28/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $95,778.66
Last weeks low: $84,688.21
Midpoint: $90,233.44
Last week Bitcoin ETFs recorded their second highest net inflows ever, $3.06B between April 21st-25th. The result of this buyside volume is evident on the chart as BTC breaks up into the mid $90k's, and in doing so is now back at the level in which BTC fell from originally to hit $74,500. As a result it is fair to say this area will be a big resistance level, but where is new support after this rally?
The aggressive nature of last weeks move up has left a number of areas of imbalance that the market does tend to revisit. Just below midpoint we have the $89,000-$90,000 area just below a key S/R level at $91,000. Dipping below this area into the FWB:88K 's briefly to sweep the demand and reclaiming $91,000 would be ideal for the bulls and very healthy for the next rally.
A less appealing area of imbalance for the bulls would be towards weekly low of $85,300-$86,300, that would be very painful for anyone longing a retest of the $91,000 area and from a HTF perspective would be a lower high and a SFP of the range midpoint, both bearish signals. The 4H 200 EMA is currently around that area at $87,000 too which would mean losing the level after just climbing back above it.
This week I'm looking at that first imbalance area to be a level of support for the next leg up, that's the ideal bullish scenario in my mind. A move below midpoint with acceptance is a red flag on this move and would start to look like a lower high bearish continuation.
Good luck this week!
Btc-e
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab)
- Stop out LONGS
- Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher
the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum
looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809
i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only
looking for LONGS around
93.777 - 92.782
tp1 . 95.843
tp2 . 99.490
if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly
- i believe this to come towards wednesday
BTC/USDTRight now, BTC is at a crossroads. We've completed the weekly Fibonacci retracement and returned to the main trading zone.
It's crucial to hold the key level at 94,400.
If we succeed, the next target is 99–100K for BTC.
At that point, we should watch for a local correction — we likely won't break through 100K on the first attempt.
Altcoins should also catch up accordingly.
Finally, everything looks nice locally, and it's a good time to start building strong swing positions
HEIUSDT Falling Wedge Pattern Targets 150%-160% Gains!HEIUSDT is currently forming a strong falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal. The price has been consolidating within this wedge for some time, and we are now starting to see a breakout attempt with good supporting volume. This setup is gaining attention among investors who are looking for promising opportunities in the altcoin market.
Volume has notably increased, suggesting strong buying pressure is building up. Historically, falling wedges often lead to explosive upward moves once a breakout is confirmed. In this case, the projected gain is around 150% to 160%, which makes HEIUSDT a very interesting pair to watch in the coming days and weeks.
Many traders are keeping a close eye on HEIUSDT due to the solid technical pattern and growing market interest. If momentum continues and broader crypto sentiment remains positive, this breakout could lead to substantial price appreciation. Risk management is key, but the potential reward here looks highly attractive.
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Bitcoin Trading and Investment Strategy (April 2025)Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around the mid-$90,000s after rebounding ~25% in April, with market sentiment shifting to greed. BTC’s dominance is high (~64%) as capital concentrates in Bitcoin over altcoins. On-chain data shows large holders (“whales”) aggressively accumulating, even as short-term traders turn optimistic. Below is an actionable strategy.
BTC broke out of a multi-month falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal. On the 1H/4H charts, momentum is bullish: a textbook double-bottom formed on the daily with a neckline around $87,600 was breached, confirming upside targets near $100,600.
A bull pennant consolidation is visible on the 1H after the sharp rally, hinting at another leg up (measured move target ≈ $100,900 on breakout). Short-term EMAs (20/50) on 1H/4H have turned upward and are stacked bullishly, aligning with the daily 50 and 200 EMAs which have flipped into support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory without extreme overbought readings, leaving room for further upside. Volume has been steady to rising on upward moves, indicating buyers remain in control.
Immediate support lies at the breakout zone of GETTEX:87K –$90K (prior resistance now turned support). This area includes the daily double-bottom neckline (~$87.6K) and coincides with the top of the earlier consolidation range. Bulls want to see this zone hold on any pullback. Below that, secondary support is around $84K and roughly the 4H 200 EMA area.
Resistance is clustered at $94K–$95K (recent local high region). A 4H close above $95K with strong volume would likely trigger momentum buyers. Beyond there, $100K is a major psychological level and the short-term target from multiple patterns – importantly, a dense cluster of short seller liquidation levels sits around $100K, making it a “liquidity magnet” for market makers. Expect heavy order flow and possible volatility as BTC approaches six figures. Above $100K, minor resistance could appear near ~$102K (projected wedge target), then prior ATH ~$108K–$109K.
For longs, scale out profits in layers as BTC advances. First TP around $100K – just before the round number – to avoid slippage if a wave of selling hits there. If momentum is very strong, hold a portion for a possible extension to $102K–$105K (wedge target zone). A stretch goal for bulls would be the $108–$110K area (all-time high region), but tighten stops well before this level as profit-taking is expected near ATH.
If BTC falls back under the GETTEX:87K neckline after having broken out, it would negate the double-bottom breakout and likely accelerate downward. Thus, stop-losses for longs can be placed just below GETTEX:87K (e.g. $86K) to cap risk.
The breakout from the wedge/base was accompanied by a surge in volume, confirming institutional participation. Volume has not dried up on this rally – a positive sign that the trend could sustain. Overall, the daily chart structure sets the stage for a potential run back to five-figure territory (100K+), provided key support levels are defended.
Any dips into the high-$80Ks are buy-the-dip opportunities as long as BTC quickly reclaims $90K. Below GETTEX:87K , the next critical support is $80K–$84K. $84K was highlighted as a crucial level – failure to hold 84K during the last pullback would have signaled capitulation. It held then, so watch it on any retest.
Stop Loss:
Short-Term: 5–10% below entry ($90,000 for $92,500 entry).
Mid-Term: 10–15% below entry ($85,000 for $91,000 entry).
Long-Term: Monitor support ($80,000) but hold unless fundamentals deteriorate.
Position Sizing:
Short-Term: 1–2% of portfolio per trade.
Mid-Term: 5% of portfolio.
Long-Term: Up to 10% of portfolio.
Risk/Reward: Target 2R for short-term, 3R for mid-term, and let long-term investments ride based on fundamentals.
Not a financial advice. DYOR.
BTC - Golden Pocket Confluence + FVG Sweep = Long SetupA highly refined scenario blending Fibonacci confluence with liquidity principles, setting up a controlled bullish play.
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1. Golden Pocket + FVG Confluence — Critical Demand Zone
The blue highlighted area represents a strong confluence:
- FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance left by aggressive price movement, likely to attract price for rebalancing.
- Golden Pocket: The 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, statistically favored for deep retracements and high-probability reversals.
Expecting strong buying interest once price taps into this confluence.
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2. 0.618-0.65 Fib Range — Key Reversal Territory
The Fibonacci zone offers the perfect environment for engineered liquidity sweeps and smart money accumulation.
- This range often acts as a trap for retail shorts while institutions accumulate.
- A clean entry opportunity arises as price dips into this critical golden zone before expansion.
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3. FVG Resistance Above — Initial Reaction Zone
A notable FVG resistance area is marked around 94,400–94,500:
- Upon reaching this zone, price may face initial selling pressure or short-term consolidation.
- Observing how price interacts here can further confirm bullish strength and continuation.
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4. Smart Money Liquidity Play
The setup suggests a classic liquidity engineering move:
- Induce shorts through a pullback into the Golden Pocket.
- Absorb liquidity inside the FVG.
- Trigger a sharp bullish reversal aligned with institutional footprints.
This layered setup is clean, logical, and methodical.
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5. Projected Price Flow
Anticipated price action structure:
- Step 1: Dip into the Golden Pocket + FVG demand zone.
- Step 2: Reversal toward the FVG resistance.
- Step 3: Breakout continuation upon reclaiming resistance, leading to further bullish expansion.
Each leg is mapped to follow high-probability liquidity behavior.
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6. Summary:
- Golden Pocket + FVG = Prime Reversal Confluence
- Efficient Liquidity Sweep Mechanics
- Structured Bullish Progression Based on Smart Money Concepts
This plan is framed to capitalize on precision entries and liquidity dynamics without chasing price.
BTC Is Still Bullish (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Bitcoin is still struggling with the supply zone we identified in the previous analysis. It has not yet been able to establish itself above this supply area.
A slight correction is expected, with support anticipated from the green box.
The closing of a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
btc . w4 - wknd . SHORT but cautious - yet paytientfriday plan, was to SHORT (see prvs post)
sell zone
starts . friday open
ends . monday open
entry . 95.542
sl . -2.62%
10 sell orders . 1.52% spread
tp1 . 91.642 . +3.99%
funding . +0.01%
we are according to plan + collecting funding
tp1 adjusted to moderate, since bullish outlook coming from april.
tp2 . +10.11%
Bitcoin: The Path To 109K Is Now Open.In my previous article I describe the potential breakout if 88K was compromised. I pointed out, the compound double bottom in the 74 to 78K area implied a greater probability of price breaking out, it was just a matter of catalyst. IF anything this possibility should have told you that swing trade shorts are a lower probability and much riskier within that resistance zone. For those of you looking for precise calls, eventually you will learn there is no such thing, because markets adjust to new information as it becomes available but we can assign loose probabilities to scenarios. So what technical possibilities are we looking at for the upcoming week and how will this shape our expectations?
On my chart, the updated anticipated scenario (See illustration) points to a retrace back to the 90K area which is NOW a support. Since the broader trend is bullish it is within reason to expect this support to HOLD and NOT break. That means it is an ideal location for high probability swing trade longs UPON confirmation. Watch 93,250 break (see blue arrow) to confirm price is following the retrace scenario (break of previous candle low). IF this is not broken, then the retrace scenario is NOT in play.
Another fact I want to point out is a new minor impulse structure is now in effect (it is not numbered on the chart). The move from the 74K low to the current high contains 3 waves which means the next retrace is likely Wave 4 which would then open the possibility for the Wave 5 breakout beyond the 95K area. Wave 4 to 5 is the highest probability wave to anticipate because it requires 3 waves to be in place and has to adhere to the Wave 1 overlap rule. While this does not offer a specific setup to trade, it does help to shape a clear expectation. All you need from there is a system or method to confirm the bullish reversal (like the Trade Scanner Pro).
Other than that, If Bitcoin manages to maintain the support above 90K, this new rally may be the broader Wave 5 that I have talked about previously which implies a test of 109K over the next quarter. Again this is a game of gauging potential and then quantifying the risk that is associated with it. That is only the beginning of the trade idea because from there you must have a decision making process in place to manage the trade in a constantly CHANGING environment. IF you fail to have such a process then you face random results.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
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Bitcoin —Short-Term Retrace (Drop) Or Higher Next?Look at this, this is Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. I will keep it short, sweet and easy.
Bitcoin broke up 22-April and has been sideways since with an upward bent. When Bitcoin is set to drop, it drops the next day.
It has been four days and Bitcoin is going up, no retraces. This indicates that the next move will be a big, very big, green candle. No significant drop so far.
A drop would mean prices moving below 90K. Wicks lower or higher are not relevant and consider noise only. Not a drop nor a rise.
The next major move is up. Bitcoin is going up.
The action on the chart reveals higher prices.
The action coming from the Altcoins market reveals a major advance happening in the coming days.
Four days not lower but higher.
The 2-March high, the highest price since the first drop below 90K has been compromised. There was no strong rejection nor selling pressure.
This is a strong resistance level, $95,000. As soon as it gets conquered, Bitcoin will move straight up to $100,000.
Very easy, simple, short and sweet.
Bitcoin is going up. Buy and hold.
Buy and hold. I repeat.
Orange is the target zone. Short-term. Up next.
Namaste.
BITCOIN Ready for PUMP or what ?Currently, COINBASE:BTCUSD is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD).
However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
$BTC - Weekend OutlookBitcoin just tapped into the major overhead supply zone 95k, which corresponds to the breakdown origin of the previous range.
Notably, we observed the highest Coinbase premium in recent sessions, signaling aggressive spot-driven demand. However, a sell wall is starting to build around 95k and 97k, suggesting that short-term sellers are positioning here.
Key support to watch : the 88k–86k range, which marks the recent breakout base and vwap.
Holding this zone would validate the breakout structure and set the stage for further continuation to the upside. Failure to hold likely triggers a deeper retest toward mid-range levels.
Expect volatility over the weekend as price oscillates between overhead supply and this critical breakout support.
Bitcoin correction. Waiting for 70k-76kBitcoin correction. Waiting for 70k-76k
The previous idea suggested Bitcoin would reach $95,000-$100,000 before entering a 1-2 year bear phase alongside the U.S. stock market decline.
Bitfinex:
However, based on Coinbase orders in the $70,000-$76,000 range and recent BTC sell-offs on Bitfinex over the past three days, it looks like this correction is being dragged out to trigger more liquidations.
This crypto correction might also align with an SP500 drop. Waiting for lower levels to find good entry points.
Coinbase orders:
BTC/USDC Liquidation Heatmap
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rebound up from support zone to $96KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After breaking out of a prolonged sideways movement, the price entered a confident bullish phase that changed the market rhythm. This breakout came after the price consolidated for several days within the 83700 - 83000 support zone. During that period, the price formed a reliable foundation, and the trend line confirmed its strength, consistently holding the lower boundary of the structure. Once the price escaped this consolidation box, bulls quickly seized control, pushing BTC upward with strong momentum. The move took Bitcoin above the 94000 area, where it started to slow down and form a local peak. Now the price is pulling back, heading toward the nearest support zone between 92200 and 91600 points. This area matches Support 1 and historically acted as a zone of high buyer interest. Given the proximity of the trend line and the strength of this support zone, I expect that BTCUSDT will rebound after this correction. That's why I set my goal at 96000 points, a realistic target if the support holds and BTC resumes upward movement. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCI expect Bitcoin to move between 75k and 90k until it breaks out in one direction.
I hope to see further growth up to 120k. There is also a small chance to reach 150k, but for now it looks unlikely.
At the same time, there is a risk of a drop to the 50k–60k area, which would be about a 50% correction from the top, similar to what happened in 2021.
BTC NEXT MOVE?🚀 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Update
We are expecting a small dip in Bitcoin's price, potentially down to the 89,000–90,000 USD zone. From that level, we anticipate a strong rally toward 101,000 USD, as highlighted in the chart.
📈 This move could also lead Bitcoin toward making a new all-time high!
Stay patient and follow the setup carefully.
Crucial Level to Watch on BTC.DWe can see that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is still in a bullish trend and is currently testing a crucial level, which will determine whether it continues to make a higher high or starts weakening towards its previous low.
The influence of CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D on the crypto market is simple: if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D moves higher, it means more money is flowing into Bitcoin. For example, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is at 64%, it means 64% of the total crypto market capitalization is in Bitcoin, and the remaining 36% is spread across altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , etc.
Conversely, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D moves lower, it means more money is shifting into altcoins.
Strategy when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is rising:
You can allocate more into Bitcoin rather than altcoins. Alternatively, you can find altcoins that are outperforming Bitcoin.
How to find altcoins that outperform Bitcoin?
Look for altcoin/BTC pairs, for example: BINANCE:WIFBTC , BINANCE:NEARBTC , or $BINANCE:TAOBTC.
If the price of BINANCE:WIFBTC is going up, it means SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:WIF is gaining more value compared to $BTC. If it's going down, it means Bitcoin is performing better than $WIF.
Back to CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D :
Currently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is testing the 64.19% – 64.10% zone.
This area will determine whether CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D continues upward or starts to weaken.
To get early confirmation, you can zoom into the 1-hour chart and look for signs of bullish divergence.
If bullish divergence appears on the 1-hour chart, it often leads to a bounce on the 4-hour chart and a potential continuation of the bullish trend, possibly breaking the previous high.
However, if there's no bullish divergence confirmation, or if there's a strong rejection at the support level, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is likely to weaken and move towards its previous low.
$btc Bitcoin's falling channel....CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin has seen an all time high of approximately 110k
Current price: $77700
Bitcoin price action is currently respecting the falling channel as seen. With price currently being supported by the 200EMA in the 75k region
Expecting price action to continue to respect this channel and test resistance levels at 88k and then around 92k (bullish divergence also spotted on 2D timeframe). Reactions which will determine higher prices or further rejection.
if #btc price action breaks down from this falling channel then expects supports at 66k and then 56k to be tested for support!
BTC ANALYSIS (update)📊 #BTC Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #BTC performed same. Around 22% bullish move done after the analysis. Now we can see that #BTC is trading around a mmajor resistance. We could expect around 10% bullish move if it sustain above its major resistance area
👀Current Price: $94,590
🚀 Target Price: $1,04,476
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #BTC price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR