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BTC at Critical DP: Rising Wedge Breakdown or Bounce?!Hello guys! 1. Bearish Breakdown (Primary Setup): If price breaks below the rising wedge support and sweeps the recent low, it confirms the breakdown. This would be a strong signal to enter short positions, with a downside target around the 99,000–98,500 zone. Breakdown confirmation: Close below both wedge support and the horizontal support from the previous swing low. 2. Bullish Bounce (Alternative Setup): If price respects the wedge support and shows bullish momentum (e.g., strong wick rejections or bullish engulfing candle), the wedge may invalidate. In this case, look for long opportunities targeting the upper wedge boundary and possibly higher resistance zones beyond 104,000. 📌 Strategy Summary: 🔻 Breakdown = SHORT to target area (below 100K) 🔺 Support holds = LONG toward 104K+ Risk management is crucial here, as the pattern is at a tipping point. Wait for a clear breakout or bounce before entering a position.
Short
by melikatrader94
18
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently trading around 3250, consolidating within a well-defined bullish flag structure after a strong impulsive rally. This flag pattern on the 12-hour chart reflects healthy profit-taking and reaccumulation after a significant upward move. The current price action is respecting the lower boundary of the flag, and with growing volume on bullish candles, the setup suggests a high probability of a breakout to the upside, targeting the 3650 region. From a macroeconomic perspective, gold remains in strong demand due to ongoing global uncertainties and persistent inflation concerns. The US CPI print remains sticky above 3%, keeping real yields under pressure and supporting gold's bullish bias. Furthermore, with the Fed expected to hold interest rates steady for longer, the market is starting to price in fewer rate cuts this year. This continues to undermine the USD and supports gold as a store of value. Additionally, rising central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risk premium are adding further tailwinds. Technically, we are watching for a clean breakout above the upper flag resistance around 3280–3300. A breakout with volume confirmation would open the door toward the psychological 3400 level first, followed by a push toward the 3650 target area. Momentum indicators are turning up, and price is showing signs of basing just above previous support levels, adding confidence to the bullish continuation scenario. Gold remains one of the strongest trending assets in 2025, and this consolidation is likely just a pause before the next leg higher. As global markets digest the impact of persistent inflation and macro volatility, precious metals like gold are likely to outperform. This flag formation provides a textbook continuation setup for traders looking to position with the broader trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Caught the Short? CPI Ahead, and This Pullback Isn’t Over YetIf you’ve been following the recent updates, I believe you were well-prepared for this move. For the past few days, I repeatedly emphasized that we may not break through the supply zone in one go—and now, those who entered short positions likely enjoyed some solid profits. Currently, we’re seeing a strong rebound from the second support zone. This is the first real, sharp correction we’ve seen since the strong bullish trend began from the 74K–83K region, and that alone should remind us to proceed with caution going forward. To maintain the broader uptrend, the market needs to do one of two things: Either preserve the local low formed during the latest drop and climb from there (ideal scenario), Or, if it dips lower once more, form a sideways base before recovering again. This structure would confirm that the trend remains healthy and intact. Right now, we must assess whether this bounce leads to continuation or if it’s just a relief rally before a deeper wave down. If we break the structure and revisit previous demand zones, we want to see price hold and reverse from those levels—that’s the key confirmation. The previous slow grind-up ("step-by-step climb") has now been disrupted. This shift increases the likelihood of a deeper retracement before any new highs, especially with today's CPI data potentially triggering strong volatility and head-fake moves in both directions. If price fails to push higher from here, we may see a breakdown below the psychological 100K level. We’re still observing a bearish structure on the lower timeframes, as the price fails to make higher highs—so please, avoid jumping into positions impulsively. This is the correction we’ve been waiting for, and those who followed the updates likely navigated it well. However, be aware: When a market climbs on strong green candles, the subsequent drop can be equally harsh, especially if profit-taking meets negative macro headlines. So, wait for confirmation—whether it’s a bounce that protects support or a break that reclaims structure. Entering after such confirmation will always get you better entries than acting out of fear. As I’ve said many times: You don’t need to FOMO into every pump. Opportunities always come again. And history shows us—trading out of impatience or greed rarely ends well. Stay focused, stay patient, and I hope your next trade brings another solid win.
Long
by GoldenCloud_Jude
BTC Approaches All-Time High — But Signs of Weakness Emerge!BTC is once again approaching its all-time high (ATH) on the daily timeframe, generating excitement across the market. However, a closer look at the lower timeframes reveals signs of potential exhaustion as BTC encounters strong resistance. This suggests a pullback could occur before any continuation higher. On the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, BTC is currently trading within a rising channel, which is often considered a bearish continuation pattern, especially when it forms directly below a key resistance level like the ATH. Price action within this structure is starting to lose momentum, and the presence of bearish divergences and decreasing volume further supports the likelihood of a near-term correction. Where Could We Buy the Dip? A pullback may offer a strategic entry opportunity for traders looking to ride the next leg up. Notably, two fair value gaps (FVGs) were created during the recent upward move. The first FVG could provide a minor bounce, but the second one is more compelling for a higher-probability long setup. This second FVG aligns with a well-established support zone and coincides with the Golden Pocket of the Fibonacci retracement (between the 0.618 and 0.65 levels). This confluence of technical factors makes it a strong area of interest for bulls, and a potential springboard for price to retest, and possibly break, the ATH. In summary, while BTC is showing strength on the higher timeframes, lower timeframe patterns suggest that a healthy correction is likely. Patience and proper level selection will be key. Watching how price reacts around the second FVG and the Golden Pocket zone may present one of the best opportunities for re-entry. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Long
by Youriverse
52
BTC LONG TP:103,700 12-05-2025🚀 Quick LONG in play Entry between 100,800 and 101,200, targeting a bounce to 103,500–103,800 on the 1H chart. Estimated duration: 5 to 8 hours ⏳ This is just a rebound — a temporary move before likely continuation to the downside. If the move doesn’t happen within the projected time, the setup is invalid. We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade. #BTC #PriceAction #Reydragon21
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ReyDragon21
BTC Crossroads: Will Tariff News Trigger a Counter-Trend Move?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions, Bitcoin may consolidate or experience a slight pullback as capital rotates into equities. The resulting strength in the US dollar could further contribute to a Bitcoin retracement. I'm watching for a potential counter-trend setup, specifically a short entry on a break of market structure. However, this scenario is contingent on the price action unfolding as described in the video; otherwise, the idea will be invalidated. Not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
4
$BTC go to 142000🪙 Bitcoin Analysis - Daily Timeframe 🚀 Entry Point: The ideal buy entry is at $96,302, where we have a confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci level, FVG, and a Breaker Block. This zone could trigger buy orders and potentially push Bitcoin towards the first target at its previous all-time high of $109,000, and ultimately to the final target at $142,650. 🔴 Critical Support: The current support level is $93,947. If a daily candle closes below this level, a bearish structure will form, opening the door for further decline to the next support at $85,000. 💡 Trading Signal: ❤️ Buy Limit: $96,302 Stop Loss: $93,347 Take Profit Targets: $109,000 - $142,000 🔵 Risk Management: Risk only 1% of your capital in this trade. Adjust margin size so that in case the stop loss is hit, your account loss will not exceed 1%. This is a Swing Trade setup. Stay disciplined and manage your risk effectively. ✅
Long
by ScorpionX_Co
LINK Daily breakout?One of the most important crypto projects is undoubtedly Chainlink. Having been in a downtrend like must altcoins ever since President Trumps inauguration , LINK looks to finally be ready to exit the bearish trend channel for the first time this calendar year using the newly flipped 1D 200 EMA as a launchpad or is this a local top and the trend continues? For the bulls a double bottom at $10.15 followed by a higher lows and now a higher high is a strong argument for a flip to bullish structure, however a breakout is needed to confirm this bullish flip in structure and with BTC + most majors at local resistance levels and looking in need of a cool off, this may be too much to ask of LINK at this time. The bears would say this is business as usual and a rejection off the upper limit maintains the bearish trend, a loss of the 1D 200 EMA would definitely increase the likeliness this outcome.
BITSTAMP:LINKUSD
by ProR35
Update! $BTC range Bound... Consolidation? Breakout? Breakdown? CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to have formed a range: between approximately between 76800 and 104,300 Current price: 104300 Here are the key observations: Key resistance zone is around 104300 - Price has tested this level multiple times but failed to close above it decisively. Clear to say that A break above which will lead to All time highs possibly up to 135k If #BTC Bitcoin continues to reject this level then expect these layers of support to be tested: 97700 and then 91100 CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains bullish if prices remains above 91100. Further break down will lead to bottom of range 84100 and 76800 (coinciding with 200 EMA ) Trading Implications: For Longs: Avoid new positions unless there's a breakout with volume above $105,000. For Shorts: This is a possible scalp opportunity near the top of the range, with a stop slightly above $105,000. Not financial Advice!
by Ifiok-2sydes
Skeptic | BTC Breaks $100K: Is the Uptrend Just Getting Started?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Bitcoin’s finally back above $ 100K , but will this rally keep charging forward? 😊 In this idea, we’re diving into Bitcoin across multiple timeframes , hunting for spot and futures triggers, and wrapping up with a look at BTC dominance. Let’s kick things off with the Weekly Timeframe. 📊 Weekly Timeframe: The Big Picture As I’ve mentioned in previous episodes, the major trend is still a solid uptrend. Why? Per Dow Theory, we’re consistently making higher highs and higher lows. Plus, volume backs this up—rallies come with heavy volume, while corrections see lighter volume. Corrections haven’t even touched the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level, which all points to the uptrend staying strong. Honestly, I’m not selling my spot holdings right now—this trend’s too good! Let’s zoom into the Daily Timeframe for spot triggers. Daily Timeframe: Spot Triggers Our previous spot trigger was a buy above $ 88,500 , and since it activated, it’s delivered about 18% profit so far—nice! A quick note: if your capital or risk management is too aggressive, please scale back to stay in profit. If you hit a stop loss, risk no more than 2-3% of your total capital—no more. Now, let’s analyze the chart. Over the past four weeks, we’ve kicked off a solid uptrend, and the corrections feel healthy. Volume’s increasing, showing the trend’s got power. After hitting resistance at $ 105,000 , it looks like we’re gearing up for a correction after a three-wave uptrend. Keep this in mind: $ 107,000 is a major resistance and could be a great spot trigger. If we break $ 107,000 , go long with a stop loss below $88,000, risking max 3%. That’s a solid setup. Let’s move to the 4-Hour Timeframe. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups Our previous long trigger at $85,850 was a banger—if you watched the video and went long with 10x leverage, you’re up about 200% . Congrats if you caught it! 🙌 Moving forward, I’ll share some new long and short triggers that could be useful. For a long setup, we need to see a reaction at $ 105,000 again, then break that resistance to open a long. But keep your risk low because we’ve got a major resistance at $ 107,000 looming, and the odds of getting stopped out are higher. I’m saying this now so you don’t complain later! In these conditions, don’t obsess over confirmations from indicators like RSI. Movements are sharp, and by the time you wait for a confirmation, the price has already moved. Stick to your main triggers to open positions. For short setups, I’ve got nothing right now. We’re in a strong bullish trend without even a hint of weakness, so I see no reason to go short. Let any sharp pullback pass first, then we can open shorts with confidence if bearish momentum kicks in. Don’t open shorts against the trend just for a 1% chance of a crash. Patience, patience, patience—that’s the key to success in financial markets. The market’s always been here and always will be, so don’t FOMO or trade against your strategy. Let’s talk BTC.D next, but first, if this has been helpful, I’d appreciate a like and a subscribe—it means a lot! 😊 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) Let’s get a big-picture view of BTC.D—Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap. If this ratio is in an uptrend, liquidity is flowing from altcoins into Bitcoin. If it’s downtrending, it’s moving from Bitcoin to altcoins. Right now, we’re above an uptrend line, so it’s better to go long on BTC since it’s growing faster than most alts. But if the trendline breaks and we drop below 60.27, we can assume an altseason is starting, and that’s when we pivot to buying altcoins. On the daily, BTC.D has been rising nicely, and while some altcoins are starting to wake up, there’s no trend reversal yet. If you check BTC pairs, you’ll notice altcoins are still performing weakly compared to BTC. So, if you’re holding altcoins, it’s better to wait for a clear trend change in BTC.D before buying—that’s the logical move. If you have questions about the analysis or want me to analyze a specific altcoin or symbol, drop it in the comments. BTW, I’m Skeptic! 😄 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
$BTC probability still favors new lowBTC has had a strong rally back into the prior resistance and unless we can break above the prior highs, I still think probability still favors more downside (and I think we see a new low). I've marked off support levels and resistance levels as I think this will largely be the range over the next year. My base case as of now, is that we see one more low down in the $69k-$62k region before we start a new run to the highs above ($122k+). Another possibility is that we sweep the lows and bounce at $72k, then move up towards the highs. That said, the reason I think lower is due to the massive imbalance on the chart that needs to get resolved. Overall I still think we're in a bullish trend, but that we continue to pullback before the final move higher.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by benjihyam
BTCUSD – Multi-TF Bearish SFP & Fib Retrace Before ATH Rebound Bearish SFP printed on 4H / 8H / 12H / 1D at $103 345 – $104 985 after a parabolic ~$94 k → $104 k run and multiple rejections at $104 k–$106 k resistance. Trump tariff-cut announcement sparked a sharp spike into resistance that was quickly sold off, confirming heavy supply at $104 k – $106 k. Baseline plan: drop to 0.786 Fib ~$102 586, then 0.618 Fib ~$100 613, before a push toward the ATH ~$109 588. Trade Setups Short – SFP Breakdown Trigger: 4H close below $103 345 Entry: ≈ $103 300 on retest SL: $105 500 (above swing high) TP1: 0.786 Fib ≈ $102 586  RR ≈ 0.7 TP2: 0.618 Fib ≈ $100 613  RR ≈ 2.6 Long – Fib Rebound Trigger: Bullish reversal at 0.618 Fib / FVG cluster ≈ $100 613 SL: $99 300 (below FVG) TP1: SFP top / range high ≈ $104 145  RR ≈ 2.7 TP2: ATH ≈ $109 588  RR ≈ 6.8
Long
by mikavehns
4
BTC - Accumulation, Manipulation & Distributioncurrent market structure this btcusdt 1-hour chart illustrates a classic three-phase market structure: accumulation, manipulation, and potential distribution. the price action follows a strong bullish impulse, after which the market enters a sideways range suggesting absorption of previous selling pressure. this kind of behavior is often observed before a continuation of the prevailing trend, but not without intermediate structural games, as seen in the projected manipulation phase. accumulation phase the blue highlighted zone marks a consolidation range that serves as an accumulation phase. during this stage, large market participants likely accumulate positions quietly while maintaining the price within a defined range. the tight price action within this zone and relatively small candles are consistent with market absorption, where supply is being matched or outpaced by demand. the repeated rejections of lower prices in this range imply growing buyer interest and strength building beneath the surface. unfilled fair value gap beneath the accumulation range lies an unfilled fair value gap (fvg), shown in grey. this price imbalance was left behind during the prior bullish leg and remains a magnet for price action. such gaps often attract price as the market seeks efficiency by mitigating unbalanced areas. the presence of this fvg makes it a likely candidate for a liquidity grab or retest before further bullish continuation. manipulation setup the red path outlines a possible short-term manipulation event. this move involves a quick sweep of liquidity beneath the accumulation zone, triggering stop-losses from late long entries and drawing price into the fvg. this is a classic “spring” or “shakeout” scenario designed to trap sellers and create panic, thereby enabling larger players to enter at discounted prices. the manipulation tag here signals a deliberate attempt to create false downside conviction before reversing upward. re-accumulation and breakout following the manipulation phase, the green projection shows a sharp reversal and aggressive push upward, initiating a new bullish leg. this move represents re-accumulation, where price quickly exits the range and enters an expansion phase. momentum will likely increase after price breaks back above the original range high, signaling confidence in the trend continuation and drawing in breakout traders. the large green area indicates the expected path toward a new distribution zone. distribution projection at the top of the chart, the green box represents a possible future distribution zone. after an extended bullish run, price often enters distribution, where buying interest begins to wane, and larger participants start offloading positions into retail strength. although speculative at this point, its placement reflects the natural progression of a market cycle if the projected bullish move plays out. market psychology this chart reflects a clear sequence in market psychology: stealth accumulation, a manufactured dip to create fear (manipulation), followed by a surge fueled by both institutional entries and retail breakout traders. understanding this dynamic helps traders anticipate rather than react, positioning themselves in alignment with likely intent rather than emotional impulses. summary the chart outlines a structured bullish scenario with a potential manipulation wick into an unfilled fvg, setting the stage for a continuation higher. if price reacts strongly off the fvg and regains the range, confirmation of bullish intent would be established. this setup emphasizes the importance of understanding liquidity dynamics and price inefficiencies, favoring patient and strategic entries over reactive ones.
Long
by Louigi_24
149
MSTR (Strategy) coming up to $395, the smaller resistance levelNASDAQ:MSTR has rebounded from the bottom fairly fast compared to other stocks and indexes. It's even performed better than Bitcoin itself. However it should be hitting heavy resistance now near 395-400 and above is only heavier resistance. It's time for a pullback and a breather for MSTR. Target is the Point of Control near $350, before going higher. However we could turn bullish again before reaching $350 I personally know someone who played with fire by buying MSTR options calls while it was dropping before, meaning he was trying to catch a falling knife and got burnt finally. He lost nearly $500,000 because of it. So I don't mess with options personally, however I will margin trade with stocks and trade futures, forex and leverage trade cryptocurrencies.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by SakisBack
1
Bitcoin Chart Pattern Signals Possible Dip Before Pump!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋 If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥 📉 #BTC – Potential Inverse Head & Shoulders in Play Bitcoin is showing signs of a classic inverse head and shoulders formation on the daily chart. However, it's facing heavy resistance near the neckline around the $106,000 zone. 🧠 Possible Scenario: A correction toward the GETTEX:92K –$93K range could complete the right shoulder before a potential breakout. If we see a clean bounce from that level, bulls might reclaim momentum. ⚠️ Invalidation: A daily close above $106,000 would invalidate the structure and signal early continuation. 💬 What do you think of this setup? Drop your views and analysis in the comments below!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CoreCrypto1
BITCOIN about to test its ATH following HUGE U.S. - China deal!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is marching towards the $109000 Resistance, which is its All Time High (ATH), following the U.S. - China trade agreement 3 hours ago. This can be a huge fundamental boost to the bullish trend as technically, every time the Resistance level broke during this Bull Cycle, the break-out that followed was extremely aggressive. On October 2 2023, the Resistance test resulted into a strong break-out, which completed a +96.18% rise from the bottom before a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) pull-back. At the same time of the Resistance break-out, we had a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross and a 1W MACD Bullish Cross. The October 29 2024 Resistance test on the other hand was initially unsuccessful and made a 5 day rejection back near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before the next successful test. Again the rise was more than +96.18%. As a result, we are expecting to see at least $145k by July (+96.18%) once the Resistance breaks. Do you think that is a realistic time-frame for $145000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
12/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $104,972.46 Last weeks low: $93,385.49 Midpoint: $99,178.97 Bitcoin climbs over 12% from weekly low to weekly high, an incredible achievement despite a mixed performance in Tradfi. A pattern we've seen since the $74,500 double bottom following Liberation day goes; A strong rally for a week, consolidation in a tight trading range for a week, then repeat. Should this pattern continue we should see consolidation between weekly high and $102,075 (0.75 line). CPI & PPI take place this week on Tuesday and Thursday respectively, inflation is still a big talking point but baring a crazy print I would be surprised if these events move BTC. In the last few hours at time of writing The US has reduced tariffs on China to 30% for 90 days, China has reduced tariffs on the US down to 10%. To me this signifies the worst of the trade war narrative is behind us. This week I will be tracking altcoins with strong fundamentals as BTC.D rolls over from its highest point since January '21, ETH has already had a strong breakout from the downtrend and with BTC at ATH levels with strong resistance this should be the time to see altcoin strength and play catch-up. Good luck this week!
by ProR35
2