Btc-e
#SUI LONG IDEA - POSSIBLE SWING LONG#SUI is the one of the best coin that has bullish momentum currently.
I will be watching to marked 'Long Zone' for possible swing position.
LTF confirmation will be needed in order to open position.
Risk assests are doing good recently but we have still geopolitical risks currently.
Nothing i share is financial advice. Education purposes only.
#Altcoins #Crypto #altcoin #AltSeason2024 #SUI #SUINETWORK
Bitcoin Has Another Bull Run !Bitcoin has shown signs and patterns in the daily time frame that can be analyzed with the current data.
It looks like a diametric has finished (A) and then the price has entered a bullish phase.
In the bullish phase, we have an ABC/WXY whose A/W has the signs of a diamond diametric.
We expect waves X and Y because the time of wave A is much larger than the current pattern (A/W).
The green range could be the start of a bull run in Bitcoin.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis.
Note : This is only a possible scenario, please do not forget to manage risk
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Top of Our Channel Tagged to the Dollar!Here we are again traders. Tagged the top of our channel to the dollar. What precision! Big resistance pressure up here. I am not sure the bulls have the strength to finally break us out and above. Therefore, be ready to start taking profit (if you haven't already). It is quite possible that we come back down to the bottom of our channel or even lower, especially with all that is going on in the world. Never rule out another black swan or flash crash.
AITECH Long Position (EMA Breakout)Market Context: AITECH is coiling between the 21- and 200-day EMAs, showing bullish momentum with higher lows. A dip into the $0.09 zone could offer an ideal entry, particularly if the daily close shows a wick, indicating buying interest. A break and close above the 200-day EMA would confirm upward momentum.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Look for confirmation of a break and close above the 200-day EMA.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.166
Second target: $0.21
Third target: $0.28
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.07.
This setup capitalizes on the bullish coiling pattern and potential breakout. #AITECH #Crypto #EMA
JASMY Long Position (Accumulation Breakout)Market Context: JASMY is showing bullish signs, moving out of its accumulation phase with a strong daily close above the EMA-21. The EMAs are aligning favorably, providing a solid entry for a long position.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $0.021 to $0.019.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.024
Second target: $0.028
Third target: $0.032
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.018.
This setup takes advantage of JASMY’s potential breakout from accumulation into an upward trend. #JASMY #Crypto #Breakout
14/10/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $64,486.09
Last weeks low: $58,947.36
Midpoint: $61,716.73
Following a busy week of Data events with CPI & PPI price can be volatile and unpredictable, that was evident as BTC can be seen selling off going into those data events and despite a worse than forecast CPI, the markets responded quite well leading to a climb from Thursday onwards up to the 0.75 line.
A weekend of chop gave a positive enough close to warrant a large buy candle in the opening hours of this week, could this be setting the pace for the rest of the week? For me, I'm always a little wary of a "swing fail pattern" (SFP) as these patterns can be very bearish, a reversal at the beginning of the week can lead to a sell off that undoes the previous weeks work as price falls. Confirmation of this pattern would be a wick above weekly high followed by smaller lower highs and lower lows on a LTF (15m).
Should BTC manage to stay above the weekly high and maintain structure the target is $66,500. This is an important target as Bitcoin has been trying to breakout of this downtrend for 6 months, anything beyond $66,500 is breaking out of the trend after 10 attempts!
This week we have the ECB interest rate decision, a second rate cut looks likely, the first rate cut set the pace for the US 50bps cut. Now the US look likely to cut by another 50bps in November to keep up.
Altcoins are starting to look better than they have in the last two quarters. The timeline is cautiously optimistic, especially if BTC manages to breakout of the trend pattern.
cautious optimism on the timeline
Technical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT) + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT)
The price is showing a breakout potential at the top of the channel, which may signal a trend reversal.
Descending Channel Pattern:
Resistance: The upper trendline shows where the price has faced rejection multiple times. The resistance level is gradually declining.
Support: The lower trendline indicates strong support, where buyers have consistently entered the market, preventing further decline.
Breakout Potential:
The price appears to have tested the upper trendline of the channel. The arrow pointing upward suggests the possibility of a breakout above the descending resistance, which would indicate a bullish reversal.
Indicators:
Volume: A spike in volume supports the possibility of the breakout. A breakout with increased volume is generally a stronger confirmation of the trend change.
VMC Cipher B: This momentum oscillator shows a shift from negative to positive momentum, implying that the buying pressure is gaining strength.
RSI (14): The Relative Strength Index is around 58.66, indicating that momentum is neutral to slightly bullish. RSI above 50 usually signals increasing buying pressure.
Stochastic RSI: The stochastic RSI is currently in the overbought zone (91.21), which might signal some short-term correction, but the overall momentum remains strong.
HMA+ Hist: HMA (Hull Moving Average) shows that the histogram is close to zero but shifting upward, which could imply a possible change in trend direction soon.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: $0.0719 (marked by the horizontal blue line).
Resistance Zone: Around $0.0753 (upper edge of the channel).
Great Entry Point: The label indicates that a long entry is ideal around the breakout zone, with an upward arrow suggesting that this level ($0.0721) could offer a solid risk-reward ratio for buyers entering before a potential upward movement.
Trading Plan
Entry Point:
Enter the trade at the breakout above $0.0721 (highlighted as the "Great Entry Point"). If the price closes above this level on the 4-hour timeframe with significant volume, it will confirm a bullish breakout.
Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below the recent support of $0.0719, at approximately $0.0690, to minimize risk in case the breakout turns into a false breakout.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $0.0800 – This level aligns with a previous resistance zone and would be a conservative target for short-term traders.
Second Target: $0.0850 – If momentum remains strong, the price may continue toward this higher level of resistance, providing a larger reward.
Risk Management:
Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2:1. For example, if the stop-loss is set at $0.0690 (risk of approximately 3%), aim for the first target at $0.0800 (a reward of approximately 10%).
Use position sizing techniques to risk only 1-2% of the portfolio per trade, to ensure long-term sustainability and avoid major losses in case of unexpected market moves.
Monitoring & Adjustments:
Watch for volume confirmation during the breakout. If the volume diminishes, consider closing the position early, as it may signal a weakening breakout.
Adjust the stop-loss to breakeven once the price hits the first profit target, ensuring a risk-free trade for the remaining portion of the position.
Conclusion:
The technical analysis for NWC/USDT suggests a bullish breakout from the descending channel pattern, with indicators supporting a potential upward move. Entering at the breakout level of $0.0721 with proper risk management offers a promising opportunity, especially with a positive shift in momentum.
BTC Bounce from $58,000: Heading Towards ?I've been closely tracking Bitcoin's price action, and my latest analysis suggests that we may be witnessing a significant bounce from the $58,000 level, a strong support zone. After a recent dip, BTC is currently trading at $65,655, and based on key technical indicators, I expect it to rally toward $74,000 with a couple weeks.
however It's only a matter of price breaking above the 67000k resistance level as shown on chart. So this is a key level to watch
Key factors driving this prediction:
Support at $58,000:
This level has historically acted as a strong floor for Bitcoin, with previous bounces leading to upward moves to retest 63k +- 1000points resistance range.
Volume and Momentum:
Increasing trading volume and momentum indicators are pointing to a potential upward continuation.
Moving Averages:
BTC is currently holding above key moving averages, reinforcing the possibility of bullish momentum.
Market Sentiment:
With recent developments in the fundamental space, sentiment is leaning bullish, adding further conviction to the potential for this move.
If this analysis plays out, we could see BTC pushing through resistance levels and reaching $74,000 in a couple weeks time frame ideally. Keep an eye on these key levels as the price action unfolds.
MCG
Is $btc Bitcoin's Channel about to do the Most or the Least? Bitcoin is in a Very huge falling channel!
Current Price: 65600
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Price action has rejected upper trend line Resistance 6 times - steadily creating lower highs.
Currently, Price action is at this Major resistance. Will it reject again? It remains to be seen!
A break above this major resistance will lead to ALL time highs and a continuation of the bull run.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Up Resistances: 70.4k, 74.8k, 80.2k
Note: #BTC remains bullish if price action stays above the 200EMA (red Moving Average)
Another rejection of this upper channel resistance will lead to down supports up to 50.5k.
What will it be?
Its Time , Bitcoin 160k by March or September 2025?We are in the early stages of the next bull market. The question was never "if" but rather "when." The probability has shifted significantly to the upside in the last two months. Really, nothing much has been going on, and I’m waiting for my confirmation markers to trigger before making a technical analysis.
In my view, we are in a pretty large bull flag, and a mirror move like the one we saw from September 2023 to March 2024 could push Bitcoin to $160K by March 2025.
There are two major dates I’m focusing on: March/April 2025 and September 2025.
The clearest sign of a change in trend is that we stopped putting in lower lows and formed a triple bottom with bullish divergence on the daily chart.
The puzzle for the rest of 2024 and 2025 is not whether we will have a bull market but where and when the cycle top will occur. It's more of a question of timing, and that’s what I’m focusing on.
**March/April 2025 - Possible Top**
As you can see, since 2019, the average duration of major Bitcoin rallies has been 147 days. Even the longest rallies of 196 days would reach May 2025.
Looking at my time cycles, we also have a hit around March 2025.
The USDT dominance chart is currently in a bear flag. A mirror move similar to September 2023 to March 2024 would bring dominance levels down to the November 2021 cycle top, around April 2025.
**September 2025 - Possible Top**
For those who don’t know, Bitcoin’s last two cycles took exactly the same time from cycle low to top, 1064 days. If we overlay 1064 days from this cycle's low, it puts the cycle top in early October 2025, which is very close to my Fibonacci time date in September 2025.
I know there’s a lot on this chart to digest, but just focus on the red and yellow circles. Do you see the pattern? Every other sine wave peak is a cycle top. The next sine wave peak falls between September and December 2025.
The Chainlink fractal from last year is still playing out. If it continues, the top is projected for August 11, 2025, again very close to that September 2025 date.
KDA is also an interesting chart for me because it’s mirroring the last cycle closely, which again puts the cycle top in September 2025.
**Conclusion**
USDT dominance is in a bear flag, which is a clue. I’ve been in this position many times before, and USDT dominance has often signaled the way. If this bear flag follows through, it will trigger the first wave of the bull run.
**So, March/April 2025 Cycle Top:**
- 147-day average Bitcoin rallies
- USDT dominance chart mirror move
- A time cycle hit
**September 2025 Cycle Top:**
- Chainlink fractal
- KDA fractal
- Sine line peaks
- 1064 days from cycle low to top
If it’s March/April 2025 and we get a PI cycle cross, we’re out, that’s for sure , we most definitely not taking that chance that "this time its different"
Euphoria Blindness
BTC - Short-Term Bearish?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The BTC market structure has been very clean lately, which I find interesting.
📉Previously, after breaking below the last major lows (marked in red), BTC dipped .
📈Similarly, after breaking above the last major highs (marked in blue), BTC surged .
🔄 If history repeats itself, and the current last major low marked in red is broken to the downside, we can expect another dip in BTC.
However, as long as BTC continues trading within the rising orange channel, the overall short-term trend remains bullish.
🕝What do you think? Will BTC break below the channel for a bearish correction to start, or will it keep pushing higher within the channel to test the $70,000 round number?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BITCOIN UPDATE !Bitcoin continues to consolidate within the descending broadening wedge pattern. The price recently faced rejection at the upper resistance level, indicating a potential downward move.
The repeated rejection at the upper boundary suggests strong selling pressure at the current levels.
The chart highlights multiple bearish formations, each leading to significant drops, which could indicate a similar scenario if the price fails to break out.
The green trendline and the lower yellow zone are potential support areas where buyers might step in.
A short position could be considered if the price is rejected at the upper resistance.
Place a stop-loss slightly above the resistance zone to minimize potential losses.
Target the lower support area around the $51,650 to $50,650 range for potential take-profit levels.
Monitoring Bitcoin's behavior near the wedge's upper boundary is crucial to anticipate the next move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTC/USDT Daily Analysis – Key Channel Insights📊 BTC/USDT Daily Analysis – Key Channel Insights
Bitcoin has been trading within a channel for the past 217 days, as clearly visible on the chart. We've seen a few minor wick-offs (fakeouts) in both directions, but more frequently towards the downside. Notably, the channel's midline has been consistently respected as both support and resistance, which underscores its significance.
🔸 Potential Breakout/Breakdown: A breakout to either side of the channel would likely confirm the next major trend. However, given the choppy market conditions, caution is essential. I remain neutral until a decisive move happens. For me, the market needs to break the previous ATH at $73,777 to confirm a bullish breakout, while a break below $58,900 would signal a bearish breakdown.
🔹 Price Action Forecast: From my analysis, the market seems poised to test the upper boundary of the channel. Just $1,000 above that lies a critical 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which could serve as a turning point. I’ve laid out two potential scenarios, with clear targets for both bulls and bears:
⚔️ Two Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Path 🚀
Invalidation: Below $58,900
Target: $103k – $110k
Bearish Path 🐻
Invalidation: Above $73,777
Target: $44.5k – $40k
While I haven’t specified exact timelines for these targets, I expect strong movements in either direction once the breakout or breakdown is confirmed.
⚠️ Divergence Forming: On the daily timeframe, there’s a clear bearish divergence building, aligning with both of the outlined scenarios. Personally, I’m leaning towards a strong rejection at higher levels, as it would open a lucrative opportunity to enter a short position targeting $44k. This could allow us to capitalize on a solid drop before the anticipated bull run.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Markets are highly volatile, and you should only invest money you are prepared to lose.
Oct.8-Oct.14(BTC)Weekly market recapLast week, the U.S. CPI data for September was released. Although the CPI figure was higher than expected, it was still lower than the previous value. We believe that once the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle, as long as the CPI data does not deviate significantly from expectations, the market will not price in a recession or an inflation rebound. It will generally be a positive outcome. After experiencing an aggressive rate-hike cycle, moving into a rate-cutting cycle means that capital will no longer need to worry about liquidity changes. At the early stages of rate cuts, investors will need to think about which markets to enter to achieve high returns.
We have observed the performance of the Chinese stock market at the end of September, and yesterday, the BTC ETF saw an inflow of over $500 million, marking the largest inflow in the past three months. Capital is beginning to return to the cryptocurrency market, and the continuous inflow of funds is providing support to prices.
BTC began rebounding last week and climbed above 65,000 yesterday, nearing recent highs. On a larger scale, it remains within the previous consolidation range. Therefore, the ME indicator does not give a clear signal and still shows a consolidation trend. From the WTA indicator, we see that large whales have not participated in the recent rebound.
In summary, we believe the probability of BTC moving upward is greater than downward. We maintain the previous resistance levels of 68,000 and support levels of 52,500.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
10/14 Bull run if THIS level confirmed as supportOverview:
The U.S. observed Columbus Day on Monday, with most businesses closed, but trading activity was still alive and well. The PYTH:SPY closed its fifth consecutive green day, reaching a new all-time high, while the PYTH:QQQ approaches its own record. Due to the holiday, the Federal Reserve didn't release any data, but tomorrow we'll see the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, and by Thursday, we’ll have jobless claims numbers, retail sales, home builder confidence, and business inventory reports.
Interestingly, the CME Watch Tool is now showing a 16.4% chance of no rate cut in November, up from just 10% last Friday. This shift may be in response to an overheated equities market. Meanwhile, Monday saw a wave of buying activity in crypto ETFs, with big names like BlackRock, Grayscale, and even Fidelity getting involved. ETH also caught BlackRock’s attention.
For a more reliable corporate earnings calendar, try this updated tool: finance.yahoo.com
BTC TA:
W: Last week, BINANCE:BTCUSDT opened at $62,810 and closed at $62,845, forming a large indecisive doji candle but managing to stay above the Bollinger Band middle line (BB MA). Throughout the week, the price showed lower highs and lower lows until Asian bulls stepped in on Monday morning. While U.S. traders were off for the holiday, Asian traders pushed BTC past its previous high, stopping just short of the crucial $66,550 mark. Keep an eye on $62.7k—it’s a key level on the weekly, 3-month, yearly, and current bull run (since October 2023) point of control. Anything above this level suggests a potential breakout toward $70k, while falling below it could indicate a bearish trend. To confirm, we need to see $62.7k act as solid support. We’ve already had two fake breakouts, so the chances of another are slim, but not impossible.
D: Over the last four days, BTC quickly moved from the bottom to the top of its Bollinger Bands. Coinbase reported 13.5k transactions on Monday—a strong volume, but not as high as in January or October 2023, when this bull run began. This suggests that larger institutional players are still waiting on the sidelines, watching closely. Despite the Fed’s rate cut and China’s $25 billion stimulus, global liquidity has been declining for the last 29 days.
4h: The RSI has hit 75, indicating an overbought condition. If you pull a Fibonacci retracement, the 0.618 level aligns with $64 k, which also coincides with previous weekly and daily resistance levels. This also matches the October 7th high, forming a critical level of interest.
1h: On Monday at 11 am Shanghai time, a large green candle kicked off a rally. Ten hours later, New York bulls joined the action, extending the pump. The rally lasted 19 hours, pushing BTC up by 6.23%.
Alts Relative to BTC: Altcoins are moving in tandem with BTC, but this rally isn’t as much about alts as it is about Bitcoin. While BTC gained 5%, ETH, SOL, and NEAR only posted gains of 6.x%, and none have reached their previous highs. SUI, APT, and TAO have even corrected slightly after their substantial gains of 100% or more over the last 30-40 days, leaving them room to consolidate.
Bull Case: We’re on the verge of exiting the bull flag pattern. Once the global liquidity index starts rising again, markets will likely be flooded with cheap money, fueling risk-on assets like crypto. A bounce off the $62.7k level will confirm it as support, pushing the bullish narrative.
Bear Case: If we see a third fake breakout, it could trap all the bulls.
Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 56, still in Neutral territory but just 4 points away from Greed.
Prediction: The outlook remains bullish, provided we don’t see another fake breakout, and $62.7k can be established as a solid support level.
BTC Technical Analysis👀👉 Bitcoin is currently exhibiting an overextended bearish move and has reached a key support level, where we are seeing signs of a retracement. There are three specific resistance levels above the current price that could serve as potential retracement targets. I’m monitoring for a selling opportunity if price moves into one of these zones and shows a structural break to the downside. Until this price action unfolds, there is no active trade setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always assess your risk and consult a financial professional before making trading decisions. 📊✅
BTC Bitcoin Technical analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 BTC is showing a solid bullish trend on the higher time frames, and I'm closely watching for a potential buying opportunity based on key conditions outlined in the video. We'll explore the critical price action signals to watch for and how to position yourself effectively to capitalize on the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
BRIEFING Week #41 : Time to be a ContrarianHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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