QM PATTERNhello friends
We have come up with a good and frequent pattern.
This pattern starts with a sharp movement in the direction of the trend, and its return must hit the previous ceiling, and we enter the trade in the determined pullback.
The first target is the previous ceiling and the second target is twice its movement.
*Trade safely with us*
BTC
Missed 101.5K sell? Don't worryMorning folks,
So, our H&S has started perfect. Right from the area that we've discussed last time - Agreement of Fib resistance and our XOP target on 4H chart, where the top of right arm should be formed.
Obviously now we consider no longs by far. H&S target stands around 85.5K - in the middle of wide K-support area of 82-89K.
If you missed entry around 101K, we could get 2nd chance around 96-96.5K, but do not expect too extended pullback. Price is at the slope of the shoulder, naturally this is not the moment for deep upside pullbacks. I would say that deep retracement, back to 100K would be unwelcome sign, suggesting weakness of the bears.
Trade trainingHello guys
This time we came with classic price action training.
As you can see, after a strong upward movement, the price entered suffering and made a ceiling and made a heavy fall, which caused the failure of the previous floor.
Now we can enter into a sell transaction with the first pullback, and our target will be the defined support range.
Now that the price has entered the channel after the spike, we can still enter into a sell transaction with any upward move until we see signs of trend reversal.
*Trade safely with us*
What do you think?Hello guys
We came with the analysis of us500.
There are two scenarios:
1- From here, open a long trade and move to the resistance range, and in case of a further drop, add volume at the second point.
2- Wait until the price reaches the resistance range and open a sale transaction in the two specified ranges.
What do you think?
*Trade safely with us*
BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a consolidation, this could continue until Trump's inauguration. Price is approaching a key support level and a liquidity zone that harbors both crowd fear and huge potential.
On W1, price is trying to consolidate above the global rising line playing the role of support. Buyers can aggressively defend this area because if this area is lost, price could very easily and quickly descend to 72-75K.
Bitcoin has moved into a local correction due to economic data, but the global fundamental picture is quite positive (thanks to Trump and community interest).
Levels in the 91K - 89K - 86K zone are attracting the attention of major players as these are psychologically important and historically strong buying zones, especially against the backdrop of a strong bullish trend.
The current flat and consolidation boundaries may persist as traders and the community wait for Trump's inauguration and his active actions, and the economic data had only a temporary impact.
Resistance levels: SMA, 99.5K, 102.5K
Support levels: 91.7K, 89.3K, 86.7K
A false break of support can provoke quite a violent reaction. After such a strong fall, I expect a rebound rather than a breakdown. I do not exclude a retest of 89-86K before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Volatility Period: January 9-11
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can quickly rise above 97461.86 and maintain the price.
If not, it needs to fall, and it needs to check whether it is supported near the important support and resistance area of 93576.0-94742.35.
If it falls below the BW(0) indicator point of 92792.05, the point to watch is whether the HA-Low indicator is generated.
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This volatility period is expected to be around January 10th (January 9th-11th).
In order to continue the short-term uptrend, the price needs to rise above 97461.86 and maintain it.
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First of all, the fund flow does not seem to be that bad.
This is because USDT stopped its gap downtrend and is moving sideways, and USDC seems to be maintaining its gap uptrend.
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
However, since it fell due to other issues affecting the coin market, unless a bigger issue occurs, the coin market is expected to defend its price.
(XAUUSD 1D chart)
(IBIT 1D chart)
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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"OMG BTC IS DEAD"Are you still sure about that??
Sure BTC, worst-case scenario, may even fall to 74k FVG or 85k Fibonacci-support at short-term and that'll imply BTC pierced with full force its current Ichimoku support, but you're missing the big picture...
BTC ultimate potential for this year as per Elliot-Wave theory and Fibonacci levels is to reach 333k around 4/20... And yes I'm not joking, if we reach that ultimate Elliot-Wave impulse wave then we can talk about a proper correction in the first half-of the year and then the second Primary Elliot-Wave impuse comes...
If I ask if I'm still sure about something: I'd say that Seeing is believing...
DYOR/NFAD
BITCOIN A long term investment target.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Up since the top of the 2017 Cycle.
It was supported by the 1W MA50 in August and that kept alive this Bull Cycle's Channel Up.
The last year of the previous Cycle was 2021 and throught its course, the 1W MA50 was in support.
Even if the 2025 Phase fails to peak at the top of the 8 year Channel Up, it can still complete the phase on the Channel's 0.75 Fib and technically looks like a minimum.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price as a long term investment.
Targets:
1. 250000 (0.75 Fib and smaller Channel Up top).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1w) should be near 90.00 when the Cycle top is priced. Use it as a complementary indicator in order to close the position earlier if 90.00 is reached before the price hits 250000.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Bitcoin’s Deja Vu: A Bullish Flag Unfolds Towards a Historic ATHIn March 202 0, ( COINBASE:BTCUSD ) Bitcoin reached a low on Friday the 13th , forming a bullish flag pattern that initiated a new upward cycle.
A similar formation appeared on August 5, 2024 , indicating the continuation of this bullish trend.
Currently, Bitcoin is at the PR3 price level, establishing a base support around $108,923 .
The next resistance is at QR1, approximately $197,491 . Upon reaching this level, a slight correction to around $145,669 is anticipated before continuing to the final all-time high (ATH) at QR2, set near $281,216 . From this peak, a significant correction to the correction support level (CS2) at $145,669 is expected.
Analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory. H.C. Wainwright forecasts a rise to $225,000 by the end of 2025 , considering historical price patterns and potential favorable regulatory changes under the Trump administration.
Additionally, Standard Chartered projects Bitcoin could reach $150,000 in 2025, aligning with historical trends of major rallies post-U.S. presidential elections and following halving events.
However, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a concern. Predictions suggest potential corrections of 15% to 30% during the bull run before reaching higher price targets.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current market structure and historical patterns indicate a bullish trajectory with potential significant price levels and corrections. Investors should remain vigilant and consider market volatility when making investment decisions.
Be Careful Now!Crypto Trading Fam,
It's time for me to put out a note of caution. I have been bullish but a few days ago while doing my video, I spotted this pattern mid-session, hoping I would be wrong. Looks like I was not. The H&S pattern has now formed. This means we have an 85% probability that we'll drop to our next support of 75k. Yikes!
Now, 15% of the time a H&S pattern can fail. We can only hope this will be the case. But while hoping, prepare your SLs. Could get ugly for those alts!
✌️ Stew
Bitcoin is Ready to Fall Below $90,000!!!Reasons!!!As I expected in the last few posts, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) seems to have started a major correction .
Please be with me.
First, let's take a look at the weekly chart analysis that I shared with you on November 12, 2024 , which almost gave you an All-Time High(ATH) in both time and price .
Let's examine the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour time frame in terms of Classic Technical Analysis . Bitcoin seems to be forming the right shoulder of the Head and Shoulders Pattern . So that in terms of the validity of this pattern , the following two points can be pointed out:
1- During the time when the right shoulder reached $104,000, it was 8 days and 4 hours that the right shoulder was not able to reach $104,000 during this period, and this shows the weakness of buyers or the strength of sellers along the path of the right shoulder.
2- Regular Divergence(RD-) between the right and left shoulders between the price and the volume indicator.
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin, over the past 18 days , seems to be forming an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) corrective pattern, with the main wave C ending at $102,725 . ( I mentioned this in the update of yesterday's post ).
If we look at the chart of USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ), as I said in the update of yesterday's post , we should have waited for the increase of USDT.D% (due to the sensitive position it was in). I expect USDT.D% to attack the upper line of the descending channel soon .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) and the neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern soon, and if it breaks, we should expect Bitcoin to drop to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Support line s and 100_SMA(Daily) and then Bitcoin can fill the CME Gap($80,670-$77,100) .
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC - Slight Distribution After Nearly 10xMorning my fellow traders, and happy new year!
I hope you do not have a hangover right now. But if you do, get a tea going, it usually does the trick for me!
I can't deny the possibilities for another rally to take out the highs, but I'm thinking what the market makers are planning is a simple inverted Adam & Eve pattern that will lead us to new opportunities within the next month or so.
Keep in mind that for sometime now Alts have not been giving, and I believe that after this next Alt season (which I believe we will still get), they will keep giving less and less.
I sold near $100k for probably a couple weeks now. Did not get a perfect $108k sale, which is fine. Now I'll focus on a reentry if this plays out.
Trade thirsty, my friends!
AVAX Long OpportunityMarket Context:
AVAX is retracing in line with the broader market, reaching a key support zone that offers a solid entry point for a long spot trade.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Between $30.50 – $35.00
Take Profit Targets:
$40.00 – $45.00
$52.00 – $55.00
Stop Loss: Just below $28.00
This trade takes advantage of the retracement into support, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for potential upside momentum. 📈
SOL | Waiting on ETH for NEW ATHSolana has barely made a new ATH - basically topping out at nearly the exact same place as the previous ATH made in Nov 2021.
As Ii said in yesterdays update on ETH, there is no way BTC makes such a dramatic new ATH and ETH (and Solana) stay behind.
We can expect SOL and ETH to increase when BTC continues to trade range above 95k. This could be another multi-month playout, although ETH usually peaks rapidly at the end of the cycle, which is noteworthy from yesterday's analysis.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
key performance of sentiment cycle indicatorI couldn’t resist sharing this idea again because the performance of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator continues to impress, as demonstrated by the latest chart. This post follows up on the idea I shared yesterday, showcasing the indicator’s ability to identify price manipulation and avoid market traps.
Let me explain: Around midnight on Wednesday (yesterday at 00:00 hours), the market was in a sideways phase. The indicator briefly signaled a buy, followed by a small sell signal, before going sideways again. Later, it gave a sell signal, and after another sideways period, it returned to sell mode. What’s remarkable is how accurately the indicator identifies these phases, guiding you through periods of low volume and reduced market activity.
• The Red and Green Backgrounds: These represent clear buy and sell signals, helping traders act with confidence.
• No green/red background or Plain chart: This signify sideways markets, where no significant signals are detected, helping traders avoid over-trading or entering low-probability trades. (highlighted in blue line border box)
Notice the two marked blue areas—these are prime examples of how the indicator detects manipulative sideways phases, keeping you out of risky trades. It lets you stay disciplined by waiting for confirmed buy or sell signals, avoiding unnecessary losses.
Additionally:
• Stop-Loss Options: The indicator allows you to set your stop-loss either on the same candle or the previous one, giving you flexibility in trade management.
• Small and Precise Signals: The indicator generates accurate signals with minimal noise, helping you enter trades with confidence and tighter risk management.
This is a perfect demonstration of how this tool not only gives high-probability buy and sell signals but also helps you understand market manipulation and avoid common traps. Whether you’re an experienced trader or a beginner, this indicator offers clarity and structure in your decision-making process.
Give it a try—you’ll see how effective it is in helping you trade smarter and avoid over-trading!
HelenP. I Bitcoin will break trend line and rise to $102500Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then at once made impulse up to the resistance zone. After this movement, BTC turned around and dropped from the resistance zone to 90500 points, after which quickly backed up and then corrected to the support level. Later price started to grow and soon reached the resistance level again and then broke it, after which made a retest and rose to the trend line. After this movement, BTC turned around from the trend line and made an impulse down to the support zone, even a little below, breaking resistance with support levels. Soon, the price rose higher than the support level but later fell back and then finally rose. Next, BTC some time traded near the 94500 support level and later dropped below this level one more time, after which started to grow and rose to the rend line, where at the moment it continues to trades close. In my opinion, BTCUSDT will make the mall correction and then bounce up to the resistance level, breaking the trend line. That's why my goal is the 102500 resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a local downtrend channel where the price bounced from the upper border of the channel and quickly started to recover.
Let's now start by defining a stop-loss in case of further declines in the market and you can see how the price rebounded from the first support at the level:
SL1 = $94285
SL2 = $92209
SL3 = $89,541
SL4 = $85,924
Let's now move on to defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $97131
T2 = $100036
T3 = $103179
T4 = $105491
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see that there is still room to continue the recovery, and such a situation could bring the price to around $89,000.