BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us.
The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top.
On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal.
As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025.
As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib.
So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC - Analyzing monthly momentum shifts with the Stoch RSI!What is the stoch rsi?
The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum indicator that applies the stochastic oscillator to the RSI, making it more sensitive to price changes. The Stochastic RSI has two lines:
Blue line = the fast momentum line
Orange line = the slower momentum line
How It Works:
* Helps identify overbought (above 80) and oversold (below 20) conditions.
* Crossing above 20 signals possible bullish momentum.
* Crossing below 80 signals possible bearish momentum.
Why Use It?
* Reacts faster than regular RSI.
* Helps spot momentum shifts and reversals.
* Best used with other indicators for confirmation.
Analyzing the Monthly BTC Chart Through the Lens of Stochastic RSI: A Cycle Comparison
in this discussion, we’ll take a deep dive into the monthly Bitcoin (BTC) chart and examine how the Stochastic RSI aligns with previous market cycles, dating back to 2016. By comparing BTC’s historical price action with Stoch RSI signals, we aim to identify recurring patterns, overbought and oversold conditions, and how momentum shifts have played a role in past bull and bear markets. Understanding these correlations could provide valuable insights into where BTC currently stands in its broader cycle and what to expect next. Let’s break it down.
Let's dive into the bullmarket of 2016/2017:
In 2016 and 2017, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart stayed consistently above the 80 level, often fluctuating between 80 and 100. During this period, the blue line occasionally crossed below the orange line, signaling a short-term pullback. When this cross occurred, it was typically followed by a red candle in the next month, indicating a brief dip before the price continued its upward movement. This pattern appeared multiple times throughout the bull market, allowing BTC to make higher highs and pushing the price further up.
However, the key turning point came when both the blue and orange lines crossed below the 80 level. This marked a shift in momentum, often leading to a significant drop in price or even a bear market phase. When the Stochastic RSI fell below 80 and remained there, it indicated that bullish momentum had stalled, and a potential reversal or prolonged downtrend was likely to follow. This was a critical signal for traders to watch during the bull cycle.
What happened in 2019-2021?
In 2019, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart quickly moved from the oversold region to the overbought area, reflecting a rapid surge in BTC’s price during that time. This sharp movement in the Stochastic RSI mirrored the fast-paced price increase. However, once the Stochastic RSI entered the overbought zone, the blue line crossed below the orange line, signaling a potential reversal. When this happened, the Stochastic RSI fell below the 80 level, indicating that bullish momentum was weakening.
This crossover was a critical signal of potential downside, suggesting that BTC could experience a correction or even an extended period of bearish pressure. The decline in the Stochastic RSI below 80 marked the beginning of a phase where BTC faced increased downside momentum, leading to a correction in price for months.
Later in the cycle BTC and the Stoch RSI went up to the overbought area ones again. When the Stoch RSI with the blue and orange line crossed below the 80 was the start of a prolonged bear market.
What occured in this cycle?
In the current cycle of Bitcoin (BTC), there have been three notable crosses on the Stochastic RSI, which offer important insights into market conditions. The first cross stayed above the 80 level, which typically signals an overbought condition. When the Stochastic RSI is above 80, it indicates that the market may be experiencing strong bullish momentum, but it's also at risk of becoming overextended, potentially signaling a reversal.
However, the other two crosses occurred as the Stochastic RSI moved below the 80 level, which is generally interpreted as a sign that the bullish momentum is weakening and that further downside could be in play. The fact that these two crosses occurred below the 80 level suggests that the overbought conditions are being worked off, and momentum may be shifting to the downside.
The last cross is still in play. The momentum is quickly turning to the downside while BTC is facing downside pressure
How can we compare this cycle with the last ones?
In the last cycle of BTC, there were two key crosses of the Stochastic RSI below the 80 level, both of which marked important turning points for the market.
The first cross below the 80 level triggered a significant crash of around 70%, which was a sharp correction from the bull market's peak. This steep drop signified a clear shift in market sentiment, with the bearish trend beginning to take hold. The second cross below 80 marked the official start of the bear market, though it wasn’t as dramatic as the first crash.
An interesting aspect of the second cross was that Bitcoin briefly made a slightly higher high before the decline, which might have seemed like a potential sign of recovery or a continuation of the bullish trend. However, this higher high was not sustainable, and the bearish momentum quickly took over, confirming that the market had turned decisively to the downside. This higher high can often be seen as a bull trap, where traders were temporarily lured into thinking the market was rebounding, only for the price to reverse sharply.
In contrast, the cycle before this one was marked by Bitcoin staying consistently above the 80 level for the entire duration of the bull market. The Stochastic RSI remained elevated, reflecting strong bullish momentum and a prolonged uptrend. Once the Stochastic RSI crossed below the 80 level, it signaled the official start of the bear market. This transition from above to below 80 is often seen as a clear indication that the overbought conditions had been worked off, and the market was beginning to lose its bullish steam.
In both cycles, the Stochastic RSI's behavior has been crucial in identifying key points where the market shifted from bullish to bearish. In the most recent cycle, the sharp crash following the first cross below 80 and the subsequent bear market beginning with the second cross below 80 highlight the significance of this indicator in forecasting major market changes. Meanwhile, in the previous cycle, the sustained time spent above 80 helped to keep the bullish momentum intact until the market finally reversed with that pivotal cross below 80.
These patterns suggest that once Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI starts crossing below the 80 level after an extended period of bullish movement, it’s a strong signal that the market is entering a phase of weakness and may eventually lead to a bear market.
Conclusion:
The current cycle shows similarities to the 2019/2021 cycle, particularly with the second cross down on the Stochastic RSI, which previously marked a local top. There is a strong possibility that this could signal a cycle top.
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Bitcoin: 120 In April, Part 2The market already bottomed.
The stage is set for the biggest bull-market in the history of Cryptocurrency.
The year is 2025. The bull-market starts in 2025 and can easily go beyond this year into early 2026.
Good things are about to happen.
Prepare for profits (change).
How are you feeling today my friend in this wonderful day?
Bitcoin bottomed and this is great.
Consolidation is something good that we can all appreciate. A time to rest, study, work and prepare for all the positive that we are about to experience. The market is good.
The market never moves in one single direction for too long. The market alternates and after a very strong wave, it gives us rest to prepare for what comes next. The rest period is reaching its end.
Bitcoin bottomed 28-February 2025.
A lower low and technical double-bottom happened 11-March 2025.
This is as good as it get.
Current market conditions allow for buying focused on the long-term.
This situation we are seeing now is amazing.
Traders, investors and the like can decide to buy spot and hold strong.
Leveraged traders can easily buy and hold up to 10X. Less than 8X is an easy entry with relatively low risk. Anything higher can be considered gambling.
At this point, loans can be taken out and the money goes into Crypto.
When a loan pays 6% yearly, or 20% if you live in a country like mine, Crypto will pay 600% in the same amount of time.
Getting a loan to buy Cryptocurrencies is not the best idea ever but it can be approached and benefit from by sound thinking and smart people. There are other ways to grow.
The market will go wild and will grow really strong.
While leverage can be used on the big projects, like Bitcoin, XRP and Cardano, Ethereum as well, smaller projects can offer the same growth potential but without the risk of a leveraged trade. That is, Bitcoin can grow 100% within 3-4 months. An Altcoin can grow 1,000% within 5 months and so on. Just some ideas.
Getting into the market can also happen gradually. Buy-in, buy into, accumulate with each check. Use the extra money to buy, buy and hold.
Fiat savings go into Crypto. The only way you are not into Crypto with fiat is if you are as old as Warren Buffet, that's the only reason not to buy Crypto, being too old. If you are less than 100 years of age, dive into Crypto because Crypto is the future of money and is here to stay.
We are gearing up for something great.
It is hard to put into words and it is impossible to transmit the actual feeling and experience through an article; everything will grow.
Remember late 2024?
What was the experience like?
Let's recap:
The market bottomed in August 2024 and went sideways for three months.
Then, in a matter of weeks, everything started to grow. Not everything but still, enough for us to profit and enjoy. The growth phase lasted as little as 1 full month. The consolidation period lasted on average 3 months. This time it will be different.
Consolidation (waiting time and the opportunity to buy low) has less than 1 month left.
The growth phase will last between 3-6 months. With a strong shakeout in-between but this is 3 to 6 times more than late 2024. So this is great.
If you knew in advance what was going to happen in late 2024, you know you could have made great profits and did great.
You know now what is about to happen, so why not take action now and do the same.
Now you can profit big time. No need to hold after the end of the bullish wave.
When prices are low it is the time to buy.
When prices are high it is the time to sell.
There are no missed opportunities. There is no need to hold for too long.
Yes, you can hold and will hold but only a portion, you have to sell when prices are up.
This time I will get it right.
I am buying NOW.
I am going LONG now.
I will sell when everything is up.
But what if it keeps on growing?
Be grateful for the profits when they come.
If everything keeps on growing, buy the pairs that are lower and enjoy those.
You need some targets and you need to take action. You are trading to take money home.
First you put money in and then you take it out.
What you take out will be many times more than what you initially bought.
Long long-term.
Buy weekly, monthly for 3-5 years and that's it.
You can use your portfolio as a savings account and withdraw when you feel like it or have a need.
You can go even longer, 10 years with no action other than to invest.
Once you feel ready, buy your mansion and enjoy the rich life.
Cryptocurrency is here to stay.
Cryptocurrency was developed to change the world. From a few entities controlling the money supply of the world, to everybody having access to wealth, success and growth.
You can make your own money now.
The 2025 bull-market is about to start.
Bitcoin is going up!
PS. We will consider a minimum of ~180,000 as the next All-Time High, with 200,000 and 220,000 being possible and ok. Anything lower or predicted earlier is now nullified. The sideways period has been long and strong. Bitcoin is definitely going to blow up. From November 2024 until now we have almost 5 months. That's enough to more than double prices-up, but the consolidation is not yet over. We have some time left. The Altcoins will move first. In the sense that they can produce stronger swings when they breakout.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
If you enjoy the article and would like to see more, leave a comment.
BTC - Elliott Wave Impulse and Corrective StructureThis chart illustrates an Elliott Wave pattern on BTCUSDT in the 4-hour timeframe. The market initially completed a 5-wave impulse move to the upside, labeled as (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), signaling a strong bullish trend. Following the completion of Wave (5), a corrective ABC structure has begun, indicating a potential retracement phase.
- The 5-wave impulse structure suggests a completed bullish cycle.
- Wave (A) marks the initial corrective decline, followed by a recovery in Wave (B).
- Wave (C) is in progress, likely targeting lower levels before a potential reversal or continuation of the trend.
Traders should watch key support and resistance levels to identify potential reversal zones or continuation patterns. If BTC finds strong support at a key level, it could indicate a buying opportunity for the next bullish wave. Conversely, a deeper breakdown could confirm extended correction.
Always apply proper risk management and confirm setups with additional technical indicators.
Bitcoin Faces a "Resistance Lines WALL" – Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in my previous post and hit all targets . Will Bitcoin continue the upward trend of the past two days!?
Please stay with me.
First of all, I have to say that Bitcoin is facing a Wall of Resistance lines ( intersection of at least 4 Resistance lines ). Do you think Bitcoin can easily break these resistance lines with a single attack?
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($87,520_$85,840) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and a Series of Resistance lines .
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed Corrective waves . The corrective wave structure in the Ascending Channel is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to $85,000 in the first step in the coming hours. The Second target is $84,333 , and if the Support zone($84,430_$83,170) is broken, we should wait for the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) to fill.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the wall of the Resistance lines, or will it start declining again?
Note: Donald Trump's speeches over the next hours could also affect the market, so trade a little more cautiously during this hour.
Trump’s Speech & Potential Tariffs
In today’s speech, Trump is expected to discuss new tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, possibly ranging from 20-25%. If confirmed, this could impact global markets, strengthen the USD, and increase economic uncertainty.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $89,000, we should most likely expect more pumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin may continue grow inside upward channel to seller zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can observe how Bitcoin corrected down to the support level, which also aligned with the buyer zone. From there, the price started to rise. It didn’t take long for BTC to reach the resistance level, which matched up with the seller zone. After breaking through that level, the price began consolidating within a range. Throughout this range, Bitcoin tested the upper boundary several times, but on the last attempt, it reversed and began to decline. The drop continued until it broke through the 86500 level, effectively exiting the range and pushing lower toward the next support. Once the price reached that area, it broke below the level and even dipped under the buyer zone, but quickly reversed and started climbing within an ascending channel. Inside this channel, BTC pushed up to the 83500 level, broke through it again, and maintained bullish momentum. At the moment, Bitcoin is trading within the channel, and I anticipate a potential correction back to the lower boundary of the channel, followed by continued growth toward the seller zone and a break of the resistance. For this scenario, my target is set at 87000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin's Buy Zone Revealed: The R/Evolution Of FinanceFor this bull-market, the buy-zone can extend as high as $100,000. This is because Bitcoin is set to grow above $160,000 to reach $180,000 and even up to $200,000 in the latter part of 2025. So even $100,000 can be a good entry for total profits of 100% when we reach 200K... If it goes higher, better!
Let's try again.
How are you feeling today?
A new day, a new chart; a great market.
While Bitcoin is solid right now, price-wise, it is still trading within our buy-zone.
Below $90,000 Bitcoin is an awesome buy. Have people been telling you this lately?
Yes? No!
No??? I am shocked. This is pure evil.
Bitcoin is now a great opportunity, a great buy when you consider that it will be trading 50% higher in a matter of months. Even better when you consider that everything that is Crypto related is set to grow.
Well, it is no problem, I am here to show my support.
Bitcoin is set to rise and it will rise really strong.
The last chance to buy at low prices is present and available now.
Bitcoin is an awesome buy below $90K.
Anything below 90,000 is great.
Below 80,000 is awesome but a rare opportunity and likely gone. This kind of price was only available for a few hours in 2025. Bitcoin has never closed below 80K weekly in its history. Were you aware of this fact?
The saying normally goes, "Sell in May and go away."
In 2025, this won't be the case.
The saying now is, "Buy everything now and become rich."
"Buy everything and hold strong."
Cryptocurrency is set to rise. Bitcoin is still trading at a nice price within our long-term accumulation-entry (buy) zone. The time is now.
Regardless of your strategy, your system, your method or your plan; accumulation is great.
You can accumulate now. If prices drop, buy more. If prices rise, buy more. When the rise becomes strong, hold. When the top is in or close, start to take profits because after a strong bullish phase comes a correction. You don't want to be caught holding during the correction. You can buy when prices are low. Hold as the market grows. Sell when the market peaks. If you sell when the market peaks, you can buy back-in when the next low is in. There is plenty of time to decide and take action. There is no way to miss a good entry.
Consider the chart and market now. Bitcoin has been sideways for months. Many months we have time to plan and buy. It will be the same after the end of the bullish cycle, so it will be wise to take profits when prices are up.
Buy and hold now. Sell later when everything grows.
I will be here to alert you of great timing to sell at the top.
Right now we are at the bottom. Nothing more needs to be said.
Bitcoin is trading within our long-term buy-zone.
You know what to do.
Take action.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Cryptocurrency was invented to usher a financial revolution. A revolution that is beneficial for all those involved. Everybody can win with Crypto, even the banks, if they adapt to the evolution of finance.
Imagine going against email and the Internet because it is new and you are the owner of the mailbox.
In retrospect, we know this to be simply unreasonable, we can only adapt and change because reality is always changing, no matter what our beliefs are or preferences. Today it is the same.
We have new money and humanity will never look back again.
We are in the early days of the Internet. The early days of Crypto. Those taking action now, will be looking like geniuses 10-20 years ahead. It is not too late. It is pretty early. Really early. Crypto is less than 20 years old. There are Bitcoins to be mined until 2140.
Join the revolution now, become the evolution of finance you yourself and get rich in the process.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rebound up from support zone to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, BTC showed a strong downward move that brought the price into the support zone between 82200 and 80900 points. This area acted as a major demand zone, and after several retests, the price formed a solid base. From this support, BTC made a sharp bullish impulse, breaking through local resistance and heading toward the descending trend line. Eventually, the price reached the key resistance zone and tested the trend line, but failed to break through it. After that, BTC started to decline again and returned to the support zone around the 82200 level, where it is currently consolidating. At the moment, the price is trading near the lower boundary of the support zone. The strong reaction from this zone in the past and the overall price structure suggest that bulls are still active. Given the previous impulse move, the bounce from the support, and the clear target structure, I expect BTCUSDT to rise from the current level toward my goal at 87500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSD: We are nowhere near the top.Bitcoin has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.405, MACD = -937.300, ADX = 31.574) and should turn bullish once it crosses above its 1D MA50, which is now a 2 month Resistance. This simple illustration of cyclical tops and bottoms shows that the market is nowhere near a top and we will not consider selling until we enter October (2025).
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Bitcoin Breaks Resistance – Bullish Flag in Play(Short-term)!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise and pump after '' the Mastercard Plans to Enable 3.5 Billion Cardholders to Transact with Bitcoin and Crypto, " and the US indexes movements and managed to break the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580) .
Bitcoin is moving near the Monthly Pivot Point and Support lines .
Bitcoin seems to be completing the Bullish Flag Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to reach the Targets I have outlined on the chart in the coming hours and most likely fill the CME Gap($86,620_$86,565) .
There is a possibility that Bitcoin will fall again after this increase. What do you think!?
Note: The Crypto market is full of excitement. Please pay more attention to capital management than before.
Note: This analysis could be a short-term Roadmap for Bitcoin .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,500, we should expect further declines, possibly heavy declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSD: 1D Death Cross can push it to $150k by August.Bitcoin turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.071, MACD = -1375.000, ADX = 26.965) showcasing the high volatility that yesterday's tariffs announcement inflicted. 1W remains marginally neutral though (RSI = 45.519), highlighting the long term buy opportunity the current levels present.
The market is about to form the first 1D Death Cross, which occurs when the 1D MA50 crosses under the 1D MA200, since August 9th 2024. Even though that's technically a bearish formation, it has worked only as a bottom market during the current Bull Cycle. Both the Aug 9th 2024 and September 11th 2023 1D Death Crosses were formed exactly when BTC bottomed. In symmetric fashion the first two were formed 150 days after the previous high and rose by at least +96.86% by the 1.786 Time Fibonacci extension. Also both bottoms held the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
This time the 1D Death Cross will be formed approximately 109 days after the previous high, which means that this phase is more aggressive than the others and may equally be more aggresive on the bullish wave too. Still, if it 'just' repeats the previous ones, we estimate to reach $150,000 by this August.
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BITCOIN This is where the most aggressive part begins.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has turned sideways amidst the tariffs implementation today and on the longer picture (1W time-frame) it remains supported just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). On this chart we display our Parabolic Growth Channel (PGC), which is the long-term Zone where BTC is a buy opportunity.
Throughout the market's historic Cycles, the time when BTC was supported above the 1W MA50 but still within its PGC was known as an Accumulation Phase (blue ellipse) before the final parabolic rally of the Cycle and its eventual Top (green Arc).
Based on this model, so far we haven't seen any such rally, despite the undoubtedly strong rallies of October 2023 - March 2024 and October 2024 - December 2024. Only the March 2024 and then the recent Tops can be counted as marginal breaches above the PGC and it's been no surprise that the market corrected back inside the Buy Zone but remained supported by the 1W MA50.
As long as it does, the probabilities of that final, most aggressive Cycle rally get stronger. On the last Cycle the peak was priced just above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That is currently a little below $170k and that is why our final Target is just below at $160000. Also right now we are marginally below the 0.618 Cycle top-to-top Fib, which is in line to where all previous final Cycle parabolic rallies started.
So do you think the 1W MA50 will now push BTC to its final Cycle rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC update 28.03.2025The zone of interest I have outlined, when internal liquidity is achieved. In the same zone we have horizontal volumes.
So I'm waiting for a reaction from this zone
We are still continuing to form the bottom of the correction.
The next 4 days will be a struggle to close the monthly candle, it should close green.
Bets Regards, EXCAVO
Bitcoin (BTC) on 4-hour timeframe. Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading around $81,830.
Trend Line: There is a downward trend line indicating bearish sentiment over the observed period.
Support Level: There is a green support area around $78,424 to $80,000. Bitcoin needs to stay above this level to avoid further declines.
Recent Activity: After the decline, Bitcoin has attempted to stabilize near the support but has not made any significant upward move.
Considerations
If the price breaks below the support area, the bearish trend may continue.
Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks above the trend line, it may signal a reversal and potential upward movement.
Feel free to ask for further analysis or specific technical indicators!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)If we look at Bitcoin on hourly timeframes, we expect a rejection from the red zone. However, this rejection must be strong because if it is weak, Bitcoin may not be inclined to correct further or might at least enter a choppy corrective trend.
The substructure is also bearish, a trigger line has been lost, and ultimately, we have a bearish iCH on the chart.
Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
LTCUSD Litecoin OH NO TARIFFS! Everyone SELL NOW!The market reacted to the tariffs negatively as expected. I don't think these tariffs will last long. Countries will cave and remove their tariffs. Bottom line is they need us more than we need them. Once global free and easier trade starts you're going to see a boom cycle like never before. This is the bottom and the beginning of the biggest bull run you'll ever see. I don't get involved in politics but this move that Trump made with the tariffs is going to be a major positive for the USA and the world moving forward. This isnt 1929, we live in a much more advanced world now. Collapses and depressions are a thing of the past in my opinion.
As for Litecoin I see it coming down to test around $70 dollars by the middle of April. This is also timed almost perfectly to the 2017 run Litecoin had, coincidentally trump was starting his first term in 2017 as well. Also timed perfectly to when tax day is over for USA.
Many have capitulated and sold everything thinking a giant recession is coming, or a war, or a collapse, or aliens, or you name it people are scared of their own shadows lately. Like a plague of Grackles where one gets spooked and the whole lot of them get scared and take off when they dont even know why. This is how the markets work though, most will make the wrong decision so the few who made the right decision can profit from their mistakes. Once the market starts to run again those who sold will think its just a fake pump or dead cat bounce and wont buy in. Then the market will continue to rise and rise and finally when its near an all time high those who capitulated and sold early will fomo back in and buy the top to provide liquidity for those who were called crazy for buying the bottom. Its a cycle thats been happening since markets started.
So Im sticking with my predictions for Litecoin, I am not falling for this bear trap crap. Im doubling down. This is not financial advice. This is just my opinion.
Check if it can rise along the rising trend line (2)
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We need to see if USDT and USDC can continue the gap uptrend.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance rises above 62.47 and maintains or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to record a larger decline.
Therefore, you should think about how to respond to the altcoins you are trading.
If the uptrend continues, it is expected to rise to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0 (73.63) ~ 1 (77.07).
In order for the altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
In order for the coin market to begin an upward trend, the USDT dominance must fall below 4.97 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
If it does not, and it rises, the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
We need to see if it can meet resistance near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 and fall.
If not, the coin market will show a large downward trend as it rises to around 7.14.
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USDT is likely to continue to rise.
This is because it is the fund that supports the coin market.
Due to this, USDT dominance is also likely to continue its upward trend.
Therefore, rather than following the overall flow of USDT dominance, it is better to look at where it starts to decline.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart while maintaining the price above the upward trend line (2) and passing through April 4-6 is the key.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 89294.25, so if possible, we should also look at whether it can rise above 89294.25.
If it does not and falls along the downward trend line, it is possible that it will touch around 73499.86 during the volatility period around April 25.
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The most recently formed high-point trend line is trend line (3).
And, the recently formed low-point trend line is the (2) trend line.
Since these two trend lines are not moving in one direction, we can see that we are currently in the volatility zone.
If the StochRSI indicator rises this time and forms a peak in the overbought zone and then falls, the high-point trend line will draw an upward trend line like the low-point trend line.
When that happens, it seems likely that the trend will start.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the two volatility periods in this April, around April 5 and around April 25, will become turning points.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC range.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Falling towards pullback support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 81,250.81
1st support: 78,517.93
1st Resistance: 86,600.97
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Bitcoin- Short term recovery?As you know, I am bearish on Bitcoin in the long term. However, in the short term, the cryptocurrency could see a recovery.
Yesterday, the price tested the 81,000 support zone once again and rebounded from that level. Now, Bitcoin is pushing against the 83,500 resistance, and I believe a breakout is likely.
If that happens, we could see further gains, with 86,500 as the next key target for the bulls.
In conclusion, I’m bullish on BTC in the coming days and will be looking to buy dips.
BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental AnalysisTRUMP EFFECT & RESISTANCE DENIAL
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
As we expected, Bitcoin reached the upper band of the falling channel (approximately $88,000), touched the red resistance circle and then experienced a strong rejection. The timing of this technical rejection is no coincidence.
Last night, former US President Donald Trump's announcement that he would impose new customs duties on all countries of the world created a risk-off mood in the markets . In particular, global uncertainty and protectionist policies triggered selling pressure in risk assets such as Bitcoin.
Technically:
🔸RSI still has no obvious negative mismatch.
🔸However, since the price cannot break the upper band of the falling channel, this region continues to work as a selling zone for now.
If this retracement movement deepens, the first major support level of $73.777 , followed by the $69.000 line may come to the agenda.
On the other hand, if the price manages to regain strength and break this zone in volume, there may be a rapid movement to the GETTEX:92K - $95K band.
In short, Technical resistance + Trump news effect combined, we can say that the market has stepped back for now. From now on, volume and news flow will be directional.
#btc #Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency