Bitcoin at Resistance With Weak Momentum-Bearish SetupBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) finally reached the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) as I expected yesterday. Of course, the way Bitcoin reached the resistance zone was NOT with high momentum , so I decided to share this analysis with you.
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern between Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) over the past few hours .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , given Bitcoin’s low momentum and the Heavy Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,180-$104,412) ahead of Bitcoin, it appears that Bitcoin has completed microwave B of the main wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $102,800 at the first target AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern, and if the Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and lower line of the ascending channel(Major) are broken, we should expect a drop to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,763-$99,600) .
Note: If Bitcoin touches $105,850, we can expect further increases.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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Btc-e
BTC - Poised for Breakout or Pullback at $103,000Bitcoin's price action shows a pattern of higher lows, hinting at underlying bullish pressure, though it has struggled to break through the $105,000 resistance level, a key ceiling that has rejected price advances before. Support is holding firm at $100,000, a psychologically significant level, with another layer of support near $95,000 if selling pressure increases. The candlesticks on this timeframe display some indecision, with dojis appearing alongside modest bullish candles, suggesting traders are still weighing their next move.
Technical Analysis:
The 50-period moving average (MA) sits around $102,500 and is sloping upward, acting as a dynamic support that the price is currently testing. The 200-period MA, positioned near $98,000, offers a deeper safety net and reinforces the longer-term bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60, showing decent momentum without entering overbought territory (above 70), which leaves room for potential upside. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) tells a slightly different story, with a recent bearish crossover where the MACD line dips below the signal line, hinting at fading momentum. Keep an eye on whether the MACD flips bullish again or if the price breaks $105,000 to signal a stronger trend.
Many traders are encouraged by Bitcoin’s resilience and recent whale accumulation, where large holders have been scooping up BTC, suggesting confidence in future gains. News of institutional buying and favorable macroeconomic shifts (like potential easing of global monetary policies) adds to the bullish case. That said, there’s some caution in the air, with concerns about high U.S. interest rates and economic uncertainty possibly curbing Bitcoin’s momentum. The balance of these factors keeps sentiment positive but tempered, with traders watching for catalysts that could spark the next big move.
So, a clean break above $105,000 could ignite a rally toward the all-time high of $109,000, with some even eyeing $120,000 if momentum builds. On the flip side, a drop below $100,000 might see prices slide to $95,000, where buyers could step in to defend the trend.
Monitoring USDT- Absolutely not a prediction.
- Just doing this chart to observe 1D (smaller timeframe) on USDT Dominance & Sharing.
- I usually like to use larger TF to reduce the noise on charts ( 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M ).
- USDT.D have to break out 8.4% before 13th December.
- if it does, could mean BTC more downward pressure.
- if it fails, BTC could rally up.
- Patience is the key.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Warning - Breakout or Fakeout?BTC has been resilient and trying to establish a 100K base.
I think BTC is going to perform a liquidity sweep by briefly breaching ATH's before it has a correction / sell wave back down to $75-$78K level.
I'd be cautious trying to buy the breakout if we try for it in the next couple weeks.
After this correction BTC will likely pursue New all time highs in 2026.
$120K -$130K should be very easy to obtain in 2026 with possibility of a far greater overshoot.
Bitcoin Trajectory for Q1 and Q2 2025Hey everyone, it’s been a while! 👋
Let’s dive straight into the Bitcoin outlook and my vision for the months ahead. 🚀
Key Observations 📊
Patterns : Rounding Top & Bottom.
Rebound Levels:
Alt. 1: $101,000
Alt. 2: $82,000
Moving Averages : EMA50 & EMA188.
Target Area : $135,000+ 🔥
Pro Tip 💡
I'm setting an alert for the EMA188 cross on BTCUSDT to stay ahead of the game.
Stay tuned for more updates and insights! 💬
REIUSDT Forming a Bullish Falling Wedge
REIUSDT is currently trading within a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a classic technical formation that often signals an imminent bullish reversal. As price action tightens near the apex of the wedge, REI is showing strong signs of accumulation, supported by a solid bounce from a major horizontal support zone. This key level has held multiple times, indicating buyers are stepping in with increasing conviction.
Volume is picking up in recent sessions, further validating the possibility of an upcoming breakout. A falling wedge breakout, especially with rising volume, tends to trigger powerful rallies. In this case, the projected move could see REIUSDT appreciating by 200% to 250%, targeting previous highs and major resistance levels from earlier cycles. Such explosive upside aligns well with the technical structure and growing investor attention around the project.
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for swing traders and mid-term investors who are watching for altcoin breakouts. With broader market sentiment leaning bullish and renewed interest flowing into undervalued coins, REIUSDT stands out as a compelling opportunity. The coin’s ability to maintain support while coiling within the wedge is a bullish signal in itself.
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BTCUSDT: The ‘Parabolic Channel’ Play – $250 K to $500 K … then?⚙️ Chart Specs
Ticker / Pair: BTCUSDT
Time-Frame: 1W (log scale)
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (default), 7-year logarithmic channel, long-term trend-lines & Fib extensions
Date of publish: 17 May 2025
1️⃣ Macro Context
Bitcoin just printed a decisive weekly close above the mid-line of its 2017-2025 log channel while the Ichimoku Cloud has flipped full-bull (span A > span B). Post-2024 halving supply shock + macro liquidity rotation = strong tail-wind.
2️⃣ Projected Path
Phase Target zone % from breakout Key confluence
Break & sprint $255-270 K ~+140 % Vacuum above former ATH; minimal supply
Euphoria stretch $375 K ~+250 % Channel ceiling + 2.0 Fib
Blow-off wick $500-520 K ~+380 % 2.618 Fib extension + typical overshoot
Dashed white arrows on the chart sketch the base-case impulse and an optional “melt-up” extension.
3️⃣ Post-parabola Retrace
Historical cycles point to a -50 ~ -60 % draw-down once the upper red rail is tagged. I’m watching:
$255-250 K → first liquidity pocket / mid-channel
$215-210 K → 0.5 Fib retrace of the entire move
Either zone could reset weekly momentum while preserving the uptrend.
4️⃣ Invalidation Levels
Weekly close < $92 K → breakout failure → bias flips neutral, potential slide to red mid-line ~$75 K.
Close below channel base $60 K → macro thesis void, shift to bear bias.
5️⃣ Illustrative Trade Plan (not financial advice)
Leg Entry TP(s) Stop
Impulse swing Weekly close > $120 K $255 K / $375 K Weekly close < $92 K
Blow-off punt Break > $375 K on volume Trail toward $500 K 2-week trailing low
Retrace reload Bullish SFP at $255-210 K Ride next cycle Close < $200 K
📝 Take-aways
Base target sits in the $250 K region; exuberant extension eyes $500 K.
Expect aggressive mean reversion once the upper rail is hit.
Clear invalidations help keep emotions in check amid extreme volatility.
⚠️ This is an educational study,
BTCUSD - Support/Resistance LineAs seen on chart price has recovered this line previously seen as resistance and is now using it as support
This is extremely bullish for price as the resistance has essentially flipped to support
Great time to buy crypto as new ATHs for Bitcoin are about to come
Daily timeframe
Bitcoin, Higher Prices Or What? How Likely Are Markets To Crash?You cannot deny that the market can crash any day right? What to expect?
Should I be worried?
Last time I was feeling all good and all was well and then suddenly a flash crash showed up and my position was gone. I lost all of my money because of my stupidity of course, I couldn't blame the market because the market did not put the leverage on my position, it was all me, so what now; will it happen again?
You cannot get liquidated if you have less than 5X leverage on your position when the market goes sideways. The squeezes, shakeouts and swings normally take out positions with 10X or more.
You cannot get liquidated if you are LONG but buy when prices are low, near support.
You can get liquidated if you are buying when prices start to rise without a plan on an impulse. The market is shaking just for you.
You will definitely get liquidated if you are trading continually with 20X. There is an entire set of experts, professionals and programs buying and selling just to distract you and when you get distracted BOOM!, out of nowhere money forever gone, namaste.
» Bitcoin
It is the same dynamic all over again, resistance turns support.
I will reveal the technicals for you and you decide what to believe and what to do but my reasoning is supported by data, facts. It is not wishful thinking or random choosing. It is true the market can move in any way but you have to go with the side that has a high probability of success. If you do this often enough, you win in the end.
When the market was going down, every time there was a stop the next move would be a continuation of the main direction, the trend.
When the market is going up, every time there is a stop the next move will be a continuation is simple.
The question is this; is the market rising or falling?
The market has been rising for more than a month. Yes, it is meeting resistance but this resistance has already been challenged several times in the past. Bitcoin moving back to it after a strong correction means the decision point. If we didn't know about the fundamentals, the change in the regulatory landscape and the Altcoins, I don't know, I would say things look mixed at the most, but knowing about all these other factors I can say with confidence that Bitcoin will continue to grow. Don't get me wrong, there can be consolidation for a few more days and even more swings to remove some of those over-leveraged trades; the next major move is up and a new All-Time High.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTCUSD Can it do this one more time?Bitcoin / BTCUSD is on a strong 1week MA50 rebound, while staying inside the Channel Up from the Cycle bottom and holding the 1week RSI Support.
Last time it did that was during the 2015-2017 Bull Cycle.
In fact it was May 2017 when the price started rising aggressively and eventually broke above the Channel Up into a relentless parabolic rally until the end of the year.
With the Cycle seemingly identical, do you think Bitcoin can do this one more time?
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ETHBTC Is it repeating its first Cycle?I know that the timeframes are not the same but don't tell me that the structure between then and now isn't similar.
The biggest difference is that in 2016 ETHBTC made a deeper low than now, but the current rebound is showing signs that we might have a similar parabolic rise.
Now will that be enough to give a new All Time High?
We will see, but don't tell me that this can't target 0.0900 byu the end of the year.
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BTCUSD: is far away from its Sell Zone.Bitcoin remains overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 70.017, MACD = 4154.600, ADX = 16.535) but still in the middle of the Cycle's Channel Up. After a 1W MA50 rebound (April 7th) on the bottom quarter, it is aiming for the blue Sell Zone of the top quarter of the Channel Up where the last two tops were priced. A +93.64% rise has been the most common inside this pattern. Based on that the minimum TP for this run is 140,000.
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Bitcoin and the Historic 8-Year Trendline: A Pivotal MomentHello, I'm full-time trader Dusk.
If this analysis helps you, please consider following and boosting this post. Thank you!
Today, I'm writing with anticipation and excitement as Bitcoin once again approaches an 8-year-long historical trendline.
It has been quite a journey, with Bitcoin reaching a high of $19,000 in 2017,
soaring to $69,000 in 2021, and touching $109K in 2025
On January 20 of this year, Bitcoin tested its 8-year trendline but failed to break above it, subsequently dropping sharply to $74,500 (-32%) by April 4. Since then, Bitcoin has steadily recovered and continued its upward momentum.
Currently, Bitcoin is at $104,000, with the next key target being $113,000.
I've outlined four possible scenarios:
① Immediate rejection and decline from current priceProbability: ★★★☆☆ (Medium)
② Reaching $113K, then decliningProbability: ★★★☆☆ (Medium)
③ Direct breakout above $113KProbability: ★★☆☆☆ (Moderate)
④ Touching $113K, consolidating, then continuing upwardsProbability: ★★★★☆ (High)
Personally, I find scenarios ② and ④ to be the most likely, though I’m hoping for scenario ③—a powerful breakout beyond $113K.
However, the region between $105K and $113K currently presents significant selling pressure. It remains uncertain whether Bitcoin can swiftly break through this resistance and maintain momentum despite substantial selling volume.
That said, the current market dynamics differ significantly from the past. BlackRock now holds approximately 600,000 BTC, MicroStrategy around 550,000 BTC, and various U.S. states and countries are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
Today's news highlights Galaxy Digital's Nasdaq listing and discussions with the SEC regarding tokenizing Nasdaq-listed U.S. stocks.
With increased institutional and governmental adoption and now discussions around stock tokenization, Bitcoin stands on the threshold of mainstream institutional acceptance.
Let's closely monitor how Bitcoin responds at this historic trendline, and together witness the potential unfolding of a new financial era.
I hope this isn't just wishful thinking!
Bitcoin Breakout Loading: Resistance Zone Under Pressure!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) made the correction I expected , as I predicted in my previous idea .
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and near the Resistance lines . Given the momentum of the previous hour's candle and the fact that the previous three candles together formed a Morning Star Candlestick Reversal pattern , it is expected that the Resistance lines will be broken soon.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Bitcoin has completed the main wave 4 as I expected with a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . A break of the Resistance lines by Bitcoin could confirm the end of the main wave 4 .
Also, given Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) and the fact that I expect the S&P500 Index to increase , the increase in the S&P500 Index could help Bitcoin increase further .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance lines soon and attack towards the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $101,360-$100,600
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $101,280, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will fall to support zone and then start riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. This chart shows how the price continues to trade inside a rising channel, with the price currently hovering just above the support zone around 101000. After forming a clean consolidation phase near the upper boundary of the structure, the market is showing signs of a potential pullback toward this zone. However, the broader trend remains bullish, and as long as price holds within the ascending formation, this correction may act as a base for the next move higher. The consolidation structure formed at the top indicates that buyers are not rushing in aggressively, but they are also not allowing prices to drop sharply, a classic sign of accumulation. This aligns well with the previously confirmed trend line and horizontal support zone. If BTC holds this area and finds renewed momentum, I expect a breakout from the consolidation range to the upside. My goal remains at 107000 points, which sits a little higher than the projected top of the current channel. Given the strength of the structure, the higher lows, and the recent defense of support, I maintain a bullish bias and anticipate another upward wave from this level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new.
The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply).
With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future.
I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale.
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022
BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
Bitcoin can drop from wedge to 100K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After consolidating for an extended period within a triangle pattern, the price eventually broke out with strong bullish momentum. The move was supported by a solid rebound from the buyer zone and a clean breakout above the 92800 - 94200 support area. This breakout initiated a steep climb, forming a new upward wedge structure, defined by narrowing trend lines and rising local highs. Currently, the price is trading near the resistance boundary of the wedge, around the 104000 - 105000 zone. This zone has already triggered one rejection and is showing signs of weakening bullish strength. Given the rising wedge geometry and the fading impulse strength, the risk of a correction is increasing. The current structure typically leads to a pullback, especially after such a steep rise. I expect that BTC may rise to the resistance line of the wedge and then drop below the support line, thereby exiting from this pattern. That's why I set my TP 1 at the 100K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC: Next Big Move is Brewing – $116K Target Locked!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
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Bitcoin has been following a highly consistent rally-consolidation-breakout pattern over the last few weeks — each time breaking out with nearly +10% upside moves after forming solid accumulation zones. 📈
📊 Observational Pattern:
Let’s break it down:
Phase 1 (April 19–21)
Accumulation range: GETTEX:82K –$84K
Breakout: ~11% gain to ~$93K
Phase 2 (April 25–May 7)
Range: ~$91K–$94K
Breakout: ~10% rally to ~$103.5K
Phase 3 (Current Zone: May 9–Now)
Range: ~$101K–$104K
Price is consolidating, showing signs of continuation.
🧠 What the Chart is Telling Us:
Bitcoin is forming a bullish continuation structure (like a stepping staircase) — a pattern often seen in strong trending markets.
Each green box (marked in chart) represents a clear demand zone followed by a breakout.
If this pattern repeats, we can expect a move towards $114K–$116K.
Invalidation Level: A daily close below $101K would break the rising support and flip sentiment short-term bearish.
✅ Summary:
Target: $114K–$116K
Invalidation: Daily close < $101K
⚠️ Trade with discipline. Let the chart confirm before aping in.
We’ll keep updating as the setup evolves — pin this for reference. 🧠