Bearish Signals Ahead:Pattern Could Trigger a Downtrendhello guys.
let's analyze btc!
Pattern Formation: The chart shows a classic "Head and Shoulders" pattern, a bearish reversal indicator. The pattern consists of a left shoulder, head, and right shoulder.
Resistance Level: The recent price action reached a resistance zone, forming a double top near 69,000. This is a key level where sellers have shown strength.
Blue Zone (Engulfing Condition): If price can break and close above this blue highlighted area, it could indicate a possible bullish recovery.
Potential Downward Movement: If the pattern plays out as expected, and price breaks below the neckline support (around 66,500), it may confirm the downtrend, targeting lower levels.
Key Support Zone: The ultimate support is marked around 64,500, where buyers might look to enter if price declines.
long story short, get a short position and put your stoploss behind the blue area if your stoploss hits then change the strategy to long! until the $69020 area!
short target is $64503
Btc-e
$BTC Update - BULLISH!CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Testing $71,304, Looking bullish on 1D view, Previous weekly closed with a bullish pin bar following bullish engulfing on 1W, weekly view also looks good and ready for upside, support at $70,463 is to be tested yet, $69,296 key support here. $71,981 support required to test $73,344-$73,965. Watch given S/R
BTC Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Still Valid. It was supported by hitting the green box.
There is another possibility that Bitcoin will move towards the 76K-78K-80K areas without any special correction.
Do not enter a sell/short position without confirmation
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Analysis: Triangle Breakout with Bullish Potentialhello guys.
Pattern Breakout: Bitcoin appears to be breaking out of a triangle formation, a bullish signal that often suggests potential for upward momentum.
Flip Area: The support zone marked as the "flip area" around $67,200 acts as a strong support level.
Potential Scenarios:
Immediate Breakout: If Bitcoin holds above the triangle, it could make a direct move towards the upper target range around $71,000.
Retest and Bounce: There is also a possibility of a slight retracement, potentially down to the $67,200–$68,000 range, before bouncing and resuming the uptrend.
Resistance Target: The primary resistance level to watch is around $71,000, which aligns with a previously established high. Breaking above this could lead to further bullish momentum.
Outlook: The setup looks favorable for a bullish move, especially if Bitcoin maintains momentum above the triangle and key support levels.
BITCOIN TODAY - STILL THE KING OF THE CEREMONY (TA+TRADE PLAN)Price Levels and Resistance Zones:
The chart shows several key resistance and support levels marked by blue horizontal lines.
Major Resistance Levels:
$73,654.77
$71,552.73
$69,730.95
Support Levels:
$65,947.27
$60,061.54
$52,774.45
Bitcoin is currently trending upward, with price action near $70,734.95, approaching the resistance zone at $71,552.73.
VMC Cipher B Divergences:
The VMC Cipher B indicator shows bullish momentum with green dots, signaling possible upward continuation.
The RSI and Stochastic lines are also above mid-levels, suggesting continued bullish momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI (14, close) is at 77.25, indicating overbought conditions. This could mean a possible retracement or consolidation in the short term. However, a strong uptrend may continue if Bitcoin maintains support levels above 70.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Stochastic (14, 1, 3) is also at a high level, around 86.19, indicating overbought conditions. This aligns with the RSI and could signal a need for caution on long positions until the oscillator moves back to a neutral or oversold region.
HMA+ Histogram:
The histogram indicates some bullish divergence, but recent bars are turning red, signaling a potential pullback or pause in momentum. Monitoring this for further bearish signs is essential, especially if it crosses below zero.
Trading Plan
Short-Term Strategy:
Entry: Consider entering a long position on a pullback to support around $69,730.95 if bullish signals persist.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the $65,947.27 support level to limit potential downside risk.
Take-Profit: Target $71,552.73 as the primary take-profit level. If momentum remains strong and BTC breaks above $71,552.73, consider holding for $73,654.77.
Medium-Term Strategy:
Entry: Buy on confirmation of a breakout above $71,552.73 with strong volume.
Stop-Loss: A stop-loss slightly below the breakout level at $69,730.95.
Take-Profit: Set a take-profit target around $73,654.77. If Bitcoin breaches this, reassess the position for potential gains towards higher levels.
Risk Management:
Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of the trading account on each trade.
Trailing Stop: Implement a trailing stop if Bitcoin strongly surpasses $71,552.73, to lock in gains while allowing for additional upside.
Monitoring Indicators:
Keep an eye on RSI and Stochastic Oscillator for any signs of bearish divergence or weakening momentum.
Monitor VMC Cipher B for any shift in green dots to red, which could indicate potential retracement.
Overall Market Sentiment:
Given the current uptrend and approach to resistance, Bitcoin shows bullish sentiment. However, indicators suggest overbought conditions, so caution is advised.
Bitcoin strong growthAccording to the latest data that our team receives, we concluded that the global market maker has finished accumulating its three main assets: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , BITSTAMP:ETHUSD and BITSTAMP:SOLUSD . The main idea is to realize and lock in profits on these three assets and further profit spillover into altcoins. We expect that in October-November there will be a local growth, which will also trigger the growth of a number of altcoins (local market makers such as GSR, Wintermute and others will start playing out their plans on altcoins). Based on chart analysis, we expect Bitcoin to rise to the $70300-71200 area, which compares to the 1.5 and 1.618 Fibonacci levels respectively; we also consolidate above the 50 EMA. Among altcoins, BINANCE:WLDUSDT , BINANCE:APTUSD , COINBASE:BLASTUSD and COINBASE:DRIFTUSD look good. Expect localized growth on these assets!
Best wishes, Horban Brothers!
SCR → The dump continues. How far will the coin fall?BYBIT:SCRUSDT is in the dump phase after listing. The coin is losing 40% and is not going to stop yet. After a strong fall, the coin does not bounce back, but forms consolidation before a possible continuation of the fall...
The reasons for the cold reception in the cryptocurrency community are quite objective:
Rumors have surfaced that the founder took most of the coins from the amount allocated for airdrop, depriving active users, accordingly, people got few tokens... Criticism among the community regarding the design of the project. The Binance Launchpool whales got access to SCR early.
Technically, the picture on the chart also points to weakness... The coin is unable to form a pullback or correction and update the local high. It can be seen that the bears are creating a huge pressure...
Resistance levels: 0.9533
Support levels: 0.882, 0.8, 0.7
Accordingly, a retest of the resistance is possible before a further fall. It is not excluded, if the development team puts forward some announcement or news that can bribe speculators, in this case the coin can give a strong impulse upward, which will break the structure, but this is not the case yet.
The fall will continue after the support breakdown...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:SCRUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure Amid Tether InvestigationIf you didn’t purchase BTC before the last rally:
Now Bitcoin's recent performance may be overshadowed by growing concerns surrounding the stability of the cryptocurrency market, particularly in light of the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) launching a criminal investigation into Tether, the issuer of the popular stablecoin USDT.
According to reports from the Wall Street Journal, this investigation, spearheaded by the U.S. attorney’s office in Manhattan, is examining potential violations of sanctions and anti-money laundering regulations.
Tether has been a crucial component of the cryptocurrency ecosystem, as its dollar-pegged stablecoin is widely used for trading and liquidity across numerous exchanges. Any negative developments in the investigation could undermine confidence in USDT, leading to broader implications for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that rely on stablecoins for stability and transaction efficiency.
Investors may become increasingly wary, fearing that regulatory actions could restrict Tether's operations or even jeopardize its ability to maintain its peg to the U.S. dollar. A loss of faith in USDT could trigger panic selling, as traders might rush to liquidate their positions in Bitcoin and other assets, leading to increased volatility and downward pressure on prices.
The scrutiny surrounding Tether could prompt regulators to examine other stablecoins and cryptocurrency projects more closely, adding to the uncertainty and potential for further regulatory crackdowns. This environment of increased regulatory oversight could deter new investors from entering the market and may lead existing investors to reassess their positions.
Whether to challenge the ATH is the point of interest
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing an upward breakout of the 1st section.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the 68393.48-69031.99 section and rise to around 71280.01.
If it shows a sharp rise, it is expected to touch around 73000.0.
If it rises above 70148.34, the StochRSI indicator is expected to rise to around 50, so you should be careful about volatility.
---------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT.P 1h chart)
When viewed with the Linear Regression Channel indicator that automatically draws parallel channels, it shows an upward breakout of the upper part of the channel.
Accordingly, when entering the channel, we need to check at what point support and resistance will be shown.
Currently, it is expected to check whether support is found by touching the 69020.1-69332.4 section or the 70168.8-70320.3 section.
The 5EMA of the 1D chart is rising to around 68447.9.
The next volatility is likely to occur when touching the 5EMA of the 1D chart.
If it touches the 70168.8-70320.3 section and falls, the 68447.9 point is expected to be the liquidation point.
-
Have a good time. Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTC/USD 4H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the current BTC situation considering the four-hour interval. In this situation, we can see the price rebounding from the downtrend line and continuing to rise.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $71,389
T2 = $72,135
T3 = $73,533
T4 = $75786
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $68,616
SL2 = $67,857
SL3 = $67,284
SL4 = $66,576
SL5 = $65,516
Bitcoin consolidation almost doneCRYPTOCAP:BTC has touched the DOWNTREND line six times these past few weeks. This tends to be bullish as the more times it hits the weaker the downtrend gets, eventually giving way to a rally.
This #BTC peak is very different than the last two, by far. Worth noting, the longer it consolidates the BIGGER the move is likelier to be.
#Bitcoin needs GOOD volume to upside to confirm.
10/28 Confirmed yearly bull flag. Overview :
The AMEX:SPY closed the week lower, breaking a six-week winning streak that had started just before the first rate cut. NASDAQ:QQQ managed to stay green, hovering near an all-time high. Last week, the Fed reported 738,000 new home sales and 3.84 million existing home sales. Notably, while existing home sales are declining in a descending triangle pattern, new home sales have been forming an ascending triangle—signaling diverging trends in housing demand.
The job market showed resilience, with jobless claims lower than the last two readings, indicating improvement. However, this job strength could complicate rate cuts since the Fed targets stable inflation around 2%. This week brings major data releases: Tuesday’s job openings, Wednesday’s Q3 GDP, and Thursday’s and Friday’s PCE, Core PCE, and the U.S. unemployment rate. Expect a quieter start to the week but brace for potential volatility in the latter half.
According to the CME tool, the likelihood of no rate cut has dipped to 1.1%. This rate cut probability has fluctuated widely over the past two weeks, from 13% to 1%, making it crucial to understand how the CME calculates this metric:
1.Market Data: Fed Funds futures prices reflect market expectations for Fed rate changes.
2.Probability Calculation: The tool derives implied rate change probabilities from the difference between current rates and futures prices.
3.Assigning Probabilities: Each possible outcome—rate cut, hike, or no change—is assigned a probability based on the futures data.
CME Group holds a key position in financial markets, having formed from the merger of major exchanges: the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), and Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX). This vast network underscores why CME’s Fed tool is a pivotal reference for understanding rate expectations.
In the crypto world, ETFs, especially those from BlackRock, have been on a BTC buying spree, significantly outpacing their usual purchase amounts four out of five trading days last week—continuing a pattern that began on October 14. Since then, BTC has climbed from the key level of $62.8k to around $69k, although other institutional players remain less active. This is reminiscent of BlackRock’s February buying spree, which saw BTC rise from $52 k to $61k in just two weeks, with BlackRock averaging $600 million in BTC purchases daily. We’re watching this as a potential signal, though no one’s showing similar interest in ETH ETFs, not even BlackRock, who seems to have stopped DCAing into it.
BTC TA :
W : The week ended with a small red candle, a relatively calm finish considering BTC is nearing $70k. Could this set us up for a breakout ahead of election results and potential rate cuts?
D : Volatility hit hard last week, as anticipated. After a rally to $69k, Friday saw a dip, but big players defended the $66.5k level. Zooming out, BTC’s price rejected the upper bound of a year-long bullish flag, confirming the breakout on October 16 and reducing fake-out risks. However, there are currently no bullish divergences across MACD, RSI, CVD, or OBV.
4h : The recent triple divergence has been cleared, with no new divergences appearing.
1h : Overbought RSI and a shooting star at Monday's open signal a short-term correction, with support at $68.2k and $67.7k.
Alts Relative to BTC : ETH remains in a consolidation phase, still far from breaking all-time highs like BTC. SOL has been tracking BTC's moves more closely, while NEAR
is close to its yearly low of $3.8. Meanwhile, SUI, APT, and TAO saw 20%-30% corrections last week.
Bull Case : We’re breaking out of a year-long bull flag, potentially en route to $100k, with BlackRock leading the charge. Trump appears likely to win, the CME tool shows only a 1% chance of no rate cut, and gold is on the rise. Unless gold crashes, BTC might hold steady.
Bear Case : Is this just another bull trap set by market makers?
Fear and Greed Index : 54 – Neutral. We may see a shift to greed if BTC breaks above $73k.
Bitcoin is mainting strong bullish momentumHey traders,
BTC price was rejected from a major weekly level at 69566 and retraced back to another major level which is 67355 and consolidated building a strong market structure then the priced flactuated between minor levels up and down the 1H 66398 and 68844 where the actual price is stuck now during the Chicago and New York sessions. There is a high probability that the price could reach a main level which is the Weekly level of 69566 but be cautious the price might reject back and look for the daily level 67346.
In case the price breaks the weekly level of 69566, should you wait for a pullback then long only for long positions targetting the 71591.
Keep a close eye on the chart and happy trading!
Bitcoin Eyes $75K as Double Bottom Pattern ConfirmsBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has recently formed a double bottom pattern on its price chart, confirming a significant reversal in trend and strengthening bullish sentiment among investors. The two base levels of this pattern correspond to $49,000 and $51,000, signaling a potential target of $75,000. This technical formation, resembling a "W," is often a precursor to substantial uptrends, giving further weight to the positive momentum building around BTC.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Indicators Line Up for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
The double bottom pattern on Bitcoin’s chart suggests that the asset has completed its downtrend, with the recent breakout above the previous peak indicating further upside potential. Currently trading at $69,000, CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears set for continued upward momentum. Beyond the double bottom, additional bullish patterns are forming: a “Three White Soldiers” candlestick formation, consisting of three consecutive bullish candlesticks, and the possible emergence of a golden cross, a pattern where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. These indicators, when combined, paint a powerful picture of a market ready to climb higher.
With the next resistance zone between $72,000 and $75,000, a push above this range could ignite a rally with a new target of $100,000. BTC’s movement above key moving averages and the clustering of bullish patterns provides robust technical evidence for this optimistic trajectory.
Institutional Inflows and Rising Adoption
Bitcoin’s technical setup is bolstered by strong fundamental support, especially with heightened interest from institutional investors. Over the past month, Bitcoin’s capital inflows surged by 3.3% to $21.8 billion, reflecting increased investor confidence. This influx has driven Bitcoin’s Realized Capitalization to a substantial $646 billion, signaling a shift in sentiment as institutional players show renewed interest in the crypto asset.
Adding to the bullish momentum, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $998 million from October 21 to October 25, with BlackRock’s IBIT leading with a massive $1.15 billion inflow. Although the ARK 21Shares ARKB ETF experienced a $206 million outflow, the overall demand for Bitcoin ETFs remains strong. By comparison, Ethereum spot ETFs reported a net inflow of $78.89 million during the same period, underscoring the sustained institutional focus on Bitcoin as a long-term investment vehicle.
A Super Cycle in the Making?
As adoption rates increase and Bitcoin’s narrative shifts towards becoming a global reserve asset, some analysts believe that BTC may be entering a “super cycle.” This concept suggests that Bitcoin could break free from its historical four-year cycles, moving toward more sustainable growth patterns that align with traditional financial assets. With adoption, institutional interest, and hash power surging, Bitcoin is gradually maturing into a critical component of the financial landscape.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s recent double bottom pattern, combined with strong technical indicators and substantial fundamental support, points to an imminent rally. With BTC’s current trading levels and the critical $75,000 resistance in sight, a breakout could signal a larger upward movement, potentially reaching $100,000.
As Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) moves closer to integrating with mainstream financial markets, the bullish sentiment appears well-founded, driven by both technical and fundamental indicators that suggest BTC’s next chapter could redefine its role in global finance.
ANALYSIS | Crypto by MARKET CAPAs of time of posting, according to a reliable website the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap are as follow:
1) Bitcoin / BYBIT:BTCUSDT
2) Ethereum / BINANCE:ETHUSDT
3) Tether / COINBASE:USDTUSD
4) Binance Coin / BINANCE:BNBUSDT
5) Solana / BINANCE:SOLUSDT
6) US Dollar Coin / KRAKEN:USDCUSD
7) XRP / BINANCE:XRPUSDT
8) Dogecoin / BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
9) Tron / BINANCE:TRXUSDT
10) Toncoin / OKX:TONUSDT
11) Cardano / BINANCE:ADAUSDT
12) Avalanche / BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
You can find and track this easily by searching "Cryptocurrencies by market cap" or something in that line.
On the charts you will see the king - Bitcoin, as well as TOTAL (total cryptocurrency market cap) which is currently at 2.28T, and at the bottom right TOTAL3 (total cryptocurrency market cap without BTC and ETH), currently at 6.19B.
It's important to note that BTC determines the general direction of the altcoin market, but Cryptocurrencies do not necessarily move together with traditional assets such as stocks. That's why it's important to determine the macro trend before trying to analyze any individual coin. This is especially true for crypto's with a higher market cap. As you begin to look at altcoins that have smaller or micro market caps, they tend to dump/pump unexpectedly without moving together with BTC.
You'll often notice that the top 5-8 alts have similar chart patterns to BTC. Although they do still move within their unique support/resistance zones, it's safe to say that when you see a H&S on Bitcoin, you'll probably see it on the large-cap coins as well. I will say this - it's not the case for XRP and ADA. (I'm surprised to see they still hold such high positions in the ranks and I have a hard time identifying the potential reason for this other than old bag-holders/cult following).
With this info, you can conclude to a range of different outcomes, including but not limited to:
🥠 Using crypto as a hedge against traditional assets
🥠Using microcaps as a hedge against BTC
🥠 Microcaps carry more risk
That all being said - trading is risky, and crypto particularly more so. Even hedging doesn't guarantee safety when it comes to crypto.
____________________________
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up to $72500, exiting from wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once fell to support line, breaking $57900 level.
Then price in a short time ros to this level, broke it again, and made retest, after which continued to move up.
Later BTC rose to $65900 level, turned around, and declined lower support line, thereby exiting from rising channel.
After this, price continued to move up inside wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $65900 level.
Soon, price broke this level, and rose to resistance line, after which made a correction and now continues to grow.
In my mind, BTC can bounce up from support line to $72500, exiting from wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Bitcoin will exit from pennant and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price traded below support 2, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this level. Then price tried to grow more, but failed and dropped to the trend line, breaking support 2 one more time. After this movement, the price entered the pennant, where it made at once a strong impulse up, breaking support 2 again. Then price continued to move up and later reached support 1. Price some time traded near this level, then broke it and some time traded inside one more support zone. Next, BTC little grew and then dropped below 1st support level, breaking it again, but soon turned around and backed up to the support zone (68200 - 67700). After this, the price bounced down to the trend line, after which turned around and rebounded up to the resistance line of the pennant and now trying to exit from this pattern. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will exit from the pennant, make a retest, and continue to move up. That's why I set my goal at 71000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USDT weekly chart. The BTC/USDT weekly chart shows a potential flag pattern formation, which could signal a continuation of the previous bullish trend if BTC moves upwards.
The price is consolidating within a descending parallel channel, which is typical for flag patterns after strong upward movements. This could signal a potential continuation if BTC breaks above the channel.
The green area around $39,000 – $43,000 remains a crucial support level, providing a base to hold if BTC retreats.
The yellow moving averages provide guidance and may align with BTC’s upward trend if it stays above the channel.
If BTC successfully breaks above the upper boundary of the flag, it could resume its upward trajectory, potentially targeting the next resistance levels. However, if it fails to break out, a retreat to lower support levels is likely.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
28/10/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $69,526.58
Last weeks low: $65,268.55
Midpoint: $67,397.56
2021's ATH of $69,000 was once again broken last week, that makes it the 8th time this year BTC has broken through that level. Each and every time so far price has rejected off without price acceptance above it.
We are now 7 days away from the US election, with Trump in the lead in the polls and Wall Street preparing for another Trump presidency I expect to see crypto start to push on after the 8 month chop. The plan for a Bitcoin strategic reserve and favourable law-making towards the crypto market is a positive.
We also have the FTX distribution in 2 weeks, that's $16B coming back into the market, perhaps not all of it will stay in crypto but even if a portion of that remains that will be a significant boost to buyside pressure.
All in all BTC is in good shape currently, I would like to see acceptance above the all important $69,000 level by the end of the week setting us up well for the US election. Obviously what happens there is unknown until we get the result and typically fear can be negative for the markets so maybe we don't see acceptance this week but I am confident that the R:R at current price looks good with many signals showing growth is likely going into the end of Q4.