BTC's Situation: What Shall we Expect !!!As I mentioned, the price increased and broke the wedge, but now we are at a very important point that could determine the future of crypto. Tomorrow and the day after, during President Trump's inauguration ceremony, the price might go up a bit more due to excitement. However, we need to pay attention to President Trump's executive orders in the early days of his presidency, as this could have the greatest impact on crypto. So be careful. Hoping for the best.
From a technical perspective, the price may undergo a slight correction and drop to the 0.618 line before rising to $109k dollars.
previous Analysis
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BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription:
This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan:
Analysis:
Market Structure:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows.
Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Zones and Liquidity:
Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance.
Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity.
Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower.
Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend.
Confluences for Short Entry:
Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point.
The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control.
Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias.
Trade Plan:
Short Entry Setup:
Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone).
Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level.
TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity.
TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling.
Additional Notes:
Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character).
Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision.
Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
$BTC Inauguration Day Possible $140k? No I doubt it as this indicator I use isn’t always right at all it’s always either very positive or very negative.
However this indicator remains plausible.
But the fact we have already gone from FWB:98K to $109k today in only 1 hour. We might expect to see a sharp decline to somewhere like $104-$106k but even then this will be a short intra-day drop before a regaining of the overall bullish trend and sentiment.
Do be cautious if you are on the Long and want to make profit soon keep eye on those entry or exit points of yours and don’t fall for any FOMO.
Also IMO this is the start. The start of a large growth period. Yes there will be downs and BIGGER DOWNS THAN EVER BEFORE. Because the value and volume is larger than ever. The 10% drops can be $11k instead of at 30k that’s $3k.
So remember that the larger loss ot seems from same % drops as before is just an illusion you still loose the same or gain the same amount of CRYPTOCAP:BTC coin.
Stay strong KEEP BUYING! Let’s make more supply shock!? It only benefits everyone who owns it!
BITCOIN → Correction before further flight to 112-120KBINANCE:BTCUSD surprises everyone again with this week's rally. After retesting the panic and risk zone, when many started selling, the price turned around and flew 18% in a few days....
One week old idea: BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?
There could be several factors behind the gains that have been forged over the past 3 days:
New reports point to increased activity from major players, including institutional investors,
Trump's upcoming inauguration, the crypto community is expecting the new president to take active steps. And overall, the bullish three-day run is a combination of macroeconomic factors, technical breakdown and fundamental confidence in the future of cryptocurrencies. All of this created a strong bullish momentum that attracted new buyers and increased institutional investor interest.
From a technical perspective, the 100K and 102.5K area plays an important role for me. If the bulls can keep the price above this zone, the growth will continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 102.5K, 100K
Resistance levels: 103.6K, 105.7K, 107.5K
Technically, at the moment, a pre-breakdown situation is forming on H1 against the support at 102.8. Accordingly, bitcoin may form a correction to both 100K and 97.5K. But, if the fall will quickly recover or the bulls will keep the defense above 100-102.5K, then further we can count on growth up to 108-112K.
Regards R. Linda!
$XRP sellers missing gains. Don’t fall for the “sold my XRP I’m done” posts..
Look at the RSI we’re in an over sold area heading up into the over brought area.
So really you buy the over sold and sell the over brought areas aka sell high RSI buy lower RSI.
That’s just one way to note potential entry or exit points.
CRYPTOCAP:XRP isn’t done why? CRYPTOCAP:ETH and CRYPTOCAP:BTC aren’t done.
Hi chances on reversalMorning folks,
So, by introducing $Trump Token, old Donny has put the start of global US Dollar devaluation. And Melania probably will add today...
All our short-term targets are done - weekly grabbers and H&S failure has worked fine, BTC has challenged the top of 108K. We consider this action as hype and emotional. Mostly due euphoria around D. Trump inauguration.
Due to oversold on Monthly and Daily time frames, chances on reversal are significant. So we intend to watch for DRPO "Sell" pattern on weekly chart.
Still, Donny could tell us a lot today, and madness could continue a little bit. We do not exclude that BTC could try to reach nearest upside extension around 113.5K before reversal starts.
We do not call right now for taking short positions, let's see what will be on Thu, prefer to wait for patterns and signs for reversal first. But we call to consider long positions close or, at least tight stops around them.
Take care.
Public trade #11 - #BTC price analysis ( Bitcoin )At the moment, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is making an A-B-C correction within the channel quite harmoniously.
The idea is as follows:
🔽now the market is correcting for a few days and the lower the better.
🔼And then on January 20, Trump will be inaugurated and, as the “messiah,” he will “make life easier” for crypto investors by some decree and the market will break out in growth.
1️⃣ So the first stop of the OKX:BTCUSDT correction should be around $93-94k, and from there, growth can break up to $110k.
2️⃣ The second option is a correction of the #Bitcoin price around $86-87k.
❗️ It's also worth remembering that 29.01.25 is the announcement of the “fresh” Fed Funds rate. And given the fact that inflation has increased this month, the Fed's rate cut is in jeopardy, at best it will be left unchanged.
P.S:
Please excuse the fact that there are so many levels on the chart, but they work well and can be used in trading!)
_____________________
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#BTC. TRADER WHO IS NOT SILENT1! BITCOIN REVIEW FROM 01.20.2025BYBIT:BTCUSDT
#BTC 5H
Hey lovelies! 🌸
While most traders remain silent in fear of making mistakes, I’ll be the only trader to speak up honestly and clearly. I’m ready to take all the heat and guide you through what to expect next. 💖
Bitcoin Analysis
Currently, Bitcoin’s price is approaching the upper boundary of its range, which acts as resistance (I’ve marked it with a blue box on the chart).
The price is rising quickly, and I don’t think this rally will last long. If a pullback happens, I expect it to land around 97K - $94K. I’ve already placed three pending buy orders in this range, and you can see them clearly marked on the chart.
If you’ve already accumulated Bitcoin positions, I recommend:
- Fixing 50% of your position to lock in some profit.
- Setting a stop-loss that aligns with your risk tolerance.
- Reevaluating accumulation at the levels I’ve mentioned.
Alternate Scenario
If there’s no pullback to $96K - $94K and Bitcoin consolidates above $104K, I expect further growth to $109K - $113K.
In this case, you can look for entry points around the resistance level, waiting for its breakout and consolidation above it to confirm the uptrend.
Market Sentiment
There’s been a lot of buzz in the media about the potential creation of national Bitcoin reserves, which is undoubtedly positive news for the crypto market.
As I’ve mentioned before, it’s no coincidence that these announcements come just before Trump’s inauguration. Nor is it a coincidence that he launched his token, which sucked liquidity out of altcoins, causing their prices to drop.
However, as soon as people start selling Trump’s token, the liquidity will flow back into altcoins, sparking a strong rally for them – a major pump is on the horizon. 🚀
My Expectations for Bitcoin:
- A pullback to 97K - $94K, where I’ll be adding more to my positions.
- If support at these levels doesn’t hold, we could see a drop to $84K - 87K, which would be an ideal zone to quickly accumulate spot assets.
- If Bitcoin consolidates above $104K, I anticipate growth to $109K - $113K.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖
Hugs,
Your crypto girl
1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat
Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us.
(Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts)
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting
PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL
WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me
DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support
IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude
HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3
Bearish:
DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report
Neutral:
DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
Bitcoin at Resistance: Expanding Triangle Hold=>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($104,700-$101,920) , near the upper lines (resistance role) of the Expanding Triangle Pattern , Monthly Resistance(1) , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to be moving in an Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 30 days . If the upper line is validly broken, this pattern will be failed.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin can move in an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) in the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin is currently completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . If Bitcoin touches $107,000 , the possibility of this corrective pattern being failed is very high.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,000 .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $107,000, we can expect BTC to make a new All-time High(ATH).
Note: There is also the possibility of Bulltrap formation.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin: 105K Greater Chance Of Retrace.Bitcoin briefly tested 90K only to show a sharp reversal which has lead to a run into the 105K area resistance. IF momentum continues, 108K can be tested, but IF a bearish reversal appears, a test of 100K is also possible. The key is looking for confirmations on smaller time frames in order to get a better sense of what the market wants to do, not what you think it will do. There is also an important lesson here about chart patterns.
First let's address the wave count. My chart shows a "5?" which is potentially the completion of a very broad (monthly) Wave 3. The reason there is a "?" is because in order to confirm, the market needs to do something like clear a major support like 90K. While 89K was actually tested, the swift rejection means 90K is still intact and still the major support area to watch for. This also means the current wave structure going back to the 108K high may still be a Wave 4 and a bullish Wave 5 maybe be developing. 108K will have to be cleared in order to confirm. If this scenario plays out, 113K is the next resistance and profit objective area.
The arrow on the chart points to the 105K AREA resistance. From such a level, I anticipate a brief retrace at least (see illustration) over the coming week which can take price back to 100K. Best way to utilize this information is avoid new longs, look to lock in profits, and/or look for trade ideas on smaller time frames. At the moment there are no bearish signs at all so selling in front of such strong momentum is just as risky as buying and expecting a test of 108K.
The other key lesson here is the head and shoulders pattern. I specifically mentioned this in my previous article. These patterns can appear randomly just like anything else. Jumping to a conclusion upon seeing a such a pattern is what gets you caught on the wrong side of the market when you have moves like the one that is in progress now. Best way to avoid this bias is to always keep an open mind and do NOT think in absolutes. The head and shoulders in this case was totally meaningless. The confirmation would have been a decisive break of 90K, NOT a brief break, followed by a bullish pin bar.
Watch price levels and price structure and let the market choose, our job is to adjust to the market and measure the ever evolving risk. At resistance levels like price is at now, I believe probability favors a retrace. I can be wrong, but if the risk on both sides is high, its better to be wrong and out, than wrong and in.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Need to check the movement of StochRSI and BW(100)
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is showing a change in slope in the overbought zone.
However, due to this rise, the StochRSI indicator may touch the 100 point.
Accordingly, the StochRSI indicator will soon turn downward.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend, the key is whether it can be supported around 101947.24-106133.74.
-
As the BW auxiliary indicator touches the 50 point, the BW(100) indicator is about to be newly created.
Accordingly, the direction in which the newly created BW(100) indicator is created based on the current BW(100) indicator point of 106133.74 is the point of observation.
Since the BW auxiliary indicator must fall from the 100 point in order for the BW(100) indicator to be created, the price will fall when the BW(100) indicator is created.
The BW(100) indicator has currently been on an upward trend.
This time, the point of observation is whether the BW(100) indicator can be created above 106133.74.
The BW(100) indicator and the BW(0) indicator are paired indicators.
Since the BW(100) indicator fell as it was created, the BW(0) indicator was created, so it can be seen that the wave has been initialized.
This time, since the BW(0) indicator is rising as it is being created, if the BW(100) indicator is newly created this time, the wave will be initialized.
This wave refers to the box section that moves in the BW(0) ~ BW(100) section.
The actual wave or trend starts when it deviates from the BW(0) ~ BW(100) section.
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators can also be interpreted as BW(0), BW(100).
However, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are more likely to show wider movements than the BW(0), BW(100) indicators, so they are more advantageous in creating trading strategies.
In that sense, the BW(0) and BW(100) indicators can be said to be indicators that can be responded to in detail in trading strategies.
-
The high point boundary section was formed as the HA-High and BW(100) indicators were created.
Accordingly, it will enter the high point section only when it rises above the 101947.24-106.133.74 section.
If so, the possibility of starting a new upward wave increases.
On the other hand, when the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator are generated, a low point boundary section is formed.
-
Not all indicators move at all times according to the interpretation method.
However, it can only help you find a basis for buying or selling when conducting actual transactions.
The movement of these indicators can be said to be like finding a lighthouse in the vast sea of trading.
-
The next volatility period is between January 23rd and 30th.
We need to look at how BTC moves as it passes through this volatility period.
As explained above, since the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought section, it is important to see whether the STochRSI indicator shows a downward trend as it passes through this volatility period.
The MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1D chart) indicator is rising to around 97461.86.
Accordingly, in order to maintain a short-term uptrend, the price should be maintained above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1D chart) indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an uptrend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
ETH ANALYSIS🔮 #ETH Analysis - Update 🚀🚀
💲 As we said earlier #ETH performed same and retest its support level. Now we can see a formation of Bullish Flag Pattern in #ETH. Breakout of the pattern will indicate a bullish momentum.
💸Current Price -- $3425
📈Target Price -- $4400
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
Will BTC continue its uptrend?Hi all, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the downtrend line and currently we can see how we are struggling to move towards the recent ATH at $108700.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = 106275 USD
T2 = 108476 USD
Т3 = 112839 USD
Т4 = 115756 USD
Т5 = 118876 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 102746 USD
SL2 = 100744 USD
SL3 = 99094 USD
SL4 = 97479 USD
SL5 = 95161 USD
It is worth taking a look at the MACD indicator, which shows that we have entered an uptrend again, and here we have a visible place for this trend to continue.
Additionally, on the SMAs 20 and 50 we can see how we are getting closer to returning to a strong uptrend.
SOLANA, Where is the best zone to long? SOLUSDT / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
The market is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, The price is rejecting the Previous all-time high. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
1- First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
2- New all-time high
3- The one standard deviation target is shown in the chart.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Bitcoin on 'Pause' for brief moment!Seems like Bitcoin is making its moves in bullish fashion and is now exiting from the pause phase . Let me break down those phases for you: Consolidation, Bull, Pause, Bull...
On the chart, I’ve highlighted these phases:
Consolidation Phase: This is represented by a channel pattern , where the price moves within a defined range.
Bull Phase: This is the parabolic movement , showing strong upward momentum.
Pause Phase: This takes the shape of a triangle , signaling a temporary slowdown before the next move.
What’s fascinating is that all these patterns — channel, parabolic, and triangle shapes —have unfolded during the 2023–2024 bull run . Together, they form a rising channel , reinforcing the broader bullish structure.
Let’s see where Bitcoin heads next! 🚀
Is AIDOGEUSDT Ready to Bark Back? Key SignalsAIDOGEUSDT is sitting at a critical juncture with the current price at $0.002035, reflecting a steep decline of 78.08% from its all-time high of $0.009286, set just under a year ago. After bouncing 25.07% off its absolute low, the asset finds itself on a knife’s edge—oversold according to the RSI14 at 19.2. This could indicate a brewing shift in momentum.
Recent patterns in sell volumes and VSA buy signals are fighting for dominance, with key resistance levels like $0.002174 looming ahead. Coupled with macroeconomic uncertainty and rising speculative interest, the question remains: is this a trap or the start of a reversal?
For traders and investors, the urgency is palpable. With long-term averages slumping below key supports, and a convergence of powerful resistance near $0.0024, today’s setup demands attention. Will AIDOGEUSDT claw its way back, or is the worst yet to come?
Stay tuned—this could be your defining moment in this unpredictable crypto saga.
Roadmap: Tracing the Momentum of AIDOGEUSDT through Recent Patterns
Dive deep into the pulse of AIDOGEUSDT as we dissect the most recent series of patterns using a roadmap that tracks not just their presence but their actual impact on price action. Here's how the action played out:
1. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-19 09:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: The "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" signaled potential upward momentum after the close at $0.002174. Despite this signal, the next pattern saw a "Sell Volumes" direction take control, showing no upward breakout from the previous trigger. This invalidated the buy setup, making it a "watch-and-wait" moment for traders.
2. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-19 11:00 UTC)
Direction: Sell
Analysis: Here comes the game-changer. With a close at $0.002035, the sell direction hit hard, accurately reflecting the downward momentum predicted by the pattern. The next movement confirmed the strength of the selling wave, solidifying this as a reliable bearish signal.
3. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-19 08:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: The earlier "Buy Pattern" appeared again, but the rally was short-lived as subsequent sell volumes dampened enthusiasm. This reiteration failed to confirm a buy breakthrough, showcasing the dominance of bearish pressure.
4. VSA Sell Pattern 3rd (2025-01-18 15:00 UTC)
Direction: Sell
Analysis: True to its nature, this sell pattern accurately set up a bearish swing, with the next candles reflecting a consistent downward drift. A textbook example of pattern precision that delivered what it promised.
5. Increased Buy Volumes (2025-01-18 00:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: Bulls finally showed some teeth here, pushing the price from $0.002649 to $0.002776. This pattern proved spot-on, as it marked the beginning of a brief recovery before sellers regained control.
6. VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 3rd (2025-01-17 17:00 UTC)
Direction: Sell
Analysis: Bears ruled the show again, with the price tracking downward in line with the signal. The movement reinforced the bearish bias and gave traders a clear shorting opportunity.
7. Buy Volumes Max (2025-01-17 02:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: This buy signal didn’t disappoint, as the price pushed upward momentarily. While it didn’t lead to a long-term trend change, it offered short-term traders a golden scalp opportunity.
8. VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-14 21:00 UTC)
Direction: Buy
Analysis: The buy pattern highlighted an early rally, but its short lifespan reflected the broader market weakness. The directional signal worked in the moment, although macro bears soon overwhelmed the momentum.
Conclusion
Patterns don't just tell a story—they set the stage for actionable insights. For AIDOGEUSDT, the roadmap reveals a fascinating interplay of bullish and bearish pressures, with sell patterns delivering some of the most reliable setups. Keep this roadmap in mind as we watch the next moves, and remember: in the crypto game, patterns are your allies, but confirmation is king.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
Here's the breakdown of the most critical levels for AIDOGEUSDT that every trader should have on their radar. These zones will act as battlefields between bulls and bears. If they fail to hold, expect these same levels to flip and become stubborn resistance on the way back up.
Support Levels:
These are the lifelines for the bulls. Watch for bounces here:
0.002174 – The immediate support zone that needs to hold to maintain any bullish vibe.
0.002392 – A deeper dip could see buyers stepping in here to defend.
0.002806 – A solid mid-range level that can act as a springboard for recovery.
Resistance Levels:
These levels are where the bulls will face heavy resistance if the price moves upward:
0.003052 – A critical line in the sand. A break and hold above this could ignite bullish momentum.
0.003158 – The upper limit where sellers might hit back hard.
Powerful Support Levels:
Stronger zones that bulls must guard fiercely:
0.004612 – A major inflection point. If price reaches this, it’s a do-or-die level.
0.005384 – Bulls would need to regroup here if the sell-off gets intense.
0.00743 – A key long-term zone that may decide the trend direction.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
Big money might step in here to cap upward moves:
0.001873 – Immediate resistance that’s been a thorn for bulls.
The Takeaway
Respect these levels like they’re your trading roadmap. If a support fails, it’s not the end of the story—it’s the beginning of a new resistance. Keep your eyes sharp, manage your stops tight, and let the price action guide your decisions.
Trading Strategies with Rays: A Systematic Approach to Market Movements
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" methodology leverages Fibonacci-based dynamic levels that align with natural proportions. Unlike traditional analysis focused on static extremum points, these rays adapt to new patterns and highlight interaction zones where price either reverses or continues its trend. By incorporating moving averages (MAs) as dynamic factors, this system offers a robust approach to identifying trade setups.
How It Works
Fibonacci Rays: Define key movement boundaries based on the initial movement pattern.
Dynamic Interaction: Price reactions at ray intersections with MAs confirm trade opportunities.
Action Zones: Use VSA rays and MAs for confirmation before entering positions.
Scenarios: Price moves from one ray to the next, creating clear targets for trades.
Two Scenarios: Optimistic and Pessimistic
Optimistic Scenario: Price interacts with ascending rays and finds support at dynamic MA levels, signaling a bullish continuation.
Entry Zone: $0.002174 (immediate support and ray interaction).
Target 1: $0.002392 (first ascending ray).
Target 2: $0.002806 (next ray with strong resistance potential).
Moving Averages: A price break above MA50 and MA100 strengthens bullish confidence.
Pessimistic Scenario: Price fails to hold critical support and interacts with descending rays, leading to bearish continuation.
Entry Zone: $0.002035 (near powerful resistance, now acting as support).
Target 1: $0.001873 (next descending ray).
Target 2: $0.001627 (powerful historical support ray).
Moving Averages: A breakdown below MA233 confirms further downside pressure.
Suggested Trade Setups
Buy Setup (Bullish Scenario): Enter long at $0.002174 if the price interacts positively with ascending rays and MA50. Exit partially at $0.002392 and hold for $0.002806.
Sell Setup (Bearish Scenario): Short at $0.002035 if the price breaks below descending rays and MA233. Partial profits at $0.001873, and hold for a possible test of $0.001627.
Scalp Strategy: Use ray-to-ray movements for quick trades, focusing on dynamic resistance and support zones, such as $0.002174 to $0.002392.
Swing Trade: Aim for extended movements, aligning with ray trajectories and MA trends, such as $0.002035 to $0.001627 in a bearish scenario.
Key Notes
Every trade begins with interaction at the rays and requires confirmation from volume analysis (VSA) or price patterns. Whether bullish or bearish, the journey from one ray to the next provides traders with clear, actionable targets while minimizing guesswork.
Trading is all about precision, understanding, and growth—and I’m here to help you navigate the market with confidence. If you’ve got questions about this analysis or want to share your thoughts, drop them in the comments below. Let’s discuss, learn, and grow as a community.
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Bitcoin Market Insights | Pre-Inauguration (January 2025)Bitcoin ( $BTC&USD ) is once again at the forefront of market discussions as traders analyze its price movement and macroeconomic factors.
As of January 19, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $104,936, reflecting an increase of approximately 1.8% from the previous close. The intraday high reached $105,505, with a low of $102,875.
Market Dynamics:
Regulatory Environment: The inauguration of President Donald Trump has introduced a more crypto-friendly regulatory landscape. Analysts anticipate that smaller cryptocurrencies, or altcoins, may experience more significant gains compared to Bitcoin under the new administration.
Price Projections: Some analysts predict that Bitcoin's value could reach up to $400,000 in 2025, driven by favorable cryptocurrency policies and the potential establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
THE AUSTRALIAN
Technical Analysis:
Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate support is identified around $100,000, with resistance near the all-time high of $108,309.
On-Chain Metrics: Data from Glassnode indicates a decline in short-term demand momentum, with "Hot Capital" decreasing by 66.7% from its December 12th peak. This suggests potential consolidation or further correction in the near term.
Conclusion:
As markets gear up for the upcoming inauguration, Bitcoin remains in the spotlight. Bitcoin's market is influenced by a combination of favorable regulatory developments and technical indicators pointing toward potential consolidation. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels closely and stay informed about policy changes that could impact market dynamics.
Outlook Ahead of Inauguration
Bitcoin is likely to remain volatile leading up to the inauguration, driven by Policy announcements related to cryptocurrency regulation & Broader macroeconomic cues, such as inflation reports and Fed commentary.
Trading Ideas
Bullish Scenario:
Long above $105,500, targeting $108,000 and $110,000, with a stop at $103,000.
Bearish Scenario:
Short below $102,500, targeting $100,000, with a stop at $104,000.