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CYCLE 4 | Realised Price Oscillator & OverlayThis post is intended as an interactive companion post with a 'to follow' detail post for historic analysis. I want to explore the relationship with BTC and Realised Price, and historically where we have seen cycle over bought and sold regions based on extensions from calculated realised price values. What is Realized Price? Source: www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com "Bitcoin Realized Price is the value of all bitcoins at the price they were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. This gives us the ‘average cost basis’ at which all bitcoins were purchased, which is another way of describing Realized Price." The above relationships have been incorporated into the Overlay and Oscillator indicators developed for this post to use into DCA accumulation and sell strategies. I will follow this post with a zoomed version for detailed discussion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Brodie
Bull flag pattern (with potencial 50% profit R:R 2.6 setup 4BTC)After that BAD NEWS unpredictable shakeout .... Market was warning us but people rally too much on fundamentals. a Bitcoin Bull Flag Formation on the 4-Hour Chart In the chart displayed, we observe a classic Bull Flag formation in Bitcoin's price action, signaling a potential continuation of the ongoing bullish trend. The pattern consists of a sharp upward movement, forming the flagpole, followed by a period of consolidation within a downward-sloping channel, which forms the flag. Key Observations: Flagpole: The initial surge in price that formed the flagpole is indicative of strong buying pressure, suggesting that the bulls are firmly in control. Consolidation Phase: The price action within the flag is characterized by lower highs and lower lows, typical of a flag pattern. This consolidation is healthy as it allows the market to cool off after the rapid ascent. Volume Analysis: During the formation of the flag, we observe decreasing trading volume, a common feature of bull flags, indicating that sellers are losing momentum. A breakout from the flag with increasing volume would confirm the pattern and likely lead to another leg up. Potential Breakout: The upper trendline of the flag is a crucial resistance level. A decisive breakout above this line, especially with a spike in volume, would be a strong bullish signal, potentially leading to a continuation of the uptrend towards higher targets. Price Targets: If the bull flag plays out as expected, the measured move technique suggests a potential price target equal to the length of the flagpole, projected from the breakout point. This could imply significant upside potential for Bitcoin. Support Levels: Immediate support is observed at the lower trendline of the flag. A breakdown below this level might invalidate the bull flag and could lead to further consolidation or a bearish reversal. Technical Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in the neutral zone, indicating that there is room for further upward movement before reaching overbought levels. Moving Averages are sloping upwards, aligning with the bullish outlook. This setup offers a compelling risk-to-reward opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s next potential move. As always, prudent risk management is advised, considering the volatility inherent in cryptocurrency markets. Cheers
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Anoinvest
10
Bitcoin Breaks Record, Shrugs Off Risk-On Label Gold extended gains for a third consecutive session, crossing $2,650 per ounce, as investors sought safety following an escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is also performing well and doesn't appear to be acting totally as a risk-on asset in this environment, surging to a fresh record high. President-elect Donald Trump’s administration is reportedly considering a dedicated cryptocurrency policy role within the White House, Bloomberg reported. Adding to Bitcoin's momentum, the Financial Times revealed that Trump Media and Technology Company is in advanced talks to acquire crypto trading platform Bakkt. Bitcoin remains above key technical levels, including the 50- and 100-day EMAs, while the RSI hit overbought territory at 80.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
LINK Long Spot Trade (Trading at Support)Market Context: LINK is currently oversold on the 4-hour timeframe and trading in a major area of support, offering a strong opportunity for a long position with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Trade Setup: Entry Zone: $13.75 - $14.00 Take Profit Targets: First target: $18.00 - $19.00 Second target: $21.00 - $22.00 Stop Loss: Just below $13.00 This trade capitalizes on the oversold conditions and support alignment, with potential for a strong rebound toward the profit targets.
Long
by Richtv_official
1
AKRO finishes accumulation before breakdownTo date, the altcoin index is completing a rollback to the retest of the formed support at 9% and the shadow drawing for the current weekly candle. Starting tomorrow, the probability of a weekly candle reversal on the index with an attempt to exit above 10% is extremely high. Within the framework of this movement, one can expect reversals of weekly candlesticks and for individual coins in order to surpass last week at least. In addition to vib and gft, which I am considering to work at the moment as the most oversold coins on the binance, I took AKRO to work. This token, like gft, has high liquidity due to its fairly wide presence on exchanges and the availability of derivatives, which leads to quite volatile breakouts. At the moment, an extremely high potential has been accumulated to work out volumes aimed above 0.0075. The current monthly candle has opened above 0.004, which gives a signal for a hike up to 0.0060-75 this month. In the case of a general pullback on the tops or insufficient volatility, a breakout of 0.005 can be expected at least, with an attempt to continue the trend already in a new monthly candle. On smaller timeframes, there is already a trend change from the main support zone to 0.00350-375.
Long
by Strateg_
3
FTM Long Spot Trade (Trading at Support)Market Context: FTM is currently trading at a support level, with the price oversold on the 4-hour timeframe. This setup presents a favorable opportunity for a long trade, expecting a bounce from this area. Trade Setup: Entry: Around $0.66 Take Profit Targets: First target: $0.76 - $0.78 Second target: $0.82 - $0.84 Stop Loss: Just below $0.645 This setup takes advantage of oversold conditions and support alignment, with a strong risk-to-reward profile.
Long
by Richtv_official
3
BTC | SHORT TERM | ATH OutlookBitcoin is in the process of making new ATH's and this process is called "price discovery mode". This basically means that we have no indication of possible resistance or support zones. However, there is one method I like to use for price discovery mode - Fibonacci. This could hold some key information as to where the price of BTC may possible see some rejection, and where it could bounce from. If you're keen to see the journey, I made an update on my ENTIRE BTC prediction-roadmap. Find it here: _____________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
2
Well, Well Well, Can Bitcoin Sustain Its New All-Time High?It's been a while, TradingView. I've really stepped away from markets for the most part to focus on other things. It's been quite refreshing. This won't be long. I'm popping in to share a couple of quick observations. For one, Bitcoin has managed to break out to a new significant ATH, so far a little under 30% above the previous high around $73k. My speculation has long been that Bitcoin is unlikely to SUSTAIN a significant new all-time high above the previous bull-market high near $70k. This is close to being invalidated. Full invalidation would require Bitcoin to just keep going, and $100k is the next clear hurdle. Right now, it's encountering some resistance, just 5% from that major target. Keep in mind, Bitcoin, is not really outperforming major stock indexes (yet). It's simply caught up after a period of underperformance. The recent upswing in price seems to have been catalyzed by Trump's second election to office in the U.S. Interesting, considering he used to look down on cryptocurrencies and suddenly flip-flopped during his recent run for office. This seems to be a bit of an emotional and speculative reaction from investors. Buyers expect further price appreciation with increased adoption and decreased available supply. "Adoption" simply means buying and holding these days, not using it as a currency. This is clear when looking at this graph: studio.glassnode.com Bitcoin active addresses continue to stagnate. People are just buying and holding, and it is often the same entities doing so. The ETFs skew this data as well, since these coins are held in concentrated addresses, even though many more people may be holding "Bitcoin" through an ETF. That brings me to something else: Options. Now traders can exercise options on Bitcoin ETF's. This is dangerous, and I think should be treated with some caution. This can increase the amount of price manipulation, as if it wasn't already manipulated. As for me, I closed my shorts at a loss around $63.8k. I saw that Bitcoin was unlikely to drop further, and instead break out of its flag formation to the upside. This ended up being the safer move. Now, I've slowly begun scaling back into a short. I've added at GETTEX:89K , $93k, and now $94.8k. The chart is demonstrating some divergences. The Ultimate Oscillator is actually declining as price goes up. Today's "breakout" is so far on meager volume, but my guess is that this increases should price continue towards $100k this week. In the above chart, confirmation of a local top might be the breakdown of my orange trendline. If price stalls here, it can fall all the way down to the breakout point (the long broadening wedge) It can also simply fall as shallow as $82-83k and then resume its climb. Long term, I'm not a fan of this asset as it represents something dystopian and sinister to me these days. I acknowledge it doesn't represent this to everyone. Regardless of your position on Bitcoin, I wish you luck! This is not meant as financial advice and for speculation only! -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
6
FARM: A DEFI Platform with Explosive Potential"FARM is a solid and innovative DEFI platform, comparable to big names like AAVE, Compound, and Yearn Finance, offering efficient staking and yield generation. Recently, it has gained attention for its unique structure and fundamentals that suggest extraordinary growth potential. With exactly 672,183 tokens in circulation and a market cap of just $30 million, FARM is positioned for significant movement. Comparable platforms have already surpassed $100 million, and all signs indicate FARM could reach that milestone soon. If FARM hits $100 million in market cap, it would represent an approximate 300% increase from its current valuation. This extreme scarcity of tokens, combined with its functionality as a DEFI platform, places FARM in a uniquely advantageous position in the crypto market. Opportunities like this are rare. For those keeping an eye on the market, FARM showcases the characteristics of a project poised for rapid and significant growth. Stay alert—this could be one of the most exciting moves we see in the near future. 🚀 COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
Long
by SophiaAnderson
1
Neiro / UsdtBINANCE:BTCUSDT $NEIRO (4H) $NEIRO, one of the most trending 🔟 Meme coins, is about to have a massive Breakout ❗ You can see that it's forming a Bullish 🦬 pennant pattern in the 4H timeframe and is on the verge of a Breakout📈. Anticipating a big bullish 🕯 move in case of a successful breakout Neiro Current Price 📉: The price is currently at 0.00187. It's heading toward the support area at 0.00170 🛑. This is a critical level where the price may either reverse or consolidate. If the price doesn't hold at 0.00170 and continues to fall, the next support level could be around 0.00127 🔻. If the price drops to this level, it could face more downward pressure, but it may also act as another opportunity for buyers to step in. On the other hand, if the price holds at 0.00170 and shows signs of stability, you could potentially set up a buy trade 📈, looking for a bounce or reversal from this support area. If this happens, it could create a good opportunity to enter the market. 🔄 Remember: This is not financial advice ⚠️. Always do your own research and analysis before making any investment decisions. 📊💡
Long
by Wolftrader1337
BULLISH STRUCTURE BREAKOUT - 100-105K NEXTPrice is starting to close bullish, slowly making its way outside the bullish rising wedge / ascending triangle pattern. This is an indication of a healthy and proper uptrend with decent volume to hold the bull run and potentially a continuation to new ATH price levels. If the structure holds, the should be a spike to break through $95,000 with strength. Many short sellers will get liquidated and that's just more liquidity added to the upside. Near the $100,000 level, you could expect a similar pattern to form. A continuation consolidation / accumulation phase that holds key psychological price levels as support; such as (but not necessarily) $97,000-$96.000. - GOOD LUCK!
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by PersaGold
High probability of market growth before the end of the yearToday, as the market strengthens, I want to consider the prospects for the new week. This week, the broadcast has worked very technically, according to the planned scenario. The most important is the opening of the second half of the month and quarter above 3000. This, along with the positive opening of the half-year and quarter, gives a signal for continued purchases with a high probability until the end of the year. Due to the positive signals, I expect purchases to continue until the close of this week with an attempt to open a new candle above 3250, which will give the green light to test the key level of 3500 in the coming week. However, I would like to note an extremely negative factor – the market is growing against a rapidly strengthening dollar. In the absence of a dollar reversal on the crypt, there is a high probability of an attempt to align the correlation with the reversal of the current monthly candle into a bearish one. According to the cue ball, this will threaten to retest 75k. Insurance against a reversal of the month may be a local move on a new weekly candle, which will make the rollback false with a quick payback, or exclude it. Due to the positive picture on the tops today and tomorrow, the probability of a reversal of the weekly candlesticks on the alt is bullish with new local trends. Next week, due to an attempt to move over the tops, the probability of continued growth of buyers for alt is prevailing, however, due to the threat of a reversal of the month, it is worth being on the alert and from the next high on the weekly candle, keep in mind the likelihood of a major pullback on coins. After the consolidation of the tops, the dominance of altcoins began to grow with the aim of reaching above 10%, which will support the alt market in the new week with a flat or pullback on the tops. I still mainly consider oversold coins for work, because in an overheated market they have a high probability of growth, which we once again saw this week. Vib remains the most interesting so far, with a possible breakdown in the range of 0.15-25. Also, in the average period, gft remains very interesting with a retest potential of 0.025-35 at least. Given the high liquidity, the trend for it can be quite stable. Vite has already fulfilled its potential this week, as the movement above contradicts the indicators and the formed bearish trend. I think new entries should be considered already in the new weekly candle, if there is no announcement about delisting in the first half or it will not enter there. Unlike vite, oax, although it showed good volatility, but having targets at 0.25-35 and a practically extinguished bearish trend on the indicators, it may try to give a break through the week today or tomorrow. Next, I will also consider it for work in the second half of the new week. Ast firo and akro may also be interesting for scalping in the new week, with possible growth waves of up to 50%+.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Strateg_
Calling Danger Area For BtcGreetings, friends, Based on the weekly analysis presented to you, we can see that the price has reached the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) of the Fibonacci and has shown a reaction to this level. Currently, the price is within a triangle pattern that could also evolve into a rising wedge. Considering the liquidity trendline formed above the 86,000 level, and the fact that within the next two days, we will reach a higher time frame Fibonacci time zone, the 94,000 to 95,000 range could act as a strong reversal point. This might pull the market down temporarily to provide liquidity or even lead to a broader correction (due to reaching the top of the weekly channel). For this scenario to fail, Bitcoin needs to break above the 95,000 level decisively with strong volume and momentum, paving the way to the 110,000-dollar target.
by MrHunterTradeInsight