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Verbal intervention was great but what's on the back?Morning folks, So, the pullback that we were waiting for is done. Although we thought that it will be driven by some natural forces and reasons. The way how it has happened and by what factors make us to be caution on its perspectives. Indeed, it was just verbal intervention from D. Trump. It had bad week - scandal in White House with Zelensky, stocks are falling, crypto are falling, inflation expectations are raising, March debt ceil and shutdown is almost here, EU "allies" do not want to work together... So, to say couple of words and pump the market is not a bad idea at all. But, what is on the back? Nothing. Special Committee will make Reserve report only by July. I'm sure on crypto Summit this week we also will hear a lot of bravery speeches, but this is just words. This is a reason why we do not want to buy BTC now and prefer to watch for reversal signs around our resistance 96-97K area. Sooner or later but fundamentals should return control over the market. I do not have yet the specific picture but, since we have strong upside momentum - it should fade and appearing, say H&S or butterfly pattern, together with completion upside XOP target seems as great combination. Once this patterns will be formed, we could try to use it for short entry.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe This chart presents a technical breakdown of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) using supply and demand zones to anticipate potential price movements. It reflects a bearish bias as price action shows rejection from the supply zone (sell zone) and an expected drop toward the demand zone (buy zone). 🔍 Key Chart Elements 1. Supply Zone (Sell Zone) – Resistance Area The supply zone is highlighted in the upper region, approximately between $86,000 and $88,000. This area represents a strong resistance where sellers are active, preventing further price increases. Bitcoin recently tested this zone but failed to break above, leading to a price rejection. 2. Demand Zone (Buy Zone) – Support Area The demand zone is marked in the lower region, around $69,000 to $67,000. This is a historical support level where strong buying interest is expected. If Bitcoin reaches this level, a potential bullish reversal could occur. 📉 Bearish Price Projection The chart includes a downward arrow, indicating an expected bearish movement from the supply zone toward the demand zone. Reason for the expected drop: BTC is struggling to gain momentum above $86,000, showing signs of weakness. The recent bearish candles suggest increased selling pressure in the market. A failed breakout above resistance increases the likelihood of a downward move. Price Targets: First target: Around $74,000, a potential minor support. Second target: Around $69,000, which aligns with the demand zone and could act as a strong support level. 🔄 Potential Alternative Scenario – Bullish Breakout (Low Probability) If BTC manages to break above the $88,000 resistance level, it could trigger a bullish rally. In this case, the next targets would be $92,000 and $96,000. However, given the current market structure, this is a less likely scenario unless buying momentum increases significantly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Pipsview_Analysis
$BTC: First Bounce incoming? Eyeing mid 80ksI decided to go long on CRYPTOCAP:BTC below 80k. There's a lot of confluence in that zone. Could it go lower? Of course. I think 75-76k would be a more optimal entry, but as long as I can grab some below 80k, I believe the chances of a bounce are higher than expecting sub-70k levels... I could be completely wrong, and this could just be part of the normal path toward 71k, but I like my odds here. At least, I plan to take some profits around the mid-80ks. I’m mostly waiting to see how the market reacts post-Q1, especially after March 20th, before jumping back in big (just high caps)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ZelfTrade
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover: Risk management – protecting your capital. Entry points – how to build your position gradually. Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains. Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside. By the end, you'll understand: ✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels ✅ How to take profits gradually ✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account BTC Market Analysis Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity. Using Fibonacci analysis: Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K. Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K. Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886. Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement). Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K. These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination. Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule) Before placing a trade, you must decide: 📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade) 📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan) How Much Should You Risk? Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade. Example (for a $100K Account): 1% Risk = $1,000 max loss 2% Risk = $2,000 max loss For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run. Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In) Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price. 💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price. www.tradingview.com BTC Buy (Entry) Levels We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages: Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired 1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072 2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181 3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278 4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430 5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606 6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234 7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974 8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275 9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956 10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352 Total Investment: $30,000 Total BTC Acquired: 0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC Average Entry Price: $80,150 Stop Loss: Set at $76,500 Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K) Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out) We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows: Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($) 1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10 2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03 3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15 4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39 5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19 6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19 7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12 8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20 9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71 10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68 Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26 Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26 Return on the Trade: $3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63% On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1 Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%) Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%) Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%) Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%) Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation: If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500): Average Entry Price: $80,150 Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account) If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets: Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488 Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488 Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63% Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1 Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses. Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price. Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way. Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk. Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan. Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally. Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist 🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone? 🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)? 🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account? 🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined? 🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup? Conclusion ✅ We protect our money by limiting risk ✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in) ✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out) ✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher Final Tips: Common Mistakes to Avoid 👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk! 👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits. 👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
Long
by SiDec
1
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section As you can see in this analysis, the demand zone from the previous analysis was slightly hunted, but it is still valid and considered a demand zone. We have reduced the timeframe slightly (4-hour). Our expectation for price action is to see a slight bounce upward in this zone with some time consolidation. After consuming the buy orders in this area and spending some time, Bitcoin may even move toward lower zones. Let’s see what happens. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
HelenP. I Bitcoin may continue move down to $80KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Not long ago, BTC dropped to the first resistance level, which aligned with a key resistance zone, before reversing and climbing toward the second resistance level, which also coincided with another resistance area. After breaking through this level, Bitcoin continued to rise, reaching the trend line, but soon started to decline. In a short time, the price fell back to the resistance level, eventually breaking below it. However, BTC quickly rebounded, not only recovering its losses but also pushing above the trend line. After that, it reversed direction once again, dropping back to the first resistance level. Following this movement, Bitcoin bounced back, climbed to the trend line, and then began to decline while hovering near it. At one point, BTC temporarily broke above the trend line and traded within a range for some time. Later, it reversed again, falling back to the trend line, breaking through the first resistance level, and recently even dropping below the trend line. At this stage, I believe the price might push slightly above the trend line before resuming its decline. With that in mind, my goal is set at 80K. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
14
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.) I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made) BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation". Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are): - A monthly bearish engulfing candle - A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market - Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too However, there are strong counterarguments. The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise. Update on the above chart: The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario. Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs. Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least. ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS? You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal. Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SaadFiaz
BlackRock & BitcoinA giant's journey into the world of blockchain! This post highlights how BlackRock's balance sheet and profits have changed since the introduction of the Bitcoin ETF. The data is collected from the Arkham platform. The information will be updated periodically. 28.02.2025 Current balance: 577.9K BTC Total Profit: +11B USD This rapid growth underscores BlackRock's confidence in bitcoin's long-term potential and signals a new era of institutional growth. Take a look at the chart to see the trend of balance sheet growth since the ETF's launch. Will BlackRock continue to grow Bitcoins? Share your thoughts in the comments! Data has been verified through Arkham Intelligence. Updates will follow. Alex Kostenich, Horban Brothers.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by horbanbrothers
Bitcoin, Mind The Gap (85,720) The massive move initiated from Trumps tweet Sunday about the Crypto Strategic Reserve has left a massive gap on the Bitcoin Futures Chart. Gaps tend to get fill sooner rather than later, with a high 90% hit rate on gaps getting filled. We could see a pullback this week to fill the gap with another run up following back above 90k to save the weekly close ... again. We see confluence with the golden pocket (0.6128 - 0.65 Fib) here on that retracement and also the most amount of volume (VPVR) being traded there. A final test of the demand below 90k, which if shown as support, will lead us back into the range of 90k to 110k.
CME:BTC1!
by Mamocoin
GBPUSD FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICAL ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently trading at 1.265, showing strong bullish momentum as it finds solid support at this level. The gradual increase in trading volume indicates growing interest from buyers, suggesting that the pair is gaining strength for a potential move toward the 1.288 target. If this support level holds, we could see further bullish continuation in the coming sessions. From a technical perspective, GBPUSD is respecting key support, with increasing volume confirming buyer interest. A break above minor resistance levels could further accelerate the uptrend, providing a clear path toward 1.288. If price action remains above 1.260, it will reinforce the bullish outlook, while traders should watch for any pullbacks as potential buying opportunities. Fundamentally, GBPUSD's strength is influenced by a softer US dollar as expectations around the Federal Reserve’s rate policy shift. Any dovish signals from the Fed or weaker US economic data could push the dollar lower, giving GBP an advantage. Additionally, positive UK economic indicators or a hawkish stance from the Bank of England could further support the pair’s bullish momentum. In summary, GBPUSD is holding strong support with increasing volume, signaling potential upside toward 1.288. If this bullish momentum sustains, traders could capitalize on the breakout, with confirmation needed through technical signals and macroeconomic developments. Keep an eye on resistance levels and market sentiment for further validation.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
levels to watch I previously mentioned that a broader market correction was highly likely, predicting that after the market coiled within the 95k-100k range, a downturn would be inevitable. The correction was expected to bring the market down to around 75k. As we’ve seen, the market fell to 78k but has since rallied back to 92k. However, for the market to regain renewed momentum and strength, it would need to close above the 95k level. If that happens, there’s a possibility that the market could test the 108k range once again. On the other hand, if the market fails to break and hold above the 95k mark, sellers are likely to return, leading to a potential retest of the 75k level.
Short
by Shivkumar600
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for another decline?!Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. Donald Trump has issued an executive order on digital assets, directing the Presidential Task Force to move toward establishing a strategic cryptocurrency reserve that will include XRP, SOL, and ADA. He emphasized, “I will ensure that the United States becomes the cryptocurrency capital of the world.” Trump further added, “We are making America great again!” He also highlighted Bitcoin and Ethereum as other valuable digital assets that will be central to this reserve, stating, “I love Bitcoin and Ethereum!” Following this announcement, Bitcoin responded positively to the news of the executive order. On February 28, BlackRock made headlines after Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $80,000. Amid speculation, some claimed that the company had sold $500 million worth of Bitcoin, playing a significant role in the price decline. However, a closer analysis contradicts these claims. Data shows that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) still holds 577,919 BTC. While this fund saw an outflow of 2,274 BTC on February 27 and a total of 10,595 BTC over the past week, this does not imply that BlackRock itself is selling Bitcoin. These ETF outflows result from investors selling shares of the fund. In such scenarios, the ETF is required to sell Bitcoin proportionally to meet liquidity demands. Therefore, these movements are not directly tied to BlackRock’s own decision to offload BTC but rather reflect investor behavior. Contrary to circulating rumors, BlackRock is not exiting Bitcoin; in fact, it has been increasing its exposure. Recent financial filings reveal that the company now holds a 5% stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), up from 4.09% in September 2024. Additionally, it has been announced that BlackRock plans to integrate its Bitcoin ETF into the firm’s $150 billion portfolio. This move suggests that rather than pulling out of the market, BlackRock is strengthening its position in Bitcoin-related assets. Ultimately, this situation highlights how quickly rumors and speculation can spread during market downturns, but a detailed analysis of the data always provides a clearer picture of reality. Meanwhile, Ronaldinho, the former Brazilian football star, has announced plans to launch his own cryptocurrency. He also warned his fans to stay vigilant against fraudulent meme coins.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Velas (VLX) Technical Analysis & Market Outlook – March 2025🚀 Velas (VLX) Technical Analysis & Market Outlook – March 2025 🚀 📊 Current Market Structure & Technical Indicators 🔹 Trend Overview: Velas has been in a prolonged descending trading channel, reaching its lowest price of 2025, making this a potential accumulation zone. 🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels: Support: 🟠 $0.00399 (historical low) and $0.00526 (current price level). Resistance: 🔵 $0.00749 (major breakout target) and $0.00900 (mid-term bullish target). 🔹 Indicators Analysis: WMC Cipher B Divergences: Strong bullish divergence detected, suggesting upward momentum. RSI (14): Currently at 56.50, breaking above the neutral zone, indicating a reversal trend. Money Flow Index (MFI): Positive inflow, signaling increasing interest and potential accumulation. Stochastic (14,3,1): Overbought but still showing strength in the recovery phase. 📌 Conclusion: VLX has reached its lowest point and is forming a potential breakout from the descending channel. A break above $0.00749 will confirm a bullish trend. 🔥 Velas Ecosystem Updates & Growth Potential 🔥 💡 Major Developments in the Velas Ecosystem ✅ 1M VLX Tokens for Staking Rewards! Just last week, in collaboration with @AccumulatedFi, 1 million VLX tokens were allocated and distributed among $stVLX stakers, further boosting incentives for long-term holders. ✅ Subchains & Advanced Smart Contract Features Two weeks ago, Velas introduced a powerful devnet update, significantly improving scalability and efficiency: Hosting Subchains: New architecture supports subchains with an updated configuration (semi-compatible with geth init). Improved Subchain Management: More efficient program instructions, leading to faster and smoother blockchain operations. Mint/Burn Token Mechanism: Subchains now support a dynamic mint/burn token system, enabling more advanced DeFi applications and scalability solutions. ✅ New Devnet Release! 🚀 The Velas team isn't slowing down! They will release another devnet update, introducing: Internal Transaction Explorer: Users will be able to track internal blockchain transactions, enhancing transparency. Refined Documentation: Continuous improvements to the Velas Docs ensure seamless onboarding for developers. 🌟 The Road to Velas' Glory – ALEX ALEXANDROW & THE TEAM ARE DELIVERING! 🌟 The Velas team, led by Alex Alexandrow, is on a mission to bring Velas back to its well-deserved glory. With continuous groundbreaking updates, strategic partnerships, and enhanced scalability, Velas is proving itself as a top-tier blockchain project with unmatched potential. 🔥 With major innovations, growing adoption, and a rebounding market, Velas is positioned for a massive breakout! 🔥 #Velas #VLX #Crypto #Blockchain #DeFi #Web3 #Staking #Innovation #Trading #HODL 🚀
CRYPTO:VLXUSDLong
by elfabiiani