$BTC we all love a copy predict Will it happen? possibly yes. 75% chance it will repeat last current bull run if not better it. AND NO NO NO it isn't like the last 2020 bull it is NOT! So stop comparing only ever use it in the same chart to identify patterns from the key areas don't use it as a "go to for what will happen next" you can do that but not really only successful traders can claim they do it successfully lol
Here is why. See the image I posted see those waves I added to the market bars candles an the RSI they are the same lines I cloned them. SO its not a new wave its the same.
In some then we will see and I can re-check this idea for its validity. Like you will be able to.
Good luck trading supply shock is real buy all the CRYPTOCAP:BTC you can and hold for at MINIMUM 5 years!
Btc-e
When Doing Nothing Is the Hardest TradeSometimes, the most difficult decision in trading is deciding not to trade. Today is one of those days.
The current market conditions are complex. On one hand, I see a high probability of a correction. But on the other, the market is running hot, and shorting doesn’t feel like the best option. Volatility in BTC is narrowing, and volumes are steadily declining—clear signs that the market is building up for a decisive move in either direction.
In such a scenario, shorting becomes exceptionally challenging. The tightening range suggests the market is preparing to break out, but the direction remains uncertain. Jumping in prematurely could mean getting caught on the wrong side of the move.
So, today is a no-trade day. Sometimes, sitting on the sidelines and waiting for clarity is the smartest move a trader can make. After all, patience is a virtue in markets as much as it is in life.
BTC IS GOING TO ALL TIME HIGH LADIES AND GENTLEMEN ! BTC ended up in a complex WXY correction. Initially what may have seemed like a FLAT ended up being WXY. No matter how much the MM plays with the market and no matter what news hits the screen, algos always run their course guys.
We are in the early formation of wave 3, which will make history. True we may retrace a bit more to tap the lower levels but this will sling shot BTC to the ATH ! Remember the deeper the retracement of wave 2, the higher will be wave 3, a slingshot - - get it ;). Mega hidden bullish divergence on the weekly also playing out well.
Invalidation of this idea is at the low of Wave Y. WorD of advice guys, avoid over leverage and practice risk management fells. DCA is the name of the game. When Bitcoin hits ATH, all ALTS will pop like fireworks hence DCA and Spot Buy is the name of the game, especially for all the young bucks and inspiring traders out there.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Bitcoin Riding the Waves of Optimism As we dive into this BTC/USDT chart, it’s clear that Bitcoin is not just a cryptocurrency—it’s an art form. The chart showcases a detailed Elliott Wave analysis, complete with corrective W-X-Y patterns and impulsive waves screaming, “I’m going places!” Let’s break it down step by step.
The Elliott Wave Breakdown
Bitcoin has been playing out its Elliott Wave structure with the precision of a virtuoso pianist. Here’s what we’re looking at:
1. Wave (1) to Wave (5): A Symphony of Higher Highs.
2. Wave (1) was the opening act, starting the bullish rally.
3. Wave (2) provided a dramatic correction, retracing as deep as a poet’s feelings on a rainy
day.
4. Wave (3) emerged as the headliner, the longest and strongest wave, with Bitcoin shouting,
“Catch me if you can!”
5. Wave (4), our consolidation buddy, is taking a breather, making sure BTC doesn’t exhaust
itself before the final sprint.
6. Wave (5) looks ready to take the stage and hit the projected target of $128,647.56. The bulls
seem to be prepping their rockets for this one.
2. The W-X-Y Correction
Before the current rally, BTC went through a complex W-X-Y correction. Think of it as Bitcoin saying, “Let me stretch a bit before the next marathon.” This correction has set the stage for the bullish impulses we’re seeing now.
Indicators: The Whispering Bulls
1. Williams %R and Stoch RSI: Hidden Bullish Divergences
Both indicators are practically screaming “hidden bullish divergences” like fans at a rock concert. These signals suggest that the bulls are working behind the scenes, setting the stage for the next big move.
2. RSI: Staying Strong
The RSI remains comfortably above 50, signaling that the bullish momentum is intact. It’s like Bitcoin is cruising down the highway, windows down, music blasting, and no signs of slowing.
The Price Target: To $128,000 and Beyond!
Bitcoin has been known to defy expectations. While $128K might feel like aiming for the moon, let’s not forget—this is Bitcoin, and the moon is just the first stop.
Key Levels to Watch
1. Support Zones
The $80,000 level is a key psychological support. If Bitcoin revisits this area, it could serve as a launchpad for the next leg up.
2. Resistance Levels
The $100,000 mark will likely be a battle zone. Expect bears to put up a fight here, but with the momentum we’re seeing, the bulls might just plow through.
In Conclusion: Strap In, Bulls
Bitcoin is looking bullish on all fronts. The Elliott Wave structure, hidden bullish divergences, and strong RSI readings all point to higher prices in the near future. However, as always, remember that markets love surprises, and it’s always good to keep your risk in check.
For now, though, it looks like Bitcoin is preparing for a grand finale. Let’s hope the bulls keep the momentum going because $128,647 is calling, and Bitcoin seems eager to answer. 🚀
Disclaimer: NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE!
Hitting The BTC All Time High Trend Line Now.................... Bitcoin is trying to break through its all-time high trend line. Will it do so, or will it be rejected and throw us into the Alt season? So far many grafts are pointing to this as at least the first peak pushing BTC back down. Others are saying the Trump Family Coins $Trump is sucking up all the money. Well, see what happens, but it seems like the time to start moving investments over to the Alts so you're not left behind buying the top. I assumed BTC would top out at $160K this season but signs are pointing to possibly lower. AS BTC gets stronger and bigger we will get less of an explosion in price increase. Trading off for more stability in price over time to form a stable value.
ALT/USD – Key Technical UpdateRecent Price Action:
ALT has seen a significant decline, with bulls looking for support amid intensified bearish pressure. The recent drop highlights vulnerability, but key support levels below could provide a foundation for recovery.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
$0.08500: Immediate support zone where bulls are attempting to stabilize.
$0.07810: A prior swing low with historical buying interest.
$0.07150, $0.07000, $0.06650: Critical levels marking past swing lows. A deeper move into these zones could attract aggressive buying, especially near $0.06650, aligning with August 5th’s swing low.
Resistance Levels:
$0.08790: Near-term resistance likely to cap immediate recovery efforts, with confluence from recent bearish gaps.
$0.11131: A stronger resistance zone near January 17th’s swing high, which aligns with prior bearish momentum.
Market Dynamics:
Token Unlock Impact:
The upcoming Saturday token unlock is expected to increase supply, potentially exacerbating downside pressure in the short term. However, following the release, the market could stabilize, setting the stage for a relief rally as bearish momentum wanes.
Bearish Gaps:
Resistance from daily bearish gaps adds confluence near $0.08790 and $0.11131, making these levels critical to monitor during any rally.
Outlook:
Bullish Scenario:
A successful defense of $0.08500 or a deeper dip into the $0.07150–$0.06650 range, followed by strong buying momentum, could lead to a relief rally. Clearing $0.08790 would open the door to a move toward $0.11131 or higher.
Bearish Scenario:
A sustained break below $0.06650 would invalidate key supports, exposing ALT to further downside risks, with no clear structural floor below.
Conclusion:
The focus remains on $0.08500 as the immediate support zone, while Saturday's token unlock is likely to influence price action significantly. A relief rally may emerge post-unlock, targeting $0.08790 and possibly $0.11131 if the bearish gaps are filled. For now, caution is advised as the market navigates increased supply pressure.
BTC CMEAfter touching the weekly BISI, the price dropped behind the stops in the shorts, the daily BIs became an inversion and gave support to the price without pushing it down.
If this is a Екгьз rally, we will see how the price will react within 4 hours, a selling pattern is formed, there is inefficiency, a block of refusal is possible, which can lower the price to 0.5 range
Will this move be to fill the weekly BISI again or will it continue to send orders up?
Now those who entered long have opened positions, I think the price will follow their stops
Will KEYUSDT Bounce or Break? The Market's Crucial Moment!The crypto market often mirrors a roller coaster, and BYBIT-KEYUSDT.P is no exception. Currently priced at 0.0007485, the asset has plummeted 94.43% from its all-time high of 0.0134455 in March 2024, but it’s up 24.34% from its absolute low set just a month ago. Indicators like the RSI (40.58) and MFI (36.56) suggest the market is nearing oversold territory, while a narrowing gap between the MA50 (0.00092) and the current price highlights potential for a technical breakout.
Recent patterns reveal an intense struggle between buyers and sellers. The dominance of increased sell volumes over the past sessions has led many traders to question: Is this the calm before a bullish reversal, or the start of another leg down? With resistance looming at 0.001082, all eyes are on whether the asset can gather momentum to reclaim lost ground or if sellers will tighten their grip.
For traders seeking action, the stage is set. Will you capitalize on this key juncture, or watch as the market decides its next move? Either way, the opportunity is ripe.
Roadmap: The Story of BYBIT-KEYUSDT.P Through Patterns
1. January 7, 2025 – “Sell Volumes Max” (Direction: Sell)
The market opened at 0.001194 and closed at 0.0011535, showcasing intense selling pressure with a low of 0.00114. This pattern indicated a shift towards bearish sentiment. Interestingly, the price in the subsequent pattern aligned with this direction, confirming that sellers were in control. The next few bars validated the forecast, as the price continued its downward journey, further solidifying this bearish signal.
2. January 8, 2025 – “VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st” (Direction: Buy)
As expected from this pattern, the market attempted a bullish comeback. Opening at 0.000993, the price initially struggled but closed higher at 0.000972 after testing a low of 0.000959. This was a clear move towards recovery, but it fell short of breaking significant resistance levels. Confirmation arrived as the subsequent pattern reflected further buying pressure, proving that bulls were regaining some footing.
3. January 10, 2025 – “Increased Buy Volumes” (Direction: Buy)
Here’s where things got exciting. The price opened at 0.0009775 and climbed to a close of 0.001068, rallying decisively after hitting a low of 0.000945. This pattern screamed bullish energy, with a strong confirmation seen in the subsequent bars. Buyers capitalized on this move, pushing the price to test higher resistance levels.
4. January 11, 2025 – “Buy Volumes Takeover” (Direction: Sell)
A shift in momentum was clear as the market opened at 0.0011125 but closed lower at 0.001072, signaling a potential fake-out or exhaustion of bullish power. The next bars saw prices aligning with the forecasted sell direction, validating this pattern’s call for caution.
5. January 17, 2025 – “Sell Volumes Max” (Direction: Sell)
The market turned bearish once again, with an opening price of 0.0010495 and a sharp close at 0.000944. Hitting a low of 0.000896, this pattern proved its worth as the next bars continued downward, showing that the selling wave had not yet lost steam.
Key Takeaways:
The roadmap reflects that bearish patterns like "Sell Volumes Max" consistently aligned with market direction, highlighting a reliable trend-following signal.
Bullish patterns struggled to break through key resistance levels but showed potential for short-term trades.
Momentum shifted between bulls and bears, creating pockets of opportunity for nimble traders.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Here’s the breakdown of the make-or-break levels for BYBIT-KEYUSDT.P. These zones are where the action happens, and if they don’t hold, they’ll likely flip into resistance. Keep your eyes peeled for these hot spots!
Support Levels
0.000602 – The absolute low of the asset, touched recently. If this level gives way, expect it to become a solid resistance. 0.001082 – A critical support zone. If it doesn’t hold, bulls are likely to face a steep climb. 0.004257 – Not just support, but a psychological barrier. Failure here could turn it into a strong ceiling.
Resistance Levels
0.001082 – Doubling as support, but if the price can’t break back above, it’s game over for bulls at this level. 0.001476 – The next stop on the way up. If rejected, expect bearish vibes to dominate. 0.00538 – A major obstacle for any meaningful upside momentum.
Powerful Support Levels
0.004257 – All eyes are here. Losing this zone would spell trouble, as it’s one of the last defenses. 0.0057895 – A bounce from here could set up a strong rally, but a breakdown flips it into a bear’s playground. 0.0067375 – The line in the sand for bulls. Holding this is critical for regaining confidence.
Powerful Resistance Levels
No current data here, but watch for powerful zones to emerge once the price climbs closer to previous highs.
Pro Tip:
If these levels don’t hold, don’t panic. Just flip your mindset – these same levels will likely become strong resistance zones, perfect for fade plays or short setups. Stay sharp and trade what you see!
Concept of Rays: Trading Strategies and Scenarios
Let’s dive into the mechanics of trading using Fibonacci Rays, the dynamic levels built on precise mathematical principles. These rays define boundaries of movement channels and provide high-probability setups for trading key price interactions.
How Rays Work in Trading
Fibonacci Rays define zones of interaction, creating a system of dynamic support and resistance levels.
Price movements tend to follow rays, and interaction often signals whether to expect a reversal or continuation.
Dynamic factors like Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) further confirm key zones, enhancing accuracy.
The strategy: Wait for price to interact with a ray and exhibit clear movement in the direction of the ray, targeting the next ray.
Two Trading Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario :
The price reacts positively to support rays and continues upward, interacting with ascending Fibonacci Rays and moving averages. Targets align with resistance rays.
Entry: After interaction with Support 0.001082 and confirmation from MA50 at 0.00092, enter long.
First Target: Resistance at 0.001476 (next ray level).
Second Target: Powerful resistance near 0.00538 (further ray projection).
Third Target: Upper limit of movement at 0.0067375 if momentum sustains.
Pessimistic Scenario :
Price fails to hold support rays and breaks below, aligning with descending Fibonacci Rays. Each broken ray acts as resistance for potential short setups.
Entry: After price breaks below 0.001082 and closes under MA50 and MA100.
First Target: Powerful support at 0.000602 (next ray level).
Second Target: Deep retracement towards 0.004257, now acting as resistance.
Third Target: Collapse towards absolute lows below 0.000602, if selling momentum dominates.
Dynamic Trading Ideas Based on Ray Interactions
Bounce from MA50 and Ray Support: If price interacts with 0.00092 and shows strong buying signals, go long towards the next ray.
Break and Retest of Resistance Rays: If 0.001476 is broken and retested with confirmation, aim for 0.00538.
Sell-off after Ray Break: If price breaches 0.001082, wait for a retest and short towards 0.000602.
Range Trading Between Rays: Play the levels between 0.001476 and 0.00538 during a sideways market, watching for clear rejection or breakout signals.
Key Points for Execution
Always wait for interaction with rays and dynamic confirmation (e.g., MA alignment).
Move stops to breakeven after hitting the first target.
Targets are sequential: from ray to ray, ensuring flexibility in both scenarios.
Trade Smart and Flexible : Let the rays guide your entries and exits while keeping an eye on volume and momentum. Remember, every ray interaction is an opportunity!
Your Turn: Let’s Keep the Conversation Going!
Got questions or want to dive deeper into the analysis? Drop your thoughts in the comments below—I’m here to chat and explore with you. Don’t forget to Boost this idea and save it for later to track how the price respects my mapped levels. Watching these movements unfold is the essence of trading mastery!
By the way, my proprietary indicator handles all these rays and levels automatically, making the process seamless. If you’re curious about using it, feel free to reach out via private messages. Let’s discuss how it can become part of your trading toolkit.
Looking for custom analysis? I’m open to analyzing any asset you’re interested in. Some of it I share openly, but if you prefer a private breakdown tailored just for you, we can work something out. Trust me—these rays work across all markets, and I’d be happy to create a setup that fits your needs.
Finally, don’t miss out on future insights! Follow me here on TradingView, where I post all my updates and ideas. Your support and engagement keep this community thriving, and I can’t wait to hear your thoughts.
Let’s trade smart, stay connected, and grow together! 🚀
Technical Analysis of XAUUSD Using Support and Resistance LevelsXAUUSD represents the price of gold (XAU) against the US dollar (USD). Its current price is 2724, and the target price is set at 2800. This suggests a bullish outlook, with an expected price increase of 76 points. The analysis is based on the "support and resistance" pattern, where the current price is rebounding from a strong support level. Support levels act as a price floor, where buying pressure typically overcomes selling pressure, preventing further decline. The strong support indicates high confidence among traders that the price will rise. A move toward the target of 2800 aligns with the historical price behavior near this level. Traders may monitor for confirmation signals, such as higher highs or increased volume, to validate the upward momentum. However, market conditions and external factors like economic data or geopolitical events could influence the pair’s movement. Proper risk management is essential.
BTC new all time highsOn going FIBonacci price targets of BTCUSD.
112,750 1st target, new all time high.
Resistance likely @ previous 108k all time high.
:: See chart for predictive price path.
--- Mid - Late Feburary price price prediction.
::: Speculative assumption on current BTC price action. :::
***Newest local low and price action suggest the new local low bottom with continuation to the up side.
108k should stabilize - followed by 112,750 new ATH target.
Short-term analysis of the pair Btc/Usd. Top up everyone!Welcome aboard my ship!
In my first review on this resource I would like to analyze the btc/usd pair.
At the current minute, the price has hit the upper boundary of liquidity and the main zone of sellers' imbalance. A breakdown of this zone will indicate a local reversal and a test of liquidity to the 103-104k area. Taking into account that the 1d candle closed with a strong pinbar and liquidation of more than 850 mln margin positions, I expect a breakdown on the strong imbalance of buyers and further continuation of the uptrend. Main target: 109-110k per coin. The scenario will lose its relevance at the breakdown of 90-91k.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Key Technical UpdateCurrent Price Action:
Bitcoin is testing a critical breakout point from a rectangle continuation pattern. If the breakout occurs, the next target range is $115,000–$120,000.
The bullish trend remains intact, supported by the formation of a higher low on January 13, and the strong support zone between $90,000–$92,000.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$90,000–$92,000: This support zone has proven crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. As long as Bitcoin stays above this level, the market remains bullish.
Resistance:
$115,000–$120,000: This is the immediate target range if the breakout from the rectangle pattern confirms. A successful move into this zone would signal continued bullish strength.
Market Implications:
A successful breakout would likely push Bitcoin toward new all-time highs, further confirming the strength of the bullish trend.
Support at $90,000–$92,000 needs to hold for continued upside. A drop below this zone would challenge the bullish structure and necessitate a reevaluation of the trend.
Outlook:
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the upper boundary of the rectangle pattern would trigger a rally toward $115,000–$120,000, with new all-time highs likely.
Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold $90,000–$92,000 could lead to a deeper pullback, challenging key levels and potentially signaling a trend reversal.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a critical point. A confirmed breakout from the rectangle continuation pattern would open the door to significant upside, with a potential move toward $115,000–$120,000. As long as $90,000–$92,000 holds as support, the bullish outlook remains strong.
Bitcoin - 4H let's understand the where we are!Following the USA election, the crypto market experienced a significant rally, seemingly pricing in expectations around the Inauguration of Donald Trump. As the market has likely anticipated much of the impact from potential upcoming policies, we could see oscillations between sharp rises and falls in the coming days. A downward correction appears more probable as the immediate effects seem baked into current prices.
Technical Analysis: BINANCE:BTCUSDT broke out of a trading range, achieving its target with a ~9% rise, equivalent to the range's height.
The price hunted liquidity above the previous highs, which reinforces the possibility of a fall.
A decline from the current zone is likely, with key support zones highlighted on the chart.
📈 Watch for reaction near $102,600 and $100,100 zones.
💬 Like, follow, and comment for more timely market insights! 🚀
Bitcoin Dominance Makes Its Re-Test Perfect Today!Trading Fam,
Our retest here on the Bitcoin Dominance chart couldn't have gotten any more perfect. Does this mean that the altcoin/memecoin sell-off is finally nearing an end? Me thinks it does. And with Trump releasing his and his family's memecoins just days before his inauguration, this is a clear sign that he supports the market.
Of course, the TRUMP memecoin did suck millions in market cap away from other tokens, as traders arbitraged into the $TRUMP coin. But we could see a bit of a sell-the-news event on this token after his inauguration is complete. Then, traders may sell their profits and move back into older positions again. If you believe this as a possibility, it may be time to start picking up some of your favorite memecoins and alts again.
✌️ Stew
ChainLink | LINK , TRUMP & Grayscale LINK pumped 500% since our last signal so Its time to Celebrate the New Year with Crypto
Chainlink isn’t just mooning on price it’s taking the crown in the real world assets (RWA) sector. LINK is leading the pack in development activity, leaving Ethereum based Synthetix (SNX) and the privacy savvy Dusk Foundation (DUSK) playing catch up
Price Up, GitHub Busy, and a New Year’s Party to Crash
The numbers? Chainlink flexed nearly 394 GitHub events in the past 30 days, compared to Synthetix's 176.6 and Dusk's 34.7. Meanwhile, Polymesh (POLYX) and Maker (MKR) aren’t far behind, clocking in at 25.9 and 21.7, respectively
Chainlink’s onchain momentum and fundamentals are bullish as well, growing active addresses and an all time high futures open interest of $770.27M are just tip of the iceberg. Grayscale announced that it has opened Grayscale LINK Trust to qualified investors, a fund that enables investors to gain exposure to XRP in the form of securities. As of December 12, Grayscale LINK Trust had a net asset value of $111.91 per share and $30,468,812 in assets under management
Chainlink's LINK token is experiencing a notable increase in price and market activity, fueled by a strategic investment from World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a project backed by Donald Trump’s family. WLFI recently expanded its holdings by purchasing an additional $1 million worth of LINK, raising its total investment in the token to $2 million.
LINK is trading at $29.4 (+1.5% over 24 hours), while its all time high of $52.82 (May 2021) is still 44% away. But hey, it's already the life of the crypto party, with a $1.1B daily trading volume and active trading on 99 exchanges, led by Binance. Market cap? A cool $18.6B
it’s a good time to toast to LINK’s rise🍾
20/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,467.97
Last weeks low: $89,292.15
Midpoint: $97,880.06
The Trump era begins...
January 20th 2025 is the date in which America sees its new Republican administration take office. An administration that has promised to embrace crypto instead of demonise it, one that wants the future of crypto to be built in the US, so far Trumps picks for SEC chairman and other important related roles have reflected that pro-crypto belief.
However, launching a $TRUMP memecoin and the subsequent $MELANIA memecoins just moments before inauguration in my opinion is a very bad start. Not only did the launch of TRUMP draw out liquidity from the altcoin market, it also damages the broader market just from an optics point of view. The general publics perception of crypto is it's full of scams, pump and dumps etc so to try and change the general publics mind the answer is to... Launch a memecoin...
Now I'm fully aware Donald Trump himself probably has very little to do with this, just like most celebrity memecoins but I just don't see how this is a positive start for the administration in proving their pro-crypto stance.
Bitcoin did have its highest weekly close of all time @ $106,500, which was $2000 higher than the previous ATH. +20% move from weekly low to high in anticipation for the potential Bitcoin strategic reserve announcement. Avoiding a SFP similar to that of week commencing January 6th will be a priority for BTC, we are in a rangebound environment so a SFP can have the potential to drop back down and undo a lot of the previous weeks progress. Until BTC breaks the rangebound environment and begins a trending move I will treat it as such.
For this week I'm keeping a close eye on the Liberty Financial portfolio (ETH,AAVE,LINK,ONDO,ENS) & US based majors (SOL,SUI,AVAX, ADA, STX,INJ) etc. The play is definitely coins that will be directly influenced by this new US administration, at least for now I cannot see any liquidity go towards any other coins for the time being.
BITCOIN AT ATH IS SHOWING WHO IS THE KING OF THE JUNGLETechnical Analysis
Rising Wedge Pattern:
The chart displays a rising wedge pattern (bearish reversal structure). The price is likely at the breakdown point from the wedge.
Key support and resistance lines are marked, showing potential pullback zones.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Shows overbought conditions as it hovers near 70. A pullback or consolidation may occur to relieve overbought pressures.
Stochastic Oscillator: The oscillator is in the overbought zone, signaling a potential short-term reversal or cooling-off period.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates significant inflows of capital, but nearing overbought conditions, suggesting caution.
Price Levels:
Key support zones: $95,697, $91,721, and $88,671 (blue horizontal lines).
Key resistance zones: Wedge top (~$108,000) and further price targets above $112,000 and $120,000.
Trend Analysis:
The overall trend appears bullish in the medium term. A short-term retracement (to test lower support levels) is anticipated before further continuation upward.
The breakout target from the rising wedge suggests a potential correction to the $95,000–$96,000 range, followed by an upward move.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Scenario A: Retracement to Support Zones
If Bitcoin pulls back to $95,000–$96,000, consider opening a long position, as this level aligns with historical support and a confluence of demand zones.
Scenario B: Bullish Continuation
If Bitcoin breaks above $112,000 with strong volume, open a long position targeting $120,000 and higher.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place a stop-loss just below $94,500 for long positions to minimize risk, as a breach below this level could signal further bearish movement.
Take-Profit Levels:
Primary Target: $112,000 (previous high).
Secondary Target: $120,000 (psychological level and technical extension).
Risk Management:
Limit risk to 1–2% of your trading capital per trade.
Avoid over-leveraging as the rising wedge breakdown could result in increased volatility.
Monitoring the Trade:
Keep an eye on macro indicators (e.g., interest rate announcements, broader market sentiment).
Watch for divergence in RSI or Stochastic Oscillator, which could indicate trend exhaustion.
Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. A short-term correction is likely to test support levels before resuming its bullish trend. The outlined trading plan provides strategies for both pullback and breakout scenarios, ensuring disciplined risk management.
Bitcoin Bull Flag Signals Next Target Before the Next Big MoveBitcoin's 1-hour chart shows a clear bull flag pattern, signaling potential for further upward movement. The first significant run-up saw prices climb from $99,563.68 to $109,358.62, forming the flagpole. After this, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase, creating a tight flag just below $109,358.62.
If the breakout above the flag's resistance is confirmed, the next target price is calculated to be $118,535.53. This target aligns with the typical bull flag projection, where the flagpole length is added to the breakout point. Further continuation could push prices beyond $120,000, depending on market momentum.
A breakout needs strong volume confirmation to validate the move. However, caution is always advised traders should keep an eye on key levels and manage their risk accordingly. Bitcoin’s bullish potential remains strong, and this setup could signal the next leg upward.
Bitcoin breakout as USDT.D breaks down, is it happening now?Refer to previous analysis in links below.
As you can see USDT.D is now trying to break below the trendline that caused 3 flash crashes in a row. Will it be confirmed by the end of the day's candle or will this be a bull trap and the candle wicks back above the trendline and then a flash crash? We watch and see. Easy trade for both short and long here with stop loss that cuts off the loser and the winner runs.
Don't forget to smash that rocket like button or give me your take in the comments below.
Bitcoin can enter to seller zone and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then rebounded up, after which it started to trades inside the pennant. In pennant, price at once rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the support line, but soon BTC turned around and made impulse up. Price rose back, after which made a correction to the buyer zone and then continued to grow. Later, BTC reached the resistance line of the pennant, breaking it, exiting from the pennant pattern, and soon breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Next, the price reached new ATH (108K) and then made impulse down inside the wedge, to support line, breaking the 96500 level. But soon, the price turned around and bounced up, so, after this BTC some time traded between support level until it later dropped to the support line of the wedge again and then started to grow. Bitcoin rose to the resistance line of the wedge, breaking the 96500 level, and then corrected the support line of the wedge, where it made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. Now, I think that price can enter to seller zone and then start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 101K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for Trump's new policies!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline.
Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will allow us to buy it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
Bullish signs are abundant in the cryptocurrency market, as investors observe various factors that favor this sector beyond Bitcoin. While some analysts predict 2025 as the year of altcoins, JPMorgan argues that Bitcoin will remain an attractive option.
Market experts point to cyclical trends that could boost altcoins such as Solana and Ripple. These two tokens experienced significant growth following Donald Trump’s election victory, driven by expectations of greater support from the new administration. However, JPMorgan highlights four reasons why investors should approach the altcoin market cautiously.
First, future policies remain speculative, with uncertainty surrounding their timing and impact. Although reduced regulatory oversight may improve sentiment across the industry, there is no guarantee that interest in decentralized finance will grow substantially.
JPMorgan noted that it is still unclear whether these new regulations will allow the crypto ecosystem to integrate into traditional financial systems or if public blockchains like Ethereum will play a central role in the future.
Additionally, the bank stated that ambitious plans for crypto reserves in the United States and beyond are likely to focus solely on Bitcoin. Certain U.S. states have already proposed legislation to hold Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, a policy Washington might adopt during Trump’s second term.
Second, Bitcoin continues to dominate the cryptocurrency fund space. JPMorgan predicts that retail and institutional investors will keep investing in Bitcoin spot ETFs, supported by Bitcoin’s appeal as digital gold. According to a Bernstein report, Bitcoin is expected to replace gold as the primary store of value in the global economy over the next decade.
Bitcoin accounted for 35% of the total $78 billion inflows into the crypto market in 2024, according to JPMorgan. By contrast, Ethereum spot ETFs, launched in July 2024, attracted only $2.4 billion. The bank also forecasts that future ETFs for altcoins like Solana may see limited capital inflows.
Third, the Bitcoin network is evolving to rival tokens with more specific use cases, such as Ethereum. Historically, Bitcoin was perceived as a buy-and-hold asset with limited functionality. However, developers have been expanding its capabilities, and new smart contract features will help it compete with rivals.
JPMorgan also stated that large institutions might overlook public blockchains like Ethereum in favor of private blockchains offering customized solutions for institutional investors.
Fourth, new altcoin projects require time to mature and prove their utility. The bank explained that decentralized initiatives often attract initial user attention but then face declining activity and token value. To achieve sustainability, these projects must demonstrate their long-term functional benefits.
JPMorgan cautioned investors against expecting a repeat of the 2021 crypto bull market. During that period, projects succeeded through token distribution, but the current industry is more focused on blockchain capability development.
The bank further noted that MicroStrategy is still halfway through its plan to invest $42 billion in Bitcoin. This software company has made a name for itself by accumulating vast Bitcoin reserves through equity and debt financing.
For the first time in history, over 20% of total spot trading volume is conducted on decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
Standard Chartered Bank warned that if the $90,000 support level breaks, Bitcoin could drop to around $80,000. The bank highlighted that Bitcoin ETF purchases have stabilized since the U.S. presidential election, and Jerome Powell’s policy shifts at the Federal Reserve on December 18 have increased selling pressure on digital assets.
The bank cautioned that widespread panic could amplify these sell-offs, potentially affecting other cryptocurrencies.Nevertheless, such a price drop could present a long-term accumulation opportunity.