Keep watching for 99-102KMorning folks,
Since last week BTC has reached a solid target/resistance area together with weekly Overbought (where it still stands) we have considered two scenarios - either immediate downside pullback via H&S pattern, or attempt to touch major 102K target first and then the pullback.
Now it seems that everything goes with the latter scenario. H&S shape on 4H chart is totally ruined. while our 3-Drive stands well and its final part could take the shape of the butterfly.
We see nothing interesting for bears by far. But for bulls, if you will control the riks and 86K lows, which is invalidation point of this bullish scenario - everything could be fine.
Btc-e
What do you think is being shown on BTC Bitcoin BTCUSDT chart ?What do you think is being shown on the OKX:BTCUSDT chart?
(pls vote at comments)
💔 Head and Shoulders - after breaking through and consolidating below 88.K, the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC will continue to move towards $81.500
🐳 Consolidation in the form of a triangle with an exit upwards and the continuation of the movement of the #Bitcoin price towards $100,000
_____________________
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Bitcoin's Bull Flag Formation Suggests Potential Upside MoveCurrent Setup:
Bitcoin's recent breakout from a descending price channel led to a swift rally, pushing beyond its upside target of $90,000-$92,000.
With established support now between $70,000-$72,000, Bitcoin has created a flagpole formation, hinting at a possible bull flag pattern—a classic continuation setup.
Next Steps:
Consolidation Phase: Bitcoin is likely to consolidate sideways for the next few weeks, allowing time for the market to digest recent gains and build momentum for the next leg up.
Upside Targets: If the bull flag formation plays out as expected, BTC could see an explosive rally toward the $110,000-$112,000 range. With strong buying pressure, an extension to $120,000 is also within reach.
Support Zone:
The critical support remains at $70,000-$72,000. Staying above this level will be key to maintaining the bullish outlook and validating the flag formation.
Outlook:
As long as Bitcoin holds above the $70,000-$72,000 support zone, the bull case remains intact. Watch for a potential breakout from the consolidation phase to signal the next move higher, targeting new all-time highs.
#Bitcoin #BTC #BullishTrend #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis
WAGYUSWAP IS ON THE MOVE - EXPECT UNEXPECTEDChart Overview
Timeframe: 4-hour chart
The price is trading within a square trading channel, indicating a consolidation phase. This could signal the market is in a period of indecision, with potential for either a breakout or breakdown.
The price is currently approaching the lower boundary of the range, indicating that a bounce might be possible or further price testing may occur before any breakout.
Key Levels
Resistance: The price has been rejected multiple times near 0.0015419 and 0.0013976, creating a clear resistance zone.
Support: The price is finding support near 0.0012548, a level it has tested recently and managed to bounce from, showing some strength in the market.
Volume
Volume Trend: The trading volume is currently lower compared to previous spikes, which typically signals lower market participation. This suggests the market is waiting for a catalyst (likely a breakout or a shift in sentiment) before it can decide on the next move.
Indicators
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator shows some divergence between the price and momentum, hinting that the price may be losing some strength in its current trend, which could signal a potential reversal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 55.5, the RSI is neutral, indicating there is no extreme overbought or oversold condition. It is waiting for more price movement to confirm whether the trend will continue or reverse.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic is at 27/71, suggesting a slightly oversold condition. This could indicate a potential buying opportunity if the price tests the support again or breaks higher.
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Breakout Above Resistance (Bullish)
Entry Point: If the price breaks above 0.0015419 and holds above it, this could indicate the start of an uptrend.
Target: The next resistance zone lies around 0.00166. This could be your first target.
Stop Loss: Place the stop just below the previous support level of 0.0012548 (around 0.0012) to limit risk if the breakout fails.
Scenario 2: Bounce from Support (Bullish Reversal)
Entry Point: A potential entry could be near the 0.0012548 support level if the price shows signs of bouncing off this zone with higher volume or confirmation from the RSI or stochastic oscillators.
Target: The target would be the 0.0013976 resistance level, with a potential continuation towards 0.0015419.
Stop Loss: Place the stop just below 0.0012 to protect from a further breakdown if the support level fails.
Scenario 3: Breakdown Below Support (Bearish)
Entry Point: If the price breaks below 0.0012548 and shows no signs of reversal, this could indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
Target: The next support level lies around 0.001166.
Stop Loss: The stop should be placed just above 0.0013976 resistance level to protect from any unexpected upward movement.
Risk Management
Position Sizing: Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance and stop loss distance. Never risk more than 2% of your account balance on a single trade.
Monitor Volume: Ensure that any breakout or breakdown is accompanied by an increase in volume, which helps confirm the validity of the price movement.
Additional Considerations
Watch for the broader market trends as cryptocurrency markets can be highly correlated. Look for any major news or events that could affect overall market sentiment.
Keep an eye on the broader trend, using higher timeframes like the daily chart for confirmation.
Bitcoin's Super-cycle PredectionBitcoin is finalizing a motive wave (3) to mark the run's top.
A main corrective wave (4) shall start right after (3) and it shall last till Aug/ Sep of 2025 (a mini bear market).
A last motive wave (5) would happen after (4) that would probably last for another year
to end the 4 years super-cycle that started from Nov 2022.
Harvest Farm: The Opportunity You Can’t Miss!Harvest Farm currently has a market cap of just 30M and an extremely limited token supply:
Circulating Supply: 672,183
Total Supply: 690,420
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Bitcoin: Projecting the 5th and Final Phase of the Bull Market
### **Introduction**
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the historical and projected market behavior of Bitcoin, focusing on cyclical market patterns and emphasizing both bull and bear phases. By dissecting previous cycles, this study aims to shed light on potential market movements, offering a roadmap for the 5th and final phase of the current bull market cycle, as per my expectations.
### **Historical Overview & Cycle Breakdown**
Historically, Bitcoin has exhibited well-defined market cycles consisting of accumulation, rapid growth, corrections, and subsequent recoveries. Each cycle presents unique behaviors influenced by macroeconomic factors, adoption rates, technological developments, and regulatory impacts.
**Key Phases Highlighted:**
1. **Accumulation Phase:**
This phase, often occurring during market lows, signifies periods of relatively low activity where investors accumulate Bitcoin at lower prices. It is marked by low volatility and slow upward movement.
2. **Expansion (Bull Run) Phase:**
Characterized by significant price growth, this phase attracts a surge of new investors and increased trading volume. Historically, it has ended with a parabolic price surge, as seen in prior cycles.
3. **Correction and Bear Market Phase:**
The market retraces following the explosive growth, leading to a prolonged downturn or 'crypto winter.' This phase often involves a return to support levels established in previous cycles, accompanied by investor uncertainty.
**Annotated Analysis:**
The attached chart illustrates these phases through visual annotations, showing multiple cycles and their respective movements. Each major bull and bear phase has been marked, alongside critical resistance and support levels that have influenced market sentiment over the years.
### **Current Bull Market Context**
**Expected 5th and Final Phase:**
The current bull market cycle appears to be entering its 5th and final phase, as marked on the chart. Key indicators leading to this projection include:
- **Momentum Analysis:**
Recent price movements suggest a steady upward trajectory indicative of a final parabolic surge before an anticipated correction.
- **Resistance Levels and Trendlines:**
The yellow horizontal lines represent critical resistance levels that Bitcoin must break to maintain its bullish momentum. Historical analysis suggests that each cycle typically ends near these zones, followed by corrections.
- **Macro Indicators and On-Chain Data:**
The green arrows highlight potential momentum shifts, emphasizing buyer activity and renewed confidence in the market.
### **Projections for the Final Phase**
Based on historical data and current market behavior, my analysis projects that the 5th phase will see a peak price surge, potentially reaching a new all-time high. However, this growth phase is expected to be followed by a significant correction, bringing Bitcoin prices back to key support levels outlined on the chart.
**Factors to Monitor:**
1. **Market Sentiment and News Events:**
External factors, including macroeconomic news, regulatory announcements, and institutional participation, can heavily influence price movements.
2. **Adoption Trends:**
Growing adoption and use cases for Bitcoin and blockchain technology could further propel the market upward during this phase.
3. **On-Chain Metrics:**
Metrics such as transaction volumes, wallet distributions, and miner activity should be monitored closely for shifts in market behavior.
### **Concluding Remarks**
This analysis aims to offer a comprehensive overview of market behavior, assisting community members in making informed decisions. While historical trends offer a glimpse into potential future movements, market conditions remain volatile. Therefore, cautious and strategic investment decisions are recommended as we enter this pivotal stage in Bitcoin's cycle.
---
**Disclaimer:** This report is intended for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risk, and individuals should conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions.
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Major Crash? Warning Signs Ahead!👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently surged to all-time highs, but is the rally about to reverse? On the 1M monthly timeframe, a key horizontal resistance level is flashing warning signals. BTC appears heavily overbought, and the trend shows clear signs of overextension.
📉 Using advanced trading concepts like Wyckoff theory and ICT methodology, this video breaks down:
- How historical price action reveals similar overextended moves that led to significant pullbacks.
- Why the Fibonacci tool suggests a potential retracement to equilibrium after a parabolic price swing.
- The lack of smart money accumulation since the last major price breakout, signaling potential vulnerabilities.
🔍 We’ll examine two key scenarios:
1. Bearish Opportunity: If price action breaks structure and takes out existing range lows, it could signal a deeper correction.
2. Bullish Opportunity: If BTC trades into a discounted zone below equilibrium, this could present a strong buy opportunity for longer-term positioning.
📊 This analysis is for educational purposes only and highlights the importance of managing risk in a market known for its volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results—trade wisely and always assess your risk tolerance!
👉 Don’t miss this critical breakdown. Learn how to read the charts like a pro and prepare for what’s next in Bitcoin’s journey!📊
$BTC - Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic Model #2Bitcoin is possibly in Phase C of Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic Model #2
Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic Model #2 describes a market phase where accumulation occurs before a significant upward trend. This model is often used to identify potential reversals and entry points, particularly in a downtrend that shows signs of accumulation. Here’s a breakdown of the stages and key components in Schematic Model #2:
Phase A: Stopping the Downtrend
-Preliminary Support (PS): First sign of buying interest that slows the downtrend. Volume increases slightly as buyers step in.
- Selling Climax (SC): The price experiences a sharp decline, reaching an extreme low with high volume. This often marks the lowest point of the downtrend.
- Automatic Rally (AR): After the SC, the price rebounds due to reduced selling pressure and some buying interest. The high of this rally defines the upper range of accumulation.
- Secondary Test (ST): Price revisits the SC area to test supply, often with lower volume than during the SC. This validates that selling pressure has weakened.
Phase B: Building a Cause
- Phase B involves a prolonged consolidation phase. It acts as a "cause" that fuels the future uptrend.
- Multiple Tests and Shakeouts: Within this phase, the price may test both the upper and lower boundaries several times. These tests show attempts to trap weak hands.
- Sign of Strength (SOS) and Minor Back-Up (LPSY): As Phase B progresses, price action becomes tighter, indicating stronger buying interest at higher lows.
Phase C: The Spring
- Spring or Shakeout: Price temporarily dips below the support level established by the SC and ST. This move is designed to flush out remaining sellers and weak holders.
- Test of Supply: Following the Spring, the price should test the previous support level but with low volume, indicating minimal selling pressure. This test confirms the spring’s effectiveness in absorbing supply.
Phase D: The Markup Phase
- Sign of Strength (SOS): Price rallies with increasing volume, breaking above the AR and ST levels, signaling accumulation completion.
- Last Point of Support (LPS): After the breakout, the price may pull back briefly to test the former resistance (now support). These points are often low-risk entries.
- Higher Highs and Higher Lows: Confirm the beginning of a new uptrend.
Phase E: The Uptrend
- Markup Phase: The price enters a sustained uptrend, often breaking previous resistance levels and forming higher highs.
- Continuation of the Rally: This phase is characterized by strong demand and may continue until the distribution phase begins.
Wyckoff's Accumulation Schematic #2 is commonly seen in longer consolidations and is effective for identifying potential reversals. This schematic differs from Schematic #1 mainly in the presence of a Spring, which is more aggressive and serves as a key entry confirmation.
The point of observation is whether it breaks out of 87.8K-93.5K
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-------------------------------------
When a new candle is created on the 1W chart, I will update it again.
-
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend in the overbought zone.
Accordingly, the point of observation is whether it can receive support and rise around 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
If it falls below 2.618 (87814.27), the key is whether it can rise with support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If it is confirmed that it is supported near 79.9K-80.9K, it is thought that a pullback pattern may be created, so you should pay close attention to the movement at this time.
-
However, if the StochRSI indicator falls near the 50 point, volatility may occur, so you should be careful about a rebound.
This volatility period is expected to last until November 20, so caution is required when trading.
In order to maintain this upward trend,
1st: 68393.48-71335.47
2nd: 57694.27-61099.25
It must rise with support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Therefore, until then, I think you should focus on how to lower the average purchase price or how to increase the holding amount and develop a trading strategy.
-
(BTC.D 1M chart)
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, the BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and remain there or show a downward trend.
Otherwise, if the BTC dominance shows an upward trend, the altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend because funds will be concentrated on BTC.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
If the USDT dominance falls below 4.97 and remains there or shows a downward trend, the coin market is likely to create a bull market.
However, whether it is a bull market where all coins (tokens) are rising together or a bull market where only BTC is rising can be roughly determined by whether BTC dominance is falling or rising.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been rising since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
GFT has set the stage for a trend changeToday I want to consider the position on GFT, which, along with VIB, I am considering to work first. The second half of the quarter opened above 0.015, which gives a signal to maintain purchases. The re-trading in the range of 0.0150-75 is almost finished, and when fixed above the upper limit, you can prepare for a transition to the flat range near the key level for volatility growth of 0.025 +-0.0025. In case of a successful breakdown of 0.025, the road will open to 0.035 and 0.050. In a positive scenario, a new monthly candle will open above 0.025, in which case the continuation of the trend will be quite confident. With a more negative market from the 0.025 test, we can see a pullback, in which case a new opportunity will be formed to profitably top up the position in order to continue the trend in the new month. As I have mentioned more than once, GFT has very high liquidity due to its wide presence on exchanges and the availability of derivatives. The only thing keeping the price from the rocket is the monitoring tag on the binance, which I think will be removed in the future.
A similar reversal pattern was worked out on VITE. Technically, the picture is similar.
Analyzing BTCUSDT: Next Potential Breakout Zones - Bitcoin◳◱ On the $BTC/ CRYPTOCAP:USDT chart, the Trend Reversal pattern suggests momentum building up for a significant move. Traders might observe resistance around 85635.01 | 90900 | 105565 and support near 70970.01 | 61570 | 46905. Entering trades at 90343.99 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: Bitcoin
▣ Rank: 1
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Bybit, Huobipro, Gateio, Mexc
▣ Category/Sector: Payments - Currencies
▣ Overview: Bitcoin is the first distributed consensus-based, censorship-resistant, permissionless, peer-to-peer payment settlement network with a provably scarce, programmable, native currency. Bitcoin (BTC), the native asset of the Bitcoin blockchain, is the world's first digital currency without a central bank or administrator. The Bitcoin network is an emergent decentralized monetary institution that exists through the interplay between full nodes, miners, and developers. It is set by a social contract that is created and opted into by the users of the network and hardened through game theory and cryptography. Bitcoin is the first, oldest, and largest cryptocurrency in the world.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 90343.99 ₮
▣ 24HVol: 1,945,711,003.703 ₮
▣ 24H Chng: -0.456%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 13.30%
▣ 1-Month Chng: 34.19%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 51.53%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 85635.01 | 90900 | 105565
◢ Support: 70970.01 | 61570 | 46905
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: 6.34
▣ Last 90D: 3.62
▣ Last 1-Y: 1.91
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.51
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 0.58
▣ Last 90D: 0.49
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.53
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.55
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is N/A
▣ Reddit sentiment score is N/A
▣ In-depth BTCUSDT technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
▣ Welcome to the home of charting big: TradingView
Benefit from a ton of financial analysis features, instruments and data. Have a look around, and if you do choose to go with an upgraded plan, you'll get up to $30.
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Don't Miss Out on BTC/USDT - Bitcoin.◳◱ On the $BTC/ CRYPTOCAP:USDT chart, the Trend Reversal pattern suggests indications that the trend may be gaining or losing strength. Traders might observe resistance around 85635.01 | 90900 | 105565 and support near 70970.01 | 61570 | 46905. Entering trades at 90395.99 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: Bitcoin
▣ Rank: 1
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Bybit, Huobipro, Gateio, Mexc
▣ Category/Sector: Payments - Currencies
▣ Overview: Bitcoin is the first distributed consensus-based, censorship-resistant, permissionless, peer-to-peer payment settlement network with a provably scarce, programmable, native currency. Bitcoin (BTC), the native asset of the Bitcoin blockchain, is the world's first digital currency without a central bank or administrator. The Bitcoin network is an emergent decentralized monetary institution that exists through the interplay between full nodes, miners, and developers. It is set by a social contract that is created and opted into by the users of the network and hardened through game theory and cryptography. Bitcoin is the first, oldest, and largest cryptocurrency in the world.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 90395.99 ₮
▣ 24HVol: 1,969,087,111.114 ₮
▣ 24H Chng: -0.354%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 13.27%
▣ 1-Month Chng: 34.16%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 51.67%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 85635.01 | 90900 | 105565
◢ Support: 70970.01 | 61570 | 46905
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: 6.34
▣ Last 90D: 3.62
▣ Last 1-Y: 1.91
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.51
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 0.58
▣ Last 90D: 0.49
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.53
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.55
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is N/A
▣ Reddit sentiment score is N/A
▣ In-depth BTCUSDT technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
▣ Welcome to the home of charting big: TradingView
Benefit from a ton of financial analysis features, instruments and data. Have a look around, and if you do choose to go with an upgraded plan, you'll get up to $30.
Discover it here - affiliate link -
The Others Part 3- 6M Timeframe Simple Update:
- Divergences are the ultimate tool for timing entries.
- Think long-term—play the big picture.
- Keep DCA’ing into altcoins for stronger positioning.
- Exercice more patience and be ready for the rush.
- Buy before the moon move, sell at the moon.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Has Another Bull Run !Bitcoin has shown signs and patterns in the daily time frame that can be analyzed with the current data.
It looks like a diametric has finished (A) and then the price has entered a bullish phase.
In the bullish phase, we have an ABC/WXY whose A/W has the signs of a diamond diametric.
We expect waves X and Y because the time of wave A is much larger than the current pattern (A/W).
The green range could be the start of a bull run in Bitcoin.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis.
Note : This is only a possible scenario, please do not forget to manage risk
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Explosive Alert: FARM on the RadarToday could be your chance to secure up to 300% profits if you load up your FARM bags in time! The token is gaining massive momentum, rapidly heading toward a $100M market cap, with $200M already in sight. The momentum is real, and the push is growing stronger by the minute. Now is the perfect opportunity to position yourself before the next big surge. Don’t miss the chance to ride this rocket and lock in your profits while you still can! 🌟🚀 COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD
FARM Heading to 200M Market Cap – Don’t Miss Out!This week, we’ve seen meme coins surpass $1 billion in market cap, and now it’s FARM’s turn to shine! Pushing Harvest Finance to 200M market cap will be quick and could happen in just moments. The potential is explosive, with a real chance of 300% gains. Get in early, load your bags, and be ready for the pump! 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
BRIEFING Week #46 : Beware of trend ReversalsHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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