Postpone shorts for awhileMorning folks,
So, the pullback that we've discussed last time is done and even slightly more extended, in a way of AB=CD .
By our previous plan, somewhere around we should start thinking about the short entry. So, is it time? We think it is not quite yet. And the reason stands with the pattern that now is forming on weekly chart - bullish grabber. This pattern suggests the challenge of the top again in any way.
Does it mean that the bearish scenario, especially our DRPO "Sell" pattern has totally failed. Not quite. The test of the top might be fast, just in a way of spike. In this case bearish setup will stand. But this will be later. For now - we consider no shorts, at least on daily/weekly charts.
On intraday charts, since we have "222" Sell, right, scalp traders could consider shorts for a few hours with very close target - around 103K. But this is not our primary scenario so far.
So, to be absolutely sure with this, let's wait for weekly close price to understand do we really get the grabber on weekly TF or not...
BTC-M
✅BTC's situation+next targets and expected movements.Hello.
As you can see, Bitcoin failed to break the Ascending triangle in its last attempt, and now it is making a fourth downward wave based on Elliott , and than we have to wait for Bitcoin's rise.
👀To motivate me ,Like ❤️ & Share 🌐 this post with your friends ! Thanks for your support ♥️
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin Looks Shortable, But I’m Staying Out—Here’s WhyBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is presenting a textbook short setup. The composition on the 4-hour timeframe looks nearly perfect for a short trade, and for the day, one could craft a compelling shortable strategy. However, despite my analysis, I am making the rare decision not to enter this trade.
The short setup: a perfect storm?
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin is flashing bearish signals. Momentum indicators are showing weakness, volume profiles suggest exhaustion, and key resistance levels seem to be holding. In a vacuum, this setup looks ideal for a profitable short position.
But trading isn’t just about technical analysis—it’s about understanding the broader market psychology and risk dynamics.
The risk of shorting bitcoin right now
The reason I’m sitting this one out is simple: betting against Bitcoin is like betting against the entire world.
1. The Supply Squeeze Effect – The long-term macro trend for BTC is that supply is constantly decreasing. With halvings reducing new issuance and institutions accumulating, the fundamental picture favors long-term scarcity.
2. Everyone Wants a Dip to Buy – Shorting BTC means betting that people won’t step in to buy the dip. However, history has shown time and time again that Bitcoin has a dedicated base of believers who aggressively accumulate whenever there’s weakness.
3. “No Bitcoin Left” Narrative – The idea that eventually there will be no more BTC available for easy purchase is gaining traction. In such an environment, shorting is not just risky—it’s dangerous.
Sometimes, the best trade is no trade
It’s frustrating to see a clear short setup and yet hold back from executing. But trading is not just about being right—it’s about managing risk. And in this case, the risk of being on the wrong side of Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory outweighs the short-term setup.
There’s an old saying: “The best trades are sometimes the ones you never make.” Today, this is one of those moments.
For now, I’ll watch from the sidelines. But if Bitcoin proves me wrong and drops anyway, I won’t have any regrets—I’ll just be reminded that in trading, discipline is more valuable than being right.
Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103.100.42
1st Support: 100,108.50
1st Resistance: 107,850.01
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Where Ethereum Stands and The Best Time to BuyEthereum has essentially ranged the last year with large swings up and down. Major support rests at $2770 and upper resistance at $4700 with a current target of at least $13.6k.
While Ethereum has been ranging it's been falling against Bitcoin and like every bull cycle since 2017, Ethereum will be the last to catch up. But that time to buy is now and we can see major volumes have been hitting the Ethereum maket as eth/btc is in the buy zone below 0.031 with a target of 0.09. If bitcoin holds it's current support and runs to $174k in the coming months that puts Ethreum around $15.6k which is very close to my eth/usd target of $13.6k.
Aave market has 88% of all Ethereum on the platform (1.64M eth or $5.1 Billion) loaned out and sold short. There seem to be online wars of people fighting over why eth isn't on par with bitcoin. Ethereum futures has ATH open interest yet lending rates are near zero. These are all major signs of the end of the eth/btc bear market. We should see eth outperform btc this year. There's not much eth left to be sold short. I've never seen such reckless shorting of a crypto currency, but it's all fuel of the run up.
BTC 1D Interval Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the BTC price moved in the local downtrend channel, from which we got an exit at the top and currently we can see how the price is fighting to maintain the position above the previous channel, and as a result, it has created a new local uptrend line for us.
Here we can see how the current rebound brought the movement closer to the resistance at $ 105,300, and then a strong resistance zone is visible from $ 107,700 to around $ 110,000. Only when we leave this zone at the top will the price be able to continue towards the very strong resistance level at $ 113,400.
Looking the other way, we can see that when the trend reverses, we first have a support zone from $102,000 to $99,900, but if this zone is broken, we can see a quick return of the price to the area of the second very strong support zone from $94,470 to $90,450.
On the MACD indicator, we can observe a fight to maintain the local upward trend, while lower on the RSI indicator, we can see that the increase in price has given a dynamic movement on the indicator, but we still have room for the price to go to a higher level.
Technical analysis of Btc/Usd pair. Should I PANIC?)A warm welcome to everyone!
A bit of fundamental:
The reason for the markets falling is attributed to the fact that Deepseek, a Chinese company of 200 people and a $6 million budget, created DeepSeek AI without having access to the latest Nvidia chips due to US sanctions.
Today DeepSeek AI overtook ChatGPT in the Chinese AppStore and can now compete with OpenAI, which caused bearish sentiment for the US stock market and Nvidia stock, and the market pulled down. Funny how this happened when most of us were asleep, isn't it?))
My thoughts:
“Gathered liquidity higher, now all that's left is to gather liquidity below ~$100k$”. My words from three days ago. A continuation of the locally bearish momentum all the way down to 95-97k$ is quite possible.
There is strong support there and the upper triangle line, which was previously the strongest resistance. And as we know, the stronger the pattern, the more involved the play will be at this point. I suppose you realize that my current notes are intended for the local trend only. In the medium term, within the framework of the final diagonal triangle, as I wrote earlier, I expect the upward movement to continue.
What I think trading is...
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Thank you @TradingBrokersView for the great article.
🚨 Bitcoin update! 🚨 BTC rejected at MA50 (4h) inside a Channel Down pattern. If history repeats, we could see a Lower Low at 95K (-10.7%), aligning with MA100 (1d) support. RSI (4h) is confirming bearish momentum.
🔥 Trading Plan: Sell now before further downside!
I was thinking about how to say it, and I came up with this idea.
Thank you again.
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#BTCUSDT 1M
As shown in the chart, it has risen a lot, so it is natural to feel downward pressure.
No one knows how big this downward pressure will be.
However, what I can tell you is the flow of funds.
To see a more detailed flow, you need to look at the gap occurrence status on the 1D chart, but when looking at the overall flow of funds, it is true that a lot of funds are flowing into the coin market.
Selling all of this inflow of funds means that you will not be able to overcome the volatility in the upcoming bull market and will rather increase the probability of suffering losses.
The reason is that the average purchase price is likely to be set too high and is likely to be located in the volatility range.
Therefore, you need to respond according to your investment style.
In other words, if your investment style is one that wants to trade quickly and urgently, a strategy that sells whenever it shows signs of falling would be appropriate to gain profits.
If not, if you have a longer-term outlook or trade mainly in spot transactions, I think it would be better to leave coins (tokens) corresponding to profits rather than selling all of them so that you can more easily purchase them in the future bull market.
Leaving a coin (token) corresponding to the profit means a coin (token) with a purchase principal of 0.
In other words, it means that when the price rises after purchase, the purchase principal is sold.
In that sense, when looking at the BTCUSDT 1M chart, you can see that the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.618 (89050.0) is a very important support and resistance area.
#BTCUSDT 1D
This volatility period is expected to continue until January 31.
Therefore, it is expected that the key will be whether there is support near 101947.24 after this volatility period.
If it falls without support near 101947.24, it is expected that the trend will be determined again by touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If you have been reading my ideas, you will understand that you should not try to create a trading strategy by analyzing charts.
As I mentioned earlier, you should create a trading strategy that suits your investment style with the information obtained from chart analysis.
That is why the opinion that it will fall now and sell everything can be interpreted differently by different people, so you need to be careful.
Some people are currently making profits and others are losing money.
Those who are making profits will have the luxury of waiting even if the price falls, and those who are losing money may be suffering from psychological pressure.
The information I am giving you is to provide information on how to respond to all of these people.
In that sense, you need to focus on the price that I am talking about, that is, the support and resistance points or sections.
If your average purchase price is below the support and resistance points or sections that I am talking about, you can check the downward trend and intensity and judge the situation.
If not, you need to create a response strategy based on how much cash you currently have.
If your current cash holding is less than 20% of your total investment and you feel unstable psychologically, it is a good idea to sell some of it to secure cash.
This will allow you to secure the ability to purchase more even if the price falls, so you will be able to secure a certain level of psychological stability even if the price falls.
I think trading is about responding to your investment style and psychological state in this way.
Therefore, you should calmly look at your current psychological state, check your cash holdings, and create a response strategy that suits your investment style.
This is the strategy I can tell you.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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$130K HERE WE COME! #BTCRight now I'm seeing so much fear across social media regarding BTC price that I cannot help but post that we are basically in wave 2 correction of a larger wave 5, and the wave 2 has probably ended or is about to end at any moment, so just sit back and relax and keep HODLing on cuz the wave 3 target is $130K minimum!
Notcoin analysis: the best support area...hello friends
According to the correction of the price, the price is now in an important support range, which by taking into account the stabilization and not breaking of this support, the price can move up to the specified goals, of course, with capital management...
*Trade safely with us*
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Breakout or Pullback?Hello, Traders!
After reaching new highs, Bitcoin is consolidating within the 92k-106k range.
BTC found strong support within the 89k-92k area and strong resistance at 104k-106k.
Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Bullish Scenario:
For Bitcoin to continue its uptrend, it must break above 106k and hold there with a confirmed daily close. Only then could we see a push toward new highs, possibly targeting 110k+ in the short term.
However, so far, BTC has failed to close a daily candle above 106k, with just upper wicks forming—indicating that sellers are taking profits at this level.
📌 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to break 106k and faces rejection, we could see another retest of the 89k-92k support area.
A breakdown below 89k would shift market sentiment and could trigger a larger correction, possibly toward the 84k-86k zone.
📌 Monthly Close & Market Sentiment:
For BTC to close the monthly candle in green, it must hold above 93k.
Currently, this looks achievable, but volatility remains high, and any major shift in market sentiment could change the outlook.
What’s Next?
If BTC closes January in green, this would reinforce bullish momentum heading into February, increasing the likelihood of a continued uptrend.
However, failure to reclaim key levels could lead to more choppy price action in the near term.
🚀 Eyes on 106k—a breakout above could set the stage for new all-time highs!
🔻 Watch 92k support—losing it could mean deeper correction.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop from resistance level to $98K pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and started to trades close. A few moments later, BTC rebounded to 100K points, after which made a correction back to the 93500 support level and even fell to the support zone. After this, the price turned around and started to grow to a resistance level. When BTC reached this level, it rebounded, dropped back to the support zone, and even lowered to 91K points. Then the price tried to grow, but failed and declined to the trend line. But soon, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, broke this level, and continued to move up. Bitcoin reached a new ATH and then made a correction back to the resistance area, where it some time traded and a not long time ago reached the trend line, broke it, and dropped below the 102700 level, breaking it too. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will reach a resistance level and then rebound down. For this case, I set my goal at 98K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Shiba is gonna...BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
I see a descending channel for SHIBA!
I guess It's gonna decrease for now! cause no break out is gonna happen for now.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
BTC_daily-view (where are we with fib view)This view is nothing to show specifically
just as FYI, where re we in terms of fib levels on the daily, and a few things i have spotted
to me this is an indication of "nothingness", so we need a driver
a driver like $ interest rate new approach, so we know, where is the money flowing, to the $ or Gold, thus then giving BTC the way (hopefully)
it is also near or pass the BTC bull "period", will the 351 day traditional bull period mark the end of BTC's upswing , or are the new players holding us firmly anchored.
LETS see
I see a bullish movement coming!BINANCE:VTHOUSDT
VTHOUSDT is crafting a rounded bottom which is of course a bullish pattern!
we can expect the price to reach the following prices in the coming days!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
BITCOIN rejected on the MA50 (4h). 95k possible.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Down pattern which has just formed a Lower High on the MA50 (4h).
This is a technical rejection, which after holding the MA200 (4h) previously, now should aim for a final Lower Low on the next support level, the MA100 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 95000 (-10.70% decline as the previous bearish sequence of the Channel Down and potential contact with the MA100 (1d)).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is about to cross under its MA trend line again, confirming the bearish move.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Bitcoin’s Next Move: Long Setup or Deeper Correction Below $95K?As I expected , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued to fall to the Support zone($101,280-$99,500) , and it even seems that it has broken .
Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($101,280-$99,500) , a set of support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 3 and is completing the main wave 4 .
I expect Bitcoin to follow the Roadmap I outlined in my chart in the coming hours . Because Bitcoin is near the set of support parameters , I chose the label of this idea as LONG .
Note: Like the previous Mondays, the purchase MicroStrategy company continues buying Bitcoin=>"MicroStrategy Buys 10,107 Bitcoin For $1.1 Billion."
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $104,200, it will fill the CME Gap($105,500-$104,695) in the next step, and it is possible to form a new All-Time High(ATH).
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $95,000, we should expect more corrections from Bitcoin.
Has the main Correction of Bitcoin started!? Please share your ideas in the comments.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
CYCLE 4 | 200 Week SMA ATH Estimation MethodA quick post to capture the current observed relationship with BTC cycles and the 200W SMA.
When the Horizontal Prine Line (Green) from prior Cycle ATH meets with the 200W SMA (Aqua), this has traditionally approximated the next BTC heigh in the following cycle.
Using this approach, we have estimated where this in time could occur for the current cycle.
Will be interesting to see how this tracks in Cycle 4.
BTCUSDT Fresh Short Setup: Targeting Key Support Zones with SMC Description:
This trade setup presents a Bitcoin short opportunity on the 4H timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. After a significant reaction from the supply zone, Bitcoin's price structure aligns with bearish confluences, signaling potential downside. Additionally, external events, such as the recent announcement of China's AI application "DeepSeek," may have amplified market volatility, further supporting the setup.
Trade Setup:
Entry:
Between 103,300 and 104,500
Take-Profit Levels (TP):
101,897
99,825
97,565
95,208
Stop Loss (SL):
Above 105,975
Analysis and Confluences:
Market Structure:
Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H timeframe, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Supply Zone:
The price is entering the 103.3k–104.5k supply zone, a key resistance area where sellers are expected to dominate.
Fibonacci Confluence:
This zone overlaps with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, a high-probability reversal area.
Liquidity Sweeps:
Liquidity above previous highs has been swept, leaving the path clear for potential downside.
Bearish Targets:
The targets align with previous demand zones and liquidity pools at 101,897, 99,825, 97,565, and 95,208.
Trade Plan:
Confirmation: Wait for bearish price action signals or smaller timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) within the supply zone before entering.
Risk Management: Adjust position size to keep risk within acceptable levels. After reaching TP1, move your stop loss to breakeven and secure partial profits.
Final Note: While bearish bias dominates, unexpected macroeconomic events can cause reversals, so use tight risk management.