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EIGEN TREND CORRCTION CHANNEL (UPDATE)so in the analysis i made few days ago (or yesterday idk) on BINANCE:EIGENUSDT we we had a channel that wad broken from below and you could"ve opened your position from the channel brakeout or the grenn line i specified though to be honest channel brakeout candle was too big only time frame you could have opened postion was 15 and in my opinion it was too risky with current status of the market but with the green line it was a lot safer to open your position and even better and smaller SL if you managed to open a position on BINANCE:EIGENUSDT i would suggest to close it fully or saving your profits yeah that"s IT i would really be thankful of any of you that supports me if the support is enough i would be more productive thanks to all of you 😘
by kanaroio
1
BTCUSD is holding its MA50 (1d). Bullish!Bitcoin touched the MA50 (1d) today and immediately rebounded, making a strong statement of how important of a support level that is. The last time it hit the MA50 was on October 11th. The pull back resembles March 20th from Bitcoin's last major rally, which rebounded and hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 105000 (the 0.786 Fib). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) patterns of the current correction and March's are virtually identical and in fact today it hit the exact same Support leve (46.50) it had when the price rebounded on March 19th. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingBrokersView
BITCOIN 1month RSI showing the Bull Cycle is far from over.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has had a pull back this week but that shouldn't cloud your long term outlook. That remains bullish and even more so on the 1month chart where the RSI turning flat is a sign that the parabolic rally has only just begun. The 1month RSI is trading inside a Channel Down since the very first trading day and with this week's sideways turning, it remains under the 0.786 Fibonacci level. This suggests that relative to past Cycles, we may be on a similar stage as February 2017 and January 2013. Both took 10 months until their Cycles topped. This shows that we can stay bullish until at least September 2025 or if the RSI hits the top of the Channel Down first. Take all the above into consideration and start taking profits in September the latest. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
1
$OTHERS Alts Catching A Bid vs $BTCEveryone kicking themselves for not taking profits on Alts because they’re almost back to where they were before this whole run up when Trump won 😭 Today, Alts dumped to just 10% above their ₿itcoin pairs. Lesson Here: If you're gonna trade Alts, make sure to continuously take profits back into CRYPTOCAP:BTC Good News: the market looks to be bidding Alts > BTC rn on this dip, signaling Alt Season around the corner 💯 Notice RSI, Ascending Volume and Bullish Hammer 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by jonnieking
BTC Faces Significant Selling Pressure from Long-Term HoldersBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has faced intensified selling pressure from long-term holders (LTHs), who have offloaded approximately 1 million BTC since mid-September, contributing to its current 13% dip from its all-time high of $108,000. This marks the largest discount since the U.S. presidential election. While short-term holders (STHs) have stepped in to absorb some of this supply, demand imbalance continues to weigh heavily on Bitcoin’s price. 1. Long-Term Holders’ Selling Behavior LTHs, defined as investors holding BTC for over 155 days, have been distributing their holdings as prices show strength. Over the past week, LTHs sold 70,000 BTC in a single day, marking the fourth-largest one-day sell-off this year, according to Glassnode data. Their holdings have dropped from 14.2 million BTC in September to 13.2 million BTC, signaling a strategic move to realize profits during this period of heightened market volatility. 2. Short-Term Holders Absorbing Supply STHs have accumulated 1.3 million BTC during the same period, partially offsetting LTHs' selling. However, this accumulation hasn’t been enough to sustain upward momentum, resulting in continued price weakness. 3. Market Liquidity and Exchange Activity The circulating supply of Bitcoin stands at 19.8 million tokens, with 2.8 million BTC held on exchanges. Notably, 200,000 BTC have exited exchanges in recent months, indicating a trend of investors moving assets to cold storage. This dwindling exchange balance could limit immediate liquidity, further impacting market dynamics. Technical Outlook Bitcoin is trading in a bearish zone, currently down 0.49% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 42. The recent market sell-off liquidated approximately $1.4 billion, exacerbating downward pressure. Key Levels to Watch Support Level: If selling persists, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could dip to $85,000, a key support level aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Resistance Level: For a bullish reversal, CRYPTOCAP:BTC must break through $101,000, a pivotal psychological and technical barrier that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Outlook and Implications The ongoing selling by LTHs reflects a strategic shift, possibly influenced by macroeconomic uncertainties and profit-taking at current levels. Meanwhile, STHs’ buying activity suggests continued confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. However, the imbalance between supply and demand could lead to further short-term price volatility. Investors should closely monitor key support and resistance levels and market activity from these cohorts to anticipate the next significant price movement. Conclusion Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains uncertain amid significant selling pressure from LTHs. While oversold technical indicators hint at a potential rebound, the lack of sufficient demand from STHs raises concerns about sustained recovery. The next few days will be critical for Bitcoin as it navigates these pivotal price levels. Will CRYPTOCAP:BTC bounce back like it has in past corrections, or is a deeper dip on the horizon? Only time will tell. Stay tuned for further updates!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
Litecoin, Shitecoin: An OpportunityAs much as I blast Litecoin, I think there's a trading opportunity here. Some other OG cryptocurrencies have gone up 5x recently - XLM and XRP, for instance. I don't mind this, because I actually think those coins are at least a little more viable as currencies than Bitcoin. I'm keeping this short. Just taking advantage of volatility. A 40%+ pullback with the potential of a 200% move? I'll take it. Here to have fun, not here to question things right now. Litecoin active addresses are stable around 300k, though having steadily moved up over the last couple of years from 200K. bitinfocharts.com Bitcoin active addresses have climbed a bit recently up to 750K, after actually declining the last couple years. bitinfocharts.com As crappy as price behavior has been for LTC over the years, I like its growth pattern to an extent. It's important to keep in mind that while on a very slow long term uptrend, Litecoin has broken down out of its major long term uptrend (orange) This was why I had assumed more downside was to come. Given that LTC tends to pump last in the cycle, I'm taking a gamble on this thing flying back into the long term uptrend. There's A LOT of resistance overhead, especially at the broken uptrend, near $150-160 currently. Here's the shorter term structure, with some bullish arrows drawn. Taking out the recent low near $85 would be a bearish sign and could send price quickly back to $66 support. Let's see what happens. If the market has already topped, oh well. Risking a neglegable amount here. R/R seems decent to me. This meant for speculation and entertainment only. -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:LTCUSDLong
by VictorCobra
HolderStat | BTC bulls leaving the ship?Over the last 3 days, $2.5 billion has been liquidated in the futures market, 83% of which is longs. The BTC price dropped to $96,613 (-4.6% for the week), the fear index dropped 7 points, and outflows from spot ETFs totaled an impressive $680 million. ❌ Is this a signal? No, it's a pattern. Corrections like this “drop off the tourists,” opening up new opportunities for those who know how to act strategically. Even El Salvador did not flinch under IMF pressure and bought 11 BTC. Their wallet is usually replenished by 1 BTC per day - something is clearly brewing. What have you done? 💡 What to do? 1️⃣ Analyze key support levels. 2️⃣ Watch liquidity: BTC dominance remains high (59%), which confirms interest in the asset. 3️⃣ Evaluate trading volumes on pullbacks. ⚡️ Correction is not a time for panic, but a moment for cold-blooded analysis and precise actions. _____________________ 📊 Want more useful analytics? Like and subscribe to stay up to date with the most relevant trading ideas! Always DYOR! 🔬
Long
by HolderStat
1
BTCUSD - Missed TP ? that's okay history says 140KI followed too blindly this fractal that went almost perfect but was waiting 120k to take partial profits and missed a 30% opportunity, I'll know take profits more often by moving from risky alts to BTC or other assets resistant to drawdown the middle line of the channel BTC is evolving seems to support very well and I'm gonna assume the correction is already over, you can still expect to see another dip to 86k tho (but I dont believe this) my simple trade idea : green is path of 4 years ago, blue is path of last year first TP will be at 120k & 144K see you in 3 weeks not financial advice cheers
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Investwine
Bitcoin - Broader Structure and The $32K Breakdown TargetLast time, I posted an idea about Bitcoin's shorter term structure. I was scaling into a short position, and ultimately decided to close when I noticed strong support continuing to hold. This ended up being a good move, since price pushed higher towards $108k. There's a lot of resistance here in the low $100K range. While a notable milestone, it's a hefty price. More and more, Bitcoin is being seen as a tool for exploitation and wealth concentration for the wealthy, rather than something for the masses. Although good for price, this is not in keeping with the original intention behind the technology, or so we are led to believe. I tend to generally post short ideas now because I do not support buying Bitcoin, which serves only to enrichen a select few, and no longer benefits the little guy. Sure, it could benefit ME in the future, but that feeds further into greed and selfishness, which are the human flaws at the root of many market inequities, fallacies, and injustices. For more on why I changed my perspective on crypto, there are tons of ideas I've posted over the years to pull from. It essentially boils down to this: When I was young and naive, I believed crypto could be an escape from the established financial system. In many ways it is, if you like gambling on memes and adrenaline coursing through your veins. But on a broader level, it's been co-opted by the same forces that control our traditional markets, institutions, and to an extent, our wellbeing. More and more, crypto seems to fit into a neo-feudalist dystopia, rather than a free-flowing renaissance utopia. Earlier this year, I closed my original short positions when it seemed likely for Bitcoin to surpass its previous all time high. Now that price has hit a major milestone, altcoins have gone up 500-1000%, and gloating is abounds, it's time for me to re-enter my short. Now, I'm not looking to profit massively from this. It's a small position. But, I am of the belief that there is a non-negligible probability that Bitcoin will enter a longer term bearish trend. Whether it's now or at $160k, who knows? If this trendline can break decisively (it's held very well so far, even when price drops below), the next stop seems to be around $89k. From there, a bounce would be bullish. My green arrow shows the possibility of rally resumption if that level holds as strong support. On the bearish side, the previous all-time high is the next major level, followed by $32k if the entire support structure falls apart. Markets are starting to wake up and understand that inflation isn't going away quickly, and monetary policy won't be as easy as it was. A lot of fluff needs to get weeded out. Unfortunately, crypto doesn't have much SUBSTANCE to it (meaning goods, resources, and services) attached to it. As always this is meant for speculation and entertainment only! Thanks for reading. -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
1
Is the Top In? Bitcoin's Diminishing ReturnsMany of us have seen the Bitcoin Rainbow chart before. Right now, it implies that there is still room for another leg higher. According to Blockchain Center's 2023 chart , the 'Is this a bubble?' price range is around $111,914 to $143,429. However, we also see the highs diminish over time. The first peak is outside of 'Maximum Bubble Territory,' the second reaching the same area, and the third hitting 'Sell. Seriously, SELL.' While this pattern suggests BTC may only reach 'Is this a bubble?' or 'FOMO intensifies' this cycle, there's another pattern that indicates 'HODL' might be as far as it goes. In the logarithmic chart above, we can see that BTC's price follows a pattern of diminishing returns. It has moved from low to high as follows (rounded): 1. 2010/2011: 0.01 to 31.91 = 3,191x 2. 2011/2013: 1.99 to 1,242 = 624x 3. 2015/2017: 162 to 19,785 = 122x 4. 2018/2021: 3,125 to 68,977 = 22x 5. 2022/2024: 15,479 to 108,367 = 7x That means the multipliers from low to high have decreased with the following factors: 624.12 ÷ 3,191 ≈ 0.1957 (a 5.10x factor decrease) 122.09 ÷ 624.12 ≈ 0.1955 (a 5.11x factor decrease) 22.07 ÷ 122.09 ≈ 0.1809 (a 5.52x factor decrease) 7.00 ÷ 22.07 ≈ 0.3170 (a 3.15x factor decrease) The most recent bullish run appears to be an outlier; if there'd been a 5.52x factor decrease from 22.07, that would've meant a rough 4x (22.07 ÷ 5.52) from the low, or a peak of 61,916. There are multiple ways to interpret this pattern, and why it may or may not be holding this time around: On the bullish side: It's 'different' this cycle A pro-crypto Trump administration/SEC chair shifts fundamentals Growing legitimisation of BTC in institutional and regulatory circles More funds flowing in via BTC ETFs Currency debasement means more demand for BTC The Rainbow chart indicates there's more room to grow The halving pattern is still playing out Search interest is below previous peaks on Google Trends , implying more potential interest On the bearish side: The culmination of bullish fundamental factors has overextended the pattern (much like how RSI can show an asset overbought for a long time before an eventual correction) A risk-on year for assets more broadly has dragged BTC up with it, taking it past the established pattern A larger market cap makes it harder to continue expanding exponentially as the market matures. BTC's market cap is $1.8t right now. There is diminishing marginal demand—those already interested in BTC have bought in, reducing the pool of potential buyers The Fear and Greed index has already reached levels see in previous peaks, like 2021 The feverishness surrounding meme coins is reminiscent of previous bubbles, like the ICO bubble and Dotcom bubble Discussion I think there are strong arguments to be made on both sides. On one hand, it's true that it really might be different this time around. There's certainly more institutional adoption and regulatory clarity than ever before, with Trump even talking about a strategic Bitcoin reserve. There weren't Bitcoin ETFs in previous cycles, and the halving pattern suggests a peak usually around 1-1.5 years later; it's only been 8 months since the halving in April. While the dollar will likely get stronger under Trump (potentially weakening BTC), there is the argument that weakening purchasing power in many countries is driving entities towards 'hard' assets, like gold, silver, and Bitcoin. Then there is the room for more retail investors to participate, given search results for ' Bitcoin ' and ' buy Bitcoin ' are lower than previous highs (though I will note that 2021 was also lower than 2017). Lastly, while the Rainbow chart does show diminishing peaks, it does suggest we could still hit 'Is this a bubble?' or higher. On the other hand, this recent run to $100k+ was mostly fueled by Trump's election win and his backing of crypto-friendly Paul Atkins for SEC chair. BTC jumped from around $69k on the day of the election—a bit above the top projected by the factor decrease pattern—and Trump's win may have temporarily distorted the pattern. It is also possible that the market is reaching maturity. Assuming that BTC will move to $250k in 2025 as some predict, its market cap would be around $4.9t. That would put it above Apple's market cap of $3.775t but still decently below gold's $17.6t . However, there's a reason gold is the most valuable asset in the world by market cap: it has historical, cultural, and social significance. Its durability and lustre meant it was used to decorate temples in ancient times and as a symbol of divinity. Over time, that led to it being valued as currency in ancient empires and eventually backing the dollar. In contrast, Bitcoin is relatively young; while feasible that it could eventually overtake gold and still remarkable that it's achieved such a large market cap in around 15 years, it does beg the question if $250k would be too far, too soon. After all, central banks are hoarding gold right now, not Bitcoin. This ties in with the reducing marginal demand for BTC. Those who already believe in its potential have bought in; while the number of participants is likely to go up over time, there don't seem to be many catalysts for many more to join in the near-term (besides rumours of a strategic BTC reserve). 2017 was the first time BTC really went mainstream. Alongside relatively low interest rates and a weak dollar, FOMO drove the rally; BTC jumped more than 20x that year. 2021 was similar; cheap money, pandemic boredom, a broader awareness of crypto, and FOMO, pushed BTC to new ATHs. Looking ahead to 2025, there appear to be more bearish catalysts than bullish. Most notable is a Fed worried about inflation and whether it's appropriate to pause easing of rate cuts ( Deutsche Bank expects no cuts in 2025 , which while a bit extreme, is indication of the current state of affairs). At the time of writing, that's already pushed BTC down to GETTEX:92K from $108k. There is a US stock market that has risen over 60% since the start of 2023, compared to an average annual return of around 10-11% since 1980. There's also the promise of inflationary tariffs, discretionary spending cuts, rising yields, etc. all of which are the opposite of bullish signals. Combined with the Fear and Greed index hitting 94 in November (just under the 95 peak in early 2021, late 2021 saw peaks of 74) and extraordinary runup in memecoins recently—Fartcoin is worth $1.25 billion right now, up from $40 million at the end of October—the vibes are feeling a bit toppy. Conclusion In my opinion and on the balance of probabilities, the combination of the currently-overextended diminishing returns pattern and the fundamental factors described skews Bitcoin bearish from here. There are certainly many counter-arguments to be made and I respect the fact that markets can stay irrational for a long, long time and I could be completely wrong (along with the fact I have my own biases). But, I do think it's at least difficult for me to be bullish or buy into Bitcoin here. The risk-reward isn't great; maybe a 2x is achievable, and that also possibly explains a lack of further retail interest and the pump in meme coins recently. As an aside, it's interesting that this pattern would theoretically continue to produce diminishing returns until the multiplier eventually reaches near-zero. I don't think that would be how it works in reality, but it does indicate that Bitcoin could reach a ceiling as cycles continue. Does that imply the pattern has to break at some point, or that there is a true 'natural' high for BTC? I'd be interested to hear your thoughts. Thanks for reading. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred based on this information. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author and are based on current data and analysis, which may not be accurate or complete. Always conduct your own research.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by pasojov
1
ZEN/USDT- Bullish Breakout Targets ATHDescription: Breakout Confirmation:- Horizen (ZEN) has successfully broken out of its long-term downtrend, supported by significant volume. Retest Success:- The $15.50 zone has flipped from resistance to support, reinforcing the bullish case. Potential Target:- Based on historical price action, the next major resistance is at the all-time high of $170.95, a potential 1,025% upside. Strategy:- Entry:- On a pullback to $15.50–$18.00. Stop Loss:- Below $14.00 to manage risk. Targets:- Short-term: $36.50, Medium-term: $85.00, Long-term: $170.95. Risk Management:- Use proper position sizing and adjust stops to break even once the price moves significantly in your favor.
Long
by stanleycrypto
1
Technical Review - BTCThere are lots of confident predictions about where markets will head next. However, at its core, trading is about speculation and taking calculated risks—not about certainty. In this post, I'll share some technical trades in BTC from recent price action. While hindsight bias will naturally come into play, I did take several of these setups in real time. Higher Timeframe Context (1-Month) In terms of the higher timeframe context, there has been a clear uptrend with two distinct continuation setups (noticeable move up, followed by a contraction towards the mean price which then sets up for a continuation). At the current time there has been an attempt for a third move. These could have been entered on the range expansion from the contractive state, however when prices become extended towards the outer boundaries we better be cautious due to risk of mean reversion. At such extremes, its better to scale out or look for better opportunities. These locations are often reached as measured moves (assumed average price volatility is sustained, as seen on the right side of the chart). This does not meant the move is over, but rather where the risk of mean reversion is increased, price can deviate from average volatility all the time. This analysis is not a prediction of future behavior, but rather a review of recent events and how they could have been traded in technical terms. There is also a component of discretion, which occur in in real time, but is not relevant to asses at this point. Before we take a trade we want to consider: What is the current structure in play, is it a trend or a range? Where is price located within that structure, are we at or near extremes? In case above conditions are met, is there a setup or an entry trigger? This all boils down to the search for imbalance. Daily Timeframe: Range-Bound Trading Opportunities In terms of my trading timeframe, which is the daily, BTC has spent the past months within a distinct range. When such a structure is in play, the locations of interest are at or near the extremes (upper and lower boundaries) where imbalances tend to occur. Efficient trades at these extremes typically arise when there’s a failure test (also known as a failed breakout or 2B pattern). In these cases, price pushes outside the boundary, fails to follow through, and reverses back inside—often trapping participants and can fuel a move in the opposite direction. This dynamic tend to hold until there is an actual breakout, there is no bulletproof way to know what will happened, but most of the time it can be helpful to reference the higher timeframe. For example, in case breakout happen in opposite to the trend we can treat them as potential failures, while with trend (as in this case with BTC to the upside) we can either treat them as breakouts or at least not fade the move. There are however exceptions and nuances to these type of plays. On the chart, I’ve marked all failure tests where price moved back into the range and formed bullish continuation structures. These setups offered opportunities to enter and take profits. In my case, I typically targeted 1R trades on these setups, with some extending into full measured moves. In conclusion, its probably a decent idea to have a structured framework to locate imbalance, but it must be combined with discretion so we can adapt to different conditions. Its not about confident predictions, but rather probabilities and calculated risks. Don't become attached to positions, let the cumulative effect drive results.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Trader-Shah
BTC Technical Analysis Kept SimpleThis chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) price movement on a daily timeframe with several technical indicators and key levels highlighted. Here is a breakdown of the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Price Levels: The price recently broke below the 127.20% Fibonacci extension level near $105,595, which now acts as resistance. The 100% Fibonacci level, around $94,916, is being tested and might act as support. There is a green support zone near $85,000–$95,000 that could serve as a demand area for buyers. 2. Indicators: Parabolic SAR (red dot): Indicates a bearish trend as the dot is above the price candles. On-Balance Volume (OBV): Showing a downward trend, signaling decreasing buying pressure or increasing selling volume. Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 45.05, indicating neutral to slightly bearish momentum. The RSI is trending downward, which aligns with the price drop. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): At 0.02, near the neutral line, suggesting weak inflows or a lack of strong accumulation. 3. 200-Day Moving Average (Red Line): The 200-day moving average is rising but is significantly below the current price. This could indicate that the long-term trend remains bullish despite the short-term correction. 4. Volume: Recent candles show higher volume on red candles, suggesting stronger selling pressure during the price drop. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Case: If the price holds above the $94,916 (100% Fib level) or rebounds from the support zone ($85,000–$95,000), it could trigger a bullish recovery toward $105,595 and potentially retest $108,421. A positive divergence in OBV or RSI could strengthen this case. 2. Bearish Case: If the price breaks below the 100% Fib level, the next key support lies at $85,000–$86,000. A failure to hold this zone might lead to a deeper correction toward the 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level at $70,041. Summary: The price is in a short-term downtrend while approaching a significant support zone.
by vagada
BTC/USDT Analysis: Is a Key Reversal Brewing?Bitcoin's price action continues to intrigue traders as it consolidates within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. The recent rejection from the channel's upper boundary at $108,000 indicates that bearish pressure might dominate the short term. Currently, BTC trades around $101,450, testing a critical support level near $102,000. Key Observations: Ascending Channel in Play: The structure highlights an upward trend, with BTC respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. The dotted midline has acted as a dynamic pivot, influencing price movement over recent weeks. Bearish Breakdown Potential: A clear break below $102,000 could lead BTC toward the next significant horizontal support at $98,236. This level aligns closely with the channel's lower boundary, making it a crucial zone for bulls to defend. Key Resistance Zone: If bulls manage to reclaim $103,000, BTC could retest the midline or even the $106,000 level. However, failure to sustain above the $102,000 support could accelerate a bearish trend. RSI Divergence: Hidden bearish divergence on the RSI suggests weakening bullish momentum, supporting the case for a deeper correction. Expected Scenarios: A retest of $98,000 would provide an excellent opportunity for bullish accumulation within the channel structure. If the price rebounds from the lower boundary, bulls may aim for $106,000-$108,000 in the medium term. A confirmed breakdown below $98,000 might invalidate the channel, opening doors for further downside to $94,000.
Short
by melikatrader94
7
Altseason is cancelled for now.USDT.D shot up like a rocket during this crash, while Total3 is in freefall. BTC only took a -4% hit, but the altcoin market? A brutal -8%. It’s clear: CRYPTOCAP:BTC and those ETF approvers are running the show, draining liquidity from retail investors to keep pumping BTC at the expense of altcoins. I warned you—invite these guys to your party, and they’ll clean out the buffet. If you’re holding altcoins, all you can do is hang in there and hope BTC throws some karma their way.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by CryptoNikkoid
9