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CYCLE4 | Halving Cycle MapperQuick post to demonstrate indicator looking at DCA positions to enter into the bear market and out of the bull market zones. Below 'Cheat Sheet' summary developed based on prior cycle mapping posts and historic reviews of Cycle 1 to 3 for BTC. Brief structure * Bull Market Start: 40W post Halving * Bull Market End: 80W post Halving * Bear Market (Start DCA Positions): 135W post Halving DCA Entres (including 135W from halving) = x5 @ 12 weekly intervals
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Brodie
1
BITCOIN: Money on Your Screen? Turn It Into Real Gains at $100K!"Money on your screen won't feed your family." This simple truth serves as a reminder to lock in some short- or mid-term profits. Imho, the price range between $95,000 and $105,000 presents a solid opportunity to take some gains off the table. For long-term holders, your target prices might be far beyond imagination, but technically, this area offers an optimal spot to secure some profits. At the very least, consider taking partial profits here. Yes, the price could continue climbing, but remember: "Reward yourself and ground your expectations." Technical Criteria Supporting This Zone: 1. The psychological round number $100,000. A long-anticipated milestone and natural profit-taking level. 2. Channel projection – This method suggests optimal areas for profit-taking, especially when there is minimal or non-historical price action on the left side of the chart. 3. Equal waves within the channel are also indicated inside the green box. Taking profits isn’t about abandoning the trade; it’s about rewarding yourself for making smart decisions and reducing risk. Prices at these levels are high. Summary: Locking in profits in the $95,000–$105,000 range is both technically justified and psychologically wise. This zone aligns with key technical criteria, including the psychological $100,000 level, channel projections, and equal wave measurements. Partial profit-taking ensures you reward yourself while staying grounded, even if the market has more upside potential. Regards, Vaido
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by VaidoVeek
3
BTC thesis with RAG AI by Titan_KarmaThe current investment thesis for Bitcoin (BTC) indicates a strong bullish sentiment, with the price recently reaching $97,400. Given the recent news highlighting the potential for Bitcoin to approach the $100,000 mark, traders are advised to maintain their LONG positions. However, caution is warranted due to profit-taking activities and the possibility of increased market volatility. Incorporating the last open long price of $97,071.99, it is essential to monitor market indicators closely. The current trading volume of approximately 25,514 suggests active participation, but the mixed long-short ratios indicate a divided sentiment among traders. This necessitates a careful approach to trading decisions, particularly in setting stop-loss orders to safeguard profits. coinglass_data: Real-time data from Coinglass shows that open interest is increasing, indicating growing market participation. The weighted funding rate remains neutral, suggesting no immediate pressure on either side. Liquidation levels are being monitored closely, as sudden price movements could trigger significant liquidations. Expert Consultation: Market experts are currently bullish on Bitcoin, with many suggesting that the upward momentum could continue if key support levels hold. Analysts recommend watching for any signs of reversal, particularly if the price approaches resistance levels. coinmarketcap_data: According to CoinMarketCap, the market cap for Bitcoin is robust, with a liquidity score indicating healthy trading conditions. The recent candlestick patterns suggest bullish continuation, but traders should remain vigilant for potential pullbacks. sentiment: Sentiment analysis from Augmento.ai indicates a predominantly positive outlook among traders, with many expressing confidence in Bitcoin's upward trajectory. However, caution is advised as sentiment can shift rapidly in response to market news. binance_data: Technical indicators from TradingView reveal that the volatility index is elevated, and order book dynamics show significant buy walls at current levels. Price action signals indicate a potential for breakout, but traders should be prepared for possible corrections. In summary, while the bullish trend is evident, it is crucial to implement risk management strategies, including setting appropriate stop-loss levels to protect gains. The historical performance of Bitcoin suggests that maintaining a disciplined approach will be key to navigating the current market conditions effectively. TRADE RECOMMENDATION json { "OUTCOME": "HOLD_BUY", "STOP_LOSS": "$95,000.00", "TAKE_PROFIT": "$100,000.00", "CONFIDENCE_LEVEL": "85%", "EXIT_POINT": "$98,000.00", "ENTRY_CRITERIA": { "TIMEFRAME": "1h", "RSI": "above 80", "MACD": "above 0" }, "CURRENT_OPEN_LONG_POSITIONS": 11, "CURRENT_OPEN_SHORT_POSITIONS": 0 }
Long
by titankarma
BITCOIN rally cant get caught anymore and SPXRUT ratio shows whyIt's beyond doubt now that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started the new Parabolic Rally (PR), technically the most aggressive phase of the Bull Cycle. We've made numerous analyses in the past explaining on time why we expected this break-out to take place after 7 months of accumulation. What we bring to you today is the SPX/RUT ratio, the correlation of the S&P500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (RUT) indices against BTC and how it confirms that this rally will now accelerate to a pace that it won't be easy to get caught (i.e. bought). The SPX/RUT ratio is displayed by the blue trend-line. The ratio is particularly helpful during Bitcoin's Parabolic Rally phase as their correlation is mostly a negative one, meaning when the ratio falls, Bitcoin rises. On this chart, this correlation is present on a cyclical basis. This means that during every Cycle, it displays a behavioral pattern that is common. The key characteristic here is the Lower Highs pattern that the ratio forms every Cycle around the Halving time. As you can see, when SPX/RUT peaks (red circle) and starts forming Lower Highs, Bitcoin stars its Parabolic Rally (green arc). On the 1st Lower High, BTC's rally is already underway and has entered the stage where due to the sheer buying pressure and aggression, getting an entry is difficult. The Lower Highs on SPX/RUT also signify a shift from big capitalization stocks to low, i.e. an increasing appetite for riskier assets and that transcends to the Bitcoin market as well. So what do you think? Does the SPX/RUT ratio indicate that we've started the part of BTC's rally that is hard to catch? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7
BTC to100K: Riding the Bullish Breakout with Strong FundamentalsBTC is currently showing strong bullish momentum, with both technical and fundamental factors in alignment. The trade aims to capitalize on this momentum towards the 100K level, with a cautious eye on potential selling pressure. Pay attention to the consolidation range, as further upward movement could solidify BTC’s path to the target. Technical Overview: • Trend: We are in a strong bullish trend, trading well above the 200MA, indicating sustained upward momentum. • Breakout & Retest: Recently, BTC saw a breakout and a successful retest, reinforcing this trend. • Range Consolidation: Currently consolidating within a range, with a low at 85K and a high at 93K. I’ve taken a mid-range entry to capitalize on any upward movement within this channel. • Plan: If sellers aggressively push the price above the 85K level, I will consider reentry opportunities aligned with price action. Fundamental Drivers: 1. Global Adoption & Regulation: The Fed’s constructive stance on digital assets, combined with increasing demand and institutional adoption, is supporting BTC’s upward trajectory. 2. Economic Conditions: As inflation and interest rates remain focal points, Bitcoin is being viewed as an inflation hedge. Additionally, El Salvador’s adoption of BTC as legal tender is adding to the credibility and mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency. 3. Bitcoin ETF: The SEC’s positive outlook on a BTC-based ETF is expected to boost demand and further legitimize BTC within traditional financial markets. 4. Geopolitical Factors: War-driven demand, potential sanctions on Russian money, and global financial uncertainty are all fueling demand for BTC as a decentralized, safe-haven asset. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
2
$BTC parabolic move will continue!Two years ago, we confirmed the #Bitcoin bottom in November 2022! There was a 528.58% increase from the December 2018 bottom to November 2020. There was a 529.81% increase from the November 2022 bottom to November 2024 and it is still continuing. Therefore, we witnessed a mega bull process for #btc and #altcoins with a closing and retest in December 2020 above the 2017 local peak. Today, a one-month closing and retest has been completed as of November 2024, above 69k, which is the local peak of November 2021. An exciting process begins for #Alts and #BTC
by EtherNasyonaL
Going to 102KToday, guys we show you the longest and shortest our charts. First one is a monthly time frame, and it shows strategical targets, and the nearest one is 102K. Pay attention that price is coming to historical record of overbought level. This combination significantly increases the retracement chances once 102K target will be reached. Still, on 1H chart BTC accurately completed our 98K target - butterfly and 3-Drive patterns. Although downside retracement here is also possible, thus minimal butterfly target is 3/8 pullback to 96.50K area. But we do not expect that retracement will become more extended. The attractiveness and magic of 100K level strongly acts on the minds of investors, so by all efforts BTC will tend to touch 100K area
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
1
$BTC Why You Should Be Accumulating Crypto NowBased on 2018-2020 data, 0.786 is a common retracement area for BTC after a bull run. Near EOY of 2017, when BTC rose to around $19,700, we saw a retracement to $3,100. This area is under 0.786 Retracement of $4330. In July 2019, when BTC rose to around $13,900 from $3,100, we saw a retracement to $3,850. This area is under 0.786 Retracement of $5420. Near EOY of 2021, when BTC rose to ATM of $69,000, we are now seeing a retracement under 0.786 Retracement of $17,800. What does this mean? As many know, we are currently not in a bull market. We have seen an over 75% drop from ATH of $69,000, which may indicate a reversal for the market in the very near future. The shift from a bear to a bull market is coming soon. History suggests that now is a great time to accumulate crypto for discount prices while others are hesitant.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Smarter_Trades
4
CYCLE 4 | Realised Price Oscillator & Overlay - DETAILEDThis post is intended to be used with an earlier interactive companion post, crated to observe BTC's interactions in prior cycles so we can take learnings into cycle 4 with respect to BTC's under and over extensions of the calculated Realised Price. A quick refresher - What is Realized Price? Source: www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com "Bitcoin Realized Price is the value of all bitcoins at the price they were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. This gives us the ‘average cost basis’ at which all bitcoins were purchased, which is another way of describing Realized Price." The above relationships have been incorporated into the Overlay and Oscillator indicators developed for this post to use into DCA accumulation and sell strategies. Historic Observations As per the above prior post, we see BTC enters a cycle topping and bottom phase when BTC's 'Realised Price' enters the top red and bottom green over extended regions of the normalised Oscillator and the Red and Blue Extension lines of the Overlay indicators. We see historically the Oscillator shows the region where price moves with high volatility and other indicators that rely on divergence can extended much further than in other periods in the cycle before a true change in trend is achieved. In 2021 Overlay indicator (RED Line) was breached many times before we put in a significant trend change and the ultimate cycle top was realised at the second peak interestingly at the lower 'Purple' extension line November of that year. CYCLE 4 Update Where are we now according to the Realised Price Overlay and Oscillator indicators... Based on historic review of BTC relationship suggests we are about to enter the parabolic region of this cycles (Oscillator is about to enter into the 'RED' zone and Overlay indicator has breached the Purple line and is between the Red and Purple line). Interestingly this relationship aligns with our cycle mapping posts, looking at BTC historic behavior since cycle bottoms and tops and BTC price targets based on Fibonacci extensions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Brodie
CYCLE 4 | Realised Price Oscillator & OverlayThis post is intended as an interactive companion post with a 'to follow' detail post for historic analysis. I want to explore the relationship with BTC and Realised Price, and historically where we have seen cycle over bought and sold regions based on extensions from calculated realised price values. What is Realized Price? Source: www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com "Bitcoin Realized Price is the value of all bitcoins at the price they were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. This gives us the ‘average cost basis’ at which all bitcoins were purchased, which is another way of describing Realized Price." The above relationships have been incorporated into the Overlay and Oscillator indicators developed for this post to use into DCA accumulation and sell strategies. I will follow this post with a zoomed version for detailed discussion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Brodie
Alikze »» BITC | Ascending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 4H - Bitcoin has already touched the supply range according to the analysis presented in the daily target time frame. - In the 4H time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, which has managed to register an ascending candle in the supply area in the 4-hour time frame. - In case of failure of the supply zone, the specified movement path can touch the $100,000 targets of 106,250 and 112,500. NEXT TARGET: 🎯 100.000$ 🎯106250 $ 🎯112500$ SUPPORT LVL 💹 75000$ 💎 In addition, if the sales pressure increases in the supply area, an alternative scenario can be realized. ⚠️ In the alternative scenario, with selling pressure in the supply area by entering the second pullback channel, it can continue to correct until the bottom of the second channel and Fibo 1.618, the range of $75,000.⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by alikze
3
BITCOIN → Bullish run to $100,000. When's the correction?BINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating after a strong rally. Most likely the token is preparing to go even higher. The target of 95K-100K is getting closer and closer and is becoming more and more realistic. FOMO or managed to get on the northbound train? The fundamental backdrop is strong. Trump has been a driver for bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market. The phenomenon as a whole is quite interesting. Bitcoin is coming out of a 9-month accumulation and is strengthening by 34% as part of the rally. Can this rally be even bigger? Yes! And there are bullish premises for that: Technically, bitcoin is not trying to update the lows. It is forming a smooth, calm and upward movement with gradually updating highs, and in the last two days the price has been accumulating in front of a strong resistance level. An ascending price channel is forming on H1-H4. The recent 7% retracement of the ATH is nothing more than profit-taking. There are no funadamental and technical reasons for a deep correction yet. Resistance levels: 91650, 93250 Support levels: 90300, 89200, 87500 At the moment consolidation is forming near 92K. The emphasis is on 91650. A breakdown and consolidation above this area may trigger a continuation of the impulse (rally). I do not exclude that on the background of reduced liquidity (Saturday/Sunday), bitcoin may test the support area before further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
53
#BTC/USDT Analysis Update Bitcoin is consolidating within an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern. BTC is respecting the ascending trendline as support. Horizontal resistance is forming around $93,000, acting as a breakout level. The price currently trades above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating underlying bullish momentum. The cloud acts as dynamic support, reinforcing the possibility of an upside breakout. Decreasing volume during consolidation indicates preparation for a significant move. Watch for a volume spike on the breakout. The RSI is in a healthy range and is moving upwards. The MACD shows the possibility of a bullish cross, indicating upward momentum. Resistance Zone: $93,000 – $93,500 (Breakout Level) Support Trendline: $89,000 – $90,000 (Triangle Base) A close above $93,500 confirms the breakout. Possible Upside Targets: $95,000, $98,000, and $100,000. A drop below $89,000 could signal bearish momentum. Downside Targets: $87,000 and $85,000. BTC is building momentum and could break out of the triangle soon. A breakout above $93,000 with rising volume would confirm bullish dominance. Stay alert and prepare for confirmation! 🚀 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed. You can DM us for information on any other coin. @Peter_CSAdmin
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Bitcoin moves towards 169KNote: The financial market has risk and this is one of the strong scenarios of Bitcoin, manage the risk so that if the analysis expires, you will not suffer a large loss. The price movement momentum is strong. This should be a post-pattern movement. It seems that the Bitcoin triangle, which we have talked about many times before, has come to an end. This triangle has lasted 1272 days. The minimum target of this pattern is 0.78% of its biggest wave, which shows us the range of 169K. It can run towards the target while maintaining the green range. Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
1
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Bullish engulfing was followed thru with a test on $92,786 resistance and breaking towards $95,878 resistance, beautiful resistance and support test on 4H at $95,878 resistance. $97,780 next resistance area, given resistance areas coming in effect nicely, beautiful bullish close on last 4h. Current support at $94,148. $92,786 key support here. Weak volume on current 4H, has plenty of time to recover bullish, let's see how it closes, current range $97,780-$92,786 for short term. Have posted more resistance areas on my Nov 12 post (linked to this post).
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by limitlessnash
Bull flag pattern (with potencial 50% profit R:R 2.6 setup 4BTC)After that BAD NEWS unpredictable shakeout .... Market was warning us but people rally too much on fundamentals. a Bitcoin Bull Flag Formation on the 4-Hour Chart In the chart displayed, we observe a classic Bull Flag formation in Bitcoin's price action, signaling a potential continuation of the ongoing bullish trend. The pattern consists of a sharp upward movement, forming the flagpole, followed by a period of consolidation within a downward-sloping channel, which forms the flag. Key Observations: Flagpole: The initial surge in price that formed the flagpole is indicative of strong buying pressure, suggesting that the bulls are firmly in control. Consolidation Phase: The price action within the flag is characterized by lower highs and lower lows, typical of a flag pattern. This consolidation is healthy as it allows the market to cool off after the rapid ascent. Volume Analysis: During the formation of the flag, we observe decreasing trading volume, a common feature of bull flags, indicating that sellers are losing momentum. A breakout from the flag with increasing volume would confirm the pattern and likely lead to another leg up. Potential Breakout: The upper trendline of the flag is a crucial resistance level. A decisive breakout above this line, especially with a spike in volume, would be a strong bullish signal, potentially leading to a continuation of the uptrend towards higher targets. Price Targets: If the bull flag plays out as expected, the measured move technique suggests a potential price target equal to the length of the flagpole, projected from the breakout point. This could imply significant upside potential for Bitcoin. Support Levels: Immediate support is observed at the lower trendline of the flag. A breakdown below this level might invalidate the bull flag and could lead to further consolidation or a bearish reversal. Technical Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in the neutral zone, indicating that there is room for further upward movement before reaching overbought levels. Moving Averages are sloping upwards, aligning with the bullish outlook. This setup offers a compelling risk-to-reward opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s next potential move. As always, prudent risk management is advised, considering the volatility inherent in cryptocurrency markets. Cheers
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Anoinvest
10
Bitcoin Breaks Record, Shrugs Off Risk-On Label Gold extended gains for a third consecutive session, crossing $2,650 per ounce, as investors sought safety following an escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is also performing well and doesn't appear to be acting totally as a risk-on asset in this environment, surging to a fresh record high. President-elect Donald Trump’s administration is reportedly considering a dedicated cryptocurrency policy role within the White House, Bloomberg reported. Adding to Bitcoin's momentum, the Financial Times revealed that Trump Media and Technology Company is in advanced talks to acquire crypto trading platform Bakkt. Bitcoin remains above key technical levels, including the 50- and 100-day EMAs, while the RSI hit overbought territory at 80.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets