BITCOIN All indicators aligned for an incredible 12-month rallyBitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above its 7-month Bearish Megaphone pattern, which was essentially the pattern that absorbed via a relief pull-back the incredible rally that the market had since October 2023, fueled at large by the ETF speculation and then launch.
** Bearish Megaphones inside 7-year Channel Up **
This pattern is, as you can see, part of a greater 7-year Channel Up that encompasses the last two Cycles of BTC. Halfway through the 2018 - 2021 Cycle, the market also had a Bearish Megaphone, a little larger, lasting for 12 months before the price broke above it.
** The importance of the 1W MA50 **
That bullish break-out came when the price regained the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and until the Cycle Top, it was never compromised again. In an amazing display of Cycle symmetry, Bitcoin is also being supported by the 1W MA50 right now (has been since the March 13 2023 weekly candle), in fact it was successfully tested and held 3 times since August 05 2024.
** MACD Bullish Cross **
The Megaphone break-out and the 1W MA50 support aren't the only bullish indicators that point to a heavy price increase next. Perhaps the most important of all is the (L) MACD Bullish Cross on, also on the 1W time-frame, the first such formation in a whole year (since October 23 2023). This is a huge development as it comes after 7 months of non-bullish price action, indicating a shift in trend.
** Can the top be at $200k or above? **
When all those indicators were aligned in mid 2020, BTC kick started the 2nd, final and most aggressive Rally of its Cycle. It was +65% stronger than the 1st Rally. As a result, we may experience in the next 12 months a rally of +615% (65% greater than the +373% 1st Rally).
But if this seems too great without a catalyst like the ETF launch was in January, even if BTC replicates the bullish price action of November 2022 - March 2024, it will still hit the $200k mark. What history has shown at least, is that we can stay bullish, until a 1W candle closes below the 1W MA50, whether that's at 100k, 150k or 200k and above.
So what do you think about this triple bullish combo? Is it enough to initiate a 12-month rally? And if so, what is your target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Btc-e
ETH AIMING HIGHS - ETHEREUM SWING LONG OPPURTUNITY The price ran the weekly liquidity, hit the monthly demand, and was rejected there. Afterward, it created a weekly bullish upward momentum.
Currently, the price is sitting on the bullish daily demand zone responsible for the weekly uptrend over the past few days. We are also within the Fibonacci equilibrium, indicating that the price is at a discount.
I’ll be targeting the purple levels in the coming weeks.
69.3-69.5K is a key to the next directionMorning folks,
So, last time we said to not hurry up with the new long entry and then BTC has re-tested our 65.5K support area where we got nice long entry earlier.
At first glance BTC looks nice bullish performance, but it is clearly slowing. D. Trump crypto programme has done its job and totally priced-in. Its impact is exhausting. If D. Trump will take the office we could get jump in a moment, but it mostly will be a psychological reaction.
Now we would say that both directions have approx. similar chances. We have bullish and bearish patterns on different time scales. Thus, we suggest that 69.3-69.50K area will be the key to the next stop.
Upside breakout will lead BTC to action above 70K+ while "222" Sell, if it will work, probably will trigger deeper downside retracement.
So, make your bets with this issue in mind.
Bitcoin Predictions for 2025 & Beyond: Who’s Eyeing $1 Million?If one thing is certain on this earth, it’s that Bitcoin BTC/USD predictions are as volatile as the coin’s price. In this Idea, we’ve gathered some notable Bitcoin price predictions with their respective time stamps.
Teaser: it’s a diverse set of characters ranging from bullish Wall Street pros and tech visionaries to some (permabear) economists and professors. Let’s check it out!
Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) : $1 million
Cathie Wood is no stranger to making waves with her predictions. The risk-taking tech investor has said Bitcoin could reach a jaw-dropping $1 million by 2030, offering the stereotype attributes of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and increasing institutional adoption. Wood's more optimistic projection sees it soaring as high as $1.5 million in the same timeframe.
Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy CEO) : $1 million
Michael Saylor, the ultimate Bitcoin maxi (borderline Bitcoin fanatic) who believes in total Bitcoin dominance , has been accumulating Bitcoin for his coin-hoarding company’s reserves and predicts it will eventually hit $1 million, emphasizing its superiority as a store of value compared to fiat currencies and gold.
Chamath Palihapitiya (Venture Capitalist) : $1 million
Chamath Palihapitiya has previously suggested Bitcoin could eventually hit $1 million, driven by macroeconomic instability and as a hedge against traditional financial systems.
Robert Kiyosaki (Author of Rich Dad Poor Dad) : $500,000
Kiyosaki predicts Bitcoin could hit $500,000 by 2025 due to the collapse of fiat currencies and increasing inflation.
Mike Novogratz (Galaxy Digital) : $500,000
Mike Novogratz is riding the bullish wave as well, predicting Bitcoin will hit $500,000 within the next three years. He believes this surge will be driven by Bitcoin's fixed amount of tokens (21 million) and growing adoption.
Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss (Gemini Exchange Co-Founders) : $500,000
These crypto twins reiterate that Bitcoin could eventually reach $500,000 due to its potential to replace gold as a store of value.
Tim Draper (Venture Capitalist) : $250,000
Tim Draper has long maintained a prediction that Bitcoin could hit $250,000 by 2024, citing broader acceptance and institutional adoption not just of Bitcoin but the broader crypto market .
🏢 Institutional Investors and Their BTC Targets
Pantera Capital : $148,000
Crypto hedge fund Pantera Capital expects Bitcoin to rise to around $148,000 during the next four-year halving cycle (ending April 2028), based on historical trends.
JPMorgan : $45,000
Taking a more conservative stance, investment banking giant JPMorgan JPM projects a price target of $45,000, provided Bitcoin continues to gain acceptance as a risk-adjusted alternative to gold XAU/USD .
Standard Chartered : $120,000
Recently, UK-based bank Standard Chartered updated its forecast, predicting Bitcoin will rise to $120,000 by the end of 2024.
Bernstein Research : $150,000
Research firm Bernstein Research predicts Bitcoin could hit $150,000, largely due to ETF demand and supply reductions following the 2024 halving .
🎢 Other Bitcoin Believers and Their BTC Targets
Tom Lee (Fundstrat) : $180,000
Luke Broyles (Bitcoin advocate) : $3 million
Raoul Pal (Real Vision CEO) : $1 million
Adam Back (Blockstream CEO) : $500,000
Anthony Pompliano (Crypto Investor and Influencer) : $500,000
John McAfee (Programmer, Businessman) : $1 million
Mark Yusko (Morgan Creek Capital) : $250,000
🚀 Bitcoin Maxis with No Price Targets
Bill Miller (Billionaire Investor)
Miller has stated that Bitcoin could go much higher, without a precise target. He supports the belief that it will outperform traditional financial assets over the long term.
Paul Tudor Jones (Hedge Fund Manager)
Jones has likened Bitcoin to an early investment in tech stocks like Apple AAPL , implying that it has significant potential for value increase.
Stanley Druckenmiller (Billionaire Investor)
Druckenmiller has suggested that Bitcoin could be a "store of value" better than gold and expects its price to rise dramatically.
Jack Dorsey (CEO of Block, Co-Founder of Twitter)
Dorsey, another devoted Bitcoin proponent, hasn’t given an exact price prediction but has expressed strong belief that Bitcoin will become the currency of the internet, suggesting a massive increase in value.
🧸 The Permabears: Those Who Want to See Bitcoin Burn
Joseph Stiglitz - In contrast to the bullish predictions, Nobel Prize-winning Economist Stiglitz has argued that Bitcoin could be “worth just $100 by 2028.”
Kenneth Rogoff - Harvard professor and former chief economist at the IMF, Rogoff claims Bitcoin is more likely to be worth $100 than $100,000 by 2028.
Nouriel Roubini - An economist known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, Roubini has harshly criticized Bitcoin as a bubble and a "scam."
Bill Gates - The co-founder of Microsoft has expressed skepticism about Bitcoin and its ability to provide real value to the economy.
Warren Buffett - The legendary investor has famously referred to Bitcoin as "rat poison squared," expressing concerns about its lack of intrinsic value and speculative bubble characteristics.
Jamie Dimon - The CEO of JPMorgan Chase has repeatedly criticized Bitcoin, calling it a fraud and stating that it has no value.
Peter Schiff - An outspoken critic of Bitcoin and a proponent of gold, Schiff argues that Bitcoin is a bubble and that it will eventually collapse in value.
Larry Fink - The CEO of BlackRock has indicated he's no fan of Bitcoin, viewing it more as a speculative asset than a legitimate currency. More recently, after BlackRock launched the biggest spot Bitcoin ETF , Fink has warmed up to Bitcoin saying it’s a “legit financial instrument.”
Now, over to you: What’s your take? Is Bitcoin on a rocket ship to $1 million, or are the critics right to be cautious? Drop your thoughts—and favorite Bitcoin predictions—in the comments below!
Bitcoin UpdateHey hey,
Bitcoin finally managed to reach the top of the channel again and finally seems to have broken out of it.
The weekly chart provides a better view since we've now had 2 weekly candlesticks close above the upper channel line.
It's clear that price is now consolidating just below the $70k psychological barrier and it seems to be only a matter of time before we're slashing through and continue towards the ATH level.
I have really started to like looking at the BTC ETF flow data to combine it with the technical view and again it adds up to a positive scenario.
Net inflows have increased to a new ATH and have grown by 20% since my last update exactly a month ago in our community.
The coming week will evolve around the elections and I don't expect a significant move until the election outome is clear.
Overall, my picture is bullish but it comes down to the elections this 5th of nov.
BTCUSDT BREAKOUT OR REJECTION?🔹 Current Situation:
Bitcoin is once again testing the top of its long-standing channel, currently around $69,000. Here are the two primary scenarios to monitor:
🔹 Bullish Breakout Path:
If BTC successfully breaks through the channel top and clears the previous high of $69,600, it may initiate a move toward the $71,000–$72,000 zone. The expected sequence in this scenario is:
Initial test of the $69,600 high
Retest of the channel top as support
Strong rally toward the $71,000–$72,000 target zone
🔹 Bearish Breakdown Path:
On the downside, a break below $67,500 could signal weakness and shift momentum towards a deeper decline. In this case:
First Target: $63,700
🔹 Divergences:
Bearish divergences are forming across multiple timeframes, suggesting potential downside pressure if a breakout fails.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital.
BITCOIN is the KING and upward movement is highly expected!Technical analysis and trade plan by Blaž Fabjan
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels:
72,198.87 USDT
68,556.87 USDT
64,591.15 USDT
Support Levels:
66,333.98 USDT
61,758.48 USDT
60,301.68 USDT
56,902.49 USDT
The key levels indicate potential areas where price action could face resistance or find support, which might serve as entry or exit points.
Indicators:
Wave Cipher Divergences:
Wave Cipher shows divergences suggesting a possible upward momentum. Positive divergences with green dots could imply bullish continuation.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI currently reads 55.19, indicating a neutral zone, leaning slightly bullish if it moves towards 60. This suggests Bitcoin isn't overbought or oversold and could continue a gradual trend.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic shows a value around 70.52, close to the overbought region (above 80). If it breaks further upward, it may signal an overbought state, potentially leading to a correction.
Hull Moving Average (HMA):
HMA appears to trend slightly downwards, showing a bearish trend in the short term. The value of -6.58 indicates a bearish momentum, which may warn of a potential short-term pullback before any significant uptrend resumes.
Price Action:
The chart shows a potential breakout attempt around the 66,333.98 USDT level, where price action previously tested and retraced. A consolidation near this level could suggest that bulls are preparing for an upward push, especially if price breaks above 68,556.87 USDT.
Volume Analysis:
Volume shows a steady, moderate increase, supporting the upward trend. This moderate volume increase without large spikes could imply gradual accumulation rather than distribution.
Trading Plan
Long Position (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Consider entering a long position if the price breaks and holds above the 68,556.87 USDT resistance level with volume confirmation.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss slightly below the 66,333.98 USDT support level to mitigate risk in case of a false breakout.
Targets:
Target 1: 72,198.87 USDT — aligns with a strong resistance level and provides a conservative target.
Target 2: 75,553.67 USDT — the next significant resistance level, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Short Position (Bearish Scenario)
Entry: Consider shorting if the price fails to hold above 66,333.98 USDT and shows bearish confirmation, such as a breakdown with high volume.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss above 68,556.87 USDT to avoid risks from potential false breakdowns.
Targets:
Target 1: 61,758.48 USDT — a nearby support level that provides a logical take-profit point.
Target 2: 60,301.68 USDT — serves as a secondary target if the bearish trend strengthens.
Risk Management: Given the proximity to resistance and support levels, using a risk/reward ratio of 1:2 or higher is advisable to maintain favorable trade setups.
Monitor Divergences: Keep an eye on divergences in the Wave Cipher, RSI, and Stochastic Oscillator for potential trend reversals or continuations.
News and Market Sentiment: Be mindful of broader market sentiment and news events, as these can influence Bitcoin's price behavior, particularly near key levels.
This trading plan provides a structured approach to capitalize on potential breakouts or breakdowns, balancing both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Ethereum can't escape from bear grip, targets $882 firstThe price of the second largest cryptocurrency can't raise its head to catch up with
elder brother Bitcoin.
I detected three signs that the bear trend could resume soon.
1) price broke below 52-week (past 1 year) moving average and during retest it failed to break back above it;
2) RSI is below 50, bearish, also retested the resistance and failed either
3) clear consolidation on the price chart, which implies the resumption of primary downtrend
The price could retest the bottom of the first leg at $882.
The ultimate target is to complete the full cycle and touch the very bottom of $78, which, indeed, sounds apocalyptical.
ATCryptoScan : BTCUSD at that time before launch againLooking back at the BTCUSD weekly charts, there appears to be similar, if not the same, technical conditions before the start of a massive BTCUSD rally. This comes with both MACD and VolDiv crossovers and a breakout of a trendline after a period of consolidation.
Marked out by time lines, the Green lines are the most similar to current (yellow), and the orange has only a differing VolDiv. All are breakout points and appears to be great accumulation start points for the next year or two.
Just weeks ago, a similar technical set up was made, and today is a couple of weeks after...
Clear correlation here, so we know what the most probable for the next year going forward...
Seriously Bullish BTC
PS. this is the repeat post... the amended version.
The key is whether it can rise above the 1st section
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
When a new candle is created, you should check whether there is support near 68393.48.
And you should also check what movement the StochRSI indicator will show.
From the current position, the important support and resistance sections are
- 68393.48-71280.01
- 65602.01-65920.0
- 61099.25
The three sections above.
If the price is maintained above the HA-HIgh indicator, a full-scale uptrend (stepwise uptrend) is likely to begin.
However, it is important how the BW (100) indicator section, 68393.48-71280.01 section, is broken upward.
-
(1D chart)
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained by breaking upward through the first section, 68393.48-69031.99 section.
If not, you should check for support near 65920.71-67414.39.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 67414.39 point, the point to watch is whether it can receive support near 67414.39 and rise.
-
The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of turning upward.
However, it has not yet risen from the overbought zone, and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Therefore, when a new candle is created, you should check how the StochRSI indicator appears.
When the StochRSI indicator falls below 50, the decline is interpreted as a strong decline, but eventually you will find the time to buy.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator is below 50, it is recommended to create a trading strategy from a buy (LONG) perspective.
If you trade from a sell (SHORT) perspective, you need to respond quickly and briefly.
The StochRSI indicator is not an all-purpose indicator, but it allows you to know the timing of response and the intensity of the wave to some extent.
Therefore, if you use the StochRSI indicator, you will have less conflict about whether to go up or down right now.
In addition, since you are more likely to trade in the direction of the trend, you will be able to reduce the number of times you cut your loss.
-
Due to the changes in the chart, the next volatility period is likely to start around November 4th.
So, let's check the overall flow when the new month starts.
---------------------------------------------------
If you use the Linear Regression Channel indicator in TradingView indicators, it will automatically draw a parallel channel according to the current price position.
You can set the indicator settings to suit you.
However, the recommended settings are 50 (Length), ohlc4 (Source).
I think that chart tools such as trend lines, channels, and Fibonacci are tools for chart analysis.
Therefore, I do not recommend using chart tools to create trading strategies.
In order to create a trading strategy, you must have support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
If you have drawn support and resistance points, you can create a trading strategy by checking whether there is support at the support and resistance points by referring to the analysis with the chart tool.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTC - a last dip before new ATH ?The chart is in 3H cause couldn't zoom out more with lower timeframes :((
Pattern recognition at its best
since the low of the 10 October, the price action is an extremely exact copy paste of march/April ATH :
- A significant top, ATH for the first pattern and 3 months high for last week
- first take profits, to 200MA 4H for the first pattern, to 100 MA 4H, 4 days ago
- 2nd wave and 3rd wave higher than the second (almost hit ATH), the second wave has been made and BTC will probably make the third tomorrow
in April this followed a correction. The pattern was bigger in April in % price and in time, so we should see shorter waves and lower price movements now.
The conditions for this to continue as the last time and to see the last dip is to have a 3rd wave going around 69K :
- if we break above 69k the pattern get invalidated
- if we stay to long time above .618 fib extension at 66K3 the pattern get invalidated
_________
Careful don't mind me, I'm neutral on this idea, and will not do anything before seeing a clear path. What changes now from April is that the halving was priced in way before so I'm seeing also lot of reasons why prices could just go above 69k and fly from now
_________
Last but not least, BTC is for the moment following the orange path from my precedent idea, putting my target for fall 2025 at 240K, but this can change a lot
Good Luck
Cheers
BTC Quick Update: Bull Flag Breakout in Sight, Targeting $80k!Hey everyone!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates!
Welcome to this quick BTC Update!
BTC is currently trading around $67.5k and moving within a bull flag structure on the 4-hour time frame. A breakout from this flag is still pending, and there’s a chance we might see a brief drop to FWB:65K on Monday before a breakout occurs.
Once this bull flag breaks, the target is set at $80k.
Entry Range: FWB:65K -$66k
Target: $80k
Invalidation: 4-hour close below FWB:65K
What do you think of BTC’s current price action? Are you seeing this bullish setup as well? Share your analysis in the comments, and let’s ride this wave together!
BITCOIN TARGETS 70000$ - BTC BULLISH MOMENTUM IS RISINGBitcoin recently broke and closed above the massive diagonal trendline that had been driving the weekly bearish trend since March 2024. This weekly breakout and close above the trendline gives me strong confidence that a bullish weekly momentum has begun.
After the breakout, Bitcoin retraced into the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection.
During this retracement, it also ran the daily swing liquidity and attempted to close below for six consecutive days. However, buyers defended the daily swing level strongly. This indicates that Bitcoin is likely aiming higher, with the first target set at $70,000.
Other targets can be seen on the chart as well, and I’ll be watching these levels, ultimately aiming for an all-time high.
I’m feeling quite bullish about the crypto market at the moment.
ADA Caution!Considering cycle theories and assuming Altcoins - especially those from 2015-2017 - could be in different corrective phases than Bitcoin, investors could be in a big surprise for the next upcoming months. While Bitcoin is potentially in its last cycle (retail wave 5) before its first major correction, the older Altcoins are still in their wave 2 which results in a long exhaustive ABC phase and often corrects more than 50% of the first impulsive wave which would also coincide with the 1.618 Fib.
This would mean that alt-season - for the older big coins - is not here yet. Regarding their meteoric rises after more than 10k% the fundamentals need to catch up to overvalued prices, which takes time.
A lot of people are confused and complaining about the "blue chip coins" not going up, especially Cardano, while Market Makers play the long game and suppress Altcoin prices artificially, simply keeping them in a big trading range and in corrective mode till their first cycle ends and the next begins.
ADA e.g. shows striking resemblance to NEM (XEM) with a similar corrective structure and sits on long time life support. The more it pokes on it the more it's gonna get dangerous for the next breakdown to the 0.10-0.20$ region.
Bitcoin Elliott Wave possibilities. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
The move from
69.5k looks 3 wave.
Ideal for Short-term bulls.
BUT, a single complete Zig Zag does not necessarily mean the correction is complete. Context could help.
Here are some possibilities I am considering if it is not complete atm.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
ATCryptoScan : BTSUSD at that time againLooking back at the BTCUSD weekly charts, there appears to be similar, if not the same, technical conditions before the start of a massive BTCUSD rally.
Marked out by time lines, the Green lines are the most similar to current (yellow), and the orange has only a differing VolDiv. All are breakout points and appears to be great accumulation start points for the next year or two.
Just weeks ago, a similar technical set up was made, and today is a couple of weeks after...
Clear correlation here, so we know what the most probable for the next year going forward...
Bullish BTC
Bitcoin, rising wedge abcde patternRising wedge on btc, forming an abcde pattern (corrective). If it's corrective, then it's not impulsive, so I would expect a downturn searching the long term rising trendline (around the first weeks of November) to form a very extended ABC pattern from the 2024 highs.
If that trendline should fall, I would be very cautious due to the ferocity of the volatility spikes in this asset.
Bitcoin: Hasn't Reached Optimal Price.Bitcoin showing a higher low consolidation just above the 64K area support. Relative to the previous bullish structure, this signifies a higher likelihood that a higher high will follow, it's just a matter of catalyst. In the mean time, price can fluctuate either way from the current point (random). While the trend may be obvious in this situation, timing it effectively has everything to do with recognizing high probability price locations, setups etc. Otherwise you can make the mistake of assuming greater risk than you realize. In this article, I will describe the high probability, lower risk scenario that the market MAY OR MAY NOT present in the coming week.
One thing I recognize is that price continues to flirt with a resistance zone which makes this a tricky play for swing trades (at the time of writing current candle is inside bar). The 67K to 70K area is still a resistance zone (blue rectangle) and a higher risk location for long swing trades. In such scenarios when location is high risk but buy signals appear (break of inside bar high for example), it is more effective to assume risk on smaller time frames like 4H or 1H, and attempting to participate for a smaller bite. The risk that you are minimizing in this situation is the possibility that the 65K minor support is tested again and/or broken (see arrow).
The higher probability and lower risk scenario would be IF price can test the 64K support, followed by a reversal confirmation. The location is much more attractive since the potential profit is greater (3K+ points) coupled with much lower RISK (1 to 1.5 max) compared to 3K+ points of risk at the moment relative to this time frame. The illustration on the chart summarizes the ideal scenario that IF the market shows, would be a high probability swing trade long opportunity (which requires entry confirmation).
These scenarios that I present are dependent on the price action confirmation otherwise risk cannot be justified. Even having a confirmation process (like the Trade Scanner Pro) does NOT guarantee the trade idea will produce a positive outcome. After all, markets are HIGHLY random and outcomes are often the result of unexpected information being priced in. This is why technical analysis cannot be relied upon over longer time horizons, but can be helpful for quantifying risk.
Managing a position effectively no matter the time frame has everything to do with having properly aligned market expectations. First you uncover an idea, LET the market confirm the idea, from there it goes the right way or the wrong way. Your expectations will then shape how you manage the position as it fluctuates. The key to effective management is having an open enough mind to let the market pay you more when IT wants to, while being decisive enough to get out the moment you recognize what "wrong" looks like (or using other risk control methods like a stop). All of this information can be acquired from price charts or tools developed to simplify this process. Without any "process" you are most susceptible to relying on intuition and "hope" which will result in the typical retail trader experience: win sometimes but the account never grows for some reason.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC/USD H4 Update BTC is finding support on the .382 level of the most recent impulse on the H4 timeframe. The price action is also finding support on the H4 100 simple moving average. RSI is 44 at time of publishing. Price is also near a local rising support. I think anything at or above the .382 retracement level is a good buy for the weeks to come. We might have a few days of sideways as the bull flag forms.
Not financial advice. Do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.