Bitcoin Bullish Surge or Major Reversal Ahead?Bitcoin's price is moving within an ascending channel. A potential move toward the upper channel boundary near $106,511.66 a new all time high is marked with a red arrow, indicating a possible reversal from resistance. The structure reflects a bullish trend, but traders should remain cautious of a potential correction after hitting the resistance level.
Btc-e
AMAZON ENTER 162 TP 165 AFTER EARNINGS NASDAQ:AMZN
ENTER 162 TP 165 AFTER EARNINGS
Amazon
Revenue Growth: Analysts expect Amazon’s revenues to rise 11.4% YoY in Q4 and hit a record high of $166.2 billion1. The company’s Q3 operating margin of 7.8% was the highest since early 20211.
Profitability: Amazon posted record net profits in Q3, and the metric almost hit a milestone of $10 billion1. Analysts expect Amazon to post per-share earnings of $0.81 in Q4, which is 285% higher than the corresponding quarter last year1.
Cost-cutting Initiatives: Amazon has undertaken several cost-cutting initiatives that have helped to improve its profits, despite slowing revenue growth1.
Bullish Target Price: The 210 price target from Wedbush places the firm among the most bullish for Amazon stock2. The average 12-month target price for AMZN stock from Wall Street analysts is 179, according to FactSet2.
Amazon Web Services (AWS): The top-line growth of Amazon’s enterprise-focused AWS has been gradually falling, and YoY revenue growth slipped to an all-time low of 12% in Q31. However, Amazon has stressed that the segment’s growth is "stabilizing"1.
Consumer Sentiment and Business Spending: During their Q3 earnings call, Amazon said consumers are trading down amid still-high inflation and a challenging macro environment1. It will be crucial to watch for commentary on the business spending environment in 2024
ETF BTC APROVAL LONG 46000 "Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Disruption: Unleashing the Power of Financial Inclusion"
Introduction:
In recent years, the rise of decentralized finance (DeFi) has been nothing short of revolutionary in the world of cryptocurrencies. This bullish idea explores the potential of DeFi as a game-changer in the financial industry, bringing about increased financial inclusion, accessibility, and empowerment.
BTC DECEMBER FOMC Going into FOMC the consensus is we'll see a 25bps cut from the FED (95% chance), this would take interest rates from 4.75% to 4.5%. Because the expectation of a cut is so certain, we can assume that the markets have priced this in so baring any craziness in the form of a different result we should see market sentiment remain the same, bullish.
A FED pause,(although unlikely according to data) would be very bearish in the the short term in terms of volatility. I would expect to see price revisit the $98-99K mark where the 4H 200EMA would roughly be. In a bullmarket the 4H 200EMA can be used as a great support level often bouncing off of it.
For a 25bps cut which is the expected outcome, we have two paths IMO. The bullish path is consolidation under the ATH then a break above, retest and off we go towards $110,000. The bearish path is a loss of this key S/R level after a consolidation above support and break under with a confirmed retest of new resistance. I know it's typical "could go up, could go down", however it's the context that matters here.
Alts have taken a back seat for the last week or so, BTC.D at a key level and a rejection off this level would mean alts can play catch-up while as BTC consolidates. We very rarely see BTC drop and altcoins pump so this is the most likely outcome to me baring no upsets in FOMC.
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Rising wedge on resistanceBitcoin uptrend looks exhausted and keeps getting rejected on overbought RSI zone, a retracement down to 100EMA support seems around the corner.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (15.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
106966.8
Entry Zone:
107142.0 - 108740.0
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 104521.8
1) 101946.7
1) 99371.7
Stop Targets:
1) 110802.2
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +47.5% | +83.3% | +119.1%
Possible Loss= -39.8%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
BITCOIN Next top is going to surprise you but it SHOULDN'T !!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yet another benchmark, the psychological level of $100k. The market cap is growing and many claim that it can't keep rising as the capitalization would be at unrealistic levels. For one capital inflows seem to be very comfortable right now with BTC investments and there are still billions waiting at the side for the right investment in 2025.
Fundamentals aside, Bitcoin's historic patterns and price action gives us even more reasons to expect (much) higher prices and a Cycle Top that could surprise many.
** Fibonacci Channel Up **
First of all, we've plotted a Channel Up starting from BTC's first Bear Cycle and displayed the Fibonacci retracement levels on it. As you can see, those fit perfectly and catch each Cycle's tops and bottoms very accurately:
1) June 2011 Top on the 0.618 Fib. November 2011 Bottom on the 0.0 Fib.
2) December 2013 Top on the 1.0 Fib. August 17 2015 Bottom on the 0.382 Fib.
3) December 2017 Top on the 1.0 Fib. December 2018 bottom on the 0.5 Fib.
4) April 2021 Top on the 0.786 Fib. November 2022 bottom on the 0.236 Fib.
** Pi Cycle and MM Bands **
Then we have applied the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which are key trend Resistance and Support levels respectively, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which are also historically almost the absolute Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Bitcoin's main upward force.
** Covering at least 4 Fib ranges **
As you can see, all Cycles broke above at least the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) before making a Top. The first two Cycles even hit the MMB SD3 above (red). Also each Cycle has a proportional Fibonacci Channel level range, covering at least 4 Fib bands (as described above). Cycle 1 covered Fibs 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236 and 0.0. Cycle 2 covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 3 also covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 4 covered Fibs 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236.
** Surprise Top **
The MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) is now below Fib 0.618 and it is less likely for BTC to hit it since Cycle 3 didn't. As a result, it is possible that the next Top will be on Fib 0.5 at best (maximum). If that is succeeded towards the end of 2025, and assuming that the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) breaks by then as it always has on every previous Cycle, that gives us a target range for the next Cycle Top within $250k - $350k!
Do you still think that's unrealistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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HelenP. I After reaching new ATH, Bitcoin can make correctionHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price declined to the trend line and then rebounded and started to grow. Later, BTC reached a support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then some time traded in this area. Then the price broke the 90400 level, made a retest, and continued to grow, but when it reached 99300 points, after which made a correction. But soon, the price turned around and continued to grow to support 1, which coincided with the resistance zone. When BTC reached this level, it turned around and in a short time declined to the trend line. After this movement, BTC rebounded and made impulse up to support 1, thereby soon breaking it. Currently, the price trades inside the resistance zone, so, I expect BTCUSDT will rise a little higher this area. Then, the price can turn around and start to decline to the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 100700 points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin's status on hourly timeframes (4H)Bitcoin is in an ascending channel on the hourly timeframes. It had reached the top of the channel, reacted, and has now dropped.
There is a support zone that could push the price back up to the previous high.
Closing a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this move and lead to further drops.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?if Bitcoin cannot hold the $130,000 range, the price could drop to around $100,000 or even lower. After that, it can continue its growth again.
Give me some energy !!
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin can correct and then continue to move up to new ATHHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price trades inside the range, where it reaches the top part and then starts to fall. In a short time, BTC fell almost to the bottom but then turned around and made an impulse up, exiting from range and continuing to grow inside an upward wedge. In this pattern, the price soon reached the 90500 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then broke it, made a retest, and continued to move up. Later BTC reached the resistance line of the wedge and then corrected the support level, after which it rebounded at once and then rose to the current support level. Price tried to break, but failed and dropped to the 90500 level, after which at once continued to move up and soon reached the current support level, which coincided with the seller zone. Then the price broke the 103000 level and rose to the resistance line of a wedge, but a not long time ago it declined to the seller zone, where BTC continues to trades to this day. So, in my mind, the price can decline to the support line and then start to grow to the resistance line of an upward wedge. That's why I set my TP at 110000 points (new ATH), which coincided with the resistance line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
New wave up to 80%+ on VITEToday, another delisting announcement was released, in connection with which I warned against working with coins of the monitoring tag in the first half of the week. Now the coins that were not included in the announcement are becoming interesting. First of all, this is VITE, which is the most oversold at the moment. Last week, a signal was left for further overshooting and a likely test of the key level of 0.025, opening the way to 0.035-50. Given the assignment of the monitoring tag, I do not think that the price will easily gain a foothold above this level, despite the strong signal for a retest of about 0.035.
So far, the most likely scenario is a test of the 0.0225-75 flat range with a further rebound and determination of the closing level of the year, depending on the overall market dynamics. The month opened above 0.014, the second half of the month above 0.015, which is also a signal for growth to 0.02+. The zone of the set of positions is the flat range of 0.014-16 near the key level of 0.015. In the absence of a deeper drawdown on the tops today, the weekly candle will begin to turn bullish today and we will not see prices below the current VITE. In the event of an additional market drawdown after the decision on the US interest rate, VITE will probably be quite effective in compensating for the market drawdown, due to the high growth potential and after the flat it will give a breakdown on Thursday-Friday against the background of the general market growth in the second half of the week.
On the 0.025 test, it is worth carefully monitoring the dynamics, since there is a probability of a breakdown immediately by 0.035 within the framework of the reversal of the annual candle. But even if there is no consolidation above the level, the current wave of growth can bring up to 75% profit.
Also, from coins with the monitoring tag, HARD and FIRO can show pleasant growth waves, although they currently have lower goals of up to 30-50%.
VITE with a target of growth to 0.025 and VIB with a target of 0.15 are the most oversold coins on the binance, which have not yet shown a reversal of the annual candle, which may return them to the top of growth in the coming days similar to last week. As I have repeatedly written, for most overbought coins that have been on the radar for the last two months and have shown significant growth, the probability of continued sales prevails until the beginning of the new year.
Bitcoin Tests Key Support: Eyes on $103KBitcoin is technically bullish in the 4-Hour chart. However, it gave up bullish move from the last days and is now testing the key support zone near $103,033.
1. A pullback to retest the $103,032 with a dip below it, followed by a strong rebound above this level will push Bitcoin price towards $108,550 (dashed green projection).
2. A decisive move towards $108,550 and breakout with confidence could pave the way for further upward momentum towards $113,692(solid green projection).
3. If Bitcoin fails to hold above $103,032 and breaks below this level without a swift recovery, it could indicate a loss of bullish strength and Bitcoin chart will turn to neutral. This may trigger increased bearish activity, leading to sideways movement or a potential decline toward the $99,108 support level (red projections).
BITCOIN's Distribution, Greed and Dutch TulipsThe **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation.
Then, in February 1637, the fever broke. Buyers disappeared faster than a Dutch winter thaw, and the market collapsed like a poorly built dike. Those who had mortgaged their futures for tulips were left with nothing but petals and regret. It was a dazzling rise and a catastrophic fall—a timeless lesson in the dangers of speculative greed!
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Why do I write about the Tulip Crash?
These days, not many young Trader and Investors know about it. And why not learn from the past?
Happy profits all.
Entering the volatility period
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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Have a nice day today.
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If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16.
If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend.
The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur.
If it starts to decline,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80.9K
There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above.
If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd.
Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th.
If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it.
-
(1D chart)
I will update after a new candle is created.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Cycle Top Indicator [CTI] | Deep Dive AnalysisIn this post we will look at some of the long-term trends identified with the tracking of the CTI indicator (Red and Green Moving averages in the price chart), and what we can learn from the observed behaviors over Cycle 1 / 2 / 3 and possible implications for Cycle 4.
INDICATOR RECAP
The CTI indicator attempts to model the cycle top based on observed historic price over extension from Cycle 1 / 2. Indicator marks a cycle top when the 'Fast MA' (Red Line) crosses above the 'Slow MA' (Green Line). I.e. the condition where both MAs price value is equal. I should be noted that this condition was achieve for every cycle to date so far, and that the condition was met twice for the experienced 'double peak top' in Cycle 1 but was only met for the first of the two peak tops during Cycle 3.
OSCILLATOR: % DISTANCE MODELLED BETWEEN SLOW (GREEN MA) & FAST (RED MA) – NORMALISED TO PRICE
The below oscillator models the %Distance away from each other the Green Line and the Red line gets over BTC's cycles (Normalised to Price).
* RED HORIZONTAL LINE: When the oscillator is equal to 1, this models the price value of the Green and Red moving averages as equal (or the CTI cycle top condition)
* ORANGE HORIZONTAL LINE(s): These mark the maximum over extension the Red MA exceeded the Green MA during a cycle top condition.
* GREEN HORIZONTAL LINE(s): These mark low levels of the oscillator, indicator maximum distance of the Red MA below the Green MA during each cycle.
BLACK SLOPING TREND LINE(s): Represent the diminishing trend of overlap between the Green and Red Mas each cycle.
* VERTICAL RED AND GREEN LINES: Show cycle tops and bottoms as triggered by the CTI and CBI (Cycle Bottom Indicators) – NOTE: CBI moving averages not shown.
SIGNIFICANCE OF ORANGE HORIZONTAL & BLACK TREND LINES
It is observable that each peak of the Oscillator is lower than the previous cycle peak (each peak is marked with an Orange horizontal line). This diminishing trend is shown with each orange line marked lower than the line before, and modeled with the Black downward sloping trend line(s) connecting the peaks.
A reminder that the Red Horizontal line shows the condition with the CTI models the cycle top and conditions above the Red Horizontal line show the % distance the Red MA reaches above the Green MA each cycle. For example:
* Cycle 1 Peak = 1.58
* Cycle 2 First peak = 1.25
* Cycle 2 Second peak = 1.20
* Cycle 3 First peak = 1.07
The diminishing trend of this relationship over each cycle (if historic behavior continues) suggest that the CTI overlap condition for cycle 4 my not eventuate. This would be modeled by our oscillator not exceeding the red line in Cycle 4.
The learnings for this analysis could suggest that waiting for the CTI indicator to Fire may result in a non-event for Cycle 4.
SIGNIFICANCE OF GREEN HORIZONTAL LINES
A surprising finding from this analysis show for all cycles to date that when the modeled oscillator reaches levels between -1.11 and -1.82 and particularly for Cycles 2 / 3 & 4 between -1.50 & -1.82 (Red MA % distance below the Grean MA), Historically BTC has found its cycle bottom. These findings are summarized below for quick reference.
* CYCLE 1-4 Bottom Oscillator Condition: -1.11 <> -1.82
* CYCLE 2-4 Bottom Oscillator Condition: -1.50 <> -1.82
Feel free to include any other observations I may have missed in the comments below. i intend to do a similar analysis for the CBI indicator when I find the time.
CYCLE 4 | RSI Monthly TrendA quick post to cover Bitcoins Cycles with respect to the Monthly RSI.
We can see based on the monthly close RSI values, a descending trend where each consecutive peak for consecutive bitcoins cycles have reduced in magnitude (i.e. a lower low RSI value coinciding with the trend reversal points. This trend is also evident with monthly RSI low values.
Using trend lines (based on historic BTC behavior in the past), we can speculate what would not be abnormal monthly RSI behavior for this cycles (Cycle 4) top and the future bear market low.
Have a play with the interactive tools in the post to observe details more clearly.
I have also detailed Cycle 1-3 length from the bottom to the top, bear markets (top to bottom), halving's and each cycles Fib extensions for your reference.
For greater detail, reference the below companion post to this discussion.
FET LONG: Daily Bullish Orderflow. On all accounts, FET Bullish Orderflow:
1D BiSi (bullish fvg)
1D Mitigation Block [Orderblock alternative)
Optimal Trade Entry model (OTE) - 0.79 fib level.
Stop placement at $1.315, leveraging a wide stop. This is a compound position from previous long setup posted a couple of weeks ago
BTCUSD - Am I Underestimating the Bulls? Following this channel the prediction allows a 3M Bitcoin which is a bit crazy but could it happen?
Its still within the long term channel up and is the top point of this channel
Weekly timeframe
Anyone want to add some thoughts? Perhaps a rise of 4800% is too much?
MICROSOFT 460 BY 2025 ?TOP 3 REASONS WHY !!
Earnings Growth: One of the most important factors for any growth Astock is earnings growth1. Microsoft has a historical EPS growth rate of 21.3%, and it’s projected to grow 13.2% this year, outpacing the industry average. This consistent and robust earnings growth is a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and future prospects, which could drive its stock price higher.
Cloud Services: Microsoft Azure, the company’s cloud platform, has been a significant driver of growth. Demand for cloud infrastructure services is higher than ever, as organizations seek digital solutions in a post-COVID-19 world. With Azure’s revenue increasing by 48%, it’s expected to exceed both Office and Windows in annual revenue by next year. This growth in the cloud sector represents a massive opportunity for Microsoft and could be a major factor in boosting its stock price.
Productivity and Gaming: Microsoft’s productivity and business processes segment, which includes Office 365, has shown solid results with consistent revenue growth. The transition of Office to a subscription service has been beneficial for Microsoft’s core software business2. Additionally, the gaming sector, particularly Xbox, is another area where Microsoft is seeing significant growth2. With the successful launch of the Xbox Series X and Series S, and the rapid growth of the Xbox Game Pass subscription service, the future looks bright for Microsoft’s gaming business.
TESLA 300 AFTER EARNINGS ? 3 STRONG REASONS !!
Strong EV Market Position:
Tesla’s electric vehicles (EVs) remain popular, with the Model Y and Model 3 ranking among the top-selling vehicles in the U.S. in 2023. Even as legacy automakers enter the market, Tesla’s success suggests continued consumer preference for its vehicles.
Cybertruck:
Tesla’s long-awaited Cybertruck could be a game-changer. Pickup trucks have high gross profit margins, and if Tesla prices the Cybertruck right, it could boost their overall profitability1.
Regulatory Credits and Rebates: As Europe tightens regulations on internal combustion engine (ICE) cars, Tesla may receive more regulatory credits (from competitors like Fiat) going forward.
Full Self-Driving (FSD) Technology: Analysts estimate that Tesla’s FSD technology could potentially raise earnings per share by $1-$2 annually through the end of the decade.
WHAT IS TRUE...Hello friends
This coin is placed in a channel.
Now, according to the rising market, we have two scenarios:
1_ To break the channel from here and go to register new ceilings.
2- You cannot succeed in a channel failure and buy in the lower range that we specified.
There is another mode, according to the rising market, if the channel succeeds in a valid failure, we should buy a pullback.
Be successful and profitable.