(BTC) October predictions - BEAR & BULLHello Tradingview community!
As always: If these patterns I'm showcasing doesn't work as predicted..
then please don't come crying to me (ty) -> NFA DYOR
Alright.. the chart explains itself as you can see
We got 2 scenarios/targets for October:
Bull targets-> 66k-70k
Bear targets-> 52k-46k
I do find it more likely to go up than down.. Why?
Well Q4 in a bull market is usually heavy green and
especially towards a presidential election
Anyway, Keep in mind this is only an idea/prediction
that could easily be wrong in many ways.
I will update this post in the future!
BOOST if you like it and follow for more
NFA DYOR <<<<-----
Btc-e
Bitcoin: looks like we're on track (check previous post)In my previous post I talked about a potential head & shoulder forming. Now, a while later, it shows that it is actually following the idea. This could be a big indicator that the market is done with accumulating and making itself ready for a good old pump.
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BTC btc "arrowhead"neutral zone orange line based on past moving averages and current measurement up to november 1st 2024,. Purple lines represent arrowhead fibonacci of price above and below the standard average neutral between support and resistance based from all the way back to october 2024, one year prior. Not a lot of activity above 160%, main range of bitcoin remaining in 78% lower half and over 100% gains upper region.
Support range: 61099.25-61759.99
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As the volatility period began, the movement in the opposite direction as expected occurred.
Even if it rises, it was expected to be around 61759.99, but it has risen more.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 61099.25-61759.99.
This volatility period is expected to be around October 5-10 (up to October 4-11).
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Since it has risen above 61759.99, you need to check if the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone or switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
If not, if you buy first, you are likely to feel psychologically uneasy.
Therefore, if it continues to rise, it is recommended to check if it is supported near 62856.30.
If you want to buy when the BW indicator or StochRSI indicator does not meet the purchase timing conditions, it is recommended to approach it with scalping or day trading.
Important support and resistance zones are marked with circles, so you should respond depending on how these zones are broken.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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BTCUSD: Holding the MA50 (1w) and parabolic rally starting.Bitcoin tested and held the MA50 (1w) twice in the past 2 months.
Based on the last 2 Cycles and in particular October 2020 and 2016, such a rebound on the MA50 (1w) initiates the parabolic rally of the Cycle.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price and hold until maximum August 2025.
Targets:
1. 100000 (minimum psychological target for those who don't want much risk on their holdings).
2. 230000 (maximum extension based on the notion that the price will rise approximately the same degree (+368%) as it did from the 2022 bottom to the March 2023 High).
Tips:
1. It is important to keep in mind that the Bull Cycle is far from over. It tends to peak towards the end of each year on a 4 year Cycle. First December 2017, then November 2021. This is why it is recommended to be out of the market by August 2025.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
XYO xyo "price return"The price of XYO has flipped over from a falling movement to a growing movement after being in a slump for a very long time; As some may already know from the blatantly obvious change in position for the price of XYO. The indicator proves this to be true rather than rely on the fact that the price increased through a slight spike in price last week and so on. The price reflects the death trap descend based on BTC falling in price at the same time that XYO was finally gaining in price. Typical of a scenario where a cryptocurrency does well and the BTC people have complete control over the system to collapse the price of minor tokens when they at long last increase in price thus shuttering the momentum and possibility for the smaller tokens to receive attention. Once the price suddenly collapses, as it did so when BTC fell in price, the momentum is broken and the trivial aspect of interest from outside investors reduces. Nevertheless, Solana does well, Polygon does well, Tron does well, practically every known cryptocurrency on the CoinGecko list of SEC coins/tokens does well over the long term except XYO, conspiracy,.
BTCUSD: An insane rally is starting courtesy of the USDT Dom.Bitcoin is rebounding today aggressively on the 1D MA50, being only neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.075, MACD = 23.455, ADX = 23.455), indicating that the upside potential is tremendous. One correlating asset in particular is showing that an insane rally is about to start, and that's the USDT Dominance. It is about to make a bearish reversal which on October 12th 2023, kickstarted the last strong rally of Bitcoin. We expect 100k to be met on this one.
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BTCUSDT - DIAMONDdiamond, given the figure of benefits should be up, the sideways will tighten and maximize liquidity. A good pattern to allocate funds on hayahs, and after that again a set of positions at the bottom of the diamante. Plus minus the diamond stretches for 333 days.
It is worth considering the potential for a false breakout and then a sharp roll in, so those who like to breakout serious levels should be more careful. Special attention to fractality.
Bitcoin's Next Move: Bullish Continuation or Bearish Reversal?Hey, traders! Artem here with another Bitcoin update. Let's dive into the 4-hour chart and explore the recent price action to see what’s been happening since last week.
Bitcoin has broken through key levels , hitting a new high of $66,566 last Friday , and this could signal a potential uptrend . But is it all bullish, or should we watch out for a reversal?
On the chart, we’ve got a fresh Higher High (HH) at $66,566 and a Higher Low (HL) at $52,400 , which typically suggests bullish momentum. However, there's a Rising Wedge pattern forming , which is often a bearish signal . Bitcoin has broken out of the wedge, moving down from $66,000 and is now trading around $63,570 , near a key support level at $62,800 (marked in blue).
If this support holds, we could see some sideways movement followed by an upward continuation. But if the selling pressure continues and $62,800 fails, we might see a further decline toward $60,848 , with $61,824 (marked in red) as a critical level to watch.
What’s your take on Bitcoin this week? Are we going long or short? Share your opinion in the comments – I’d love to hear your strategy!
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more market updates. Let's see where Bitcoin takes us next!
Will Bitcoin reach 58,000?The 60,000 range is a good support for Bitcoin to go back up. If the price moves up from this area, it is likely that the Sharpe growth is expected by the market.
But we have another important support in the range of 58000, which reaches the trend curve at the same time.
In this area, we reach oversold in the daily time, which increases the desire to buy bits.
In case of failure of this support, we have another support in the range of 54,000, which we reach by breaking the trend curve.
By hitting that area, we can expect the price to return and a pullback to the broken trend curve.
After that, we should see the price correction in the weekly time and reach the price range of 40,000.
Conclusion:
The most important current support area is the 58,000 range, where we expect a return.
Have your say on the price future.
In the following, you can see the link of past analyzes and their detailed results.
10/3 Bye Bye cryptoOverview:
Unemployment dropped to 4.1%, slightly lower than the expected 4.2%. September’s jobs report revealed a 254k increase in hiring, well above the forecasted 150k. This means there's now a reduced chance of a double basis point rate cut in November, which is bad news for risk-on assets like crypto. The CME tool now shows a 92.5% chance for a single basis point rate cut, up from 47% just a week ago.
Next week, CPI and PPI reports will be released, which will be crucial for gauging inflation. Meanwhile, BlackRock continues its dollar-cost averaging into both BTC and ETH ETFs, while others are either selling or staying on the sidelines.
Fun fact: at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, an interesting event occurred. Someone placed a market buy order for BTC, causing a 0.38% price spike. The volume for that minute was 196 Bitcoin, worth around $12 million at a price of $61.5k. Since the candle was green, it suggests more than 50% of that volume was buying pressure. Did someone purchase $7 million worth of Bitcoin? While that large order initially triggered a brief buying spree, just an hour later, the price began to dump. This shows either whales aren't fully in control of the market, or $7 million isn't enough to sway it for long.
BTC TA:
W: BTC remains steady at the same weekly level, with no significant movement.
D: Similarly, daily price levels remain stagnant.
4h: MACD and RSI continue to climb from the bottom, indicating potential for further bullish movement. However, the overall market sentiment, driven by geopolitical and economic news, may hamper this upward trajectory.
1h: BTC has seemingly found support between $61.9k and $60.1k. However, the chances of an upward breakout appear slim given the macroeconomic conditions.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
Yesterday, we suggested shorting SUI, which proceeded to collapse 13%.
Bull Case: BTC bounces off its current support level and recovers to $63k.
Bear Case: Economic data may reveal that inflation is here to stay, and the Fed won't cut rates as quickly as the market hoped. Even when the rate cut comes, it could take months for the economy to adjust. Additionally, the Global Liquidity Index continues to decline despite rate cuts from both the U.S. and China.
Fear and Greed Index: 36.11 – Fear.
When this indicator moves into fear territory, we often recommend buying blue-chip altcoins, even for short-term traders. It's wise to keep a separate long-term investment account. Remember the saying: Be greedy when others are fearful.
Prediction:
BTC and the broader crypto market may continue to decline.
Bitcoin Trending Down, Key Support at $55,800Market Update:
Bitcoin is trending down from its March highs, holding support for now but showing signs that it could revisit lower levels.
Technical Outlook:
A key level to watch is $55,800, which aligns with the rising trend. This level could serve as a critical point for BTC's next move.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoUpdate #PriceAction #SupportLevels #TechnicalAnalysis
BITCOIN - Price can continue to move down to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCSDUT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to falling channel, where it declined to support line, breaking $63900 level.
BTC rose to resistance line and bounced down, breaking $57200 level, but then price started to grow in another channel.
In rising channel, BTC broke $57200 level and later rose to resistance line, which coincided with $63900 level.
Price made a little gap, and even later rose higher than $63900 level, but soon turned around and started to decline.
In a short time, BTC exited from rising channel, broke $63900 level, and continued to move down close resistance line.
I think that price can make small movement up and then continue to decline, between resistance line, to $57200 level.
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BTC - Thank Me Later!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard.
🗒 Do you remember this post from 2023?
As mentioned back then, BTC was forming Pattern 4, which was activated after breaking above the falling green channel, leading to a surge of over 200%.
So, according to the educational post, where are we now⁉️
🔑A falling correction after a bullish impulse signals what?
That’s right — we are now in the process of forming Pattern 1.
For this pattern to be activated and the bullish continuation phase to begin, we need a weekly candle close above $70,000.
Of course, in the meantime, as long as BTC is trading within the falling channel, it can still retest the lower bound before activating the phase.
❗️N.B. Always remember, nothing moves in a straight line, so we might see a correction (in the form of a higher low) along the way.
📉 Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen, and why?
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
🗒 All strategies are good, if managed properly!
~Rich
BITCOIN Cup and Handle on full motion looking for the break-out.Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) full Cycle since the November 2021 High can be illustrated as nothing more than a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern with the Channel Down since March 2024 being the Handle of the formation.
Simple yet a technical reality, the Handle found support both in early August and September on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), keeping the bullish trend valid. In fact, the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) and the 1W MA50 have been the bottom formation zone during its previous 6-month consolidation in August - September 2023.
All Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom have been within +90% and +100%. Even if the minimum (+91.68%) of the last rally is followed, we can expect Bitcoin to reach at least $94000 during that run by the end of the year.
But what do you think? Will this Cycle-long Cup and Handle serve its purpose and break-out aggressively? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin/USDT on 1-hour timeframe Binance. TA+Trade plan by B.F.Descending Channel Pattern:
The price is trading within a descending channel. The upper boundary (resistance) and lower boundary (support) are clearly defined.
Descending channels typically indicate a bearish trend, but if the price breaks out of the channel, it could signal a trend reversal.
Possible Breakout to the Upside:
The chart highlights the possibility of a breakout above the descending channel, supported by a bullish blue trendline.
The breakout area is noted around the 61,758.48 USDT level. If the price moves past this level, it could lead to further upside momentum.
Volume:
Volume appears moderate, indicating that the market has yet to show a strong momentum surge. A breakout on higher volume would confirm the upside move.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator shows multiple green dots, suggesting bullish divergence and potential reversal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is in neutral territory around 58.66, indicating no extreme overbought or oversold conditions. If it crosses above 60, it may confirm the bullish breakout.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic shows a bullish signal, with the %K line at 90.29 and the %D line at 88.42. However, it’s approaching overbought territory, suggesting caution as there could be short-term pullbacks.
HMA Histogram: Shows a slight downtrend in the short term (negative values). If it turns positive, it could confirm the breakout move.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1: 61,758.48 USDT (upper boundary of the channel and key breakout level).
Resistance 2: 64,591.15 USDT (previous high, and next major resistance zone if the breakout happens).
Support 1: 60,301.68 USDT (lower boundary of the channel).
Support 2: 59,000 USDT (psychological support and lower range of the broader consolidation).
Trading Plan:
Long Position:
Entry: Enter a long position if the price breaks and closes above 61,758.48 USDT with a confirmation candle (preferably on higher volume).
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below the descending channel or at the 60,301.68 USDT support level to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: The initial target would be the next resistance at 64,591.15 USDT. Partial profits can be taken here, with further upside potential if momentum remains strong.
Short Position (in case of failure to break out):
Entry: If the price fails to break above 61,758.48 USDT and falls back into the channel, consider a short position targeting the support at 60,301.68 USDT.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly above 61,758.48 USDT to protect against an unexpected breakout.
Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the channel and potentially below, near 59,000 USDT.
Conclusion:
The overall structure indicates a potential breakout from a descending channel. A confirmed breakout above 61,758.48 USDT could signal a bullish reversal and upside toward 64,591.15 USDT. However, if the price fails to break out, it may continue to trade within the channel, offering short-term trading opportunities.
Monitoring volume and key levels (especially 61,758.48 USDT) will be crucial for confirming the next major move.