BTCUSDTBTCUSDT is still in an uptrend. There may be a correction at this time. If the price cannot break through the 107279 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
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BTC-M
Bitcoin Rejection at Resistance: Potential Drop to 94,825This BTC/USD 1-hour chart highlights a key resistance zone around 96,400, where price has tested and failed to break through. A rejection from this level suggests potential downside movement. If the price confirms rejection at resistance, a bearish move toward the target zone near 94,825 is likely. The overall setup indicates a possible short opportunity if resistance holds.
Resistance : Around 96,400 – 96,600
Target: 94,825
BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle?
Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well.
Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment.
As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases.
As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard.
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin(BTC): Sellers Are Dominating / Final Drop Incoming!Finally, we got our breakdown where, after touching 200EMA on the 4-hour timeframe, we had a 10% drop ever since.
This breakdown is not just a liquidity grab, as we can see but a full-scale movement where now our next target is $85K (which is the 200EMA on the 1D timeframe).
Swallow Team
USDT.D UpdateByBit Hack & Tariffs
People blame the news, but the charts always tell the story. I didn’t expect us to break above that macro trendline again, but I was wrong. Many predicted this move—kudos to them (mentioned everyone on X)
I’m still long (bullish) but have both scenarios marked in case there’s weakness in the next relief bounce.
Look at the previous chart for more...
BITCOIN Drops Below Major Support - Is $93,000 the Next Target?COINBASE:BTCUSD has decisively broken below a key support level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The recent price action shows a rejection at this broken support, now acting as resistance, indicating that sellers are regaining control. This rejection reinforces the bearish outlook, as failed attempts to reclaim the level suggest continued downside pressure.
If bearish momentum persists, BTC could extend its decline toward the $93,000 support zone, a key level where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a sustained move back above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish setup, signaling a potential shift in momentum. In this scenario, buyers could regain strength, possibly driving the price higher and negating the bearish bias.
Traders should remain cautious and monitor price action around these key levels to confirm directional bias before committing to a position. Risk management remains essential, given the volatility of BTC/USD.
shortI've been cautioning about a possible downturn ever since the market hit 100k last December. The market has been in a coiling phase, trapping many traders in the process. There's a strong chance Bitcoin might close below 90k today. From here, we could either see a sharp drop to around 75k, or a brief pullback to the 93-94k range before ultimately dropping to 74k.
BTC WILL got to 145k+ arround 24 march imo in 2021 we had a 30% drop to support levels as long as we stay above 81k bullmark is still intact
i see btc going to 145k+ end march, this is a big shakeout imo, bottom i dont know can be 89k can be 81k im bullisch mid term dont get shaking out,
things chance if we go below 80k then i think we are in a bearmarkt
btc schould hit 100k arround 3 march after the fake sol fud unlock pump event after imo
Be careful with BTC !!!The price drops to around 93K dollars and then pumps to 97K dollars.
Give me some energy !!
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❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC roadmap in Hourly TimeFrames (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This structure is not yet complete, and Bitcoin hasn't trapped enough liquidity. Therefore, we can expect it to reach the green zone before moving upward. We still need to wait for this chart to develop. The red zone is a potential area for price rejection to the downside.
Given the time correction that has occurred, we have updated the green zone.
Let's see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
CYCLE 4 | LOG Trend Lines Chart - For Fun!Quick post looking at how BTC has historically respected 'log trend lines and how they may affect BTC future price action.
Will be fun to see how this model holds up over cycle 4 and future BTC cycles (view on a computer and use the future price action tools to see what happened past todays post date).
Bitcoin Overextended? Key Levels & 15-Min Chart Setup Revealed!📈 Bitcoin seems overextended right now. 🔑 In my opinion, it's testing key support levels. I'm watching for a retrace into the midpoint of the previous price swing for a potential short opportunity. 🎥 In the video, I break down key insights on the trend, market structure, and price action, and show exactly what I'm looking for on the 15-minute chart for an entry. 🚨 Not financial advice! 📉
Bitcoin BTC Breaking Structure? Key Levels & Trade Setup!👀 👉 In this video, we analyze Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent price action. The four-hour chart shows a bearish break of structure, and my short-term bias remains bearish. I'm waiting for a short entry, aiming for previous lows highlighted in the video. This is not financial advice.
Looking at the BTC/USDT weekly chart,The current price of Bitcoin is around $92,214, which represents a recent decline of around 4.2%. This indicates some selling pressure in the market.
The chart displays a classic cup and handle pattern, which is generally bullish. A consolidation (handle) followed by a rounded bottom (cup) suggests the possibility of a breakout if the price crosses resistance.
There is a significant horizontal resistance near $96,500. A successful breakout above this level could signal a new upward trend.
The price is currently above key support, but a move below $90,000 could be significant. If it stays above this level, it could signal continued bullish sentiment.
The general trend appears upward since early 2023, supporting the bullish outlook until key resistance levels are broken.
Consider monitoring volume and other technical indicators to confirm trend strength, especially during potential breakout attempts.
If you have specific questions or need insight on particular aspects of the charts, let me know!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin's Balancing Act: Consolidation, Theft, and Market ForcesBitcoin continues to consolidate in the 90k - 106k area! Recently there was an act of theft from the ByBit cold wallet, resulting in over $1.5 billion worth of ETH being stolen. This is definitely a negative backdrop, we have seen good support from other exchanges and crypto project funders. Theoretically, it would be possible to roll the chain back as Arthur Hayes suggested, but it doesn't seem to be possible, although it would definitely play in favor of the bulls. I would expect a drop to the $91800 area for several reasons:
1. Bear dominance. This can be seen in the bullish and bearish volume indicator. Bullish volumes have fallen while strong sales volume growth is noticeable.
2. Elliott Wave Correction
3. BlackRock sold 3,283 BTC before the ByBit hack and has yet to buy more.
4. According to the smart money concept, 92400-91200 is a magnet.
5. Need to liquidate a large number of long positions that gained momentum after leaving the 99k level.
Horban Brothers.
URUSDT: Oversold or Breaking Down? Decision Time!The Market at a Crossroads: Can URUSDT Hold the Line?
URUSDT is teetering at a critical juncture, trading at $0.002823, just a fraction above its all-time low of $0.002749, set only hours ago. With a staggering -96.54% decline from its absolute high of $0.08169, the market is flashing warning signals— but does this mean a final breakdown or an imminent reversal?
Momentum indicators paint a grim picture. RSI(14) at 21.2 suggests extreme oversold conditions, yet buyers remain hesitant. The MFI(60) at 31.06 indicates weak buying pressure, with no signs of immediate capital influx. Moreover, URUSDT remains well below its MA50 of $0.003751, showing no strength for a breakout just yet.
Adding to the uncertainty, recent pattern sequences show increased sell volumes dominating the order flow, particularly in the last 24 hours. The last notable VSA Buy Pattern failed to spark a lasting move, signaling hesitation among bulls.
So, what’s next? Will the market finally capitulate, or is this a once-in-a-lifetime entry point before a strong rebound? The next 24 hours are crucial— traders must watch if URUSDT can reclaim key resistance levels near $0.003357 - $0.003543, or risk another leg down.
This is the moment of truth. Are you ready for what comes next? 🚀📉
Roadmap: The Battle Between Bulls and Bears in URUSDT
Tracking recent price action in URUSDT, we've seen a high-stakes tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, with key volume spikes defining the trend. Let’s break down the roadmap based on confirmed pattern movements, filtering out the noise and focusing on the setups that played out as expected.
February 21, 19:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (Bullish Confirmation!)
The first big signal came with a VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st, suggesting a potential trend reversal after prolonged selling pressure. The pattern didn’t have a defined trigger point, but the immediate price movement confirmed bullish strength. URUSDT opened at $0.003991, closed slightly lower at $0.003949, but quickly climbed in the next bars, reaching $0.0041, aligning with the expected upward move.
February 21, 21:00 UTC – Increased Sell Volumes (Bearish Reversal Hits Hard!)
Just as bulls started to gain momentum, the market hit a wall with a Sell Volumes pattern. The price reacted aggressively, opening at $0.004068, closing at $0.003968, and testing a low of $0.003848. This confirmed the pattern’s bearish call, as the next bars saw URUSDT struggle to recover.
February 21, 22:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern 4 (A Fakeout or the Real Deal?)
The market attempted a bullish comeback with VSA Buy Pattern 4, a classic setup for large-range upward moves. Opening at $0.003968, the pattern suggested that price should hold above its low $0.003848 before pushing higher. The subsequent candle action validated the buy direction, with URUSDT climbing past $0.004004, hitting resistance at $0.004046.
February 22, 10:00 UTC – VSA Sell Pattern 2 (Bears Take Control Again!)
After the brief bull rally, sellers took back control. The VSA Sell Pattern 2 projected downward movement if price failed to hold above $0.004352. True to the script, URUSDT dropped from $0.004266 to $0.004215, signaling further downside pressure. This was a key validation of the bearish play.
February 22, 15:00 UTC – Buy Volumes Max (Short-Lived Bullish Breakout)
An influx of buy orders momentarily turned the tables, with a Buy Volumes Max pattern emerging. Opening at $0.004228, URUSDT soared to $0.004415. However, the failure to sustain above the high of $0.004432 indicated that bulls lacked follow-through, making this a temporary bounce rather than a trend shift.
February 22, 18:00 UTC – VSA Sell Pattern 1 (The Breakdown Begins!)
One of the strongest confirmations came with the VSA Sell Pattern 1, signaling a high-probability drop. URUSDT had a brief consolidation before falling from $0.004402 to $0.004316, with lows testing $0.00417. This reinforced the overall bearish momentum that had been building up since the Sell Volumes Max setup.
What’s Next? Key Takeaways
The roadmap reveals a market still favoring the bears, with every bullish attempt getting slammed by increased sell pressure. The next critical level to watch is whether URUSDT can hold above $0.002823, its current price floor. If bulls fail to defend this zone, we could be looking at another downward leg before any significant recovery.
Traders, are you ready for the next move? The market is setting up, and the next few days will tell whether URUSDT finds support or faces another sell-off. Stay sharp! 🚀📉
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Price is king, and levels don’t lie. URUSDT is trading at a make-or-break zone, and traders should have these key levels on their radar. If these supports don’t hold, they’ll flip into resistance—just like we’ve seen before in weak bounces. Let’s break it down:
Support Levels (If These Crack, They Become New Resistance!)
$0.002823 – The last line of defense, sitting right above the fresh absolute low of $0.002749. If this level collapses, the downside can get ugly fast.
$0.003357 – A mid-range pivot where buyers could step in. Lose this level? Expect it to be a tough wall for the bulls to break later.
$0.003543 – Another reaction zone; failure to hold means this turns into a major shorting area.
Resistance Levels (Bulls Need to Smash These to Flip Sentiment)
$0.003543 – First checkpoint for any relief rally; expect a fight here.
$0.004163 – Major level; a breakout could trigger FOMO, but rejection = more downside.
$0.004898 – If price gets here, momentum traders will start paying attention.
$0.006186 – The final boss. A reclaim of this level could mean trend reversal, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves.
Powerful Support Levels (The Ultimate Make-or-Break Zones)
$0.0079 – If price ever recovers here, it’s game-changing. Until then, just a dream.
$0.02335 – Long-term traders have this in sight for macro accumulation, but it’s far out of reach for now.
Powerful Resistance Levels (Untested but Crucial for Long-Term Trend Shifts)
No clear powerful resistance levels—why? Because price hasn’t been able to get off the floor. If any of the above resistance zones break, we’ll start identifying new supply areas up the chain.
Final Take
Right now, support is fragile, and resistance is strong—the worst combo for bulls. If these key levels don’t hold, expect them to become liquidity traps where sellers reload shorts. Stay disciplined, keep an eye on the order flow, and don’t chase fake breakouts. 🚀📉
Trading Strategies with Rays: Ride the Momentum Like a Pro
The VSA Rays mapped on the chart act as dynamic guide rails, shaping price movement with Fibonacci-based angles. These aren't static lines—rays adapt to new market conditions, forming high-probability trade zones where price is likely to react. Our job? Identify the reaction and catch the move from ray to ray.
Price will either reject or break through a ray, and once it starts moving, we trade from one key level to the next. Here’s how to play it smart:
Optimistic Scenario (Breakout & Momentum Play)
If URUSDT reclaims lost ground, key levels will start flipping bullish, allowing for trend continuation trades:
Entry at $0.003357 (First major resistance, potential ray interaction)
Target 1: $0.003543 (Next ray level, a solid take-profit zone)
Target 2: $0.004163 (If momentum sustains, a strong Fibonacci extension area)
Target 3: $0.004898 (Key resistance to watch, high R:R potential)
🔥 Confirmation: Look for a reaction at the 50-day MA ($0.003751). A breakout above confirms bullish bias.
Pessimistic Scenario (Fade the Rally & Short the Breakdown)
If the market fails to hold key support and gets rejected from resistance rays, we trade the downside:
Entry at $0.003357 (Short after a failed breakout)
Target 1: $0.002823 (The last meaningful support before collapse)
Target 2: $0.002749 (New absolute low, potential liquidity flush)
Target 3: $0.002500 (If sell pressure continues, extended short)
🔥 Confirmation: Watch for rejection off the 233-day MA ($0.004677)—if price gets slapped here, bears are in control.
Trade Opportunities Based on Ray Interactions
Ray to Ray Swing Trade: Enter after price interacts with a ray and confirms direction. Target the next ray in sequence.
Break & Retest Play: If price clears a major resistance ray, wait for the retest to enter long. If it fails to hold, fade the move.
Momentum Scalps: If price bounces hard off a support ray, grab quick profits at the next short-term resistance.
Liquidity Hunt Strategy: If price sweeps below $0.002749 and reclaims quickly, it’s a classic stop-run reversal—jump in long.
Final Take
URUSDT is a game of levels, and VSA rays are the navigation system. The strategy is simple—trade level to level, wait for confirmation, and ride momentum like a sniper, not a gambler. 🚀🔥
Alright, now it’s your turn—what’s your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts, questions, or alternative scenarios in the comments, and let’s break it all down together. Trading is all about learning, adapting, and spotting the right moves before they happen.
If this idea resonates with you, hit that Boost and save it to check back later—watch how price respects these levels and moves along the rays. This is the key to refining your entries and understanding where the real trades happen.
My indicator automatically maps out all the VSA Rays and levels in real-time, but it’s currently Private. If you’re interested in using it, send me a DM—we’ll figure something out.
Got a different asset you want analyzed? No problem! I can chart anything—some ideas I’ll share publicly, while others can be private if you prefer. If there’s a specific market you need mapped, Boost this post and drop a request in the comments—I’ll check it out when I can.
And of course, if you want more of this kind of deep-dive analysis, follow me here on TradingView—this is where all my setups go live. Let’s trade smart and make it happen. 🚀🔥