VIRTUAL’s Incredible Year: Is a Top in Sight??VIRTUAL has experienced a phenomenal rise in recent months, climbing to rank 36 in the overall crypto market with an impressive $3.7 billion market cap. This meteoric growth is a testament to the strong interest and momentum behind the project. However, as we approach the end of the year, there are signs that a potential top could be forming. Let’s analyse the chart and key scenarios to watch for in the coming weeks.
Key Levels and Observations:
1.) Elliott Wave Analysis:
The price action suggests we are completing the 5th wave of an Elliott Wave cycle, signaling a potential exhaustion of the current uptrend.
Based on the Fibonacci extension of the last corrective wave, the 1.618 level is a critical resistance at $3.8134.
A breakout above $3.8134 could open the doors to test the psychological level of $4. However, failure to break this level might confirm the end of the 5th wave and initiate a correction.
2.) Head and Shoulders Formation (Potential Setup):
There are early signs of a Left Shoulder formation on the chart. If the price rejects at the 1.618 Fibonacci level, we could see the development of a Head and Right Shoulder, forming a bearish reversal pattern.
Confirmation of this pattern would require a clear neckline and increased selling volume, signaling a trend reversal.
3.) Time-Based Correction:
A correction could align with the broader crypto market trends as we head into early 2025. Given the potential for Bitcoin to drop to the 84K support zone, this could trigger a sell-off in altcoins, including VIRTUAL.
4.) Overall Market Sentiment:
While the broader market has been bullish, a Bitcoin-led correction could drag down the entire crypto market.
Altcoins often experience sharper corrections during Bitcoin downturns, which could result in VIRTUAL retracing some of its gains.
Volume Analysis: Monitor volume levels at key resistance points (e.g., $3.8134 and $4) for confirmation of breakout or rejection.
Market Correlation: Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price action, as any significant movement could directly impact VIRTUAL and other altcoins.
Note: These are my personal thoughts and interpretations of the current market conditions. Please take them with a grain of salt. The crypto market is highly volatile and further data and confirmations are essential before drawing definitive conclusions. Happy trading!
Btc-e
BTC Weekly Signal: A Warning or Just Another Test?Analysis:
Bitcoin's current price action presents a critical juncture, marked by the flashing of the PrimeMomentum LongTerm Signal BTC on the weekly chart. Historically, this signal has proven to be 100% accurate, correlating with significant corrections whenever it appears. If the signal persists until the weekly candle closes in 36 hours, we might see Bitcoin entering a deeper corrective phase.
Key Observations:
The Signal's History:
As illustrated on the chart, each red diamond signal in the past has accurately predicted a correction.
Corrections following the signal have ranged between 7% to 25%, with the most extreme being a 72% drop during the bear market.
Potential Correction Zones:
Two imbalance zones have been highlighted as potential targets:
$85,000–$81,600: This aligns with the upper imbalance zone.
$74,400–$70,600: A deeper support area, matching historical price reactions.
These zones are consistent with prior correction depths and market behavior during similar signals.
Market Cyclicity:
Corrections often precede major market rallies. Historical data shows post-holiday rallies were initiated by small corrections, fitting the current scenario.
This aligns with upcoming macro events, including the inauguration of significant political figures, which could fuel renewed bullish sentiment.
What to Watch:
Weekly Candle Closure:
If the signal remains active upon close, the likelihood of a correction increases significantly.
Reaction to Imbalance Zones:
Monitor price action closely if Bitcoin approaches $92,000 or either imbalance zone.
Macro and Whale Activity:
Whales may capitalize on this correction to accumulate Bitcoin at lower levels before anticipated bullish catalysts in 2024.
Final Thoughts:
This setup reflects a dynamic yet critical stage for Bitcoin's market structure. While corrections can appear alarming, they are often healthy retracements that set the stage for stronger bullish moves. Keep an eye on the weekly close and remember that the PrimeMomentum LongTerm Signal BTC has yet to fail in its predictions.
Will Bitcoin's trendline hold, or are we due for another major correction? Share your thoughts and let’s discuss! 🚀
Bitcoin: 90K Break Monthly Sell Signal.Bitcoin has rejected the 99,500K resistance area establishing a LOWER HIGH (see arrow). This is a BEARISH sign that increases the chances of a 90K support break. At the same time, price is back inside of a broader support zone (90 to 95K) which may see a brief reversal develop as well. In order to utilize this information which may appear to be conflicting, you must know what time frame you are looking to capitalize on. The key is to be able to adjust when the market confirms one way of the other. Forecasting absolute scenarios is ineffective.
The 90K support area is a key level. A bullish reversal is likely to appear somewhere in this zone which may be good for a brief retest of the mid to higher 90Ks, but I would not expect much more than that. It maybe worth a swing trade (upon confirmation) for 1 or 2K points. If 90K breaks instead, then this scenario is NO longer in play.
The rejection of the 99,500 resistance signifies weakness that should be NO SURPRISE since price is coming off of a broader Wave 5. This move also establishes a BEARISH pin bar on the monthly chart. A break below the low of this candle will also constitute a broader time frame sell signal. This event CAN be the beginning of the next corrective structure that can see price retest the mid 80Ks or even as low as the 70K area (pre election peak) over the next quarter. Hard to believe after all the Michael Saylor thumbnails on Youtube recently. Lesson: Don't buy highs, especially when every Youtube thumbnail has his face on it along with an outrageous price objective. I think the only people fooled by this nowadays are little kids.
The Wave 5 that has completed establishes a larger Wave 3 (the bottom of which is 15K). This means the coming corrective cycle Can persist for the next two years and may be very similar to a recent yearly Wave 4 in Gold which took two years to break out of. Wave 4s are typically consolidations and can be very confusing especially when they test their lows. This will be very important for long term investors to to aware of since it there are likely to be opportune dollar cost average prices (just make sure you understand how to weight and avoid leverage).
Being familiar with wave counts is very helpful when it comes to recognizing important turning points and what to generally expect in the near future. It serves as an effective context to consider when utilizing other more specific pattern oriented strategies. The market provides the evidence, and then we adjust to improve probabilities, every else is a function of the risk we choose to take.
Have a safe and Happy New Year and thank you again for considering my analysis.
BITCOIN (BTC) Setting Up for One Last Dip Before 200kCurrently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is about to tag the equal lows at 92.1k, but I’m not betting that level will hold. I’m more focused on the opportunity if CRYPTOCAP:BTC drops into the low 80ks. It might be a bit ambitious, but I’ve been waiting since the tap at 107k.
I expect this move to unfold before mid-January. By halfway through Q1, we could start to see some market strength, with a potential target of 198k for BTC. MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
BTC HEAD&SHOULDER Key Observations
1. Head and Shoulders Pattern:
A clear head and shoulders formation is identified, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder well-defined.
The neckline is slightly sloping and serves as a key support level. A breakdown below this line would confirm the bearish pattern.
2. Measured Move:
The measured move is calculated by taking the distance between the head and the neckline and projecting it downward. This aligns with a major support zone below the neckline and suggests further downside if confirmed.
3. Indicators:
RSI: Currently below the midline, indicating weakening bullish momentum and leaning bearish.
OBV (On-Balance Volume): Trending downward, signaling reduced accumulation and fading buying pressure.
Volume: No significant spikes near the neckline yet, meaning confirmation of a breakdown is still pending.
4. Fibonacci Levels:
The retracement levels suggest key support zones below the measured move target. A deeper correction could align with these levels if momentum accelerates.
Scenarios
Bullish:
A strong rebound from the neckline and a breakout above the nearest resistance level (right shoulder region) would invalidate the head and shoulders, paving the way for a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Bearish:
A confirmed breakdown below the neckline triggers the measured move, with price potentially heading toward the calculated target. A further breakdown beyond this level could align with deeper retracement zones.
Recommendation
Monitor the neckline closely for a breakout or breakdown.
Look for volume confirmation to validate the move. Lack of volume could indicate a false breakout/breakdown.
Use the measured move target for planning potential entries/exits and manage risk accordingly.
Bitcoin's anti-gift for the new year!Technically it looks pretty sad and I think the chart will move through the fibonacci levels. I wouldn't expect any gifts before the end of the year, just another spill and discounts. I think you will hear more words at the New Year tables that altcoins is a scam.
The liquidation levels also confirm my theory, the decline is programmed.
Horban Brothers.
VIRTUAL - 4:1 RR Short SetupThis trade setup presents a low-risk opportunity with a 1% risk for a potential 4% reward, providing an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of 4:1. The analysis is based on an ABC correction pattern, with entries laddered between the 0.618 and 0.718 Fibonacci retracement levels, SL above the high. The take-profit target is strategically placed at a well-defined confluence support zone.
With Major Liquidity Swept and RSI reset Bitcoin is now going UPIn the last few days, after achieving a new all-time high of $108,000, Bitcoin has experienced a massive dump, liquidating many retail traders using leverage. This market downturn was caused by several factors. First, Bitcoin was severely overbought and overdue for a correction. Second, Jerome Powell added to the market uncertainty by making strong anti-Bitcoin statements, dashing hopes of the U.S. adding BTC to its Federal Reserve reserves.
As a result, the market saw a steep fall, with major altcoins such as SOL and DOGE dropping over 30%.
The Main Question: What’s Next?
Bitcoin is unlikely to go up from here in the immediate term. Instead, it may be better to position for a short targeting the $90-91K range. The market might remain bearish over the Christmas holidays, giving “holiday discount” vibes. It’s not a good idea to buy Bitcoin with leverage at this moment. Waiting until next Monday to reevaluate might be a safer option.
Technical Analysis:
As highlighted, Bitcoin has broken out of an ascending channel and dropped significantly. One of the key technical reasons for this is the overbought RSI. Major resistance is currently around $99.7K , while key support lies between $89.5K and $87.5K . A break below these levels could indicate a strong move in either direction.
The most liquidity is around $92.2K , where Bitcoin is likely to gravitate before making an upward move. Additionally, RSI has hit a support level, which increases the possibility of a bounce from here.
Outlook:
After the holidays and once Bitcoin sweeps the lower liquidity levels, we could see an excellent buying opportunity . There is potential for BTC to reach $118K by the end of January . Moreover, Donald Trump’s inauguration could act as a catalyst to drive Bitcoin’s price higher once again.
Opulous ($OPUSDT): Bullish Setup for a Strong Move
I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Opulous ( BINANCE:OPUSDT BINANCE:OPUSDT ): Bullish Setup for a Strong Move
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $1.686 (Activated)
- Stop-Loss: $0.595
- Take-Profit Target:
- TP: $5.145
Fundamental Analysis:
Opulous ( BINANCE:OPUSDT BINANCE:OPUSDT ) is a revolutionary platform combining decentralized finance (DeFi) with the music industry. It enables artists to mint music as NFTs, allowing fans to invest directly in their favourite creators. This innovative approach to music rights and revenue sharing is gaining traction, with BINANCE:OPUSDT positioned as a key player in the growing MusicFi sector.
Recent partnerships and collaborations with global artists have further enhanced its visibility, making BINANCE:OPUSDT BINANCE:OPUSDT a token to watch in 2024.
Tokenomics Overview:
- Total Supply: 500 million BINANCE:OPUSDT tokens.
- Key Utility: Facilitates transactions for music NFTs and DeFi staking.
- Community Growth: Rapidly expanding user base with increasing NFT volume.
Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
- Current Price: $1.898
- Moving Averages:
- 50-EMA: $1.700
- 200-EMA: $1.500
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 65, reflecting bullish momentum nearing overbought levels.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $1.600
- Resistance: $2.000
The price action indicates that BINANCE:OPUSDT BINANCE:OPUSDT is on a bullish trajectory, having already activated the entry level at $1.686. With strong support at $1.600, the token is poised for a breakout toward the take-profit target of $5.145.
Market Sentiment:
Community engagement around Opulous remains high, with significant interest in its MusicFi use cases. Social media chatter and increasing trading volume reflect growing confidence in its long-term potential.
Risk Management:
A stop-loss at $0.595 limits downside risk while allowing room for volatility. The take-profit target offers a massive **205% return** from the entry point, making this a high-reward setup for mid- to long-term traders.
Key Takeaways:
- BINANCE:OPUSDT ’s innovative approach to music rights through NFTs positions it as a leader in the emerging MusicFi sector.
- The trade setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, aligning with the token’s bullish momentum.
- Long-term holders could benefit significantly from this breakout opportunity.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
BTC/USDT 4H Chart ReviewHi everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart, looking at the 4h time frame, we can see that the price is moving in a triangle where we are getting close to the exit and taking the direction of further movement.
In the short term, we can start by defining potential SLs in a situation where the price continues to correct:
SL1 = 94431 USD
SL2 = 92902 USD
SL3 = 91260 USD
SL4 = 88598 USD
However, if the price changes direction and the visible green candle starts to gain strength, it is worth moving on to setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = 96526 USD
T2 = 98225 USD
T3 = 99528 USD
T4 = 101113 USD
When we look at the additional indicators, we can see how the CHOP indicator and the RSI indicator are around the middle of the range, which indicates a possible movement in both directions, but here we also have the STOCH indicator, which shows an upward movement below the middle of the range, which in the short term may raise the price a bit more.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) AnalysisBitcoin is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend in the medium term. The price is near the lower trendline support, suggesting a potential bounce. Support Zone: $92,000 – $94,000 (green area) This zone has provided strong support during successive pullbacks. Resistance Zone: $100,000 – $102,000 Bitcoin has struggled to break this level, which is a major resistance. If BTC maintains the current support and breaks the $100,000 resistance, the next target could be the upper channel boundary around $110,000 or above. A breakdown below $92,000 could invalidate the ascending channel, with a potential decline to $88,000 or lower.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
BTC Correction 77/79KBitcoin is expected to undergo a downward correction in the coming period, targeting the zone between $77,000 and $79,000. However, it is possible for the price to continue declining to lower levels.
with signs of selling momentum at higher levels. Nonetheless, the mentioned zone might still offer a chance for consolidation and a potential upward move if supportive factors align.
Trading plan for Bitcoin price for Christmas & New Year holidays🎄 Christmas and New Year's holidays are coming up, and we congratulate you on that!)
We survived, even earned a little, so thank you for that)
Currently, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has been stopped on "the verge of a foul", but the holidays will lead to a decrease in business activity and an increase in “manipulative volatility.”
So, to follow the behavior of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, subscribe to this idea!
A big temptation is to “break the stops” of #Bitcoin, which are hiding below $85k, and an even bigger temptation is to close the GAP on the CME BTC chart in the range of $77-78k.
And there are several other options for the development of events by combining the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, but I'm too lazy to write about it yet)
⁉️ But if you are interested in us writing “voluminous reflections”, like at the end of 2022 before the start of super growth with plans for 2023-25, which are working out very well👇
then we need inspiration from you in the form of reactions and comments here and maybe a miracle will happen, the main thing is to believe in it!)
Bearish Breakout: ZEN’s Path to $26 RevealedZEN has broken below both the daily open (dOpen) and weekly open (wOpen), signaling increased bearish momentum. The previous support levels now act as a Support/Resistance Zone, and bullish recovery requires reclaiming both dOpen and wOpen with significant volume. However, the current setup suggests further downside toward the $26–$25 range, which aligns with multiple confluences and the target from the Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern.
Confluence for $26–$25 Support Zone:
Fibonacci Retracement (0.618): The key retracement level provides a strong support area.
$25 Key Level: A psychological and technical key level with historical significance.
Point of Control (POC): The POC from the previous trading range aligns perfectly with this zone.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.272): The projected extension supports the target.
Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.777): Adds further confluence for this price level.
H&S Target: The projected target of the confirmed Head & Shoulders pattern coincides with this zone.
Outlook and Strategy:
Short-Term Bias: The bearish trend remains dominant unless bulls manage to reclaim dOpen and wOpen with strong volume.
Target Area: The $26–$25 range serves as the most probable area for a bounce or reversal due to multiple technical confluences.
Next Steps: If price reaches the support zone, look for a high-probability long setup with confirmation through increased buying volume, bullish candlestick patterns, and alignment with key indicators.
Short Setup Masterclass: Perfect Retest of dOpenKey Observations
1.) Wave Structure & Flat Top Formation:
The completion of a 5-wave structure aligns with Elliott Wave Theory's indication of a potential reversal or corrective phase.
A flat top pattern at the 5th wave signifies a strong resistance level, which led to a structural break to the downside.
2.) Daily Open Retest:
Price perfectly retested the daily open (dOpen) before rejecting it. This level now acts as a strong resistance, offering a favorable risk-to-reward (R:R) ratio for short entries.
Stop-loss (SL) placement is ideal just above the daily open to minimize risk.
3.) Lack of Bullish Volume:
Current ranging behavior lacks bullish volume, further supporting the bearish case for a continuation to lower levels.
Support Zone & Confluence Factors
The immediate target for this short trade lies at the confluence-rich support zone near $3.3184, identified by the following factors:
1.) Fibonacci Levels:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, confirming its significance.
2.) VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price):
The VWAP from the swing high indicates $3.32 as a key level.
3.) Negative Fibonacci Extension (-0.618):
Projecting from the recent impulse points to this area as a potential corrective target.
4.) December 16th High:
This level now acts as a magnet for liquidity, increasing the likelihood of a revisit.
5.) Liquidity at Swing Low:
The swing low at $3.3184 holds significant liquidity, which could be swept during a bearish
move.
6.) Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.618):
The 0.618 speed fan intersects around $3.32, adding further confluence to the zone.
Trading Strategy
Short Trade Setup:
Entry: The ideal entry was at the dOpen retest. A short trade can now be initiated at the current price with a smaller position size.
Stop-Loss (SL): Above the daily open to minimise risk.
Take-Profit (TP): Targeting the confluence zone at $3.3184.
BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone,BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone, where selling pressure could emerge. If this level holds, the downside target remains at 86,000, which aligns with a significant support level. Keep an eye on price action and momentum indicators for confirmation before entering a position.
Entry Position:
- **Sell Entry:** Around 98,900–99,100 (to account for potential resistance zone fluctuations).
Stop Loss:
- **Stop Loss:** 99,600 (above the resistance zone to manage risk).
Target:
- **Take Profit:** 86,000 (key support zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
- Ensure the risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:2 to maintain a favorable trading setup. Adjust your position size accordingly.
Keep monitoring for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish divergence, or a breakdown of intraday support).