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Btc-e

Btc-e

BTC re-accumulation and >140k$The year started from manipulation on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the whole crypto market after Trump's tariff announcement. Since the start of the summer season, we've already seen another manipulation between Trump and Elon Musk. On BTC I see weekly FVG and good pinbar candle. I guess we have already entered to consolidaton and summer will also consolidation, but starting from august we will see the final uptrend with euphoria which can finish on October nearly 241.000$ on BTC, but let's see it later I think this period will be light with base summer and $MOCHI because it's a memecoin which holds the bottom well , when in that time another altcoins are making another bottom

Long

BTC UPDATE - SIDEWAYS ACTION BTC had an impressive rally today that broke key resistance and changed the wave form to the short term trend back to up. From this elevated price level, the uptrend will not produce any significant gains from here tho. To capture this mini trend requires to be patient and buy on dips. Back to near $103,500 - $102,000 as seen in the chart could produce a few swings. However, when these swings are over, I currently still have the medium term trend as down. With $84k target. That could get update, but for now we do not have that data. I see all up movement capped at around $107,000. Prices above $107,000 have me moving back to the immediate $132,000 price target. But again, we are not there yet. Good luck.

Bitfinex closed $BTC longs — local top?This Bitfinex Bitcoin long positioning is worth monitoring. Each marked price top aligns closely with a local peak or plateau in Bitfinex longs, followed by distribution or a pullback. Currently, Bitfinex longs have again plateaued or declined, just as BTC is forming a potential local top.

$BTC Failed to Reclaim EMA9 - 200DMA in Sight So close, but so far away. CRYPTOCAP:BTC held the 50DMA as support today but failed to break above the EMA9.   I suspect ₿itcoin now makes it way back down for the long awaited retest of the 200DMA ~$95k as I’ve been stating since the death cross. If BTC can reclaim the EMA9 to close the week there may be a shot to continue the bullish uptrend, otherwise this correction will take a few weeks to play out.

Short

Detailed analysis of the BTC/USD 4H chart 🔍1. Chart Context Interval: 4 hours (H4) Current price: Around 104,950 – 105,400 USD Range of recent candles: Strong rebound after a decline to around 101,000 USD. Lower indicator: Stochastic RSI 📊2. Price Action Analysis Market structure Main trend (recent days): Downtrend – from the peaks of ~114,000 USD a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Recent hours: Dynamic decline, followed by a quick, strong rebound from around 101,000 USD to ~105,000 USD. Key technical levels ✅Resistance: ~105,500–106,000 USD – local peak of the last rebound wave and earlier lows from the end of May. ~108,000 USD – next key level, with a bigger upward movement. Support: ~102,000–101,000 USD – bottom of the last movement, quick demand reaction, so-called “stop run” or false breakout. ~99,000 USD – psychological zone and important level in case of further declines. 📊3. Indicators Stochastic RSI (bottom of the chart) Currently: Stochastic RSI strongly overbought (above 80 points), both lines (blue and orange) are at the top and slightly curling. Conclusion: Possible short-term correction/slowdown in growth. Overbought Stochastic RSI often precedes pullbacks, especially when testing important resistances. 🧠4. Possible scenarios Bulls – Upside scenario: If BTC breaks above $105,500 with momentum, a move to $106,000–108,000 is possible (another resistance and short squeeze). The key will be the closing of the 4h candle above $105,500. Bears – Downside scenario: If the price does not break $105,500, profit taking and a pullback to $103,000–102,000 are possible. Strong defense of the $101,000–102,000 level by the bulls – if it is broken again, it threatens to deepen the declines even to $99,000. 📊5. Additional Notes Reduced Volatility: After such a strong bounce, there is often a period of “calmness” and consolidation. Potential Traps: False breakouts for 4h and sudden changes in direction (characteristic of the crypto market). 📌6. Warning Signals Stochastic RSI overbought – suggests to be cautious with long positions “on the top” without additional confirmation. Lack of continuation after a strong bounce – if the price does not “reach” higher in the next candles, the risk of a correction increases. 🧠Summary: Currently: BTC/USD in a short-term bounce phase after a strong decline. The price is approaching a significant resistance (~105,500 USD). Stochastic RSI shows overbought – possible correction or sideways movement. Direction for the next few hours: Reactions at USD 105,500 (resistance) and ~USD 102,000 (support) will be key.

by cryptodailyuk

Long-Term Technical Outlook: Critical Decision Point Approaching The chart illustrates a long-term technical structure where the price has been following an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. However, recent price action indicates a breakdown below the green ascending trendline, raising concerns about a potential shift in market sentiment. Currently, the $117 level is acting as a pivotal support zone. A sustained breakdown below this level — and more critically, below the red lower trendline — would validate the bearish scenario. This could trigger a deeper correction phase, with downside targets aligned along the red projection path. Such a move may lead to significantly lower price levels in the medium to long term. 🔽 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above $117 and breaks below the red trendline, this would confirm the start of a bearish leg. Based on historical structure and projected trajectories, this could result in a descent toward the $93 level initially, with the possibility of extending further downward depending on market conditions. 🔼 Bullish Scenario: On the other hand, if the price manages to reclaim the green trendline and more importantly, stabilize above the $204 resistance zone, it would signal renewed bullish strength. Such a move would open the path toward higher highs, potentially re-entering the previous upward channel and continuing the macro uptrend. 🧭 The price structure is now approaching a decisive zone, where either a confirmation of bearish continuation or a bullish recovery will likely unfold. Both scenarios have been visually outlined — green lines indicating bullish continuation, and red lines representing bearish momentum. 📌 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.

BTCUSD: Just hit the 1D MA50 and is rebounding.Bitcoin turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.000, MACD = 923.400, ADX = 25.014) as it hit its 1D MA50 for the first time since April 19th. That is a straight up buy signal, especially since the the current Channel Up with its 1D RSI HL structure, resembles September - December 2024. TP = 165,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##

Long

by InvestingScope

BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)After dropping toward the 100K zone and sweeping the liquidity pool, Bitcoin has made a strong rebound to the upside, putting high-leverage short positions at risk. However, it is now approaching a supply zone that could potentially push the price back down toward the 98K area. If the market maker intends to drive the price lower and trigger a bearish scenario, this is the zone to do it from. Let’s see what happens. A daily candle close above the invalidation level ($107,000) would invalidate this analysis. Let’s see how Bitcoin reacts to the red box. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You

BITCOIN - Price can reach resistance area and then drop Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently, the price bounced from the $104500 level and rose to the $110400 level, breaking this level and rising a little more. But then price turned around and started to decline inside a falling channel, where it fell below $110400 level. Price tried to back up, but failed and when it touched $110400 level, it in a short time declined to support line of channel. Then price rose above $104500 level and some time traded near this level, but not long time ago it dropped. BTC broke $104500 level and even fell further and exited from falling channel, after which it started to grow. Now, I expect that Bitcoin can enter to resistance area and then drop to $100900 from this area. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️

Short

Bitcoin's Structure Breaks — PRZ May Trigger a Bounce Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has finally continued its downward trend , as I expected in my previous idea . Do you think this downward trend will continue or not? Bitcoin has now managed to break the Support zone($104,180-$103,670) and the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y of the Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to continue to decline to the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and then start to rise again. I choose to label this idea as ''Long''. Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.

Long

Updated

BITCOIN Log Channel and Waves show we're nowhere near the top.This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on its Logarithmic Growth Channel with the use of Rainbow Waves on it. This model accounts for the Halvings (light blue vertical lines) and with the use of Fibonacci Time extensions, it estimates the potential Cycle Bottoms (green vertical lines) and Tops (red vertical lines) within the Parabolic Growth Curve. A fair value is estimated around the purple trend-line (zone top and bottom) as well as a maximum (red trend-line) and minimum (light blue trend-line) wave. Interestingly enough, BTC hit that minimum wave trend-line on the April 07 2025 Low for the first time since June 17 2017, making it the strongest buy signal we could get at this stage of the Cycle. So based on all the above, Bitcoin is nowhere near the top of its Cycle and this isn't just because it hasn't yet touched the next red vertical line (Time Fib 4.382) which is on October 27 2025, but also because it is currently trading below the Fair Value Zone (even below its bottom half). Both previous Cycles topped considerably above that Fair Value Zone and almost hit the maximum wave. Even if by October 27 2025, Bitcoin 'only' hits the purple (Fair Value) trend-line, it would have reached $135000 and if earlier it can even hit $145000. That is the bare minimum based on that model. If it hits the top of the Fair Value Zone by October 27, then we can see prices as high as $180000 even. Which price do you think we are more likely to see? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇

Long

SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary 📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend. Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now. 🪙 Bitcoin Stalling CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market. But let’s be clear: 🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact. However, in TradFi, there are cracks: 🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag 💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade 📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk 🔮 What to Expect Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target) A possible rebound after healthy consolidation A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks I’ll publish a new update when conditions change. 📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR. #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR

Short

by CryptoNikkoid

Updated

2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor 2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor" ❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To fully and completely understand what is being discussed here, please refer to the root idea via the link: 1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents 📰 Forbes: Your Cover – Our Margin Call. Saylor, Get Ready! You've heard it, haven't you? Those stories about Forbes covers and the subsequent fall of crypto empires? It's no longer a superstition; it's, damn it, statistics: Changpeng Zhao (CZ), Forbes, February 2018: "Binance's Crypto King!" – the headlines screamed. And what then? He served four months in prison. Well, not immediately, of course, but the "seed" of the curse was sown. Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), Forbes, October 2021: "The New Warren Buffett of Crypto!" – the fanfares shrieked. And what was the result? He's sitting pretty now, enjoying prison romance. And now, our incomparable Michael Saylor enters the stage! Forbes puts him on the cover in January 2025 "Michael Saylor: The Bitcoin Alchemist"! Why a Forbes cover is not glory but a warning for Michael Saylor (and a signal for the US government): This is not just a coincidence; it's a systemic pattern. Forbes, whether out of naivety or, conversely, subtle calculation, acts as an unwitting harbinger. They choose those who are at the peak of hype, those who have "believed in themselves" and are ready to tell the whole world about their "brilliant" strategy. And the peak of hype, as we know, is the beginning of a fall. And this is where it gets interesting. The US government, which carefully reads such magazines (after all, they write about "financial stability" and "national interests" there), sees Michael Saylor on the cover and thinks: 💭 "Well, well, this guy has accumulated half a million Bitcoins. And he's currently at the peak of self-admiration. Excellent! Get ready for 'Operation: Coercion to Stability'!" ❌ Why this cover for Saylor is not just a photoshoot, but a "liquidation marker" for the US government: "The Forbes Curse" as a "Market Overheat" Indicator: For our financial strategists from the Treasury and the Fed, Saylor's appearance on the cover is not just a signal of "overheating"; it's a green light for activating the "Crypto-Reserve" plan. They see: "Oh, this guy got too relaxed. He has too much 'digital gold' at an average price of $74,000. And we love to buy at a discount, especially if the discount can be 'arranged'!" Recession and Crash as "Natural Selection": Remember that TBAC in its documents constantly reminds us of Bitcoin's "volatility" and the "necessity of hedging." The perfect storm for Saylor is an "unexpected" recession in the US and a sharp stock market crash. At this moment, Bitcoin, which has always historically behaved as a "high-beta" asset (DA&TM, p. 5), will fall even faster. When BTC is in the range of $30,000 - $40,000, this will not just be a "loss" for Micro Strategy – it will be absolute financial hell for their leveraged positions, which they so "cleverly" accumulated. Margin Calls: Music to Regulators' Ears: Saylor's average purchase price of $74,000, and Bitcoin has fallen to $30-40k? This is not just "oh, we're in the red" . These are massive margin calls and the threat of liquidation of MarginCallStrategy MicroStrategy's positions, which mortgaged its shares and Bitcoin itself to buy even more Bitcoin. The banks holding them as collateral (and which are, of course, "friendly" with the Fed) will start to get nervous. And then, as if by magic, the "saving hand" of the government will appear. "Humanitarian Aid" (at a Bitcoin price of $30-40k.): They won't come waving checkbooks to buy Bitcoin for $100,000. They will come when Saylor is on the verge of collapse, and they will say: 💬 "Michael, we see your pain. To avoid 'systemic risk' and 'protect investors' (who are in your fund because you bought so much Bitcoin), we are ready to 'help'. We will 'acquire' your Bitcoin at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price) to 'stabilize' the situation. Naturally, this is not a purchase, but 'crisis prevention'." Bitcoin in the "Crypto-Reserve": Mission Accomplished! Thus, the government, without directly buying a "speculative asset," will receive half a million BTC at a "bargain" price, using market crashes and financial pressure. And then they will be able to proudly declare: "We have 'digital gold' that will protect our financial system from external shocks. And yes, it is now in our hands, not some 'Alchemist's'." ✖️ The Forbes Curse: When a Magazine Becomes a Catapult for Crypto-Kings The cover of Forbes magazine is not just paper and ink; it's the financial equivalent of an "X" on your back, appearing exactly when "Big Brother" decides you've gotten too big for your "digital gold" britches. Let's recall the chronicles of this "curse" to understand what awaits our Michael Saylor: 1. CZ (Changpeng Zhao), Binance: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Feb. 2018. Headlines trumpeted "crypto-king." ▫️ BTC Price: $11,500. The entire crypto-brotherhood rejoiced, thinking the moon-run was endless. ▫️ What happened next: By the end of 2018, Bitcoin plummeted to $3,000. A -73% drop. And Changpeng, after several years of legal battles, eventually ended up behind bars for 4 months. 2. SBF (Sam Bankman-Fried), FTX: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Oct. 2021. "The Billionaire Saving the Crypto World!" indeed. ▫️ BTC Price at the time: Around $60,000. The market was at its peak; everyone was talking about $100k, "diamond hands," and a "new financial era." ▫️ What happened next: A year later, by the end of 2022, Bitcoin was already around $16,000. A -75% drop. And Sam? Sam is enjoying government cuisine and the company of cellmates, sentenced to 25 years (but according to recent data, the term may be reduced by 4 years). 3. Michael Saylor, Micro Strategy: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Jan. 2025. Our "Alchemist" Michael, with brilliance and faith in his eyes, has concocted somewhere around half a million bitcoins and has finally received this "honor." ▫️ BTC Price: As of today, around $100k. Imagine the hype! Saylor tells everyone that "we've only just begun," that Bitcoin is "financial sovereignty" and "the future of humanity," whose price is about to fly to $500k without you! Buy now, don't miss out! ▫️ What will happen next (according to the "Big Brother" scenario): If history is not just a collection of boring dates, but a cyclical performance with notes of tragicomedy, then the following awaits us. A year after the Forbes cover, by early 2026, the price of Bitcoin in this scenario could plummet by -70% from its ATH. This means Bitcoin would be in the range of $30-40k. dollars. And what about Michael? I don't want to jinx it, but if CZ served four months, Sam will likely serve 4 years, then how long will our BTC-prophet and "crypto-Moses" get? Forty? In conclusion: The Forbes curse is not magic; it's a harbinger of a systemic blow. So, when you see another crypto-hero on the cover of Forbes, don't rush to rejoice for him. Most likely, it's the last call before the "system" begins its complex, multi-step plan for "coercion to cooperation." So, let's dream. No, not about flights to Mars, but about much more down-to-earth, but far more probable scenarios, where Washington finally gets its hands on "digital gold." After all, as stated in DA&TM, Bitcoin is "a store of value, aka 'digital gold' in the decentralized world of DeFi" . Well, since it's "gold," it should be in our "gold reserve," right? But to buy it directly? Oh no, that's a "speculative asset," it's "volatile" ! But "acquiring" it at a discount – that's a whole different song. 📝 The "Digital Couping" Scenario (or how to take Bitcoin without buying it on the open market): ◻️ Phase 1: Deflation of the US Stock Market Bubble ▫️ "Recession? Stock market crash? Perfect time for 'healing'!" The government and banksters will always find a way to "help" the market. If the American economy, as many are whispering now, faces a serious recession, and the stock market tumbles, then Bitcoin, as a "high-beta" asset, may well follow suit. Remember how Bitcoin reacted to "crashes" in 2017, 2021, 2022 (DA&TM, p. 5, chart). If Michael Saylor's average purchase price is $74,000 today, then a drop into the $30,000 - $50,000 range is not just a "correction"; it will be an absolute financial hell for his margin positions, which he so "cleverly" accumulated. ▫️ Margin-call for Micro Strategy. Michael Saylor didn't just buy Bitcoin; he bought it with borrowed funds, collateralizing his shares and even Bitcoin itself. In the event of a deep market downturn and, consequently, a fall in BTC's price, Micro Strategy will face serious problems servicing its debt and maintaining collateral. The banks that issued them loans (and these are, most likely, banks very "friendly" to the government) will start to get nervous. And then the most interesting part will begin. ◻️ Phase 2: "Operation: Buyout" ▫️ "An offer you can't refuse." When Micro Strategy is on the verge of default or bankruptcy due to its Bitcoin positions, "saviors" will appear on the scene – perhaps some specially created "Digital Asset Stability Fund" or even directly "government-friendly" large financial institutions that have received a "green light" and, possibly, even funding from the Fed (naturally "to ensure financial stability"). ▫️ "We are not buying; we are 'stabilizing'!" They won't say: "We are buying Bitcoin." They will say: 💬 "We are preventing systemic risk! We are providing liquidity to the market during a crisis, buying back their 'high-beta' asset at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price)." And this is where the "digital gold" narrative, which has already permeated even official documents (DA&TM, p. 2), will come into play. "It's gold, and gold should be in the state reserve, shouldn't it? " ◻️ Phase 3: Nationalization of 'Digital Gold' and control over the narrative ▫️ "Congratulations, Michael, you've become a 'pioneer'!" After most of Saylor's Bitcoins are "saved," they will end up in the hands of, say, a "special depository" or a "strategic digital asset reserve." At the same time, the government will not "own" them in the traditional sense, but will "manage" them for "national interests." ▫️ "Now we have 'digital gold,' and it will work for us!" With this significant reserve of Bitcoins (576k "taken" from Saylor + 200k "confiscated" Bitcoins earlier – that's no joke), the US government suddenly becomes the largest sovereign holder of an asset that they will now officially recognize as "digital gold." This will allow them to: ▫️ Influence the market: If necessary, they will be able to use this "crypto-reserve" to "stabilize" prices, intervening in the market (for example, by selling small portions to curb too much growth, or conversely, by buying if the market falls sharply, but through their affiliated structures). ▫️ Legitimize "digital gold": If the US government has a Bitcoin reserve, then it's no longer "speculative nonsense," but part of the official financial system. This will open doors for broader institutional adoption, but on their terms. ▫️ Pump capitalization through stablecoins for national debt: A crucial strategic step will be to use this new "digital gold standard" to address the growing national debt. By aggressively legitimizing Bitcoin as "digital gold" and creating controlled mechanisms for its storage and trading (e.g., through regulated ETFs and tokenized assets), the US government will create a powerful incentive for capital inflow. In parallel, by strengthening regulation and encouraging the growth of fiat-backed stablecoins, collateralized by short-term US Treasury bonds (T-Bills), a colossal "cushion" of demand for US national debt will be created. The larger the capitalization of stablecoins, the greater the need for T-Bills to back them. The goal is to first build up a large BTC reserve, then, by boosting stablecoin capitalization, inflate the overall crypto market capitalization and the price of Bitcoin itself, to ultimately create a new powerful tool for "monetizing" or, at least, facilitating the servicing of US national debt. This will look like a brilliant financial maneuver, turning "wild" cryptocurrency into a tool for strengthening US financial stability and national security. ◽️ A rescue that looks like a robbery. So the scenario is not that the US government will "pump" Bitcoin by buying it expensively; the scenario is that they will create conditions and wait for the market to "drown" the most ambitious hodlers, and then come to the rescue to "save" their assets. And this "help" will look like the acquisition of a strategic asset at a bargain price, using existing market pressure mechanisms and crisis phenomena. This is a classic "good cop, bad cop" game, where the "bad cop" is an "unexpected" market recession, and the "good cop" is the government that "saves" assets to then use them for its geopolitical and financial interests. And all this under the guise of "financial stability" and "national security," of course. After all, who better than the government can manage your "digital gold"? Of course, no one! ❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To learn more, refer to the root idea via the link: 1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents

Long

1️⃣ Bitcoin. Analysis of US Treasury Documents Hello, crypto enthusiasts, decentralization adepts, and those who still believe in "financial freedom". Get ready, because what you are about to read might shatter your template, but it will clarify where your beloved market is heading. In June 2016, the blockchain world witnessed an unprecedented event – the hacking of The DAO , which called into question the fundamental principles of decentralization and smart contract security. This incident not only led to Ethereum's historic hard fork but also became a powerful impetus for the development of safer and more reliable solutions in DeFi and DAOs. This article is dedicated to that event. Now, we won't be talking here about "future technology," "blockchain revolution," or how your shitcoin will fly to the moon. No. First, we'll talk about how the "system" is preparing to digest and rebuild the crypto market to suit its needs, using everything from Forbes covers to global economic crises. Here, the author shares not just predictions, but presents in an accessible form a broad understanding of the interconnected global processes, where crypto is just one 🧩 puzzle piece of the overall picture of the future digital "brave new world" of cyberpunk . This scenario is not someone's wishful thinking, but the most plausible course of events. You may like it, you may not, it doesn't matter; what matters is what you will do with this information next. The article will be divided into three separate ideas: 1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents 2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation "Saving Private Saylor" 3️⃣ Altcoins and the US Crypto Reserve Get ready, the article will intentionally be long to immediately filter out all "clip-thinking" gamblers. In general, everything as you love it, written with love in a rebellious style, with a 🤏"touch" of cynicism, sarcasm, and tragicomedy. If you are interested in continuing any of the topics, follow the links (which will be below), and then return to this root idea. So, let's go! 1️⃣ Main Idea: Bitcoin and Crypto. Analysis of US Treasury Documents For a long time, the world of cryptocurrencies was the "Wild West" – a place where anonymity, quick money, and the dream of complete independence from traditional banks and governments reigned. Bitcoin, with its idea of "digital gold," became a symbol of this freedom, promising refuge from inflation and manipulation by fiat currencies. But, as they say, the "Wild West" doesn't stay wild for long, especially when trillions of dollars and a threat to global financial stability – which is, of course, always "national" – loom on the horizon. It's no longer a secret that US authorities and major financial institutions are carefully studying and analyzing the digital asset market. In this article, we will uncover a multi-step scenario where the "invisible hand of the market" is actually controlled by quite visible structures. We will show how a series of seemingly independent events – from the media's "Forbes curse" to an inevitable financial crisis – perfectly fits into a plan to create a US "crypto-reserve" and fully integrate (read: subjugate) digital assets into the traditional, centralized financial system. Prepare for the harsh truth. This is not a story about crypto saving the world from fiat slavery. This is a story about how the fiat system, when faced with a challenge, adapts and absorbs the threat, using its own ideas. And, unfortunately for some, it will do so at the expense of those who believed in unlimited growth. Let's dive into the details of this cunning plan, where Michael Saylor is not just an investor, but a key figure in this spectacle of life unfolding before our eyes. 📜 Our "sacred scriptures" – this is an analysis of three crucial documents published on the US Treasury website: 1. The Future of Money and Payments (FM&P, September 2022): This is like Grandpa's first tentative step into using a smartphone. "Oh, what's this interesting thing you have here? Fast? Cheap? And here we old folks are still rustling with checks..." 2. Digital Assets and the Treasury Market (DA&TM, October 2024): Here Grandpa already figured out that the smartphone can count money. "So, these 'stablecoins' of yours – they're buying our bonds? That's even better than the Chinese!" 3. Digital Money (DM, April 2025): And here Grandpa is confidently tapping the screen and even seems to be trying to take a selfie. "Alright, stablecoins are our new MMFs, and if anything happens – I'll arrange a 'run' for you, like in 2008! And your Bitcoin is just 'digital gold' for nervous investors who run from our inflation to it, and then back to us for a hedge!" Forget about conspiracy theories – they're writing it themselves! Documents like those presented by the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee (TBAC) clearly outline their views on "Digital Assets" and "Digital Money." In these reports, Bitcoin is no longer a "speculative toy," but a "store of value, aka 'digital gold' in the decentralized world of DeFi". And if it's "gold," then, by their logic, it should belong to the state, shouldn't it? Prepare yourselves, because today we're going to look under the hood of how serious gentlemen from the American financial elite suddenly "fell in love" with digital assets. ❓ So, what are these US financial authorities really trying to achieve? By studying and analyzing this open information, one can understand the scope and plans of the US financial elites. The main aspects extracted from those three documents are highlighted below: 1. The dollar is the world's drug, and we will control the dose, even in digital form! Stablecoins? They're our "digital servants"! In DA&TM and DM, they are no longer just "digital assets," but "ubiquitous cash on the blockchain". And most importantly – these naive crypto-enthusiasts (without even knowing it) are buying short-term US Treasury bonds as collateral! This is a goldmine! We're already printing debt, and now the crypto market is financing it. "Thank you for using our services to ensure your unstable stability!" "Wildcat banknotes" vs. "real dollar": DM doesn't hesitate to draw direct historical parallels. "Remember those 'wildcat banknotes' in the 1800s? Poorly collateralized, constant runs... And then the government came and said: 'Want reliability? Here's our dollar!'" It's the same story with stablecoins: "Your USDT and USDC are nice, of course, but only if they are 100% backed by our T-bills. Otherwise – no offense, but we remember the Terra/Luna story (and can repeat it if necessary), and you certainly don't need such happiness!" "Your 'stable' coins must be our stable coins!" DM explicitly states: "Stablecoins will be regulated as narrow banks or money market funds!" This means: no more shenanigans with 'algorithmic' wonder-coins, like Terra! Now you will be backed only by highly liquid, risk-free assets... guess which ones? That's right, our own, American Treasury bonds ! Hello, Tether, you are now officially our best client! "Our CBDC is not 'Bitcoin for the people,' but a 'prison blockchain' for control!" FM&P cautiously hints at CBDC as a "safe" alternative. But let's be honest: they don't just want a "convenient" digital currency. They want complete control. To know where every cent went, so that no Uncle Vasya can conduct a suspicious transaction without oversight. It's as if the NSA released its own crypto in 2008 – super-duper secure and decentralized, but every sneeze you make on the blockchain is recorded and tracked. 2. "We're for innovation! But only if it's on our platform, under our control, and preferably – on a private blockchain where you won't stick your curious nose!" "Blockchain is cool! But not the one you're on!" DA&TM clearly states: "Public, permissionless blockchains? Oh, no, that's a nightmare! Scalability is lame, security is questionable, and let's not even talk about money laundering! We don't want every John Doe to be able to anonymously transfer millions. We need 'private and permissioned blockchains' where we know who's doing what, and can control everything." "Tokenization is not a revolution, it's just a new Word for old documents!" Yes, they talk about "increasing efficiency" and "atomic settlements". But, in essence, they want to take their old, dusty Treasury bonds, slap a "token" on them and say: "Look, we're trendy too! Now you can 'instantly' exchange our bonds!" It's like buying a new iPhone but installing Windows 95 on it. Looks trendy, but works old-school. Tokenization of Treasury bonds is not for your pet hamster to buy a share in a T-bill, it's for "atomic settlements" and "improved collateral management" between large banks and institutions. If anything gets faster, it's their corporate ⚙️ gears, not your small transactions. 3. "Financial stability means your money is with us, not on some DeFi protocol!" "We remember 2008 and 2020! And your stablecoins are MMFs on steroids!" DM very clearly shows that "runs" on stablecoins are exactly the same as "runs" on money market funds during a crisis. And the consequences? "Fire sales" of Treasury bonds, falling prices, chaos. "So, folks, if you want to be 'stable,' be like our MMFs – backed only by our government's risk-free securities!" "Banks are sacred, and don't encroach on their deposits!" DM expresses unambiguous concern that these "interest-bearing stablecoins" could draw deposits away from banks. And this, begging your pardon, "could negatively affect banks' ability to attract deposits and make loans". That is, on bank profits. And we cannot allow that, because banks are the pillars of our system! Thus, the "US financial authorities" are not just a group of boring accountants. They are strategists who play the long game. They cannot (or do not want to) stop the crypto revolution, but they can direct it into a channel that is beneficial to them. They want to: "Regulate" stablecoins so they are simply a digital embodiment of their Treasury bonds. Use blockchain for their own infrastructure, but with such centralization and control that Satoshi Nakamoto would turn over in their anonymous grave. Ultimately, issue their own "digital dollar" (CBDC), which will be both "innovative" (in words) and "controlled" (in practice), so that no "private digital currency" infringes on their monopoly. This is not about "freedom," it's about "controlled dominance". They are not chasing the crypto train – they are buying it, repainting it in the colors of the American flag, renaming it the "Financial Stability Express," and selling tickets that you will buy with your own, strictly regulated, stablecoins. Our three documents are not just bureaucratic papers. They are, in essence, a strategic plan to "tame the beast" and redirect its energy in the right direction. Or, as some official would say, "optimization of national interests". And in our language – "how not to lose global financial hegemony while these hipsters play with their numbers". In the end, the US financial authorities are engaged in a kind of "digital colonialism". They cannot ignore blockchain and crypto, because it's no longer just "internet money for geeks," but a multi-trillion dollar market. Therefore, their goal is not to fight windmills, but to build their own, much more efficient windmills on the wind of digital innovations. And at the same time, ensure that all these windmills grind flour for their loaf of bread, that is, for the US dollar. They want you to continue using the dollar, even if it's "digital". They want your "stable" assets to generate income for them by buying their bonds. They want any "effective" blockchain solutions to be under their watchful eye, so that no one escapes into the "wild, unregulated" world of anonymity and decentralization. This is not about "freedom of financial innovation," it's about "innovation under strict supervision". Or, if you prefer, "controlled digital expansion". After all, what's the point of new technology if it doesn't serve the interests of good old hegemony? 🔍 Let's examine in more detail what is stated in the document: "Digital Money" (DM, April 2025). Or "The American Pump: Why Washington Wants 2 Trillion of Your 'Stablecoins' (and what they'll get for it)" Imagine, our bureaucratic friends from TBAC (a club of clever people who whisper with the US Treasury) held a secret meeting in April 2025. And what did they see there? A prophecy! 💥 A prophecy that the stablecoin market, currently hovering around $234 billion, will soar to $2 trillion by 2028! That's an 8.5x increase, if you can count! A typical crypto bro would say: "Whoa, pump! We're making x's!" But a serious uncle from the Treasury would say: "Excellent structural demand for our Treasury bonds! Finally, these 'digital monies' are working for us!" So, how is the US government going to arrange this "pump" without admitting it? 📝 The "Digital Milking Machine" Scenario (or why your stablecoin is their new wallet): "Our Dollar – Your Problem!" ▫️ "Stablecoins? They're our best friends!" At first, they frowned, saying, "anonymous, decentralized, risky." But then they saw that 99% of stablecoins are just digital dollars, pegged to their own paper! And they are used as "cash on the blockchain," meaning people in the crypto world are already actively using them. "Aha," they thought, "so the world has already accepted our dollar in digital form, even without our direct involvement. Excellent! Now we need to ride this and monetize it." ▫️ "Hey, stablecoins, buy more of our bonds!" The cherry on top from DA&TM: "Stablecoins hold $120 billion in Treasury bonds!" And if the market grows to $2 trillion, imagine: how much will that be in our precious, ever-deficient T-bills? It's just a celebration! "Please, keep issuing your stablecoins, the more the better! And we will give you paper with interest. And you, naive ones, will think it's 'collateral,' and we will think it's 'a new source of financing our debt'!" "Regulation is Love (for our interests)!" ▫️ "We will regulate you to death... so you can be 'stable'!" TBAC explicitly states: "If history teaches anything, stablecoins must be regulated like 'narrow banks' or 'money market funds'". This is not for your safety, folks, it's for theirs. "We don't want you playing with 'algorithmic stability' and crashing markets like Terra/Luna. No, no, now you will walk the line, backing every dollar of yours with OUR Treasury bonds. Because only that is 'real' risk-free collateral, right?" ▫️ "But your 'interest-bearing' stablecoins... we don't really like them!" Why? Because they can "compete with bank deposits" and "undermine banks' ability to make loans". That is, if your stablecoins start earning you real interest, you'll run from the banks! And that's an assault on the sacred. "Propaganda for 'Tokenization' is a new 'quantum leap' (for our national debt)!" ▫️ "Tokenization? What's that? Oh, it's just our new way to sell bonds!" FM&P and DA&TM talk about "increasing efficiency of clearing and settlement" through tokenization. Sounds boring, but the meaning is this: "We want to make our national debt even more liquid and accessible. If these crypto-guys love tokens so much, then let our bonds be tokens too! And then, who knows, retail might follow, through these 'tokenized Treasury bond funds'!" ▫️ "Forget 'decentralization' for bonds, that's only for 'us'!" DA&TM clearly states: "Public blockchains are garbage for Treasury bonds". They need "private, permissioned blockchains". This means: "Blockchain is cool, but only if it's controlled by us, our banks, and you sit there like mice and don't make a peep. No anonymous movements!" So yes, the US government will indeed "pump" the crypto market, but not in the way you think. It won't buy Bitcoin or Ethereum (at least not openly). It will "pump" the stablecoin market because it's: A brilliant way to finance its own national debt by attracting capital from the crypto world. An ideal tool to expand the global influence of the dollar, making it convenient "digital cash" in decentralized ecosystems, but under its control. A method of "taming" the wild crypto-west, forcing it to play by its rules of financial stability, lest any glitch should harm their "traditional" system. It's as if a casino decided to "pump" its players by saying: "We'll let you play with chips that are backed by our own debts. The more chips you make, the more of our debts you buy! And if your chips crash, that's your problem, because we warned you it was 'risky'!" So, yes, expect stablecoin capitalization to grow by at least $2 trillion by 2028. 🎮 All right, if you want to delve deeper into these documents yourself, follow the links above, and we'll move on. Now let's play a guessing game with you. The task: by elimination, figure out who on this list are "their guys" for the US government, who is a "stranger," and who cannot be touched, and who can or even should (from the US perspective) be "taken advantage of"? 📊 Largest Known BTC Holders (as of May 2025): 1. US Government: ~200,000 BTC (confiscated during investigations) 2. Satoshi Nakamoto: ~1.1 million BTC (not moved since mining) 3. BlackRock (iShares Bitcoin Trust - IBIT): ~650,000 BTC 4. Fidelity (Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund - FBTC): >200,000 BTC 5. MicroStrategy (MSTR): ~576,000 BTC (as of May 2025) 6. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC): ~187,000 BTC (outflows occurring) 7. Coinbase (reserves): >600,000 BTC (exchange balance, including client funds) 8. Binance (reserves): >500,000 BTC (exchange balance, including client funds) 9. Bitfinex (reserves): ~400,000 BTC (exchange balance, including client funds) 10. Gemini (reserves): >127,000 BTC (balance including client funds) 11. Tether (USDT, own reserves): ~100,000 BTC (in addition to fiat reserves) 🧮 Who are "their guys" and who is a "stranger"? Distribution of influence in the crypto market. In the grand game for control over the future financial landscape, especially in the digital asset sphere, the US government and its affiliated traditional financial institutions act strategically. Their goal is not to destroy cryptocurrencies, but to integrate and subjugate them on their own terms , creating a "National Crypto Reserve" and a new, controlled digital financial infrastructure. This process implies a clear distinction: who is "one of us" (a useful or tamed element of the system), and who is a "target" (a source of assets or a potential object for threat elimination). There are also unique cases that fall outside this dichotomy. Let's analyze the list of the largest BTC holders as of May 2025 from this perspective: "Their Guys" (fully integrated, tamed, or cooperating): These players are already deeply embedded in the traditional US financial system or are actively striving for full regulatory compatibility. For the US government, they are either direct partners or "tamed" assets that contribute to achieving strategic goals. They are not touched, but used as tools or components. 1. US Government (~200,000 BTC): Status: absolute "their guy" and main player. They are the ones who will "take advantage" of others. They are the ones who set the rules and collect dividends. Their Bitcoins are confiscated assets, a "free" replenishment of the future "National Crypto Reserve". 2. BlackRock (iShares Bitcoin Trust - IBIT: ~650,000 BTC) and Fidelity (Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund - FBTC: >200,000 BTC): Status: key institutional "their guys" from traditional finance. These are Wall Street giants who have received SEC approval for their spot Bitcoin ETFs. Their massive BTC accumulations are not speculation, but a strategic integration of cryptocurrencies into the existing system. They act as main gateways for institutional capital, channeling it into a regulated stream. They are actively involved in shaping the new financial architecture, for example, BlackRock with the BUIDL fund for tokenized Treasury bonds, which fully aligns with the TBAC vision. They cannot be touched; they are part of the control mechanism. 3. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC: ~187,000 BTC): Status: tamed "their guy." After the trust's conversion to an ETF and massive outflows, GBTC came under direct SEC control. Despite asset losses, the remaining assets are now in a regulated product. Grayscale was forced to fully adapt to the system's rules. There's no need to touch it – it's already in the system. 4. Coinbase (reserves: >600,000 BTC): Status: key "their guy" in the US crypto market. This is the largest regulated American crypto exchange that actively cooperates with authorities. Coinbase serves as the "main entrance" for retail and institutional investors in the US. Its transparency and compliance make it indispensable for the system as a tool for data collection and control over fund movements. It will not be touched, but will be used as part of the regulated infrastructure. 5. Tether (USDT, own reserves: ~100,000 BTC): Status: "tamed" and useful "their guy." Tether, being the largest holder of US Treasury bonds, is already deeply integrated into the financial system. The system does not seek to destroy it, but to fully subjugate it to regulatory control. For the government, it is a source of demand for their debt (Treasury bonds) and a potential tool for controlling digital flows. It will be "regulated" in the sense of "finally brought to heel," so that it becomes absolutely transparent and controllable, essentially a private digital dollar under supervision. (See DA&TM pp. 4, 17, 25). 6. Bitfinex (reserves: ~400,000 BTC): Status: "their guy" through affiliation with Tether. Since Tether is already recognized as "their guy" and is under regulatory pressure, its affiliated structures, such as Bitfinex, also automatically fall under this logic. If Tether is "tamed," then Bitfinex, as part of the same ecosystem and holding significant assets, will also be forced to comply with the same standards of transparency and compliance. This is not a "stranger" in the full sense, but rather a "younger brother" controlled through the elder. 7. Binance (reserves: >500,000 BTC): Status: already "regulated." Lawsuits, multi-billion dollar fines, and CZ's removal are classic examples of how the system forced the largest global, but previously less regulated, player into submission. Now Binance, although still a powerful force, is forced to operate within the given rules. It no longer needs to be "touched" in the same sense – it has been "tamed" and included in the sphere of influence. 8. Gemini (reserves: >127,000 BTC): Status: "their guy," but with caveats. Gemini is an American exchange actively striving for compliance. Despite past regulatory difficulties (e.g., with the Earn program), it remains part of the regulated American crypto infrastructure. It will be used to control flows, but also kept under constant supervision. Neutral Player (not participating in the game): This anonymous entity is outside the system of control and is neither "their guy" nor a "target" in the traditional sense. Satoshi Nakamoto (~1.1 million BTC): Status: Neutral, not participating in the game, and untouchable. These Bitcoins remain untouched and symbolize true decentralization and uncontrollability. The US government cannot touch them , unless "Satoshi" himself decides to move funds to a regulated platform or an incredible cryptographic vulnerability is found. So, the only major target that can be 'taken advantage of' is, 🥁 drumroll: Micro Strategy (MSTR: ~576,000 BTC) Status: 🎯 Main Target. Although Michael Saylor is a prominent Bitcoin supporter, and Micro Strategy is a public company, their aggressive accumulation strategy (often through debt) makes them extremely vulnerable to the price of Bitcoin. In the event of a serious market crash, Micro Strategy will face enormous pressure (margin calls, debt obligations). In such a scenario, their significant assets could become targets for forced liquidation or acquisition by organizations with deeper pockets and government backing. Their "high-beta" nature (as described in TBAC documents) makes them vulnerable. For the continuation of Michael's story, see the separately published idea: 2️⃣ Operation: "Saving Private Saylor." Or how Uncle Sam "nationalizes" Bitcoin while Michael is busy with micro-strategies. 🎼 "History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes" – and for Michael Saylor, this rhyme echoes with unsettling persistence. In 2000, he, the shining dot-com hero, faced the prose of numbers when the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) knocked on his door . The overstatement of revenue by MarginCallStrategy MicroStrategy and non-compliance with "Generally Accepted Accounting Principles" (GAAP) – all this led to a restatement of financial results and a stock collapse of -60% in a day, and then almost -90% in a few weeks. But this episode was just the first line in a long poem. Two decades later, Michael Saylor re-emerged on the scene, now as a prophet of "digital gold," transforming his company into the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin. His passionate belief in decentralization and the unique nature of BTC is striking. He claims that Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation, an eternal store of value, immune to the manipulations of the fiat system. But the louder his sermons about Bitcoin, the more they rhyme with the past: excessive confidence, public bravado, and disregard for fundamental risks. History does not repeat itself literally, but it rhymes. Michael Saylor in 2000 and Michael Saylor today are two lines of the same poem, where the final chord will belong not to "digital gold" in its pristine, decentralized form, but to "tokenized government bonds" and CBDCs, which will become the foundation of a new, controlled financial order. Bitcoin, of course, will survive another -70% collapse, but in a completely new role that better suits Washington's needs than the dreams of crypto-anarchists. Let's delve deeper. To avoid overloading the article, it has been decided to publish the section on altcoins and the scenario for replenishing the US "Crypto-Reserve" separately from the main root idea. If you are interested in learning how the government intends to make the US the "crypto capital of the world," and the fate of altcoins with a forecast for 2025-2028, follow the link: 3️⃣ Altcoins and the US "Crypto-Reserve" Excellent, let's continue. Now we are on the home stretch! Connecting all the dots: the Forbes curse, the inevitable crash, the insidious plans of the US government, and finally, the final mega-pump. Washington's Grand Crypto-Gambit: How they will crash the market to orchestrate a 'Final Pump' (and why they need your altcoins at dirt-cheap prices for this) My previously published basic crypto forecast is not just relevant – it is becoming even more ominously realistic; it's just (as usual) slightly shifted in time. Because the "big guys" in Washington are not some Elon Musks who pump with tweets. They work on a schedule, and their schedule is called "global economic recession," which the Democrats have stubbornly delayed until Trump's presidency since 2023. ◻️ Part 1: "Pre-Pump Cleanse" – Why a crash is coming (and why Bitcoin won't hold up either) 2025-2026. While you rejoice that Bitcoin is demonstrating "phenomenal resilience," trading around $75,000 - $100,000 (thanks to Bitcoin ETFs and migrating Chinese, at least some demand!), I'll tell you straight - it's an illusion. It's like the last dance before the fall. ▫️Bitcoin – king, but on a shaky throne: Yes, demand from ETFs and "fleeing capital" from China have kept the price around $100k for the last three quarters. But, let me remind you what TBAC said (and that, by the way, is the voice of the Treasury!): Bitcoin is a "high-beta asset." This means it amplifies market movements. If the stock market sneezes pretty hard (down -30-40%), Bitcoin will catch pneumonia (down -60-70%). ▫️Alts – it's already a "bloodbath": While Bitcoin is setting its historical highs (essentially drawn on the enthusiasm of new funds), alts are already howling in pain. The altcoin index CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS is already -40% lower since the beginning of the year, with its capitalization falling from $450 billion to $260 billion. The Impending (US-Managed) Armageddon in the Markets: "Debt market? What's that?" The absence of buyers in the debt market (hello, USA, Japan, EU!) – this is not just a "small problem," it's a systemic crack. Who will finance all these government expenditures if no one wants to buy bonds? "Liquidity? What liquidity?" The liquidity problems in the global "Eurodollar" financial system are no longer a joke. When the world's largest financial arteries become clogged, blood stops flowing. US stock market (SP500 and NDQ100) crash of -30-50% from their ATH in 2025. This is not just a "scare," it's a controlled demolition of an old building to construct a new one. And in the still "very small cryptocurrency market" (by traditional market standards, of course), this will result in a further -60-80% drop from current levels! Buckle up, Bitcoin to $30,000 - $50,000! Yes, my forecast is harsh, but realistic. Before a new phase of growth for the entire cryptocurrency market (yes, not just Bitcoin, but your beloved altcoins too), we are obliged to see a final sell-off. ◻️ Part 2: "Final Pump: When Uncle Sam Becomes Your Crypto-Manager" (2026-2028) This is where it gets really interesting. After the market is flushed out, "weak hands" are eliminated, and Michael Saylor's (and many others') "digital gold" is "nationalized" at a bargain price, they will enter the stage – the US authorities. "Our dollar – your digital wallet!" Remember TBAC's forecasts that the stablecoin market will grow to $2 trillion by 2028? This is no coincidence. It's a plan. They don't want to "pump" Bitcoin; they want to "pump" their stablecoins, which, of course, will be 100% backed by their own Treasury bonds. This is the ideal mechanism for financing their bottomless debt! "Regulation? No, it's controlled growth!" They will "regulate" the market to make it safe... for them. Stablecoins will become "narrow banks," and private blockchains – "permissioned." This means: "Use our 'digital currency' (stablecoins), buy our bonds with them, and everything will be fine. And if you want 'innovations,' only on our centralized infrastructure!" "Tokenization of all America": When traditional markets are in ruins, they will announce a "new era" – the era of tokenization! Tokenized Treasury bonds (convenient for buying with your stablecoins!), tokenized stocks (after the crash, they will become very "attractive" for buying via blockchain!), tokenized real estate... And all this under the supervision of "reliable" centralized structures. "Final explosive growth" (under control): It is precisely this controlled growth, this inflow of liquidity through stablecoins and the tokenization of traditional assets, provoked and financed by the US authorities, that will be the "final explosive growth" for the entire crypto market in 2027-2028. Crypto will grow not because it is "decentralized," but because it has finally been "tamed" and integrated into the global financial system, but on Big Brother's terms. 📉 Periodic Crashes – A Tool for Capital Redistribution Many current fresh gamblers "investors" don't understand a simple thing: periodic crashes in financial markets, be it stocks or cryptocurrencies, are not a "bug" or an accident, but a built-in "feature" of the system itself. This is a powerful tool for redistributing capital, constantly transferring wealth from some to others. At each turn of the economic cycle, when "bubbles" inflate (be it dot-coms, mortgages, or crypto), and then deflate with a resounding crash, a massive redistribution of wealth occurs. This is not a natural disaster, but rather a well-oiled mechanism. Accumulation of assets by "dumb money": During periods of rapid growth, when markets are overheated and assets are rising rapidly, "dumb money" enters the game – that is, ordinary retail investors, small speculators, newcomers without a deep understanding of risks. Inspired by stories of successful success and the fear of missing out (FOMO), they pour their savings into the market at its peak, often using borrowed funds or buying the most volatile and overpriced assets. They buy "hype," not value. It is here that MicroStrategy, aggressively buying Bitcoin with borrowed funds, becomes a symbol of this vulnerability, albeit on a larger scale. Shaking out weak hands: For the "system," there are two main methods to get rid of "excess passengers" and "weak hands" in the market. The first is sharp, panic-driven crashes, when fear forces investors to sell assets at a loss, just to "get out of the game." The second, no less effective, is the exhaustion of enthusiasm over time (prolonged periods of stagnation). These are months or even years of boring "sideways" trading (trading in a narrow range) or slow but steady price declines. At such moments, the belief in quick profits fades, and investors, especially those who invested in altcoins without fundamental understanding, lose patience and leave, abandoning their assets at throwaway prices. Both methods effectively "clear out" inexperienced or insufficiently patient participants. Creating "liquidity" for institutions: Crashes and price declines, as well as periods of stagnation, create what is called "liquidity" – an opportunity for large players to buy assets at significantly discounted prices. When the market is "bleeding," or when "hamsters" get tired of waiting and sell everything in despair, that's the "meat" that the "falling knife" provides for "smart money." Benefits for "smart money": Giants like BlackRock, Fidelity, Vanguard, or legendary investors like Warren Buffett, do not invest in "hype." They create trends and wait. They possess enormous capital reserves, access to insider information (analytics, government plans, such as TBAC documents), and, most importantly, iron discipline and patience. They do not succumb to panic; they create it when needed! When markets are bleeding and "ordinary mortals" sell everything in a panic, these "sharks" of the financial world go hunting, buying quality assets (be it stocks, real estate, or even Bitcoin, which is already recognized as "digital gold" in certain circles) at prices inaccessible to small players. Centralization of wealth: As a result of each such cycle, a further centralization of wealth occurs. Capital flows from less informed, less disciplined, and more emotional market participants to those who play by the rules of the "big game," having access to resources, analytics, and, possibly, even a certain influence on the system itself. Market crashes are not system errors, but its key redistribution function, allowing capital to remain in the hands of the elite and constantly increasing their share of the overall wealth pie. This is a brutal but extremely effective mechanism of "natural selection" in the world of finance. And these are not some "conspiracy theories" but the harsh truth, whether someone likes it or not. According to 2022 data, people with capital over $1 million, making up only 1.1% of the world's population, own ~50% of the world's wealth, while the richest 12.2% of people own over 85%. At the same time, the poorest 55% of the planet's population controls only 1.3% of the world's wealth. Between these two poles, about half of the global wealth is (for now) dispersed. And in 2026-2028, you will have the last chance to enter this "middle class," which is systematically being destroyed by those at the top of the pyramid. ✴️ Your place in the "New World Crypto-Order" (or why freedom is an illusion) We live in an era when even the seemingly most "decentralized" and "independent" market, like crypto, ultimately finds itself under the close scrutiny of those who hold the strings of the global financial system. Documents like TBAC (which you will hopefully now read with double attention) are not just bureaucratic reports; they are roadmaps to how "Big Brother" intends to integrate, and essentially subordinate, the "wild" world of digital assets to its interests. So, we have established that: The upcoming stock market crash and, consequently, crypto crash in 2025-2026 – this is not just an "unexpected market correction," but an inevitable managed stage of "cleansing" that will allow the "system" to get rid of "weak hands" and acquire assets at a discount. Your altcoins, which are already bleeding, will become even cheaper before they are picked up by those who know what they are doing. "Pump" of stablecoins to at least $2 trillion by 2028 – this is not a sign of your victory, but a brilliant way for the US government to find a new, bottomless source of financing for its ever-growing national debt. Your "stable" money will become their "stable" bonds, as most stablecoins, especially USDT and USDC, are backed by US Treasury bonds, which creates direct and massive demand for US debt obligations. "Continued growth of stablecoins... will create structural demand for short-term US Treasury obligations." (DA&TM, p. 16) The narrative "Bitcoin – digital gold" – this is not just a marketing ploy by crypto enthusiasts, but a convenient concept that the government can use to "nationalize" large crypto assets at a bargain price and use them for its own benefit. The hidden, but key goal of this narrative is to create a new, global tool for absorbing and refinancing part of the colossal US national debt. The higher the recognition and price of "digital gold" controlled by the state, the more financial leverage it will gain to manage its obligations, turning a decentralized asset into a new pillar of the fiat system . ❓ What does this mean for us, mere mortals, trapped in this crypto-matrix? This means that the next six months are a time not for euphoria and not for buying a "strategic reserve," but for strategic retreat and patient waiting. While "Big Brother" squeezes the market and prepares for the "nationalization" of crypto assets through defaults and margin calls, we should: Keep a finger on the pulse of the global economy: Attention to the debt market, Eurodollar liquidity problems, and the predicted stock market crash in 2025 – this is not background noise, these are the main indicators of the upcoming "cleansing." Forget about FOMO for Bitcoin at $100k: These are just the death throes of a "bull market," supported by artificial demand. The target range of $30-50k is an entry point that "their boys" are preparing for themselves. Aim for altcoins: Your favorite altcoins, which have already fallen by -40% since the beginning of the year and still have room to fall (by -60-80% from current levels) – this is where the real "bloody auction" will be. It is these assets that, after the crash, will become most attractive to those who understand what will follow the market "cleansing" and which coins will end up in that very US "crypto-reserve." 🏁 Final Act: Controlled Explosive Growth (2026-2028) When the dust settles, and Michael Saylor's (and many others') Bitcoins are in the hands of the "State Crypto-Reserve" at a large discount, the real "pump" will begin. But this will not be a pump of "decentralization" or "freedom." This will be controlled, institutional, government-funded growth, based on: Excess liquidity created by banksters. Growth in the broad cryptocurrency market, especially on such a massive scale, is impossible without an influx of "cheap" money into the global financial system. For this excess liquidity to appear, appropriate conditions must be created: low-interest rates (close to zero) and a reactivated "printing press" (Quantitative Easing – QE). To achieve this, the stock market (and, consequently, the traditional economy) must first be sharply crashed to force the Fed to abruptly "change course" and begin "saving" the economy by injecting trillions of dollars into the system. This "flood" of liquidity will be the fuel for a new wave of crypto market growth, but strictly under the control of their guys institutions. Trillions of stablecoins, backed by US national debt. These stablecoins, as we already understand, create structural demand for short-term US Treasury obligations, becoming a powerful tool for managing national debt. Mass tokenization of traditional assets on "private, permissioned blockchains" managed by banksters. This will create huge new markets and capital flows that will be controlled by their players. And, of course, a legitimized Bitcoin as "digital gold," which will now be in safe government hands, not with some "alchemists" or "micro-strategists." 💡 Be smart, not emotional. The cryptocurrency market – is not just a set of charts and technologies. It's a battlefield where the interests of decentralization and centralized control clash. In the coming years, we will see how the last "wild" frontier of digital assets will be integrated into the traditional financial system. Your task is to understand this scenario, step aside while the "elephants dance," and prepare to enter when "blood is flowing in the streets." Only then will you be able to become part of this final explosive growth, which, ironically, will be provoked and financed by the very forces that are now trying to herd crypto into a corral. ⚠️ See you in 2026! And remember: knowledge and understanding – this is your only superpower in this zero-sum game, as everyone, to the extent of their understanding, works for themselves, and to the extent of their misunderstanding – for those who know and understand more. 🚀 As a token of gratitude, don't forget to hit the rocket under this unique work. 🙏 Thank you for your attention. 📟 Stay in touch.

Long

BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – 15-Min Chart | Short-Term Bearish The current price action of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) shows a sustained bearish trend within a well-defined descending channel. Following a temporary bullish correction in the form of a rising channel, the price faced strong resistance around the $107,000–$110,500 supply zone and is now showing signs of a bearish breakout. 📉 Key Technical Observations: A clear rejection from the upper resistance zone has led to a breakdown below the rising correction channel. Immediate support zones are identified around $99,600 (TP1) and $94,300 (TP2), where price may potentially stabilize or bounce. The bearish momentum remains dominant unless a strong reversal above $107,000 occurs. 📌 Scenarios to Watch: Bearish Scenario: Price could continue falling toward TP1 and possibly TP2 if momentum holds and no strong reversal signals appear. Bullish Reversal Scenario: A bounce from support levels with higher lows and a break above $107,000 could signal the beginning of a new bullish phase. 🔔 Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.

Short

Updated

EURCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS EURCAD is currently consolidating within a clean symmetrical triangle formation on the 8H chart, tightening between dynamic support and resistance. Price is hovering around 1.56200 and coiling at the apex of the triangle, suggesting a breakout is imminent. With this structure developing over several weeks, this setup is primed for a high-probability directional move. The overall technical picture is showing compression, and the bullish bias becomes more likely if price breaks and closes above 1.56900. From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining moderate strength as the ECB is maintaining a cautiously hawkish tone while assessing economic recovery and inflation persistence. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is facing downward pressure following the Bank of Canada's recent interest rate cut — a shift that surprised many traders and sparked risk-on flows away from the loonie. Crude oil prices, which often support CAD, have also turned volatile with no sustained bullish momentum, weakening CAD’s support base. This triangle pattern reflects indecision but also the perfect setup for breakout traders waiting for volatility expansion. A confirmed bullish breakout would likely target 1.59200, with short-term resistance levels offering minor friction around 1.57800. The breakout aligns with a well-balanced risk-reward setup, with a stop area potentially below 1.56000. Price action has respected this structure consistently, adding further confluence for a clean technical move. As EURCAD inches toward a decision point, traders should be on high alert for breakout confirmation and follow-through momentum. This is a textbook volatility squeeze pattern — when it resolves, it tends to run fast and far. With favorable macro fundamentals, this setup has the potential to deliver a solid trend continuation wave in the coming sessions.

Long

by AndrewsMarket-Mastery

$BTC correction has just started. What is coming next?As I previously stated in my CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 analysis — this move was expected. Check out my other ideas for more detailed breakdowns. So, what’s happening? Bitcoin maximalists have been buying heavily at the top, right when RSI and MACD were in overbought territory, creating a clear bearish divergence. Something Saylor and others seem to ignore: you can't defy mathematics — what needs a correction will correct. CRYPTOCAP:BTC still looks bullish on the weekly timeframe, so we’re not entering a bear market. However, the pump is over, key supports have broken, and altcoins are correcting — some by -25% in a single day. Purely from a charting perspective, we can identify multiple potential support levels for CRYPTOCAP:BTC : $101K, $94K, $89K, $87K, with a lower-probability retest down to $75K. We’re likely entering a 2-week correction, after which CRYPTOCAP:BTC could resume its uptrend — potentially closing June at a new all-time high. DYOR. #Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoins #CryptoCrash #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCdominance #TOTAL2 #BearishDivergence #Saylor #RSI #MACD #ATH #DYOR

Short

by CryptoNikkoid

Updated

Bitcoin Crashes To $81,346.77? Good News & Bad News Bitcoin is crashing... ? Not really, Bitcoin continues really strong above $100K. We have good news and bad news. Bad news. The very ultra-strong, long-term unbreakable support zone is being challenged. This is the $100,000 - $102,000 price range. God news. It holds. This support zone is being challenged but so far it holds. So far there is nothing unexpected here we know the market can shake, the market is bound to produce swings. If 100K breaks though this would be a completely different story. If it breaks, Bitcoin continues bullish producing a retrace only to end as a higher low followed by additional growth. Will support break or hold, is there a way to know? Bitcoin's retrace after the all-time high so far amounts to -10%. A standard retrace can easily push prices between 0.382 and 0.5 Fib. retracement. Anything lower and this would be a correction rather than a retrace. Will it break? It is possible but so far 100K is a very strong support. We have EMA55 here as well as several Fib. levels but if Bitcoin remains below $102,000 then it can definitely break. The next major support below 100K sits at MA200 or $95,000. This is in-between 0.382-0.5 Fib. retracement. This can be used as the higher low zone and re-entry zone. But, Bitcoin is really strong and demand is big, so we have to wait for the weekly close. Remember, Bitcoin will continue slightly bearish, consolidating, until the Fed decision. After the event, it is very likely to go full blown bullish. The altcoins will grow as well. Watch the market shake just to recover the next day. Are you a weak hand or a strong hand? Do you have a trading plan? If you do, nothing changes, simply short-term noise. If you don't have a plan, right now you might be thinking that the world is close to its end. It isn't, Bitcoin will continue to grow, it takes time for the bulls to recharge before the next wave of growth. Focus on the long-term. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.

by MasterAnanda

BTC (Y25.P2.E6).Likely fractal Hi Traders, I'm looking at this level as a likely scenario. Why? Its happened x2 in the past when we made ATH. A 12 and 14% retracement. The liquidity is there, the incentive is there and a low like this will make people sell as to think the bull run is over. We have our levels to trade for shorts and longs but ultimately, I think it will make its way down to here. As per my post, this current level was a long entry and I'm in a long, however its not the response I was hoping for. So its likely a scalp trade and hence I will be looking for a short as well. All the best. S.SAri Y24, March ATH Y21 ATH current support, AvWap

Updated

BTCUSD CRACKing Everywhere!As I have been warning for a while now. See previous post. I first warned to wait for the CRACK! Then we got the 2nd CRACK!, very normal. Then a nice M pattern with a lower high. Then another CRACK! And now a right Shoulder. MAGIC! Now we wait for the H&S to break down. Click boost, follow, and subscribe for more. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))

Short

Bitcoin – Entering a distribution phase after a bull trap?Since the second week of May, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a textbook accumulation phase, with a well-defined trading range forming just below the previous all-time high. Beginning around May 12, price action became increasingly compressed, marked by a series of higher lows and relatively flat resistance, indicating growing demand and waning selling pressure. This consolidation structure persisted for more than a week, suggesting that larger players were accumulating positions in anticipation of a breakout. Now it could be making the Power of 3. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution Eventually, this coiled energy resolved to the upside. BTC broke through the upper boundary of the accumulation zone with increasing volume and momentum, triggering a sharp rally and leading to the formation of a new all-time high. At that point, market sentiment turned decidedly bullish, with breakout traders entering the market, expecting continuation. However, the price failed to sustain above the previous ATH for long. Despite the breakout’s initial strength, Bitcoin was unable to establish a solid foothold above the critical psychological and technical level, which has now proven to be a key inflection point. Soon after setting a new high, BTC began to reverse, shedding gains and retracing back below the former resistance level, which had temporarily acted as support. The breakdown below the $106,000 mark, previously the ceiling of the accumulation range, signaled a notable shift in market structure. What was initially viewed as a healthy continuation pattern evolved into what now appears to be a classic bull trap. This type of failed breakout often leaves market participants vulnerable, as late buyers are caught in drawdowns and early longs may be incentivized to exit positions. Given this context, the recent price action carries the hallmarks of a Power of 3, where market makers and institutions may be offloading positions to less informed participants. This phase is often mistaken for continued accumulation by retail traders due to its structural similarity; however, the key difference lies in the failure to maintain new highs and the emergence of lower highs on any attempted bounce. The rejection above the ATH and the subsequent breakdown below $106K has introduced significant overhead supply, which may act as resistance in the near term. Target levels As BTC continues to trade below this critical level, the likelihood of a further retracement grows. The market appears to be transitioning into a phase of redistribution or distribution proper, where price is likely to be capped on rallies and pressured lower over time. It is reasonable to expect that Bitcoin could revisit $100.000 to mid-$90,000s, an area that may serve as a magnet for liquidity and a potential staging ground for the next major move. This region could represent a "Last Point of Supply" (LPSY) within the Wyckoff framework, typically the final area where smart money distributes before initiating a more decisive markdown phase. Nevertheless, this potential pullback should not be viewed solely as a sign of weakness. In many bull cycles, such corrections and shakeouts serve to flush out over-leveraged positions and reset sentiment, ultimately laying the groundwork for renewed upward momentum. Should BTC find stability and demand re-emerge in the $95K–$100K range, it could mark the beginning of a new re-accumulation phase, leading to a healthier and more sustainable advance. Conclusion In summary, the recent breakout above ATH followed by a sharp reversal and loss of key support paints a cautionary picture in the short term. Bitcoin may currently be navigating a distribution zone, with downside pressure likely to persist as the market digests recent gains. However, such corrections are typical in broader uptrends and often present opportunities for strategic entries once the next accumulation structure becomes clear. Patience and disciplined observation will be essential as the market defines its next directional bias. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!

Short

Updated

BITCOIN Risky Long! Buy! Hello,Traders! BITCOIN keeps falling down And the coin is almost 9% Down from the recent highs So BTC is oversold and After it hits a horizontal Support of 100,800$ We will be expecting a Local rebound and a move up Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

Long

by TopTradingSignals

BTC falling ... thanks orange swan BTC dumping through the volume gap. Oversold conditions will give you the best opportunities. Full TA: Link in the BIO

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Select market data provided by ICE Data services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc.© 2025 TradingView, Inc.

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