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Bitcoin & some Sunday thoughtsAt this moment, I’m long Bitcoin, just like many others out there who are hoping for the next all-time high. The dream of Bitcoin breaking its historical peak is alive, but there’s this lingering question I can’t ignore: what if it doesn’t happen? It’s worth considering a scenario that no one really talks about — what if Bitcoin doesn't break out to new highs and instead stays in a range between $50k and $70k for the next few years? We've seen this play out before in other markets. Take gold, for example, between 2020 and 2024. After its big run-up, it stayed in a range, teasing breakouts but taking years before finally breaking through its previous all-time high. What If Bitcoin Enters a Prolonged Range? The idea that Bitcoin might simply range trade between key levels for a long period is not that far-fetched. The fact that we now have Bitcoin ETFs isn't necessarily a bullish argument. After all, ETFs exist for gold too, and that didn’t prevent gold from ranging for several years. Similarly, the argument that institutional investors are buying Bitcoin also isn’t a guarantee of a breakout. Big players have been accumulating gold for years, and yet, the price didn't explode immediately. Instead, it moved in a sideways range, frustrating long term bulls, until it was ready for a sustained move. The Danger of Fake Breakouts Bitcoin is notorious for its spike-like moves that give traders hope of a breakout, only to reverse in the opposite direction shortly after. It’s entirely possible that in the coming months or years, we could see multiple fake breakouts to the upside, triggering excitement that "this is it," only for Bitcoin to quickly retrace, leaving traders caught off-guard. The same thing could happen with downward spikes that make people think the bull market is over, only for Bitcoin to bounce back into its range. Final Thoughts Bitcoin’s potential to enter a prolonged range, despite the ETF and institutional buying, is a real possibility. The key takeaway is that traders and investors should be prepared for both scenarios: the explosive breakout everyone hopes for, but also the chance that Bitcoin could just as easily trade sideways for years, keeping everyone guessing. As always, the market will do what it wants, and our job as traders is to remain adaptable, keep emotions in check, and make the best decisions based on what we see, not just what we hope for.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
12
BTC - One More Impulse...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 BTC has been overall bullish, trading within the rising flat wedge in orange. Currently, BTC is undergoing a correction phase and approaching the lower bound of the wedge. Moreover, the $63,000 - $63,500 is a strong demand zone. 🏹 Thus, as long as the lower orange trendline holds, we expect the bulls to kick in soon! 📚 As per my trading style: As #BTC approaches the orange trendline, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
13
30/09/24 Weekly outlookFollowing a very important week in the macro economic landscape, a round of rate cuts that signals a pivot in how governments are tackling their economies, bitcoin saw a surge from the start of the week right through until the end of the traditional trading week on Friday. Up +6.3%. Last week Bitcoin spot ETFs had a net inflow of US$1.11 billion, and Ethereum spot ETFs had a net inflow of $84.51m. Bitcoin is clearly still favoured by the larger institutional investors, at least for now they are. This week should be a semi-turbulent week given the forces at play, we've seen the larger economic environment flip to a more risk-on one with the event of a 50bps rate cut starting a period of QE, however, it is also the month end & quarter end. This is a time for "window dressing" the balance sheet and is negative to market liquidity. With banks making their balance sheet risk assessments at the very end of the quarter a shift from holding riskier assets to safer/high quality assets is made and therefor an assets like BTC will fall victim to this. We are seeing the effects of that at time of writing, BTC has fallen -2.7% today and this window dressing is definitely a contributor to it, albeit a potentially temporary measure and on the 1st OCT that pressure should be relieved. Given the broader market environment, by the end of the week this loss should be recovered and some, IMO any dip is for buying in all of Q4, everything has set up nicely for a strong finish to the end of the year!
by ProR35
BTC - My cute prices predictions for 2025BTC touched 0.786 fib extension, next stop would be 80K after breakout I set the limit date to 29 of September 2025 as it was the numbers of days of the whole last bull run 2019 to 2021, so don't take it as a fixed date. It could also do the same as this year and top in April 2025 ! Purple trendines are supports from the past bull run, that can act as resistances now, there are 2 different lines because I'm not sure if I have to consider Mars 2020 Covid mini-crash or not. Here is the plan : I set 3 targets depending on the momentum we have In my opinion, without critical failure we will reach at least the red circle. I will consider we go to the higher station if we break the price target before April or between July & September. Note that at the last bull run, BTC topped at 69k, 3.272 fib extensions - red path : between 120 000 & 144 000, 1.618 & 2 fib extensions Sadly, to me it's most likely we end there, there's too many resistances here in the same area, but its also means we fly to the orange circle very easily if we break those. But to me staying at the bottom of the channel I drew would be kinda strange so IMO I would say we can go to orange circle - orange path : between 225 000 & 250 000, 3.272 & 3.618 fib we touch 120k in April, its also the middle of the parallel channel, then we hit the top of the channel at least 3.272 fib. As I already stated it, it was the top from the last bull run - green path : Between 315 000 & 340 000, 4.618 fib at the other purple trend line level very unlikely, I think for this to happens we need to finish this year at 120k our first target I will make another post end of year and will remove either the red or the green path depending on the price of the BTC Vertifcal lines and blue arrows : Vertical lines at the beginning of the first 2 waves, BTC went up 245 days 2 times since end 2022, I'm confident enough to cash out a bit in April, 245 days after the last low that occurred the 5 of august, and to try to catch it lower, as during this period BTC will go often -20-30% Bonus : you also get my price target for when it's time to buy back, end summer 2026 we can wait BTC to go back a bit lower than the top of the last bull run, the orange horizontal line at 55555,55 Not a financial advice Cheers and good luck
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Investwine
BTCUSDT: Why BITCOIN Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential Movethe BITCOIN is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD) Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
4
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in short-term !!BTC is attempting to break through resistance of ascending triangle pattern after bouncing off support. Wait for a decisive breakout above the ma 200 to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend . Up we go if we do breakout , also a bullish hidden Divergence (HD+) on MACD which shows Positive Signs for BTC. The price can increase as much as the measured price movement ( AB=CD ) . The break out needed for increasing further has not happened but it should happen pretty soon. ✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad. _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!
Long
by CobraVanguard
BITCOIN IN COMING DAYS !!!Now bitcoin price is in the ascending Triangle with means the bitcoin price can react to this situation and breaks the triangle and will go up. and the most important resistance for Btc is currently 61k if the price breaks this resistance, Bitcoin can reach the top of the megaphone. and also , the price can follow the butterfly pattern and go up. Maybe... ✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad. _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
6
BTC's situation+next targets and expected movements.It seems that the price has good support after the wedge break on 78% Fibonacci and after this price can grow up to resistance zone also BITCOIN has completed his corrective waves (ABC) , now it is time to start the five bullish waves !! ✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad. _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
1
BITCOIN When Yuan gains Bitcoin shines. And it's already startedBitcoin (BTCUSD) has already started to break-out last week as it closed the first 1W candle with a Lower High in 6 months. Since the August 05 bottom, we've been seeing a strong bullish build up on BTC and the reason may be simpler than you thought. As this 1W chart shows, historically when the USDCNY pair (red trend-line) tops by forming Lower Highs and starts declining (aggressively), Bitcoin always initiates its Parabolic Rally phase. This basically means than when the Yuan gains strength, Bitcoin shines. The USDCNY's previous Cycle in particular, is virtually identical to the current one (2022 - 2024). All the above indicate that we may be on the verge and witnessing the start of BTC's most powerful part of the Bull Cycle. But what do you think? Will a continuous fall on USDCNY fuel an aggressive rally on Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
63K and 68.75K to watchGreetings everybody, Just on Thu we've decided to be cautious about any bearish positions as market was behaving not typical, BTC has made drastic changes on Friday. A lot of bullish signs now. It means that currently we have bullish context. Our nearest target is 68.75K. Meantime, market has hit local 4H H&S target and now shows the response. Here 63K looks interesting for long position taking - trend line support and 3/8 Fib level. Besides, if later this construction will shift to H&S - we should get upside bounce in a way of right arm, so chances to move stops to breakeven look as good. Another pattern that might be formed - upside 1.618 3-Drive and BTC could start upside action earlier than 63K. If you want to foresee this either, one of the options is to split position in parts and take small part first, say, 30% of normal trading lot. Take the rest if BTC hits 63K support.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
Btc at confluence support. 68k still in playSince the beginning of the month, BTC has been in an uptrend, recently breaking above its previous high of 64,500. After reaching a high around the 66,500 zone, the price began to decline in what appears to be a correction. Currently, the price is sitting right at a key confluence support level. If we're aiming for a move toward 68k, the price needs to hold above this level and not close the day below it. However, if the price drops below this support, there's a strong chance that we've reached a local top, and further losses may follow.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Day 1 AI analyzing my trading ideasMy first published chart, I had an idea to send my chart to AI and ask what it sees, the support lines were added to the chart a while ago by myself but still do represent good support. I’m sure a lot of people have noticed this triangle forming on the daily, so this is my first test to see if AI can see anything no one else can. Disclaimer this is not trading advice and I am not a trading expert, just someone who loves to look at charts and read people’s ideas and thoughts. Below is the AI evaluation. This image appears to be a Bitcoin (BTC) to US Dollar (USD) chart, most likely from a trading platform such as TradingView. Here are some key details and observations: 1. **Chart Pattern (Symmetrical Triangle)**: - The purple triangle drawn on the chart is a common technical analysis pattern known as a "symmetrical triangle." It is formed by drawing trendlines connecting higher lows and lower highs, creating a converging triangle. This usually indicates a period of consolidation where the price is moving within a range before a breakout in either direction. - The points labeled A, B, C, and D highlight the highs and lows within the triangle, suggesting the completion of a cycle within the pattern. Traders often wait for a breakout (either upward or downward) from this triangle pattern to enter positions. 2. **Price Levels**: - The current price is shown as **$64,669.33**, which is a drop of **1.48%** from the previous level. - There are significant support and resistance levels drawn with horizontal lines: - **$48,333.61** and **$45,806.41** are key levels below the current price, likely indicating potential support zones if the price falls. - There is also a more distant level at **$31,282.06**, which could represent a strong support zone if the price breaks downwards significantly. 3. **Timeframe**: - The timeframe is set to **1D**, meaning that each candlestick on the chart represents one day of trading activity. - The date axis indicates the price history from around early 2024, with the pattern extending into July 2024 and beyond. 4. **Volume**: - The volume bars at the bottom of the chart show the level of trading activity. Higher green bars indicate higher buying interest, while red bars would indicate selling pressure (though none seem to be visible in this image). In summary, this chart shows Bitcoin trading within a symmetrical triangle, suggesting that traders are watching for a potential breakout in either direction. A breakout above the upper trendline could lead to further price increases, while a breakdown below the lower trendline could signal a decline.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Kevinwastaken
2
BTC/USDT CHART UPDATE !!Hello friends, welcome to this BITCOIN update from Crypto Sanders. The chart shows Bitcoin getting rejected at a key resistance level, as indicated by three rounded peaks. The third peak, marked as the most recent, shows another failure to break the descending resistance trendline. The red arrow indicates a potential bearish move, forecasting a decline in Bitcoin price towards the lower green trendline, which has been acting as a support level since June. This suggests a potential retest of support around the $50,000 – $52,000 level. After nearly touching $66,000, Bitcoin has pulled back and is currently trading around $64,487. The price appears to have been rejected near the resistance area, which aligns with a previous pattern of failure to break out. The yellow moving average line is sloping upwards, but the rejection at resistance suggests that the price may continue to struggle, which is in line with the bearish forecast in the short term. Do you want more information on potential price movements or further interpretation of this chart? Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
Short
by CryptoSanders9563
Before the new month beginsHello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) There is now one day left until a new candle is created. The current StochRSI indicator is rising below the midpoint (50). We need to check what the StochRSI indicator will look like when a new candle is created. I have marked three sections as important support and resistance sections on the 1M chart. If it falls below the second section, it is likely to turn into a downtrend, and the strong support section at this time is the third section. - (1W chart) The next volatility period is the week around October 7th. So, September 30th - October 13th. The important sections on the 1W chart are 69648.14, 65920.71, 61099.25, and the M-Signal on the 1M chart. The StochRSI indicator has risen above the midpoint (50). Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it will enter the overbought zone when a new candle is created. Since the BW line is currently formed at 69648.14, it is important to check whether there is support near this point. If it goes up a bit more, there is a possibility that a new BW line will be created, so if a new BW line is created, we need to check whether there is support near it. - (1D chart) Among the volatility periods mentioned in the 1W chart, it is expected that full-blown volatility will likely occur between October 5th and 10th. What is important to watch as this volatility period passes is whether it can fall below 56150.01 or rise above 66676.87-68249.88. - It is currently located near the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart. As I mentioned in the previous idea as an update, the StochRSI EMA indicator has never touched the 100 point. Therefore, there is a very high possibility that the StochRSI indicator will be reset somehow. Therefore, it is an important point to watch how the StochRSI indicator is initialized. Since it is overheated, even if it shows a slight decline, the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend. In this movement, buying because the price is rising will make your psychological state unstable. Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it can be supported at the lower point of the HA-HIgh indicator box (65441.08) ~ 65920.71. If it falls without support, 1st: 64179.08 2nd: 61099.25 You should check whether it is supported at the 1st and 2nd points above. When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone, there are cases where it immediately shows a downward trend and cases where it does not. Currently, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when the StochRSI indicator is located near the midpoint (50). At this time, I think it is important to know where it is supported. - If it rises above 65920.71, 1st: 67614.25 2nd: 69648.14 We need to check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. However, depending on whether the StochRSI indicator is initialized, there is a possibility that the upward trend will continue while creating a new wave, so we need to watch the situation. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
BTC Lucky Number 7 !!! Get Ready for the Bull RUN!! But first...Lucky Number 7 !!!!!! Get Ready for the Bull-RUN!!! But first... First of all, I want to clarify that all the checkmarks checked off are the predictions we have been making over all these months. Each checkmark is confirmation that the price behavior followed the analysis we conducted. In this case, the breakout of point #7 was fulfilled, and this is the breakout I had been waiting for around July-August (point #3). But before we proceed, I want to clarify that for me, a valid breakout means the candle and wick are completely outside the resistance line! So, indeed, for me, this is a legitimate breakout. BUT BEFORE THIS HAPPENS, WE HAVE TO SEE A SUPER IMPORTANT MOVE!!!!! Within the N3 pattern, whenever there is a breakout, it is always followed by a new high, and then the price makes its natural pullback. We will look for the price to touch the new support level, rebound, and aim for a new high. This is my N3 pattern, which I always look for after confirming a breakout. So, let’s wait a few days to allow Bitcoin to rise as much as it needs to, make its natural pullback, and then buckle up because we’re about to see a strong bullish run. Thanks for supporting my analysis. Good luck! -mike
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RocketMike111
Bitcoin: 70K Objective Within Range.Bitcoin has pushed beyond the 64K resistance but is now hesitating with the appearance of an inside bar. If the high of the inside bar is cleared, that would be a momentum continuation signal which can see price push into the 67 to 69K resistance. If the low of the inside bar is cleared, a retrace can unfold which can take price back into the 63 to 64K area (old resistance/new support). The key to navigating this is WAITING for confirmation and having your parameters and expectations predefined. Reacting to market events is typical retail behavior most often a mistake. The illustration on my chart shows the scenario that I am anticipating over the coming week. (See my previous articles to see these play out). While there is NO way to know if price will follow this path, IF price action confirms, this scenario has a greater probability. I am able to identify these opportunities from carefully evaluating TREND and SUPPORT/RESISTANCE levels. I am simply FOLLOWING what the market is implying through price. I don't have to get overwhelmed with "fundamentals", and "news" and other propaganda because price factors in ALL the known information in the world in a given moment (Efficient Markets). If you understand this concept, it then becomes much easier to recognize opportunities and most importantly measure the associated RISK. The arrow on my chart points to a predetermined price area (63 to 64K) to watch for If reached. This would be the lowest risk/highest probability point if confirmation appears. Ideal for swing trades especially where reward/risk can reasonably be 2:1 or greater. The reward/risk component depends on how you define risk at the time of the signal (this is what I use Trade Scanner Pro for). You can also use the next support level or candle stick low which is better than nothing. What is also compelling about this situation is the changing interest rate environment. While the change will not have an instant to the moon effect, it will offer a more supportive environment over time. This will be ESPECIALLY important during pullbacks when support levels are tested. This charge also calls for a closer look at low priced small caps/alt coins because they are poised to benefit from the increasing money supply resulting from lower rates. NOW is the time to be looking to invest, NOT at all time highs. I will be talking more about this soon as well. How you use this information will mostly depend on your decision making structure. A seemingly more bullish environment does not guarantee trades/investments will work out. Although it does provide for a more forgiving market. Know your RISK before you enter any type of position and this can be defined by using information straight from your chart. For example if Bitcoin confirms a long at 64K, I automatically know risk on this time frame can be at least 1 to 2K points. From there, a profit objective and sizing regime can be worked out. If you are not this organized, do NOT risk real money until you have some kind of management or decision making structure in place. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Editors' picks
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
21
4-Hour Chart Analysis: Bitcoin at a Critical PointAlright ladies and gentlemen, we're looking at the 4-hour chart for Bitcoin. You can see in this highlighted red box that Bitcoin is in a tight spot. This is a make-or-break moment. Bitcoin needs to break above that green trendline to head to the moon, or it risks getting rejected and heading down. Right now, you should keep a close eye on the 4-hour chart to see which direction Bitcoin takes. It's not looking great, as Bitcoin has been overextended for the past few days, staying longer than expected. This moment will decide if we're all getting Lambos or heading down the tubes. Stay tuned, and don't forget to hit that like button! If you have any questions, leave a comment below. Have a great day!
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup