$BTC Remains Bullish Despite Tariff FearsMarket is panicking over Tariff Wars, but ₿itcoin continues to remain in a bullish uptrend.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC got rejected hard at $104k on the Weekly, and has closed below the 9WMA.
Strong possibility of price trading $94-91k. A range for a few weeks might appear painful, but will give the market time to reset and accumulate all that liquidity for the next leg up.
Price is nowhere close to the 20 or 50WMA, so there’s nothing really to worry about structurally at this point.
The Bull Case is price is closing above the .382 Fib, so we could slingshot up if we get some bullish catalysts next week.
WHEN IN DOUBT, ZOOM OUT.
BTC-M
TOTAL2 / BTC ALTS Should be Close to BottomingWho remembers this chart I posted a month ago on TOTAL2 / BTC ?
This was the one that TradingView shared of mine on 12/31/24
Called the double bottom here. My squiggles are undefeated.
Alts should be close to the end of bleeding.
One last flush I presume (hope) 😂
BTC - 4H Key Support Zone & Potential ReversalBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently at the bottom of a descending channel on the 4H timeframe, aligning with a key support level. Given the broader bullish trend on higher timeframes, this zone could provide a strong foundation for a rebound.
📊 Key Observations:
Descending Channel Support: Price is testing the lower boundary of the channel, historically acting as a reversal point.
Bullish Higher Timeframe Context: Despite the short-term downtrend, the macro trend remains bullish, increasing the probability of an upside reaction.
Potential Targets: If support holds, the first target would be the mid-channel zone (~$100K), followed by a move toward the upper boundary around $104K-$106K.
💡 Trading Plan:
1️⃣ Watch for bullish confirmation signals like a bounce with strong volume or bullish divergences.
2️⃣ If support fails, BTC could dip further before a stronger reaction—stay alert!
3️⃣ Higher timeframe traders may see this as a buy-the-dip opportunity in an overall bullish market.
🚀 The next move could be massive! Follow for real-time updates and expert analysis! 🔔
Bitcoin: Price Bounce Back To 100K Area?Bitcoin has rejected the 105K AREA resistance (wrote about this for two weeks see previous). Risk for longs was very high in that area, if you bought, now you pay. The 100K support was cleared but there is some minor support around the mid to high 96Ks (see arrow). There may be a brief retrace from here back to the low 100Ks over the next day or two. IF the 95K area is cleared, the 90K support can be tested quickly. This is a very high momentum environment, the key to navigating this is paying more attention to the bigger picture and adjusting risk by sizing smaller.
Knowing your environment is key to adjusting effectively. For example, in the recent weeks, price action on smaller time frames has been extreme, moving 500 points in less than a minute. While this may sound great on paper, the problem is getting caught in noise will be very expensive, since the whole point of working on smaller time frames is to utilize larger size. This is where zooming out and getting smaller with the plan of averaging into a position can help to better control risk while minimizing getting caught in noise.
On the daily chart, pay attention to the levels and how price reacts on time frames like the 4 hour (swing trades). Notice the pin bar (arrow) off the 96K area recently. This serves as a point of reference for longs. A reversal candle or strong close on a smaller time frame like 4 hour or 1 hour can prompt you to take a smaller position with a much wider than usual stop (like 2 to 3K points). If Bitcoin fails, and price action stays bearish, you get stopped out but you never add to the position. You lose on small size. IF Bitcoin shows strength off this level instead you can justify an add, and aim for at least 2 to 3K profit objective (100K to 102K area).
The point is you are adjusting your risk to the environment. If there is any skill to this game, it is knowing how to adjust your style, size, risk as the environment changes.
The market gives the clues and that is the best source to acknowledge them from. Bitcoin has been in a consolidation since mid December with the 108K AREA being the high and the 90K AREA being the low. While the general trend is bullish, there are going to be numerous swing trade opportunities within the range, especially at the extremes. In ranging environments BOTH support and resistance levels can hold UNTIL the range eventually breaks. You are better off adjusting to the price action around the major and minor levels within this range rather than trying to forecast the breakout to 200K.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin Bull Market: End of the Run or Power Accumulation?Bitcoin Bull Market: Over or Just a Strategic Pause?
Trend Overview:
- The market is currently following a primary ascending channel, suggesting an overall bullish trend with periodic retracements.
- The price has recently experienced a bullish breakout, followed by a brief consolidation within a bearish channel.
Resistance & Support:
- The chart highlights key resistance levels: $109,356 (ATH Jan 2025) and $103,757 (recent resistance).
- Support is noted around $79,579, with additional support at $71,400 and the demand zone near $49,736.
Key Price Action:
- A bearish area confirmation is marked, suggesting the price could drop sharply if the daily candle closes below $92,800. The anticipated drop could target the next support levels at $79K and $71K.
- The range between $64,938 and $49,736 indicates a previous consolidation period, which could act as support if the price moves lower.
Outlook:
- If the price holds above the support levels (particularly the $92,800 level), it could potentially continue moving toward the resistance zone. However, if the market breaks below the support lines, further downside to the $71,400 and $64,938 levels is likely.
- If the weekly candle closes above $104,570, it would signal a strong bullish trend, potentially leading Bitcoin toward the $127,000 level. This breakout above the resistance could indicate further upside momentum, pushing the price to test higher targets and possibly reaching a new all-time high.
Election Rally Price BalanceThis is simple, Trumps Election win caused a massive rally with no retrace back to November 6th. We have to balance out that price action before we break the ceiling of $4,000. I also believe we had a massive gain on Crypto New Comers and this is the way they will get wiped out. Call it a Bear Trap, Shakeout, Liquidator. We will eventually climb back up.
Crypto Crash: Is Forex and Gold Next?!The current market crash in crypto is likely due to a combination of factors, including:
1. Regulatory Pressure – Governments and financial regulators worldwide are tightening control over digital assets, leading to uncertainty and panic selling.
2. Macroeconomic Conditions – Rising interest rates, inflation concerns, and a stronger U.S. dollar often lead investors to pull out of risky assets like crypto.
3. Institutional Sell-Offs – Large holders (whales) and institutional investors may be liquidating positions, further driving prices down.
4. Market Sentiment & Liquidations – Fear-driven selling and cascading liquidations in leveraged positions exacerbate price drops.
Should We Worry About Forex and Gold?
Forex markets and gold are affected by macroeconomic conditions, but not always in the same way as crypto.
• Forex (XAU/USD & USD pairs): A strong dollar usually puts pressure on XAU/USD, but gold also benefits from risk aversion. If crypto weakness is tied to broader economic fears, gold might see increased demand as a safe haven.
• USD Strength: If the crypto crash is part of a broader risk-off sentiment, the U.S. dollar could strengthen, impacting major forex pairs.
Final Thoughts
Crypto’s crash doesn’t necessarily mean forex or gold will follow suit. However, if this is part of a bigger shift in risk appetite, we might see volatility across all markets. Watch economic data, Fed decisions, and global risk sentiment closely.
BTC-USD 4h chartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price has dropped below the growth trend line, currently it moves in the local cloak of the inheritance tendu in which we are approaching the lower border of the channel.
However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 99935 $
T2 = 101788 $
Т3 = 104663 $.
T4 = 106743 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 96795 $
SL2 = 93353 $
SL3 = 89041 $
BTC inexperience getting rolled - 2 ways use stairs to TPBottom's In
don't get rolled down the stairs learning to walk. Many people high on bull market gains want to imagine that anything under 100k is a deal in todays market. It may or may not be but commiting yourself to a position without confluence and TA or a news event is a great way to lose your footing and take a fall.
Wait for a bounce on the higher timeframes since we have been trending downwards for over a week and havnt been able to set any new market structure. Smart money bearish FVG Gaps were rejected and price is headed down on the weekly.
We are looking at a LONG at around 85 to 83 off the the 1D 200 EMA, It will need to stand as support with confirmation from indicators and Volume. It will bounce and retest quickly smart money is already in place to accumulate in this area.
PREVIOUS IDEA
$BTC 1DBitcoin has formed a double top on the daily timeframe and failed to break above its resistance level. On the other hand, it couldn't hold its minor support either and has broken the level. I'm waiting for a pullback.
However, the price might show some reactions around the 92 level. If that level is lost, I have identified the next support level based on the weekly structure.
BTC BOTTOM 81500 ? Liquidity Hunting
BTC has been in a recent downward trend leaving traders dazed after our recent bonanza in price movement on the king crypto, alts have also made gains however we are seeing some winners emerge out of the pack.
BTC will always dominate market cycle and this continues to drive market price direction in all digital assets leaving bitcoin as our compass if you are trading. Investment is and can be unbound by btc on larger market cycles for long term hodl'rs
There is Liquidity in them there hills someone shouted as everone made there way to the PC for the Digital GoldRush, AI algos, Bots, Copy Trades, Big institutional cash injections and ETF's , it is a new day but liquidity will always be where the smart money trys to move the market on your dime.
We have overhead FVG from a 4hour, a large one that if we bounce off soft resistance at ~101,500 we may see smart money Sell into that area and if we do it seems to reason the whales are after all those unfilled orders in the 80k zone. Will we see BTC swing towards 90k - 81500? If we get movement into the bearish FVG above and cannot make new high market structure and a trend reversal we will ride this down trend into the 80's
Happy Trading
XRP/USD technical analysis from 30.01.25 (Buy HOLD!)Glad to welcome everyone, dear friends!
At the request of subscribers technical analysis of the pair pair Xrp/Usd.
With the arrival of D. Trump, a new branch of development of the cryptocurrency market has begun. Xrp also did not stay aside, and many investors look at this project positively, setting high hopes. For example, the US SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) may eventually finalize the XRP-SEC case that has been holding back the cryptocurrency for years. Another major accomplishment for Ripple was using transmitters licensed in Texas and New York to expand its presence in the US. Also, in early 2024, Ripple acquired Standard Custody and along with the purchase they received a license to store assets in New York, so they can offer cryptocurrency storage to banks in New York as well as RLUSD.
Due to this positive news, and in conjunction with my analysis on Btc/Usd and Eth/Usd pair, I expect a breakdown of the diagonal line and the main resistance zone indicated on the chart and growth to the main target of ~$3.63 as part of wave 5 (sub-wave 3). Stop for the local minimum of ~$2.6. Happy trading everyone and don't forget about risk management!
Some more of my ideas:
BNB/USD on 01/28/25
ARB/USD from 28.01.25
LDO/USD from 01/19/25
BITCOIN - Price can touch resistance level again and then fallHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago, price declined inside falling channel to $92100 level, after which it turned around and started to grow.
In a short time, price exited from channel and broke $99500 level, but when it started to trades in a wedge, it dropped back.
Price some time traded near $92100 level and then in a short time rose to $106500 level, breaking $99500 level again.
Then BTC exited from wedge and started to trades inside flat, but firstly it rose to $109K points and then fell back.
Inside flat, price corrected to $99500 level and then in a short time rose to $106500, after which started to fall.
I think BCT can touch resistance level one more time and then fall to $99500 level.
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USDCHF Support Bounce and Bullish OutlookUSD/CHF is currently trading at 0.91100, showing a strong support level. The expected target price is 0.94000, indicating a potential upside of 300+ pips. The price is bouncing well from a key support level, suggesting a bullish reversal. The support and resistance pattern is playing a crucial role in this setup. Traders anticipate that buyers will push the price higher toward the target. A sustained move above resistance may confirm further bullish momentum. Risk management is essential to handle potential reversals. Market conditions and news events should be monitored. A breakout above resistance can strengthen the bullish trend. Patience and discipline are key to executing this trade successfully.
BITCOIN (15m)The price will rise to the trend line and then drop towards the support. This analysis is in the 15-minute time frame.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN → The price is getting ready to drop to 100K - 97KBINANCE:BTCUSD is facing strong resistance. The price is being pushed away from the 105-107K zone as much as possible, forming a defense conglomerate. But, this resistance cannot overshadow the global bullish situation yet
A controversial situation is forming on H1-H4: a descending channel and a symmetrical triangle. And everything depends on what part of the market sees which figure. The primary reaction to the triangle support may be accompanied by a rebound, but based on the situation with the resistance, we can assume that the rebound from the triangle will not be deep and the price will try to go down.
If we look at the descending channel, the price is held back from falling by the support at 101.600.
Yes, technically, it is the support of 101.600 that plays the main role now. The main question is whether this level will hold the price or not.
Fundamentally, the situation is debatable, as the situation mainly depends on America, on how Trump and officials will use rhetoric regarding cryptocurrencies. It could be a bubble, a scam to win an election, or empty talk. Or it could be an actual strategy
Resistance levels: 103.4K, 105.8K
Support levels: 101.6K, 99.6K
Emphasis on 101.6. In the short term, I expect a breakdown and price consolidation below the level followed by a drop to 100-97K
BUT! Since there is a symmetrical triangle on the chart, a false breakdown of 101.6 may lead to a small upward bounce before a further fall to 100K
Regards R. Linda!
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BTCUSD at Major Resistance – Will Sellers Take Control?COINBASE:BTCUSD reached a significant resistance zone. This zone has consistently acted as a key area of interest where sellers regained control, leading to prior reversals.
If the price confirms a rejection through bearish price action, such as wicks signaling rejection or bearish engulfing candles, I anticipate a move downward toward the $101,155 level.
However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above the resistance zone, this would invalidate the bearish outlook and could open the door for further upside. Traders should monitor price action closely at this critical resistance area.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see an alternative perspective!