Btc-e
BTC - Post Weekly Closure UpdateAgain, not an awful lot has changed since last week’s update. We’ve now closed a weekly candle yet again in no man’s land; in fact, one could argue it’s a bearish engulfing candle that closed below the previous week’s level, solidifying further bearish sentiment and likely continuation until key SH has been reclaimed.
Like I mentioned in last week’s update - for now, we’re waiting for 65K–72K, a break of ATH, or at least a reclamation of HTF 🗝️ swings (95K minimum) to jump back into HTF trades. Until then, I’m exploiting LTF/MTF moves.
Another thing to note: Everyone is so fixated on 72K being the potential bottom (if reached). It makes me wonder: will 72K happen soon (it will eventually), and if it does, will it hold? I personally think we’ll see a deeper pullback into the 2W demand at 68K, or potentially the 1W PHOB at 65K, which I’ve mentioned several times.
On LTF/MTF - I’ve been updating every trade, and they’ve been playing out quite well so far. We failed to hold the 23H HOB at 83K, thereby breaking below the MTF SL at 83130, and now the same level is acting as an obstacle to higher prices. If accepted above, I expect 84K, potentially 86K, before a possible downward continuation.
For us to see higher prices on MTF, we need to reclaim 88744, SH, to target 96K - potentially the 2D OB at 100K, which is also a psychological level and confluent with the volume drop in VRVP, as shown in the image above. If 88744 is reclaimed, followed by a pullback into newly formed liquidity or BB, I’d then look for a long to the above-mentioned levels.
As long as we’re below 88,744, downward pressure remains.
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 84,019.80
1st Support: 72,880.23
1st Resistance: 91,396.07
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The Road to $100k BitcoinBitcoin is most likely forming a left-translated 60-day cycle .
Expect Bitcoin to trend downward for the next month, making a lower low in this 60-day cycle and fully scaring the market.
People will start screaming “bear market” and panic-sell their coins to market makers, institutions, and patient investors.
Once that’s done, Bitcoin will resume its bull market, heading toward a market top in Q2/Q3 2025.
This would mirror 2021’s bull market behavior, align with the 4-year Bitcoin cycle, and leave enough time for the market to fully reset by late 2026.
Update about my previous warning about a crash of the SPX500📉 SPX500 Major Correction: Scenario 1 or 2?
In my previous analysis, I explained a scenario that could mimic the 2022 crash (Scenario 1):
🔗
However, the price action dropped much faster than in 2022, accelerating the correction.
Now, on the daily timeframe, we already have a bullish MACD crossover, signaling a potential bullish trend for several days:
🔗
Could This Invalidate the Bearish Trend?
✅ Yes, absolutely.
In June 2023 (Scenario 2), a similar situation occurred:
A bearish MACD reset was interrupted mid-course by a violent dump
This triggered a strong rebound, breaking through resistance levels
There are now strong signs that Scenario 2 might play out again.
What Does This Mean for Crypto & TradFi?
📈 If this bullish reversal holds, it could sync Crypto & TradFi, with both gaining bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe, peaking around May 2025.
Two Possible Outcomes:
1️⃣ Scenario 1 – The reversal collapses, and the correction continues 📉
2️⃣ Scenario 2 – The reversal holds, leading to a rally 📈
Let’s monitor this closely to see which scenario unfolds.
🔍 DYOR!
#SPX500 #StockMarket #Crypto #Trading #BullishReversal #BearishTrend #MACD #MarketAnalysis #Investing
BRIEFING Week #13 : ETH offers perfect opportunityHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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ETH - is the worst over ? Can we expect reversal ?As shown in the chart, ETH has reached the trendline support and is currently trading near a key support zone. This critical level will determine whether ETH initiates a reversal from its long-term downtrend that began last December.
I anticipate this support to hold, leading to a strong rebound in ETH's price. If the reversal occurs from this zone, ETH could reach its peak around Q4 2025.
Let’s see how it unfolds!
Cheers,
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin: Watching For Reversal 78K AREA.Bitcoin bear flag has become in play over the previous week as I anticipated in my previous week's analysis. While there is a potential minor support in the 81 to 80K area, the lower high established at 88K implies a lower low is likely to follow which can unfold this week. This scenario could see price retesting the 76K area low. There are a couple of potential opportunities that can present themselves in this situation.
The day trade long off the 81,500 area support (see thin rectangle and arrow). This would be appropriate for the smaller time frames like 30 min or lower. Waiting for price structure confirmations and looking for profit objectives that are proportionally within reason on your selected time frame (Trade Scanner Pro is ideal for this). Price may see smaller time frame reversal patterns between 81,500 and 80K numerous times. It is important to take proportional profits because there is NO guarantee the reversal will follow through especially in the face of a lower probability bounce (thanks to the lower high established at 88K).
The opportunity for larger time frames (like swing trades) is between 78 to 76K. This is the previous low and a broader double bottom formation can develop here. The confirmation patterns are the same as previously explained, except the profit objective can be much greater because of the magnitude of the levels in question. For example, if a long confirms at 78,500, risk would be like 2K points, profit objective would be 4K at minimum. Scaling out of a swing trade can also be considered here like selling half at 83.5K, another quarter at 84.5K and closing what is left at 85.5K. Scaling is a more advanced concept, if you find it confusing, just stick to a simple R:R of 2:1 or more all in all out in high potential situations.
While the broader trend in Bitcoin is still bullish, the short term structure is bearish until proven otherwise by price. Trying to piece together news, economic reports, etc., I find to be nothing but confusing and often counterintuitive to how the market actually reacts. This is why I rely ONLY on price structure and support/resistance levels. They are objective and help me align with the market intent (and why a lot of my anticipated scenarios happen to play out).
The fact that the short term structure is bearish implies support levels have a greater chance of breaking. This helps to shape my expectations, and also why it is so important to wait for confirmation. The reason I prefer longs over shorts in this situation is because I do not lose site of the BIG picture. The 76K to 73K area is VERY relevant location of a broader higher low. This is why you need to have a very deep understanding of the time frames you are using along with the potential and risks presented by reach one. The larger the time frame, the more weight it carries. The short term bearish trend is nothing more than a retrace of a broader BULLISH structure that has been in play since the 15K low a few years ago.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on BTCUSD
The price has successfully retested the $75,000 region however to complete the corrective wave we can expect to see BTC drop further to the $70,00 before another round of bullish runs.
A BUY trade opportunity is best looked at after the full retest of the $71k and $70k region before I begin to buy Bitcoin
However, the SELL opportunity is clear below FWB:65K which can be regarded as 202 extreme dip.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading.
Bitcoin harmonic pattern. Back to back Gartley. BTCGOLD ratio.The BTC/GOLD ratio has experienced a significant correction, currently standing at 27 gold ounces per 1 Bitcoin, down from a peak of 41, representing a decline of 34%.
Gold, priced at $3,114 in US Federal Reserve notes, is in a sustained bull market.
It is reasonable to anticipate that the digital equivalent of gold will gain traction once gold stabilizes at a higher price point.
The Gartley pattern is recognized as the most prevalent harmonic chart pattern.
Harmonic patterns are based on the idea that Fibonacci sequences can be utilized to create geometric formations, which include price breakouts and retracements.
The Gartley pattern illustrated indicates an upward movement from point X to point A, followed by a price reversal at point A. According to Fibonacci ratios, the retracement from point X to point B is expected to be 61.8%.
At point B, the price reverses again towards point C, which should reflect a retracement of either 38.2% or 88.6% from point A.
From point C, the price then reverses to point D. At point D, the pattern is considered complete, generating buy signals with an upside target that aligns with points C and A, as well as a final price target of a 161.8% increase from point A.
Often, point 0 serves as a stop-loss level for the entire trade. While these Fibonacci levels do not have to be precise, greater proximity enhances the reliability of the pattern.
Will these consecutive Gartley patterns succeed in bolstering Bitcoin's strength? We will soon discover the answer.
#DGB/USDT#DGB
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward move with a break above it.
We have a resistance area at the upper limit of the channel at 0.00906.
Entry price: 0.00894
First target: 0.00863
Second target: 0.00831
Third target: 0.00797
WHY EURUSD IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED FUNDAEMTALS AND TECHNICAL EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0880, exhibiting a bullish trend after completing a retest within the 0.50 to 0.61 Fibonacci retracement levels. This technical formation suggests a potential upward movement toward the target price of 1.1000, indicating strong support and the possibility of continued appreciation.
Fundamentally, the euro has shown resilience despite recent dovish signals from the European Central Bank (ECB). ECB board member Piero Cipollone has advocated for further policy easing, citing declining inflation and economic shifts as justifications for additional interest rate cuts. Conversely, the U.S. dollar has experienced modest gains amid uncertainties surrounding potential tariffs and mixed economic data, contributing to its volatility. These dynamics create a nuanced environment where the euro's strength may persist in the short term
Technical analysis reinforces the bullish outlook for EUR/USD. The pair's rebound from the 0.50 to 0.61 Fibonacci retracement levels indicates robust support, with the recent completion of the retest phase suggesting readiness for further ascent. Key resistance levels to monitor include 1.0945, with a sustained break above this point potentially paving the way toward the 1.1000 target. Indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages also support the continuation of the upward trend
Traders should remain vigilant regarding upcoming economic releases and central bank communications, as these can significantly influence market sentiment and price action. Implementing sound risk management strategies, including appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate potential volatility. By staying informed and adaptable, traders can effectively capitalize on the anticipated bullish movement in the EUR/USD pair.
Bitcoin can correct to support level and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price began to decline around the mirror line and soon reached the 88500 resistance level. After that, BTC attempted to move upward but resumed its decline, eventually breaking below the 88500 level and falling toward the support area, which aligned with the buyer zone. Following this drop, Bitcoin bounced back into the buyer zone and even pushed slightly higher, beginning a steady rise within an ascending channel. Inside this channel, BTC reached the 82200 level and broke through it, made a minor correction, and then continued climbing to the upper boundary of the channel. The price then pulled back to the buyer zone, rebounded again, and returned to the channel’s resistance line before continuing its upward move. Eventually, BTC touched a key resistance level, hovered around it for a while, and then began to decline. Shortly after, the price broke out of the channel and dropped back to the support zone. However, more recently, it has started to rise again. In my view, BTC might first revisit the support area once more before continuing its upward movement. For this scenario, I’ve placed my first target near the resistance level at 87000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis. The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC) previously trading within an ascending channel (marked by two parallel black lines).
Recently, BTC broke below this channel, signaling a bearish shift in momentum.
BTC is currently attempting to retest the lower boundary of the broken channel.
This is critical—if BTC fails to reclaim the channel, it could confirm a downtrend continuation.
The chart suggests a possible short-term bounce toward resistance around $85,000-$86,000.
However, after this retest, BTC is expected to drop sharply toward $79,000 - $78,400 (green support zone).
$79,059 & $78,424 are identified as key support zones.
If BTC reaches these levels and holds, a rebound is possible.
If broken, BTC could see a deeper decline toward lower levels.
Breakout invalidation: If BTC breaks above $86,000 with strong volume, it could regain bullish momentum and move higher.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Climbing Despite Bearish Divergence📉 Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Climbing Despite Bearish Divergence
🚨 Since January 29, 2025, a massive bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) has been forming... yet it never materialized!
🔍 Even worse—this divergence keeps growing, meaning CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is overbought but still pushing higher, defying all technical indicators.
💡 The March 19, 2025 FOMC Pump:
Bitcoin jumped +6% from GETTEX:82K to $86K 📈
Altcoins barely moved—most stayed stable or had a minor push 📉
This was not an organic move—it was institutional & political manipulation
⚠️ The Consequences:
Altcoins are getting wrecked—again 😤
When Bitcoin corrects, altcoins will crash harder 🚨
Bitcoin maximalists (Saylor, politicians, whales) are pushing Bitcoin at the expense of the entire crypto industry
🎭 Reality Check:
Bitcoin maximalists don’t care about crypto—they care about their own bags 💰. Their goal? Kill altcoins & centralize wealth in Bitcoin.
⏳ Until the crypto industry wakes up to this war between Bitcoin maximalists & the rest of the market, nothing will change.
Another altseason cancelled, another liquidity funnel into Bitcoin to protect institutional & banking interests.
Hopefully this bearish divergeance will finally plays out and we will see this very welcome altseason. Until then, altcoins are struggling.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Altcoins #BTC #BearishDivergence #CryptoManipulation #AltseasonCancelled #BTCMaximalists #CryptoNews #Saylor #InstitutionalManipulation
$BTC 1H Chart Analysis, what is next?📊 CRYPTOCAP:BTC 1H Chart Analysis
Things are not as simple as some analysts claim — the situation remains delicate.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels:
Double Resistance in Play:
- Descending Bearish Channel on the weekly timeframe.
- Previous Resistance from the March 20th pump.
🏗️ Current Market Structure:
Horizontal Consolidation Pattern:
- Top Resistance: $87.5K — potential rejection point.
- Bottom Support: $34.3K — previously a resistance, now acting as support.
📉 Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
- Rejection at $87.5K could lead to support at: $34.3K (Green horizontal support).
- $33.5K (Red ascending pattern bottom).
Bullish Invalidation: Break and hold above $91K would invalidate the bearish downtrend.
If successful, we likely avoid retesting $80K.
📅 Conclusion:
Until CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks $91K, we remain in a bearish downtrend, despite the short-term daily uptrend.
The weekly timeframe suggests we could still reverse and go lower if $90K holds as resistance.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #BTC #Trading #CryptoNews
DYOR
BTC update 28.03.2025The zone of interest I have outlined, when internal liquidity is achieved. In the same zone we have horizontal volumes.
So I'm waiting for a reaction from this zone
We are still continuing to form the bottom of the correction.
The next 4 days will be a struggle to close the monthly candle, it should close green.
Bets Regards, EXCAVO
Bitcoin Price Action: Breakdown in Progress Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern, a classic bearish reversal structure. The chart suggests that BTC failed to sustain momentum above key moving averages and is now heading toward critical support zones.
Key Observations:
🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown: BTC recently broke below a rising wedge, indicating potential further downside.
🔹 Moving Averages as Resistance: The 200 SMA (blue) and 50 SMA (yellow) are acting as resistance, confirming bearish momentum.
🔹 Support & Target Levels:
First Target : Around $79,845 - $78,516, aligning with previous structure support.
Second Target : $75,762 - $72,500, where strong demand could emerge.
What’s Next?
Bearish Case: If Bitcoin fails to hold the $78,000-$79,000 zone, we could see further declines toward $72,500.
Bullish Rebound: A strong bounce from support levels could push BTC back toward $85,000, but it needs to reclaim key moving averages to confirm strength.
🚨 Final Thought: Bitcoin bulls need to step in soon, or we might see deeper corrections ahead. #DeathCross
Technical and Statistical Time-Series Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC)Technical and Statistical Time-Series Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) 📈
Bitcoin is currently trading around $82,000, having breached the critical support level at $80,548. This breakdown, combined with a potential daily close below this level, indicates a likelihood of accelerated downward momentum towards the corrective cycle's end target of $71,823. This target is anticipated to be reached within a short timeframe, between April 9th and 11th.
Price Movement Predictions : 🔮
March 30th - 31st:
A price rebound from $80,548 to $85,098 is expected, serving as a retest. Any rejection from the $85,098 range will signal a continuation of the corrective downtrend. 📉
March 31st - April 10th:
Continuation of the downward cycle is anticipated, targeting the following levels:
First Target: $76,123 🎯
Second Target: $71,823 🎯
April 11th or 12th:
A potential trend reversal towards a strong uptrend is foreseen. 🚀
Invalidation of the Scenario : ⚠️
This scenario will be invalidated if the price breaks above and closes above $90,000. This breakout and close, especially if sustained for three consecutive days, would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the uptrend towards a new peak. 🔝
Notes : 📝
These predictions are based on technical analysis and do not constitute investment advice. 🚫
The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and trading involves significant risk. Proceed with caution. 🚨
It is very important to pay close attention to the economic market news, that can change any technical analysis. 📰