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Btcanalysis

Bitcoin Breaks Uptrend line– Is a Crash Coming?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to rise and reached the upper areas of the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260) and has managed to break the Uptrend line . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have finally completed the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines once again, this is likely to be a heavy drop . Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,260), we expect more Pumps. Do you think Bitcoin can break the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) or not? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
4
Bitcoin’s Bullish Patterns_Ready for a Breakout!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) approached the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines but quickly started to rise. Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . And in this increase of Bitcoin in the last few hours, we can see the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern well in the 2-hour time frame . Educational tip : The Morning Star is a bullish reversal candlestick pattern that forms after a downtrend, consisting of three candles: a large bearish candle, a small indecisive candle, and a strong bullish candle. It signals a potential trend reversal and growing buying momentum. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , which can be a sign of Bitcoin's increase . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the entire corrective waves inside the descending channel were all in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) so that it seems that Bitcoin finally completed the main wave C in the previous hours. If Bitcoin breaks the upper line of the wedge pattern, we can confirm the end of the main wave C . I expect Bitcoin to be able to touch the Targets I specified on the chart AFTER breaking the upper line of the Descending Channel . Note: If Bitcoin goes below $94,400, we expect more dumps. Do you think Bitcoin can finally break out of this Descending Channel? Pump or Dump? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
Bitcoin Trapped in a Range – Which Way Will It Break?BTC is currently accumulating within a marked zone, trading within a broad range of approximately $17,800. The previous resistance line has now turned into support, indicating a possible consolidation phase before the next move. The price is fluctuating near the 50 EMA ($97,811.26), which may act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, while failure to hold support may lead to further downside.
by unichartz
$BTC.D bearish but the result is disapointing for alts.📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Turning Bearish CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is overbought and starting to turn bearish. Influencers are hyping up an alt season, but don’t fall for the FOMO. ⚠️ Reality Check ✅ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D dropped 2%, but altcoins barely moved. ✅ A small pump happened, but retail investors are not buying in. ✅ Many alt holders are selling to avoid further losses. 💰 Where's the Money Going? 🔻 CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance is decreasing, but funds are flowing into CRYPTOCAP:USDT and stocks, not altcoins. 📊 Technical Outlook 🟢 MACD & RSI indicate some potential in strong altcoins. 🚨 A flash crash in CRYPTOCAP:BTC could wipe out altcoin gains. 🔴 Major resistance at 60% may trigger a bounce, keeping alts suppressed. 📈 If the descending channel breaks upward, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D could hit 64%, leading to a 20%+ crash in altcoins. 🛑 Trading Strategy Recommendation ✔️ Day trade: Buy support, sell resistance, target 5-10% gains 📈 ✔️ Avoid leverage: Too risky in this market ⚖️ ✔️ Monitor MACD, RSI, and economic news for signals 📰 ❌ Holding is NOT recommended in these choppy conditions. Be cautious, take profits, and stay ahead of the game. 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
2
Bitcoin's Inverse Cup and Handle – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) at least dropped to the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . If we look at the Bitcoin chart in the 15-minute time frame , we will see that Bitcoin is completing the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern ( Handle of this pattern is being completed). As I said in the previous post, $96,700 is important for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently moving below this level , which could mean that the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern can work for Bitcoin. Educational tip : The Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It resembles a cup shape followed by a small consolidation (handle) before a breakdown. A breakdown below the handle confirms the pattern, signaling a potential downward move. The price increase in the last two or three candlesticks (in a 1-hour time frame ) was NOT accompanied by a large volume , and this can strengthen the theory of completing the handle of the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines and Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) AFTER breaking the Neckline of the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern . Note: If Bitcoin succeeds in breaking the Resistance line and stabilizes above $96,700, we can hope to break the Descending Channel, And the CME Gap($97,845-$97,110) will also be filled. Do you think the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern will work? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
Bitcoin’s Struggle Continues: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin’s price action over the past two months has been frustrating, with the price stuck in a range. The brief drop to the 90K zone following Trump’s tax announcement was quickly reversed. However, after a spike above 100K, BTC has once again been consolidating below this key level for the past two weeks. At the time of writing, BTC/USD is sitting on newly formed support at 95K. A break below this level could lead to another test of 90K. If bulls fail to hold the 90K support, the price could extend its decline, potentially dropping to 85K in the first instance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Bitcoin Stuck in a Range—Breakout or Breakdown Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous post but once again failed to break the 50_SMA(Daily) . In general, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for more than 10 days , making it difficult for Bitcoin traders . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) and created a Fake Break for the Resistance line . Meanwhile, it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a descending channel , and the falling wedge pattern has failed for me (in the previous post). Another point is that during the last 10 days , the most Bitcoin trades were around $96,700 , which number can play an important role in determining the direction of Bitcoin and can be an important support and resistance level for us . Regarding the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . An hour ago, Bitcoin managed to complete the microwave C from the main wave Y. It can be one of the signs of the completion of microwave C , which is a fake break . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) again AFTER breaking the $96,700 level , and this time, it has a higher chance of breaking this zone, and if this zone breaks, we should wait for Bitcoin to decline to the Support line . Note: If Bitcoin can touch $99,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise further and possibly break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200). Note: Generally, the trading volume is low on Saturdays and Sundays, and the chance that Bitcoin will go out of the range in the next two days is low, although it is not unlikely. When do you think Bitcoin will leave this range (upward or downward)? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
12
BTC's Potential Up to 77K & Down to 130K? Here’s WhyBINANCE:BTCUSDT has both bullish and bearish scenarios in play now. These days, the crypto market has been stagnant—no real pump, no real dump. 🔻 If it drops, how low will it go? There’s a potential multiple-top pattern. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks below the neckline at $92,000 with volume—or fails to reclaim it—then the target drop sits at $77,000. 🚀 If it pumps, how high can it go? A potential multiple-bottom pattern is forming. If MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN breaks above the neckline at $107,000 with volume—or successfully retests it—then the target is $130,000. 🔥 Short-term strategy The Feb 3rd candle had significant volume and has been a key resistance level multiple times. This makes it a strong reference point for entries. (See orange & light blue arrows.) 1️⃣ Long Setup Entry trigger: $102,500 (Feb 3rd high) Stop loss: $91,231 (Feb 3rd low) 2️⃣ Short Setup Entry trigger: $91,231 (Feb 3rd low) Stop loss: $102,500 (Feb 3rd high) 💡 Prices vary across exchanges. Use the prices from your trading platform. 🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss. 🔥 for more future script "guesses" like this!
by Harold_123
Bitcoin’s Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout—Next Stop: $100K?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall after US indices(Core CPI m/m_CPI m/m_CPI y/y) were announced but rose again. One of the reasons for the rise of Bitcoin in the previous minutes was Trump's speech , which talked about negotiations with Russia ." Trump: Putin and I agreed to have respective teams start negotiations immediately ."= The possibility of the end of wars , in general, can increase investment security. After several attempts to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) , Bitcoin failed to break this zone and created a Fake Break . Bitcoin is above the Support zone($96,150-$94,760) and near the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern . Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the Double Three Correction(WXY) as the main wave X was completed minutes ago . I expect Bitcoin to break the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern soon and rise to the Targets I specified on the chart. Note: If Bitcoin goes below $93,800, we have to wait for an attack on the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500), and there is a possibility of a heavy fall in this situation. Do you think the Falling Wedge Pattern will eventually increase Bitcoin? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24
BTC (Bitcoin) double top forming? The Bitcoin (BTC) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since the spike to all time high of 109,000 on 20th January 2025, the BTC price action is starting to display some signs of bearish behaviour by potentially forming a double top reversal pattern. The key trading level is at the “Neckline” 91,900 level, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 91900 level could target the upside resistance at 100,650 (20 day moving average) followed by the 105,590 and 109,460 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the “neckline” 91,900 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 85,275 support level followed by 79917 and 75060 ( 200 day moving average). This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
Bitcoin at a Critical Level: Will Support Hold or Break?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently accumulating within a marked zone, fluctuating within a broad range of approximately $17,800. The previous resistance line has now acted as support, indicating a key retest level. If BTC fails to hold this support, a further decline toward the key support zone could be expected. The RSI is near 42.83, suggesting neutral momentum, with no strong bullish signs yet. A breakdown below this range could trigger a bearish move, while a breakout above resistance would confirm bullish continuation. DYOR, NFA Thank you for your attention! If you found this valuable, please hit the like button and share your thoughts in the comments below.
Short
by unichartz
5
Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#3) | CPI ImpactBefore jumping into today’s analysis, let’s quickly revisit yesterday’s key event – the CPI report. As expected, it triggered a major sell-off in both crypto and stock markets. 📌 BTC Daily – Bulls Still Holding the Line? Despite the heavy selling pressure and low volume, BTC managed to close above the $95K support level yesterday. 📊 Key Observations: Sellers dominated, but buyers are still holding ground within this daily range. No confirmed breakdown below $95K, so yesterday’s short scenario is invalidated. Market remains extremely volatile, making clean trade setups difficult. 📌 Plan: Sitting out of crypto today until we get a clearer structure. 📊 DXY – Time-Based Correction or Breakdown Incoming? The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a time-based correction and testing a key support at 107.372. 📊 Potential Scenarios: ✅ If support holds, we might see DXY push higher, adding pressure to risk assets. ❌ If it breaks down, expect further declines toward 105.692 and possibly 103.451 (Fib levels). 📌 Bias: Short-term bearish, but cautious due to the overall uptrend. 📉 USD/JPY – Short Setup in Play? USD/JPY has completed its corrective phase within a major downtrend and seems to be resuming its bearish momentum. 📊 Key Trade Setup: 🔹 Short Entry: 153.391 (if triggered) 🔹 Take-Profit Zone: 152.473 support If momentum continues, this could be a clean short opportunity. Final Thoughts & Risk Management ⚠ Market is still choppy—wait for clear confirmations before entering trades. ⚠ FOMO is your worst enemy, risk management is your best friend. 💬 I’m Skeptic, and I’ll see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! 🤍 ⚠ Disclaimer: These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice. If you don’t have a solid risk management plan, these triggers may not be suitable for you. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
by SkepticWise
1
#Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Is a Reversal or Just the Beginning?BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is once again in the spotlight! The market is at a crossroads, and Bitcoin is deciding its next move. Recent weeks have shown volatility: sharp swings, battles for key levels, and attempts to hold critical zones. 💡 Key Metrics: ✔ Current Price: $95,472 ✔ ATH: $109,356 ✔ RSI: 45 – no clear overbought or oversold signals yet ✔ POC (Point of Control): $95,732 – we are near a major liquidity zone 🔥 What’s happening with #BTC? Bitcoin previously tested the $102,000 area, but sellers took control and pushed the price down. BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is now trading at a strong support level with high liquidity, making this zone crucial for future movements. If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P holds above $95,700, we could see a retest of $102,500 and higher. However, a breakdown below this level could lead to a move toward $92,000 or lower. 📉 Current Situation: ➡️ BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P continues testing the key $95,732 level, which serves as the POC (Point of Control) – the area with the highest liquidity and the most concentrated orders. ➡️ The price is consolidating at the lower boundary of the strong support zone $92,700 - $95,700. This level has held multiple times, but bearish pressure is increasing. ➡️ Resistance at $102,500 - $104,000 remains a crucial barrier for recovery. ⚡ Possible Scenarios: 📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Below): 🔴 If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P breaks and holds below $92,700, further downside movement is likely: ✅ Target 1: $88,000 – a previous area of strong buyer interest. ✅ Target 2: $84,500 – a critical support zone where a strong bounce may occur. ✅ If selling pressure continues, the next major support lies around $80,000. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Reversal Upwards): 🟢 If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P holds above $95,700 and breaks $100,000, a strong upward impulse may follow: ✅ Target 1: $104,000 – the nearest key resistance. ✅ Target 2: $110,000 - $112,000 – an area where new local highs could be formed. ✅ A breakout above $115,000 would open the way for testing $120,000. 📌 Bitcoin is currently in a high-risk zone, where any move could trigger a strong breakout. 📌 For traders: Be cautious with short positions, as the $92,700 - $95,700 zone could induce a bounce. 📌 For long-term investors: Watch the price reaction at $92,700 – if this level holds, it may be a strong accumulation point. 📌 Risk Factor: If BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P breaks and consolidates below $92,700, bearish momentum could intensify, leading to further declines towards $88,000 and below. 🚀 # BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is at a crossroads – be ready for a big move!
by MoriartyTrading
Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#2)Today’s market saw extreme volatility following the USD CPI data release. Inflation appears to be rising due to Trump’s recent tariff actions on countries like Canada, Mexico, and China, adding further pressure to markets. This led to a major sell-off in crypto and stocks, while pairs like USD/JPY surged. 📉 BTC 4H Analysis – Holding Support or Breaking Down? BTC dropped hard to $94K after the CPI release but found some rejection and is now still holding above the 4H support at $95K. 📊 Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ If BTC stabilizes above $95K, we could see a breakout above $98,500, triggering long setups. 2️⃣ If $95K fails, expect a test of lower supports at 92K and possibly $85K if rate cuts don’t continue. 📌 Recommendation: Stay cautious and wait for clear structure before entering. 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Bullish Recovery After Support Test Gold remains in a major uptrend and recently completed a price correction to the $2,884 support zone. After a fake breakout, it is now recovering and pushing higher. 📊 Trade Idea: ✅ Long trigger above $2,910 for confirmation. ✅ More aggressive entry: Buy early if we see higher highs forming. ⚪ XAG/USD (Silver) – Momentum Building for a Breakout Silver has been forming an accelerating uptrend curve, indicating increasing bullish momentum. This suggests the potential for high R/R trades if we catch the right move. 📊 Key Trade Setup: ✅ Breakout above $32.19 = Long Entry. ✅ Aggressive traders: Enter before breakout with stop-loss below the trendline. 📌 GBP/CHF Update – Holding for Bigger Move 📊 Our GBP/CHF long position triggered, but we didn’t enter just for a small range move—the goal is to catch a breakout of the daily range for at least R/R 2. ✅ Stop-loss remains below the 4H range bottom. ✅ Holding position unless market structure shifts. Final Thoughts & Risk Management ⚠ Markets are volatile after CPI—don’t FOMO. ⚠ Keep stop-losses tight & follow structure. ⚠ See you tomorrow with another breakdown! 📌 If you missed yesterday’s analysis, go check it out for better context! ⚠ Disclaimer : These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice . If you don’t have a solid risk management plan , these triggers may not be suitable for you . Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
by SkepticWise
1
Bitcoin Analysis—Bulls vs Bears—Who Will Win This Battle!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and 100_SMA(Daily) but started to rise again. The increase in the last few hours has NOT been accompanied by high volume so far. Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper lines of the Falling Wege Pattern , the Monthly Pivot Point , and 50_SMA(Daily) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) near the upper lines of the Falling Wege Pattern . If Bitcoin goes above $99,200 , this wave count will expire . Educational tip : If you cut the falling wedge pattern exactly in half, you will notice that most of the candles are in the lower half, and whenever Bitcoin hits the upper lines, it starts to fall immediately, which means that the power of sellers is more than buyers. Although the wedge pattern is a bullish pattern, we cannot expect an increase until the upper line is validly broken. I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the 100_SMA(Daily) and Support zone($96,520-$95,720) in the coming hours, and if it breaks , it will also attack the lower line of the falling wedge pattern . Note: If Bitcoin breaks the upper lines of the falling wedge pattern in huge volumes, we should most likely wait for the break of the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200). However, the main resistance of Bitcoin is the $107,000 range. Note: If Bitcoin manages to break the lower line of the falling wedge pattern and 100_SMA(Daily), we should wait for Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines. Which scenario do you think will happen to Bitcoin? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
17
Bitcoin’s Price Squeeze—What’s Next?Bitcoin (BTC) is currently consolidating within a marked accumulation zone after facing resistance near its all-time high (ATH). The price is fluctuating within a broad range of approximately $17,800, indicating a phase of indecision between buyers and sellers. The key observation is that a previous resistance trendline has now flipped into support, showing a potential shift in market sentiment. Additionally, the 100-day EMA around $93,458 is providing dynamic support, reinforcing this bullish structure. The key support zone (highlighted in green) remains critical; as long as BTC holds above this area, the bias leans bullish. A breakout above the accumulation range could trigger a strong upward move, potentially retesting the ATH. Conversely, if BTC loses the support of both the trendline and the 100 EMA, it may lead to a deeper correction toward lower support levels.
Long
by unichartz
Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#1)From today, I’ll be sharing daily BTC & Forex market breakdowns, covering key levels, potential trade setups, and insights into market psychology. These won’t just be standard analyses—I’ll also include the setups I personally take and why. Let’s get straight into today’s breakdown. 🔥 📌 BTC Daily & 4H Analysis BTC has held the $95K support zone well, but volume remains extremely low. The doji candles forming on the daily indicate market indecision and lack of strong buying or selling pressure. 📊 Key Takeaways: Order books are thin, meaning any slight increase in volume could trigger a sharp, volatile move. I’m favoring long positions, as they align with the higher timeframe trend. Key Levels to Watch: 🎯 High-Risk Entry: $98,506 – Offers high R/R and a chance to hold the trade longer toward a potential breakout of $107K. ✅ Safer 4H Entry: $106K – More conservative but ensures confirmation. Major Daily Breakout Trigger: $108,660 – Expect high momentum, so it’s better to anticipate the move rather than react late. 📌 DXY Analysis – Key to Forex Market Movement The Dollar Index (DXY) remains in a major uptrend, but momentum is weakening, making its movement more uncertain. 📊 Key Levels: If 107.288 - 107.443 fails as support, expect a deeper correction. Otherwise, DXY remains bullish, which could pressure risk assets. 📌 GBP/CHF 4H – Breakout Play GBP/CHF is currently ranging on the daily timeframe, but on 4H, we have a clear range box. 📊 Potential Trade Setups: Long above 1.13121 🎯 – If resistance breaks, target higher levels. Short below 1.12326 🔻 – If support fails, expect further downside. Bias: Since the previous fake breakdown failed, I see a bullish breakout as the more likely scenario. 📌 JP225 – Channel Uptrend Setup JP225 is trending within an ascending channel and recently faked a breakdown before reclaiming higher levels. 📊 Trade Plan: Breakout of 38,949 → Go long if confirmed. Major Risk Event: US Inflation Data (Wednesday) – Could bring major volatility, so trade with caution. 📌 Market is in a decision-making phase—don’t FOMO, wait for confirmation. 📌 Wednesday’s CPI data could be a key volatility trigger. 📌 Stick to your trading plan & manage risk properly. 🔔 See you tomorrow for the next breakdown! Stay sharp.
by SkepticWise
1
Crypto Bull Run Is Over? Or Just Another Market Trap?Have you lost faith in the bull run? Think the trend has shifted bearish? Not sure what to do with the BTC you’re holding? I’m Skeptic , and if these questions are on your mind, stick with me until the end of this analysis. Let’s dig deep into the real state of the market! 1️⃣ Is the Bull Run Over? Let’s Analyze the Big Picture To answer this, let’s break down key parameters: ✅ Major Trend Analysis (Weekly Timeframe) Imagine looking at the BTC weekly chart as if it were a 15-minute chart—does it look weak? Is it bearish? Most traders would say NO . The overall structure is still in an uptrend, and right now, we’re simply experiencing a time-based correction (sideways movement). Even if this turns into a price correction, dropping to $80K-82K, it’s still within the healthy range of a bull cycle. 🔹 Rule of Trend Structure: As long as we don’t break a lower low on the weekly timeframe, and BTC.D doesn’t turn bearish, we are still in a macro uptrend. 2️⃣ Signs That We Are Still in a Bull Run Ironically, most traders only believe in a bull run at the top and lose faith in it during corrections. But let’s look at the real signs: 🔹 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is Rising – This happens when the market rotates capital back into BTC before the next big leg up. 🔹 Altcoins are Crashing Hard – This is a classic market reset before the next move. 🔹 Bearish Sentiment & Fear Are High – The moment people start losing faith, is usually when the biggest moves are about to happen. 🔹 Negative News is Everywhere – Historically, corrections come with bearish news, shaking weak hands out before the real rally continues. This pattern is nothing new. Let’s take a look at the Crypto Market Cycle Stages to understand where we are now. 3️⃣ Understanding Market Cycle Stages 🔄 Every crypto cycle moves through distinct psychological phases: 1️⃣ Disbelief (Accumulation Phase) This happened between 52K and $72K, when people thought BTC wouldn’t rise again. 2️⃣ Hope (Early Bull Stage) We are here right now—BTC has broken out, but many still doubt it. 3️⃣ Optimism (Strong Rally Begins) Coming next, when BTC starts pushing new highs, and retail traders begin FOMO-ing in. 4️⃣ Euphoria (Market Peak & Bubble Zone) This is where everyone is convinced BTC will go to $500K+ and institutions dump on retail traders. Right now, we are in the HOPE stage, and many are expecting instant results. But real gains in the market take years, not days—just like they always have. 4️⃣ Market Patience: Lessons from the Past 📌 Remember the $72K BTC Range? Before BTC hit $100K, it spent 6 months in a sideways range. Everyone was frustrated, saying the bull run was over. But what happened next? A massive rally. 📌 When BTC Hit $100K, Many Had Already Left By the time BTC made its big move, many had already quit or stayed sidelined, only returning when it was too late. Don’t repeat that mistake! Final Thoughts 💡 The market moves in cycles, and corrections are a natural part of every bull run. Instead of fighting reality, embrace it: ✔ As long as BTC holds major structure levels, we’re still in an uptrend. ✔ The best opportunities come when fear is high, not when everyone is euphoric. ✔ Patience always wins—those who stay through the tough times are the ones who make it. 💬 Do you think we’re still in a bull run, or do you believe the cycle has ended? Drop your thoughts in the comments! I’m Skeptic , and I provide market analysis & educational content. If you want to stay ahead of the trends, follow me for more insights! 🤍
Long
by SkepticWise
1
Bitcoin Intraday Thesis – February 10, 2025Market Context & Decision Current BTC price: $97,336 Position: HOLD BUY (Entry: $95,414) Target: $98,500 📈 | Stop-loss: $94,800 Key Insights 🔹 Bullish Sentiment – Financial data and historical trends suggest strong upward momentum. 🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals, with BTC showing short-term overbought conditions, requiring caution. 🔹 Derivatives Data – Funding Rate: -0.02% (Slight negative bias, but not strongly bearish). Open Interest: 75,758 BTC (Healthy market activity). Price Expectations & Strategy 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (80% Confidence) BTC pushes towards $98,500 if bullish sentiment continues. Strong historical & financial backing supports the upward move. 📊 Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction If BTC fails to break GETTEX:98K , overbought conditions may trigger a pullback. Support at $96K-$95K remains key for continued bullish structure. Conclusion HOLD BUY remains the optimal strategy. BTC likely to test $98,500, but traders should monitor support levels in case of volatility. Keep an eye on funding rates & open interest for further confirmation. 🚀 Will Bitcoin reach $98,500 or face a pullback? Let’s discuss! 👇
by titankarma
Bitcoin’s Fake Breakouts—Bears Taking Control!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to defeat Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point for the umpteenth time and even created a Fake Break . It also seems that Bitcoin has been unable to break the Resistance lines . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing the corrective wave so that the structure of the main wave C is the Expanding Ending Diagonal . I expect Bitcoin to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and touch $95,500 this time, I told you about the importance of this price in the previous post . Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point , we should expect an increase to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($103,210-$102,454) . It doesn't seem reasonable for Bitcoin these days to provide a long-term or even mid-term analysis, and we need to stick to a series of resistance and support levels in order to determine the next targets. Do you agree with me? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
28
Bitcoin Pullback or Trend Reversal? Key Levels to Watch!Bitcoin failed to Break the $107,000 Resistance as in the Previous post (the 7th attack failed ). Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , near the Support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point . This upward movement these few hours can be in the form of a pullback to 50_SMA(Daily) and Support lines (broken) . Of course, the worrisome point is the momentum of this upward movement . According to the theory of Elliott waves , this increase of these few hours can be in the form of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure so far is a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to once again attack the 100_SMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $102,926-$100,450 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,570-$91,249 Note: If Bitcoin goes below $97,000, we should have more confidence that this analysis is correct. Note: If the CME Gap($102,580-$100,320) fills in this uptrend, we should expect another attack on the $107,000 resistance. Do you think the correction of Bitcoin continues, or should we wait for Bitcoin re-pumps in the coming hours? Please share your ideas in the comments. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
31
BTC next moves for 2025? Will 2021 repeat itself? Let's see :) History repeats itself, but will 2021 cycle repeat itself? If we break 90K next level around 70, but there are many longs down the line, liquidation and long squeez is likely leading us to 60 if not 50 ranges, a wick is expected then a retest to 90K levels to get rejection before final breakout to the all time trend prices likely around 115-120K. The herd will get excited by then, expecting a price to go above 120K, but I don't see this happening. And small dream secret, Nakamoto to be revealed later this year leading to significant crypto crash. I know many may laugh, but let's see how this go! It makes sense from technical POV (hahaha, except my dream which likely to happen - since I don't dream too often) - keep an eye on RSI to get back in 40s before refill. This idea is valid only and only if BTC breaks 90K and closes both daily and weekly below it with some a high volume! Desclaimer: The ideas and strategies presented here are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this post is not liable for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Trader-Vas
1