Bitcoin (BTC): Double Top Pattern / Wait For Neckline BreakWe are still looking for that neckline breakdown to happen from our "double top" pattern.
As soon as we get the break of the neckline, this would send the price back to lower zones (where the first target would be the 200 EMA zone at $86K, then the lower support zone).
Swallow Team
BTC-M
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Losing Over and Over AgainBuyers are failing to maintain each push that we have seen for the last couple of weeks.
Despite markets being pretty calm on bigger timeframes, we still see signs of weakness and as many might call it, "a calm before the storm."
Our next buy zone for BTC is at $70-75K.
Swallow Team
Pain or gainMorning folks,
So, everything goes accurately with the plan - our 1H H&S is ready to start. Even small "222" Buy already has been formed on the bottom.
So, if you would like to buy - this is the point where you have to decide. Upside target is 100.5-101.2K.
At the same time - don't forget that the H&S has to be considered in context of our big bearish weekly DRPO Sell pattern.
If H&S will be completed at 101K - we consider it as a chance to get the short position at better price. Conversely, if BTC starts dropping and H&S start failing. It could mean that downside action starts immediately.
Other words speaking, if BTC will show upside action at all - it has to start it right now. Otherwise, be prepared for collapse.
I mark this setup as a bullish, because of H&S. But in general we have mid term bearish view.
H&S is just a retracement step before downside action.
Bitcoin Market Update – Consolidation Signals Potential BreakoutCurrent Structure & Price Action:
Bitcoin is maintaining a strong technical structure, consolidating within a well-defined range of $90,000 to $108,000 since December.
This accumulation phase follows November’s rally, with consistent dip-buying reinforcing market strength.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Holding above the $90,000 level reinforces stability and keeps the bullish structure intact.
Resistance: A breakout above $108,000 could confirm bullish momentum, with potential upside toward $124,000.
A sustained break below $90,000 would invalidate the bullish outlook and could lead to a deeper correction.
Breakout Confirmation:
Traders should watch for increasing volume on a breakout above $108,000, as it would signal strong participation and trend continuation.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin’s prolonged consolidation suggests the market is coiling for a major move. While the current trend remains bullish, confirmation of an upward breakout requires strong volume above $108,000. Until then, the range remains intact, with buyers maintaining control above $90,000.
10D Chart shows Falling 3 , Pullback to 3/18!! $SPYAMEX:SPY shows 10D trend very clear. It is my hidden gem. We, by my charting, Should pullback until 3/18 ... not sure how far but I have plenty of targets on the way down to my ultimate target at 5200... I think we could flush to $560.. Good Luck yall. Gems I tell ya... sorry I'm so bad at explaining things..
$SPY $SPX OLD CHART BAR PATTERN COVID CRASH NOW!!!!Holy crap.... I just came across an old chart and literally in the nick of timeI tell you. All I'm going to say is... I'm a pattern chart trader and this is the COVID bar pattern attached to our daily from like a year ago almost and I loaded up an old layout to do work and boom... here we are... Good LUCK ... Not sure what the trigger will be but we are here.
$SPY $SPX OLD CHART BAR PATTERN COVID CRASH NOW!!!!Holy crap.... I just came across an old chart and literally in the nick of timeI tell you. All I'm going to say is... I'm a pattern chart trader and this is the COVID bar pattern attached to our daily from like a year ago almost and I loaded up an old layout to do work and boom... here we are... Good LUCK ... Not sure what the trigger will be but we are here.
DXY Falling Below $106 - Cue AltSeason in March!The biggest shock to everyone is going to be the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC going DOWN while ALTS skyrocket 🚀
As I have discussed in my macro thesis, the TVC:DXY is FINALLY breaking down on the Weekly along with the 10Y.
RSI has topped and Price broke below the WMA9 & 20.
Just waiting on the WMA9 to break below the WMA20 for final confirmation.
Historically when this happens...
it’s ALTSEASON BABY!!! 🥳
After this happened in March 2017,
BTC and ALTS pumped together,
then BTC went down 33% while ALTS exploded higher over a 3 week period before BTC rallied alongside again.
Bitcoin's Balancing Act: Consolidation, Theft, and Market ForcesBitcoin continues to consolidate in the 90k - 106k area! Recently there was an act of theft from the ByBit cold wallet, resulting in over $1.5 billion worth of ETH being stolen. This is definitely a negative backdrop, we have seen good support from other exchanges and crypto project funders. Theoretically, it would be possible to roll the chain back as Arthur Hayes suggested, but it doesn't seem to be possible, although it would definitely play in favor of the bulls. I would expect a drop to the $91800 area for several reasons:
1. Bear dominance. This can be seen in the bullish and bearish volume indicator. Bullish volumes have fallen while strong sales volume growth is noticeable.
2. Elliott Wave Correction
3. BlackRock sold 3,283 BTC before the ByBit hack and has yet to buy more.
4. According to the smart money concept, 92400-91200 is a magnet.
5. Need to liquidate a large number of long positions that gained momentum after leaving the 99k level.
Horban Brothers.
Bitcoin's Unbalanced move with the US electionsThe overall trend is still bullish, but the market needs to rebalance at $86,686 before it can push to new highs. Right now, the price action is not respecting bullish structure and is moving sideways in a consolidation phase.
The market does not move in a straight line. Every strong move needs to be balanced before continuing. The price left behind inefficiencies during the last expansion, and the market seeks to correct these before the next leg up. Liquidity is key. Right now, there is an imbalance that needs to be filled, and resting liquidity below must be taken before the market can resume its upward trend.
Smart money is not buying at current levels. They need better pricing and the market naturally moves to levels where institutional interest is highest. That level is around eighty-six thousand six hundred eighty-six, where a large amount of liquidity is positioned. The market is likely to dip into this level, take out weak-handed buyers, and trap sellers before pushing higher.
A ten percent drop from here would bring the price into that area, where real accumulation can take place. Until then, any short-term rallies are likely to be liquidity grabs rather than true continuation.
Please do not forget that this is a daily chart and we can see more liquidity grabs before reaching the target. This is an idea and nothing in the future is certain. With unexpected news we can see unexpected moves.
COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT28H2025
Will Polygon hit the 1$ ?On the chart you can see the previous
movement how happened
All the points are shown on the chart
I expect a trend on matic that can lead us to see
1$ if we break the of 0.44$
Under 0.44$ the price will swing between 0.28$
to 0.43$ but if we break the resistant of 0.44$
and i do expect it, the target going to be 1$
$BTC.D bearish but the result is disapointing for alts.📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Turning Bearish
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is overbought and starting to turn bearish. Influencers are hyping up an alt season, but don’t fall for the FOMO.
⚠️ Reality Check
✅ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D dropped 2%, but altcoins barely moved.
✅ A small pump happened, but retail investors are not buying in.
✅ Many alt holders are selling to avoid further losses.
💰 Where's the Money Going?
🔻 CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance is decreasing, but funds are flowing into CRYPTOCAP:USDT and stocks, not altcoins.
📊 Technical Outlook
🟢 MACD & RSI indicate some potential in strong altcoins.
🚨 A flash crash in CRYPTOCAP:BTC could wipe out altcoin gains.
🔴 Major resistance at 60% may trigger a bounce, keeping alts suppressed.
📈 If the descending channel breaks upward, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D could hit 64%, leading to a 20%+ crash in altcoins.
🛑 Trading Strategy Recommendation
✔️ Day trade: Buy support, sell resistance, target 5-10% gains 📈
✔️ Avoid leverage: Too risky in this market ⚖️
✔️ Monitor MACD, RSI, and economic news for signals 📰
❌ Holding is NOT recommended in these choppy conditions. Be cautious, take profits, and stay ahead of the game. 🚀
$BTC: warning📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Chart Tells a Different Story Than Social Media
Bitcoin whales seem desperate to lure retail investors into CRYPTOCAP:BTC , but the charts paint a different picture—one that looks more like a warning signal than a buying opportunity.
🚨 Key Observations
🔴 Rejected at GETTEX:98K SIX times – The dream of a pump to $100K+ is fading fast.
🔴 Rejected twice at $97.2K – Further signs of weakness.
🔴 Failed support at $96.7K – Old supports are now turning into resistance.
📊 Technical Breakdown
✅ Daily Chart: Shows bullish momentum, but price action cancels it as sellers take profits.
❌ Weekly Chart: Bearish and confirmed—this trend is playing out now. (Check my weekly bearish trend warning here: 🔗 TradingView Link )
📉 Support Levels to Watch
🔻 $95.7K, $95K, $93.3K, and $92.4K
🔻 CRYPTOCAP:BTC should not drop below $91K without a strong bounce.
🕰️ A Look Back: I Warned About This
📌 December 17, 2024: I called the market top—it seemed crazy then, not so crazy now. 🔗 TradingView Link
📌 November 25, 2024: I warned about this bearish consolidation, and it’s playing out exactly as expected. 🔗 TradingView Link
🔮 Where is the Bottom?
📍 I still believe $85K is the likely bottom of this consolidation. Charts don’t lie—math always plays out in the long run. Of course everything can happen, I am talking about probabilities.
❓ Is This the End of the Bull Market?
🤔 No clear answer. However, ETFs have changed Bitcoin’s cycle. Instead of a classic bear market, I expect:
🔹 1-month pumps 🚀
🔹 Followed by 5-month consolidations 📉 (-30% corrections)
Conclusion: We are chopping sideways, much like we did from June to October 2024. The probability of seeing $85K is high. Be cautious and trade smart. 🧐📊
The bull market will resume around May 2025.
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Bitcoin will break upwards at the end of this ascending triangle, and all of you will be astonished.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ROAD TO 125K !!!Maybe your biggest risk is your biggest chance.
Do you believe that ?
see it
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
REMMEMBER
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Short Term Could Drop Be Careful Here - Possible $100Some bad news came out. Bybit got hacked for a lot of Ethereum. How this happens I dont understand but more than likely an inside job. These run out a basement exchanges are dangerous never leave your crypto on an exchange, NONE OF THEM.
Anyways I dont like the break of this rising wedge or potential bear flag. If this deosnt break back into the wedge and close in it then we could se another drop to about 100 or so if the measured move plays out. Be cautious here.
Not Financial advice.
Next Volatility Period: Around February 24
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Both the upper and lower lines of the Price Cannel indicator have been touched.
The point of interest is in which direction it will diverge after this convergence.
The next volatility period is around February 24 (February 23-25).
-
The key is whether it can receive support near 92792.05-94742.35 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If not, it is expected to re-determine the trend by touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
BTC - The path to $72K (or lower)I have been tracking the latest top in BTC. ( $109k) It was admittedly a little sloppy and premature. Originally targeting the GETTEX:92K - $101K area for a top, the moves above $100k humbled me. We have been chopping sideways for 3 months now , in what I assume is a large unloading of positions into late buyers. The market keeps looking more and more tiered each week I look at it. This week the US equity markets look to have reached their exhaustion points as well. ( INX and NQ ) So perhaps all are no aligned. Next support lower is $72k for me. But you can see from the chart that there are other lower targets in play. As we near April 14th, we will reassess.
BTC.D - Bitcoin dominance about to fall hard ?Violet bars pattern is move from 4 years ago
as you can see its copying it right in term of time and price action, not exactly in term of price but proportionnal
those blue trendlines converging to the same point indicate btc.d might have made a local top
all of these above indicate that we are picking and alt season will start, with a big acceleration in 2 weeks when we go below 60%
you can expect bounce from there for bitcoin or 94k6 then we should be fine
target for btc dominance is just the fib
58%
55%
49%
45%
39%
as btc.d seems to react less to volatility this year, theres a chance we dont go to the lowest fibs
Cheers
BITCOIN seeking buyers on the 4hour MA100.Bitcoin / BTCUSD made a decisive break out yesterday over both the 4hour MA100 for the first time in 20 days as well as the Falling Resistance.
After topping today, the price pulled back to retest the 4hour MA100, this time as a demand level so that the market gets the confirmation that there are short term buyers there.
1day RSI wise, we made a bullish breakout above the MA similar to January 14th, which was followed with an immense rally to the 109400 High.
Buy and target the bottom of that Resistance Zone at 106500.
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