BTC: 111 : November After Major Market Wiped OutThis is the beginning of November 2024. My previous posting includes of Uptrend Bull and Retracement Bear all fully recorded in the Comment & Update. Please refer there.
Btc-e
“See you next year...”Follow The Trend, It is your best friend. Love it. My only worry is that everyone around me is talking about it…140K By 2028 is not a bad target! CRYPTOCAP:BTC If Kamala Harris
wins, everyone who cross the border will get Bitcoin in return instead of food stamps and 10,000. Everything to hide the money.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will break trend line and fall to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the cart we can see how the price fell firstly to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, and then at once rebounded up. After BTC rose a little, it turned around and fell to the trend line, and then started to grow, making a fake breakout of support 2. Later, BTC in a short time rose to support 1, which coincided with the support zone and even entered to this area, but soon turned around and dropped to the trend line. Soon, the price broke this line and then started to grow below the trend line, until it reached support 1, after which BTC rebounded down again. After the price made a correction, it turned around and quickly rose to support 1, broke this level, and continued to grow to the trend line. When the price reached this line, it broke it and then rose a little higher, but recently turned around and fell to this line. Now, the price is growing near the trend line and I expect that BTCUSDT will rise a little and then drop to the support area, breaking the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 69300 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin Stays True to “Uptober” with 11% Pop. What Happens Next?Bitcoin BTC/USD saw elevated demand in October as the surge nearly led to a new all-time high. Now the looming US election on November 5 is shaping up as a catalyst for growth, depending on who gets to become President of the United States.
Bullishness is in the air. The OG token — Bitcoin BTC/USD — pumped hard in yet another October. Staying true to the “Uptober” tradition , BTC added 11% over the month, kicking it all the way up to more than $73,000 , just a few hundred bucks shy of its record high logged in March .
The powerful surge is now taking a breather with prices diving back under the $70,000 threshold. But not for long, according to some analysts who are already living post November 5. What’s that? It’s the biggest event of the year — economically, politically, and … cryptolitically ?
Gloves on, bell rings, the main event is here — in the blue corner is Democrat Kamala Harris facing her red-shorts opponent, Republican Donald Trump. The current Vice President and the former President are squaring up for the top spot in American politics. And both have vastly differing viewpoints on crypto.
If we were to play favorites, it’s fair to say that Donald Trump is winning the hearts of the crypto faithful. Throughout his rallying and campaigning, he’s made it clear that he believes in Bitcoin’s growth potential. What’s more, he’s embraced digital assets in general and wants to see the market thrive in the world’s biggest economy.
The promises don’t stop there. Trump has vowed to make the US the “crypto capital of the world” and dig out all the remaining Bitcoins from within US grounds. He also pledged to set up a Bitcoin strategic reserve and fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler, who is seen as a roadblock to future crypto growth.
Hence the so-called “Trump trade,” which has been propelling the orange coin to higher places.
On the other end of the spectrum is Kamala Harris who has adopted a warm, but not that warm stance toward crypto. She’s all about casting a sweeping regulatory framework over the industry. The Democratic candidate has vowed to “encourage innovative technologies” like digital assets. Still better than President Joe Biden’s crackdown on the sector.
More interestingly, Trump has recruited a key player on his team. Elon Musk, the world’s richest guy (depending on the day) and CEO of Tesla TSLA , is a major donor to Trump’s campaign. He is looking to potentially get employed by the government as head of — can you guess? — Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE (a nod to Musk’s beloved coin).
"I will create a government efficiency commission tasked with conducting a complete financial and performance audit of the entire federal government," Trump said at a rally back in September.
“I look forward to serving America if the opportunity arises. No pay, no title, no recognition is needed,” the eccentric billionaire wrote on his X platform .
How is that bullishness trickling into the markets? Besides the obvious price leap, options traders are ramping up their bets for $80,000 Bitcoin by the end of November. Implied volatility on November 5 is elevated — BTC options flag a 30% chance of a 10% swing in the price. Stay cool, stay ready.
On the ETFs front, exchange-traded funds that hold genuine Bitcoin and offer spot trading pulled in around $4 billion of net new money in October. The biggest winner of all 11 spot BTC ETFs is the BlackRock-owned iShares Bitcoin Trust, which holds more than $26 billion in assets.
Traders broadly (not just the crypto space) may be pricing in a Trump victory and scooping up some of the assets that are likely to do well under his term. But while Trump is ahead in prediction markets, he’s neck-and-neck with Harris in the national polls, making Election Day all the more uncertain.
With that said, Bitcoin is up 57% on the year, outperforming other large-cap assets, such as gold XAU/USD , up 35% in a stellar year of its own , and the S&P 500 SPX , up 20% year to date, also enjoying lots of buying appetite .
Whose side are you on and do you think we'll see a huge swing in the price of Bitcoin come November 5? Share your thoughts below!
Bitcoin can reach resistance line of channel and start to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered an upward channel, where at once it made little correction and then rose to a support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then BTC broke this level, after which made a correction to the buyer zone, and then BTC made an impulse up to the resistance line of the upward channel. After this movement, the price turned around from this line and then started to decline to the 58900 support level, which coincided with the support line of the channel. Later BTC rebounded and continued to move up inside the upward channel and some time later reached the current support level, which coincided with the support area. Price rebounded from this level and made a correction below, after which made an upward impulse to the resistance line of the channel, thereby breaking the 69500 level. But a not long time ago it started to decline, therefore I think that BTC can grow to the resistance line and then drop below a current support level, breaking it and continuing to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 67000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
UPTOBER ENDS Bitcoins monthly close is behind us and it's an interesting one...
For most of the last day of the month BTC was above the previous monthly close high of $71,413.40. However, Bitcoin failed to close above that level coming up 1.67% short.
Despite this the monthly candle is very strong, historically October is a good performer hence the "UPTOBER" nickname and this time around was no exception with an +11% move. I said in a previous post that a retest of the '21 ATH @ $69,000 is possible and likely, in the last 8 months BTC has routinely rejected off this level with no acceptance above, just SFPs galore. This is the chance to retest and accept as new support. that would set up a move for ATH and above.
Q4 so far has been positive, we know that this month will be a strange one as the US election is in a few days and can sway markets so volatility can be expected. In the end I think the trajectory is new highs by the end of the year.
BITCOIN - Price can bounce from support area to $73800 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price rose inside rising channel, where it broke $61100 level and then reached resistance line of channel.
Then price continued to grow near this line, after it reached $66350 points, price turned around and started to decline.
In a short time, BTC exited from channel, fell to support area, and started trades inside wedge.
In wedge, price fell to support line, after which made upward impulse to $69000 level, made correction, and continued to grow.
Soon, price broke $69000 level and reached resistance line of wedge, but recently fell to one more support area.
Possibly, BTC can bounce up from support area to $73800 resistance line of wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is in a strong bullish trend and has reached the 60% level. This means that Bitcoin alone holds 60% of the total crypto market value. In other words, the entire altcoin market, including ETH and other large-cap coins, represents only 40% of the market. Considering the crypto market has over 2,500 different coins/assets, it’s notable that all of them combined only account for 40% of the total market value, while Bitcoin alone makes up the other 60%.
In previous bull market cycles, this chart typically shows initial bullishness, followed by a strong reversal to the downside after a few months, which brings the largest returns in the altcoin market.
A bullish trend in BTC Dominance indicates that Bitcoin will outperform altcoins, whereas a bearish trend suggests the opposite.
Currently, BTC Dominance is moving within a parallel channel driving its bullish movement. It has reached the weekly supply level and is now approaching the monthly supply level. I expect BTC Dominance to hit this monthly supply level at the top of the channel, experience rejection, and start moving lower. Eventually, I anticipate it will break below the entire channel, signaling a large influx of capital into altcoins. This shift has the potential to create significant returns for altcoin investors.
I believe this scenario is likely during the 2025 bull cycle, so be prepared to build generational wealth.
Bitcoin Faces Uncertainty Amid Mt. Gox BTC TransferMt. Gox BTC Movement Raises Concerns
Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) markets were rattled by news on November 1 that $35 million worth of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) associated with the infamous Mt. Gox exchange had been transferred to unmarked addresses. Blockchain intelligence firm Arkham disclosed that the defunct exchange moved a total of 500 CRYPTOCAP:BTC , split into two transactions of 31.78 BTC and 468.24 BTC. This transfer is notable as it marks the first significant movement from Mt. Gox-associated wallets in over a month.
Currently, approximately 44,905 BTC, worth around $3.1 billion, remains in wallets flagged as Mt. Gox-associated, adding to market anxieties about a potential liquidation. The broader context deepens concerns: in early August, Mt. Gox moved 12,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC worth $700 million, a signal that the pace of transfers is quickening.
The repayment process for Mt. Gox creditors has been fraught with complications. In an official statement earlier this month, Mt. Gox extended the deadline for repayments by another year, pushing it to October 31, 2025. The delay is attributed to “system issues” and unresolved procedural steps by rehabilitation creditors, with the trustee even acknowledging incidents of double payments that required refunds. As these issues unfold, market participants remain wary of the potential impact of Mt. Gox-related liquidations on Bitcoin's price.
Historical Context and Broader Market Fears
Mt. Gox was one of the world’s first and largest Bitcoin exchanges, responsible for handling 70% of global BTC transactions at its peak before a series of hacks led to its infamous collapse in 2014. Since then, the repayment of creditors has been a lingering issue, casting a shadow over the market. The prospect of sudden, large-scale Bitcoin sales tied to Mt. Gox funds creates a cloud of uncertainty that traders and investors have come to dread.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin’s recent rally to $73,600 between October 26 and October 29 brought it within a hair’s breadth of its all-time high of $73,808. This surge, representing a 10% increase over just a few days, was followed by a sharp 5.5% correction. As of early trading on November 1, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) fell below $69,000, but this pullback commenced hours before the news of the Mt. Gox transfer, suggesting that broader market forces were already at play.
Currently, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is attempting to stabilize, trading at $68,000 to $69,000, with its RSI (Relative Strength Index) reading at 56. Indicating that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is maintaining support at the $70,000 level, albeit tentatively. The RSI suggests that selling pressure could persist, threatening a drop to the $65,000 support level if bulls fail to regain control. Conversely, if Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) can hold above the $70,000 mark and selling pressure subsides, it may pave the way for a more robust rally.
Overheated Market Conditions
Market sentiment data adds another layer of complexity. According to CryptoQuant, over 99% of Bitcoin’s supply was in profit when the asset traded at $72,323 on October 31. Such an elevated level of profitability indicates potential overheating, as more investors might be tempted to lock in gains, adding downward pressure on prices. Profit-taking could exacerbate the current correction, with key support zones under threat.
Outlook: The Road Ahead
The immediate future for Bitcoin remains a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces. The $73,000 mark serves as a pivotal point, acting either as a short-term resistance or the springboard for a new leg higher. Should Bitcoin break above this level convincingly, we could see fresh all-time highs, with projections ranging from $90,000 to $100,000. Such a move might be catalyzed by major market events, such as the upcoming U.S. presidential election.
However, a failure to defend the $70,000 support could invite a steeper correction toward $65,000. Traders should watch for renewed selling pressure, particularly if profit-taking intensifies or if further Mt. Gox-related news emerges. The interplay of technical indicators, fundamental developments, and market sentiment will likely dictate Bitcoin’s direction in the weeks ahead.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's market remains on edge as concerns over Mt. Gox fund movements and the potential for profit-taking weigh heavily. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can weather this storm or if a deeper correction is imminent. As always, traders and investors must stay vigilant, keeping a close eye on key support and resistance levels.
BTC 4 Seasons CycleWhat I came up with is that in the bullphase Bitcoin tops out in Winter/Spring 🟦/🟩
Last cycle we had a double top but you would only miss out on 4-8% while saving yourself the headache of a 50% drop in summer 🟥
In the bearphase we bottom usually in Fall/Winter 🟧/🟦
I dont know how people can call for 48-55k or something else it would take us another year then until Winter to get back up and top out and to drop in 4-6 Months in Summer to the bottom its not usual for Bitcoin to do that.
It takes Bitcoin around 350 to 400 Days to hit the bottom you can see it in the picture below
BTC $83k-$86k top, then down below $30k?I sold all of my crypto between May - July thinking we'd see a large correction. We did pull back to the GETTEX:48K level, but we didn't see continuation below that level. Now price is within MIL:1K of where I sold it and I now think we'll see the last move higher. So I'm starting to build exposure again.
If we look at the chart, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been consolidating right below resistance.
I think we'll see one final move to FWB:83K -$86k, then we'll see the larger correction that I was anticipating below $30k.
Still don't think we see $100k BTC anytime soon. I think that doesn't come until 2026-2028.
I've started building exposure to CRYPTOCAP:BTC again and certain alts, specifically CRYPTOCAP:DOGE incase Trump wins as I think that'll be a catalyst to send price higher. I
I think alts will see one last move higher into early December before the whole market starts to correct.
Let's see what happens.
btcusd#Bitcoin continues to advance by turning broken resistances into support on the daily chart!
The major rise will continue unless CRYPTOCAP:BTC makes a daily close below $68,367 🤝
Bitcoin vs Halving vs US Election DatesLook at the history. Bitcoin bull cycle start after Halving event & US election. So accumulation period is prior to halving event and we can sell bitcoin after 1 year from the date of US election. As of historical data, the best time to sell bitcoin will be around November, December 2025.
Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
$BTC - Deviation or Continuation?Bitcoin retraces to the previous value area.
On the daily chart, price deviated above our VWAP and is now retesting its upper band.
Currently, price is retesting the previous range high. If this level holds, a complacency bounce is likely.
Immediate resistance to break is around 70.7k ( pdPOC) . A rejection at this level could drive price down to 68k (pwVAH) and potentially further to 66.4k (pwVAL) , sweeping through imbalances (single print/poor low) .
Potential bullish bounce?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 69,503.31
1st Support: 68,287.05
1st Resistance: 71,376.35
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BITCOIN GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅BITCOIN fell again to retest the support of 69,000$
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
We will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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The point of interest is whether it can create a pull back
(Title) The point of interest is whether it can create a pull back pattern
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Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
With this decline, the BW (100) line was created at the 72344.74 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above 72344.74.
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The price is passing the StErr Line around 71280.01, and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing around 68393.48.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises between the M-Signal and StErr Line on the 1D chart, a short-term pullback will form.
If not, and it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will show a short-term downtrend.
For this reason, as I mentioned yesterday, if it is supported between the M-Signal and 70148.34 on the 1D chart, it is time to buy more.
However, in order to buy more like this, a split sale must have been made before.
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If not, and you need to buy new,
1. When it is supported around 67414.39-68393.48,
2. When it breaks through 72344.74,
there are two methods above.
The prerequisite for buying new is that the StochRSI indicator is below 50 and shows an upward trend.
If not, and the StochRSI indicator is above 50 or showing a downward trend, it is better not to buy.
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(1h chart)
The linear regression channel indicator has set the length to 50, so the channel moves over time.
The channel is showing a change from an uptrend to a downtrend.
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Back to the main story, the point of observation is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the 5EMA of the 1D chart and whether it can rise above the middle line of the channel.
If it fails to rise, volatility is expected to occur while touching the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Accordingly, as I mentioned on the 1D chart, we can see that the points 68393.48, 70148.34, and 71280.01 are important support and resistance points.
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If you bought below 68393.48, you can see that the area around 68393.48 is the last selling point.
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If the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to find a time to sell, and if the StochRSI indicator is below 50, it is better to find a time to buy.
However, this is only when you are trying to make a new trade.
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I am currently holding a long position.
And, since I thought it would create a pull back pattern and rise, I gave you an example of additional buying in the idea yesterday.
So, I didn't mention SHORT this time.
I think this SHORT position is likely to end sooner than expected.
USDC is volatile, so it can show a gap down at any time.
However, since USDT is continuously showing a gap uptrend, it can be seen that the coin market is likely to continue its upward trend.
And, because BTC dominance is on the rise.
The rise in BTC dominance also means that funds are concentrated on BTC.
Therefore, when BTC dominance is on the rise, it can be seen that it is more advantageous to trade BTC than altcoins.
If USDT dominance falls below 4.97 and is maintained or shows a downward trend, I think the coin market is likely to start an uptrend.
In order for this uptrend to lead to an altcoin uptrend, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
If not, there is a possibility that it will become a strange uptrend where only BTC rises, so be careful when trading altcoins.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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#Bitcoin Short Time 2hThere is a harmonic bullish butterfly formation on CRYPTOCAP:BTC on the 2-hour time frame!
BTC 70k retestnot much to say here, the title is self explanatory
let´s see if we can get a nice reaction from here, or at least consolidate around the 70k area for a while. That would be a good sign for bulls.
is november gonna give us the large breakout candle that we have all been waiting for?
The latest bull attack this monthTo date, the market is clearly working out according to the planned plan. We are still collecting work-outs, but it is worth being on the alert as we approach the end of the month. As the middle of the month progressed, we expected to see a wave of growth to consolidate the monthly bullish candle. As I wrote in the last review, as we approach the end of the month, we should expect a second wave of growth to finally consolidate the month bullish on the tops. Against this background, a new wave of growth began with the flips of monthly candlesticks and altos.
As always, the opening level of the new month will be of great importance. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter still technically support growth, but there is an extremely negative picture with a growing dollar and falling oil, which puts a lot of pressure on the crypt and increases the activity of sellers, which is why we have already seen a stronger correction from the 2750 ether test than expected. The 2500 level was broken again, which indicates a breakdown of the bullish trend and gives a signal for a new attempt to go to 2000 in the future. The next month is the central one in the quarter and the final direction for the end of the year and the five-year plan will be chosen, which can lead to a very strong increase in volatility and new large drawdowns for the altos. Given this picture, after collecting the latest developments this week, it is worth carefully weighing money management and reducing positions in the work before determining the direction of the new month.
Most of the coins that I have taken into work show good dynamics and are in the top of growth, troy has shown itself most well. Most of the goals were taken, so far I'm not considering it anymore. Among the coins without a monitoring tag, only vib remained the most attractive, with a likely increase by a retest of 0.125-150 and above. The weekly candle opened quite negatively on the ast. Unpleasant signals were also left for a new local fracture. Today, it was not possible to gain a foothold above 0.1 and give a local overshoot of the previous momentum. In addition, the ast was delisted with okx, which is an additional negative signal and a reason for a local fracture. In this regard, I reduced my position on the 0.1 test. For now, there is a possibility of a higher breakdown in the coming days when fixing above 0.1, but with a lower probability in my opinion than for vib.
In addition to vib, among the coins of binance, only coins with the monitoring tag remained in the most oversold position. Such assets are often the last to grow and may show good momentum in the coming days. OAX still has the top potential among them, with the nearest targets at a retest of the range 0.20-25 and an exit to the test of 0.35 in an optimistic scenario. Secondly, I am again considering the work of pros, a partnership with which was announced last week by Metalpha. The immediate goal for him, while maintaining the current emission, is a retest of the 0.50-75 range and a test of 1.0 under an optimistic scenario. Also, waves of growth up to 30-50% can still show vite and hard. When choosing the position size, do not forget that coins with the monitoring tag, although they have the greatest growth potential, still retain the probability of delisting.
To save funds in the medium term, gft looks the most interesting so far due to its high liquidity.
BITCOIN TARGETING ALL TIME HIGHS - BTC LONG IDEAI projected and shared the idea that Bitcoin would reach $70,000 and potentially $73,000 within a few days. It happened in just two days! I hope you took the trade and made some profits, as I did.
Now, I’m preparing to position myself with the expectation that we’ll reach all-time highs within a week or two.
We recently broke a massive bearish trendline that has held since March 2024. Just before that, a daily demand zone formed, which helped break the trendline, making it a key area for me. Additionally, the equilibrium level of the bullish leg aligns perfectly with my point of interest.
I expect the price to retrace to the daily demand zone, hit the discount Fibonacci area, test the trendline, and take off from there toward new all-time highs.
Of course, I’ll be looking for lower time-frame confirmations before initiating a long position.
One more shakeout aheadIf this works, I'll be damned.
Fractal analysis, an update to my previous chart.
BITCOIN Closed 2 straight green 1M candles after 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is closing today the monthly (1M) candle and unless it drops by 7000 in a few hours, it will close the month of October in green. That will be the 2nd straight green 1M candle since March!
This 7 month consolidation period is no stranger to BTC as such patterns, where there are no straight green 1M candles, are standard Accumulation Phases that we see during Bull Cycles. So far on the current one we've had three (including March 2024) and once the market closed 2 straight green 1M candles, it rallied.
The 2019 - 2021 Bull Cycle had three such straight green candle occasions and a very clear Accumulation Phase, while the 2015 - 2018 Cycle had numerous. One thing is clear based on this multi-year chart. When the market closes two straight green 1M candles, it is always a good signal to buy.
But what do you think? Do you find this indicator reliable? Are you buying based on this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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