Btc-e
Why Bull Market Is Not Over For Bitcoin BTC?Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we have see the drop on BINANCE:BTCUSDT to $91k. We can't understand why it caused so much fear and negative in crypto communities. This is still next to ATH but fear and greed index dropped into the fear territory. This is great sign for bull run continuation and now we will explain you this statement with the technical analysis.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Before December we had a great probability
that anticipated growth from $50k to $100k could be the final wave 5 of the bear market, but price action has broken the potential Awesome Oscillator's bearish divergence. It gives us the confidence that this move was just the wave 1 in wave 3. It means that the most impulsive growth ahead. The minimal target is 1.61 Fibonacci at $140k, maximal at $200k. We believe more in $200k, but watch out our updates because targets can be recalculated.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Alt season could already be here, only is winter seasonThe Crypto Market at a Crossroads: What’s Could Next for Bitcoin and Altcoins?
The cryptocurrency market is at a critical juncture, and the narratives being pushed by crypto influencers might not be telling the full story. Over the next weeks and months, the altcoin landscape could undergo significant changes, and there are signals emerging that few are discussing. In this post, I’ll analyze Bitcoin, altcoins, and Bitcoin dominance and what I expect in the coming months.
Bitcoin’s Current Position: Are We Near the Top?
When analyzing Bitcoin, it’s crucial to zoom out and assess the bigger picture. On a weekly chart, Bitcoin’s price action suggests that we might be nearing a top. While some argue that the peak has already occurred, the current structure indicates that Bitcoin could enter a sideways/ downward movement like we saw last year.
If Bitcoin continues to move sideways, altcoins are likely to follow suit. However, during these phases, some altcoins may experience brief runs, especially if Bitcoin dominance starts to decline.
But here’s the catch: Bitcoin dominance has been steadily rising since Bitcoin’s bottom, which is unusual. Typically, during the late stages of a cycle, Bitcoin dominance drops as altcoins surge. This time, however, the landscape seems different.
Altcoin Season: A Muted Rally?
The idea of a massive altcoin season, where all altcoins surge simultaneously, might be a thing of the past. While some coins like BINANCE:SOLUSDT have already seen significant runs (from nearly $80 to $300 top in one year), the broader altcoin market has not experienced the same explosive growth. Instead, only a select few altcoins made significant moves.
This doesn’t mean that altcoins are dead. There will still be opportunities, but they will likely be more selective. Coins that have already made substantial gains, like Solana, may have already topped out.
Going forward the key should be to focus on coins that show strong volume breakouts and price action, rather than holding onto underperforming assets.
Bitcoin Dominance and the Changing Landscape
Bitcoin dominance has been on an upward trajectory, which is unusual for this stage of the cycle. Historically, Bitcoin dominance falls as altcoins begin to rally.
However, this time, the dominance chart suggests that the market dynamics are shifting. While a drop in Bitcoin dominance is still possible, it may not be as pronounced as in previous cycles.
This changing landscape could be due to the sheer number of altcoins in the market. With thousands of coins vying for attention, there simply isn’t enough liquidity to pump all of them. This dilution effect means that only a handful of coins will likely see significant gains, while the majority will continue to underperform.
The Role of Meme Coins and Newer Projects
One of the standout trends in this cycle has been the rise of meme coins and newer projects. Coins like BINANCE:SUIUSDT , which launched during this cycle, have already broken their all-time highs. However, even these newer coins may be entering a bear market phase.
The market is saturated, and without a significant influx of liquidity, it’s unlikely that we’ll see another massive altcoin season.
Meme coins, in particular, have been a double-edged sword. While they’ve provided some of the most explosive gains, they’ve also drained liquidity from the broader market.
This extraction of value has made it harder for other altcoins to gain traction, further complicating the market dynamics.
The Bigger Picture: A Potential Bear Market
Looking at the broader market, there’s a growing possibility that we could be entering a bear market.
The sheer number of coins in the market, combined with the lack of liquidity, suggests that the crypto space is due for a significant shakeout.
Coins like BINANCE:DOTUSD , CAPITALCOM:FILUSD and even BINANCE:ADAUSDT , which have been in a bear market since 2021, are a prime example of this trend.
Many altcoins are already down 80-90% from their all-time highs, and the chances of them recovering are slim.
This is why it’s crucial to focus on coins that have already established a bull trend and are hovering around their support zones, as they have a higher probability of breaking out and continuing their upward trajectory.
Key Takeaways and What to Watch For
1. Bitcoin’s Sideways Movement: Bitcoin is likely to move sideways or slightly downward in the coming weeks, which could create opportunities for select altcoins.
2. Selective Altcoin Runs: Not all altcoins will rally. Focus on coins with strong volume breakouts and price action.
3. Bitcoin Dominance: Keep an eye on Bitcoin dominance. A drop could signal a brief altcoin rally, but it may not be as significant as in previous cycles.
4. Meme Coins and Newer Projects: While meme coins and newer projects have seen gains, they may be entering a bear market phase. Be cautious with these assets.
5. Long-Term Bear Market : The crypto market could be entering a bear market. Focus on preserving capital and avoid holding onto underperforming assets.
Final Thoughts:
The crypto market is at a crossroads, and the next few months could be pivotal. While there will still be opportunities, they will likely be more selective and harder to come by.
By focusing on strong projects with solid fundamentals and avoiding the hype, you can navigate this changing landscape more effectively.
Remember, the key to success in crypto is not just about making money—it’s also about avoiding losses.
Best of Luck!
Mihai Iacob
$BTC.D is at key Fib Retracement level. More upside-expectedThe most important story of this Crypto cycle has been the relentless strength of CRYPTOCAP:BTC against other crypto. The index CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D which measures the dominance of BTC in the total Crypto market in terms of Market Cap hit its low in Dec 2021 when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D hit a multi-year low of 39%. That means only 39% of the Total Market Crypto can be attributed to $BTC. But since then, the Fed quantitative tightening began and most of the cryptos faced a meltdown. Even though CRYPTOCAP:BTC faced a bear market in CRYPTOCAP:USDT terms but still it fell less than the average Crypto. Since then, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart has made a bullish double bottom and then made new higher lows and higher highs. If we plot the Fib retracement levels on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly chart we saw recently that the Dominance chart stalled around 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels. Since then, the Dominance chart has been making new highs and broken past the 0.618 . The next key level is 0.786 which will take the dominance to 66.12% percent. Watch out for my blog when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D reaches the key level for more insights.
XAUUSD ANALYS#XAUUSD ANALYS
####### This analysis was loaded with the correct wavenumber. ######
With this wave count, we can say that here, by hunting liquidity, $2950 will move towards $2700 to complete micro-wave C of wave 4.
I hope this analysis has helped you.
Share this analysis with your friends.
The analysis was done by Mr. Khosravi.
Signature
KHOSRAVI.E.W
How to Get Funded and Become a Forex Prop Trader in 2025?How to Get Funded and Become a Forex Prop Trader in 2025: A Step-by-Step Action Plan
With prop trading firms offering funding to skilled traders, 2025 presents an excellent opportunity to trade with significant capital while limiting your personal risk. Here’s a detailed roadmap to getting funded and becoming a successful prop trader in the forex market.
________________________________________
📌 Step 1: Build a Profitable Trading Strategy
Before applying to a prop firm, you need a tested and profitable strategy that aligns with prop firm risk rules. Here’s what to focus on:
✅ Choose a Trading Style
• Scalping – Quick, small trades (requires low spreads and fast execution).
• Day Trading – Intraday trades with clear setups (most prop firms allow).
• Swing Trading – Holding trades for days/weeks (lower stress, fits many prop firm rules).
• Algorithmic Trading – Using bots or EAs (some firms allow automation).
✅ Develop a High-Probability Edge
• Top-Down Technical Analysis (Identify trends using multiple timeframes).
• Price Action & Market Structure (Support/resistance, breakouts, trendlines).
• Risk-Reward Ratios (Aim for at least 1:2 RR on trades).
• News & Fundamentals (FOMC, NFP, CPI, interest rate decisions).
✅ Backtest & Optimize Your Strategy
• Use Forex Tester 5 or TradingView’s replay mode to test past market conditions.
• Run at least 100-200 trades in a demo account.
• Maintain a win rate above 50% with an R:R of 1:2 or higher.
________________________________________
📌 Step 2: Master Risk & Money Management
Most prop firms fail traders due to poor risk management. Here’s how to avoid that:
✅ Follow Strict Drawdown Rules
• Daily Drawdown: Most firms allow 5% max daily loss.
• Overall Drawdown: 8-10% max loss before account termination.
• Solution: Risk only 0.5% - 1% per trade.
✅ Position Sizing
• Lot Size Calculator: Always use a calculator to match risk per trade.
• Adjust for Volatility: Trade smaller lots on high-impact news days.
✅ Risk-Adjusted Growth
• Withdraw profits monthly to secure earnings.
• Scale up gradually instead of over-leveraging.
________________________________________
📌 Step 3: Get Funded by a Prop Firm
🚀 Top Prop Firms in 2025 for Forex Traders
• FTMO – Up to $400,000 funding, 90% profit share.
• My Forex Funds (MFF) – Up to $600,000 funding, 85% profit split.
• The Funded Trader – 80-90% profit split, offers aggressive scaling.
• Fidelcrest – Allows scalping, news trading, and EAs.
• E8 Funding – Low drawdown rules, 80% split.
📈 How to Pass a Prop Firm Challenge
Most firms require a two-phase evaluation:
1. Phase 1: Profit target (8-10%) within 30 days without exceeding the daily/overall drawdown.
2. Phase 2: Lower profit target (4-5%) within 60 days with the same risk rules.
3. Funded Stage: Trade firm capital with a profit split (usually 75-90% to the trader).
🛠️ Pro Tips to Pass a Prop Firm Challenge
✅ Risk only 0.5% per trade (low risk = higher success rate).
✅ Trade high-probability setups only (2-3 trades per day max).
✅ Avoid trading the first & last 15 minutes of sessions (high spreads).
✅ Use a prop firm challenge simulator before applying.
________________________________________
📌 Step 4: Optimize & Scale Your Trading Career
🔹 Get Multiple Funded Accounts
• Many firms allow traders to manage multiple accounts.
• Use copy trading software (e.g., Trade Copier, FXBlue) to replicate trades across accounts.
• Some firms have a combined max funding of over $2 million.
🔹 Transition to a Full-Time Forex Trader
1. Withdraw Profits Monthly – Secure earnings and reinvest.
2. Diversify Income Streams – Consider trading signals, coaching, or selling EAs.
3. Trade with Institutional Mindset – Focus on consistency over big wins.
________________________________________
📌 Step 5: Use Trading Tools & AI Bots for an Edge
🔹 Best Forex Trading Tools in 2025
📊 TradingView & MT5 – Best for charting & analysis.
📉 AutoRisk Calculator – Automates lot sizing based on risk %.
🤖 AI & Algo Bots – AI-powered news sentiment analysis & high-frequency trading.
📅 Forex Factory & Myfxbook – Economic calendar & trade tracking.
________________________________________
📌 Step 6: Stay Ahead in the Forex Market
🚀 Follow Pro Traders – Learn from institutions & hedge funds.
📊 Analyze Market Cycles – 2025 will be affected by interest rates & global policies.
📉 Avoid Overtrading – Focus on quality over quantity.
📈 Invest in Continuous Learning – Join trading communities & courses.
________________________________________
🎯 Final Thoughts: The Fastest Way to Become a Forex Prop Trader in 2025
✅ Develop a tested, profitable strategy.
✅ Master risk & money management.
✅ Apply to top prop firms & pass the evaluation.
✅ Scale with multiple funded accounts.
✅ Stay disciplined, patient, and focused on long-term success.
LTC - Dino coin will make itHey,
I believe we're nearing the bottom for LTC in this cycle, setting up for the next major move higher.
It might take some time to play out, but I expect to see momentum picking up in Q2/Q3.
LTC is a dinosaur token—one that doesn’t get much love anymore—but I still see it reaching $300+ within the next 6 to 12 months.
BTCUSDT to bounce from 4h support towards weekly resistanceHere is the next trade setup for long. The price is likely to dip into 4h support zone deeper, but we will keep building position as the price dips further into the zone. Target is first 4h resistance 4HR1 then daily resistance DR1 and then weekly resistance WR1. We will evaluate the price action as it will reach these resistance milestones. There are retracement possible from these levels and therefore we will book some profit at these levels and will add on the retracements depdending on the charactersitics of the retracements.
Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market.
Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends
Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level.
A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure.
Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month?
If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Here’s where we could see solid support:
Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time
Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March
Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark
Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K
Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone
Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region
Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup
Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce
Resistance Levels & Confluences
Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears
Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement
233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside
Potential Trade Setups
Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K
Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades.
New Indicator Release
The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
BTC - Key Zones & Liquidity InsightsBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently oscillating within a new trading range, establishing a trustable support zone while facing a weaker resistance trendline and resistance zone. Given this setup, a breakout isn’t the primary expectation just yet.
🔹 Key Observations:
Support Zone Strength: The support zone is stronger than the resistance, making it less likely for BTC to break downward easily.
Resistance Weakness: The resistance trendline and zone appear weaker, meaning any rejection could be temporary.
Liquidity Perspective: As seen on the liquidity chart, there’s favorable liquidity above the resistance zone, increasing the probability of a short-term push higher to hunt liquidity.
💡 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ BTC could move toward the resistance zone, tapping into liquidity before reacting.
2️⃣ If buyers step in aggressively, a short-term liquidity grab above resistance might trigger further upside.
3️⃣ Failure to reclaim key levels could lead to continued range-bound movement.
🚀 Stay ready for the next Bitcoin move! Follow for real-time updates and professional insights! 🔔
Market3I haven’t been posting much lately simply because there’s nothing particularly interesting to say, the market has been a bit dull.
2025 should be a strong year for altcoins, as they’ve been consistently suppressed. With BTC dominance reaching 64%, which is quite significant, all attention remains on Bitcoin.
On this chart, you can see that $1.17 trillion acted as a rejection level for the crypto market (excluding BTC and ETH). Time will tell, but I anticipate a $4 trillion altcoin bull market before the end of 2025.
Remember, Fibonacci plays a crucial role in long-term market predictions.
Invest wisely and at the right time.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BITCOIN Drops Below Major Support - Is $93,000 the Next Target?COINBASE:BTCUSD has decisively broken below a key support level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The recent price action shows a rejection at this broken support, now acting as resistance, indicating that sellers are regaining control. This rejection reinforces the bearish outlook, as failed attempts to reclaim the level suggest continued downside pressure.
If bearish momentum persists, BTC could extend its decline toward the $93,000 support zone, a key level where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a sustained move back above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish setup, signaling a potential shift in momentum. In this scenario, buyers could regain strength, possibly driving the price higher and negating the bearish bias.
Traders should remain cautious and monitor price action around these key levels to confirm directional bias before committing to a position. Risk management remains essential, given the volatility of BTC/USD.
BREIFING Week #6 : Volatility is LyingHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
The elusive alt season... Is QE coming soon?The magical Alt season never seems to come. Most have thrown in the towel or lost all their money, which is a good sign the bottom is in.
The secret here is paying close attention to the FED's (FRED:WALCL) Quantitative tightening and easing.
Since the start in 2008, we have always either had QE or some sort of pause like you see in the 2016/17 bull run, but as soon as the FED flips to tightening, what happens? BTC pauses.
It is true that Bitcoin has performed very well during tightening cycles, as massive corporations like BlackRock and MicroStrategy are eating through the supply.
As for the altcoin market, it has been a bloodbath. One thing that’s clear to me is that altcoins need the FED to flip to QE in order to get things really going.
Going over the latest FED's Monetary Policy Report that came out yesterday, it hints that they are close to ending their tightening cycle and easing off a bit.
**WHICH IS HUGE NEWS!**
We can now see that this is true indeed because the red line is now starting to flatten out, just like in 2020 before the FED flipped to QE.
As far as the technicals go, the altcoin chart has now formed an ascending triangle and, for now, is still printing higher lows. 20 days left for this monthly candle to close.
If, let's say, this monthly candle breaks ATH and closes above it, it could signal the start of the alt season, and if history repeats, we’re looking at a run-up from March 2025 to September/October 2025.
So the next FOMC meeting from the FED is the most important of the year. Now that this report hints at the end of the tightening cycle, is it possible that at the next FOMC meeting on March 18th, 2025, they will announce the end of tightening and trigger the start of the alt season?
Pretty heavy upper wick for now on the BTC.D. It’s currently on the .702 retracement. Is this the top?
A chart I use a lot. Really want to see this monthly candle close back into this triangle.
**Alts/USDT.D**
This chart is one of the most important ones I’m looking at right now. Currently forming a bump-and-run reversal, and again, very bullish if we hold the neckline.
The USDT.D chart will always lead the way. It’s always one step ahead, never fails me. Until we see a break of this green support line, we won’t see ALT season. The bear flag pattern target is the same target as April 2021, which is interesting.
As I published on my ETH TA, if we close the weekly in this channel, it will be very bullish.
### Conclusion
I'm extremely bullish right now. Leverage has been reset, greed has been reset, and everyone is throwing in the towel. On social media, "it's over" talk is everywhere. This is the kind of depression I'm looking for to tell me it’s the start of ALT season and not the end.
**Invalidation of this thesis would be the following:**
- ETH closes weekly under the channel
- Bump-and-run reversal fails to hold the neckline
- FED does not flip to QE in the FOMC meeting on March 18th
If all these things happen, I will flip bearish. Until then, I'm extremely confident that this is the bottom, and you should go all out, lay all the cards down, take out loans, put all your chips on the table—it’s time to go hard or go home!
Current bitcoin bullflag has a target of 144kBeen consolidating inside this one for some time now and its been creating a lot of uncertainty in the market lately as most people have been distracted by the bearish h&s pattern on the Daly chart and haven’t zoomed out to the higher time frames to realize this whole time we’ve ust been consolidating inside this bullflag. The stochrsi has already been reset for awhile on the Daly time frame and is about to be fully reset here on the weekly time frame too sugget we will resume the uptrend in the near future. *not financial advice*
Best bitcoin investor (among 100 million)We checked all bitcoin wallets (100MLN+) to find those who buy at the bottom and sell at the peak.
So who is the best bitcoin investor?
Almost everyone knows popular investors like Michael Saylor, except he doesn't sell bitcoins and ends up with an 80% drawdown. And he's not buying at the bottom, he's averaging.
And few people know about those who actually invest competently in cryptocurrencies.
Unfortunately, I can not publish in this post a link to the wallet (because I may be banned), but we do not hide its address.
Here are the details of the wallet
Invested - 11,3k
Profit - 346k
Profit - 3052%
Wallet age 87m
Average Sell Price 34 790$
Average Buy price 14 956$
---------
I also note that he is still holding his position.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: How to prepare for the Next Big Move👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few days, exhibiting sideways price action. The key question now is: where does it go from here? In this video, I delve into critical elements of technical analysis, including market structure and price action, to outline potential scenarios. I’ll map out a strategic approach for both a breakout above the range high and a breakdown below the range low. Please note, this is not financial advice.