BTC Expectations after the Dump -> Upside ahead!In this video, I’m analyzing Bitcoin’s recent price action and highlighting a key Fibonacci retracement level. Here’s the main idea:
Repeated 0.618 Fib Retracement: BTC has repeatedly pulled back into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, suggesting a strong support zone and healthy correction.
Anticipated Expansion Move:
Given these consistent bounces off the golden pocket, I’m expecting a bullish expansion move. This could take BTC to higher resistance levels in the short to mid term, if price action continues to hold above this critical zone.
Let’s see if the market follows through on this anticipated upward swing!
BTC
What's next Bitcoin?In my previous posts, i highlighted: CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is in distribution zone and #btcusd has been having bearish retests. The 3rd bearish retest succeeded with yesterday's dump and clear declination may bring #btc price to major support zones. In the chart, i showed the #btcusdt support zones. The ellipsis zone is the ichimoku span and dEMA100 support. A strong support but in case if maker breaks that support, the next one is red box where dEMA200 support and also CME #bitcoin futures GAP is waiting to be filled. If BTC price reclaims the parallel channel, this supports will wait longer and this will be the "temporary" invalidation. Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT: A Potential Bullish Reversal From Key Demand Zonehello guys!
let's analysis btc
Resistance:
$98,450 (immediate resistance, recent structure level).
$102,800 - $104,000 (strong supply zone and Fibonacci confluence).
Support:
$95,000 (demand zone).
$92,000 (last significant swing low).
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC can hold and reverse from the $94,000 - $95,000 demand zone, a bullish move could potentially retest the $98,450 resistance. A break above this level would pave the way for a rally towards the $102,800 supply zone, with an ultimate target near $104,000.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to maintain support within the demand zone could lead to a deeper pullback towards $92,000, which is the next major area of interest for buyers. A break below this level might invalidate the bullish outlook and signal further downside.
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Conclusion:
BTC is in a pivotal phase, and the $94,000 - $95,000 zone will be critical for the next move. Watch for bullish price action signals (such as engulfing candles or bullish divergences) in this area before considering any long positions. A bounce from this level could lead to a new attempt to break the $100,000 psychological barrier. Conversely, a failure to hold support might indicate further weakness.
BITCOIN Cycle Top can be as high as $200kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2025 on high volatility amidst geopolitical and economic news input. 2025 is the last year of this Bull Cycle, according to the Cycles Theory which for more than a decade has been very accurate at predicting Cycle Tops and Bottoms.
** LGC, MMB and Pi Cycle *
On today's analysis we present to you this view in more detail by displaying Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Channel (LGC) with the addition of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) and the Pi Cycle trend-lines. From the MMB we use its extremes, the 3SD above (red trend-line), which is the Mayer Top and the 3SD below (black trend-line), which is the Mayer Bottom. From the Pi Cycle we use a tighter range, its top trend-line (orange) and bottom trend-line (green), which form a zone that typically serves as more of a 'Fair Value' before the Bear Cycle's extreme selling and Bull Cycle's extreme buying (Parabolic Rally).
** Current Cycle in 2025 **
As mentioned, BTC has entered the last year of its current Bull Cycle. Based on this cyclical pattern, the 3 previous Tops have been either on a November or December. As a result, we expect the new Cycle Top to start forming by November 2025. The last one was formed above the Pi Cycle Top (never hit the Mayer Top) and on the 2nd LGC Zone from the top.
This suggests that even if the price barely tests the bottom for the LGC 2nd Zone from the Top, by November 2025 we should be close to $200000. Technically the projected Peak Zone should be within the 180k - 200k range. That may still be below the Pi Cycle Top, so technically we can argue that it is a fair scenario to expect and not an overly optimistic.
Unrealistic or not, this is what 3 separate traditional long-term models suggest.
But what do you think? Is a $180-200k Top a realistic expectation within 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$DOGEUSDT: From Meme to Market Mover?1/ BINANCE:DOGEUSDT : From Meme to Market Mover? 📈
Let's dive into why Dogecoin might be more than just internet fun - exploring its potential and pitfalls. 🐕
2/ Current Market Data 📊
Price: As of now, DOGE sits at $0.3507 USD, with a 24-hour trading volume of $5.35 billion USD.
Market Cap: Around $51.74 billion, placing DOGE at #7.
Whale Activity: Recent X posts indicate significant whale accumulation, hinting at a potential bullish trend, though always with a grain of salt. 🐳
3/ Strengths 💪
Community Power: Dogecoin has one of the most passionate and active communities, driven by memes and celebrity endorsements like from #ElonMusk. This can lead to viral growth. 🌐💬
Liquidity King: With high trading volumes, CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ranks among the top cryptocurrencies, making it easy for investors to trade. 💧
Low Cost Transactions: Dogecoin's low fees make it excellent for tipping or small transactions, fostering a micro-transaction culture. 💸✨
4/ Weaknesses ⚠️
Utility Question: Unlike CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH , DOGE lacks intrinsic value or widespread use cases beyond speculation. It doesn't support smart contracts or have a clear business model. ❓
Wild Price Swings: The price of DOGE can be extremely volatile, often influenced by social media rather than economic fundamentals. This can be both an opportunity and a risk. 🎢
Centralization Concerns: A significant amount of Dogecoin is held by a few large wallets, potentially allowing these "whales" to manipulate market movements.
5/ Opportunities 🌱
Sentiment Driven: Positive sentiment, especially from influential figures or community events, can propel DOGE's price. It's a coin that thrives on the news cycle. 📣
Adoption Potential: If more businesses start accepting DOGE, its utility could grow, potentially stabilizing its value and usage. 🛒
Regulatory Tailwinds: Clear crypto regulations could encourage more institutional investors to consider DOGE, enhancing its legitimacy. 📜
6/ Threats 🌩️
Regulatory Headwinds: Conversely, stringent regulations could stifle growth, or in the worst case, lead to bans or restrictions. 🚫
Meme Coin Competition: Dogecoin isn't alone in the meme coin space; new entrants might steal the spotlight or dilute the market. 🥊
Market Downturn: In broader economic downturns, speculative investments like Dogecoin could see significant declines. 📉
7/ Investment Strategy 📝
Diversification: Consider DOGE as a small part of a broader crypto portfolio for its speculative appeal.
Short-Term Plays: The volatility can be leveraged for quick trades, but it requires a solid understanding of market sentiment.
Hedge: Think of DOGE as a speculative hedge, not a core holding, given its unique market dynamics.
Remember, while Dogecoin can offer quick gains, it comes with high risk. Always manage your risk. And for the best tools and insights, check out dcalpha.net - where our trading room and resources can help you navigate these waters. 🧭
Poll: What's your stance on DOGE?
Invest for the community and potential 🚀
Too risky, not for me 🚫
Watch and wait for the right moment 👀
Already in, holding for the long haul 🔒
8/ Dogecoin's Philanthropic Side ❤️
Jamaican Bobsled Team: Community efforts funded their Winter Olympics journey in 2014. 🇯🇲🏂
Clean Water: Raised funds for water projects in Kenya via Doge4Water. 💧🌍
NASCAR: Community donations sponsored a car, showing collective power. 🏎️
Education: The Dogecoin Foundation supports blockchain education. 📚🔗
Animal Welfare: Even coffee sales contribute to animal rescue. ☕️🐕
9/ Community Impact 🌐
Charity Platforms: Initiatives like XÐ Charity use social media for micro-donations, making philanthropy fun and accessible. 💬💕
Cultural Influence: Dogecoin has shown how a meme can create real-world impact, from sports to global charity. 🗳️🌟
Good Vibes: It fosters a crypto community that's about more than just making money - it's about spreading joy and helping others. 😊
10/ Final Thoughts 🍀
Dogecoin represents a unique blend of community, speculation, and altruism. While its investment merits are debated, its cultural and charitable footprint is undeniable. Approach with caution, but enjoy the ride - make the most of it. Dogecoin might just take you to the moon. 🌕🚀
Bitcoin: Head & Shoulders Reversal Pattern In The Making Tradingview offers simply the best instruments for charting.
We have special charting tools to highlight famous Head & Shoulders reversal pattern (in yellow).
I spotted this textbook pattern today and would like to share this educational post with you.
It was shaped by three peaks with the highest (Head) in the middle.
The Right Shoulder reached its climax right at the top of the Left Shoulder.
It makes the pattern more symmetric.
There is a Neckline that intersects both valleys of the Head.
Its a reversal pattern and the trigger is located at the Neckline under the Right Shoulder
around $91.7k.
The target is measured subtracting the height of the Head from the trigger point.
It was highlighted in the chart at $75k.
The collapse could be painful.
This might prove the old traders saying "buy rumors (Tramp promises), sell facts (reality)" for Bitcoin.
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The price dropped from the red-marked area in the previous analysis, and this supply zone worked well.
The correction for BTC started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart.
We expect a downward move toward the green-marked area.
If the price reaches the supply zone, we can look for sell/short positions as scalp trades.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate our bearish outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bullish bounce?BTC/USD is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 95,231.13
1st Support: 93,172.83
1st Resistance: 98,951.90
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Opulous ($OPULUSDT): Awaiting Entry for 100% + Upside in MusicFiI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
**Opulous ( KUCOIN:OPULUSDT ): Awaiting Entry for Promising Upside in MusicFi**
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.06486 (Pending Activation)
- Stop-Loss: $0.04369
- **Take-Profit Targets:**
- **TP1:** $0.14686
- **TP2:** $0.24000
**Current Price:** $0.07048
Fundamental Analysis:
Opulous ( KUCOIN:OPULUSDT ) is leading the way in MusicFi by merging decentralized finance (DeFi) with the music industry. Through its platform, artists can mint music as NFTs, allowing fans to directly invest in their music and share in royalty streams. This revolutionary approach is disrupting traditional music rights management and has garnered significant attention from artists and investors alike.
Recent developments, such as new artist partnerships and an increase in platform adoption, underscore Opulous’s potential to drive innovation in the blockchain space.
Tokenomics Overview:
- **Total Supply:** 500 million tokens.
- **Utility:** Facilitates music NFT transactions, staking, and royalty payments.
- **Growth:** Rapid adoption within the MusicFi niche, attracting both artists and investors.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe):
- Support Levels: $0.06500 is a strong support zone near the anticipated entry price, aligning with previous price consolidation levels.
- Resistance Levels: $0.07500 is the first key resistance, with further resistance at TP1 ($0.14686).
- Moving Averages:
- 20-EMA: $0.07000
- 50-EMA: $0.06700
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 57, signaling neutral momentum, providing room for further upside.
Market Sentiment:
Interest in MusicFi continues to grow, with Opulous at the forefront of this trend. The unique proposition of allowing fans to invest in music royalties via NFTs is driving increased market interest. Community engagement remains strong, reflecting confidence in the project’s long-term potential.
Risk Management:
The stop-loss at $0.04369 provides protection against significant downside risk, while the take-profit targets offer excellent upside potential. TP1 represents a **126% return**, and TP2 offers a potential **270% gain**, making this trade highly attractive for mid- to long-term investors.
Key Takeaways:
- Opulous is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the growing MusicFi trend, blending blockchain with real-world applications in the music industry.
- Awaiting a pullback to $0.06486 for an optimal entry point into this promising setup.
- The trade offers a compelling risk-to-reward ratio, ideal for swing traders and long-term holders.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins.
Analogy with traditional markets
Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains.
Depth and structure of the crypto market
The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables.
Liquidity and spread
Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading.
Indexation and synthetic assets
The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets.
Conclusion
Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge.
Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR),
Horban Brothers.
Bitcoin tool the elevator down to print a confirmation?BTC took the elevator down today, but it still has a good chance of printing a higher low. An HL will confirm that the trend direction is pivoting. In the meantime, the Daily timeframe has signs of bearishness that need to be resolved. Daily momentum is still pushing down.
Where is the good shopping area?hello friends
This currency has been able to attract the attention of buyers with its good growth.
Now that it is in the correction phase, it is a good opportunity to buy a step.
We have defined the purchase steps for you and we have also defined its goals.
*Trade safely with us*
BTC is looking like more down, but a great buy opportunity Head and shoulders for BTC was invalidated recently leaving a short term play that looks like some more downside than up, for the very short term in any case. It looks like the green trend line was broken of late. Typically when there's a break, the price action comes back down to buffet on it for a short while before taking off agian. Let's see what happens, it looks like a great buying opportunity though. Cycles in green semi circles also pervail to there being more down than up to go. Follow and share for more.
Expect ETHEREUM to start outperforming BITCOINOn this analysis we compare Bitcoin's last two Cycles to Ethereum's.
The recent underperformance of ETH against BTC has got many worried but in our view, there is no reason for concern.
This 'lagging' is something ETH did on its previous Cycle as well. While Bitcoin already broke to a new ATH in December 2020, Ethereum was still significantly under it.
Once the break out happened, ETH outperformed BTC by double the rise to the Cycle's Top (+789% against +337%).
As Ethereum is once more lagging but it is holding its 1week MA50, we expect to start outperforming Bitcoin again, which is leading with a break out.
In our view the time to move to the 'undervalued' Ethereum is now.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
KMNO Long OpportunityMarket Context:
Following its mid-2024 launch and a 500% rally to ATH, KMNO is undergoing a retracement. The current bounce zone aligns with:
61.80% Fibonacci retracement
200-day EMA
A flipped resistance line now acting as support.
These confluences suggest a potential opportunity for a continuation to the upside.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.11 – $0.098
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $0.20
TP2: $0.35
TP3: $0.40
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.085
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with significant upside potential from this technical support zone. 📈
RUNE Long Opportunity Market Context:
RUNE is showing signs of strength after consolidating near support and reclaiming the 200-day EMA, with a higher low further reinforcing the bullish structure. Holding above key trendlines, the setup indicates a potential continuation to the upside.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $4.30 – $4.70
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $6
TP2: $8
TP3: $13
Stop Loss: Daily close below $4
This setup offers an opportunity to position for a potential breakout while managing risk effectively. 📈
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is still moving in the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000) .
Compared to the previous analysis , I still have the opinion of correction on Bitcoin .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave Y with the Ending Expanding Diagonal .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Also, USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is in a very sensitive zone . Given that USDT.D% is near the lower line of the descending channel , the support lines , and the support zone , I expect USDT.D% to trend higher and close to the Resistance zone in the coming hours , and the increase in USDT.D% can cause Bitcoin to decrease .👇
I expect Bitcoin to fall AFTER breaking the lower line of the Ending Expanding Diagonal. The First Target can be around $98,000 .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($100,000-$98,000), we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $100,840-$100,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $97,870-$97,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,000
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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BTC is gaining momentum to rise.
Judging from the recent decline of BTC from the high of $108,318 to the low of $92,458, the price tested multiple Fibonacci levels during the rebound. Among them, the 0.5 level ($100,388.32) has become a key support level at present, while the 0.618 level ($102,259.76) as an important resistance level limits further rise in the short term. The current price is hovering around $100,344, indicating that the market is looking for a directional breakthrough.
Previously, the BTC price ran along the descending channel, reaching a minimum of $92,542.93 before gradually stabilizing and breaking through the upper edge of the channel. At present, the price has entered a sideways consolidation range ($98,000-$101,000) and is trying to form an upward trend on this basis. If it can break through the upper edge of the consolidation range and stand firm, BTC may challenge the target of $105,000 or even higher.
The chart shows that the price may experience a small correction in the short term, but the overall upward trend is more likely, especially after breaking through the key resistance of $102,259, the upward space will be further opened. The support area below is concentrated around $99,560 and $97,735. If the price falls back to this area and stabilizes, it will be a good opportunity to buy at a low point.
Investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and breakthroughs in key technical levels, while reasonably controlling risks and formulating clear stop-loss strategies. BTC's current consolidation pattern indicates that there may be large fluctuations in the short term.
ETH | FRACTAL ATH $6000 | Bitcoin Overlay I'm still anticipating the new Ethereum All Time High .
I just don't believe that BTC will make such a climb and ETH stays behind - it hasn't happened before, I don't believe it will happen this time.
What has happened before, is an interesting topic - ETH usually makes its ATH AFTER the BTC rally, about when the cycle comes to an end. We see this playout during the past two peaks. Ethereum stays fairly low beneath it's own previous ATH , and shoots out above BTC just when the cycle ends.
Using a fractal form the previous cycle, this puts an interesting target on ETH.
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COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD