising channel, consistently forming higher highs and lows. Multiple clean retests of the support line confirm the integrity of the trend, and recent movement shows BTC pulling back from mid-channel after a short-term correction. Now the price is approaching the support area between 102000 - 103000, which aligns with the channel’s lower boundary. Given the pattern’s consistency and strength in previous rebounds, I think BTC can correct to the support line and continue to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 113000 points, near the resistance of the upward channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
5
TONUSDT Forming Falling Wedge TONUSDT is currently forming a classic falling wedge pattern—a historically bullish setup that often precedes major price breakouts. The recent breakout from the wedge accompanied by a significant surge in volume indicates a shift in market sentiment. This pattern suggests the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a new bullish wave. Such formations often result in strong upward price action once the resistance trendline is broken with volume confirmation. Market participants have shown renewed interest in TON, with price currently stabilizing above a previous key resistance level, now potentially acting as support. This shift aligns with the historical behavior of wedge breakouts, where the asset consolidates briefly before continuing its climb. The current structure and momentum signal a potential 90% to 100% price appreciation, especially as investors recognize the strength of the breakout and the fundamental developments behind the project. The volume profile further supports this bullish thesis. An increase in buying pressure at the breakout level reinforces the conviction that a trend reversal is in play. If TON maintains its bullish structure, the next major resistance zones could be tested, offering traders and long-term holders a strong opportunity to capitalize on this technical shift. With rising investor interest and a textbook bullish pattern breakout, TONUSDT is a crypto pair to watch closely. The breakout from the falling wedge combined with solid volume growth and increasing sentiment across crypto communities signals that a new uptrend could be underway. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
BTCUSDT – Risk of trend break, bearish signs emergingBTCUSDT is trading right at the lower boundary of its ascending channel, around the 108,800 mark. After several bounces from this trendline, price action now appears to be stalling—indicating that buying pressure is weakening. If the price breaks below the 107,500–106,500 support zone (marked by the 34 EMA and recent swing low), the short-term uptrend could be invalidated. A confirmed break below 106,500 could trigger a further correction toward the 89 EMA around 102,800. On the news front: Latest data shows Bitcoin’s dominance is slightly decreasing as capital rotates back into altcoins. Additionally, market uncertainty surrounding the Fed's monetary policy outlook is making investors more cautious about riskier assets like crypto.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
BITCOIN Desperately needs that weekly closing!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above its January Resistance, effectively making a new All Time High (ATH). Technically, within BTC's dominant 2.5-year Channel Up, that is not enough to generate a bullish extension on its own and the reason is that a 1W candle closing above the Resistance level is needed and not just a break. At least that's what happened during the last two Bullish Legs, where it required a convincing 1W candle close considerably above the Resistance, to confirm the Bullish Extension. In fact the break-out candles on both previous Bullish Legs is fairly identical. The minimum % rise on the pattern's three Bullish Legs has been +96.75% with the others not falling way off that range (+98.74% and +106.94%). As a result, the bare minimum Target we can be expecting, in the event of a 1W candle closing above the $109500 Resistance, is $147000. Do you think that' within the market's immediate reach? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
Bitcoin is correcting to support. Possible growth to 110.000Bitcoin failed to hold above 110000, but at the same time the price is forming a flat. The support has not been tested yet (the cascade of orders below the level has not been touched) and within the uptrend the area of 106700 plays an important role. Based on bitcoin is inside the flat you can consider trading between its boundaries. Scenario: Within the current movement, the price is likely to form a retest of the 106700 support with the aim of liquidation and accumulation inside the flat. False break of support may attract buyers and in this case bitcoin may test 110000 again.
Long
by AndeWave
8
Minor advantage on the bullish sideMorning folks, So, downside AB-CD action is started as we suggested. But, it is very slow and going heavy. Appearing of triangle shape here and early signs of bullish dynamic pressure on daily chart turns the balance slightly on the bullish side. Still, we do not have yet any clear patterns that makes us sure. So, if you're conservative - it would be better to wait a bit. If you still want to buy inside the triangle - it would be better to place initial stop below OP target, just not to be washed out occasionally, if AB=CD will be completed. Because it doesn't break the bullish context but could give us "222' Buy instead.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
UNIUSDT Forming Bullish Wave UNIUSDT is exhibiting a compelling bullish wave formation, rebounding robustly from a well-established support level. This resurgence is underpinned by a notable increase in trading volume, signaling heightened investor interest and potential for significant upward movement. The current market dynamics suggest a favorable environment for UNI, with technical indicators aligning to support a bullish outlook.​ Trading Lounge +7 The Currency Analytics +7 Reddit +7 The recent price action has seen UNI reclaim key support zones, demonstrating resilience and the capacity for sustained growth. Technical analyses indicate that if UNI maintains its trajectory, it could achieve gains in the range of 150% to 160%, targeting resistance levels that have previously acted as significant price ceilings. The convergence of increased volume and positive price movement often precedes substantial rallies, and UNI appears poised to capitalize on this momentum.​ Investors are increasingly attentive to UNI's performance, recognizing the potential for substantial returns. The current setup offers an attractive risk-reward ratio, particularly for traders seeking to leverage the anticipated bullish wave. As UNI continues to garner attention, its market position strengthens, further validating the optimistic projections surrounding its price movement.​ In summary, UNIUSDT's technical indicators and market sentiment coalesce to present a promising opportunity for traders and investors alike. The alignment of a bullish wave pattern, reinforced by strong support and escalating volume, underscores the potential for significant price appreciation in the near term.​ ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
1
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot, which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and could drop to the 1st support, which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 108,411.31 1st Support: 105,349.38 1st Resistance: 109,146.02 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!BTC/USDT Chart Analysis The price has broken above a key resistance area (~$104,000–$105,000) and is now retesting it as support. The 50-day (red) and 200-day (green) moving averages slope upward, indicating bullish momentum. Price activity consolidates just above the key resistance-to-support area, indicating accumulation ahead of a potential breakout. If the price sustains above $104,000, we could see continuation towards $120,000–$125,000. A break below $104,000 could see the price retest lower support areas near $100,000 or even $97,000–$98,000. Conclusion: Bullish bias above $104,000. If support fails, a bearish move is possible, but momentum is in the bulls’ favor right now. Stay tuned for updates and key levels to watch! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Bitcoin's Bearish Potential Explained Using Candlestick ReadingI will explain the chart as it is now based on candlestick reading and then add some additional information. The bearish bias short-term has been confirmed. The green line marks Bitcoin's all-time high. Dark red is the previous ath 20-Jan. 2025 and the dark red dotted line the high from 17-Dec. 2024. Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) now trade below all three levels on a daily basis. Right after the all-time high, 23-May, we have a full red candle. The full red candle is a rejection as Bitcoin produced this new ath which is also a technical double-top. After three days green, Bitcoin produces a lower high in the form of a Doji. 27-May. This Doji confirms the candle from 23-May. Today, 28-May, Bitcoin produces a red candle as continuation of the action from 23 and 27 May. Trading volume is super low. Big institutions are buying and these always tend to buy at the top. The top means higher no more. A correction is upon us. Resistance has been confirmed, how can Bitcoin turn bullish again short-term? It needs to move and close above the all-time high on a daily basis. Anything lower and you can SHORT. The fact that Bitcoin closed 7 consecutive weeks green, with the last few weeks become smaller, it is a sign of exhaustion, the market is looking for a relief. A retrace can turn into a correction and if panic sets in a correction can turn into a crash. It is still early though, but these things tend to unravel pretty fast. Are you paying attention? What will happen now? A bullish trend is based on higher highs and higher lows. The bigger structure is not likely to break but, Bitcoin is going down, it doesn't matter if it is short or mid-term... Do what you have to do to protect yourself or secure profits. You can never go wrong by securing some profits when your pairs grew by 300 to 500%. If you are waiting for more, forever more, you are just a greedy ... trader. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Secure the win and forget the greed. Win, win, win. And you will have the chance to play again. Plan before buying. Develop a plan and use this trading plan to achieve trading success. Whatever you do is up to you. I am just reading the chart. I left one question unanswered on purpose; How far down will it go? Tell me in the comments, if you tell me your version I will tell you mine. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Buy and sell. Sell, not hold. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
1
Next Volatility Period: Around June 6 Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This is the last day of this volatility period. To continue the uptrend, the price needs to rise above at least 109403.63 and hold. If it fails to rise, we need to check if it is supported near 106843.58. And we need to see if it can touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and rise. If the price is maintained above the HA-High indicator, it is also important to see if the price can be maintained above 106843.58, as there is a possibility of a stepwise rise. The next volatility period is expected to be around June 6. - (30m chart) It seems that the basic trading strategy is being followed faithfully. That is, it is showing a pattern of buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator. Therefore, we need to focus on finding a trading point when the HA-Low or HA-High indicator is touched. However, if it is supported by the HA-High indicator and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it is resisted by the HA-Low indicator and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend. Even so, we must not forget that the end of a stepwise upward trend is a decline, and the end of a stepwise downward trend is an increase. At the current price position, the important points on the 1D chart are 111696.21, 109403.63, and 106843.58. Therefore, when looking at the 30m chart, if the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are generated near the important points above, it is necessary to interpret that point as forming a more important section. In other words, the HA-Low indicator was generated at the 107096.41 point near the current 106843.58 point, and it eventually showed an upward trend. Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is newly generated as the price falls, you should check if there is an important point near it. Otherwise, if it touches the existing HA-Low indicator point of 107094.41 again, it is more likely to fall because it touches the second time, so you need to be careful when trading. This means that the HA-Low indicator is likely to rise when it is first generated, and is likely to fall when it touches the second time. Conversely, the HA-High indicator is likely to fall when it is first generated, and is likely to rise when it touches the second time. Since the interpretation of the indicator is not 100% applicable, you should check the support and find the trading point. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
2
Bitcoin 6X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers —2nd Entry (PP: 540%)I will explain my thinking as usual so you can make an informed decision. I believe Bitcoin will make a new advance. When there is a move that leads to the challenge of resistance or support, there is always a stop, a retrace or pullback before additional action. Bitcoin here stopped at 95,000, which is the first resistance from our previous trade-signal and did produce a retrace but it was extremely small. This is a bullish signal. The fact that the action remains at resistance and this resistance continues to be challenged, is also a bullish signal. The more this resistance gets challenged the weaker it becomes. Now, a 2nd entry is riskier than the first one of course because the action is more advanced but not everybody can enter perfectly at bottom prices nor at the same time. We manage risk through capital allocation and relatively low leverage, which is actually pretty high. See the full numbers and you will see that risk is low. The stop goes below the low 13-Jan. 2025. The lowest after the final advance happened at $91,688 on 24-April. This is a relatively safe chart setup. _____ LONG BTCUSDT Leverage: 6X 1) $96,000 2) $93,000 3) $90,000 Targets: 1) $104,250 2) $120,000 3) $131,400 4) $143,300 5) $165,000 6) $181,000 Stop-loss: Close weekly below $86,000 Potential profits: 540% Capital allocation: 5% _____ I think timing is good on this one. The next move can happen within days because consolidation has been happening already for an entire week without much change in price, clearly a continuation pattern. Volume being low at this point is also a signal of consolidation. The fact that there is no volume indicates that the true bullish action is yet to start. Bears not being present indicates that growth will happen long-term as the bearish cycle (the previous correction) is over. I wishing you great luck and profits. The market always offers a second chance, always. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
5
Bitcoin 5X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 710%)Bitcoin is presenting us with a very clear and strong bullish bias. The action is happening within a very tight falling wedge pattern. All market conditions are bullish, technical and fundamentals. Everything is pointing up starting several days ago. 7-April Bitcoin produced its 2025 market bottom low. From this date on, we will see growth until late 2025 or maybe until early 2026 or beyond. This is a high probability trade setup. The market produced many shakeouts already and the majority of weak hands have been removed. All the people around now, all remaining participants, are solid players with diamond hands. These people, you, have a plan and know how to play the long-term game. For people like us, the market is making this opportunity available. Make the best of it. Aim high. Full trade-numbers below: _____ LONG BTCUSDT Leverage: 5X Entry levels: 1) $85,000 2) $82,000 3) $78,000 Targets: 1) $95,000 2) $104,250 3) $120,000 4) $131,400 5) $143,300 11) $165,000 12) $181,000 13) $203,000 Stop-loss: Close monthly below $74,000 Potential profits: 710% Capital allocation: 5% _____ Strategy: Buy and hold. If prices drop, buy some more. The market will take care of the rest. Just make sure to keep your position active, do not allow to be liquidated. That's the only important point. Bitcoin will soon grow. Patience is key. Use low risk. Success is yours. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
21