107.6-107.8 and 109-110KMorning folks,
So, position taking stage is done, now let's take a look at targets. In general we have a sequence of a few targets, starting from 107.6-107.8, 109-110, 113 and 116K. But in current situation I would watch for only first two.
Daily overbought is around 114, so 116K target seems too far. 113K is possible, but with rather extended downside action last week, it seems as very optimistic. That's why, more or less base case seems around 109-110K, while the easiest target is 107.6-107.8K.
So, once the first target will be reached - think about partial profit booking, if you want to continue trading. Say, take off 30-40% and move stops to the breakeven on the rest.
BTC-M
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin.
Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction.
Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back:
- Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person.
- Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq.
- Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation.
- Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year.
- Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos.
- Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability.
In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets.
Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment.
In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart.
Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are:
$101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K
There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon.
Stay cautious. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
BitcoinEntry Point:
Entry Level: 106,300 USDT
Price is currently slightly below entry (106,254.67), so the trade setup is still valid and could trigger soon.
Stop-Loss (SL):
Stop Level: 104,250 USDT
Defined just below the lower FVG zone, indicating where invalidation would occur.
Take-Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: 109,000 USDT (near minor resistance)
TP2: 113,250 USDT (major target)
The Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) looks favorable — possibly over 3:1, which is strong.
Shift stop to entry after reaching TP1
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 101,082.81
1st Support: 94,030.59
1st Resistance: 110,969.18
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Bitcoin Short-Term, 1H Timeframe, Bullish ($115,482 Next Target)Bitcoin completed its retrace 13-June 01:00 AM with a higher low at $102,663. Price action and trading volume indicates that the bearish move is over. Bitcoin is trading above support in the form of 0.618 Fib. retracement.
Bitcoin is turning bullish moving above EMA34, EMA21, EMA13 and EMA8 all in this current active session.
Immediate support stands between $105,293 and $105,314.
Next support is $104,533 and main support $104,282 matching the 0.618 Fib. retracement level.
Next target easy hit is $106,625, followed by $107,559. The second being a mild resistance.
Bitcoin can easily continue higher short-term aiming next at $108,989 followed by the last high at $110,586. Depending on how this level is handle we can update the short-term view.
The 1H timeframe is bullish now based on price action, candlestick patterns, higher lows, moving averages and the oscillators.
Namaste.
Bitcoin 100K Support Intact, The Bulls Win!Lately we've seen many cries about volume. Where is the volume? There is no volume! Etc. I tend to agree. My excuse in favor of a bullish Bitcoin was to say that low volume as prices moved higher worked as a continuation signal, things change.
We are now looking at BTCUSDT on the Daily timeframe and what I can notice is trading volume being relatively high. The days with high bull (green-buy) volume, are sometimes two to three times higher than the days with bearish (red) volume. This signal seals the deals. The bulls win.
This is a chart drawing that I used in the past. We have the low 7-April low and a higher low 5-June. Very strong bullish action for two months straight; very little retrace, weak bearish action for several weeks, the bulls win again.
The consolidation zone, the accumulation range, is defined here with blue and green, we know the price to be $100,000 and $110,000, Bitcoin trades at the exact middle, above $105,000. Giving the bulls another win.
Yesterday the action produced a higher low compared to 5-June. Even with very bad geopolitical conditions, a surprise war, Bitcoin remains strong. If not even war can break 100K as support, this simply means that Bitcoin isn't going any lower, Bitcoin is going up.
The most revealing part is the fact that Bitcoin didn't even reach 100K. Not in 5-June, not yesterday. 5-June the low was hit at 100,386. Yesterday, the low was 102,656.
There is lots of demand, supply is limited.
People are buying the dip. Whales are buying, institutions are buying; the world wants Bitcoin. Price action says Bitcoin is going up.
We can extract supporting signals from the Altcoins, Ethereum, XRP and Dogecoin are good examples, all the big projects are strong now when we consider the fact they are trading above MA200 daily and weekly, and this confirms a bullish bias with long-term growth.
$150,000 is not the top, Bitcoin is likely to go higher by the end of the next bullish wave. We can consider prices such as $180,000 and $200,000. This is because nobody is selling. Since people are not willing to sell, prices are sure to increase. Many altcoins are now extremely bullish, small and big.
All market conditions are fully aligned, it is only a matter of time.
Patience is key. Prices will rise.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Consolidation: Easy, Walk Away.Bitcoin consolidation in progress. The easiest thing to do in these situations is avoid taking any trades until a new trend is established. Even smaller time frames will be harder to trade unless you are employing mean reversion strategies. At some point the market will choose which way it wants to go but trying to guess in advance is a coin flip. The broader trend is bullish but the 110K and 113K area is a tough resistance. If price struggles to break this area over the next few weeks, then a broader retrace may be more likely.
In this situation it pays to wait for specific levels to take any action at all. What type of action you take will depend on your risk tolerance and time frame. In my opinion, the higher probability scenarios will be a test of the 102K area supports, followed by reversal patterns. Even if they don't follow through to new highs, at least there will be some attempt to maintain the support since Bitcoin is still generally strong.
IF Bitcoin breaks the support (anything is possible) that will confirm the broader corrective scenario which can see price testing 95K at minimum. There is no way to know the certainty of this scenario, it is all about how price action unfolds and confirms.
This time of year is typical of lower volume, lower momentum and less follow through. Often it is better to just sit it out and wait until the season shows clear signs of improvement. Seasonal volume does not typically get back to consistently high momentum levels until November. This does not mean there will be no opportunities at all, it just means if there is going to be a time to purposely be more selective, the next couple of months would be that time.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
$BTC - Weekend LTF OutlookBINANCE:BTCUSDT | 4H
We've got a swing point retest here on the 4-hour timeframe.
Immediate resistance at 106k, but I'm eyeing the internal liquidity — the wicks on both sides.
Most likely it’ll fill the upper wick first (107.3k–107.8k). If we reject there again, we could sweep the lower wick around 103.5k–103k.
BITCOIN - Price can fall a little and start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price entered to rising channel, where at once bounced from support line and rose a little, and then corrected.
Next, price continued to move up and soon reached $100500 level, after which broke it and rose to resistance line.
After this movement, BTC corrected and continued to grow in rising channel and later reached $110500 level.
Bitcoin exited from rising channel, made a fake breakout of resistance level, and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, price tried to grow but failed and fell to support level and then grew back again, after which started to decline.
Now, I expect that BTC can repeat as move before, it falls a little and then grows to $110500 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain strong bullish momentum, with current price action sitting around 3,430. We have been holding a bullish outlook since the key accumulation zone between 3,150 and 3,200. Price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, and recent consolidation has broken out with conviction. Based on technical structure, my immediate upside target is 3,500, where I expect price to react before potentially extending even higher depending on upcoming macro drivers.
Fundamentally, gold is being fueled by a combination of sticky inflation data and a cautious Fed stance. Even though the FOMC held rates steady in June, market expectations are shifting towards policy easing later in the year due to softening labor data and a cooling economic outlook. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank gold buying remain strong tailwinds for the metal. The U.S. dollar index has shown minor weakness post-CPI, offering further support to gold bulls.
Technically, the daily chart shows a clean bullish flag breakout that aligns with the trendline support and impulsive wave structure. Price broke above 3,400 with strong volume and minimal resistance, indicating clear bullish dominance. As long as price holds above the 3,380–3,400 zone, continuation toward 3,500 remains highly probable. There is also confluence from previous structure highs and minor Fibonacci extension levels around that mark.
Overall, I remain confidently long on XAUUSD. I’ve been tracking this bullish cycle since the 3,150–3,200 region and continue to favor upside moves backed by macroeconomic and technical alignment. I’ll be watching key reaction zones near 3,500 for potential profit-taking, while holding swing positions with dynamic risk management in place.
BITCOIN: The $110K Crossroads - Bull vs Bear Battleground! The Setup: "The Healthy Pullback Hypothesis
🔵 BLUE SUPPORT TRENDLINE (Rising from ~$76K)
The Foundation: This ascending support has held multiple tests
Current Status: Price dancing right on this crucial line
Psychology: Bulls' last stand
🔴 RED RESISTANCE CHANNEL (Descending from $112K peak)
The Ceiling: Two parallel resistance lines creating downward pressure
Pattern: Classic bearish channel formation
Volume Profile: Declining volume suggests exhaustion
🟡 YELLOW HORIZONTAL ZONES
Key Level 1: ~$98K (Previous resistance turned support)
Key Level 2: ~$112K (The rejection zone)
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO (65% Probability)
Setup: Breakout above red channel resistance (~$108K)
🚀 Rocket Ship: Explosive move to $120K+
📉 Reality Check: Deeper correction to $95K-98K range
Entry: $97K - 98K (confirmed breakout)
Target 1: $104K
Target 2: $110K
Stop Loss: $95K
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⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always manage risk and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent! ⚠️
Bitcoin Breaks 20-Jan 2025 Peak Price, New ATH Next (+Altcoins)Look at this, Bitcoin closed the day exactly above the 20-Jan 2025 high. This day Bitcoin peaked at $110,265, the all-time high before May; yesterday, 9-June 2025, Bitcoin peaked at $110,577.4 but closed at $110,270, five dollars higher. Is this a bearish or bullish signal? What to expect!
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
This week starts with a bang, a big bang, with Bitcoin doing great. The question immediately arises and I will answer, Will Bitcoin continue growing? Or, will Bitcoin produce a retrace?
I can tell you with 100% certainty that Bitcoin will continue to grow. I can support this statement with data from the charts.
We have hundreds and hundreds of altcoins going bullish, strongly bullish, some coming out of a new all-time low. If Bitcoin was set to crash, these altcoins wouldn't be gaining in bullish momentum, they would be diving deep much lower in order to create new lows. But this isn't what is happening this week, last week and today, no! What we are seeing now is huge growth across the altcoins market and this confirms what Bitcoin will do next.
Needless to say, as Bitcoin trades near its all-time high this is extremely bullish.
If a new all-time high is hit but the action moves lower, say 10-15% lower and remains there, this is bearish and points to lower prices. If the action remains very close to resistance, as it is now, this is ultra-bullish. It is simple do you agree?
Because when there is an incoming drop many people in the know start to sell, so the action never stays at resistance there is always a strong rejection with high bearish volume.
On the other hand, when resistance is challenged and continues to be hit over and over, or the action stays very close, it simply means that people are buying, holding and ready for growth. Bitcoin will continue moving higher mark my words. It is very easy because this has been confirmed long ago.
The bottom was hit 7-April and we are now experiencing long-term growth. As Bitcoin continues to trade near its all-time high, the altcoins will blow up.
When Bitcoin grows 20-30%, some altcoins can grow 100-200%. When Bitcoin grows 50%, some altcoins can grow 300-500%. This is the 2025 bull market.
Thank you for reading.
Give me a boost if you trade and profits from the altcoins market.
Namaste.
P.S. Leave a comment with your favorite altcoins, I will consider the pair for a few full analysis.
$MSTR bear flag forming; Daily $350 targetHello, quick mobile chart posting here. Simple looking bear flagging forming. Bitcoin having some downside action, I imagine Saylor will be buying some Bitcoin soon again as well. This should see $350. Looking for a short. + geopolitical turmoil hits crypto/Bitcoin the hardest and most violent. The 20 and 50 EMA are aligned as well with the Supertrend Downtrend showing $350.
WSL.
BTCUSD: Decoding the Price Action Through "Tape Reading"🚀 BTCUSD: Decoding the Price Action Through "Tape Reading" 🚀
Hey Traders,
Let's dive into a "tape reading" analysis of BTCUSD, breaking down the recent price movements and looking ahead. We've seen some fascinating patterns emerge, and understanding them could be key to our next moves.
🔍 A Look Back: The Bullish Flag Formations 🔍
Our journey begins on April 7th, 2025, with the establishment of a strong "Flag Pole" at $74,489.00. This was supported by a robust double bottom, setting the stage for what was to come.
First "Flag" Confirmation: We saw the first "Flag" form, confirmed by a powerful "Hammer" candle on April 20th, 2025. This Hammer, with its unique "bottom-less Marubozu" body, signaled significant underlying strength.
Second "Flag" Confirmation: Another "Flag" emerged, solidified by strong multi-day bottom support around $94,791.00. This resilience suggested continued upward momentum.
The Breakout: On May 8th, 2025, BTCUSD surged, breaking out of its previous patterns and entering a new "flag pole" formation.
Third "Flag" & All-Time High: May 15th, 2025, brought the third "Flag" formation, again supported by a "Hammer" and a bullish Marubozu. This momentum culminated in a breach of the $105,770.00 multi-month price level on May 20th, 2025, breaking the previous all-time high from December 17th, 2024! We then rocketed to a new all-time high of $112,000.
📉 Recent Developments: The Downtrend and Key Levels 📉
Since the all-time high, we've started to experience a shift:
Downtrend Begins: A downtrend initiated around May 22nd, 2025.
High-Low Formations: We observed a second high-low formation on May 27th, 2025, followed by another on June 9th, 2025.
Double Top & Hanging Man: A clear double top formation emerged, further supported by a "Hanging Man" candle on June 10th, 2025.
🔮 What's Next? The Critical Close 🔮
Today's candle close is absolutely paramount! As of now, the candle is still forming, but my current read suggests a potential move to fill the wick of the June 13th, 2025, "Hammer" candle.
The direction BTCUSD takes – North or South – will largely be dictated by how today's candle closes. This will be our prime dominant signal.
Monthly Candle Perspective:
Interestingly, the Monthly candle is showing similar "Flag" patterns. Check out the chart here for a broader perspective:
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below! Are you seeing the same patterns?
Trade safe!
_________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
BTC - FRACTAL!!!!I found a fractal, the price should rise to the range of 110888, and then there will be a sharp decline, a squeeze will form, with the price supposedly rising and crossing over, but in reality, the price will be pushed down sharply to a range below $90k. I have an idea related to this, I called it the dragon's wings pattern. At one point, I simply realized that the chart repeats what has already happened, and this is exactly what needs to be analyzed. I think the price will go exactly as I have drawn it. All the best and stay disciplined!
BRIEFING Week #24 : is Stagflation Coming next ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold? BTCUSD – Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold?
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
Bitcoin continues to face downside pressure after failing to hold above the key $108K resistance. Several macro factors are influencing sentiment:
📉 US bond yields are rising again, as markets expect the Fed to delay rate cuts. This adds pressure on risk assets like BTC.
🪙 Bitcoin Spot ETF inflows remain positive, but are currently not strong enough to counter short-term selling pressure.
💵 The DXY (US Dollar Index) is recovering, as investors flee to USD amid geopolitical volatility in the Middle East.
📊 Institutional liquidity is thinning across exchanges, adding to intraday volatility.
📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
🔹 Trend Structure:
BTC is now firmly in a short-term downtrend, trading below the descending trendline and all key moving averages (EMA 34, 89, 200).
Rejection from every pullback suggests that sellers are still in control.
🔹 Key Price Zones:
Bearish FVG Resistance: 106,096 – 107,004
First Support Zone: 102,821
Major Support Zone: 101,539 → 100,419
A clean break below 100K could open the door to 98,000 and below
🔹 Momentum:
RSI is neutral, hovering around the mid-40s without strong divergence signals.
Selling volume is increasing but not yet explosive — indicating the market may be awaiting a macro catalyst.
🧠 Market Sentiment
Traders are currently in “wait-and-see” mode, eyeing the next round of macroeconomic data and potential Fed commentary.
Short-term profit-taking is dominant after last week’s sharp rally.
Overall sentiment: Bearish short-term – Neutral mid-term – Bullish long-term
🎯 Trade Setup Ideas
🔻 SELL if price retests FVG and gets rejected
Entry: 106,000 – 107,000
Stop-Loss: 107,500
Targets: 102,821 → 101,539 → 100,419
🔹 BUY if price reacts strongly from 100,419 – 101,500
Entry: 100,500 – 100,800
Stop-Loss: 99,800
Targets: 102,800 → 104,400 → 106,000
Preference is given to selling the rally in the short term. Buying should only be considered on confirmed reversal signals at key support.
✅ Conclusion
BTCUSD is currently in a corrective phase, with bears maintaining control. The key level to watch is the $100,419 support zone, which may determine whether Bitcoin maintains its medium-term bullish structure or breaks further. Discipline and confirmation are crucial in this volatile environment.
📌 Strategy Focus: Look to sell rallies toward resistance; buy only on confirmed bounce from strong support zones.
Solana - Your chance to be a millionaireThere is a 50/50 chance that we have topped...
The wave structure is very indicative of a completed impulse. However, i'm betting that we are just in a complex wave 4 and if this is the case, we should see a wave 5 taking out the high.
The risk to reward is pretty nice and playing spot will pay off.