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Weekly Market Analysis - 16th March 2025 (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC)This is weekly market analysis of a few pairs (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC). I haven't done one of these in a while, but here it is! I would have done more pairs but the video was already 30 minutes long and I went into more teaching rather than pure analysis. I hope you found it insightful to your own trading, because what I teach is the truth of the market regardless of whatever specific strategy you use for trading. Anything can make money in the markets, but of course, risk management and discipline rule all. - R2F Trading
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Road_2_Funded
Bitcoin Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Here's My Trading Plan! Analyzing BTC on the higher timeframe, we observe a clear structural shift in the prevailing trend 📊. Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, there is a decisive bullish break 📈, leaving behind an imbalance following the initial move—an area that could serve as a retracement target 🎯. Notably, this imbalance aligns with a Fibonacci retracement into equilibrium 📐, adding confluence to the setup. I am considering a long position 💰, but only if the key conditions outlined in the video materialize ✅. If those conditions fail to align, I will discard this trade idea ❌. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
$BTC MACD on weekly show a bearish trend. Read.You can see on the chart that in May 2024 I issued a warning, and look at what happened over the next five months. The same pattern is repeating now, and there’s a high probability we’ll see a similar result. Back in May 2024, the usual crowd—MMCrypto, That Martini Guy, Ash, Crypto Rover, etc.—were all saying things like, “We’re going to 110k,” “To the moon,” or “A huge bullish breakout is coming.” What did we actually get? Five months of consolidation and an -80% drop for most altcoins. So consider this a warning. The MACD on the weekly chart is a reliable indicator of the trend. Exchanges aren’t going to go against the trend. Even if there’s a ton of liquidity at 107k, they won’t risk buying billions worth of Bitcoin just to get wrecked by the prevailing trend and be forced to sell at a lower price than they purchased. Those pointing to the liquidity map at 107k are missing the point. Exchanges take the easier path. Going from 97k to 107k is plausible in an uptrend, but in a downtrend? No chance. What to Expect Now? Since this chart is on the weekly timeframe, there will be daily bounces. Some altcoins may see 10-20% gains if you time the bottom and top correctly. However, for holders, this is not a good time to hold. Is Invalidation Possible? Yes, but consider this: they’ve tried to break the trend five times and failed. The chance of a reversal now is about 1 in 9. It’s possible, but unlikely. Key Support Levels Support levels to watch are 95k, 91k, 85k, and 70k. While we might not drop as low as 70k, it’s better to be prepared. What’s Next? By May 2025, we’ll likely reach the end of this bearish trend, followed by a one-month altseason and a big BTC pump. However, starting in July 2025, we’re likely to face another five months of bearish consolidation. The introduction of ETFs has shifted the crypto cycle into a new paradigm of five months of consolidation followed by one month of pumping. As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
by CryptoNikkoid
14
Bitcoin Teeters on $80K Edge: Will It Hold or Fold?Bitcoin is currently priced at $81,145, reflecting a volatile recovery after dipping to $78,000 recently. This movement comes amid a broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with the total market cap dropping 4.4% in the last 24 hours, dragging down major altcoins and fueling a cautious mood among traders. The lack of strong bullish momentum suggests Bitcoin may struggle to push higher unless market sentiment shifts significantly. Technical Indicators and Key Levels Technically, Bitcoin is hovering near a pivotal support at $80,000, a level with both psychological and historical significance. The price is trading below the 20-period moving average of around $81,500, signaling a short-term bearish tilt. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 shows neutral momentum, with no immediate signs of exhaustion in either direction. Resistance looms at $82,000, a barrier that previously halted upward moves. A decisive move above this level could spark optimism, but failure to defend $80,000 risks further declines. Potential Scenarios and Trading Considerations Two scenarios dominate the 1-hour chart. A hold above $80,000, followed by a break past the 20-period moving average, could pave the way for a push to $82,000, especially if volume picks up to validate the move. On the flip side, a drop below $80,000 might accelerate selling, targeting $78,000 or even $75,000, particularly if volume surges on the downside. Given the current volatility, traders should prioritize tight stop-losses and avoid excessive leverage to manage risks effectively. Broader Context and Final Tips Despite short-term uncertainty, Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend remains intact, as historical patterns suggest resilience over time. However, external triggers, like regulatory updates or economic data such as upcoming US inflation figures, could sway the market in either direction. Traders should monitor volume closely for confirmation of any breakout or breakdown and focus on how Bitcoin reacts at $80,000 support and $82,000 resistance. Staying disciplined, keeping risk in check, and adapting to real-time developments will be critical in this setup. Note: Volume spikes are your cue, watch them to confirm any significant price action.
by MonoCoinSignal
24
ROAD TO 130K !!!Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
4
Litecoin LTCUSD Completing Final Leg Down Before LaunchAs you can see Litecoin is forming a very similar pattern. I think the rest of March will be corrective. Litecoin will likely come down and bounce off the trend line which coincidental also is a major support level. April will be slightly bullish, May and June will be majorly bullish which I believe Bitcoin will also fly up to 140k as well in this time. I believe Litecoin will outperform the majority of the market. Major hyperinflation will begin this summer which will be very positive for crypto. Many cryptos will die in this hyperinflation period. Only some will survive. Dollar is going to crash. Get ready for a wild ride into 2026. People calling for a bear market are ill informed and will kick themselves for selling. This is the beginning of the biggest run in some cryptos, we've ever seen. Buckle up. Good luck. Not financial advice.
KRAKEN:LTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
5
BITCOIN - Price can reach resistance line of wedge and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price started to decline inside falling channel, where it aat once boucned from support line and rose to resistance line. Then it continued to fall and reached $91300 level, broke it soon, and continued to decline next. Price exited from channel and started to trades inside wedge, where it at once made upward impulse to $91300 level. After this, price some time traded near $91300 level and then in a short time declined to support area. But soon, BTC bounced from this area and recently it started to grow from $80000 support level. In my mind, Bitcoin can rise to resistance line and then drop to $77850 support line of wedge pattern. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
7
BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View)BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?! (Local View) Let's take a look at local movements on INDEX:BTCUSD . Since last post Bitcoin moved in our favor, reached 38,500$. We have a strong bounce here, which is heading towards upper 40s as long as daily close was above big red candle. There is a probability, that Bitcoin is going to draw lower high which can be anywhere from 38.2 to 61.8 (Golden Pocket) Fib. In confluence we have several magnets at this range. Possible stop losses around 43,500$ Fair Value Gap around 44,500$. Possible liquidations Across top 3 exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit) totaling around 4.0 Bln. USD. (This number covers last 30 Days Data) Hence we should take into consideration, that huge amount of liquidity is sitting down in the previous reaccumulation zone. (Suggesting to check out Liquidity Heatmap . Putting link because I am not able to add screenshot.)
 
- - - - - - - - -

 Next I want to mention one weird thread I bumped into on Twitter.
 It’s about HTX (ex Huobi), which is owned by Justin Sun. They turned off their proof-of-reserves system, what hints about their insolvency. Onchain analysis say that they have problems with ETH holdings. Also this is not connected to only HTX, things are being wrong with TUSD and stUSDT (Stacked USDT receipt on TRON Network).

For further details about this event please read thread from adamscochran on twitter . Hence there was around 600 Mln. USDT transfer to JustlandDao yesterday. In the end, I want to mention, that there is no 100% accurate analysis. We are dealing with probabilities, just with analysis we are shifting probabilities to our favor. Best Wishes.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Zazuna
USDT.D hinting of a massive cryto market reversal ↑. GET SEEDED!USDT.D an inverse confluence of the crypto market has predicted the major correction before it happened. It has gone parabolic for a few weeks tapping its favorite resistance roof line aT 5.50%. Now, based on the last weekly close, USDT.D is hinting of a major market reversal to the upside. (USDT.D falling = crypto market rising). It means USDT.D in red means, more cash are being converted to crypto holdings. The first descending shift line at the upper channel has been registered. First time since September 2024. This is already conveying of a major shift in trend and a weighty series of price growth from here is forthcoming in the next coming weeks. Best season to get seeded again on the market -- moreso scale in on the bluechip ones, BTC ETH ADA XRP. It's that season again. A very green one. Spotted at 5.30% Mid target at 3.50%. TAYOR. Trade safely.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by JSAL
BTCUSD: Phase 4 of Bull Cycle just started.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.562, MACD = -3343.000, ADX = 34.423) as it is making a big 1W comeback on this week's candle following a nearly perfect touch of the 1W MA50. Every test of the 1W MA50, as well as every test of the S1 1W RSI level, has been a straight buy opportunity inside the Bull Cycle's Channel Up since the very begining of the November 2022 bottom. As first the price action was concentrated on the lower half of the Channel Up (green zone) but since February 2024 it has been primarily on the upper half (blue zone) as the rallies got more aggressive, with the only exceptions being the 1W MA50 tests such as the current one (green Arcs). Every bottom rebound has increased by at least +98.76%, so that gives us a peak estimate of TP = 150,000. An temprary high around 120k and pullback to 100-90k is a possible scenario based on all previous rallies/ Phases. Phase 4, which should technicall be the final of the Bull Cycle, has just started. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Bullish Quasimodo in Play – Bitcoin’s Next Target: $84,500?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) again as I expected yesterday . Has Bitcoin given up or is it gathering momentum to attack the resistance zone again? What do you think? Bitcoin is moving near Yearly Pivot Point and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($80,537_$78,390) . From Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing an Expanding Flat(ABC/5-3-5) corrective wave . According to the Price Action , Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Quasimodo Pattern . Educational Note : The Bullish Quasimodo Pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after a downtrend. It forms when the price creates a lower low followed by a higher high and a higher low, confirming a shift in market structure. I expect Bitcoin will NOT leave the CME Gap($86,400_$84,650) unfilled and will rise to at least $84,500 . What do you think, will Bitcoin leave this CME Gap($86,400_$84,650)? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $78,800, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
35
HelenP. I Bitcoin may grow little and then drop to support areaHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price rebounded from the resistance level, which aligned with the trend line and resistance zone, attempting to rise. However, it failed and started to decline. Later, BTC dropped to the same resistance level again, broke through it, and then fell to the trend line, which coincided with the support level and support zone. After that, the price made an upward impulse to the resistance zone, followed by a quick correction before reversing and climbing back to the 91300 resistance level. The price consolidated around this level for some time before declining to the 78350 support level. Recently, it turned around and started moving upward again. Given this structure, I expect BTCUSDT to rise slightly before dropping to the support zone and breaking the support level. With this in mind, my target is set in this area - 76500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
8
Bitcoin can reach resistance line of wedge and then dropHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. This chart illustrates how the price dropped into the buyer zone within an ascending wedge. After that, BTC reversed direction and began to rise, eventually reaching the wedge’s resistance line before making a correction to the support line. The price then made a strong upward impulse, breaking through the resistance level and exiting the ascending wedge. BTC surged to 94800 before reversing and dropping to 82600, breaking through the 87000 level. Following this decline, the price started to recover within a descending wedge and soon reached the resistance line, breaking through another resistance level. However, after this move, BTC reversed again and began to decline, eventually falling back to the 87,000 level, which coincided with the seller zone, where it traded for some time. It then broke through this level and continued declining toward the support level, even entering the buyer zone. BTC also dropped to the support line of the descending wedge before rebounding sharply, breaking above the 80000 support level once again. Currently, the price is continuing its upward movement. Given this setup, I anticipate that Bitcoin will reach the resistance line of the wedge before pulling back to the support level, potentially even lower. For this scenario, my TP is set at 78000. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
9
#BTCUSDT: BULLISH BREAKOUT IN LTF!!🚀 Hey Traders! If you're finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥 BTC is breaking out from an inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 1H timeframe, signaling strength! 📈 If it holds above the neckline, we could see a strong rally toward $90K– GETTEX:92K in the coming days! 🚀 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Target: $90K– GETTEX:92K ❌ Invalidation: Close below $81,200 Momentum is building—can bulls take control? Let us know in the comment section.
Long
by CoreCrypto1
BTC/USDT Reversal scenariosThere is bear mood in market, its exactly what is needed for reversal, lets have a look closer. I see 3 options. 1) Manipulation is over, we reached the target of local FIBO 1.618 at 77055$ 2) Level 73764$ - its the target of Double TOP , the edge/high of the last block and 0.618 level of grand FIBO 3) POC level of last accumulation block which lasted for 255d at 67436$ - we could reach this level only with fast squeeze and fast buy back, leaving long needle on higher timeframe
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HeavyLT