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Alikze »» BITC | Ascending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 4H - Bitcoin has already touched the supply range according to the analysis presented in the daily target time frame. - In the 4H time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, which has managed to register an ascending candle in the supply area in the 4-hour time frame. - In case of failure of the supply zone, the specified movement path can touch the $100,000 targets of 106,250 and 112,500. NEXT TARGET: 🎯 100.000$ 🎯106250 $ 🎯112500$ SUPPORT LVL 💹 75000$ 💎 In addition, if the sales pressure increases in the supply area, an alternative scenario can be realized. ⚠️ In the alternative scenario, with selling pressure in the supply area by entering the second pullback channel, it can continue to correct until the bottom of the second channel and Fibo 1.618, the range of $75,000.⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by alikze
3
$BTC parabolic move will continue!Two years ago, we confirmed the #Bitcoin bottom in November 2022! There was a 528.58% increase from the December 2018 bottom to November 2020. There was a 529.81% increase from the November 2022 bottom to November 2024 and it is still continuing. Therefore, we witnessed a mega bull process for #btc and #altcoins with a closing and retest in December 2020 above the 2017 local peak. Today, a one-month closing and retest has been completed as of November 2024, above 69k, which is the local peak of November 2021. An exciting process begins for #Alts and #BTC
by EtherNasyonaL
$BTC Why You Should Be Accumulating Crypto NowBased on 2018-2020 data, 0.786 is a common retracement area for BTC after a bull run. Near EOY of 2017, when BTC rose to around $19,700, we saw a retracement to $3,100. This area is under 0.786 Retracement of $4330. In July 2019, when BTC rose to around $13,900 from $3,100, we saw a retracement to $3,850. This area is under 0.786 Retracement of $5420. Near EOY of 2021, when BTC rose to ATM of $69,000, we are now seeing a retracement under 0.786 Retracement of $17,800. What does this mean? As many know, we are currently not in a bull market. We have seen an over 75% drop from ATH of $69,000, which may indicate a reversal for the market in the very near future. The shift from a bear to a bull market is coming soon. History suggests that now is a great time to accumulate crypto for discount prices while others are hesitant.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Smarter_Trades
4
#BTC/USDT Analysis Update Bitcoin is consolidating within an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern. BTC is respecting the ascending trendline as support. Horizontal resistance is forming around $93,000, acting as a breakout level. The price currently trades above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating underlying bullish momentum. The cloud acts as dynamic support, reinforcing the possibility of an upside breakout. Decreasing volume during consolidation indicates preparation for a significant move. Watch for a volume spike on the breakout. The RSI is in a healthy range and is moving upwards. The MACD shows the possibility of a bullish cross, indicating upward momentum. Resistance Zone: $93,000 – $93,500 (Breakout Level) Support Trendline: $89,000 – $90,000 (Triangle Base) A close above $93,500 confirms the breakout. Possible Upside Targets: $95,000, $98,000, and $100,000. A drop below $89,000 could signal bearish momentum. Downside Targets: $87,000 and $85,000. BTC is building momentum and could break out of the triangle soon. A breakout above $93,000 with rising volume would confirm bullish dominance. Stay alert and prepare for confirmation! 🚀 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed. You can DM us for information on any other coin. @Peter_CSAdmin
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Bitcoin 2024-2025 TOPBitcoin’s market behavior follows a cyclical structure that revolves around the halving events. These halvings reduce the mining reward, creating a supply shock that typically leads to higher prices in subsequent bull runs. Historical Patterns Halving to Market Top (Bull Run): Historically, market tops occur within 1-1.5 years after halvings. Example: 2013 Halving → Peak in late 2013 (approx. 370 days post-halving). 2016 Halving → Peak in late 2017 (525 days post-halving). 2020 Halving → Double top in 2021 (343 days to the first top, 553 days to the second top). Market Top to Bottom (Bear Market): The bear market usually lasts around 364 days after the peak. After this, Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase before starting a new uptrend. Bottom to Top: The time from a market bottom to the next top is remarkably consistent at 1057 days across multiple cycles. Observations: Bitcoin has shown a repetitive pattern of growth phases followed by corrections. The length of each cycle (measured in weeks) shows that the timing between major events is relatively stable, making it possible to predict future milestones with some accuracy. 2. Predictions for 2024–2025 The chart provides specific projections for the current Bitcoin cycle based on historical data: Next Potential Market Top: First Peak: Speculated for January 6, 2024, or March 24, 2024. This mirrors the 2021 double-top cycle, where the first peak occurred ~343 days after the halving. Second Peak (All-Time High): Expected on September 15, 2024. This corresponds to a potential double-top pattern, with the second peak occurring 539 days after the halving (similar to the 2021 cycle). Price Targets: While specific price targets aren’t marked on the chart, it seems to imply: A potential move toward $100,000+ in the first peak (consistent with prior cycle growth rates). A possible retracement before reaching the second peak (all-time high). 3. Key Timelines The chart highlights several critical time intervals: Top-to-Bottom: ~364 days. Bottom-to-Top: ~1057 days. Halving-to-Peak: 1–1.5 years (~343–525 days depending on the top). Current Cycle Timelines: Bottom: Marked in late 2022 (~$15,000). Next Halving: Scheduled for April 2024. Next Top (Bull Cycle Peak): Estimated for late 2024. 4. Double-Top Scenario The chart predicts a possible double-top structure in the next cycle: First Top: Occurs early in the cycle (Q1 2024). Price may surge rapidly but face a correction before the second peak. Second Top: A new all-time high expected in Q3-Q4 2024. This mirrors the 2021 cycle where Bitcoin hit ~$65,000 in April, corrected to ~$29,000, and reached ~$69,000 in November. 5. RSI Insights The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom indicates Bitcoin’s current momentum: An RSI above 70 suggests an overbought condition, implying potential short-term corrections. However, in previous cycles, sustained RSI in the overbought zone often coincided with parabolic price movements during bull runs. Expect significant pullbacks after major peaks, providing re-entry opportunities. Conclusion The chart uses historical consistency in Bitcoin’s price cycles to project future movements. While no prediction is guaranteed, Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and the reliability of its halving-driven supply dynamics provide strong reasoning for these forecasts. If the cycle plays out similarly, 2024-2025 could bring significant opportunities for long-term holders and traders alike.
BNC:BLXLong
by spirosgh
Cardano ADA - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionTo view script: Understanding the chart Bullish Regime: The price is currently above the 200D SMA, indicating a bullish regime and a regime duration of 16 bars. Strong Momentum: Large distance from price to both SMAs (119.62% and 141.38%) suggests powerful upward momentum Historical Price Action Long Bear Market (2022-2023): Extended period below 200 SMA Multiple failed attempts to break above Declining 200 SMA indicating strong bearish trend Accumulation Phase (Mid-2023): Price consolidated around 200 SMA Reduced volatility Built base for current move Recent Breakout: Clean break above 200D SMA Sharp increase in volume and momentum
Long
by igreycrypto
BTC thesis with RAG AI by Titan_KarmaThe current market conditions for Bitcoin (BTC) present a compelling case for entering a long position, especially given the absence of open positions at this time. Recent bullish trends, including Bitcoin's approach to the $100K milestone and a significant increase in hashrate, indicate a strong upward momentum. Additionally, the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, evidenced by its innovative applications in traditional financing, suggests that BTC is gaining traction across various sectors. As we assess the market over the next four hours, it is crucial to monitor technical indicators and market sentiment closely to identify optimal entry points. From a financial perspective, BTCUSDT is currently trading at $97,501.40, with a trading volume of 28,787.55. The mixed long-short ratios among traders indicate a cautious sentiment, suggesting that while some traders are bullish, others are hedging against potential downturns. This mixed sentiment reinforces the need for a careful approach, particularly as the market may experience volatility. Setting stop-loss orders is advisable to protect against potential downturns, especially if the price approaches critical resistance levels. Technical analysis reveals a high daily RSI of 79.29, indicating that BTC may be overbought, which could lead to a price correction. However, the 1-hour and 15-minute charts show lower RSI values (45.73 and 36.09, respectively), suggesting potential for short-term recovery. Resistance levels are identified at $98,924.61 and $100,321.24, while support levels are at $96,626.73 and $95,725.48. Monitoring these levels will be essential for making informed trading decisions. Historically, BTC has shown strong upward trends, with significant price increases observed over the past few days. The latest data indicates a high of $98,988.00 on November 21, 2024, followed by a slight pullback. Given the overall bullish sentiment and recent price action, entering a long position appears favorable, particularly if the price holds above the support level around $97,000. Volume trends will also provide further confirmation of the strength of this upward movement. In terms of risk management, it is essential to set appropriate stop-loss orders based on historical performance and volatility. The recent trades indicate that confidence levels of 85% and 87% have previously resulted in no profit trades, necessitating a reassessment of confidence scoring. Implementing a mechanism to penalize no-profit trades will help refine future trade recommendations and improve overall profitability. In conclusion, the current market conditions for Bitcoin suggest a favorable environment for entering a long position. By closely monitoring technical indicators, market sentiment, and historical performance, traders can make informed decisions to capitalize on potential price movements. TRADE RECOMMENDATION json { "OUTCOME": "OPEN_LONG", "STOP_LOSS": "$96,626.73", "TAKE_PROFIT": "$100,321.24", "CONFIDENCE_LEVEL": "80%", "EXIT_POINT": "$98,924.61", "ENTRY_CRITERIA": { "TIMEFRAME": "1h", "RSI": "below 70", "MACD": "above 0, 15m" }, "CURRENT_OPEN_LONG_POSITIONS": 0, "CURRENT_OPEN_SHORT_POSITIONS": 0 }
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by titankarma
BTCs Bear Market Bottom in SightA couple of weeks ago, as the Crypto King slid down the slope of investor hope breaking below the 17k price level, it was interesting to see as its sibling in many ways, Ethereum, failed to make a new low to accompany it. This must not be too unsettling as the corrective pattern Bitcoin was exhibiting was largely unresolved, standing in stark contrast to Ethereums corrective pattern which seems to have already found rock bottom at least for the time being. While BTC is still trending below the long-term EMAs, price is starting to accumulate and the bearish move could be losing momentum. A rise and close above the EMAs will confirm the start of a rising market. HAPPY TRADING:)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HydraFinance
$btc Weekly Analysis Historically, price between these green lower level consolidation is a low risk buy for long term hodlers. But as you can clearly see, bitcoin is heading for lower and lower volatility until one day the trend breaks. If you scroll right you can see the bull band and bear band come to a point.... what will happen then God only knows. If lower band breaks and we retouch the previous resistance at 7k, obviously my statement is void because my trend lines are broke. Also the whole c0vid-crash is so weird to me, was it a red herring, does the support price achieved (around) 3/18/20 still hold value even though it could be a 'red herring'? I say absolutely it matters and we should incorporate that support price in our charting and calculations. DISCLAIMER======= ' [ ] My Log regression is not calculated with anything but the curve tool, please take it with a grain of salt, if i have any algebra friends with knowledge of logarithmic regression please feel free to reach out as your input would be greatly appreciated.
BNC:BLX
by creengrack
ATCryptoScan: Bitcoin Projections into 2025I know that there are many people out there projecting Bitcoin movements, and some are accurate, while others are, well..., less accurate. I think we need to learn and discern what is sound, what is probable and what should we follow. Here I present a continuation of the usual projections that I have been doing for bitcoin, and more, including market instruments, ETFs, and other charts. Firstly, this projection has always been a combination between technical indicators (such as candlesticks, moving averages, MACD and volume analysis, DeMark, etc.), geometrical patterns with support resistance levels, Fibonacci, as well as astrological energy patterns. Historically, earlier in 2024, 17 August was marked as the expected time to load up Bitcoin at 40K. While Bitcoin never reached 40K, the period (on hindsight) was about appropriate as BTCUSD consolidated strongly above 54K. Breakout signals started in September and October, Buy signals in late October. A couple of posts in simple pattern analysis was also shared previously, even as close as a week before the massive breakout came. So now, going forward, we need to relook into BTCUSD for when it would top out from this parabolic run, and to what retracement levels for out second bite at the cherry. Ok, I will walk through the step by step thought process so here goes the model building... The current spike rally is a little long in the teeth, if I may say so. BTCUSD has had amazing spikes and this is one of them for the history books. Meanwhile, I start with the weekly TD Sequential which is nicely completing a Perfected TD Sequential . What this means is that the Sequential Setup is completed with all the conditions required, and is ready for a retracement/trend change. With that possibility, a target point needs to be demarcated and this can be done in many ways... First up is a simple geometric measurement of the previous rallies. Since September, there has been two rallies of similar magnitude (x). The third rally did double the magnitude (2x) as denoted by the third blue (solid arrow). This arrow is left solid as it was part of the projection made previously. Clearly price overshot and went up much higher. Another magnitude (x) is marked by the dashed line blue arrow, and you can see that there was a stall about 94,500. And then the spike rally started yet again... This time, I am less expectant of a double magnitude (2x) rally. BTCUSD needs to end the rally on a flat note, and then retrace for the next larger wave. If it blows off the top then the downside would be more devastating. TD Sequential also has yet a lesser known, but very common and respected, rule that states it is possible to overextend for the range on the highest candle... marked by the blue box (daily) and the yellow box (weekly). Astrological energies "coincidenttally" pin 17 December as the time for a reversal. Furthermore, and oddly enough, in a retracement setting to rocket further/ Together with the weekly TD Sequential, there is a confluence at about 108K for BTCUSD topping out. This should bring us to the end of the year, maybe early next year. Now that models the topside. It needs to happen first, then the expected retracement can then be a realistic possibility. Rough modelling forward, if the topping out happens as expected, we should see a retracement to about 75K. This is a simple look at the respected and responded Fibonacci lines, noting that every 61.8% is a support bounce. So, for a probable longshot, 75K in Feb 2025 is targeted as the next point/level for accumulation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Auguraltrader
CYCLE 4 | SMA Golden Ratio [UPDATE]For those following along with this indicator, the current price action volatility has accelerated price to some interesting historic points. As discussed in prior post above, historically BTC has followed a trend of dropping to the lower SMA extension coloured line with each cycle with interesting multiple hits in establishing our 2021 technical cycle top. We have already tagged the gold line and currently approaching the 'Gray Line' which put in our prior cycles ATH. Will be interesting to see how BTC (buyers / sellers) handles this price level and the information this may provide on how useful this indicator may be this cycle....
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Brodie
How far can #Bitcoin's price rise?As I mentioned in the analysis below, when #Bitcoin was around the price of $66,500, I observed a bullish flag pattern in the weekly timeframe on the #Bitcoin chart. We have now seen that Bitcoin has managed to reach $98,000 as of tonight. Now the question is: how far will this #Bitcoin price growth continue? As you can see, #Bitcoin has managed to grow equal to the depth of the cup. I anticipate a slight correction in this area (around $98,500), after which the price of this cryptocurrency may continue to rise to approximately $114,000, reaching the golden ratio of Fibonacci projection (1.68 level of the cup's depth). This is merely an analysis based on Fibonacci teachings and chart patterns and should not be the basis for your decision to buy or sell this cryptocurrency. The final decision should be made at your own discretion and responsibility. I hope you enjoy profitable days in the market.
Long
by piroozman
SOL/USDT 1D trade idea Solana has been one of the best performing majors so far this Bullrun, and has had one of the best reactions to the recent sell off. The DAILY chart is an interesting one and clearly respects the range structure, currently the price has just rejected off the MIDPOINT and for me is an area of contention, there are some triggers i'd like to see and can take action on: - Accumulation below the Midpoint before a break above putting in higher highs and higher lows when above. The target would then be range high with the 0.75 line as first TP. - A new lower low and lower high on the LTF from now may signal a move lower, this could then find support at the 0.25 line which is also where the 1D 200EMA is and therefore good support.
by ProR35
7
This Has Only Happened Once BeforeBitcoin "priced" in US Dollars (ie the number of Dollars you can trade for 1 Bitcoin divided by 1 Bitcoin but leaving the number 1 in the denominator invisible as a stupid stone aged esoteric shenanigan used to make you forget about the role of currencies in the taxation and control of your everyday life) has only simultaneously met these 2 conditions twice in Bitcoin's existence: 1. The current value of Dy/Dx of its SMA50(SMA50(SMA50 Weekly Close)) and 2. Reaching the upper bound of the macro trend of the deviation of the Weekly Close from this smoothed long term MA as measured by the Weekly Close/Thrice Smoothed MA. This could indicate that Bitcoin USD is pushing on major resistance and is due for a major contraction or consolidation before moving higher and completing the cycle within the next year. Considering where we are in the economic cycle, with the Bond Market mimicking 2007 and 1953 or 58, stocks overvalued when adjusted for currency manipulation, and the yield curve un-inverting while retail confidence is at all time highs, perhaps we should take a moment to introduce a bit of caution into our analysis.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by MarkLefevre
BTC to100K: Riding the Bullish Breakout with Strong FundamentalsBTC is currently showing strong bullish momentum, with both technical and fundamental factors in alignment. The trade aims to capitalize on this momentum towards the 100K level, with a cautious eye on potential selling pressure. Pay attention to the consolidation range, as further upward movement could solidify BTC’s path to the target. Technical Overview: • Trend: We are in a strong bullish trend, trading well above the 200MA, indicating sustained upward momentum. • Breakout & Retest: Recently, BTC saw a breakout and a successful retest, reinforcing this trend. • Range Consolidation: Currently consolidating within a range, with a low at 85K and a high at 93K. I’ve taken a mid-range entry to capitalize on any upward movement within this channel. • Plan: If sellers aggressively push the price above the 85K level, I will consider reentry opportunities aligned with price action. Fundamental Drivers: 1. Global Adoption & Regulation: The Fed’s constructive stance on digital assets, combined with increasing demand and institutional adoption, is supporting BTC’s upward trajectory. 2. Economic Conditions: As inflation and interest rates remain focal points, Bitcoin is being viewed as an inflation hedge. Additionally, El Salvador’s adoption of BTC as legal tender is adding to the credibility and mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency. 3. Bitcoin ETF: The SEC’s positive outlook on a BTC-based ETF is expected to boost demand and further legitimize BTC within traditional financial markets. 4. Geopolitical Factors: War-driven demand, potential sanctions on Russian money, and global financial uncertainty are all fueling demand for BTC as a decentralized, safe-haven asset. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_