Bitcoin Aligns with the 2017 Cycle ModelThere’s growing speculation that the current Bitcoin cycle mirrors the market behavior seen in 2017.
Intrigued by this, I conducted my own analysis. I overlaid the 2014–2017 cycle pattern onto the current chart for comparison.
The results?
A striking resemblance in both the overall shape and the distinct correction and impulse phases.
It seems history may not repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. 📊
BTC
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack Heavy Support Zone!!!Today, January 10 , key U.S. employment data , including Average Hourly Earnings , Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate , were released, influencing global markets, including Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
Stronger-than-expected employment figures suggest a robust economy, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to maintain or increase interest rates. Higher interest rates can strengthen the U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ), making Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies less attractive as alternative investments , possibly exerting downward pressure on their prices.
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Bitcoin started to pump from the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , as I expected . ( Bitcoin allowed us to enter a long position two times .)
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and near the 50_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to complete wave C of Zigzag waves(ABC/5-3-5) . At best, wave C could rise to $99,000 (but unlikely).
I expect Bitcoin to go down based on today's US employment data and the fact that the U.S. DoJ received court approval to sell 69,370 BTCs . Bitcoin will attack the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) again soon, and this attack may be able to break this zone .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $99,000, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️.
⚠️Note: We should expect more dumps if Bitcoin touches $93,500 before reaching the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) again⚠️.
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTC 98 000 USDT again ?The situation at this stage is simple, it is trying to test the bottom, if it fails, we should still wait for a return to 98,000 USDT and then a breakthrough of resistance.
Let's wait for the development of events and the fixation of the trend in the 15-minute chart. In general, it is trying to break through the support zone for the sixth time, which is not very good and normal.
Bearish trend on BTCHello everyone, BINANCE:BTCUSD
In my opinion, Bitcoin has entered a bearish trend. Considering its numerous touches on the support level I’ve drawn in the $91,000 to $92,000 range, there’s a strong possibility that this level may break, leading to lower price levels. Additionally, Bitcoin dominance has increased, indicating capital outflows from altcoins, which could suggest that the market is moving toward lower price levels.
It might be a good idea to close our long positions and gradually start opening short positions, especially in altcoins, after getting confirmation from the market.
What is your idea?
BITCOIN This week forms the bottom before it turns Parabolic.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to repeat the 2014 - 2017 Cycle in great detail. So far besides the Bear Cycle Lower Highs that broke only after the Cycle bottom was priced, BTC has respected the replicated the two Accumulation phases above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is 2016 marked the last long-term buy opportunities before the market went on a Parabolic Rally in 2017.
As you can see, even the 1W RSI suggests that in relative terms we are in a pre-parabolic run pull-back similar to January 2017. There are high probabilities that this week is the one that forms the new bottom that will push the market to a continuous rally towards December 2025.
If the top is priced on the 7.0 Fibonacci extension from the Cycle bottom, as it did on December 2017, then we can expect to see at least $200k.
Buy what is your take on this? Do you think we are that close before a parabolic rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
On the way to 85.5KMorning folks,
So, both our entries worked fine - as on the top of the right arm as on recent pullback to 96k area. Now there are two moments that you have to know.
First is, the risk factor. It comes from weekly bullish grabber pattern , suggesting upside jump above 108K top.
But the problem with it is unclear reasons for this jump. Because fundamental picture for now doesn't support any upside action on BTC. First is, dollar and yields are going higher. Second and what is even more important - the new debt ceil act is not taken yet. We have only temporal act on postponing of this decision. It means that until it will be taken, the US Treasury has to save. And they do - spending cash from their Fed deposit. It means that liquidity for some time will remain narrow, which is bad for BTC and Stock market performance.
Since both our entries are safe already and protected with breakeven stops, we could relax a bit and keep our eyes on 85.5K downside H&S target. If you still would like to go short- you should understand the risk that you take, because your stop now will be above 96K area. And with potential weekly bullish pattern on the back.
Those who have an opposite view on situation and want to buy instead - the weekly pattern is the great one that you could try to use. If price will drop under 91K area, it will mean the failure of this idea.
BITCOIN TRADE PLAN + TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (ASCENDING TRIANGLE)Bitcoin appears to be forming an ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern. The horizontal resistance line is at $95,407, while the ascending support line suggests increasing buying pressure.
A breakout above $95,407 could signal a significant upward move.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at $95,407.
Secondary resistance levels: $108,330 and potentially higher targets as the trend develops.
Support Levels:
Immediate support near $92,000.
Additional support levels: $88,071 and $85,000.
Indicators Analysis:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Neutral-to-bullish signals with minimal negative momentum.
RSI (14): The current value of around 44.2 indicates a neutral zone, with potential for upward movement if it crosses the 50 level.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates neutral activity, suggesting balanced buying and selling pressure.
Stochastic Oscillator: Near oversold levels (15.3), implying that a reversal to the upside might occur soon.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: Consider entering at current levels ($94,000) with a small position, anticipating a breakout.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $95,407, with strong volume as confirmation.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place an initial stop-loss below $92,000 to limit downside risk.
For tighter risk management, consider $93,000 as an alternative stop-loss level.
Take-Profit Targets:
First Target: $100,000 (psychological and round number resistance).
Second Target: $108,330 (next major resistance based on historical levels).
Third Target: Trail-stop strategy to capture potential gains beyond $108,330 if Bitcoin rallies further.
Risk Management:
Allocate no more than 2-3% of your trading capital to this position to manage risk effectively.
Monitor trading volume during the breakout; lack of volume confirmation may indicate a false breakout.
Contingency Plan:
If Bitcoin breaks below $92,000, re-evaluate the bullish thesis and consider a short-term bearish outlook toward $88,071 or $85,000 support levels.
Be cautious of false breakouts, particularly around $95,407.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic events or Bitcoin-specific news that could influence price action.
Bitcoin's ascending triangle pattern and current positioning suggest a bullish breakout is possible. Following this trading plan with disciplined risk management can help capture potential upside while limiting downside risks. Monitor the market closely for breakout confirmation or invalidation.
BTCUSDT: Red Lines Mark the Short-Term Shorting Zones
BTCUSDT: Red Lines Mark the Short-Term Shorting Zones 🚨
As you can see here: I shorted 102.500 level last time. I'm not going to build new position but I want to give some weak points on the chart.
We’re looking at key red lines on the chart—prime zones for short-term shorting opportunities. These aren’t just random lines; they’ve been carefully selected based on market dynamics. Let’s break it down:
Strategic Short Zones: The red lines represent areas where sellers are likely to step in. These are not long-term plays but quick, tactical shorts.
Market Context Matters: Always consider the broader trend. While these zones are ideal for shorts, confirmation from lower timeframes (like 1H or 15M) is essential.
Tools for Precision: I’ll use CDV, volume profile, and liquidation heatmaps to ensure the setup aligns with market sentiment.
Pro Tip: These short-term trades require agility—monitor price action closely and take profits quickly. The market rewards those who plan ahead and execute with precision.
Get ready, trade smart, and let’s make this another winning move. Boost, comment, and follow for more insights! 💥
Let me tell you, this is something special. These insights, these setups—they’re not just good; they’re game-changers. I've spent years refining my approach, and the results speak for themselves. People are always asking, "How do you spot these opportunities?" It’s simple: experience, clarity, and a focus on high-probability moves.
Want to know how I use heatmaps, cumulative volume delta, and volume footprint techniques to find demand zones with precision? I’m happy to share—just send me a message. No cost, no catch. I believe in helping people make smarter decisions.
Here are some of my recent analyses. Each one highlights key opportunities:
🚀 RENDERUSDT: Strategic Support Zones at the Blue Boxes +%45 Reaction
🎯 PUNDIXUSDT: Huge Opportunity | 250% Volume Spike - %60 Reaction Sniper Entry
🌐 CryptoMarkets TOTAL2: Support Zone
🚀 GMTUSDT: %35 FAST REJECTION FROM THE RED BOX
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
This list? It’s just a small piece of what I’ve been working on. There’s so much more. Go check my profile, see the results for yourself. My goal is simple: provide value and help you win. If you’ve got questions, I’ve got answers. Let’s get to work!
NAS100/USTEC - 4hr| Descending TriangleSimple Trading: Descending Triangle
Nas100 has been trailing down for the past week. if the price breaks below 20,700, then the bullish momentum may be loss. Expect Nas100 to continue to bounce from one end of the triangle to the other end. Once the Triangle is broken, we can reveal the exact target area. Keep in mind that the last 4hr candle has closed below the previous candle low. Price could be preparing for a pullback before continuing to make a lower low. This will either be a break and retest with continued bearish pressure or a complete fakeout.
Bitcoin: Can't Rally Because Of Rates?Bitcoin is consolidating within what appears to be a broad head and shoulders pattern. In my previous week's article I wrote about the break of the inside bar highs which had 4K profit potential (see previous article). I mentioned NOT to expect much more from there. Bitcoin has retraced back into the 90K AREA support zone since. Along with that a similar two inside bar pattern is present after a buying attempt which brings me to what I anticipate next.
The two inside bars after a larger bullish candle (see arrow) point to a mini consolidation which if broken can lead to a test of the 100K area (see illustration). Keep in mind, IF the inside bar lows are broken instead, the 90K area can be tested again. Since the broader trend is still bullish, and the 90K support is still intact, I believe there is still a better chance price breaks higher but without any major catalysts behind it, potential is likely limited. It better to take smaller profits in this environment until price can prove there is real buying behind it.
What about the broad head and shoulders pattern? I do not give a lot of weight to such patterns, and would not jump to any conclusions just because one is present. Instead I focus on the key support level which is 90K. This also happens to be the low of the previous monthly BEARISH reversal candle. IF this low is compromised, it is possible to see a test of the 85K area sooner than not. Again this is not something that can be forecast, the market has to confirm one way or the other through price action before we can assess risk.
One other thing worth mentioning is interest rates are nearing highs. While this may not have a major effect on Bitcoin (especially in recent times), it does strengthen the USD and puts pressure on anti inflationary assets like stocks, gold, etc. A breakout here can act as a another factor that can limit Bitcoin potential for the short term. So you can put your party hats away for a while.
In this environment (consolidation), WAIT for support or resistance levels, WAIT for confirmations and look for small bites. Most importantly WAIT for the market to reveal its hand before committing.
Thank for you considering my analysis and perspective.
XRP ANALYSIS 🌸#XRP Analysis : Bullish Trend 🚀🚀
🚀As we can see that #XRP was making higher highs and higher lows. But finally we can see a breakout of flag and pole pattern. It indicates a bullish trend after it retest the inclining trendline. 💲💲
🔖 Current Price: $2.5454
⏳️ Target Price: $2.7055
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the #XRP chart and make some profits. Keep your eyes on chart price action, observe trading volume. Always observe market sentiments and update yourself everyday.🔰🔰
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#XRP #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
#xauusd CPI week price range Gold tapping 2698 on NFP day was the perfection of KRI +Fib technique.
Bull is still in control with the intraday support of 2680 targeting 2.618 extension which is 2755/66 zone.
A break below intraday support 2680, short scalp targeting 2640/45, which is pre-jolts level. Bear will take over if it breaks below 2640/45 targeting 2588/92