Falling wedge on Bitcoin - A bullish signal - End of correction?I can see a falling wedge or flag pattern on the BTC-USD chart. The price hit the support zone around 92K and triggered a bullish price action that might be the end of the correction. I expect a short-term reversal from a bearish to a bullish trend in a neutral medium-term trend as long as the price stays within the wedge or flag. If the price breaks the pattern up, the medium-term trend could change into bullish again. If the trends turn bullish, the price might attempt to break the resistance zone around $105k by March 2025.
BTC
ALTSEASON to $3 Trillion with BITCOIN at $200k??This is not the first time we make the comparison of the current Altcoin (Crypto Total Market Cap excluding top 10) Cycle with the 2014 - 2017 one. But it is the first time that we make this comparison, including Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles.
As you can see, there are striking similarities between the Alt Cycles:
a) Both bottom formations were in the form of a Cup pattern
b) A Pivot trend-line that turned from Resistance to Support
c) The MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting once broken until the next Bear Cycle
d) A Bull Flag after the MA50 break-out found support on the MA50 and 0.382 Fib and started the Altseason (green Channel Up)
e) That Bull Flag started with a MACD Bearish Cross and ended on a Bullish Cross
It appears that we are now on the stage where Alts have the 1st consolidation of the Parabolic Rally. What's remarkable and the key difference between the two Cycles, is that this time BTC has diverged massively and made a new All Time High (ATH), while alts haven't.
Of course this is directly attributed to the Bitcoin ETF, which attracted enormous amounts of capital that pumped the asset beyond the technical restrictions of this model. This may be an indication however, that part of this capital may be diverted to Alts, once partial BTC profit taking takes place, as it has happened during every Altseason.
In any event, if the Cycle continues to replicate the 2017 rally, it should reach the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, which would translate to at least a $3 Trillion Altcoin Market Cap, while Bitcoin would be close to the $200k level! That may seem unrealistic in terms of market cap, but so did the levels during the 2020/21 and 2017 rallies. It all depends on whether Bitcoin can continues to attract outside capital with this pace, which will in turn grow interest on the rest of the crypto market and also on the rate of adoption (companies, consumer use of crypto).
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BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Please note that we are in complex corrections, and trading in these areas requires thorough analysis. We aim to update our analyses step by step. In such conditions, it’s better to analyze the data rather than make predictions.
According to the previous analysis, we expect the price to reach the green zone.
The demand and supply zones in this analysis have been updated.
On the green zone, the price could potentially bounce upwards.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will negate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC rebounds from lows
Judging from the chart, BTC/USDT has shown a clear falling wedge pattern in its recent trend and has touched an important support area (around US$92,500). The price has now rebounded from this support and is gradually moving upwards towards a potential resistance area (around $100,000).
Key Support: $92,500, which has been tested multiple times and has served as a significant support.
Key Resistance: The $100,000 area, located near the 0.5 retracement level ($100,388) and 0.618 ($102,259), are the key levels that the bulls need to overcome in order to rebound.
The price moved from a high of $108,318 to a low of $92,458 with 0.5 and 0.618 acting as strong resistance levels. The current price is hovering around the Fibonacci 0.236 ($96,201) and if the bulls can break above this level, the next targets are $98,516 and $100,388.
From the chart, we can see that the price trend has broken through the wedge boundary after running inside the wedge.
1. The current phase may see sideways movement between $92,500 and $100,000.
2. If the $100,000 resistance level is broken, BTC is expected to start a new round of upward trend, and the target price may point to $102,000 and higher.
Although the specific indicators are not shown, combined with the morphological analysis:
If the breakthrough of the resistance level is accompanied by a large volume, the validity of the rise is confirmed.
A break of the lower support ($92,500) will lead to further declines.
Overall, BTC may fluctuate between $92,500 and $100,000 in the short term. Breaking through $100,000 will open up upside potential, while falling below $92,500 may lead to a further pullback. Investors are advised to pay close attention to the Fibonacci retracement lines and volume changes to confirm the breakthrough signal.
Long order operation suggestion: When BTC pulls back to the support level of 93200-92800 area, participate in long order layout. On the upside, focus on 95400 and 96200.
Suggestions for short position operation: Layout short positions when BTC surges to 96200-95800 area. On the downside, focus on 94200 and 92000.
IS BULLISH TREND ON BTC STARTING AGAIN??Hello everyone..
As i see and that seems to be for me.. in daily timeframe we can see the pull back from STRONG SUPPORT AERA and after that we can find out a EX-PANDED TRIANGLE that moves to the up and it seem LIQUIDITY SUPPLY has been finished.. if TODAY CANDLE could be closed on upper side of SUPPORT LANE, we can expect that BULLISH TREND has beed started and will be touch the edges very soon..
Bitcoin Analysis: A Break in the Uptrend – What’s Next? 25.01.10Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today, we’re analyzing Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent market movements.
Recent Bitcoin Trends
Bitcoin has been facing resistance at the 99380 level (yellow box) since December 20, 2024.
As mentioned in previous briefings, a breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal.
The green box resistance zone aligns with the December 19, 2024 high of 102800, which has now become a critical resistance level.
Following this resistance, one might wonder if Bitcoin's trend has fully reversed.
The Break of the Long-Term Uptrend
Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend, which began on October 10, 2024, broke down yesterday.
This breakdown occurred in the orange box, marking a significant shift in momentum.
Why Is This Concerning?
Daily 60 EMA Resistance:
Bitcoin is now facing resistance at the 60 EMA for the first time in a long while, indicating bearish sentiment.
The last time Bitcoin faced resistance at the 60 EMA was in October 2024 (red box), right before the start of the previous uptrend.
Support Breakdowns:
Bitcoin appears to be breaking through key support levels, one by one.
Key Support Zone:
The green box range (90200–85160) is expected to provide strong support.
However, if Bitcoin breaks below this zone, it would trigger:
A breakdown below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
A full trend reversal, potentially opening the door to the yellow support line, approximately 26% lower than current levels.
What Does Bitcoin Need for a Rebound?
For Bitcoin to rebound, it must break above the orange box resistance at 100700.
Why This Level Matters:
A breakout above this level would signify a trend reversal.
It would also push Bitcoin out of the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, turning the cloud into a support zone rather than resistance.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has broken its long-term uptrend and the moving averages (20 EMA, 60 EMA) have shifted from support to resistance, indicating further downside risk.
Key Support Zone: 90200–85160.
If this zone holds, it could provide a strong foundation for a rebound.
If it breaks, Bitcoin will likely enter a prolonged bearish phase.
Currently, the trend is leaning bearish, and traders should keep a close watch on these critical levels to anticipate the next major move. 🚀
BTCUSD Is Too Overbought?HI today you can see the BTCUSD chart, and the higher time frame charts have shown some potential overbought levels. Is it too risky to buy and hold now? There are some important old levels that have shown some support in recent years. Be careful of the market now with BTCUSD, thanks. Is it possible that the banks can short more now? For now I am following the EURUSD more closer, thank you. Please support us by following me thanks!
#btcusd
#eurusd
#btc
#usd
#eur
BITCOIN BTC Machine Learning Approximation Strategy applied GOLDHey everyone. Here's a new trade idea potentially for Gold. I created a a new trading strategy script for Bitcoin, and I tuned the parameters for Gold. The original script is called the "BITCOIN BTC Machine Learning Approximation Strategy by NHBPROD." It implements a simplified Machine learning technique and then produces and output that can be used to buy and sell. The script is only for long trading. I'll attach a link: ( ) to the original strategy script. This is the strategy script, but I also have the indicator script which can be used to automate buy and sell signals directly to your phone, email, or your bot.
Anyway, applying the idea to Gold, and tuning the parameters gives me a pretty good backtest, AND it shows that Gold has just entered a buy zone on the daily chart.
On average according to the performance, the average trade profit is roughly 2%, so this could be a great time to buy Gold and expect a 2% gain.
BTC preparing for run to 150k technical tp on higher timeframeTechnical analysis indicating "measured move" buy setup on higher timeframes
I expect price to advance from current 88-93k buy zone (consolidation structure on 4 hr tf) back to new highs above 109k, which was previously noted as tp1 (with anticipated near term consolidation in low 90k range). It's possible we have one more retest of 88-93k levels after reaching 108-110k level on next buy wave, but as previously noted, it primarily remains a buy opportunity.
Once a move above 120k is achieved, price will be strongly in the hands of buyers (with diminishing supply) and head towards 150-155k level fairly steadily & easily to achieve technical "measured move" target.
There remains possibility that we get one final retracement from 150k but my own cycles analysis indicates that would be the final big discount opportunity IF it were to occur at all.
Price advancement above 100k is a SIGNAL that mass adoption is taking place globally and will lead to much higher highs. Any price dips below 100k remain discounts for institutional ownership
BTC - 4H Consolidation LikelyThe current low market volume is typical during the Christmas and New Year holiday period, as institutional players and many retail traders reduce activity. This reduction in liquidity often leads to lower volatility and smaller price movements. In this scenario, BINANCE:BTCUSDT appears to be consolidating within a well-defined range, as highlighted by the resistance zone around $99,000 and the support zone near $92,000.
With minimal external market drivers expected until trading activity picks up after the holidays, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is likely to remain range-bound. This sideways movement aligns with historical behavior during low-volume periods, where breakouts or significant trends are less frequent. Traders should consider this low-volatility environment when planning short-term strategies.
BTC - 1H PulllbackBitcoin has formed a bearish descending channel following a sharp bearish spike, indicating continued downward momentum. Currently, the price is showing signs of recovery and may rise towards the channel base around the $97,000 resistance zone.
This resistance zone, marked by previous rejections and high selling pressure, is a critical area to monitor. It offers a potential opportunity to enter short positions if rejection signs are observed, with expectations of further declines from that zone.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation of price action at the resistance before entering positions. Both bullish retracements and potential rejections at resistance offer opportunities for strategic trades. 🚀
Bitcoin, Best zone to look to buy. BINANCE:BTCUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, The price is rejecting the Previous all-time high. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a second leg down that will complete an AB CD complex pullback into the support zone shown in the chart for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
A new all-time high.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Possible downtrend for $MSTRWe observe that NASDAQ:MSTR is breaking out of a zone that could determine the downtrend. This is also visible in the Dynamic RSI, which shows a continuous decline. Additionally, the current news for BTC is not favorable, suggesting that BTC could gradually decrease. This might mark the beginning of an Altcoin season. Since NASDAQ:MSTR holds a significant amount of BTC, this has a substantial impact on its stock price, potentially causing it to fall into the resistance zone.
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to move up next. Price rose to 108300 points (New ATH) and then started to decline in a triangle. In a short time, BTC fell to the 101800 level, broke it again, and then made a retest, after which continued to move down. Later, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then bounced up, but soon turned around and declined back to the 93400 level. Then BTC turned around and rose to the resistance line of the triangle and then started to fall to the buyer zone. After it reached this area, the price some time traded inside and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the triangle and continuing to grow in the pennant. In a pennant pattern, Bitcoin rose to the seller zone, after which it turned around and dropped to support line of this pattern. Recently it rebounded and now I expect that BTC can fall a little more, even exit from pennant, and then turn around and start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 99000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC Not Looking GoodTeam,
We have a blood diamond on the BTC 2 Day Chart. Typically when we get these on HTF, we should expect continuation of the downside movement for 4 - 6 bars. Which means next 7-10 days we will be dealing with a potential downward pressure. Be prepared.
If we break the neck line of the potential H&S pattern that is forming, our target on the down side is early 80k. If we mirror the pattern we took to go up to 107k level to the down side as a measured move, as you can see on the chart our measured move take us down to SD 3 level of 76-77k. This will also fill the CME gap.
What am I doing with my leveraged trading? I'm waiting in cash with limit orders for altcoins to take advantage of any significant moves to the down side. I have set up chart set ups similar to this bitcoin chart.
On the BTC macro front, some important news just came out. And these usually lead us to major bottoms.
Exact quoted news:
“According to DB, the US government has been granted permission to liquidate 69,000 Bitcoins (worth $6.5 billion) seized from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today.
Notably, this comes less than two weeks after the new administration took office, which had promised not to sell the Bitcoins.
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) can sell 69,370 bitcoins seized from the Silk Road darknet marketplace, a federal judge ruled Dec. 30.
The DOJ cited bitcoin’s price volatility as a reason for pushing for permission to sell the assets."
DoJ is required to sell any cleared assets to cash, and transfer that cash to treasury once sold.
USMS (US Marshal Service) has certain financial reporting processes that restrict withdrawals from its exchange account near the end of each month.
This is why you usually see DOJ deposits to Coinbase prime earlier in the month.
On top of that, liquidations are supposed to occur within 5 business
days. So they’re supposed to do it quick after forfeiture, and 5 business days after notice to CB, but they’ve taken longer in the past. Point is window is closing quickly if it hasn’t already. That is, if they’re following their own rules.
Where is Bitcoin’s support?Bitcoin has entered a weekly correction and this price correction will continue until we reach oversold levels on the weekly time frame.
My prediction for the end of this weekly correction is between $79,000 and $81,000 .
At this price, we also reach the trend curve that has the power to reverse the price upwards.
This price correction is likely to last another 4-5 weeks.
By reaching this support, if Bitcoin remains in the range, altcoins can grow.
Until then, it is better to avoid emotional trading.
This analysis will be violated if the price goes up and breaks above 106,500.
Don’t forget to boost, comment and follow.
Ali Rezaei
ADA Masterclass: Spotting the Perfect TradeHappy New Year, everyone! I hope 2025 is off to a fantastic start for you, filled with success, joy and of course, profitable trades. ADA has been a shining example of technical precision in recent months, offering reliable and rewarding setups. Let’s explore what the charts are telling us as we move forward into the new year.
Market Overview:
ADA has consistently respected key technical levels. Recently, the market completed a perfect ABC correction to the trend-based Fibonacci extension 1:1 at $0.7655, almost to the dollar. Following this correction, ADA has seen a strong rally, now approaching critical resistance levels, while the $1 support zone emerges as a pivotal area.
Key Observations and Levels:
1.) Resistance Zone – $1.079–$1.1108
ADA is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the broader downtrend from $1.3264 to $0.7624, located at $1.1108.
This level is a significant resistance zone, marking a potential turning point where sellers could step in to take control.
2.) Short Trade Idea:
A short trade setup can be executed at $1.1108, targeting the $1 support zone for a potential 8–9% gain.
Trade Setup Details:
Entry: $1.1108
Stop Loss: Above the 0.666 Fibonacci retracement.
Target: $1
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3:1
Risk: 2.75%
3.) Support Zone at $1:
The $1 level remains a critical support zone due to multiple confluences:
Psychological significance as a round number.
A single print zone between $1.001–$1.003, indicating a key liquidity area.
Alignment with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave (1st January low to 3rd January high).
Anchored VWAP from the recent lows is also sitting at $1, adding further weight to this level as a strong support zone.
Long Trade Idea:
A long trade can be considered if ADA revisits the $1 support zone, but ensure to wait for volume confirmation to validate buying strength before entering.