BTC enters the parabolic stage of the bullmarketPredicting the tops and bottoms of Bitcoin - in a macro sense - is not that easy. But some indicators can give us a clue or kind of sense of caution warning when to exit or enter the market.
One of them is the "MVRV Z" indicator. It is a chart indicator that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where BTC is extremely over or undervalued relative to its "fair value".
Historically it has been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realised value. It also shows when market value is far below realised value, highlighted by the green lines. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns.
This chart indicator is generally useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where price may need to pull back when the score enters the upper red hot periods and also when price may rally after spending time in the lower green band.
Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks.
So far BTC has done a great job holding in the middle value band. It's in the stage of taking the next leap breaking out of it to the upside completing the bullmarket, also referring to past historical breakouts which happenend in similar fashion after a long lasting bearmarket.
Btc-e
READY FOR A NEW ATH ❇️♨️ READY FOR A NEW ATH AND CYCLE COMPLETION? ♨️❇️
📊 Latest #Bitcoin Analysis by #Bersipa 📊
🔥 After months of detailed trend analysis, today—December 23, 2024—we bring you the latest update. The analysis suggests Bitcoin is heading toward a new All-Time High and the final cycle peak in the next year!
🔰 Suggested Plan:
✅ Buy Zone: Accumulate in the FWB:83K – GETTEX:92K range over multiple levels.
✅ Sell Zone: Sell 40% at $112K–$124K (two levels). Hold the remaining 20% at your own risk until $138K, then sell.
🔺️ Disclaimer:
⛔️ All trades are made at the trader's own risk.
⛔️ Futures trading based on this or any analysis is highly risky.
📌 Timeline:
While no exact dates can be guaranteed, we anticipate achieving the new ATH and completing the cycle within five months.
🚀 Stay tuned for more updates and trade responsibly!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #ATH
DNX/USDT: Bottom Formation with 3-Wave 111% ExpansionHere's a professional TradingView analysis for Dynex/USDT:
DYNEX/USDT Analysis - Potential 111% Growth Setup
Pattern Setup:
• Bottom formation confirmed at 0.215
• Triple target structure identified
• 4H timeframe showing reversal signals
Key Price Levels:
🎯 Entry Zone: 0.2150-0.2200
🎯 TP1: 0.3250 (+50%)
🎯 TP2: 0.4000 (+80%)
🎯 TP3: 0.4750 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.2000 (-8%)
Wave Structure:
1. First impulse targeting 0.32 zone
2. Second wave aiming for 0.40 resistance
3. Final wave projection to 0.47 area
Volume Analysis:
• Declining volume in downtrend
• Potential accumulation phase beginning
• Watch for volume confirmation on breakout
Risk Management:
• R:R Ratio for TP1: 1:6.25
• R:R Ratio for TP2: 1:9.5
• R:R Ratio for TP3: 1:13.9
Key Invalidation Points:
• Break below 0.20 invalidates setup
• Weekly close below entry zone cancels pattern
• Failure to break TP1 requires position review
Trade Management:
1. Scale in: 0.21-0.22 zone
2. Move stop loss to break even after TP1
3. Trail stops for remaining position
4. Take partial profits at each TP
Timeframe:
Position duration expected 4-6 weeks into early 2025
Note: This forecast based on technical analysis. Always manage risk appropriately and DYOR.
#Crypto #DYNEX #USDT #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
BTC : All Time High IN - OR Multimonth Playout?Bitcoin has begun a steep drop, and it's likely that the ATH is priced in. This fits my previous idea that the ATH would either be just over or just under 100k.
There is, ofcourse, another option as well - a continuation over the next few months. This is likely if the price of BTC follows a fractal of the previous cycle. It would become likely if we see a strong bounce around the 81-82K zone, pushing us up into the 90's.
But, at the moment, I'm leaning towards the idea that the ATH is in.
It would also makes sense for the ATH to be in, from an Elliot Wave Theory perspective, since we've made a perfect 5 waves. If this is indeed the case, we can look forward to a few more rallies in the altmarket.
_______________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
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BTC on 6h chart Hello, my dear friends!🫶 I’m so happy to see You here again! I’m especially grateful for Your feedback—some of You mentioned, that were waiting for me and missed me.🥲 Your words truly touched my heart—thank You so much!😊 I’m thrilled to be drawing charts for You once again; every post I share here holds a piece of my soul. Thanks for Your support—it means the world to me!💋
🔴 We’re currently sitting between a major resistance level (a trendline dating all the way back to 2017) and strong support at 72,000.🔴
The price is at a fascinating crossroads: if the 96–94–93 levels hold and the price consolidates there, we could see a climb toward the significant resistance zone (marked by the pink 🟣 dot) at 107–108k. From there, it’ll be crucial to watch closely—if the price breaks through those levels with ease, a rally could be in the cards.🚀
However, if the 96–94–93–92 levels fail to hold, we’re likely in for a deeper correction. In that case, we could see the price drop to the support zones at 86k, or possibly even lower, to 77k–73k.📉
Thank You for being part of this amazing community—it’s a privilege to share ideas and grow alongside You all. No matter what the charts look like, stay focused, stay patient, and keep believing in your abilities. Success belongs to those who persevere.
Always sincerely yours, Kateryna 💙💛
ADA - Gearing Up for a Breakout?After an impressive rebound from the trend-based Fibonacci extension 1:1 at $0.7655, ADA has been consolidating between $0.92 and $0.85 for the past two days. As the new week begins, today's wOpen at $0.8834 is a critical support level, perfectly aligning with the key level at $0.8806. Holding above these levels reinforces a bullish outlook.
Key Insights and Trade Setups:
Support Zones to Watch:
$0.8834 (wOpen) and $0.8806 (Key Level).
Maintaining above these levels keeps the bullish structure intact.
Long Setup Options:
A great long opportunity was from today’s wOpen ($0.8834).
Alternatively, wait for a retracement to the golden pocket at $0.8877 of this current wave.
R:R: 2.5, a solid potential reward for the risk taken.
Target for Long Trades:
Aim for the Fibonacci 0.618 level at $0.9448, which aligns with the daily resistance level.
This zone also represents a high-liquidity area where short sellers may be forced to exit positions.
Pattern Confirmation:
The potential formation of an Adam and Eve pattern strengthens the bullish case. Confirmation comes above $0.9155, suggesting further upside.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will little correct and then start to move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price declined to the trend line and then started to grow, so, quickly later rose to the support level. this level was concerned with the support zone and soon BTC broke this level, after which made a retest and started to trades near this level. Later, the price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, after which made a correction to the support level and then in a short time backed up to the resistance level. Then the price continued to grow and soon reached the 103000 level and even broke it and then continued to move up. Bitcoin reached a new ATH and then turned around and made a correction movement, breaking the 103000 level one more time. Price fell to the trend line and then tried to grow, but failed and now continues to trades close to this line. In my opinion, BTCUSDT will decline below the trend line and then start to grow to the resistance zone. So, for this case, I set my goal at 105K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 VIEW FOR 2025
I'll analyze the key data points and patterns from this cryptocurrency market cap chart:
Key Market Data:
1. Opening Price Range: ~225.94B
2. High: ~338.55B
3. Low: ~117.39B
4. Current Price: ~329.83B
5. Change: +3.84B (+1.18%)
6. Volume: 32.33B
Historical Pattern Analysis:
2021:
- Started with steady uptrend
- Reached first major peak around May-September
- Volume during peak: 431.43B
- Price level: 343.46B (266.71% growth)
2022:
- Significant downtrend throughout the year
- Market bottomed out around mid-2022
- Consolidation phase began
2023:
- Marked by 343.46B level (464.19% reference)
- Generally sideways movement with gradual accumulation
- Started showing recovery signs in late 2023
2024:
- Strong upward momentum
- Current resistance level: 651.91B (marked as "SELL ATLS HERE PLEASE")
- Volume at recent peak: 73.16B
- Shows bullish trend with higher lows
Technical Indicators:
1. Major Resistance: 651.91B
2. Key Level: 343.46B (multiple touches)
3. Current Support: ~329.83B
4. Volume Profile: Decreasing from 2021 peak (431.43B) to current (73.16B)
Market Structure:
- Long-term downtrend line (yellow) from 2021 peak
- Current price action showing potential breakout
- 16-bar cycles marked at key points
- Market showing 107.62% growth potential to target
Future Projections (based on chart):
- Resistance target: 651.91B
- Time projection: Extended into 2025
- Potential breakthrough of long-term downtrend line
This analysis suggests we're in a significant accumulation phase with strong upward momentum, breaking previous resistance levels and showing signs of a potential larger market cycle beginning.
BITCOIN In Coming Days!As I mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin finally broke the wedge and the price turned bearish. However, now if the price can break the 0.618 Fibonacci line, it can rise up to 107k dollars.
previous analyses
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BETA/USDT: Descending Channel Setup | 575% Potential Return
BINANCE:BETA/USDT - 1W TIMEFRAME🎯
TRADE SETUP:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✦ CURRENT PRICE: $0.04446 (-2.92%)
✦ TARGET: $0.19071 (+575.85%)
✦ STOP LOSS: -10% (Marked in red)
✦ RISK:REWARD: 57:1
✦ VOLUME: 11.82M
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. PATTERN STRUCTURE:
• Trading within descending channel
• Double trend line resistance (black & blue)
• Clear support zone at channel bottom
• Potential reversal zone approaching
2. MARKET CONTEXT:
• Price near historical support
• Volume stabilizing at lows
• Channel compression point ahead
• Strong overhead resistance levels
3. PROJECTED MOVEMENT (White Line):
• Initial consolidation period
• Break above both trend lines
• Accelerated move to target zone
• Multiple retests expected
STRATEGY EXECUTION:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ENTRY PLAN:
• Base entry near current levels
• Add on trend line breaks
• Final position on volume confirmation
RISK MANAGEMENT:
• Clear -10% stop loss defined
• Cut losses if channel support breaks
• Scale out at resistance levels
IMPORTANT DATES:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
• Pattern completion: Early 2025
• Target timeframe: Late 2025 - Early 2026
• Critical support test: Q1 2025
RISK DISCLOSURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Trading involves substantial risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
#BETA #TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto #TradingView #CryptoTrading
Tags: @TradingView
Note: The stop loss level is clearly defined at -10%, providing a precise risk management point for this high-reward setup.
DAR/USDT: Major Historical Levels Analysis| NEXT 1100% PotentialBINANCE:DAR/USDT - 1D TIMEFRAME 🎯
MARKET STRUCTURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✦ CURRENT PRICE: $0.13873 (-2.07%)
✦ FIRST TARGET: $0.74760 (+525%)
✦ ULTIMATE TARGET: $1.65318 (+1,100%)
✦ TIMEFRAME: Daily/Long-term
TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. HISTORICAL CONTEXT:
• Price at multi-year support level
• Significant consolidation since May 2023
• Major historical resistance levels marked
2. KEY PRICE LEVELS:
• Current Support: ~$0.13-0.14
• First Major Resistance: $0.74760
• Second Major Resistance: $1.65318
3. VOLUME PROFILE:
• Current Volume: 29.45M
• Low volume consolidation phase
• Potential accumulation period
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
LONG-TERM POTENTIAL:
• Two major upside targets identified
• Historical resistance levels as targets
• Significant upside potential from current levels
RISK CONSIDERATIONS:
• Current downtrend needs reversal confirmation
• Volume increase needed for momentum
• Extended consolidation possible
ENTRY STRATEGY:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
• Wait for reversal confirmation
• Look for volume expansion
• Consider scaling in on breakout confirmations
RISK DISCLOSURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Trading involves substantial risk. This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
#DAR #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTrading
Tags: @TradingView
Note: The significant upside targets are based on historical price levels. Always use proper risk management and position sizing.
23/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $108,403.98
Last weeks low: $92,261.97
Midpoint: $100,332.98
Last week we saw a swing fail pattern (SFP) of the week previous' high. Ever since then it's been a steady sell off throughout the week, mostly thanks to JPows FOMC statements despite a 25bps cut as forecast. BTC is now battling the 4H 200 EMA for the first time since the US election, a much needed pullback or the start of a further sell-off?
Going into the holidays we should expect a lower volume as whales take some time off, retail will remain as crypto is shilled to family members over Christmas dinner so the market will continue to be interesting. The 4H 200 EMA is a key battleground, I would have hoped to see a better reaction off the moving average initially but maybe this is bad timing due to the holidays and lower volume, or the reluctance to open new trades while markets are shut etc.
This week is obviously quiet in terms of data releases, there are various token unlocks ENA, IMX, FET and burns for some key altcoins such as ISP & BONK. I think the general consensus is that normal service will resume in January once everything opens back up.
So for this week it's probably better to set alerts for key areas you want to get involved in, planning for when volume returns to the markets and when Trump takes office too.
Merry Christmas to all and good luck!
according to 1hr time frame,
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
- **Sell Entry**: 2639
- **1st Target**: 2619 (Profit: 20 points)
- **2nd Target**: 2606 (Profit: 33 points from entry)
For better risk management, consider setting a **stop-loss** above a nearby resistance level (e.g., 2645 or 2650, depending on volatility).
BTC/USDT Analysis. Bitcoin is trading within an ascending channel but showing signs of weakness near $95,660. Here's the breakdown:
$90,000–$92,500 remains critical for a potential bounce. A retest of this area could form a double bottom pattern.
$97,500 (minor resistance) and $105,000 (upper channel boundary) are the key targets for any bullish continuation.
A breakdown below $90,000 could lead BTC toward $85,000 or even $77,500 (major demand zone).
Watch for price action near $90,000 for a possible reversal or continuation to lower levels. Volume and momentum indicators will be crucial to confirm the next move.
DYOR, NFA
@Peter_CSAdmin
BITCOIN Are you scared enough? Or need to see more pain?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since October 11) and is rebounding. The first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt on Friday, when the price came close to the MA50 again and rebounded aggressively. This is a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends.
The key Support level during BTC Bull Cycles however is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been supporting since March 2023 and was successfully tested (and held) twice on August 05 and September 06, the last of which was technically the start of the current Bullish Leg.
** The Fibonacci Channel Up **
Bullish Legs are technically part of Channels and this time is no different as Bitcoin has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 21 2021.
As you can see, we have classified the price action on this pattern in Phases, each of whom trades within one range upwards, which is why the Fibonacci Channel succeeds at accurately displaying BTC's current logarithmic rise during this Cycle.
** The Phases and the high symmetry **
Phase 1 (blue Channel) traded within the Fib 0.0 - 1.0 range, Phase 2 (green Channel) within the Fib 0.5 - 1.5 range and we expect a 3rd one, Phase 3 (red Channel) to trade within the Fib 1.0 - 2.0 range.
As you may assume, there is high symmetry between sequences, Legs and pull-backs within this pattern and the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to record +100% rises. More specifically, both the April 14 2023 and January 11 2024 Highs of +100% rallies, then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level, the first didn't hit it, the second almost did.
** Will we test the 1D MA100? **
But that is the rally that displays the most similarities with the current one and after hitting its 1D MA50, it broke even lower and only found Support and bounced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). You can see even how identical their 1D RSI sequences are, which are Channel Down patterns that started showing a bearish divergence much earlier than the top.
Right now the RSI is holding the 45.00 neutral level, but the January 2024 and the 2023 fractals turned into a buy on the key 36.00 level, which is bearish territory. Even though Bull Cycles tend to get more and more aggressive as we approach the end of the Cycle and ignore previous Support levels, the 1D MA100 is currently at $79250 and rising, indicating that it can 'meet' the price on lower levels than currently, assuming how quickly the RSI also hits 36.00 (any of the two conditions hits first, the cyclical buy signal can be valid).
** The remainder of the Bull Cycle **
Beyond that, we expect the next High, as we've already entered Phase 3, to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension (as March 13 2024 was) and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci ext at a price of $150000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel. After that, you can see that both Phase 1 and 2 started multi-month Accumulation phases with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again and as Phase 3 concludes (and possibly the whole Bull Cycle), we may see another +100% rally and a possible Top at $200000.
So for the current situation the key question is as mentioned on the title: 'Are you scared enough?' now the 1D MA50 has been tested? Because we may very well drop as low as the 1D MA100 before the Fear & Greed Index turns market sentiment to 'Fear' again and makes the majority misjudge the market activity as they always have.
What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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#DGB/USDT Ready to launch upwards#DGB
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.0111
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 0.01234
First target 0.01305
Second target 0.01358
Third target 0.1432
BTC ( Bitcoin ) will first need a correctionBitcoin will first need a correction and then continue its upward trajectory.
Given the current situation, it should correct to the highlighted area to evacuate sellers and bring in new buyers.
This support area is quite strong and has the intersection of two strong technical supports.
After that, it will either grow rapidly or, after a little bit of suffering and attracting liquidity from new buyers, it will start to grow incrementally.
If you have followed my ideas, you will see that they always point to the desired point and have a correct prediction trend.
BITCOIN Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN has formed a
Bearish flag pattern and
Then made a breakout and
A retest and now we are
Seeing a move down again
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Bullish tendency is broken 101-102K for sellingMorning folks,
So, BTC was not able to stay above predefined support area and drop right back to the daily 92-95K level. It means that existing bullish context on daily chart is done. In general, this is reasonable - we're going to the Xmas Holidays and inauguration. There are a lot of uncertainty with coming D. Trump policy. Especially when JPowell said that the Fed doesn't intend to own any BTC... so inner conflict is ready.
So, retracement might be deeper in nearest month. Since BTC is overextended down a bit, the first thing we expect upside technical bounce, somewhere to 101-102K area. Then, if we're correct in our analysis, downside reversal should happen with potential H&S pattern.
XRP – Bullish Flag Pattern Suggests Further Upside PotentialTechnical Overview:
Bullish Flag Formation: XRP is consolidating within a bullish flag pattern, typically indicative of a continuation of its prior uptrend.
Previous Rally: After surging from $0.60 to nearly $2.80, XRP has demonstrated strength by consistently holding support above $2.40, signaling accumulation rather than distribution.
Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout Point: A breakout above the flag's upper trendline, accompanied by increased volume, could confirm the bullish setup.
Targets:
Initial target: $3.00-$3.20, aligning with measured moves from the flag pattern.
Longer-term potential: Continuation above $3.20 could open doors to further price discovery.
Supporting Factors:
Long-Term Base: XRP’s breakout earlier in 2024 from a long-term base adds strength to the current bullish setup.
Volume Confirmation: Increased trading volume during the breakout would validate buyer interest and bolster the bullish case.
Risk Management:
Key Support: Maintaining support above $2.40 is critical for the bullish thesis. A breakdown below this level could signal invalidation of the pattern.
Conclusion: XRP's bullish flag pattern indicates potential continuation of its prior uptrend. A breakout above the flag's trendline with volume confirmation could set sights on $3.00-$3.20 and beyond, reinforcing Ripple’s strong bullish potential heading into 2024.