Btc_usd
Bitcoin Analysis21.01.2023Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
🟡 The Most Popular Myths About Bitcoin Debunked 🔑During the existence of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, a large number of erroneous judgments have appeared about them, which continue to spread among people even now. This leads to cryptocurrency being treated negatively, as the vast majority of myths about digital currencies are aimed at discrediting them.
In this article, we will look at the most popular of them and debunk them for good.
Bitcoin Can Be Hacked
Cryptocurrencies are created based on blockchain technology, which organizes a database consisting of a chain of blocks. Each successive block has information about previous blocks. Such a database is stored simultaneously on all computers of the system participants.
This technology is based on the principle of decentralization, that is, the database is not in one place, and all the computers participating in the system, form a network. To affect the network in any way, it is necessary to get 51% of its hash rate. Only then will it be possible to make changes to the transactions and impose their acceptance on a minority.
Bitcoin's computing power is distributed all over the world, and to try to take over the network, a large amount of hardware has to be combined. Still, mining companies will not destroy their source of income. And even if someone decides to attack the system, it will at most lead to failures, which will be eliminated with emergency updates.
However, cryptocurrency exchanges and other digital money services are vulnerable to hacking.
Bitcoin Is Not Backed By Anything
Back in 1971, the U.S. authorities abandoned the Bretton Woods system (the gold standard), and the U.S. dollar lost its peg to gold. Since then, the U.S. currency has not been specifically backed but is directly dependent on the country's financial stability.
To understand what bitcoin is secured with and how its price is formed, it is necessary to consider the value and functionality that the cryptocurrency presents to its owner:
Anonymity. No one monitors bitcoin transfers and has no right to influence (cancel or suspend) the transaction in any way;
Low commissions. In the network of the main cryptocurrency, there is a fixed commission for transfers, which is set based on the load on the network. It means that the commission will be the same if you transfer $100 and $100k, as well as any other amount;
Speed. Bitcoin transactions are usually instantaneous. Allowable delays range from a few minutes to one hour, depending on network load;
Limitlessness. You can transfer bitcoins anywhere in the world. The main thing is that the recipient has a cryptocurrency wallet.
Thus, bitcoin allows making anonymous payments and money transfers of any amount, regardless of the location of the sender and the recipient of the cryptocurrency. This factor, combined with bitcoin's limited issuance (21 million coins), determines the demand that subsequently forms the cryptocurrency's price.
Bitcoin Is Used Only By Criminals
The anonymity that cryptocurrencies give does allow the use of digital coins in illegal schemes. But, in this case, it is no different from cash, which is also used in illegal activities.
Last year, bitcoin began to be actively bought by large companies to protect against inflation and other risks of the traditional financial market. For example, the main cryptocurrency of $1.5 billion was purchased by Tesla. According to CEO Elon Musk, Tesla sold 10% of bitcoins at the end of March and recorded a profit.
The oldest U.S. banks, such as Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan, are also showing interest in cryptocurrencies. The latter is already preparing to launch its first actively managed bitcoin fund. Goldman Sachs will also make cryptocurrency investments available to clients.
Bitcoin Is A Bubble
Back in 2010, the price of bitcoin was less than $1, but now it is worth more than $23,000. Other cryptocurrencies have also seen their prices go up by hundreds or thousands of times. This gave reason to compare the cryptocurrency market with a bubble that will surely burst, and investors will be left with nothing.
First of all, let's understand what a bubble is. It is an economic cycle of trading an asset characterized by an unsustainable growth of its market value. One of the first examples of such a bubble was the rise in the price of tulips in the Netherlands in the 17th century. At that time, their value soared tenfold, and never recovered after the collapse. There was also the famous dot-com bubble at the beginning of the century. Back then, the value of Internet companies soared and collapsed dramatically in a short period of time.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been around for more than a decade. During that time, they have gone through several cycles in which their value rose and fell. However, after all, previous falls, bitcoin has renewed its price records. Along with it, the entire cryptocurrency market grew.
As analysts explain, cryptocurrency fluctuations form a pattern typical of young markets. They expect assets to rise and fall with smaller fluctuations over time, and the time between these cycles will increase. That is, the cryptocurrency market will become more stable and predictable.
Buying Cryptocurrency Is Difficult
Many potential investors are deterred from buying crypto assets by their lack of experience. Since it is a new and technological tool, it may seem complicated. In fact, it is possible to invest through special exchanges, mobile applications, or other trading platforms. The registration procedure on them is usually no more complicated than, for example, creating an account on a social network or in an online store.
As a rule, the major exchangers ask to confirm the identity. To do this, it is necessary to upload a photo of the documents. This is a requirement of the world's regulators, which helps make exchanges more secure. However, those who value anonymity can also find exchanges where there are no such requirements.
The process of buying cryptocurrency itself is also simple. To do this, you can top up your account and use it to make purchases or pay with your card directly for each cryptocurrency purchase. In terms of complexity, this procedure can be compared to recharging a cell phone or buying goods.
One Needs A Lot Of Money To Buy Cryptocurrency
Most people learned about the existence of cryptocurrency when the price of bitcoin reached tens of thousands of dollars, which would seem to immediately cut off investors with a budget of a few hundred.
In fact, all services allow you to buy a share of bitcoin or another cryptocurrency. The minimum amount for which you can buy a cryptocurrency may vary from site to site, but usually, it's only a few hundred dollars.
If you buy a bitcoin or other cryptocurrency, you will earn on its growth, as well as those who operate with tens of thousands of dollars. If an asset doubles in value, for example, then the investments of everyone who holds it will also double. The same will happen if the crypto-asset becomes cheaper.
Only Pros Can Make Money With Cryptocurrency
There is a widespread belief that buying cryptocurrency is similar to trading on the forex market. They say you have to buy it when it goes down in price, sell it when it goes up in price, and so on in a circle. And in order to do that one has to understand its trends, news, and reasons for daily price changes.
Of course, that's how traders make money. However, most crypto investors are not actively trading. They only buy bitcoin or other tokens and wait for them to rise in price. This strategy is used by those who see the potential of cryptocurrencies in the long term. The superiority of this strategy is ease. You don't need to check the exchange rate every day and monitor the news.
Cryptocurrency Guarantees Anonymity
This myth arose because cryptocurrency allows for transactions outside of the banking system. There are also anonymous wallets, for the creation of which it is not necessary to enter any personal data.
At the same time, it should be taken into account that any transaction is recorded in the blockchain and saved forever. This means that if bitcoin has been in a wallet that is associated with criminal activity, no matter how much it is sent to other wallets, it cannot be "laundered". Law enforcement can access the blockchain data and track down the person who made the transactions. However, because this procedure is complicated, it is used only in special cases.
Everyone Who Buys Cryptocurrency Will Get Rich
There are a lot of stories about people who bought bitcoin when it was worth a few hundred and woke up rich a few years later. Similar cases occur with other coins that have increased in price tens or hundreds of times. However, this does not mean that everyone who buys cryptocurrency will certainly get rich.
Keep in mind that these are risky assets that can both rise and fall in value. In addition, their volatility is higher than that of stocks, real estate, or fiat currencies. Therefore, experts advise keeping 5% to 10% of their savings in crypto-assets.
Cryptocurrency Is A Vogue, And It Will Go Away Soon
A few decades ago, computers and e-mail were of interest only to a very limited number of technology enthusiasts. When Steve Jobs said that soon computers would be in every home, he was surprised to be asked, "what are they there for?".
The same thing is happening now with cryptocurrencies. So far, they have been used by a relatively limited number of people. But today's cryptocurrencies create ecosystems that, according to analysts, will continue to evolve, and there will be more and more practical applications for them.
There is growing interest in decentralized financial programs, which are safer, more reliable, and cheaper than the current systems. Tech giants are exploring ways to merge the real and digital worlds, using blockchain technology as a building block for this. States are thinking about creating their cryptocurrencies. So virtual assets, of course, will evolve and change but will remain with the technology on which they are based.
Conclusion
New tokens appear all the time and, quite possibly, some of them will increase in value hundreds of times. At the same time, some of them will depreciate or disappear altogether. Therefore, professionals advise diversifying your cryptocurrency portfolio: keep most of the funds in popular cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin or Ethereum, and only part of the funds should be spent on new projects that seem promising. This will allow you to keep a balance between risk and reward.
BITCOIN: CREATING NEW SUPPORT LEVELS.Hello traders, I hope you all are doing well with your health and your trades. Here's a quick update on BTC in a daily timeframe.
BTC has shown some rejection lately which is close to -6% in a single day. The denial may continue but only if it can break below the support 1 level at $20.35k. If BTC breaks down below the S1 level, we can expect the price to reach $19k and then a possible bounce back.
For now, if BTC maintains the support 1 level, it needs a breakout above $21.5k to continue a higher rally.
In long term, I am bullish on BTC and if BTC shows some correction then I will accumulate more.
That's it, for now. I will update BTC in a shorter timeframe as well.
Thank you for reading. Trade safely.
can bitcoin reach 400k?hello traders,
I haven't seen anyone talk about this subject technically, today I will reveal a maneuver that I have been observing in detail and encouraging me to publish.
* This is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but a vision that I have been observing since 2020.
I see the possibility of the market playing a C leg (of the abc pattern) inside wave 3, closing the target between 300k to 400k, but it is necessary that the top of the 30k confirm the support, say that ellon musk is looking to buy right? : D
NOTE: at the same time, I see the possibility of bitcoin going up to 1.8k in this case I do a complete analysis if you help me reach 500 subscribers on t3L3gram :)
I know the graph is polluted, but I put some images below for you to compare;)
1:
2
bitcoin possibility of a huge historical correctionbitcoin possibility of a huge historical correction
bitcoin manage your risk there is a possibility of a huge historical correction if the market is not bullish
my bullish view is rejection of the disruption of
If the market falls below, my opinion is that we closed a wave 5 of the whole history of bitcoin and we will correct it strongly ...
This pattern is called the top trap by the wycoff method
$BTC BEAR MARKET/RECESSION OUTLOOKMy realistic estimate would be that $BTC continues to rally at least to $25k, possibly even $28-30k as this is likely going to be a strong resistance level, then, if/when Q1-Q2 earnings are awful, it dumps back down IMO to $13.8k. I think the bottom could be as low as ~$10.8k or as high as ~$15k (approx. previous low, double bottom), however, I feel that $13.8k is the most likely between these 3 targets. I would reconsider bearish position if we break above the $28k-$30k level and hold it at support for a monthly close.
BTC/USD Weekly chart#BTC - weekly chart shows that the current sentiment is bullish, meaning that the value of BTC is expected to increase. There is a trend line forming that indicates a potential rejection, but there are also resistance levels at the same intersection point.
If we look at the past history of the chart, we can see that it has certain patterns that repeat.
However, it is important to keep in mind that this is just a probability and not a certainty .
In the coming weeks, I expect to see a strong pull-back. In the short-term, we are still bullish as long as the opposite isn't shown.
For investors, this is a good opportunity to balance their portfolios.
It's important to stay safe and not to make hasty decisions out of fear of missing out (FOMO)
Take care guys!
Bitcoin, end of Bear Market or simple Bullish Correction?Hello everyone, today I look back at the impressive bullish correction that occurred this week in Bitcoin .
Madness this week on the crypto market, Bitcoin takes more than 20%, Ethereum 15% and Solana 35%!
The question we can ask ourselves is, Is this the end of the Bear Market or a simple bullish correction?
Let's start with the reasons for this week's rise. From a fundamental point of view, we do not have much important information...
The first reason is the liquidation of short positions. The cryptocurrency market saw $721 million in liquidations in 24 hours, a record since November 8, 2022 and the announcement of the FTX bankruptcy.
The second reason is the end of the U.S. reserve's restrictive policy. Inflation in the US is decreasing, which allows the FED to slow down the increase of interest rates.
And finally the third reason is the low liquidity of the markets on weekends which accentuates the movement of the week.
From a technical point we can observe above that we are still in a bearish channel and that as long as this oblique resistance is not broken we will remain in a bearish trend. We can also observe that although there has been an important bullish movement it has not broken the technical resistance of $21500.
Conclusion: As the crypto-currency market has accustomed us in recent years, bitcoin as well as other crypto assets remains very volatile. However whether from a fundamental or technical point of view we remain bearish for the time being. In my opinion, as long as we haven't broken the bearish channel and the $30,000 technical zone we will remain bearish on bitcoin.
THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
Written by @maxencechachuat on 14 January 2023.