Bitcoin is gearing up for a rally. 120K target Bitcoin after the false breakout of resistance, which is associated with Trump's inauguration did not fall, but only consolidates near resistance. And this, I believe, is a very good sign that the price may continue its trend after exiting the triangle.
Scenario: Since after the strong growth and after the false breakout there is no fall and consolidation is formed, we can expect the continuation of the growth because I also point out a few more things:
- strong trend on senior timeframes
- locally the price does not update the minimums
- resistance retest is formed
- consolidation on the background of the uptrend.
Correspondingly: a break of the triangle resistance may increase buying interest, which may lead to another rally to ATH and even update it to 120K.
BTC
BTCUSD - Will history repeats itself ?This post is just a correction from a post I made last month
I missed on identifying correctly the pattern because I thought the middle of the channel would act as a strong support
ended up being wrong on the timing of the next wave up - not a big deal tho
I also profit of this moment to update the fractal path that's BTC is doing, as you can see the asset is just copying move from last year (in violet) this is quite interesting because it did this the whole cycle, i don't remember seeing this before but maybe i'm wrong
so yeah the violet bar patterns says we go great wave up in a few days can you believe it ?
i'll start to take profit next month but not sure 100% id like to see what is going to do Pectra update on Eth's price
Here's a bigger picture i made in November still working very well :
not financial advice
Cheers
BTC - Steady... steady... almost there!BTC in the short term is looking very much like a WXYXZ is forming. We should therefore see a low, which could temporarily breach the lower trend line. In fact, it'd make for a bullish signal if it did - so watch this carefully. If we see it ping back within the channel, then the formation will likely complete. Next thing we'll need to look for us the breakthrough of the upper trend line. This would then lead to higher higher and the completion of wave 5 of 1 which we have long been looking for. I'm not going to take any actions here until either trend line is decisively broken leading to a trend change. Looks good though, follow for more.
Bitcoin Futures
Another week concludes for the Bitcoin futures market without closing above the all-time high. The RSI is in overbought territory, showing a bearish divergence. It might be prudent to close the futures gap and look for a bullish divergence before expecting further upward movement. The price might revert to the high of the RSI for support, which was around the 49k area.
JUST IN: Bitcoin at $107,000Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, recently broke past the significant $107,000 psychological resistance level before retracing to $106,000. Despite this pullback, several technical and fundamental indicators suggest a bullish trajectory for the digital asset in the near term.
Technical Analysis
A key technical indicator supporting the bullish outlook is the imminent formation of a golden cross pattern on Bitcoin’s chart. This occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA, a classic signal of bullish momentum and a potential sustained uptrend.
Historically, golden cross patterns have often preceded major price rallies in Bitcoin. For instance:
- In 2020, the formation of a golden cross preceded Bitcoin’s surge from $10,000 to its then all-time high of $64,000.
Currently, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 58, which is within neutral territory but trending upward. This indicates that there is room for further bullish momentum without the asset being overbought.
Market Performance
As of this writing, Bitcoin is up 2% on the day, trading at $106,000. The price action suggests strong buying interest at the current levels, even as the market absorbs profit-taking near the $107,000 mark. Key support levels to watch include $104,500, while resistance remains at $107,000 and beyond.
Beyond technical signals, several fundamental factors are bolstering Bitcoin’s bullish outlook:
1. Institutional Interest: Recent data highlights a surge in institutional inflows into Bitcoin-focused investment products. This renewed interest comes amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty and Bitcoin’s reputation as digital gold.
2. Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin’s halving event, expected in mid-2025, is already influencing market sentiment. Historically, halvings have significantly reduced the rate of new Bitcoin entering circulation, often leading to price increases as demand outpaces supply.
3. Global Adoption: Countries and corporations continue to embrace Bitcoin as a legitimate asset. Recent announcements of Bitcoin integration into payment systems and growing adoption as a store of value further validate its utility and potential.
Conclusion
With the golden cross pattern on the verge of confirmation, Bitcoin’s technical setup suggests that a strong bullish run could be imminent. Coupled with favorable fundamentals, including increasing institutional participation and global adoption, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to continue its upward momentum.
Traders and investors should keep an eye on the $107,000 resistance level, as a decisive break above it could pave the way for Bitcoin to target $110,000 and beyond. However, as always, caution is advised, as market volatility remains a key characteristic of the cryptocurrency space.
The "Flippening"The "Flippening" goes back to 2017, a term coined back then referring to a possible future where Ethereum overtakes the marketcap of Bitcoin.
Should that ever occur, it would also take a larger portion of market dominance than Bitcoin
Here's a silly chart, just for fun, imagining that scenario during the current bull market.
The Wyckoff Accumulation Method. And how it can make you money.Richard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was a trailblazer in the early 20th century, known for his innovative technical methods in stock market analysis. He ranks among the five great figures of technical analysis, alongside Dow, Gann, Elliott, and Merrill. At just 15 years old, he began his career as a stock runner for a brokerage in New York. By his twenties, he had already risen to the position of head of his firm.
Wyckoff was a passionate learner of the markets, deeply engaged in tape reading and trading. He closely monitored the market manoeuvres and strategies of the iconic stock traders of his era, such as JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore. Through his keen observations and discussions with these prominent figures, Wyckoff distilled the most effective practices of Livermore and others into a set of laws, principles, and techniques that shaped his trading methodology, money management strategies, and mental discipline.
Mr. Wyckoff noticed that many retail investors were consistently being taken advantage of. In response, he committed himself to educating the public on “the true rules of the game” as dictated by major players, often referred to as “smart money.” In the 1930s, he established a school that eventually evolved into the Stock Market Institute. The primary focus of the school was a course that combined Wyckoff's insights on recognising the accumulation and distribution strategies of large operators with techniques for aligning one’s investments with these influential entities. His enduring principles remain just as relevant today as they were when he first shared them.
“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
Wyckoff advised retail traders to try to play the market game as the Composite Man played it. He claimed that it doesn't matter if market moves “are real or artificial; that is, the result of actual buying and selling by the public and bona fide investors or artificial buying and selling by larger operators.”
Wyckoff, drawing from his extensive observations of the market activities of major players, imparted several key insights:
The Composite Man meticulously strategises, implements, and wraps up his market campaigns.
He entices the public to invest in a stock where he has built a significant position by engaging in numerous transactions, effectively promoting his stock and creating the illusion of a “broad market.”
To truly grasp the dynamics at play, one must analyse individual stock charts to discern the behaviour of the stock and the intentions of the large operators who influence it.
With dedicated study and practice, individuals can develop the skill to decode the underlying motives reflected in a chart's movements. Wyckoff and his colleagues believed that by understanding the market behaviour of the Composite Man, traders could spot numerous trading and investment opportunities early enough to capitalise on them.
One goal of the Wyckoff method is to enhance market timing when entering a position by predicting an upcoming movement that offers a favourable reward-to-risk ratio. Trading ranges (TRs) represent areas where the previous trend, whether upward or downward, has paused, creating a relative balance between supply and demand. During these TRs, institutions and large professional players gear up for their next bullish or bearish strategies by either accumulating or distributing shares. In both accumulation and distribution phases within TRs, the Composite Man is actively engaged in buying and selling. The key difference lies in the fact that during accumulation, the volume of shares bought exceeds those sold, whereas in distribution, the opposite occurs. The degree of accumulation or distribution ultimately influences the nature of the subsequent movement out of the TR.
Springs and shakeouts typically happen towards the end of a trading range (TR), providing key players in the stock market an opportunity to thoroughly assess the available supply before initiating a markup phase. A "spring" occurs when the price dips below the lowest point of the TR, only to rebound and close back within the range. This maneuver can create confusion among the public regarding the future direction of the stock, allowing major investors to acquire more shares at lower prices. A terminal shakeout, which takes place at the conclusion of an accumulation TR, is essentially an amplified version of a spring. Additionally, shakeouts can happen even after a price increase has begun, characterized by a swift drop designed to prompt retail traders and long-position investors to sell their shares to larger market players.
To sum up, while there is much more to explore on this topic, Richard D. Wyckoff's
groundbreaking contributions in the early 1900s highlighted that stock price movements are largely influenced by institutional players and significant market operators who often sway prices to their advantage. Although many professional traders incorporate Wyckoff's techniques, his comprehensive approach remains underutilised among retail investors, despite his aim to educate the public on the "true rules of the game." His methods for stock selection and investment have proven resilient over time, thanks to their detailed, systematic, and logical framework for pinpointing high-probability, lucrative trades. This disciplined strategy empowers investors to make rational trading choices, free from emotional bias. By applying Wyckoff's principles, investors can align themselves with the strategies of influential "smart money" players, avoiding the pitfalls of being on the wrong side of market movements. Mastering Wyckoff analysis demands significant practice, but the rewards are undoubtedly worthwhile.
GBPCAD Signals a Shift: Key Moves to Watch This Week
In the GBPCAD market, all signs are pointing to a pivotal moment early this week. Monday and Tuesday present a strong likelihood of price rejection, potentially signaling a shift in direction. On higher timeframes, the bias suggests an imminent change, as the price approaches a key supply zone. Meanwhile, on the lower 1-hour chart, the story becomes even clearer—price action has already begun to hint at this transition, painting a picture of an anticipated reversal.
With the supply zone within reach, traders can expect a significant movement in the coming days. The bias indicates not just a brief fluctuation but a probabilities trend that could sustain momentum for at least two weeks. This week holds the potential for dynamic trading opportunities, setting the stage for a compelling narrative in the GBPCAD pair. Keep an eye on the charts—this could be the moment where preparation meets opportunity.
Shiro Neko: Possible to Reach 5B in FebruaryShiro Neko is about to cut two zeros soon! On the MEXC chart, we can see the token approaching the next structure within the Keltner channel. In the coming days, we might witness the highly anticipated surge of Shiro, with the potential to reach a $2 billion market cap, as outlined in the project's plan, and progress toward the $10 billion milestone.
While this is not financial advice, Shiro Neko shows extraordinary potential, with projections of over 10,000x gains in the future, supported by an active community and a seasoned team. Being developed by the same creator and team behind Shiba Inu, we can trust they know the path to success.
My targets are above $3 billion market cap, so we’ll keep a close eye on Shiro's movements in the coming days. With more exchange listings on the horizon, the future looks bright.
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀 MEXC:SHIROUSDT BINANCE:SHIBUSDT COINBASE:ETHUSD
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available.
Support and Long Setup
The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K
The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence
If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone
A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with:
Stop-loss: Below $93K
Take Profit: around $113K
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup
Resistance and Short Setup
For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity:
Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level
Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K
Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K
R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
Bitcoin correction inevitableTime to Chart the King!
If you've checked my recent ideas, you'll find onefrom 11 December 2022 titled "Run it Back Turbo." Check it out!
Press the play button to see how I've pinpointed the perfect bottom!
Now, let's dive into why I've decided to close my trade:
Wave Count: I've marked the 5 waves we've seen so far.
Wave Comparison: Using the Date & Price Range tool, I've compared the size of wave 3 to wave 5. Wave 5 typically matches or exceeds wave 3, and you can see the King has done just that. How much more do you need to satisfy your greed?
ABC Correction: We're expecting an ABC correction where:
A Wave: Should hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the bottom of the count to the current wave 5 peak.
B Wave: Logically, this would reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
C Wave: Expected to extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Fibonacci Retracement for Wave 5: If you draw a Fibonacci retracement just for the 5th wave, you'll see:
The A wave should touch the 0.618 level of this measurement.
The B wave goes to the 0.382
The C wave, as usual, should retrace fully to the 1.000 Fib level, where it began.
CME Gap: Check out the 1-day chart below to see there's still a CME gap to fill on the way down.
Monthly Close: We're nearing the first monthly close of Q1. Take a look at the RSI; there's a clear bearish divergence forming.
Liquidity Clusters: The liquidity clusters below look enticing and are prime for grabs, essential for further upward movements. Remember, this market thrives on the ping-pong effect with short stop hunts and liquidation hunts, followed by the same to the longs, rinse and repeat.
Here you see a freshly pulled LiqMap from The Kingfisher platform currently the only one I know of which can show you these clusters. As you can see we have a ton of liquidity to tap into before we can resume this bullrun!
Conclusion:
The King Needs to Reset!
No reason to be upset. Everyone needs a rest after such a run. We will resume our journey soon enough, reaching those higher targets sooner or later. See the bright side: we can sell now, load up at cheaper prices, and potentially make even bigger profits.
Follow me for updates to this idea and follow me on X for even more insights!
ONDO 4H TRADE SETUP ONDO is a very exciting project with massive potential in the tokenization of real world assets, an aspect of crypto that has many very high profile interested parties, such as BlackRock and now the US Government via the Trump administration. World Liberty Financial (which is run by the Trump family) has an ONDO position currently and has been adding to it over time, so what is the future of ONDO?
For me the chart has some key points:
- Structurally ONDO been bearish since the later stages of December, retracing 50% from local high and losing the 4H 200 EMA in the process before bouncing off the bullish Orderblock that started the end of year rally in the first place, a very strong support area.
That bounce was capped off by the bearish orderblock zone with rejection in that zone on four separate occasions, so we now have a local range with a clear S/R level at the midpoint.
- Within that mini range we have higher lows constantly which forms a diagonal support as buyers put increasing pressure on price to break through the Bearish orderblock. The 4H 200 EMA has also been reclaimed and in a bullmarket this level is a key level to consider, more so during a trending phase and not chop but still important in this situation.
- That's the technical analysis but money is made in execution of the trade. For me a reclaim of the bearish orderblock would be a bullish trigger for ONDO to climb back up the hill towards local high with consideration to set SLs in stages. The trade would be invalidated on a loss of the bearish orderblock flip as this Swing fail pattern often leads to a further sell-off.
- In a bearish scenario, say BTC misbehaves or some bad news hits the timeline I would step away from the coin if diagonal support is lost. I would look to become a buyer at the bullish orderblock which would give a higher probability entry with the range midpoint and bearish orderblock as targets for price to reach.
BTC still runs the market currently with alts not getting much liquidity, I do believe that will change soon going into the second half of Q1. Once Bitcoin can get a trend going altcoins will follow in my view.
BTC take the 100k lows and pump.I'm waiting for some or all of these lows to be taken out before Bitcoin puts in its next leg up.
Lots of liquidations sitting below them and liquidity now taken from above 106400.
Looking to bid that sweep for the next bullish leg, a daily close below 100k would invalidate this idea.
DEEP Key Levels - Weekend Trade SetupsDEEP has been consolidating in a 6-day trading range and as we move into the weekend, lets look at the setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone: The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement aligns with the POC of the 6-day range at $0.304, making it an ideal short entry
Target: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.208, where liquidity has built up below
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): This short offers an impressive 10:1 R:R if the setup plays out
Long Trade Setup
Support Zone: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.208 also serves as a key support level
Anchored VWAP from the recent highs provides additional support near this level
Stop Loss: Stop just below $0.195
Take Profit: TP at round 0.24
"Gold Approaches Key Resistance: Potential Sell Opportunity"The chart indicates that gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a resistance zone near the **2,800.000 level**. A "Possible to Sell Zone" is marked, suggesting this area could trigger selling pressure. The price has been trending upward, respecting the trendline, but now faces potential rejection from the resistance.
Key observations:
1. **Resistance Zone**: The area around **2,800.000** is a strong resistance where sellers might step in.
2. **First Target Spot**: If the price rejects the resistance, a pullback to the **2,725.000 level** (first spot) is anticipated.
3. **Trendline Break Potential**: A break of the upward trendline could accelerate bearish momentum toward the target.
**Outlook**:
- Watch for bearish price action near the resistance zone to confirm a selling opportunity.
- A strong rejection or trendline break would validate a short trade, with the first target being **2,725.000**.
ADAUSDT: Ranging within flag until Trump InaugurationI predict the price to range within this flag until we hit the vertical line, January 20th. One would presume a big move on this day, as Trump will be inaugurated. It's possible we continue to range within the flag afterwards, but I think a big move will happen on or very near January 20th.
Cardano (like almost all crypto) is heavily pegged to the price of Bitcoin and almost always moves in the same direction. However, it looks like Cardano is attempting to de-couple from BTC with some success. The more this continues, the more likely we are to see large bullish moves in the price. If $1.20 breaks with high volume, expect a big move up to at least $1.50.
Not trading advice. I'm a noob, first idea.
ETC LongETC looks amazing.
23$ is one of the most important levels on this chart. For the past 4 weeks ETC has been regarding it as support.
- Bullish Divergence on both oscillators and all higher time frames.
- Bullish Dragon broken and backtested at support.
- Rising volume after consolidation and break of the spine.
- Holding 23$ as support and the 200MA.
- Weekly reversal candles confirmed for now.
Most coins don't look great, but this one does. I'd be cautious and not over allocate.