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11/11/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $81,532.47 Last weeks low: $66,852.48 Midpoint: $74,192.48 BITCOIN ATH! After a Republican victory in the US election. A massive moment in history and the markets have reflected the enormity of the moment. Since the announcement of a new president BTC burst through the $74,000 ATH price has continued to climb all the way to a weekly high of $81,500 a +10% move and +22% move for the week, very strong PA! Investors have clearly taken well to the news as BTC has a net inflow of $1.63B last week from the various ETFs, a staggering sum! Clearly an indication of investor confidence, and to prove that point even more GOLD has taken a tumble at the same time BTC is making new highs, a shift to a more risk-on environment that is further fuelled by the 25bps cut during last weeks FOMC. This week we have some important data news coming with CPI on Tuesday and PPI on Thursday. Traditionally these events can be volatile however I believe this time they will have less of an effect on the market just due to what's happening in the broader macro environment, the rate cut plus a more pro-growth presidency is enough for a more bullish/risk-on bias. This week the main focus is on altcoin analysis of first movers, strong performers and what's lagging. Having a plan for when BTC hits its first FIB EXTENSION @ $83,500 depending on how price reacts to that level, it would be reasonable to expect a pullback in which I would say $77,500 is the level I would like to hold. Good luck everyone!
by ProR35
TON Long Spot Trade (Structure Shift & 21 EMA Reclaim) Market Context: TON has shifted its market structure, reclaiming the 21 EMA as support. This signals a potential upward move, providing a good entry point at current levels. Trade Setup: Entry: Enter a trade around $5.00 Take Profit Targets: First target: $5.92 Second target: $6.84 Third target: $7.83 Stop Loss: Daily close below $4.50 This strategy aims to capitalize on the momentum shift, with tight risk management given the support level reclaim. #TON
Long
by Richtv_official
Bitcoin’s Bullish Path to New Highs / Targeting $100K📈 The overall trend for BTC on the weekly timeframe is strongly bullish, with the asset approaching a potential new all-time high (ATH ). 👉🏼 Bitcoin is currently showing upward momentum and appears to be targeting the $93,000 level, which acts as a short-term dynamic resistance. ❌ Key Resistance and Pullback Zone: The resistance around $93,000 could trigger a temporary pullback. In the event of a reaction at this level, BTC might correct towards the support range of $85,000 to $82,000 before resuming its bullish trajectory. ✅ This pullback, if completed, would potentially set up the next bullish leg towards higher targets around $100,000 to $105,000. 🔍 Altcoins Outlook: Given the bullish sentiment in Bitcoin, there’s an expectation of altcoin price increases over the next one to two months. During pullbacks, entering long positions on altcoins may be beneficial as they are likely to follow Bitcoin's bullish momentum. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a buy or sell signal.
by MonoCoinSignal
Phemex Analysis #34: BTC Rise Pass $90k, is $100k Coming Next?Today, Bitcoin has embarked on a remarkable journey, soaring past the $90,000 mark. This audacious climb has ignited speculation about its next destination: the coveted $100,000 milestone. As the digital asset continues its upward trajectory, several scenarios may unfold in the days to come. 1. A Bullish Future: A successful breach of the $100,000 resistance level could unleash a wave of bullish momentum, propelling Bitcoin to even greater heights. Strong buying pressure and positive market sentiment, coupled with favorable macroeconomic conditions and increased institutional adoption, could further solidify Bitcoin's position as a valuable asset. 2. A Temporary Pause: However, it's possible that Bitcoin may encounter resistance at the $100,000 level, leading to a period of consolidation or even a temporary pullback. Profit-taking by investors who have realized significant gains could contribute to a short-term decline. For those looking to accumulate more Bitcoin, support levels like $80,000 or $75,600 could present buying opportunities. 3. A Bearish Turn: In a more bearish scenario, Bitcoin could face strong resistance at the $100,000 level, resulting in a price rejection. Negative news, such as unfavorable regulatory developments or macroeconomic headwinds, could exacerbate the downward pressure. Additionally, a 1D RSI divergence could signal a potential price correction towards the $80,000 or $75,600 support levels. Conclusion: The current market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, with many anticipating Bitcoin to reach $100,000. While this potential exists, it's crucial to approach the market with caution and implement sound risk management strategies. At Phemex, we advise traders to conduct thorough research and prioritize long-term gains over short-term profits. Tips: Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex
ALTCOINS TOTAL3 Altcoins have struggled in the last 5-6 months since BTCs slowdown. Some alts are down 80% from their highs but are now displaying a promising pattern for the bulls. The chart shows the daily support that intersects 3 points that make a head and shoulders pattern. This H&S pattern is an important reversal structure that if gets completed would signify the bottom of the downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend. Since this H&S reversal TOTAL3 has flipped the 1D 200EMA and is now at diagonal resistance. Should this resistance be broken and accepted above as well as the WEEKLY S/R then the next target is DAILY RESISTANCE. This would be great for smaller can alts especially the newer projects that have not experienced a Bullrun yet. In terms of a trade setup. I would place an SL below the local low as this would be a trend break and could signify a further sell-off. Take profits @ DAILY RESISTANCE, $720B & $780B.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by ProR35
1
CYCLE 4 ATH Mapping DETAILED - Price Levels & Time Frame AnalysiAs we now have confirmation of the election result and following our assumption this will lead to seasonal trends of a Santa rally for stocks and bonds as we close out the year, it is now worth mapping this scenario in more detail. This post looks at CYCLE 4 and maps where this cycle All Time High (ATH) may reach and when, base on historic Indicator behavior / Price Action / Measured Moves / Fib Extensions & Historical Past Cycle Lengths. Assuming BTC continues similar cyclic behavior to prior cycles. Please explore the below post interactively (which captures all discussed items) to review measured periods and to understand where items have come from with reference to this post. Historical Cycle Lengths Measuring from the Bottom to the top of each past cycle recorded the approx. number of days * Cycle 1 Bottom to ATH Top = ~ 742 Days * Cycle 2 & 3 Bottom to ATH Top = ~ 1,064 Days (For both Cycles) * Cycle 3 Bottom to 1st (Technical High - TH) Top = ~ 854 Days Plotting these on the chart (see blue dashed horizontal lines) it would be historically possible to see CYCLE 4 ATH land between December 2nd 2024 to March 24th 2025, and historically more likely between March 24th 2025 and October 20th 2024. It is noted the trend that cycles are increasing in length (particularly when measuring from ATH to ATH of previous and current cycles). The suggest time frames currently look reasonable, considering our Cycle Pivot Indictor (CPI), risk indicator, other charts we like to review for ATHs and current projected trend line channels etc. Fib Extensions Following analysis looks at the Fib Extensions from prior cycle top to current cycle bottom to estimate current cycle top. Please review the embedded post above if you are unsure how these have been calculated. * Cycle 2 ATH ($19,666) ~ reached just shy of golden pocket ratio of 2.618 ($20,382) * Cycle 3 TH ($64,895) & ATH ($69,000) ~ reached just above of golden pocket ratio of 1.618 - 1.65 ($61,327 - $65,047 respectively). If BTC hits the 1.618 golden pocket ratio extension again in Cycle 4, this would result in an ATH of $157,362. Measured moves suggest reaching these levels are possible, however they are considered the more bullish view of market possibilities at this point in time. It is noted the entire sequence drop in fib ratios from Cycle 2 to Cycle 3. While repeating this again would not make sense for this cycle, if we continue to half the difference for Cycle 4 we fall in the region of the 1.272 ($95,835) and 1.414 ($117,467) fib ratio regions. My current take on this analysis would be if BTC does exceed the 100K region, 117K may be a good target to look towards (just shy of the nice round number of 120K people could be targeting). If BTC struggles to make 100K then 95K might be the point where BTC has trouble.... Indictors * RSI - based on above, RSI on the weekly has just approached back into our uptrend region and heading into the overbought zone which it can stay for some time during the bull run period of the cycle. I would be looking to make sure BTC does not put in lower highs in the RSI as bearish divergences in this region in the past has formed in the making of Prior Cycles ATHs. Currently the RSI looks to have consolidated enough over the March - October 2024 period to make a decent run at finishing off the bull period in Cycle 4 (it has done what we wanted from an investor point of view). * Modified Osilator Wave Trend - similar analysis to the RSI is observed with historic behavior in this indicator. Note historically this indicator can run in the overbought region for some time during bull runs and establishing ATHs * MA OSCILLATOR Risk Profile Indicator - This indicator is at the right historically to suggest we are in the start of the exponential period of the bull run (after a pullback consolidation post the halving period). ATHs in cycles have been reached during 'Red Zone' price extension periods of my custom indicator. Hope the above makes sense. I intent to follow this up with some simpler analysis of other indicators.
by Brodie
Entered the important Fibonacci ratio point 2.618 - 1.618 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) It has risen by more than 10% for the first time in a long time. It has touched the target range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0). Accordingly, it is expected to determine the trend again. If there is an additional sharp rise, it is possible to touch the area around 3.618 (98841.11). The next volatility period is around November 16 (November 15-17). - (1h chart) The creation of the BW(100) line means that a high point has been formed. Therefore, when the BW(100) line is created, it will mostly show a downward trend. However, since we do not know how much it will fall, we need to check the movement at the support and resistance points. In addition, when a real decline begins, it ignores all support and resistance points and falls, so in fact, the support and resistance points do not have much meaning. However, it can be used as a location to proceed with a split sell. - We have several indicators that can respond to the decline. BW(100), HA-High, StErr Line, MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1M, 1W, 1D charts), and 5EMA on 1D charts are included. The first to appear among these are BW(100) and StErr Line. The next to appear are HA-High and MS-Signal. Therefore, when it falls below a certain indicator, you can choose whether to sell in installments or buy more. - Since BTC has risen by more than 10%, it is highly likely that it will move sideways in the current section. At this time, the point to watch is whether the HA-High indicator rises and is created. When the HA-High indicator is created, it will be easier to respond because it creates a box section. However, since there is a process of shaking up and down to form a box section, caution is required at this time. This is because it is not possible to know whether a box section is formed or a decline is in progress. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Analysis: Buzzing with OpportunityBy The Cryptohoney Trader Kingdom Hello, fellow traders and crypto enthusiasts! Just like bees finding the sweetest nectar, I've been diligently monitoring Bitcoin's price movements and have identified some critical areas and targets that could guide our trading strategy in the upcoming weeks. This idea is a gift from me to our community, and it represents our collective vision of thriving in the crypto market. Dangerous Price Area: 46,195.00 to 48,222.00 Think of this zone as a hive under threat. Historically, significant volatility and potential sell-offs have occurred here. Keep a close eye on this area for potential reversals or continuation patterns that could either sting us or offer a sweet opportunity. Retracement Price Area: 53,000.00 to 59,000.00 A strong retracement to this zone could be like finding a rich patch of flowers. Look for signs of consolidation or a bullish reversal to enter long positions. This area could provide an excellent buying opportunity, much like bees gathering honey from abundant blooms. Key Breakout Requirement: For Bitcoin to confirm a robust bullish trend, it needs to close above 69,789.00 for at least 2 consecutive days. This will indicate strong buying pressure, similar to a bee colony thriving with energy, and likely continuation towards higher targets. Cycle End Target: 86,410.94 Based on my analysis, the ultimate target for the current cycle is 86,410.94. This target aligns with historical price patterns and key Fibonacci levels, representing the pinnacle of our honey-gathering efforts. Stay vigilant and adjust your strategies according to market conditions. Let's keep our hive buzzing with success. Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by The_CryptoHoney_Trader
The point of interest is whether it can rise to around 98.9K Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) I think there is a shake to touch the target point of 3.618 (98841.11). This shake seems likely to change into a trend as it passes through the next volatility period, around November 16-19 (maximum November 15-20). - If it rises to around 3.618 (98841.1), it is expected that there will be a movement to determine the trend again. - If it falls below 2.618 (87814.27), 1st: StErr Line 2nd: M-Signal on 1D chart (approximately 79.9K-80.9K) It is expected to fall to the 1st and 2nd above. Based on the current price position, if it falls below 75571.99, it seems likely to turn into a downtrend. The 75571.99 point is the BW(50) point. ------------------------------------------ When the StochRSI indicator approaches or touches the 100 point, it is necessary to pay attention to how close the StochRSI EMA indicator is to the StochRSI indicator. The reason is that the StochRSI EMA has never touched the 100 point yet. This means that the StochRSI indicator will eventually fall below the StochRSI EMA. In other words, it also means that the decline has begun. You cannot tell how much the fluctuations will occur with the StochRSI indicator alone. However, you can tell the start and end of the trend. - In that sense, there is a high possibility that volatility will occur when the StErr Line is touched. Therefore, if the StochRSI < StochRSI EMA falls below the StErr Line and the StErr Line turns downward, you can see that the downward trend is likely in progress. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto