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BTC Daily ReviewBTC wicked into daily fair value gap and got rejected there. Now that bullish move is done and failed, next should be bearish response. Nearest liquidity pool is under 61600 and support starts under 61000. Developing Year VWAP 59630 is the border between early bounce and deeper and bloodier correction, where potential target moves to September buy tail EQ around 56k. Reminder that overall chart structure is bullish and will stay that way until BTC cross below 52511. All the dips above that value will form higher low. Higher high at 66450 - only after BTC grow above that value the lower move potential will move up as well. www.tradingview.com Nearest liquidity pools: above - 63115 / 64786 / 65412 / 66120 below - 61600 / 61237 / 60652 / 59961 Lines on the chart: 🔸64601 - July close 🔸63309 - September close 🔸62766 - June close 🔸58942 - August close 🔸57446 - day swing fractal 🔸56000 - September buy tail EQ
by WiseAnalyze
Oct.1-Oct.7(BTC)Weekly market recapAfter the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, the Asia-Pacific markets, especially the Chinese stock market, experienced a strong rebound. On one hand, due to U.S. restrictions on China in the import and export sector, the Chinese stock market has underperformed relative to the Nikkei and the Mumbai Index. On the other hand, the Chinese government recently announced a reduction in the bank reserve requirement ratio to enhance market competitiveness following the U.S. rate cut. Although increased liquidity in the Chinese market benefits various assets, the U.S. market still dominates in cryptocurrency trading, and the Chinese market has a certain degree of closure. Therefore, the performance of the Chinese stock market will not impact the cryptocurrency market. This can also be seen in the stable performance of BTC ETFs recently. Last Friday's non-farm payroll data did not show significant deviations, so the market will not conclude that we are entering a recession or recovering from inflation; instead, the economy remains under the control of the Federal Reserve. The CPI data to be released this week will further confirm this. If the CPI data does not significantly deviate from expectations, the market will still be driven by bullish sentiment. BTC retraced after reaching 66,000 and has slightly rebounded this week, remaining within its previous trading range. According to the WTA indicator, whales have not taken action over the past week, with the blue bars representing whales and trading volume maintaining average levels. The ME indicator has switched back to a purple bullish trend, and the frequent switching indicates that we are currently in a consolidation trend. In summary, we believe that BTC may continue to oscillate this week, with the potential for an increase greater than that for a decrease. We maintain our original resistance level at 68,000 and support level at 62,500. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
1
BITCOIN fractal alert! Happening exactly like last October!We talked a while ago regarding the 'October effect' (August 28, see chart below) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). But today we need to make an urgent analysis as it appears that the market is repeating almost the exact sequence of a year ago (October 2023). The similarities are more obvious on the 1D time-frame where the price is currently ranged within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The most recent time it traded like this was exactly one year ago, back in the first two weeks of October 2023. As you can see, during that time BTC also made a marginal break above the 1D MA200 before quickly pulling back below it. After it tested and held the 1D MA50 (as it did no on October 01 2024), is started the long-term aggressive rally of the Channel Up that peaked on March 14 2024. As long as the 1W MA50 continues to hold as the long-term Support, there are high probabilities of seeing 100k, even before the end of 2024. But what do you think? Do you see realistic the scenario of repeating the post October 2023 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
16
Bitcoin resistance at 65800The short-term resistance of Bitcoin is 65800. By reaching this resistance, there is a possibility of correction. As long as we have the support range of 61,000, we have the possibility of breaking the resistance. But in case of failure of the support of 61000, we will have the support range of 57000. If the resistance of bitcoin is broken, and pullback to the trend curve, the upward trend of bitcoin will continue. Share your opinion with me. Don't forget to boost and follow.
by Rezaei0013
10/7 Can BTC hold bullish trend or was it a fake break out?Overview : The AMEX:SPY posted a decisive red candle today, with a strong bearish body. It’s rare to see appreciating equities while global liquidity has been declining for 21 consecutive days. The index is now trading at the lower end of the range established after the rate cut. The main sectors pulling it down include big tech (with the exception of beloved NVDA, which rose 2.24%), as well as utilities, insurance, and finance. On the other hand, oil, gas, and healthcare showed gains. Since Friday, the number of traders expecting no rate cut in November has quadrupled from 2.6% to 13.7%. This reflects market uncertainty: while no rate cut means continued tight credit conditions and less liquidity, it also signals the Fed’s confidence in a strong job market and rising salaries. The question remains, which factor will weigh heavier on speculative assets like crypto? Less liquidity suggests a bearish outlook, but a stronger job market could be bullish. This week could be pivotal for crypto. The question is whether BINANCE:BTCUSDT will hold above the 61.5k support level or break down, ending the fifth wave of this year’s crypto bull run. BTC TA : Weekly : After bullish momentum yesterday and earlier today, Bitcoin has since corrected. It’s now sitting at the BB MA and has moved away from the biggest volume node, leaving the point of control (POC). The 61.3k - 62.6k range isn't seeing much volume, and BTC will either hold above this or break through, which would be critical. Daily : Bitcoin retested the MM BA resistance after falling beneath it. Monday ended with a bearish hammer, signaling caution. No major divergences were spotted on key indicators. Last week on Friday we wrote "Daily had a nice pull back after dumping from bull trap. Given the last 16 days of trading, upper resistance is at $63.3 k. It will need a real miracle to brake that level." The promised pull back played out. Price actually rose to 64.4k. But miracle of braking it didn't happen. 4-Hour : No divergences, and the trend seems uncertain. 1-Hour : Over the weekend, Asian bulls pushed BTC upwards, triggering short liquidations that drove prices up to 63.9k. However, the upward movement was halted at the significant weekly resistance of $64 k. A pullback followed. Early Monday, U.S. bulls retested the $64 k level again, pushing prices as high as 64.4k. This retrace fell within the Fibonacci golden pocket, specifically between the 0.618 and 0.786 levels when measured from the high on September 27th. Alts Relative to BTC: NEAR, APT, TAO, FTM, and SUI are outpacing BTC and other altcoins as Monday progressed. ETH and SOL, however, remain closely aligned with BTC’s movements. Bull Case : Since early September, we’ve seen the beginnings of a new bull run, which could be fueled by potential rate cuts and improving macroeconomic conditions. A breakout from the bullish flag consolidation pattern forming on the weekly chart could lead to significant upside. Bear Case: The fifth wave may already be over, and we could be headed downward, marking the end of this year’s bull run. Fear and Greed Index : 41.49, indicating a neutral sentiment. This week holds the key for BTC's next move. Will it hold support or break down? Stay tuned.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Bitcoin update 5000$ in a rowbtc exactly reacted where the supply area and gave 2000$ in sell side and upside almost gave 3000++ points and also market still running in sell side 📌 Please support me with your likes 🤞🏻 and comments 💬 to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your any opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Davis 🥰 Hit the like 🤞🏻 button to !! Motive some energy !!🥇 📌 Note : ⨻ Check the live market updates and analysis yourself before buy 📈🔺 or sell 📉🔻 ⨺ Am not giving any advisory or signals its just my idea for upgrade my knowledge 📚 in trading ⨹ This is my pre and post market analysis to improve my trading journey 🚀 ⨂ Am Not suggesting anyone to buy or sell ❌ am just giving my views 👀 ⫸ You are responsible for your trading ✅ not me ❌ ⫷ HAPPY TRADING 🥰
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADING_MASTER_DAVIS
New wave start section: 61099.25-65920.71 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- USDT is sideways, and USDC is showing a slight downtrend. -------------------------------------- (NAS100USD 1D chart) NAS100USD is sideways near 19852.4. If it is supported and rises near 19252.4, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise above 20313.8. If not, and it falls, it should check for support near 19582.6, which is an important support and resistance area. -------------------------------------- (IBIT 1D chart) IBIT is the stock with the highest trading volume among spot ETFs. Since the current chart was created not long ago, the role of support and resistance points may be weak, so caution is required when trading. The key is whether it can rise above the 36.32-36.64 area and receive support. If not, 1st: 35.40 2nd: 34.18 It is necessary to check for support near the 1st and 2nd areas above. In particular, the M-Signal indicator of the 1W, 1D chart is passing near 35.40, so it is important to check whether there is support near this area. From a trend perspective, the area near 34.18 is near the midpoint of the parallel channel, so it is an important support and resistance point. - With the launch of investment products related to BTC in the stock market, the movement of the stock market cannot be ignored. Therefore, caution is required as the movement of the coin market may follow the movement of the stock market. However, if more funds flow into the coin market, there is a possibility that it will show an upward trend regardless of the movement of the stock market. In other words, there may be cases where investment products in the stock market rise while other stocks fall. Therefore, there is no need to pay much attention to the movement of the stock market. Currently, when the movement of BTC is slowing down, that is, when it is moving sideways, it is only worth referring to the movement of the stock market. -------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) As mentioned above, the USDT and USDC movements are weak sideways, so it seems that there is a limit to the increase. Therefore, if USDC does not fall any further, it is expected to maintain the current level or rise slowly. Otherwise, if USDC continues to gap down, we need to check for support near 61099.25. - The points 64748.70 and 65920.71 correspond to the HA-High indicator points on the 1W and 1D charts. Therefore, it can be interpreted that a high point section is formed across the 64748.70-65920.71 section. The HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart is formed at 61099.25, so it has already risen to the high point range from a long-term perspective. Currently, the HA-HIgh indicators are arranged in a straight line. That is, HA-High on the 1D chart > HA-High on the 1W chart > HA-High on the 1M chart. Therefore, if it continues to rise and maintains the price above 65920.71, a full-scale uptrend, that is, a stepwise uptrend, is likely to begin. - To do this, it is recommended that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M and 1W charts is not in the overbought or oversold range. This is because I think it will receive great strength if the value of the StochRSI indicator is in the 20 to 80 range when the first uptrend begins and shows an upward trend. Currently, the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart has entered the overbought zone. Therefore, even if it rises right now, it will eventually show a downward trend. Therefore, I think it is important to maintain the price above 61099.25 after this period of volatility. -------------------------------------- The most important thing when trading spot is whether the price moving averages are aligned. If the short-term to long-term moving averages are aligned, the upward trend is likely to continue. Currently, the price moving averages of BTC are aligned. However, the short-term and medium-term moving averages are converging. Therefore, if the current price level is maintained, an upward trend is expected to begin. Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising near 52K. Therefore, if it falls as much as possible, it is expected to fall to the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart. In any case, from the perspective of the trading particle, the 61099.25-65920.71 section is the high point section, so whether there is support in this section is very important. It is the last buying section before the full-scale uptrend begins, but it can also be the starting section of the downtrend. Therefore, depending on which direction the price deviates from the 61099.25-65920.71 section and maintains it, a new wave will be created. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
Alikze »» FTM | Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D - In the analysis presented in the previous post in the weekly time frame, it was mentioned: it is suspicious of a head and shoulders pattern. - So far, according to the previous analysis, the first target (supply zone) has been touched and it is currently above the target zone. - In the analysis presented in the 4-hour time frame, it had a zigzag pattern, which is in wave one of three. - In the daily time frame, it is located in an ascending channel, the previous corrective wave was able to form a reversal pattern in the range of 0.23 fibo. - Therefore, I expect that it will face demand in the Buyer Zone and continue its growth with the failure of the middle of the channel up to the ceiling of the ascending channel. In addition, after breaking the ascending channel, it will have the ability to reach the red box area (supply area). So this bullish wave is wave 3 or big C, which will have the ability to grow up to the indicated ranges. 💎 Alternative scenario: If the Buyer Zone is broken and stabilizes below it, it can touch the 0.23 Fibo range again. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« OKX:FTMUSDT
Long
by alikze
4
Bitcoin Analysis - The big pictureLooking at the BTC 4H here. We see that the price is currently hitting the H4 Key Level and safety zone and rejecting from there strongly. Based on the price action, I feel we're on the move down with the strong rejection. The price is likely to test the trendline, and bounce back, try a retest of the key level. Depending on whether the price is able to break the retest or not, we will see a new move to the either side. There are some good scalping opportunities during this move that one can take using the smaller time frames till we see a clear direction from BTC. Currently, I'm waiting on a confirmation pattern or a price action to confirm the move to the downside. All we see right now is a rejection from the key levels. It is also possible that BTC will retry to break the zone again which is why a confirmation pattern is really important to take a trade. Just a simple analysis. I'll be doing a deeper one later when I have some time. Hope this helps and happy trading!
by MoneyChartz
Bitcoin - Time to buy again!Currently, it can be said that Bitcoin has completed its fourth corrective wave and from now on, the price can be expected to rise to the top of the triangle. If the triangle breaks, we expect a new ATH to occur, but in new year. Recently analysis (Daily) And (weekly) ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
1
Bitcoin can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago entered to upward channel, where it soon reached the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, but at once bounced and made a correction to the support line of the channel. Next, the price continued to move up and finally broke the 64900 level, and later reached the channel's resistance line again. But then BTC turned around and started to decline, so, soon, the price broke the resistance level one more time and exited from the upward channel. After this, the price continued to fall inside the downward pennant, where it first fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. When BTC fell to this level, it at once broke it, some time traded near the buyer zone, and then declined to support line of the pennant. Next, it turned around and rose higher than the 61200 level in a short time, breaking it again, and soon reaching the resistance line of the pennant. A not long time ago, BTC exited from pennant and now it continues to grow. For this case, I think that the price can make a small movement down and then continue to grow to the resistance level. That's why I set my TP at the 64900 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
3
07/10/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $65,605.03 Last weeks low: $59,829.32 Midpoint: $62,717.17 After geo-political escalations causing panic in the markets at the beginning of last week, BTC has been spending the second half of the week trying to recover losses. The 1D 200EMA came in as support midweek to cap the sell-off, a steady climb back up flipping the 4H 200EMA back to bullish and finally the week low reclaim in the dying hours of the week. This to me is very positive, showing strength in times of major uncertainty. Another outside force Bitcoin will encounter is the US presidential election, that is now less than one month away and definitely will sway traditional markets and crypto alike. This week we have some key data events: Wednesday - FOMC minutes As the unemployment data came in better than forecast, this could be a sign of further rate cuts to come in November, we may get some clues on this in the report. Thursday - CPI (YoY) Previous: 2.5% Forecast: 2.3% Actual:??? With CPI forecast to drop closer to the FEDs 2.0% target, anything lower than 2.3% would be positive for markets, 2,3% is probably priced in and anything above would be negative for markets. Friday - PPI (MoM) Previous: 0.2% Forecast: 0.1% Actual:??? Similar story in PPI as CPI, forecasts are for another drop and markets could react similarly to what's stated above. Data events can be a non-event but now that the rate cut cycle has begun and the US election is on the way these events are more important than ever.
by ProR35
Bitcoin Holds Around $63,580 After US Unemployment Rate DeclinesBitcoin (BTC) is trading around the $63,580 mark during Monday's opening session, following a significant drop in the US unemployment rate reported last Friday. This positive economic news has affected market sentiment, and Bitcoin, like many other assets, has reacted accordingly. The price of the cryptocurrency bounced off a key demand area, suggesting that it could be poised for further growth. A Key Demand Area Supports Bitcoin's Price The demand area where Bitcoin has found support indicates a potential base for the next bullish leg. After briefly dipping last week, BTC has responded positively to this zone, giving traders and investors hope for an upward move. Additionally, Bitcoin's price behavior appears to align with its seasonality trends, where historical data shows stronger performance during this period. COT Report: Retailers Bearish, Smart Money Turns Bullish An analysis of the Commitment of Traders (COT) report adds further weight to this outlook. Retail traders, who often represent smaller and less-informed market participants, remain in a bearish mood. This sentiment reflects uncertainty and hesitation among retail investors, which can often serve as a contrarian indicator in markets. Meanwhile, Smart Money—a term used to describe institutional investors and large market players—has switched to a bullish stance as of September, indicating their confidence in Bitcoin's future growth. Possible Continuation of the Bullish Trend Given the dynamics between Smart Money and retail traders, and with Bitcoin bouncing off a demand zone, a bullish continuation is increasingly likely. The combination of favorable seasonality, positive sentiment from institutional investors, and broader macroeconomic factors could fuel a sustained rally in Bitcoin in the weeks ahead. Conclusion: Bitcoin Poised for a Bullish Move As Bitcoin stabilizes around $63,580, market watchers are eyeing a potential bullish continuation in the near term. The shift in institutional sentiment, coupled with Bitcoin's reaction to a key demand area, suggests that BTC could be preparing for another upward push. Traders should monitor the market closely as positive momentum builds, particularly as Smart Money has already shifted to a more optimistic outlook. With favorable conditions aligning, Bitcoin may be ready for another strong move, making it an exciting time for both seasoned investors and new entrants into the crypto space. ✅ Please share your thoughts about BTCUSD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FOREXN1
1