Btc_usd
BTCUSD Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov - 2 Dec 2022 BTCUSD Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov - 2 Dec 2022
We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 10.04% , down from 11.21% from last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 62th percentile, while with DERIBIT DVOL we are on 31th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish - 4.9%
In case of bearish - 7.7%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 19.4% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 18286
BOT: 14601
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 15500
64% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 16800
Lastly from a technical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a bearish trend.
BTC massive 2 years wedge (no one mentioned it before)BTC / USDT
BTC printed massive 2-years falling wedge
And no one is talking about it ,we need some more time to spend inside it ,but once price breakout the falling wedge resistance …new bullcycle will start
The bottom seems to be located in the confluence between :
- target of double top (bearish patten)
- lower trendline of falling wedge
According to many indicators We are in capitulation stage of the cycle so don’t give up ..bottom should be very close
Bear cycle is a pain for majority of traders but an opportunity for smart ones
Support my efforts and Share your opinions with me in comment section below ⬇️
BTCUSDT - SP + Test to the local maximum.Greetings to all, today's idea to go long from the lower boundary of the range after the signal SP + Test. After a spill and penetration of the previous support level, we see a narrowing of the spread and a gradual stop of the movement at the lower range, where support was formed. We can look for long entry points from the local minimums.
If you liked the idea, please like it. That's the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊
P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Withdraw profits in fiat and please yourself and your
your friends.
BTCUSDT - The father of the Targets is marked The main target for BTCUSD is marked above.
Until then I would not long any crypto assets for long term.
In short term , possibly it will start before the end of this weekend, the price of BTC will drop significantly.
Not financial advise, my view of the the market.
bitcoin bottom and false fairytales This is my last public publishing of an ending to this bear market. IF it seriously breaks below 13.5k, we go to 9k eventually. Time is price and price is the time. There is an equation for that if you know it.
IF on or about December 18th we touch 14K and it bounces, I wonder what the news will be like. Something devestating and catastrophic. Something written by Nostradamus I suppose.
However. It also means the market changes direction for a considerable time.
BTCUSDT/BTC KING COIN ✔👌👍🎁The analysis I did for you was a weekly analysis
From the point of view of Smart Money, Bitcoin will not see a lower floor and the best price is for this moment to enter.
From the point of view of divergence, we see that we have a weekly divergence, which leads to the upward trend of Bitcoin.
The highest goal in 2023 is 44,000 thousand dollars.
This goal is 21622 thousand dollars.
BTC is quickly returning to the $20,000 mark🖐 Hello everyone.
Forms a wedge pattern.
We are accumulating inside the wedge.
At the moment 17500 are strong resistance levels.
Briefly about the situation, now I am waiting for a decline to the support level and the withdrawal of liquidity.
After that, growth, since now most are waiting for a recession. I publish a very likely scenario for further price movement)
A good period for buying on credit has actually come)
🔥P.S Friends, support this idea with your like and any comment.
BITCOIN - Bear Market about to endAs with every bearish cycle, panic is reigning in the crypto world right now. And for this very reason it seems appropriate to make this analysis that, hopefully, will shed a ray of sunlight on the fearful ones. Since there is a lot to work with, I will divide the analysis into 3 parts (please note that this is macrocyclical trend analysis but fundamental analysis has not been considered).
The material in this publication has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any viewer. This publication is presented solely for informational and entertainment purposes and is not to be construed as a recommendation, solicitation or an offer to buy or sell / long or short any securities, commodities, cryptocurrencies or any related financial instruments. Nor should any of its content be taken as investment advice. Trading and investing is extremely high risk and can result in the loss of all of your capital. Any opinions expressed in this publication are subject to change without notice.
1) Cycle Duration: Bearish cycle & Bullish cycle
2) Bear cycle bottom & Current bear market correction
3) Bull cycle top & Next bull cycle gains
1) Cycle Duration
Bearish cycle : If we measure the duration of the previous bearish cycles, we can see that the 1st cycle lasted around 150 days, the 2nd cycle lasted around 640 days, and the 3rd one lasted near 820 days. If we average them we can estimate a duration of 550 days for the current bearish cycle. As a result, we can infer a high degree of probability that we'll touch the bottom within the 4th quarter of 2022.
Bullish cycle : If we measure the number of days between the maximums of each cycle, we obtain an average of 1180 days. With this result we can infer that the next cycle top will be around June 2024. On the other hand, measuring the duration of the bullish cycle of each macro cycle, we obtain an average of 600 days per cycle. Which allows us to forecast that the next bullrun will be between the 4th quarter of 2022 and the end of 2023 1st semester.
2) Bear cycle bottom & Current bear market correction
Bear cycle bottom : The first bitcoin correction was about 93%, the 2nd one was near 85%, and the 3rd one was arround 83%. On average, bitcoin corrections have been reducing by 5 points per cycle, so we can infer that the current correction can reach approximately 73%. The price bottom we obtain with these calculations is roughly $14,000
3) Bull cycle top & Next bull cycle gains
Bull cycle top : As in all markets, as the market capitalization of an asset increases, the amount of money that needs to be injected to produce a significant price movement also increases. Therefore, in percentage terms, we can expect the profit level of the next bullrun to be lower than the previous one. In total terms, the 1st bullrun saw a rise of around 52,000%, the 2nd bullrun rise was close to 12,000%, while the 3rd rise was close to 2,000%. With this movement patterns it's fair to assume that the gains porcentage will be lower, so we infer gains of up to 1,000% for the next bullrun. The price top we obtain with these calculations is roughly $150,000
I hope you enjoy this review and found it useful. Or, at least, that this helps to give that little push needed for trend reversal.
Cheers!
BTCUSD will continue dropping. When buy? (NEW)With FTX exchange collapse the whole crypto market has been collapsing.
BTC broke the key support and reached $15700. The bounce that we saw yesterday was just a successful bearish retest.
Most likely the price will continue dropping.
It wouldn´t be surprising to see more crypto firms, lending platforms collapsing in the next days or weeks which would increase even more bearish sentiment in the market what would result in a final leg down also for BTC.
The sentiment is very bearish and onchain data shows that people withdraw their coins from cryptocurrency exchanges.
It´s fearful territory and it may be very ugly soon.
$14 000 is not a strong support therefore we expect that if the price continues dropping, we will see $12 000 - $10 000.
DCA between $14 000 - $10 000 which seems to be a perfect buy area for a long-term investment.
P.S Not your keys , not your crypto. Buy the ledger and withdraw your coins from exchanges.
Good luck
Bitcoin and rest of the market in accumulationHi guys lots of mixed signals going around the market at the moment ,which generally indicates big investors wanting to buy in at a cheap price
as it shows we have already hit the bear market bottom and through some TA and FA we can make a call that our position is long
-RSI has a hit a strong oversold region and is also indicating a strong bullish divergence in the 4 monthly
-Market cap has hit the top of the 2018 market and therefore the bottom cap for the 2022 of 850bil
-Overall volume is indicative of Huge amounts of oversells leaving bears liable for long positions within 4-8 month positions
overall expect all short positions in the next 6 months to get absolutely lit up current volume depth is growing
alt market will be prime for yearly long positions entrys right now with most coins being able to 4-8x within the next bull market.
Will Bitcoin goes for 14500?Everything is clarified in the chart you can see upgoing and downgoing cycles after every bitcoin halving.
RSI had a downward breakout the red RSI trend line named T1 in the monthly timeframe where you can see a little red rectangle and arrow there. The continuation of the RSI path is probably like the blue line drawn named R1.
About the BTC price, I am expecting the price to reach 14500 - 19000 dollars until Dec 2022. of course, it can reach that target a few months earlier or late.
Note that before Halving 2024 bitcoin will not have ATH. It means before Apr 2024 bitcoins price will be under the 69000 and even maybe 50000 dollars. After that time the price will go to 120000 dollars.
Do not forget that the trend of the bitcoin and crypto market is still downward and bearish.
You can see my idea about this analysis in a weekly time frame in another published idea on my profile page.
Two scenarios for next bitcoin moveA lot of bad news is being talked about bitcoin those days and this inpact btc hard, if last wave is a drop correction btc will go futher down maybe next to 13500 then 11000( second scenario)
First scenario is if btc move up to 19800 but also there is bad move for bitcon becouse after that btc can crash hard
BTCUSDT - Next Move ( Weekly )Hi All
Bitcoin is in a range zone Exactly at 0.786 Fibonacci. It is a very important place and it cannot be broken easily. From here, we will go up to $25000 to hardly $30000 ( look at the huge volume ) and then the price will drop to the bottom of the channel ( it takes time), which is $10700.
remember that $30.000 is a powerfull supply zone for btc.
short term : price going up
long term : price going down
if you have a question comment it
This is not a signal . be carefull
GOD BLESS