BTC
BITCOIN UPDATE 2025 | ALTSEASON | BTC.DWe'll kick of the first analysis of the new year by taking a look at BTC, and whether or not the conditions are met to say the ATH is in.
Furthermore, let's loo at altseason by comparing the TOTAL3 chart and the Bitcoin Dominance chart. Many secrets lie in these charts if you overlap them, and look for patterns.
Soon, I will be making an update on the top Altcoins to watch in 2025 so be sure to follow so you don't miss it!
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BTC - SHORT - Tempting but dangerous tradeBTC is facing a major resistance at 100k. I expect a drop at least in 4 hours timeframe. This is a very risky trade because shorting BTC and in a bull market is not at all advisable. Personally I think it will most likely go close to the POC (97500~) and then go up. Likewise, if the 91k is broken strongly, we will go to very low areas and it is very tempting to let it go. The weekly is still a latent possibility to go to low levels. But nothing is certain and we can easily go in any direction. I would not short BTC for a long time or with a high margin. So this trade must be constantly protected. Be careful.
TP 1: 96500 ~ 97500 (protect trade - POC)
TP 2: 93100 (support)
TP 3: 91600 (daily support)
KAVA ANALYSIS🚀#KAVA Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #KAVA that there is a formation of "Falling Wedge Pattern". In a 3d timeframe #KAVA broke out the pattern and perfectly retest the levels. Expecting a bullish move in few days
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #KAVA price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#KAVA #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Bitcoin's Ultimate Pump: The Trap Before the CrashBitcoin continues its “hype” and is close to forming the next spurt. Globally, the picture looks like close to the distribution zone. We are approaching the biggest “cheat” in history. I expect a final spurt into the zone around 120k, from here a long trade will start where altcoins will shoot up and show incredible gains. The crowd will be experiencing FOMO, heads of state and big companies will start making noise that this is just a pro-trade level for Bitcoin before the next spurt. Only the majority will fall back into the trap and end up in a bear market with huge losses. The market is set up so that only 10% will make money and the other 90% will be cheated. After the distribution is completed, I expect the bitcoin price to fall below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The RSI value will drop below 30 units on such a drop and we will enter a global fear phase. I would attribute the next bull market to the rise of the DeSci and AI sectors. My research on the cryptocurrency market sectors shows that large funds and corporations are starting to invest in projects in these areas.
Horban Brothers.
Bitcoin in lower timeframes (4H)Bitcoin appears to be within a "Trading Range" on lower timeframes.
Within this range, a bearish "QM" (Quasimodo) pattern seems to have formed. To complete the right shoulder of this QM, the price may need to rise to higher levels (red box).
It could move from the green box up to the red box.
Generally, during the year-end holiday period, many large and small traders need cash and sell part of their assets, causing a mid-level correction in the market. During these days, the market seeks liquidity hunts and fluctuations within a specific range. At this stage, it's advisable to reduce the number of your trades and avoid futures trading to some extent.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin's Bullish Breakout: Key Targets at $100,887 and $103khello guys!
Hunt Zones:
Two liquidity "hunt" zones are marked:
Hunt 1: A resistance level where sellers initially dominated.
Hunt 2: A support area where buyers stepped in to push the price higher.
Bullish Structure:
The price has created a higher low and is showing signs of bullish momentum.
The engulfing pattern indicates a strong buyer presence.
Key Levels:
$100,887: First significant resistance level, which could act as a decision point.
$103,010: Final target zone for the current bullish trend.
Expected Movement:
A breakout above the $100,887 resistance may lead to further upside toward $103,010.
Consolidation or pullback may occur at intermediate levels before continuing higher.
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Summary:
The outlook is bullish as long as the price remains above support levels near $97,000. Watch for price action around $100,887 for confirmation of further upward momentum.
BTC On Its Way To New ATH?!Nice recovery for Bitcoin!
It looks really good for an attempt to break the ATH I must say..
This is the 3D Chart.
We crossed back above and are bouncing off the light blue preliminary fib line on the DFR , this could be a leg up towards $120,000 but lets stay conservative and say $104,000 is our first target if we manage to break through $101,500.
The level to hold for bulls is $96,300. Everything in between is irrelevant and would suggest BTC going higher.
What are your thoughts? Is a new ATH near for Bitcoin?
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MARA’s BTC Strategy and Bitcoin’s Path ForwardBitcoin miner MARA Holdings has made headlines with its innovative approach to leveraging its BTC reserves and exceeding its hash rate target. The company's December 2024 production update highlights strategic moves and technical achievements, providing a strong foundation for bullish sentiment on Bitcoin.
MARA’s BTC Lending Program: Fundamentals at Play
MARA revealed that 16.4% of its Bitcoin reserves, equivalent to 7,377 BTC worth approximately $730 million, has been deployed in short-term third-party loans to generate modest single-digit yields. This strategy underscores MARA’s dual approach of mining and buying Bitcoin to optimize its holdings. The company’s total reserves now stand at an impressive 44,893 BTC, valued at over $4.4 billion at current prices.
According to Robert Samuels, MARA’s vice president of investor relations, the lending program focuses on secure, short-term arrangements with well-established third parties. This initiative reflects a prudent approach to maximizing shareholder value while maintaining liquidity.
MARA’s production update also highlighted a milestone achievement: surpassing its energized hash rate target of 50 EH/s, reaching a peak of 53.2 EH/s. Despite a 2% decrease in BTC production due to a slight dip in mining “luck,” MARA’s overall strategy remains robust. CEO Fred Thiel emphasized the benefits of the company’s hybrid model, which combines mining and purchasing Bitcoin to enhance flexibility and long-term value.
Technical Analysis
As of writing, Bitcoin’s price has shown remarkable resilience, briefly reclaiming the $99,000 level before a slight retracement to $98,745. The technical indicators suggest a strong bullish trend:
1. RSI Strength: With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62, Bitcoin exhibits momentum that could propel it to break key resistance levels.
2. Fibonacci Retracement: In the event of selling pressure or a correction, the $94,000 level—the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement—is poised to serve as a critical support zone.
3. Open Interest Surge: Open interest in Bitcoin futures has surged, driven by renewed institutional interest, particularly after Donald Trump’s presidential election victory. Firms like MicroStrategy (MSTR) are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation.
A Bullish Case
Bitcoin’s fundamentals are bolstered by several macroeconomic and geopolitical factors:
1. Institutional Adoption: Companies like MARA and MicroStrategy are doubling down on Bitcoin, reflecting growing confidence in its role as “digital gold.”
2. Hash Rate Milestones: Bitcoin’s monthly hash rate reached an all-time high in December, showcasing the network’s increasing security and resilience.
3. Political Developments: The anticipation of Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 2025 has spurred optimism in financial markets, with Bitcoin positioned as a safe haven against inflationary pressures.
Conclusion
With institutional adoption accelerating and macroeconomic conditions favoring digital assets, Bitcoin appears poised for a breakout. As MARA and other players continue to innovate, the cryptocurrency’s role as a cornerstone of the global financial system becomes increasingly evident. Investors and analysts should keep a close eye on the inauguration of Donald Trump and its potential market implications, as Bitcoin stands ready to capitalize on the evolving landscape.
BITCOIN New year, same thing..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just reclaimed the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) over the weekend and is so far successfully holding it below the price action, making it a Support.
The exact same price action took place in January last year (2024). In fact, as these 1D charts very vividly illustrate, the whole sequence from the September 06 2024 Low to today, is very similar to the sequence from the September 11 2023 Low to (so far) January 2024.
This incredible degree of symmetry is also extending to their 1D RSI and MACD fractals. The first formed Bearish Divergences under Lower Highs trend-lines, which when broken confirm the new rally, while the latter (MACD) was the early buy signal when it formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark.
If BTC continues to copy the January 2024 fractal, then we should be expecting a few more days of sideways price action, that will pave the way for the new (2nd) Rally Phase of the whole pattern. The 2nd rally peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the September 11 2023 Low, so if the pattern replication continues, we may see a peak above $150k.
So do you think the early 2024 bullish break-out will be repeated? And if yes, are you expecting a peak as high as $150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin return to above $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. One can look for Bitcoin sell positions in the supply zone.
Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will allow us to buy it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
In 2025, key narratives in the cryptocurrency market are expected to include asset tokenization, artificial intelligence, and Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Experts also predict that meme coins might become a major trend, while maintaining caution regarding Solana and Ripple ETFs.
In 2024, the crypto market experienced increased adoption and institutional investment. Experts anticipate significant trends in 2025 as the market matures and Bitcoin’s upward trajectory continues.
ETF providers are exploring more innovative and potentially riskier ways to attract investors to cryptocurrencies. New applications submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) include ETFs converting S&P500 returns into Bitcoin and funds investing in convertible bonds to purchase Bitcoin.
Additionally, Volatility Shares aims to launch inverse and leveraged Solana funds.If approved, more than ten new cryptocurrency-related funds could become available to investors in 2025.
Reports indicate that the Bitcoin network settled over $19 trillion in transactions in 2024, more than double the $8.7 trillion settled in 2023.
At the height of the 2021 bull market, Bitcoin’s transaction volume reached approximately $47 trillion. However, this volume significantly declined in 2022 and 2023. Nevertheless, in 2024, Bitcoin’s network reestablished itself as a store of value and medium of exchange with over $19 trillion settled.
Robert Kiyosaki, author of the best-selling book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, has predicted Bitcoin’s price to range between $175,000 and $350,000 in 2025. A strong advocate of Bitcoin, Kiyosaki believes the cryptocurrency can serve as a hedge against global economic volatility.
According to data from SaylorTracker, MicroStrategy currently holds 446,400 Bitcoin worth approximately $43.7 billion. Michael Saylor, co-founder of MicroStrategy, shared a Bitcoin chart from SaylorTracker on January 5, hinting at potential Monday purchases. He tweeted, “Something on SaylorTracker.com doesn’t seem right.”
The previous week, on December 29, Saylor shared a similar chart, and on December 30, MicroStrategy purchased 2,138 Bitcoin at an average price of $97,837 per unit. These purchases are part of the company’s 21/21 program, which aims to acquire $42 billion worth of Bitcoin through $21 billion in stock issuance and $21 billion in fixed-income securities.
MicroStrategy’s inclusion in the Nasdaq Index on December 23, 2024, provided traditional stock investors indirect exposure to Bitcoin through ETFs. Following its inclusion, the company held a special shareholder meeting to secure approval for increasing funds to buy more Bitcoin.
According to a December 23 filing with the SEC, MicroStrategy has requested shareholder approval to increase its Class A common stock from 330 million to 10.3 billion shares.
Big test for BTCMorning folks,
So, we're almost there - 100.5K area that we've discussed last time. BTC is almost completed the predefined XOP extension.
Why this level is so important. Because it determines the results of H&S daily pattern - whether it will work or fail:
Correspondingly, it tells where BTC will go - either back to the 108K top (or even higher) or starts deeper retracement to ~82-87K area.
Besides, it is important to us because we have to make a decision on short position taking. Here we also could use 1H potential H&S pattern, with 99K area of the right arm and potential level for decision making. This is just to not risk too much.
So, watching for completion of XOP, then 1H H&S - if everything goes as it should, thinking about short entry. If not - then start watching North.
BTC short idea - target $87,000BTC confirmed its break down from the rising channel on the 8hour time frame.
The break down target is between $87,000 and $84,000.
Invalidation of this trading idea is accepting BTC price above $100,000. So check for at least 4 hour candle close an above $100,000 to invalidate this.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Technical Analysis UpdateCurrent Technical Setup:
Rectangle Formation: BTC’s price is consolidating in a continuation pattern, signaling that the prevailing uptrend remains intact.
The longer this consolidation lasts, the more powerful the potential breakout due to the buildup of momentum.
Upside Targets:
A breakout from the rectangle could propel BTC towards $125,000–$130,000, aligned with Fibonacci extensions and prior bullish projections.
This would mark a continuation of Bitcoin's impressive rally while remaining technically structured and sustainable.
Support Levels:
$78,000–$80,000: Critical support zone to maintain the bullish structure.
Higher Low Formation: Reinforces buyers’ confidence and indicates the rally is built on a solid foundation.
Market Implications:
The current consolidation serves to stabilize the market, reducing the likelihood of a sharp correction.
Sustained buying interest at current levels suggests healthy accumulation, further strengthening the bullish narrative.
Outlook:
As long as BTC holds above $78,000–$80,000, the technical picture remains firmly bullish. A breakout above the rectangle’s resistance could trigger a swift move toward six-figure levels, marking the next phase of the uptrend. Patience is key, as extended consolidations often lead to explosive upward moves.
Professional Technical Analysis for Bitcoin + trade planTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
Resistance Level:
The red trendline indicates a strong resistance around $100,000 to $100,500.
Bitcoin has tested this resistance and is showing signs of a possible reversal.
Support Levels:
Immediate support is around $98,000 (green horizontal line).
Stronger support is in the orange zone between $96,000 and $97,000.
Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes are visible during resistance testing, suggesting selling pressure near $100,000.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Showing bearish momentum divergence at the peak, indicating potential downward pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 67, nearing overbought territory but not yet overextended.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates mild outflows, confirming weakening buying pressure.
Stochastic RSI: Overbought levels, crossing downwards, further supporting a short-term pullback.
Price Action:
The price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, but the rejection from resistance hints at a temporary retracement.
The projection shows a potential dip into the support zone ($96,000–$97,000) before resuming an uptrend.
Trading Plan
Short-Term Trading Plan:
Entry Point:
Wait for Bitcoin to retrace into the orange support zone ($96,000–$97,000).
Place a buy limit order within this zone to capitalize on the anticipated bounce.
Stop-Loss:
Set a stop-loss slightly below $95,500 to mitigate risk in case the price breaks key support.
Take-Profit Targets:
First Target: $100,000 (resistance retest).
Second Target: $103,000 (continuation breakout above resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Maintain a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3 for this trade.
Medium-Term Trading Plan:
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
If Bitcoin breaks above $100,500 with high volume, enter a momentum trade targeting $103,000–$105,000.
Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits in case of reversal.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
If Bitcoin closes below $96,000 with increasing volume, consider a short position targeting $93,000 as the next major support.
Key Trading Notes:
Monitor market sentiment and news, as fundamental factors can influence Bitcoin’s direction.
Watch for divergences in the indicators (e.g., RSI, VMC Cipher) for early signs of trend reversals.
Adjust position sizing based on risk tolerance and volatility in the crypto market.
Could the Bitcoin reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 101,945.49
1st Support: 91,763.50
1st Resistance: 108,400.14
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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Bitcoin on critical level Bitcoin is currently testing a critical resistance level, which is a price point where it often encounters significant selling pressure. This level acts as a barrier, and if the price successfully breaks above it, it could signal strong bullish momentum in the market. Such a breakout would likely attract more buyers, leading to notable upward price movements. On the other hand, if the resistance holds, Bitcoin might face a pullback or consolidation. Therefore, it’s essential to monitor the price action closely at this level, as it could indicate the next significant move in Bitcoin's trend.
Bitcoin is on critical level be careful Bitcoin is currently testing a critical resistance level, which is a price point where it often encounters significant selling pressure. This level acts as a barrier, and if the price successfully breaks above it, it could signal strong bullish momentum in the market. Such a breakout would likely attract more buyers, leading to notable upward price movements. On the other hand, if the resistance holds, Bitcoin might face a pullback or consolidation. Therefore, it’s essential to monitor the price action closely at this level, as it could indicate the next significant move in Bitcoin's trend.