Get started

Btc-e

$MSTR Monthly Top Form: “Backwards 4” + Multi-TF RSI DivergenceBefore we begin... trading view is restricting my post for an indicator.. maybe someone reported it... not sure... doesn't seem like a problem... it's a TD Sequential ... 🔍 The Setup — Monthly “Backwards 4” Pattern + Multi-Timeframe Breakdown We’re now forming the 5th candle in what I call the “Backwards 4” formation, or the upside-down lowercase ‘h’ — a recurring reversal structure I’ve tracked at macro tops. Structure breakdown: ✅ Strong monthly green candle 2–3. 🔻 Two red candles that retrace the body but don’t break it ✅ A second green candle that re-tests the highs and baits breakout buyers ❌ Final candle closes red → confirms exhaustion → multi-month drawdown begins We saw this exact setup in early 2021 before MSTR collapsed from $1,000+ to $134. The pattern is now repeating — but this time it’s backed by RSI + MACD divergences on all major timeframes. 📊 Multi-Timeframe Technical Breakdown 📆 Monthly Inside the “Backwards 4” zone now (candle 5) RSI Bear Divergence: price made new highs but RSI keeps printing lower highs MACD flattening after extended expansion Volume fading for 3 months straight 📌 Momentum is dying while price floats. That’s not strength — that’s late-cycle distribution. 📆 Weekly TD9 printed this week at the top of a tight 5-month box RSI rejected at 63.61 — exact same rejection level as last cycle highs MACD histogram curling while price stayed flat Range: ~$338–$430 → energy has been spent 📌 This isn’t breakout behavior — it’s a liquidity trap. 📆 Daily Double top attempt failed at $406 MACD crossed bearish, histogram turning red RSI Bear Divergence Confirmed: Price made higher highs from April to May RSI made lower highs, tagging 66.90 vs. 74.70 earlier this year 📌 Daily has now logged 3 bearish RSI divergence peaks since February. 📋 Trading Plan (as of May 17, 2025) Position: No current short — stalking ideal entry Entry Zone: $406–$410 rejection zone (upper box resistance) Trigger: Daily close under $390 confirms failed breakout Add Confirmation: Weekly close under $375 = trend shift Stop: Above $430 monthly high (invalidates breakout fade) Target 1: $320–$290 (May red close zone) Target 2: $262 (range midpoint / fib retrace) Target 3: $240 (prior base support) Stretch Targets: $175 and $102 if macro breaks down Waiting for clean structure breakdown before initiating core position. This is a setup worth being early but precise on. 🧠 Final Thoughts: This is one of my highest conviction macro top setups. The “Backwards 4” is showing up again with RSI and MACD fading across the board. Price is floating under resistance on weakening momentum, and volume confirms it. If May closes red, we likely begin a multi-month correction. I’m watching for the breakdown trigger under $390 to begin building short exposure, targeting sub-$300 by month-end and lower into summer if momentum continues to unwind. 📉📦 Let’s see how it finishes.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by TazmanianTrader
3
BTC Medium Term and Local Work for 2025 18 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Everything is shown extremely accurately, according to technical analysis, logic based on cyclical repetition, and liquidity consolidation zones as a result of price and trading movements. This trading idea, with precise reversal zones and targets, will last you for 31 weeks. That is, for 7 months. The previous trading idea BTC/USD Triangle. Medium-term and local work , published on 7 06 2024, it lasted me almost 1 year. It has 63 local work updates (I don't spam with new trading ideas on principle). So, nothing will get lost, you can follow everything, read, possibly use it as training material on a live chart, as a whole explanation of local work, what is really happening on the market, profit/loss potential, always before the price movement, and not after the fact. I show what is, that is, a chart and potential work from the position of a trader, not a crypto marketer. 🟣 Local and medium urgent now 1️⃣💸 The bullish triangle itself (which is not there yet, I have depicted it on the chart for you) acts as a stop and consolidation zone (zone “psychology 100”, reset in trend No. 1). This is the easiest to manipulate and the most probable scenario. This will just be the summer consolidation. Instead of it, there may be: 2️⃣💸 Rising wedge , but more in shape like a triangle (essentially a wedge, there is a meaning of a triangle, but it was formed on aggressive pump news), with a large short liquidity takeout, and not very good logic of the TA movement after that... But, this is a bullish scenario, although quite aggressive. 3️⃣ Working out the bearish targets of the triangle (non-corrective price movement within its canvas). Stopping the decline in the designated zone and reversal upward (continuation of the trend). I emphasize the importance of not fixing the price below the zone of targets of the local corrective decline, which will not break the trend. 4️⃣💸 Double top (or triple). Double top as in 2021 in the distribution zone. This is the least likely scenario, but the most negative, as it breaks the trend. But, this is the least likely scenario, primarily because of the altcoins. Altcoins in 2021 and now. 4️⃣In 2021, when Bitcoin formed a double top, they (altcoins) were in “space”, that is, in their distribution zones (+500-1000% of the average price of the set). 🔽Now everything is the other way around, they are in capitulation zones (most of them) or in their long-term accumulation channels : Liquid -90-93% Medium liquid -93-96% Low liquid -96-98% or some are already scams or on the verge of it... Some altcoins have pumped up earlier. That is, they left their long-term accumulation zones earlier. For example: SUN, XRP, DOGE, PEPE, SOL and so on... But there are very few of them, as distributing (raising the price, holding it and selling, inspiring to buy expensive when everything is cheap) in a bearish altcoin trend is very irrational, and you need a lot of money to go against the general market trend. Main trend (most of it, chart since Binance Exchange foundation) for clarity on a large time frame of this local zone for work. BTC Primary trend. Secondary — expanding triangle.
Long
by SpartaBTC
Bitcoin: Next Stop is at 144,000Looking at historical data, Bitcoin has experienced similar price growth following the last two MACD crossovers on the weekly chart. We’re now witnessing a third MACD crossover, and if history repeats itself, this could project Bitcoin’s price to around $144,000. This is a conservative estimate, based on past performance during the middle of previous bull runs. Currently, we appear to be in the final leg of this cycle — which could mean even more upside compared to the previous two MACD crossovers. What’s your Bitcoin target? Drop your predictions in the comments! Cheers, GreenCrypto
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
1
BTC to between 207k-315k come octoberThis is solely a prediction for the coming cycle top. I am looking for a third trend touch that will occur between 3.618 and 5.618 of the previous cycle high to swing low. If the time frame cycle to cycle lines up at 47 monthly bars, cycle top will occur in third quarter, likely in october. Summer time may be slow, but I think buying pressure will ramp up in the fall. This will lead to the eventual blowoff top that btc goes through each cycle. Blow off target = 207k-315k This is not financial advice, this is just a prediction I would like to publish to look back on. Let me know what you think is going to happen by years end in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
Bitcoin at Resistance With Weak Momentum-Bearish SetupBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) finally reached the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) as I expected yesterday. Of course, the way Bitcoin reached the resistance zone was NOT with high momentum , so I decided to share this analysis with you. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern between Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) over the past few hours . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , given Bitcoin’s low momentum and the Heavy Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,180-$104,412) ahead of Bitcoin, it appears that Bitcoin has completed microwave B of the main wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $102,800 at the first target AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern, and if the Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and lower line of the ascending channel(Major) are broken, we should expect a drop to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,763-$99,600) . Note: If Bitcoin touches $105,850, we can expect further increases. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
53
BTC - Poised for Breakout or Pullback at $103,000Bitcoin's price action shows a pattern of higher lows, hinting at underlying bullish pressure, though it has struggled to break through the $105,000 resistance level, a key ceiling that has rejected price advances before. Support is holding firm at $100,000, a psychologically significant level, with another layer of support near $95,000 if selling pressure increases. The candlesticks on this timeframe display some indecision, with dojis appearing alongside modest bullish candles, suggesting traders are still weighing their next move. Technical Analysis: The 50-period moving average (MA) sits around $102,500 and is sloping upward, acting as a dynamic support that the price is currently testing. The 200-period MA, positioned near $98,000, offers a deeper safety net and reinforces the longer-term bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60, showing decent momentum without entering overbought territory (above 70), which leaves room for potential upside. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) tells a slightly different story, with a recent bearish crossover where the MACD line dips below the signal line, hinting at fading momentum. Keep an eye on whether the MACD flips bullish again or if the price breaks $105,000 to signal a stronger trend. Many traders are encouraged by Bitcoin’s resilience and recent whale accumulation, where large holders have been scooping up BTC, suggesting confidence in future gains. News of institutional buying and favorable macroeconomic shifts (like potential easing of global monetary policies) adds to the bullish case. That said, there’s some caution in the air, with concerns about high U.S. interest rates and economic uncertainty possibly curbing Bitcoin’s momentum. The balance of these factors keeps sentiment positive but tempered, with traders watching for catalysts that could spark the next big move. So, a clean break above $105,000 could ignite a rally toward the all-time high of $109,000, with some even eyeing $120,000 if momentum builds. On the flip side, a drop below $100,000 might see prices slide to $95,000, where buyers could step in to defend the trend.
by MonoCoinSignal
1
Bitcoin Warning - Breakout or Fakeout?BTC has been resilient and trying to establish a 100K base. I think BTC is going to perform a liquidity sweep by briefly breaching ATH's before it has a correction / sell wave back down to $75-$78K level. I'd be cautious trying to buy the breakout if we try for it in the next couple weeks. After this correction BTC will likely pursue New all time highs in 2026. $120K -$130K should be very easy to obtain in 2026 with possibility of a far greater overshoot.
Short
by Trading-Capital
Bitcoin Trajectory for Q1 and Q2 2025Hey everyone, it’s been a while! 👋 Let’s dive straight into the Bitcoin outlook and my vision for the months ahead. 🚀 Key Observations 📊 Patterns : Rounding Top & Bottom. Rebound Levels: Alt. 1: $101,000 Alt. 2: $82,000 Moving Averages : EMA50 & EMA188. Target Area : $135,000+ 🔥 Pro Tip 💡 I'm setting an alert for the EMA188 cross on BTCUSDT to stay ahead of the game. Stay tuned for more updates and insights! 💬
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ArShevelev
8
REIUSDT Forming a Bullish Falling Wedge REIUSDT is currently trading within a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a classic technical formation that often signals an imminent bullish reversal. As price action tightens near the apex of the wedge, REI is showing strong signs of accumulation, supported by a solid bounce from a major horizontal support zone. This key level has held multiple times, indicating buyers are stepping in with increasing conviction. Volume is picking up in recent sessions, further validating the possibility of an upcoming breakout. A falling wedge breakout, especially with rising volume, tends to trigger powerful rallies. In this case, the projected move could see REIUSDT appreciating by 200% to 250%, targeting previous highs and major resistance levels from earlier cycles. Such explosive upside aligns well with the technical structure and growing investor attention around the project. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for swing traders and mid-term investors who are watching for altcoin breakouts. With broader market sentiment leaning bullish and renewed interest flowing into undervalued coins, REIUSDT stands out as a compelling opportunity. The coin’s ability to maintain support while coiling within the wedge is a bullish signal in itself. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
BTCUSDT: The ‘Parabolic Channel’ Play – $250 K to $500 K … then?⚙️ Chart Specs Ticker / Pair: BTCUSDT Time-Frame: 1W (log scale) Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (default), 7-year logarithmic channel, long-term trend-lines & Fib extensions Date of publish: 17 May 2025 1️⃣ Macro Context Bitcoin just printed a decisive weekly close above the mid-line of its 2017-2025 log channel while the Ichimoku Cloud has flipped full-bull (span A > span B). Post-2024 halving supply shock + macro liquidity rotation = strong tail-wind. 2️⃣ Projected Path Phase Target zone % from breakout Key confluence Break & sprint $255-270 K ~+140 % Vacuum above former ATH; minimal supply Euphoria stretch $375 K ~+250 % Channel ceiling + 2.0 Fib Blow-off wick $500-520 K ~+380 % 2.618 Fib extension + typical overshoot Dashed white arrows on the chart sketch the base-case impulse and an optional “melt-up” extension. 3️⃣ Post-parabola Retrace Historical cycles point to a -50 ~ -60 % draw-down once the upper red rail is tagged. I’m watching: $255-250 K → first liquidity pocket / mid-channel $215-210 K → 0.5 Fib retrace of the entire move Either zone could reset weekly momentum while preserving the uptrend. 4️⃣ Invalidation Levels Weekly close < $92 K → breakout failure → bias flips neutral, potential slide to red mid-line ~$75 K. Close below channel base $60 K → macro thesis void, shift to bear bias. 5️⃣ Illustrative Trade Plan (not financial advice) Leg Entry TP(s) Stop Impulse swing Weekly close > $120 K $255 K / $375 K Weekly close < $92 K Blow-off punt Break > $375 K on volume Trail toward $500 K 2-week trailing low Retrace reload Bullish SFP at $255-210 K Ride next cycle Close < $200 K 📝 Take-aways Base target sits in the $250 K region; exuberant extension eyes $500 K. Expect aggressive mean reversion once the upper rail is hit. Clear invalidations help keep emotions in check amid extreme volatility. ⚠️ This is an educational study,
Long
by AKAmaestro
Bitcoin, Higher Prices Or What? How Likely Are Markets To Crash?You cannot deny that the market can crash any day right? What to expect? Should I be worried? Last time I was feeling all good and all was well and then suddenly a flash crash showed up and my position was gone. I lost all of my money because of my stupidity of course, I couldn't blame the market because the market did not put the leverage on my position, it was all me, so what now; will it happen again? You cannot get liquidated if you have less than 5X leverage on your position when the market goes sideways. The squeezes, shakeouts and swings normally take out positions with 10X or more. You cannot get liquidated if you are LONG but buy when prices are low, near support. You can get liquidated if you are buying when prices start to rise without a plan on an impulse. The market is shaking just for you. You will definitely get liquidated if you are trading continually with 20X. There is an entire set of experts, professionals and programs buying and selling just to distract you and when you get distracted BOOM!, out of nowhere money forever gone, namaste. » Bitcoin It is the same dynamic all over again, resistance turns support. I will reveal the technicals for you and you decide what to believe and what to do but my reasoning is supported by data, facts. It is not wishful thinking or random choosing. It is true the market can move in any way but you have to go with the side that has a high probability of success. If you do this often enough, you win in the end. When the market was going down, every time there was a stop the next move would be a continuation of the main direction, the trend. When the market is going up, every time there is a stop the next move will be a continuation is simple. The question is this; is the market rising or falling? The market has been rising for more than a month. Yes, it is meeting resistance but this resistance has already been challenged several times in the past. Bitcoin moving back to it after a strong correction means the decision point. If we didn't know about the fundamentals, the change in the regulatory landscape and the Altcoins, I don't know, I would say things look mixed at the most, but knowing about all these other factors I can say with confidence that Bitcoin will continue to grow. Don't get me wrong, there can be consolidation for a few more days and even more swings to remove some of those over-leveraged trades; the next major move is up and a new All-Time High. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
by MasterAnanda
7
BTCUSD Can it do this one more time?Bitcoin / BTCUSD is on a strong 1week MA50 rebound, while staying inside the Channel Up from the Cycle bottom and holding the 1week RSI Support. Last time it did that was during the 2015-2017 Bull Cycle. In fact it was May 2017 when the price started rising aggressively and eventually broke above the Channel Up into a relentless parabolic rally until the end of the year. With the Cycle seemingly identical, do you think Bitcoin can do this one more time? Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
1
ETHBTC Is it repeating its first Cycle?I know that the timeframes are not the same but don't tell me that the structure between then and now isn't similar. The biggest difference is that in 2016 ETHBTC made a deeper low than now, but the current rebound is showing signs that we might have a similar parabolic rise. Now will that be enough to give a new All Time High? We will see, but don't tell me that this can't target 0.0900 byu the end of the year. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Long
by TheCryptagon
BTCUSD: is far away from its Sell Zone.Bitcoin remains overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 70.017, MACD = 4154.600, ADX = 16.535) but still in the middle of the Cycle's Channel Up. After a 1W MA50 rebound (April 7th) on the bottom quarter, it is aiming for the blue Sell Zone of the top quarter of the Channel Up where the last two tops were priced. A +93.64% rise has been the most common inside this pattern. Based on that the minimum TP for this run is 140,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Bitcoin and the Historic 8-Year Trendline: A Pivotal MomentHello, I'm full-time trader Dusk. If this analysis helps you, please consider following and boosting this post. Thank you! Today, I'm writing with anticipation and excitement as Bitcoin once again approaches an 8-year-long historical trendline. It has been quite a journey, with Bitcoin reaching a high of $19,000 in 2017, soaring to $69,000 in 2021, and touching $109K in 2025 On January 20 of this year, Bitcoin tested its 8-year trendline but failed to break above it, subsequently dropping sharply to $74,500 (-32%) by April 4. Since then, Bitcoin has steadily recovered and continued its upward momentum. Currently, Bitcoin is at $104,000, with the next key target being $113,000. I've outlined four possible scenarios: ① Immediate rejection and decline from current priceProbability: ★★★☆☆ (Medium) ② Reaching $113K, then decliningProbability: ★★★☆☆ (Medium) ③ Direct breakout above $113KProbability: ★★☆☆☆ (Moderate) ④ Touching $113K, consolidating, then continuing upwardsProbability: ★★★★☆ (High) Personally, I find scenarios ② and ④ to be the most likely, though I’m hoping for scenario ③—a powerful breakout beyond $113K. However, the region between $105K and $113K currently presents significant selling pressure. It remains uncertain whether Bitcoin can swiftly break through this resistance and maintain momentum despite substantial selling volume. That said, the current market dynamics differ significantly from the past. BlackRock now holds approximately 600,000 BTC, MicroStrategy around 550,000 BTC, and various U.S. states and countries are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic asset. Today's news highlights Galaxy Digital's Nasdaq listing and discussions with the SEC regarding tokenizing Nasdaq-listed U.S. stocks. With increased institutional and governmental adoption and now discussions around stock tokenization, Bitcoin stands on the threshold of mainstream institutional acceptance. Let's closely monitor how Bitcoin responds at this historic trendline, and together witness the potential unfolding of a new financial era. I hope this isn't just wishful thinking!
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TraderDusk
Bitcoin Breakout Loading: Resistance Zone Under Pressure!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) made the correction I expected , as I predicted in my previous idea . Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and near the Resistance lines . Given the momentum of the previous hour's candle and the fact that the previous three candles together formed a Morning Star Candlestick Reversal pattern , it is expected that the Resistance lines will be broken soon. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Bitcoin has completed the main wave 4 as I expected with a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . A break of the Resistance lines by Bitcoin could confirm the end of the main wave 4 . Also, given Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) and the fact that I expect the S&P500 Index to increase , the increase in the S&P500 Index could help Bitcoin increase further . I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance lines soon and attack towards the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) . Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $101,360-$100,600 Note: If Bitcoin falls below $101,280, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24