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Bitcoin Faces Critical Week Amid US Presidential ElectionBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is at a pivotal moment, with the cryptocurrency market bracing for heightened volatility as the United States approaches a historic election. The impact of this key event, combined with a possible Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate cut, is set to make waves across digital asset markets. At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $68,749.84, up 0.62% over the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $35 billion and a market cap surpassing $1.35 trillion. Elevated Volatility Expected Traders are bracing for sharp moves in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , as indicated by a 30-day gauge of implied volatility developed by CF Benchmarks. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, highlighted a potential swing of 8%, starkly contrasting the usual 2% fluctuation level. This suggests traders are preparing for significant market action, and expectations of volatility are reflected in the crypto options market. Political Uncertainty Looms Large The 2024 US presidential election adds another layer of unpredictability. Both frontrunners, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, have expressed distinct stances on cryptocurrency and blockchain technology, setting the stage for shifts in market sentiment. Trump has boldly positioned himself as the "Crypto President," promising to elevate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve for the United States. His strong pro-Bitcoin rhetoric, coupled with a pledge to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler—widely seen by the crypto community as an adversary—has fueled optimism among investors. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris's emphasis on tech innovation has kept speculation alive about how her policies might influence the crypto market. The political landscape’s close ties to the crypto industry could be pivotal, especially with the backdrop of regulatory debates involving the SEC and CFTC. Historical Trends and Market Sentiment Historically, Bitcoin’s performance has been closely linked to major political and economic events. Notably, the cryptocurrency has often rallied following US presidential elections, mirroring trends seen in traditional markets like the S&P 500. The Kobeissi Letter's analysis of past elections reveals that 83% of election years have yielded positive returns leading up to Election Day. However, these gains moderated post-election, emphasizing the importance of timing in market strategy. Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s charts reveal mixed but potentially bullish signals. Two critical patterns are forming on the daily chart: 1. Doji Candlestick Pattern: The emergence of a Doji pattern, which indicates indecision among traders, often precedes significant market moves or trend reversals. This formation suggests that market participants are awaiting key news, such as the election results and the FOMC decision, before committing to a direction. 2. Golden Cross Formation: The market is closely monitoring a potential Golden Cross, a bullish indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. While this pattern has yet to fully materialize, it is gradually building momentum, signaling possible upside in the coming weeks. Bitcoin’s Dominance and Macro Environment Bitcoin’s dominance remains robust at 59.2%, a testament to its evolution from a peer-to-peer (P2P) technology to a global financial asset. Amid ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty, CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to be seen as a hedge against traditional financial risks. The potential for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week could further boost bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, making it an attractive asset for risk-on investors. Long-Term Optimism Despite Short-Term Concerns Despite near-term worries about a potential market dip or crash on election day, long-term optimism prevails. Analysts are betting on a strong rebound, with Bitcoin potentially setting a new all-time high if bullish catalysts align. The overall crypto market remains in a consolidation phase, but any positive momentum in Bitcoin could see a cascade effect on top altcoins, setting the stage for a robust market recovery.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin: Small Dip to $49k Or Crypto Winter down to $15k?There are two potential options for Bitcoin price. 1) Price will complete ABC correction as we have A-B in place already. The wave C could retest the valley of wave A at GETTEX:49K 2) Large red second leg down could complete a bigger correction. It could retest the bottom of leg 1 around $15k. Only below GETTEX:49K we can see what structure is unfolding. What are your thoughts why such a huge collapse is possible? Media says miners start switching to AI investments to drop cryptos. Please share your thoughts down below
Short
by aibek
BTC: ATH Imminent? U.S. Election Could Be the Catalyst!Hey everyone! If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates! Welcome to this BTC Update! BTC has broken out of the parallel channel on the daily time frame and is currently hovering near the retest area. The market has been unusually quiet lately—this feels like the calm before the storm, and I’m anticipating a major pump from here. It seems the whole market is waiting on the outcome of the U.S. elections. After the election, I expect BTC to break its ATH, aiming for $90k-$100k by year-end. Invalidation: Daily close below the $64.8k level. What’s your take on BTC’s current price action? Are you spotting this bullish setup too? Share your analysis in the comments, and let’s ride this wave together!
Long
by CoreCrypto1
Watching for market reactionMorning everybody, So, recent sell-off on stock market and rally of the US yields have made pressure as on Gold as on BTC but thankfully it was short term. Still, BTC has dropped to the level that we've discussed last time - 67.5-68K. Why is it so special? First is, it stands around the all-time trend line resistance that recently has been broken up. Second is - the K-support level, which makes it rather strong and a great indicator of market's power. From bullish point of view, we do not want BTC to drop back below it, breaking 65K lows down. At the same time, with elections hysteria environment we suggest to not take any position without confirming patterns. So, our trading plan is to wait for market response to this level. Once we get more or less clear patterns, we could act...
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
1
Bitcoin Bull Flag Breakout Incoming – $100k Target!!Bitcoin is forming a bull flag pattern on the daily chart, hinting at a potential breakout that could propel the price towards $100,000. Currently trading at $65,859, Bitcoin is testing the upper boundary of the flag, with multiple rejections seen in previous attempts to break out. This consolidation within a descending channel, following a strong upward trend, suggests a bullish continuation if the breakout is confirmed. If Bitcoin successfully breaches the flag’s resistance, the measured move from the prior leg indicates a target of $100k. Bull flags are known for signaling a continuation of the prevailing trend, and with Bitcoin’s bullish momentum intact, a breakout could lead to a significant surge. Traders should watch for a clean break above the upper trendline as a confirmation of this setup.
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
1
Bitcoin Roadmap==>Short term!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched the 🎯 Targets 🎯 as I expected in the previous post ✅. Bitcoin started to rise well from the Support zone($67,620-$67,000) and the Support line again ( the start was accompanied by good momentum ). Regarding Elliott's wave theory , wave 5 seems to be completed . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Support zone after breaking the Resistance lines . ⚠️Note: The American elections and the tension between Iran and Israel can easily change the scenarios of Bitcoin: if the tension between Iran and Israel increases, we can see the fall of Bitcoin, and if Donald Trump does not succeed in the US presidential election, we can see the fall of Bitcoin. And vice versa.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15
This volatility period is until November 5th Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- When a new candle is created on the 1W chart, I will explain it in an update. --------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) If the BTC price touches around 89K, it is expected that it will never be below 42K again. - As the new month begins, the StochRSI indicator is showing an upward turn. However, since the StochRSI EMA is located around the 50 point, we can see that volatility still remains. The point to watch is whether the price is maintained above the StErr Line and rises above 71280.01 to challenge the ATH. The black line without any numbers indicates the upper or lower point of the box section of the HA-HIgh or HA-Low indicator. The upper or lower point of the box section of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators on the 1M and 1W charts can be used as support and resistance points when trading. - (1D chart) While falling below 68393.48, it is touching the entire MS-Signal indicator and showing an upward trend. Accordingly, it is thought that the possibility of support in the 68393.48-70148.34 section has increased. Therefore, if support is confirmed in the 68393.48-70148.34 section, it is a time to buy. As I mentioned in the previous idea, the pull back pattern is a pattern that can be recognized when it is completed. Therefore, it is quite difficult to buy at the bottom of the pull back pattern. That is why, when the decline begins after the rise, you have no choice but to check the importance of the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and think about countermeasures for them before preemptively trading. Therefore, since the probability of failure is quite high, you must think about a loss cut or selling method before trading. If you buy in the 68393.48-70148.34 section and it rises above 70148.34, 1st: 71280.01-72344.74 2nd: 73620.12 You must check for support near the 1st and 2nd above and respond. - This volatility period is expected to start around November 4th and end around November 16th. Accordingly, we need to keep an eye on the movements around November 4th (November 3rd-5th), November 10th (November 9th-11th), and November 16th (November 15th-17th). In order to rise along the linear regression channel, the price needs to rise above 70148.34 to maintain its position, so whether it can find support and rise in the 68393.48-70148.34 range is key. ---------------------------------------------------- We choose the time frame chart to trade according to our investment style and trade according to the movement of that chart. Accordingly, we will look at the time frame chart to trade most of the time. Also, since most trading charts are likely to be below 1D charts, there is a high possibility that you will trade without understanding the overall flow. Therefore, before starting a trade, you must check and understand the flow of the 1D chart and then trade. Otherwise, you may trade incorrectly due to fakes or sweeps when trading on time frame charts below 1D charts. - Add the StochRSI indicator to the 1D chart. Set the StochRSI indicator as shown in the picture above. Then, you can check the movement similar to the StochRSI indicator that I use. (The best way is to share my chart and paste the indicator into your chart.) Then, if the StochRSI indicator is rising based on the 50 point, - you should focus on finding the time to sell, - if it is falling, you should focus on finding the time to buy. Depending on the location of the StochRSI indicator, volatility may occur. 1. When falling in the overbought zone 2. When located in the 50 point zone 3. When rising in the oversold zone When the above three movements occur, the price may show volatility. If this volatility occurs at a time, you should check the movement of the 1D chart to avoid being caught in a fake or a sweep. - The trend-based Fibonacci extension shown on the left was drawn at the point where this rise began. Therefore, you can use it only as a reference for chart analysis. - It doesn't matter which time frame chart you start trading on. However, you can create a trading strategy that matches the investment period, investment size, trading method, and profit realization method according to the time frame chart and respond accordingly. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
1
BITCOIN - BTCUSD - SWING IDEABitcoin is currently testing the 0.5 Fib Area along with the market structure Resistance. We can LONG after it breaks the 69,900 Level and aim for ATH (All Time High). Otherwise, in case of a breakdown, we can look for a small scalp/trade. Execute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO. 💡KEEP IN MIND💡 I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market. 🚀Follow, I will drop daily 2-5 Intraday Charts🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by abdulmoizboy
Bitcoin Analysis==>>DUMP==>>Filling GapsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently moving in the Support zone ($70,100-$68,420) and near the Support line . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin was able to complete main wave 4 ( although with a little irregular movement ). I expect Bitcoin will break the Support line soon , and the main wave 5 can be finished in one of the Potential Reversal Zones(PRZs) and filling the CME Gaps one by one . Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
17
BITCOIN Short term Road Map !!!As you can see, the price has broken out of the wedge, and from now on, the price can drop to the 0.618=67k Fibonacci line. After that, we may see Bitcoin rise again. ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
by CobraVanguard
1
AAVE LONG IDEA - AAVE Coin Swing Long OpportunityAAVE is a coin I monitored closely during Summer 2024. While most altcoins were making new lows, AAVE was accumulating and showed resilience, which suggested to me that it might outperform others in the 2024-2025 altcoin bull season. Technical Analysis: Price accumulated within the monthly demand zone throughout Summer 2024. It finally took off, breaking the weekly structure and creating strong bullish momentum on the weekly and daily charts. Currently, price is retracing to the weekly demand zone responsible for the structural break, which is also supported by the monthly demand. This level appears strong to me. I anticipate a slight retracement to grab daily swing liquidity before taking off from that area, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden entry level, adding further confidence. I’ll be watching for LTF confirmations to enter the trade.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL