$BTC is at a critical pointThis is a follow-up to my previous warning about a potential CRYPTOCAP:BTC correction, published in December 2024:
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At this stage, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at a critical juncture. If we compare the current situation to previous corrections, we can observe that the RSI has reached a potential reversal zone, and price action is currently showing some resilience.
📍 The $81K level appears to be strongly defended by the bulls.
Two scenarios are now in play:
1️⃣ Bearish Continuation
If the MACD continues its downward move and the RSI drops below 30%, we could see this consolidation phase extending until July 2025. In this case, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may revisit the $72K zone.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal
If the MACD has already bottomed out, we could witness a bullish rally over the next 3–4 months. This would likely propel CRYPTOCAP:BTC to a new all-time high.
Unfortunately, the SPX500 correction adds a layer of uncertainty. Had the traditional markets not started to retrace, the odds of a solid bounce from current BTC levels would have been near 100%.
For now, everything depends on how strong and well-funded the bulls are—can they offset macro pressure and prevent CRYPTOCAP:BTC from sinking with the TradFi indices?
🚨 Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
BTC
BTC/USD 1W chartHello everyone, I invite you to review the BTC chart to USD at 1W interval. As we can see long -term despite the current correction, the price lasts above the main line of upward trend. Going further we can see how the current correction stopped at strong support at 79221 $, however, if the support is broken, then you can see the second very strong support at $ 72085, which is close to the upward trend line.
In a situation where the trend is reversed, we have visible resistance at $ 89147, then a significant level of $ 96784 and very strong support at the level of the previous ATH. Looking at the RSI, you can see how he begins to change the direction that can change the direction of the price.
ADA Spot Trade Setup – Support Level OpportunityCardano (ADA) is currently sitting at a key support zone, presenting a solid risk-to-reward long opportunity if bulls can hold the level.
🛠 Trade Plan:
Entry: $0.63 – $0.70
Take Profit Targets:
$0.78 – $0.84 (First Target)
$0.96 – $1.02 (Extended Target)
Stop Loss: Just below $0.58
BTC Weekly Chart Update📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Weekly Chart Update
It looks like a double top pattern is clearly forming on the BTC weekly chart — and honestly, doesn't it remind you of a similar structure we’ve seen before? 👀
Patterns like these often signal potential trend reversals, so this is definitely a chart to watch closely.
Do you see the similarity with the previous one? Let me know your thoughts in the comments 👇
🔴 Bearish scenario could continue unless we break above key resistance.
TURBO long-term outlookAfter completing its first cycle TURBO seems to stabilize around the 0.0010-0.0020$ region which marks the last ATH from 2023. What's interesting here is that TURBO follows the DOGE coin pattern levels almost to a T, in speedrun mode. It is absolutely not the same structure but it respects the same trading ranges and shows a lot of similarities, which is quite remarkable.
Watch out for this yearly trendline in the TURBO chart and expect some volatility for the next months. Breaking under 0.0010$ could potentially confirm a longer downtrend if we don't see a big impulsive bounce to the upside in the near future.
BITCOIN Do you really want to miss this rally???Bitcoin / BTCUSD remains supported by the 1week MA50 just like it has been through the whole 2020/21 period after the COVID crash.
In spite of the massive bearish pressure of the polical developments (tariffs), the fact that the market is holding the 1week MA50, means that it is respective Bitcoin's Cycles.
In fact this is like the May-June 2021 accumulation on the 1week MA50, following the first Bitcoin Top of April 2021.
Similarly, we've had a peak formation in December 2024- January 2025 and the market corrected.
In addition to that, the 1week RSI is testing the 42.00, which isn't just where the August 2024 and September 2023 bottoms were priced, but more importantly the June 2021 one.
The symmetry between the last two Cycles is uncanny, both trading inside the long term Channel Up, with identical Bear Cycle and (so far) Bull Cycle ranges.
If all ends up repeating themselves, expect a value of at least $160000 by September.
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LTCUSD Litecoin OH NO TARIFFS! Everyone SELL NOW!The market reacted to the tariffs negatively as expected. I don't think these tariffs will last long. Countries will cave and remove their tariffs. Bottom line is they need us more than we need them. Once global free and easier trade starts you're going to see a boom cycle like never before. This is the bottom and the beginning of the biggest bull run you'll ever see. I don't get involved in politics but this move that Trump made with the tariffs is going to be a major positive for the USA and the world moving forward. This isnt 1929, we live in a much more advanced world now. Collapses and depressions are a thing of the past in my opinion.
As for Litecoin I see it coming down to test around $70 dollars by the middle of April. This is also timed almost perfectly to the 2017 run Litecoin had, coincidentally trump was starting his first term in 2017 as well. Also timed perfectly to when tax day is over for USA.
Many have capitulated and sold everything thinking a giant recession is coming, or a war, or a collapse, or aliens, or you name it people are scared of their own shadows lately. Like a plague of Grackles where one gets spooked and the whole lot of them get scared and take off when they dont even know why. This is how the markets work though, most will make the wrong decision so the few who made the right decision can profit from their mistakes. Once the market starts to run again those who sold will think its just a fake pump or dead cat bounce and wont buy in. Then the market will continue to rise and rise and finally when its near an all time high those who capitulated and sold early will fomo back in and buy the top to provide liquidity for those who were called crazy for buying the bottom. Its a cycle thats been happening since markets started.
So Im sticking with my predictions for Litecoin, I am not falling for this bear trap crap. Im doubling down. This is not financial advice. This is just my opinion.
#DGB/USDT#DGB
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward move with a break above it.
We have a resistance area at the upper limit of the channel at 0.00906.
Entry price: 0.00894
First target: 0.00863
Second target: 0.00831
Third target: 0.00797
(BTC) bitcoin "the case for bitcoin"Where is bitcoin going to be during this 2025 year. The image shows a blank canvas. The drawing untold, unknown for now? Where will the price move and how long will it take to move through the pattern, bearish? bullish? neutral? fire? ice? greener pastures? The graph showing what is being seen tends to see a rise in price once the price moves past the crossing of the blue lines but the purple and pink dotted lines are facing down with no indication that the price is moving neutrally in a recovery effort.
Bitcoin (BTC) on 4-hour timeframe. Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading around $81,830.
Trend Line: There is a downward trend line indicating bearish sentiment over the observed period.
Support Level: There is a green support area around $78,424 to $80,000. Bitcoin needs to stay above this level to avoid further declines.
Recent Activity: After the decline, Bitcoin has attempted to stabilize near the support but has not made any significant upward move.
Considerations
If the price breaks below the support area, the bearish trend may continue.
Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks above the trend line, it may signal a reversal and potential upward movement.
Feel free to ask for further analysis or specific technical indicators!
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DYOR. NFA
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Analysis !!Current Price: $83,809
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a possible breakout soon.
Upper Resistance: Around $86,000
Lower Support: Around $82,000
Key Support Levels: $79,183 and $78,424
Bullish Breakout (Green Arrow)
If BTC breaks above the resistance trendline (~$86K), it could see a strong move towards $90K-$92K.
Confirmation would be a candle close above $86K with volume.
Bearish Breakdown (Red Arrow)
If BTC loses the support trendline (~ GETTEX:82K ), it could drop towards $79K-$78K.
The candle closing below GETTEX:82K could fuel further selling.
Market Sentiment:
Fear & Greed Index: 28 (Fear) – Investors remain cautious.
The direction of the breakout will depend on market sentiment and volume.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTC - Analyzing monthly momentum shifts with the Stoch RSI!What is the stoch rsi?
The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum indicator that applies the stochastic oscillator to the RSI, making it more sensitive to price changes. The Stochastic RSI has two lines:
Blue line = the fast momentum line
Orange line = the slower momentum line
How It Works:
* Helps identify overbought (above 80) and oversold (below 20) conditions.
* Crossing above 20 signals possible bullish momentum.
* Crossing below 80 signals possible bearish momentum.
Why Use It?
* Reacts faster than regular RSI.
* Helps spot momentum shifts and reversals.
* Best used with other indicators for confirmation.
Analyzing the Monthly BTC Chart Through the Lens of Stochastic RSI: A Cycle Comparison
in this discussion, we’ll take a deep dive into the monthly Bitcoin (BTC) chart and examine how the Stochastic RSI aligns with previous market cycles, dating back to 2016. By comparing BTC’s historical price action with Stoch RSI signals, we aim to identify recurring patterns, overbought and oversold conditions, and how momentum shifts have played a role in past bull and bear markets. Understanding these correlations could provide valuable insights into where BTC currently stands in its broader cycle and what to expect next. Let’s break it down.
Let's dive into the bullmarket of 2016/2017:
In 2016 and 2017, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart stayed consistently above the 80 level, often fluctuating between 80 and 100. During this period, the blue line occasionally crossed below the orange line, signaling a short-term pullback. When this cross occurred, it was typically followed by a red candle in the next month, indicating a brief dip before the price continued its upward movement. This pattern appeared multiple times throughout the bull market, allowing BTC to make higher highs and pushing the price further up.
However, the key turning point came when both the blue and orange lines crossed below the 80 level. This marked a shift in momentum, often leading to a significant drop in price or even a bear market phase. When the Stochastic RSI fell below 80 and remained there, it indicated that bullish momentum had stalled, and a potential reversal or prolonged downtrend was likely to follow. This was a critical signal for traders to watch during the bull cycle.
What happened in 2019-2021?
In 2019, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart quickly moved from the oversold region to the overbought area, reflecting a rapid surge in BTC’s price during that time. This sharp movement in the Stochastic RSI mirrored the fast-paced price increase. However, once the Stochastic RSI entered the overbought zone, the blue line crossed below the orange line, signaling a potential reversal. When this happened, the Stochastic RSI fell below the 80 level, indicating that bullish momentum was weakening.
This crossover was a critical signal of potential downside, suggesting that BTC could experience a correction or even an extended period of bearish pressure. The decline in the Stochastic RSI below 80 marked the beginning of a phase where BTC faced increased downside momentum, leading to a correction in price for months.
Later in the cycle BTC and the Stoch RSI went up to the overbought area ones again. When the Stoch RSI with the blue and orange line crossed below the 80 was the start of a prolonged bear market.
What occured in this cycle?
In the current cycle of Bitcoin (BTC), there have been three notable crosses on the Stochastic RSI, which offer important insights into market conditions. The first cross stayed above the 80 level, which typically signals an overbought condition. When the Stochastic RSI is above 80, it indicates that the market may be experiencing strong bullish momentum, but it's also at risk of becoming overextended, potentially signaling a reversal.
However, the other two crosses occurred as the Stochastic RSI moved below the 80 level, which is generally interpreted as a sign that the bullish momentum is weakening and that further downside could be in play. The fact that these two crosses occurred below the 80 level suggests that the overbought conditions are being worked off, and momentum may be shifting to the downside.
The last cross is still in play. The momentum is quickly turning to the downside while BTC is facing downside pressure
How can we compare this cycle with the last ones?
In the last cycle of BTC, there were two key crosses of the Stochastic RSI below the 80 level, both of which marked important turning points for the market.
The first cross below the 80 level triggered a significant crash of around 70%, which was a sharp correction from the bull market's peak. This steep drop signified a clear shift in market sentiment, with the bearish trend beginning to take hold. The second cross below 80 marked the official start of the bear market, though it wasn’t as dramatic as the first crash.
An interesting aspect of the second cross was that Bitcoin briefly made a slightly higher high before the decline, which might have seemed like a potential sign of recovery or a continuation of the bullish trend. However, this higher high was not sustainable, and the bearish momentum quickly took over, confirming that the market had turned decisively to the downside. This higher high can often be seen as a bull trap, where traders were temporarily lured into thinking the market was rebounding, only for the price to reverse sharply.
In contrast, the cycle before this one was marked by Bitcoin staying consistently above the 80 level for the entire duration of the bull market. The Stochastic RSI remained elevated, reflecting strong bullish momentum and a prolonged uptrend. Once the Stochastic RSI crossed below the 80 level, it signaled the official start of the bear market. This transition from above to below 80 is often seen as a clear indication that the overbought conditions had been worked off, and the market was beginning to lose its bullish steam.
In both cycles, the Stochastic RSI's behavior has been crucial in identifying key points where the market shifted from bullish to bearish. In the most recent cycle, the sharp crash following the first cross below 80 and the subsequent bear market beginning with the second cross below 80 highlight the significance of this indicator in forecasting major market changes. Meanwhile, in the previous cycle, the sustained time spent above 80 helped to keep the bullish momentum intact until the market finally reversed with that pivotal cross below 80.
These patterns suggest that once Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI starts crossing below the 80 level after an extended period of bullish movement, it’s a strong signal that the market is entering a phase of weakness and may eventually lead to a bear market.
Conclusion:
The current cycle shows similarities to the 2019/2021 cycle, particularly with the second cross down on the Stochastic RSI, which previously marked a local top. There is a strong possibility that this could signal a cycle top.
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BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental AnalysisTRUMP EFFECT & RESISTANCE DENIAL
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
As we expected, Bitcoin reached the upper band of the falling channel (approximately $88,000), touched the red resistance circle and then experienced a strong rejection. The timing of this technical rejection is no coincidence.
Last night, former US President Donald Trump's announcement that he would impose new customs duties on all countries of the world created a risk-off mood in the markets . In particular, global uncertainty and protectionist policies triggered selling pressure in risk assets such as Bitcoin.
Technically:
🔸RSI still has no obvious negative mismatch.
🔸However, since the price cannot break the upper band of the falling channel, this region continues to work as a selling zone for now.
If this retracement movement deepens, the first major support level of $73.777 , followed by the $69.000 line may come to the agenda.
On the other hand, if the price manages to regain strength and break this zone in volume, there may be a rapid movement to the GETTEX:92K - $95K band.
In short, Technical resistance + Trump news effect combined, we can say that the market has stepped back for now. From now on, volume and news flow will be directional.
#btc #Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency
BTC Ready for PUMP or what ?The BTC will increase 20k and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming DAYS.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
86K for another short sellMorning folks,
So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly.
In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view.
In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks.
Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K.
Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen.
Profit to everybody, Peace.
BTC TARIFF TALKAs President Trump steps up on the stage to deliver his tariff plan BTC had a steady price rise going into the talk, a nice HH & HL LTF structure up into range high/ last weeks high, then as the speech began all of the progress made throughout the day wiped in less than 2 hours to reset BTC's price to Tuesdays low.
In the end the news event gave volatility as expected but ultimately the structure remains the same, rangebound. As the Tax year comes to an end it would be a hard ask for this choppy price action to shift bullish when institutions are going to be window dressing their portfolios for the next financial year.
In essence A continued LTF range with an overall HTF bearish trend looks to continue, this is compounded by yet another failed attempt at the 4H 200 EMA which had temporarily been broken but sent back below by the tariff announcements.
The SPX, DJI & NASDAQ Futures pre-market is looks dreadful so a revisit on the range low is probable on the cards at some stage today.
EOSUSDT → False Breakeout of resistance (counter-trend )BINANCE:EOSUSDT.P within the consolidation distribution 0.54 - 0.6 reaches the key resistance and forms a false breakdown without the possibility of continued growth.
The cryptocurrency market is showing weakness, especially after yesterday's Trump speech and the approval of new Tariffs, which creates risks and pressure on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin is back in the red zone after rallying, while altcoins will continue to look for a new bottom. EOS stands out in this list, which strengthened quite strongly and the purpose of this maneuver was countertrend accumulation and liquidity capture relative to the range of 0.7 - 0.8. The distribution is tempered by a false breakout of the level 0.82 - 0.86
Resistance levels: 0.82, 0.86
Support levels: 0.793, 0.666
If the bears hold the resistance 0.82 - 0.86 and the consolidation under the level will end with the breakout of the trigger 0.793 and price consolidation in the selling zone, it may provoke a reversal and fall to the zones of interest: fvg, 0.64, 0.541.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us.
The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top.
On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal.
As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025.
As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib.
So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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