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BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not. - There's nothing at 100k. - the trend would not be respected. - i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time. - At that time, most traders called for a top and scared. - BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$.. - i see only 3 Scenarios. 1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k. 2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k. 3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ). - As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion. - Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.) - More it will take time, more up BTC will go. Stay S4fe Happy Tr4Ding !
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by thecryer
9
Bitcoin 2024-2025 TOPBitcoin’s market behavior follows a cyclical structure that revolves around the halving events. These halvings reduce the mining reward, creating a supply shock that typically leads to higher prices in subsequent bull runs. Historical Patterns Halving to Market Top (Bull Run): Historically, market tops occur within 1-1.5 years after halvings. Example: 2013 Halving → Peak in late 2013 (approx. 370 days post-halving). 2016 Halving → Peak in late 2017 (525 days post-halving). 2020 Halving → Double top in 2021 (343 days to the first top, 553 days to the second top). Market Top to Bottom (Bear Market): The bear market usually lasts around 364 days after the peak. After this, Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase before starting a new uptrend. Bottom to Top: The time from a market bottom to the next top is remarkably consistent at 1057 days across multiple cycles. Observations: Bitcoin has shown a repetitive pattern of growth phases followed by corrections. The length of each cycle (measured in weeks) shows that the timing between major events is relatively stable, making it possible to predict future milestones with some accuracy. 2. Predictions for 2024–2025 The chart provides specific projections for the current Bitcoin cycle based on historical data: Next Potential Market Top: First Peak: Speculated for January 6, 2024, or March 24, 2024. This mirrors the 2021 double-top cycle, where the first peak occurred ~343 days after the halving. Second Peak (All-Time High): Expected on September 15, 2024. This corresponds to a potential double-top pattern, with the second peak occurring 539 days after the halving (similar to the 2021 cycle). Price Targets: While specific price targets aren’t marked on the chart, it seems to imply: A potential move toward $100,000+ in the first peak (consistent with prior cycle growth rates). A possible retracement before reaching the second peak (all-time high). 3. Key Timelines The chart highlights several critical time intervals: Top-to-Bottom: ~364 days. Bottom-to-Top: ~1057 days. Halving-to-Peak: 1–1.5 years (~343–525 days depending on the top). Current Cycle Timelines: Bottom: Marked in late 2022 (~$15,000). Next Halving: Scheduled for April 2024. Next Top (Bull Cycle Peak): Estimated for late 2024. 4. Double-Top Scenario The chart predicts a possible double-top structure in the next cycle: First Top: Occurs early in the cycle (Q1 2024). Price may surge rapidly but face a correction before the second peak. Second Top: A new all-time high expected in Q3-Q4 2024. This mirrors the 2021 cycle where Bitcoin hit ~$65,000 in April, corrected to ~$29,000, and reached ~$69,000 in November. 5. RSI Insights The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom indicates Bitcoin’s current momentum: An RSI above 70 suggests an overbought condition, implying potential short-term corrections. However, in previous cycles, sustained RSI in the overbought zone often coincided with parabolic price movements during bull runs. Expect significant pullbacks after major peaks, providing re-entry opportunities. Conclusion The chart uses historical consistency in Bitcoin’s price cycles to project future movements. While no prediction is guaranteed, Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and the reliability of its halving-driven supply dynamics provide strong reasoning for these forecasts. If the cycle plays out similarly, 2024-2025 could bring significant opportunities for long-term holders and traders alike.
BNC:BLXLong
by spirosgh
Cardano ADA - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionTo view script: Understanding the chart Bullish Regime: The price is currently above the 200D SMA, indicating a bullish regime and a regime duration of 16 bars. Strong Momentum: Large distance from price to both SMAs (119.62% and 141.38%) suggests powerful upward momentum Historical Price Action Long Bear Market (2022-2023): Extended period below 200 SMA Multiple failed attempts to break above Declining 200 SMA indicating strong bearish trend Accumulation Phase (Mid-2023): Price consolidated around 200 SMA Reduced volatility Built base for current move Recent Breakout: Clean break above 200D SMA Sharp increase in volume and momentum
Long
by igreycrypto
BTC thesis with RAG AI by Titan_KarmaThe current market conditions for Bitcoin (BTC) present a compelling case for entering a long position, especially given the absence of open positions at this time. Recent bullish trends, including Bitcoin's approach to the $100K milestone and a significant increase in hashrate, indicate a strong upward momentum. Additionally, the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, evidenced by its innovative applications in traditional financing, suggests that BTC is gaining traction across various sectors. As we assess the market over the next four hours, it is crucial to monitor technical indicators and market sentiment closely to identify optimal entry points. From a financial perspective, BTCUSDT is currently trading at $97,501.40, with a trading volume of 28,787.55. The mixed long-short ratios among traders indicate a cautious sentiment, suggesting that while some traders are bullish, others are hedging against potential downturns. This mixed sentiment reinforces the need for a careful approach, particularly as the market may experience volatility. Setting stop-loss orders is advisable to protect against potential downturns, especially if the price approaches critical resistance levels. Technical analysis reveals a high daily RSI of 79.29, indicating that BTC may be overbought, which could lead to a price correction. However, the 1-hour and 15-minute charts show lower RSI values (45.73 and 36.09, respectively), suggesting potential for short-term recovery. Resistance levels are identified at $98,924.61 and $100,321.24, while support levels are at $96,626.73 and $95,725.48. Monitoring these levels will be essential for making informed trading decisions. Historically, BTC has shown strong upward trends, with significant price increases observed over the past few days. The latest data indicates a high of $98,988.00 on November 21, 2024, followed by a slight pullback. Given the overall bullish sentiment and recent price action, entering a long position appears favorable, particularly if the price holds above the support level around $97,000. Volume trends will also provide further confirmation of the strength of this upward movement. In terms of risk management, it is essential to set appropriate stop-loss orders based on historical performance and volatility. The recent trades indicate that confidence levels of 85% and 87% have previously resulted in no profit trades, necessitating a reassessment of confidence scoring. Implementing a mechanism to penalize no-profit trades will help refine future trade recommendations and improve overall profitability. In conclusion, the current market conditions for Bitcoin suggest a favorable environment for entering a long position. By closely monitoring technical indicators, market sentiment, and historical performance, traders can make informed decisions to capitalize on potential price movements. TRADE RECOMMENDATION json { "OUTCOME": "OPEN_LONG", "STOP_LOSS": "$96,626.73", "TAKE_PROFIT": "$100,321.24", "CONFIDENCE_LEVEL": "80%", "EXIT_POINT": "$98,924.61", "ENTRY_CRITERIA": { "TIMEFRAME": "1h", "RSI": "below 70", "MACD": "above 0, 15m" }, "CURRENT_OPEN_LONG_POSITIONS": 0, "CURRENT_OPEN_SHORT_POSITIONS": 0 }
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by titankarma
Technical Analysis of BTC/USDT Charthello guys. Cup and Handle Pattern: The chart displays a well-formed cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish continuation signal. The handle has broken out, confirming the pattern. Target Projection: Using the depth of the cup, the target of the pattern is projected around $188,000. Fibonacci Levels: Price has surpassed the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $113,628, a strong bullish signal, with further resistance near $145,120 (0.5 Fibonacci extension). Breakout Confirmation: The breakout from the handle channel confirms bullish momentum. The price is trading above the psychological level of $90,000, supported by high trading volume. Trend Outlook: A bullish macro trend is indicated, driven by long-term upward momentum.
Long
by melikatrader94
25
BTC The State NowHere’s a quick market update with a timeline and trend analysis : - As always, it’s as simple as checking the colors and trends in the graphic. - We’re currently in a phase of solid consolidation. - The bull run hasn’t started yet, but in time, BTC is expected to go parabolic, as it usually does. - The current cycle is taking longer to play out. - The differences between 2020 and 2024 corrections are clear. Back in 2020, BTC was still maturing, not widely accepted, and impacted by the Covid crisis. - In 2023, BTC has gained more recognition with ETFs, attracted wealthy investors, and is evolving into a true store of value. - For these reasons, TheKing may be retracing, but it’s doing so with power and resilience. - Everyone wants a piece of the cake, which is why Bitcoin's price remains elevated. Just HODL and you'll be rewarded in the long run. Happy Tr4Ding
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by thecryer
19
Bitcoin: $300k by 2025Long-term Bitcoin analysis using a logarithmic scale. As shown, Bitcoin remains in the long term trend lines set by the top and bottom of the 2014 bear market, if Bitcoin is to remain in these trend lines, it needs to start making an upwards move in early 2019. I have also drawn a few curves that Bitcoin could follow if it is to fall below the trend line. My first price target is $100k which I expect to be met between mid 2020 and mid 2021. I then anticipate another 12-16 month bear market before finally resuming the bull market and heading towards $300k between 2025 and 2026; I have chosen $300k as that would put Bitcoin on a slightly smaller market cap than gold assuming that 20 million coins had been mined ($6 trillion). Finally, I have indicated accumulation zones in green, currently between $5.7k and $7k, I expect to move out of this range within the coming few months. Then similarly in the 2022/2023 bear market I expect Bitcoin to fall 60-70% and accumulate between $30k and $40k range.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by tobymortimer
2
BTCs Bear Market Bottom in SightA couple of weeks ago, as the Crypto King slid down the slope of investor hope breaking below the 17k price level, it was interesting to see as its sibling in many ways, Ethereum, failed to make a new low to accompany it. This must not be too unsettling as the corrective pattern Bitcoin was exhibiting was largely unresolved, standing in stark contrast to Ethereums corrective pattern which seems to have already found rock bottom at least for the time being. While BTC is still trending below the long-term EMAs, price is starting to accumulate and the bearish move could be losing momentum. A rise and close above the EMAs will confirm the start of a rising market. HAPPY TRADING:)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HydraFinance
$btc Weekly Analysis Historically, price between these green lower level consolidation is a low risk buy for long term hodlers. But as you can clearly see, bitcoin is heading for lower and lower volatility until one day the trend breaks. If you scroll right you can see the bull band and bear band come to a point.... what will happen then God only knows. If lower band breaks and we retouch the previous resistance at 7k, obviously my statement is void because my trend lines are broke. Also the whole c0vid-crash is so weird to me, was it a red herring, does the support price achieved (around) 3/18/20 still hold value even though it could be a 'red herring'? I say absolutely it matters and we should incorporate that support price in our charting and calculations. DISCLAIMER======= ' [ ] My Log regression is not calculated with anything but the curve tool, please take it with a grain of salt, if i have any algebra friends with knowledge of logarithmic regression please feel free to reach out as your input would be greatly appreciated.
BNC:BLX
by creengrack
Alikze »»XRP | Wave 3 bullish supercycle scenarioIn the weekly time, a complex behavior and movements are forming in the ascending phase, which, according to the overall structure, is in the form of an ascent from the beginning of the movement. According to the bottom of the 0.10 range, a 5-wave structural correction has been formed and the upward movement has also gone through a complex cycle and completed this correction in the form of a three-wave at the 0.38 fibo of the previous wave. Therefore, according to the movement behavior in the form of a super cycle, it should be in the 3rd wave of its super cycle. The invalidity limit of the analysis is 0.2867, which can lead to correction of this movement structure up to 0.23 Fibo. Therefore, according to the current structure, which is a complex upward movement in the form of 3 waves, and sharpie movements can be seen from it, it will have the ability to grow up to the specified areas and even higher goals up to the limits of 13-18 and 34 dollars. which should be reviewed and updated step by step. But in the lower time, it will have the ability to grow up to the supply area and then up to the previous major ceiling. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
9
SOL → One step away from ATH. Will the maximum be updated?BINANCE:SOLUSDT is rallying and testing the high of 248.44, but what is remarkable is that the coin is not pulling back, but consolidating with the aim of reaching ATH or even updating it. The fundamental background of the coin is strengthening as an exchange-traded fund may emerge on the basis of Solana, most likely the issue will be discussed in 2025. There are only 2 ETFs approved so far, bitcoin and etherium. Technically, on W1 the bulls are trying to take control of the 243-244 area. Buyer's chances are quite promising, accordingly, if they manage to keep the defense above this zone, the coin has all chances to form a new all-time high. Resistance levels: 245.3, 248.5, 259.9 Support levels: 242.3, 234.3 The trigger zone is 245.3. A breakthrough and price consolidation above this zone may provoke aggressive buying with the purpose of growth continuation. It is possible that the price may form a correction, for example, to 242.3, 238, 234 before continuing its growth Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:SOLUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
ATCryptoScan: Bitcoin Projections into 2025I know that there are many people out there projecting Bitcoin movements, and some are accurate, while others are, well..., less accurate. I think we need to learn and discern what is sound, what is probable and what should we follow. Here I present a continuation of the usual projections that I have been doing for bitcoin, and more, including market instruments, ETFs, and other charts. Firstly, this projection has always been a combination between technical indicators (such as candlesticks, moving averages, MACD and volume analysis, DeMark, etc.), geometrical patterns with support resistance levels, Fibonacci, as well as astrological energy patterns. Historically, earlier in 2024, 17 August was marked as the expected time to load up Bitcoin at 40K. While Bitcoin never reached 40K, the period (on hindsight) was about appropriate as BTCUSD consolidated strongly above 54K. Breakout signals started in September and October, Buy signals in late October. A couple of posts in simple pattern analysis was also shared previously, even as close as a week before the massive breakout came. So now, going forward, we need to relook into BTCUSD for when it would top out from this parabolic run, and to what retracement levels for out second bite at the cherry. Ok, I will walk through the step by step thought process so here goes the model building... The current spike rally is a little long in the teeth, if I may say so. BTCUSD has had amazing spikes and this is one of them for the history books. Meanwhile, I start with the weekly TD Sequential which is nicely completing a Perfected TD Sequential . What this means is that the Sequential Setup is completed with all the conditions required, and is ready for a retracement/trend change. With that possibility, a target point needs to be demarcated and this can be done in many ways... First up is a simple geometric measurement of the previous rallies. Since September, there has been two rallies of similar magnitude (x). The third rally did double the magnitude (2x) as denoted by the third blue (solid arrow). This arrow is left solid as it was part of the projection made previously. Clearly price overshot and went up much higher. Another magnitude (x) is marked by the dashed line blue arrow, and you can see that there was a stall about 94,500. And then the spike rally started yet again... This time, I am less expectant of a double magnitude (2x) rally. BTCUSD needs to end the rally on a flat note, and then retrace for the next larger wave. If it blows off the top then the downside would be more devastating. TD Sequential also has yet a lesser known, but very common and respected, rule that states it is possible to overextend for the range on the highest candle... marked by the blue box (daily) and the yellow box (weekly). Astrological energies "coincidenttally" pin 17 December as the time for a reversal. Furthermore, and oddly enough, in a retracement setting to rocket further/ Together with the weekly TD Sequential, there is a confluence at about 108K for BTCUSD topping out. This should bring us to the end of the year, maybe early next year. Now that models the topside. It needs to happen first, then the expected retracement can then be a realistic possibility. Rough modelling forward, if the topping out happens as expected, we should see a retracement to about 75K. This is a simple look at the respected and responded Fibonacci lines, noting that every 61.8% is a support bounce. So, for a probable longshot, 75K in Feb 2025 is targeted as the next point/level for accumulation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Auguraltrader
#WLD Potential Buy SetupGood Morning Ladies and Gentlemen's i Introduce you my Prediction that the Officialy Altcoin Season had Started. from now on look on bigger Target and Watch out how almost All Coins will Pump some in one Day some in the Other Day so from here on i don't need to Spam you with tons of Coins in a Day when you know everything will Pump. The Best Safe Opportunities is SPOT but its your Choose. 📈 Entry CMP : 2.284 🛑 SL: 1.961 🎯 Target 1: 2.831 🎯 Target 2: 3.606 🎯 Target 3: 4.403 Cheers to All 🍾
Long
by ML-Master