XMRUSDT broke resistance, waiting for consolidation XMRUSDT is consolidating against the background of an upward (bullish) trend. The coin reacted weakly to yesterday's bitcoin pullback and is testing consolidation resistance with the aim of continuing growth
Scenario: at the moment the price makes a breakout of 401.65. Consolidation of the price above the level will confirm the intentions of buyers to go to the intermediate target of 440.0. Price consolidation above the consolidation will strengthen buying, which may trigger growth
BTC
BITCOIN New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that you should avoid looking for sell/short positions, as Bitcoin's price pattern was designed to trap short positions. The price followed the direction of the previous yellow arrow as anticipated.
Currently, the major resistance zone for Bitcoin on the chart is the red area. In this zone, a complete bullish pattern could potentially form | or at the very least, one leg of a bullish pattern may be completed.
Let’s see how it plays out.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Gold Price Forecast: May - June 2025Gold is currently trading at $3,345.02. The recommendation is to sell now, targeting a bearish move down to $3,050. This outlook is supported by the formation of a rising wedge pattern in confluence with a 3rd retest on the daily chart, a technical setup that often signals a downward price movement. After reaching the target of $3,046, expect a retracement back to $3,242, where the price is likely to retest the long-term bullish trend.
Next Step $155,600, Bitcoin Closes 7th Week Green +AltcoinsThe next target and major All-Time High has been confirmed as $155,601.73 for Bitcoin and this isn't likely to be the end of the bull market. This target is now confirmed after Bitcoin wicked lower on the weekly timeframe to test support but ended up closing green, the 7th consecutive week Bitcoin closes green.
This is a major, major bullish signal. It means one thing only, the demand for Bitcoin is just too strong. So strong, that nobody is willing to sell, at least not for longer than a few hours or a few days.
Sold at 100K? Good! Buy back in but higher.
Sold at 105K? Bad! Bitcoin continues rising.
Bought below $80,000? Congratulations, you are a genius and you are holding a great position, you have months and months of bullish action yet ahead of you.
Bought below $90,000? You are still good, you are wise, you are great. You have to congratulate yourself and know that all the gains you receive you deserve. You bought when the time was right, you bought regardless of what the others said.
Bought at $95,000 or lower? There was higher risk because resistance was strong right in front, 100K-110K, and yet, you took action, now you will be rewarded for being brave. The market will bless you with tons of profits and continued success.
Missed the Bitcoin bus? There is absolutely no need to worry, at all, because the Altcoins market is still trading near its bottom and is soon to grow; What one does, the rest follows.
The Altcoins market will follow Bitcoin. The Altcoins will move to strong highs, new heights and new All-Time Highs.
It is not too late... Crypto (Bitcoin & The Altcoins) is going up!
Namaste.
73 days looks to be spot on73 Day Lag to the Global M2 Money Supply looks to be spot on for the last year. If it is, this is good news with the M2 still climbing.
If I am right, we will have a dip within 24 hours of May 28th, only to get another pump to the upside withing 24 hours of June 2nd.
(I tried inputting all this data to Grok in order for him to give me some price targets. They were close to where I think the price will be but using the M2 for price targets still needs some work.)
Volatility Period: Up to May 29
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the previous ATH range.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise to around 109588.0 and receive support.
However, since it is currently going through a period of volatility, we need to be careful about trading until May 28th.
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If it falls further, we need to check if it can receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
In particular, whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is key.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, so we need to think about a response plan for this.
Therefore, if it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will show a pull back pattern.
The HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 102302.08, so it is important to see if there is support around this point.
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The OBV indicator shows that OBV is falling below the High Line, and the StochRSI indicator is also showing that it has switched to a state of K < D.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether OBV can touch the previous High Line or OBV EMA and rise.
If it falls below that, it is highly likely to lead to further decline.
I compared the previous OBV movements, that is, A, B, C, and the current movement, and the difference can be distinguished by whether it fell below the previous candle or not.
You can see that there is a difference from the previous movement because it is highly likely to close below the previous candle.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it falls below 102302.08 after the volatility period or rises above 109588.0-110787.38.
If it falls below 102302.08 and receives resistance, it will turn into a short-term downtrend, and if it rises above 109588.0-110797.38, it is likely that the uptrend will resume, so it is a meaningful section.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTCUSDT to bounce from 4h supportHere is an idea for trade on BTCUSDT. The price is coming close to the 4h support zone 4HS1.
It is likely that it will find support there and bounce from there towards 4h resistance 4HR1 and possibly towards 4HR2.
We will take some profit at 4HR1 level if the price reaches there and look to refill the position on any pullback.
We will also reevaluate if the price is really heading towards 4HR2 or likely to go around 96k-97k before fueling up for upward move.
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 105,255.25
1st Support: 101,983.62
1st Resistance: 111,758.60
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"BTC - Time to buy again!" (Update)As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price reached the top of the wedge and broke out with a price increase. Now that Bitcoin's price is above the wedge, it can be said that with a slight price correction, it could follow the pattern and make a measured move where AB = CD.
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin: Too Early To Buy The Retrace.Bitcoin may be entering a brief corrective formation within the broader bullish trend. The large red candle that rejected the 113K resistance (see my previous article), could be the beginning of a retrace that can take price as low as the 102,500 to 100K area IF bearish momentum persists. The mistake to avoid is buying this pullback too early, especially since there is no bullish confirmation on this time frame.
The red candle off the 113K area is what I like to refer to as the "mother bar". As you will notice, the following candle is a bearish pin bar which failed to break back above the 50% point of the mother bar (see blue arrow). This is a "mini" lower high and is typically a bearish sign for those operating on smaller time frames. A break below 106,500 would confirm a sell signal on this time frame as well as smaller time frames like 4H and 1H. This can be attractive for aggressive shorts, BUT it is very important to keep the broader trend in perspective.
This bearish development does NOT constitute a change in the broader trend. This means support levels are still more likely to hold, and resistances more likely to break. The higher probability scenarios in my opinion are bullish reversal patterns between the 102,500 - 100K area. Double bottoms, failed lows etc. on 1H, 4H or this time frame would be ideal for swing trade longs (see illustration). IF the bullish trend is going to stay intact, then a higher high is within reason which can see price test 113K or higher (120K is my next resistance).
Another VERY important consideration is the overall location of price. Currently in a Wave 5 (v) configuration which signifies limited potential in the near future. In other words, RISK is elevated and only continues to increase as price climbs higher. As "optimistic" as everyone may seem to be, this is a time to be more defensive, NOT aggressive. This can be accomplished by reducing expectations, operating on smaller time frames, and taking smaller positions. My Trade Scanner Pro helps to quantify risk which is especially helpful in rising risk environments such as this one.
In contrast, the location to be aggressively bullish was the 76K area low. Sure I can say this after the fact, BUT if you read my analysis and watch my streams from that time, I was pointing out the potential and the bullish signs as they were developing in real time.
Market situations like the one Bitcoin is in right now can be very confusing at times. Navigating this environment successfully depends on how you interpret price structures, trends and levels across multiple time frames and letting the MARKET validate ideas or not the other way around. Always consider arguments on both sides of the market and weigh those arguments against the style or strategy that you intend to deploy. And if confusion ensues, then the easiest thing to do is walk away. When potential is limited, there is nothing to fear in terms of missing out.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance
Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now.
⚔️ What’s Happening?
Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment:
🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65%
🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up
🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts
🔍 The Bigger Picture
Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to:
MACD reversal on the weekly
Oversold conditions now turning bullish
Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets
But let’s be clear:
🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet.
What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally.
📊 Tech Indicators
MACD: Overheated
RSI: Still has room to move up
So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet.
⚠️ What to Watch:
If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect:
➡️ Altcoin bloodbath
➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason
But if BTC.D continues to drop from here?
➡️ Altseason starts to heat up
🔮 Outlook
A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty.
Keep your eyes on:
BTC.D reaction at 62%–65%
TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears)
Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio
🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital.
📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR.
📎 Original forecast:
ETHUSDT at 2511: Breakout or Breakdown at 2550?Ethereum (ETHUSDT) is currently trading at 2511 on the 4-hour timeframe, sitting in a consolidation phase after a recent uptrend. Over the past few days, the price has shown resilience, bouncing off a key support level around 2400 and now testing a critical resistance at 2550. This 2550 level is a make-or-break point: a clean break above it could spark a bullish move toward 2700, while rejection here might send the price back to retest 2400. The broader market vibe is cautiously positive, with Ethereum’s upcoming upgrades generating some buzz, though regulatory uncertainties could weigh things down if negative headlines hit. Volume has been tapering off during this consolidation, which is normal, but keep an eye out, a breakout with strong volume will carry more weight.
From a technical standpoint, the 50-period moving average (MA) sits at 2450, and the 200-period MA is at 2300, with the price comfortably above both. That’s a solid bullish sign for now, but the 50-period MA is starting to flatten out, hinting that the upward steam might be cooling off. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60, right in the neutral zone, not overbought or oversold, so there’s room for the price to swing either way. Over on the MACD, the line is above the signal line, showing bullish momentum, but the histogram bars are shrinking, which could mean that momentum is losing some juice. Traders should watch for a breakout or a MACD crossover to get a clearer sense of what’s next.
There’s also a potential pattern taking shape: an ascending triangle, with the flat resistance at 2550 and a rising support line from 2400. This setup is typically bullish, but it’s not a done deal until we see a confirmed break above 2550. If that happens, especially with a volume spike, it’s a green light for bulls. On the flip side, if the price slips below 2400, it could signal a short-term bearish shift. For now, 2550 is the level to watch, it’s where the action will heat up. Whether you’re trading the breakout or the rejection, this is a spot to plan your moves carefully!
Bitcoin is still in an uptrend that is your friend.... but...BTC has taken a pullback after the orange swan event. Now that volatility has pushed down, I want to see the bullish response. If the bulls can't maintain the uptrend, the market structure defines a lower high. A CHOCH usually begins with a lower high followed by a lower low.
Full analysis: Link in the BIO
ETH cheaper than $1,500 already this SUMMER? Hi! While many are already predicting an alt-season and hundreds of X's, let's see if it's really so? 🤔
While bitcoin is updating ATH day by day. ETH is still trading almost 40% cheaper than its peak in this cycle . And on the low time frame it is already forming a double top pattern, signaling a downside risk in the near future.
With the current growth we have closed a small GAP at the level of 2,250 - 2,650. But there is still a GAP above us in the zone of 2,800 - 3,250. In addition, below us there is now a GAP formed in the range of 1,850 - 2,450. And as we know, 99% of GAPs tend to close sooner or later.
❓ But here's the question - which one will close sooner? Let's get to the bottom of it!
⚙️ Indicators and metrics:
MACD - has already given a bearish section, signaling a potential trend change.
Volume - since February 3, all further declines, the volume of ETH purchases has only declined, signaling a decline in interest in the asset. Even at 1400 and below, buying volumes were still disastrously low . Showing the lack of interest in the asset even at such prices.
VRVP - shows buying and selling volumes at price levels in relation to each other. It is noticeable that at the levels of 2,400 - 2,750 the trading volumes increase significantly , and in both directions. Showing that this level is still a strong resistance , and the mood in ETH is extremely speculative and few people are interested in it at 1,400, but at 2,500 it is good choice! 😁
📌 Conclusion:
In my opinion, this was a purely technical rebound for ETH after a long decline . As well as for the altcoin market as a whole. Those altcoins that were simply declining more rapidly than others are the ones that are growing fastest now.
Besides, I remind you that summer is coming soon and there will be less liquidity on the market. So unless the current market conditions push ETH to 3,000 and above . We can definitely not expect it in summer and the most probable scenario in my opinion is blue. I don't think we will see ETH at 1,500 and below (unless Trump does something weird), but it is possible to close GAP and go to 1,800.
Is BTC Poised for a Pullback or Continuation? Key Levels on 3D We’ve got a strong resistance level formed by the double top from Dec 14, 2024, and Jan 19, 2025.
✅ Price is above the 200MA, 50MA, and Bollinger Bands.
✅ MLR > SMA confirms the bullish momentum.
I don’t see any immediate reasons to panic. A pullback to the Bollinger Bands or even the 50MA could be in play, but the price action will depend heavily on macro conditions. 🌎
⚠️ If you're highly leveraged, consider risk management. Keep an eye on price action and stay cautious.
📈 Keep close, follow me for more insights, and thank you for reading! Stay safe. 🙏
BTCUSDT – Hitting resistance, is selling pressure returning?Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum after touching the resistance zone around 111,669. On the H4 timeframe, the previous bullish structure has stalled with a series of red candles and a clear pullback, bringing price back to test the EMA 34 zone.
In terms of news, although the market remains excited due to expectations surrounding a Bitcoin spot ETF, many large investors are starting to take profits after the recent sharp rally. This is causing selling pressure to slightly outweigh buying in the short term.
The most likely scenario now is that BTC could make a mild upward move to retest the 111,600 area – but if it fails to break above, a reversal back toward the support zone at 105,800 is highly probable. This area aligns with the EMA 89 and a previous accumulation zone.
Current strategy: don’t get caught in a false breakout. Instead, watch the 111,600 area and wait for a clear signal. If a reversal candlestick pattern appears, short-term sell entries may be considered with a target near the lower support.
Bitcoin Double-Top & $60K Correction ExplainedPeople are showing Bitcoin producing a double-top or shy higher high and then crashing down to new lows. This is a strong fallacy. Here we can see Bitcoin trading above $102,000 for 12 days before moving higher, this creates a support zone. (Green on the chart.) Bitcoin can easily consolidate above this level before moving higher. All the action in mid-December 2024 and late January 2025 also makes this zone a very strong support zone.
Before Bitcoin trades at $60K or $70K for example, it needs to break below $100,000. For Bitcoin to break below $100,000, it first needs to challenge $102,000 which is a super strong long-term support.
For Bitcoin to move below $102,000, it needs to break below $105,000. What Bitcoin is doing now, is simply consolidating the last advance, preparing for additional growth.
Notice that there is no huge bear volume candle after the new ATH. Also notice that the red candle happened the day after the ATH and not the same day. Bitcoin is not set to crash. Bitcoin will continue growing.
Remember, the FED will lower interest rates next month and this will be the boom (catalyst) that will push the Cryptocurrency market to the stars.
Namaste.
#202521 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls finally got the breakout on Wednesday and we printed the new ath. My max upside target was around 115/116k and the high so far is 112k. Can we do more? Bull trend line is unbroken, so yeah. We have seen 3 clear legs up and betting on more is always a bad strategy. My broader bearish bias also includes btc and I expect another try above 110k but it can be a higher high or lower high, you never know in advance.
current market cycle: Broad bull channel on the weekly and monthly chart. Daily is in a tight bull channel that will likely break next week
key levels: 100k - 115k
bull case: Bulls are fine as long as the trend line holds and they stay above 100k. I don’t have any targets above 116k and I do think we are in the last stretches of this trend. So if you are looking for confirmation bias on your “btc to 1mil”, you have come to the wrong place.
Invalidation is below 100k.
bear case: Bears need the daily close below 100k and/or print a clear lower high. Right now we have one big bear bar from Friday with terrible follow-through. Bears are not doing enough so don’t be early. I expect btc to hit at least 80k again this year but for now there is not much more to comment on until bears come around. Worst case for bears would be sideways above 100k for 2-3 weeks because that would be huge confirmation and bulls could dream about prices above 120k.
Invalidation is above 116k.
short term: Neutral. Expecting another try above 100k but that should conclude this bull trend. Only interested in shorts once bears come around.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-25: Will update this next week but plan here is the same as other markets. I wait for this to top out and trade it back down to 80k over the summer.
Intraday scenariosMorning folks,
Now we do not see yet any background for a "big game". Market needs time to manifest the next step. We said previously that it might be either direct upside action or big reverse H&S on weekly chart.
Now it is too few time passed to understand this. On a daily chart we have bearish context and engulfing pattern. So all that we have for Mon-Tue is an intraday downside AB=CD setup with ~104 and 101K targets.