Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) ON BINANCE + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Market Trend and Chart Structure:
The price of Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase as shown in the descending channel pattern formed by the resistance and support lines.
The market is moving within this range, but there is a strong possibility of a breakout to the upside based on the bullish divergence forming on the indicators and the overall market sentiment.
The chart also shows Bollinger Bands (BB), which are in a squeeze, signaling a potential breakout. Typically, this indicates that volatility is low, and the price could move sharply in either direction once the bands break.
Key Indicators and Signals:
MACD: The MACD indicator is showing a bullish crossover, which indicates the possibility of a trend reversal to the upside.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 45.78, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests that Bitcoin is in a neutral zone, but with bullish signals from other indicators, an upward move seems likely if momentum continues to build.
ArtY Money Flow Index: The Money Flow Index is showing green bars, suggesting that capital is flowing into Bitcoin, which supports the bullish outlook.
Stochastic RSI: The stochastic is in the oversold region (currently at 14.99), which usually signals a potential reversal to the upside.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance: The primary resistance level is located at $105,705. A break above this level would indicate a strong upward move.
Support: The primary support level is around $101,600. If the price reaches this level and holds, it could act as a potential bounce point for a reversal.
Trading Strategy and Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Buy Entry: Enter a long position if the price breaks above the $104,700-$105,705 range, indicating a breakout above resistance. A confirmation from the MACD and RSI would add strength to this signal.
Stop Loss: Set a stop-loss order at $101,000, below the key support, to manage risk if the market reverses unexpectedly.
Target/Exit Strategy:
Take Profit Target: A good target is at the $110,000 level, where Bitcoin could face another resistance. A more aggressive target could be at $115,000, but this would require a continuation of the bullish momentum.
Trailing Stop: Use a trailing stop as Bitcoin continues to move upward to secure profits if the price continues to climb without retracing.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:3, meaning you should aim for profits that are at least three times the amount of risk you take. This will ensure better risk management in case the market reverses unexpectedly.
Monitor the market sentiment closely. Bitcoin's price movements can be highly volatile, so being ready to adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels is essential for successful trading.
Bitcoin is showing positive signs of breaking to the upside, with support from key technical indicators such as bullish MACD crossovers, oversold stochastic levels, and a neutral RSI. It’s essential to monitor the breakout above the $104,700-$105,705 level, which could signal a strong upward move. However, traders should use proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and managing position sizes carefully.
Always stay updated with market news and adjust your strategy based on any significant news or changes in the overall market sentiment.
Btc-e
BITCOIN making the FINAL PUSH! Only 6 months of BULL left!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had n astonishing symmetry among its Cycles in the past 11 years, as all three of the Bear Cycles have had identical durations (13 and 12 months twice) as well as the two Bull Cycles (both 35 months).
As a result, there is no reason to assume otherwise for the current Bull Cycle as well, which if it also lasts for 35 months, it will peak in October 2025. This means that BTC might 'only' have another 6 months of Bull Cycle ahead of it but that's not bad news as historically this phase tends to be the most aggressive part.
Even if it's not, various studies we've done before point out that a price around $150k would be more than fair and practically a 'pessimistic' scenario for the Cycle High.
Do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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No Clear Break Yet – Bounce or Bigger Correction?There haven’t been any major changes in Bitcoin’s directional structure compared to yesterday.
We saw a rebound while successfully holding the local low set during yesterday’s early morning session, and price action has followed the expected path quite well—reaching into the resistance zone and reacting accordingly.
The recent rebound from the $100,700 low may offer enough of a recovery move, but for a sustained continuation to the upside, we now need to see price hold the first support zone between $103,000 and $102,000, and ideally also preserve the second support around $101,500.
However, even if these support zones hold, failure to break previous highs could still result in another downward leg—potentially leading to a break back below $100K. This is an important scenario to keep in mind.
In short, we still need to determine whether this bounce is:
The completion of a correction wave and the start of a new uptrend
or
Just a temporary rebound before a deeper correction unfolds on the higher timeframe.
Even if we see meaningful bullish movement on the lower timeframes, it must also be confirmed across higher timeframes to be reliable. This is not a zone to hold blindly with blind optimism—whether long or short, if you’re in profit after a solid wave, consider partial profit-taking and manage your position proactively.
At the moment, the market remains in a range-bound structure, with neither the highs nor the lows broken decisively. I recommend using today’s update in conjunction with yesterday’s analysis—it will help you better understand the current structure, improve your positioning, and support your trading decisions.
BTC 15M APEX ENTRY Confirmed by 1H TrendThis 15-minute Apex Entry aligned with the 1H trend, avoiding fakeouts and confirming direction.
The Tenoris Apex Suite uses real-time support/resistance detection and multi-timeframe logic to identify breakout entries with zero lag.
I use this method to focus only on trades that align across key timeframes.
Not financial advice – just sharing how I trade.
For access, see profile bio.
BTC Testing Red Resistance – Potential Breakout Ahead!🚀 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Testing Red Resistance – Potential Breakout Ahead! 📈
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently testing the red resistance zone. A potential breakout could be coming soon, and we might see a new all-time high (ATH)! 🔥
Let’s watch this breakout closely! 💼💸
Bearish sign but we think it pushes to MAJOR RESISTANCEYesterday CRYPTOCAP:BTC formed a BEARISH ENGULFING. We've spoken on this pattern countless times.
However, we didn't bring it up because we didn't/don't think it's relevant.
WHY? Look at the paltry volume. Bitcoin volume is SUPER LOW.
BTC is still in Bullish mode from Late 2022.
---
We turned Bullish again on CRYPTOCAP:BTC around early April:
A) We saw that huge Bitcoin selloff 4/7
2) Which reversed that same day
3) Followed by some buying a couple days later
4) More BTC accumulation 4/21 when it was under 88k
Major resistance coming up soon.
Pause HIGHLY LIKELY.
HolderStat┆BTCUSD retest $100 000 level🚀 After a grueling multi‑month consolidation boxed between mid‑90 k and 100 k, BTC finally sliced through its ceiling, confirming a textbook breakout from the rising wedge that grew out of March’s strong consolidation pennant. Price is stair‑stepping higher inside a fresh ascending channel, using 96 k as intraday support and chewing through 100 k supply. As long as this channel stays intact, traders can focus on the mapped path toward the projected new ATH near 115 k.
BTC - New Short-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin’s Path to ATH: Final Wave or Just a Pause? Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) pumped about +2% after the " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. " news, but then started to decline again. Do you think Bitcoin can see the new All-Time High(ATH)?
Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($102,200-$101,680) and Support line .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed microwave 3 of the main wave 5 and is currently completing microwave 4 of the main wave 5 .
Given the momentum of the decline a few hours ago , I expect Bitcoin to either touch the previous low or create a new low in the 1-hour timeframe .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($102,200-$101,680) once again and possibly touch the Support line and then attack towards the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) with the two scenarios I outlined on the chart .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $106,943-$105,913
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,313-$104,787
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $102,198-$101,697
Note: If Bitcoin can move above $104,500 without correction, we can expect more pumping.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $101,500, we can expect more declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin the Big Bearish TrapIn my opinion we are forming an extended right shoulder on the weekly
1 Scenario: It's expected to see an impulse to 107-112k area but I wouldn't buy spot/long btc in here under any circumstance.
Based on weekly RSI, we might top somewhere there, or sooner
2 Scenario: We don't go above 100k and start a sudden move down, as SPX just retested it's previous highs and a retrace is expected as well.
Regarding Altcoins, if btc goes above 115k, it's worth the risk with proper management but not sooner, or you risk being the exit liquidity in a very big downward move.
Or, btc retraces to sub 80k and we have one more leg left of 20-30% on alts before doom
BTC/USDT: 2Potential Long Scenarios Within the Ascending ChannelHello guys!
There are two scenarios here:
Scenario 1: Breakout Continuation (Aggressive Long Entry)
Entry Zone: Around the current price (~$103,000–$104,000)
Reasoning: Price has bounced from the lower boundary of the channel and is now pushing higher with strong momentum. An aggressive long position can be considered with expectations that BTC will continue climbing toward the upper resistance line of the channel.
Target Zone: $110,000–$114,000 (marked in the yellow box)
Scenario 2: Pullback to Support (Conservative Long Entry)
Entry Zone: Between $96,000–$99,715
Reasoning: If BTC faces rejection near current levels or the midline of the channel, a healthy correction could bring the price back to a key demand zone, aligning with the lower trendline and horizontal support levels.
Target Zone: Same upper boundary of the channel ($110,000–$114,000)
BITCOIN on similar spot as before the U.S. elections! 155k next?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above the Lower Highs trend-line of its December 2024 High and so far on the current 1W candle, it's consolidating on it.
This is the exact same price action we saw on the October 21 2024 1W candle, which after breaking above that Lower Highs trend-line at the time, it spend 2 weeks consolidating on it before the November 05 U.S. election result started a relentless 7 week rally just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Note that on both fractals, the Lower Highs break-out and then re-test, took place on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. If BTC manages to close above it at all times, we will have a strong case to expect again a Bullish extension as last December. The symmetrical level just below the 2.0 Fib ext in today's terms is $155000.
Do you think that will be next after a short-term consolidation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin may drop to 102K points, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After breaking out of a multi-day range and launching a strong impulse from the buyer zone, the price has formed a clear upward pennant pattern. This technical formation often signals a potential slowdown in the bullish momentum, especially when it follows an aggressive move to the upside. The current price action shows that BTC has approached the resistance line of the pennant, but failed to generate further breakout strength. Each new impulse within the structure has weakened, and the market is starting to compress inside narrowing boundaries. The support area has been holding the structure temporarily, but the inability to push through the top of the pennant suggests growing exhaustion among buyers. This setup indicates that BTC may soon break downward from the pennant. So, I expect that it will make a correction that could drive the price down to the 102000 points, thereby exiting from pennant pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Bitcoin will continue to grow inside upward channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The price has recently shown another confident bullish impulse, pushing higher within a clean ascending channel. The key moment was the breakout above the resistance zone, which had previously acted as a ceiling for the price. This breakout marked the continuation of a higher-high, higher-low sequence that confirms the strength of the ongoing trend. Then the market returned to retest this former resistance, now acting as support, and immediately bounced, reinforcing buyer control and validating the area as a foundation for the next move. Now BTC is holding firm in the upper half of the channel, maintaining its position above the trend line with little sign of weakness. This combination of sustained bullish structure, well-respected technical levels, and steady volume behavior suggests that the market is still preparing for higher levels. With the current structure and momentum, I expect BTCUSDT will continue its upward path within the channel. My goal is 108700 points, which aligns almost with the resistance line of the upward channel. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings.
Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later.
This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances.
#BTFD
Hanzo : BTC 15m: Bullish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap DoneBias: Bullish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Post-Liquidity Grab Confirmation
Key Reasons for Entry:
Liquidity sweep below local support triggered retail stop-losses (classic trap).
Strong bullish reaction from a refined demand zone.
Entry based on Smart Money Concepts: Break of structure + order block confirmation.
Confluence with higher time frame support or key level.
Bullish engulfing / displacement candle shows clear intent.
Market in premium-to-discount transition zone.
Target: Next 15M supply zone or recent structural high
Risk-to-Reward: Minimum 1:3
Status: Waiting for confirmation / Entry triggered