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Weekly Analyze of the Crypto Investing in September, 2022 Date: Sep 26,2022- Sep 30, 2022 This week, the cryptocurrency market continued its weak and volatile trend, and the trend reciprocated many times. BTC’s weekly line is under pressure from the trending average. If we refer to the trend of the same period in 18 years, such a narrow range must be sorted out before going out of the bigger market. The daily line is near the end of the triangle convergence pattern, fluctuating in the low zone, and maintaining a weak rebound above 18000-18500. Otherwise, there is another drop. The support range is 17500-18000, and the resistance range is 20500-21000. ETH is expected to close a non-trend repair K-line similar to last week with a small entity with upper and lower shadows this week, with a critical range of 1420-1450. The daily line has received dojis one after another, and the horizontal consolidation is within the range of 1250-1350. It is expected to get rid of the weakness after the breakthrough. The support range is 1150-1200, and the pressure range is 1450-1500. Vtrading is a crypto trading platform providing smart coin trading strategies for every trader. If you are using Vtrading smart crypto trading bots, the Grid and Martin strategy are suggested for spot market, and the SMT strategy for futures market. (All for reference only, plz invest rationally)
by VtradingGlobal
LUNA CLASSIC LUNC > CZ BINANCE PRICE MANIPULATION > BURNS MATH!Hello everyone. So this morning CZ from Binance came out in a tweet and said that he would burn all the transaction fees from LUNA spot and margin trading. Now lets look at this for a minute. So first CZ tweeted he would support the burns making everyone think that he was going to implement the 1.2% burn on all the transactional volume on Binance, the price rocketed up. Then he came out and said he would not support the off chain burns and only the on chain burns, then LUNA dumped. Then he came out in an AMA and said he wouldnt be doing the 1.2% burn on the trading volume one more time, because for some reason there was alot of confusion about it, then the price dumped a little more. Then he came out and said the same day he would implement a feature to opt in to the burn tax for any trader who wanted to and then the price pumped a little. Then as LUNA came all the way down to the .618 around .00018 and Binance tweeted again this morning at 5:30 AM EST saying he was going to implement a burn mechanism to burn all the trading fees from LUNA trading and the price went up more than 50 percent in an hour. Shorts got liquidated and now on the drop Longs will be liquidated too. So I did the math for you all so you can see how big of a deal or not a big deal this extra burn of the trading fees is Average volume of Binance for LUNA currently is about 1 Billion daily. The total trading volume across all exchanges is an average of 2 Billion daily for now. This wont always be like this. The hype will eventually die down and the trading volume will diminish dramatically, maybe to at most 1 Billion daily across all exchanges. Now for the math, Im going to even look ahead and assume that all exchanges trading LUNA will follow Binance and Im going to round up the trading fee percentage to .2% although Binance is only .12%, because some exchanges may charge more. 2,000,000,000 x .2% = $4,000,000 $4,000,000 / PRICE OF LUNA = TOKENS BURNED PRICE TOKENS BURNED DAILY BY ALL EXCHANGES .0003 = 13,400,000,000 .0004 = 10,000,000,000 .0005 = 8,000,000,000 .0006 = 6,700,000,000 .0007 = 5,700,000,000 .0008 = 5,000,000,000 .0009 = 4,450,000,000 Lets do this with one less zero .001 = 4,000,000,000 .002 = 2,000,000,000 .003 = 1,340,000,000 Lets do this with 2 less zeros .01 = 400,000,000 Now he said that the first set of burns is from 9/21 to 10/1 thats 10 days BINANCE SPECIFIC BURNING FOR THIS TIME PERIOD .12% FEE ON TRADES AVERAGE 1 BILLION DAILY VOLUME AVERAGE THAT'S 40 BILLION LUNA TOKENS BURNED IN 10 DAYS BY BINANCE SOUNDS LIKE ALOT HUH? ITS NOT! AS THE PRICE OF THE TOKEN GOES UP THE AMOUNT OF BURNS WILL BE MUCH LESS. ALSO THE VOLUME WILL NOT ALWAYS BE 2 BILLION DAILY ACROSS ALL EXCHANGES. THIS VOLUME WILL EVENTUALLY DROP TO MAYBE A BILLION TRADING VOLUME DAILY. AT THE CURRENT PRICE AND WITH JUST BINANCE BURNING THEIR TRADING FEES AND THE ON CHAIN BURN WE WILL BURN ABOUT 6 BILLION TOKENS DAILY. SO TO BURN 90% OF THE SUPPLY WHICH IS 5.4 TRILLION TOKENS AT THE CURRENT RATE OF 6 BILLION TOKENS BURNED DAILY (WHICH WILL DROP DRAMATICALLY ONCE PRICES INCREASE) IT WOULD TAKE 900 DAYS. NOW THAT IS ASSUMING THAT THE BURNS WOULD BURN 6 BILLION A DAY WHICH IS NOT THE CASE, AND THAT WOULD STILL LEAVE 600 BILLION TOKENS WHICH WOULD BE THE ABSOLUTE BEST CASE FOR $1, BUT VERY VERY DOUBTFUL. EVERY TIME THE PRICE DOUBLES THE BURN NUMBERS GET CUT IN HALF. SO AT .0006 LIKE I SHOW ABOVE LUNA WOULD ONLY BE BURNING 3 BILLION A DAY, AT .0012 LUNA WOULD BE BURNING 1.5 BILLION A DAY AND SO ON AND SO FORTH . SO HERE IS THE CONCLUSION. IF EVERY EXCHANGE IMPLEMENTS THE TRANSACTION FEE BURN, AND LUNA CONTINUES TO HAVE 2 BILLION DOLLAR TRADING VOLUME THEN IT WOULD STILL TAKE APPROXIMATELY 3000 DAYS TO BURN 5.4 TRILLION COINS. THAT'S ALMOST 10 YEARS AND REALISTICALLY IT WOULD TAKE MUCH LONGER, AS VOLUME DECREASED AND PRICE INCREASED. ALSO THATS ASSUMING THAT BINANCE WILL KEEP THIS GOING INDEFINITELY WHICH I DOUBT AS WELL. NO ONE WANTS TO THROW AWAY 4 MILLION A DAY IN FEES. HES DOING THIS FOR HIS OWN AGENDA. HES MADE MULTIPLE BILLIONS MORE OFF PUMPING AND GOING LONG AND DUMPING AND SHORTING WITH THIS COIN THAN HE EVER WOULD HAVE MADE SELLING HIS STASH AT THE TOP WHICH WAS WORTH 1.6 BILLION I BELIEVE. HES MAKING 10S OF BILLIONS OF DOLLARS MANIPULATING LUNA WITH HIS TWEETS, TAKING EVEN MORE FROM INVESTORS THAT ALREADY LOST A LOT ON THIS THING. LUCKILY I WAS NOT ONE OF THEM, BUT I FEEL FOR EVERYONE WHO HAS, AND I AM SORRY YOU HAD TO GO THROUGH THAT. DON'T GO THROUGH IT AGAIN THOUGH WITH THIS HYPE TRAIN, PUMP AND DUMP. THIS BURN IS STILL NOT ENOUGH IN THE GRAND SCHEME OF THINGS. ALSO UST IS STILL DE-PEGGED AND NO ONE IS BUILDING ON TOP OF LUNA AT THE MOMENT. THERE IS NO REAL USE CASE FOR THIS OTHER THAN A HYPED UP PUMP AND DUMP. I USED TO THINK LUNA WAS GOING PLACES BUT I REALLY THINK THAT IT WAS JUST A PUMP AND DUMP BY DO KWON IN THE BEGINNING AND NOW CZ OF BINANCE IS PUMPING AND DUMPING IT AS WELL. THOSE TWO SHOULD HAVE A JAIL CELL TOGETHER WITH ONE BED! MY STRATEGY IS TO TRADE THIS UP AND DOWN BECAUSE THERE IS A TON OF LIQUIDITY AND VOLATILITY . I DO NOT USE LEVERAGE WITH VOLATILE TOKENS LIKE THIS EVER! ITS A VERY RISKY STRATEGY SO DO SO WITH CAUTION BECAUSE WILD PRICE SWINGS ARE EXPECTED FOR A WHILE. So for the price action short term. I think the hype will die down again once people realize this burn is just a drop in the bucket. My targets are .00026, and then .000235 before another run up If LUNA can rally up to .00035 with strength then we may see a run to previous highs, perhaps for a double top , I do not think LUNA has started a new bull rally to new all time highs. I don't think this will happen though I'm leaning more towards the bearish case because essentially nothing has changed as far as how long it would take to burn the tokens. This is just a suckers rally and boy are there a lot of suckers out there. Jokers coming out of the woodwork again screaming $1 LUNA with no idea of how to do math. THIS IS NOT TRADING OR FINANCIAL ADVICE THIS IS JUST MY OPINIONS AND SPECULATIONS
Short
by Bitgolder
42
LUNA CLASSIC LUNAC Breaking News For LUNA! BINANCE NO BURNS!There was a live AMA just a few minutes ago with CZ of Binance. He just smashed everyone's hopes of off chain burns, and Luna is now dumping. No trader in their right mind would ever trade Luna with that type of burn. Cant steal from Peter to pay Paul. I told you guys this would happen, and if I was you and I was still holding bags, then I would take profits now before Luna dumps down to .00008 and everything is lost. There will be heavy selling coming soon. Once Luna breaks .0002 then everyone will get scared and dump at the same time. Luna burning at the rate its burning now on chain will take 20 years to burn down to 10 billion. If CZ of Binance is not going to support the off chain burns then no one with any decent volume will either. Hype is over, time to move on to the next hype coin! We broke support and next support is down at .00014 on the 4 hour and then .000085. I hope everyone is able to take some profits before this thing hits the floor. They should have named this coin TERROR LUNA for how much its terrorizing people. I wish you all the best of luck. This is not trading advice, this is just my opinions and speculations. Thank you
Short
by Bitgolder
31
DGB DIGIBYTE About To Run 500% BULLISH DIVERGENCE RSI+MACD $.042Digibyte has corrected more than 90% since its high at 18 cents. I think DGB has hit its bottom and is about to explode. There is 3 drives of Bullish divergence on the RSI and MACD going all the way back to January on the daily. I think $.042 cents will be the shorter term target with potential longer term targets much higher if we break past resistance there. A wick to about 5 cents is easily possible as well. Don't forget DGB is one of the only actually decentralized, longest running, advanced POW coins out there with privacy features, and is 40x faster than bitcoin. Its mining is super efficient and can be mined with 5 different methods, making it possible for more people to mine with their rigs. Digibyte came out in early 2014 and DGB break in has just finished, its time for it to shine. The world will realize how important POW is once they see what happens with ETH POS. Digibyte has done amazing work over the years and even all through this massive multi year bear market it has been in. I would say that DGB is in an accumulation zone now and wont go much lower if at all lower. In a perfect world it would be BTC, LTC, DGB as the main 3, for everything! This is not financial or trading advice this is just my opinions and speculations. IF YOU APPRECIATE MY WORK THEN PLEASE LIKE AND FOLLOW. COMMENT BELOW AND LET ME KNOW WHERE YOU THINK DIGIBYTE IS HEADED IN THE FUTURE. LETS SPECULATE TOGETHER. GOOD LUCK MY FRIENDS BULLISH DIVERGENCE ON THE MACD: BULLISH DIVERGENCE ON RSI: VOLATILITY INCREASING ON BBWP: SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ON THE 4 HOUR:
DLong
by Bitgolder
4
LUNA CLASSIC LUNAC Trading Within Triangle, FOMC=Direction!LUNA Classic has been trading within this Triangle for a while now. The triangle will resolve I believe today or tomorrow. We will see whether LUNA can break the triangle to the upside or not. There is a couple things going on today like the FOMC meeting and LUNA starting its burns. So here is how that is going to work. The Fed raising rates by 75 basis points is priced in. The burns for Luna are also priced in. If the Fed raises by 100 BP then Luna and the entire market is going to tank for a bit, Luna will probably fall to previous support around .00024 and then we will re-visit. If the Fed raises by 50 BP which is lower than expected LUNA will rally along with the rest of the market, and LUNA might make a run to previous resistance around .00039 and then we will re-visit. If the Fed stays the same and people are happy with the burns then Luna will trade kinda sideways for a bit I think ranging within .00024 and .00029. If the burns start and the math is done to show that it may take many years to reach the 90% reduction that everyone wants then Luna will dump pretty hard regardless of the FED meeting. If the burns show that the supply could fall quite quickly and not take that long then LUNA will probably make a decent rally at least to previous resistance at .00039 and then we will re-visit. On the lower time frame I think we will see a run up from current price around .000285 to the top of the triangle around .00031. Volatility is expanding and the MACD is coiling up to break to the upside on the hourly so this move will happen within an hour once the resistance is broken around .0002905. Please note that Symmetrical Triangle patterns once formed break in the direction of the current trend as a continuation pattern. The current trend is down and corrective, so the chances of Luna breaking down is more probable than an upside break. As you can see back on September 1st when we had that nice pump, a symmetrical triangle formed and it broke to the upside because we were in an uptrend. Also the current Symmetrical triangle has a slight upwards angle which could make it a rising wedge , which is also very bearish and most likely a break to the downside. Thank you all for your support, please like and follow if you appreciate my charts and content. This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinions, and speculations. I hope you all have a wonderful day. We Broke above resistance at .00029 at time of writing this so a move to at least .000305 - .00031 is imminent.
by Bitgolder
3
Join continuation of the bearish trend BTC/USDT PerpThe daily, 4-hour, and hourly charts are all in a downward trend. In an effort to join it, i'll look for entry near the top of this channel. I'll wait for the heikin ashi candles to turn red and start rejecting near the top of the channel, in conjunction with the wave trend pointing down and hopefully divergence on the Vumanchu Cipher B indicator. At that point I will enter short with a stop being placed a bit outside the top of the channel.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by Willell1367
4
LUNA CLASSIC LUNC Classic Double Top Forming, Target .000265Luna made its pump I said it would make in the previous chart chowing the W formation. It pumped exactly to where I said it would. It then correct and had another pump but the second pump failed to get above the previous pumps high so now Luna is forming a double top on the 30 minute and 1 hour time frame. indicators are showing weakness still. My short term target is .000265 over the next couple of hours, in which At that time Luna will have created another head and shoulders (i will link another image below showing that head and shoulders potential forming. A measured move from that head and shoulders down will be around .00019 mark and with little support in that area I think a further drop down will follow. One this downside break starts its going to be swift. Luna could lose 50% within an hour or two so you need to be quick. For now though lets hope the .00026 and the .00024 hold and hopefully that head and shoulders will be invalidated. Good luck out there my friends, this is not trading or financial advice. Give me a like and follow me for more updates. Thank you.
Short
by Bitgolder
4
ETH POW ETHW Cup and Handle Formed, Targets $9.5 - $10.5ETHW has been really volatile and bearish because everyone is selling their free ETHW. I think the ones who sold now will regret it in the future but thats just my opinion. A nice cup and handle has formed and a measured move would bring ETHW to around $9.5 and an extended target of $10.5 is possible as well which is also a resistance zone. There isn't very much liquidity right now in this coin so these prices are really volatile. Don't forget people, the new Ethereum POS is a brand new chain, and enyting can happen. I can almost bet that no new capital will be flowing into Ethereum and I don't mean Joe down the street I mean big money. No big investor with half a brain will risk that, its new and needs years for big money to feel comfortable investing in it again. If and when something goes wrong with the new chain you better believe that everything will flock back to ETHW the original chain that WORKED just fine, including the value of Ethereum!. Good luck out there. This is not financial or trading advice this is just my opinion. Thank you
KRAKEN:ETHWUSDLong
by Bitgolder
9
Luna Classic LUNC: WTF With These Damn Head And Shoulders!!Luna appears to have formed another head and shoulders on the hourly. The measured move would bring us down to .000238 minimum and possibly lower. Technical Indicators are all bearish all the way to the 2 day. The inverse head and shoulders that was formed is probably invalidated by now. It may still play out but its not looking good right now. I expect at least a move to .00024, if the selling pressure is high then we may head lower from there. I will reevaluate at that point. Thank you and good luck. This is not trading or financial advice.
Short
by Bitgolder
21
ETHW ETHPOW Pennant Failed, Now In Channel Target Is The SameETHW this is an update to my previous analysis. ETHW broke down and the bull pennant failed. Now in a descending channel, finding support around $10.50. People are selling their free ETHW coins right now so we need to be patient. This is also so new so analysis is hard because of liquidity at the moment. If ETHW breaks down out of this channel then we could see single digits. This is not trading or financial advice, just my opinion. Thank you for checking out my charts, follow me for more updates.
KRAKEN:ETHWUSDLong
by Bitgolder
LUNA CLASSIC LUNAC Inverse Head And Shoulders, Rally Imminent!Hi guys another quick update on Luna Classic. It looks like Luna has formed a nice inverse head and shoulders on the bi-hourly and is about to test the neckline around .000295. A break would initiate a minimum move to at least .000345 but likely to hit .000358 at the next resistance. Then a small correction and back off to the races I believe. The daily is looking really good so this move should be a good one. All is invalidated if we break below .000255 and go back into the falling wedge/bull flag. Then Lunac would likely retest the support of the wedge at around .000221, and then we will re-evaluate. If this wedge breaks to the downside a major correction to around .0009 ish will probably play out, but i am not leaning towards that scenario as the indicators and charts are looking good right now. This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinion, and this asset is extremely high risk and speculative; however the reward is also extremely high. Thank you and good luck everyone.
Long
by Bitgolder
4
ETHW ETHPOW USD : QUICK 2x Coming! This Thing Could Really Run!ETHW , ETHPOW, or Ethereum Proof Of Work, looks like its about to retest the previous high area. This could run pretty quick because there isn't very many coins for sale yet. The indicators are showing that a nice move is about to play out to the upside. Plus you never know this thing could really run. Lets say something happens with the new POS chain, where would everyone run to? They will probably go back to the original ETH where everything worked fine. Either way, this is high risk and just speculation, but the reward could be massive. This is just my opinion and not financial advice, good luck out there evryone.
BITFINEX:ETHWUSDLong
by Bitgolder