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XAU/BTC - Gold and Bitcoin outlook for next 6 months ?GOLD & BITCOIN OUTLOOK for the ppl saying that TVC:GOLD is outperforming CRYPTOCAP:BTC Well... not really as you can see at a relatively big timeframe on this XAU/BTC chart what is happening now ? well XAU had a rebound mid March, making a +66% pullback, it seems a lot but as you can see during august 2020 it felt 85% ! 1. made it to the previous resistance quite hardly, first sign about the bearish approach that could arrive 2. we are now around , in fact around a very hot zone, 0.4 , if we go above, more chance to see bullish moves in this chart, meaning that Gold could go more up and/or Btc could go more down, its a weekly timeframe so, im talking about a 6 months move BUT, I think XAU/BTC will not be able to pass that resistance and will in fact go big red candles till spring 3. if you look at what happened 4 years ago just copy paste it now, you should have a view of the next 5-6 months for both assets Not saying that gold is gonna plummet and XAU/BTC will go -85% this time but it should bring it a bit down, as in august 2020 it was also going parabolic and went -20% in 6 months so yes im expecting gold to go -20% during the 6 next months and of course BTC to go UPPPPPP so if they're one thing to retain here, its that Gold seems now inversely linked to the 4 years BTC cycle ! And this is quite interesting because it means that BTC has a lot more power and influence than people think Cheers & thx for reading
TVC:XAUBTCShort
by Investwine
BOME Long Position (Retest of 21-day EMA)Market Context: BOME is approaching the 21-day EMA after a Market Structure Shift (MSS). We're looking for a retest of the trend to form a higher low, while sweeping liquidity at the $0.075 level. This provides a potential opportunity for entry. Trade Setup: Entry: $0.007 - $0.008 Take Profit: First target: $0.012 Second target: $0.016 Third target: $0.020 Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.006 This setup seeks to capture the bounce from the higher low, capitalizing on the anticipated continuation of the uptrend. #BOME #Crypto #MarketStructure #21EMA #Trading
Long
by Richtv_official
RNDR Long Position (Accumulation Phase)Market Context: RNDR has been through an extended markdown phase, with market makers taking profits, driving prices down to fair value. Now, the market appears to be in an accumulation phase, where most of the weak hands have exited. This creates an opportunity for strategic entry, positioning for the next bullish move. Trade Setup: Entry: $4.70 - $5.30 Take Profit: First target: $6.30 Second target: $7.50 Third target: $9.00 Stop Loss: Daily close below $4.50 This trade aims to capitalize on the potential accumulation phase as RNDR prepares for a possible move higher. #RNDR #Crypto #Accumulation #PriceAction #Trading
Long
by Richtv_official
Bitcoin is bullish HTF, but short TF correction inevitable BTC closed last week above July weekly swing close 🔥 Multiple RSI on Month TF also shows bullishness, similar to what it had on March 2023 (after that BTC started it's bull run for ~278%). This chart is bullish, so whatever I write about pullbacks/dips, remember - I mean short term price action that is for buying. Bitcoin dips to 65500-66500 and bounce back fast should be taken as a fast bullish scenario. That would allow to add more to longs in both BTC and alts. The zone for potential wicks is around 63.5-64.5k - not sure how high are the chances for such a dip, but since it will surely bring panic to the market, it is absolutely possible.
by WiseAnalyze
🚨 CRYPTO REVOLUTION: 0.5 BITCOIN FOR KEFIR 💊 PART 3📣 Hello everyone! I believe that we are witnessing a global uptrend in the ETH/VTC trading pair and the value of Ether in relation to Bitcoin should grow over time. In May 2017, the first wave of the cycle ended, then in September 2019, the correction in the wave of the II cycle ended, after which the long-term impulse wave of the III cycle started. In the wave of the III cycle, an impulse wave has already passed at the primary level, and at the moment the market is busy forming a wave of correction of the primary level. I expect the correction to end at 0.037 minimum in July 2024, maximum in September 2025. After the correction is completed, according to the logic I have built, a long-term uptrend should begin, the minimum goal of which will be 0.55 Ether per Bitcoin coin. ⚠️ Think for yourself, decide for yourself - good luck in making independent trading decisions and profit ✊ Goodbye!
Long
by AnonymousTraderAcademy
2
DOGE COIN SWING LONG IDEA - MEMECOIN - ALTCOIN DOGE coin is the leader of the meme sector in crypto, and it’s sometimes directly supported by Elon Musk. That’s why I’m keeping an eye on this coin. The price is coming from a monthly demand zone, where it got rejected and has since started a weekly bullish momentum. Both the weekly and daily upward momentum are strong, suggesting the price could be heading toward new highs, in my opinion. We might see some retracement before it rallies all the way up, but that may not happen either.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
10/22 Triple divergence is playing out. How deep?Overview: The AMEX:SPY closed down by only 0.16%, despite opening lower than Friday’s close. During the second trading hour, the index dropped 0.5% but managed to recover the losses throughout the day. Only a few AMEX:SPY stocks ended in the green, with Nvidia gaining 4.14%. Despite this minor pullback, the index has seen six consecutive weeks of growth, and one red weekly candle wouldn't derail a bull run that has gained 23% since the start of the year. The tech-heavy NASDAQ:QQQ also closed in the green, up 0.19%, thanks to Nvidia’s boost. The U.S. Leading Indicator Index (LEI) fell by 0.5% month-over-month to 99 in September, a steeper decline than the expected -0.3% and more significant than the -0.2% drop in August, according to The Conference Board’s report on Monday. From March through September 2024, the LEI dropped 2.6%, exceeding the 2.2% decline in the previous six-month period. "Weakness in factory new orders continued to be a major drag on the US LEI in September as the global manufacturing slump persists," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, senior manager of Business Cycle Indicators at The Conference Board. "Additionally, the yield curve remained inverted, building permits declined, and consumers' outlook for future business conditions was tepid." This index has been decreasing since March 2022, and Monday’s reading officially places it below its lowest point during the COVID-19 period in April 2020. However, the rate of decline appears to be slowing. Meanwhile, companies are still reporting better-than-expected earnings. Some well-known names reporting today include GE Aerospace (Boeing's engine supplier), Philip Morris, Verizon, General Motors, 3M, Enphase, and Invesco (owners of the QQQ ETF). The CME Watch Tool now shows an 11.1% chance of no rate cut on November 7th, up from last week’s 9.3%. While BTC dropped 2.40% on Monday, BlackRock still bought $329 million worth of BTC ETFs. It’s almost amusing to think that BlackRock could be acting as someone’s exit liquidity. The firm now owns 362,192 bitcoins, valued at $23.169 billion. BTC TA: W: Unfortunately for the bulls, BTC closed last week at $69k, which is below the highs of the last two bullish waves in late March and early June. D: Monday ended with a 2.40% correction—much needed after last week's strong rally. A timely release of pressure increases the likelihood of the bull run continuing. An important level to maintain is $66.9k, as it’s the point of control for this recent rally starting from October 10th. The next support levels are $65.8k and the key yearly support at $62.7k. Breaking below $62.7k would invalidate the current bullish wave. On the bearish side, Monday’s candle engulfed the previous five trading days (including the weekend). Before the pullback, the RSI hit 70. 4h: As we spotted and wrote about in our previous letter - the 4-hour chart showed MACD, CVD, and RSI divergences, with three consecutive declining peaks as the price continued climbing. The correction began on Sunday evening, and it may take more than a day to fully play out. The key level to hold now is $66.8k—if it breaks, the price may fall to the daily level of $65.8k. So far, it’s holding. 1h: The 1-hour chart looks bullish, as the $66.9k level is holding, with some bullish MACD and RSI divergence showing. Alts Relative to BTC: ETH, SOL, and NEAR have not declined as much as BTC. However, SUI has dropped more significantly by 5%, and TAO by 9%. APT is unexpectedly pumping, while DOGE is up by 27.30%. Seems like alts are diverging from BTC correction. At least the aren't collapsing 7 - 10%, which was the case in the past with BTC falling by 2.4%. Bull Case: BTC could be correcting slightly before resuming the bull run. If a recession is avoided, Trump wins the election, and rates are cut, the outlook remains positive. Bear Case: BTC may have reached an old resistance level without breaking it, confirming it as a solid resistance, and initiating a deeper correction. Fear and Greed Index: The index is back to Neutral at 57, down from the Greed territory of 60 over the weekend.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
BTC/USDT Analysis - 4H TimeframeBTC/USDT Analysis - 4H Timeframe Author: Rhino aka Bear ( Crypto Rado ) Date: 10/22/2024 🔹 Overview: Bitcoin has reached the anticipated upper trendline, facing rejection at $69,800. A double bearish divergence on the 4H timeframe signals that this impulsive move has likely peaked. The price briefly broke above the previous high but quickly dropped by $3,000, landing on the monthly pivot point and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, leading to a small bounce. 🔹 Current Expectation: I anticipate a retest of the $68,000–$68,500 zone before the downtrend continues toward $65,500–$65,000. This next key support area is reinforced by the 0.382 Fibonacci level, S1 pivot, and significant price action. The Simple Moving Average is also moving toward this zone, making it a confluence area of interest. So far, the price has made an impulsive five-wave move downward, followed by a corrective ABC structure. Waves A and B appear complete, and we are likely in wave C, heading for the $68,000–$68,500 zone. If this zone fails, we may see a move towards $48,000, $44,000, or even $40,000. However, it's too early to confirm a full bearish reversal at this point. 🔹 Key Levels:🔹 Resistance Zone: $68,000–$68,500 TP 1: $65,500–$65,000 TP 2: $62.9 - 61.3k Invalidation: 69.6k Next Potential Targets (Bearish): $48,000 / $44,000 / $40,000 🚨 Disclaimer:🚨 ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and assess the risks before trading.⚠️
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by RhinoAkaBear
BTC - Bearish Short-Term...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉After breaking below the previous low of $68,000 (marked in red), BTC's momentum shifted from bullish to bearish in the short term. The question is: until when or where? As long as the bears remain in control, the next major support zone that could hold BTC up is the $63,000 demand zone. 📈Around that demand zone, we will monitor price action and look for bullish setups to confirm a potential reversal. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
4
BTCUSDT short using proprietary multi-timeframe trend detectionBTC has rejected the short term trend (13D EMA) yesterday and again today on the H1 time frame. For the coming hours it will be quite interesting to gauge wether we see a reclaim of the H1 200D EMA or not. We've had a candle close below it and look to be targeting 65.5k - 64.7k in the short term. Would be a great zone to look for swing longs into new highs in my opinion. Entry: 66874 SL: 68007 TP: 64736 Short term I'd like to see the H4 close back below 66k for relative confidence that this leg is well underway. Will look to move the SL into BE when that happens.
Short
by backo3456
21/10/24 Weekly outlook (day late)Last weeks high: $69,001.51 Last weeks low: $62,475.70 Midpoint: $65,738.60 Bit of a different weekly outlook this week as I couldn't post yesterday. So with the benefit of hindsight it looks like we have a swing fail pattern in the making after taking the liquidity from the $69,000 ('21 ATH) level. I would say judging by the chart I would want the downside to be capped at the Midpoint, continuing the trend pattern of higher highs and higher lows. The '21 ATH has been the biggest hurdle for BTC over the last 7 months with repetitive rejections, if the lows can keep creeping up then eventually we should get a spring above and that should be the move for an ATH run which should happen soon after if all goes well. Naturally we have ever increasing outside interference with the US election just around the corner, we know this is likely to cause volatility so be careful of that. Prediction markets like Polymarket have Trump as favourite, he is the pro bitcoin candidate so it should be a positive for the space if he were to be elected but you never quite know what will happen until it's confirmed. This week I want to see BTC continuing to make higher lows and higher highs. Altcoins have cooled off a little too after the initial BTC burst up from $60,000 so I'm looking for opportunities there too.
by ProR35
BITCOIN When the 4 year Cycles do the talking..It's been some time since we last used the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) but the timing is just right to bring you an update, only 2 weeks before the U.S. Presidential Elections with the market ahead on an imminent bullish break-out. This time we look into how the price was trading on this date every 4 years. As you know BTC is trading roughly within 4 year Cycles that keep a high degree of symmetry and tend to repeat a lot of dynamics each time. Right now, towards the end of October (2024), the price is trading within the Mean MM (black trend-line) and the 1st SD above (grey trend-line). It has already started rising off the Mean MM. Based on the 4-year Cycle Theory, it is no surprise then that the price was within the exact same range in October 2020, October 2016 and October 2012. The degree of symmetry is remarkable and is yet again showcased by this indicator. We can also see that by this time every 4 years, the price had already started rising off the Mean MM, just as it is doing now. With the green Rectangles we display the date range between these 4-year intervals and the peak of the Bull Cycle. For October 2012 it took 58 weeks (406 days) until it topped, October 2016 was 60 weeks (420 days) while October 2020 was 55 days (385 days). So time-wise the Cycle tends to peak roughly the same period. As a result, if we take the minimum scenario of 55 weeks, we can expect the Cycle to top by mid November 2025. As far as targets are concerned, the first two Cycles hit (and broke) the 3 SD above (red trend-line), while the last one the 2 SD above (orange trend-line). Again assuming a 'worst case scenario' hitting 'just' the 2 SD trend-line, we can set a Target Range of 190k - 250k, depending on whether the price hits it halfway through the 55 week range or towards its end. Nevertheless, an exciting rally appears to be starting for Bitcoin. So what do you think? Is this October MMB fractal about to break to a parabolic rally? And if so, will it hit the orange trend-line? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
Oct.15-Oct.21(BTC)Weekly market recapThe CME interest rate swap market predicts that the FOMC will likely cut rates by 25 basis points in November. This means that after a 50 basis point cut, the Federal Reserve will loosen its monetary policy. This is not favorable for risk assets, including BTC. In the past two weeks, BTC ETFs have seen significant net inflows, indicating that after the shift in monetary policy, funds are gradually flowing into the cryptocurrency market. This is a large-scale trend. BTC is rapidly approaching its all-time high (ATH). However, the pricing in the interest rate market for a November rate cut may lead to some degree of correction for BTC. Additionally, the U.S. presidential election will take place in early November. While Harris has expressed support for cryptocurrencies, Trump is undoubtedly the biggest supporter for the sector. The importance of the U.S. election for BTC is increasing. As we expected, BTC maintained its upward trend last week and moved above the given support level. We can see the blue bars representing whales appearing on the WTA indicator. The macro shift is starting to attract large capital. The purple wave area on the ME indicator is widening, indicating stronger bullish sentiment. In summary, we believe BTC may experience a correction this week and then continue to rise afterward. We are raising the resistance level to 70,000 and the support level to 60,000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Continued bearish scenario for BitcoinIn the daily time frame, as we expected in the weekly analysis, we see the formation of a reversal candle with the appropriate volume to change the upward to downward trend, and also the level of 66600, which was the last level for daily support which we say 3candle formation , has been engulfed and the price has penetrated into it, which indicates the passage. Supporting it in the next encounter is clearly visible in the 4-hour timeframe In the 4-hour time frame, we have a change of charector and a downward range has been formed, which in the 1-hour time frame, by leaving the ascending wedge pattern, this range is placed below the 4-hour block breaker and the daily key level, which can be confirmed in the lower time frame. Enter the short trade if it is shown in the 15 minute time frame
Short
by MrHunterTradeInsight