Geopolitical Tensions & Technical Pattern Point to BTC Decline!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell about -5% after tensions between Israel and Iran escalated. Unfortunately , these tensions are still escalating, but Bitcoin has managed to recover about +3% so far.
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($107,120-$105,330) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin is completing a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure could be Contracting Triangle . In case of a sharp decline in Bitcoin again, we can consider these waves as five descending waves (if Bitcoin does NOT touch $106,600 ).
I expect Bitcoin to start declining again and at least drop to the Support zone($107,120-$105,330 ). The second Target could be the Support line and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($107,120-$105,330), we can expect further increases in Bitcoin.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Btcanalysis
My BTC Play With a Macro BoostThis isn't about guessing.
This isn’t hype.
This is what happens when structure, liquidity, and macro fundamentals align.
Let me break it down:
Technical Perspective
BTC just pulled a classic trap.
✅ Liquidity Sweep: Price dipped below the 4PDL (Previous Day's Low), sweeping out late longs and triggering emotional shorts.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS): Price broke cleanly broke strucutre, confirming bullish intent.
✅ Fair Value Re-entry Zone: We now have a clean FVG zone if price pulls back.
But that’s not all...
🔼 Retail Pattern Detected :
Look closely, there's a textbook ascending triangle in there. Retail traders often use it to predict bullish breakouts. What they see as a triangle, we see as smart money coiling pressure before the move.
Fundamentals Supporting the Structure
This move isn’t just technical, it’s backed by real market weight:
Public companies are buying Bitcoin by the billions: MicroStrategy, Trump Media, Metaplanet they’re not “speculating,” they’re storing BTC as a treasury asset.
Institutional inflows are accelerating: ETFs, sovereign interest, and large-cap investors are building long positions — and it’s beginning to reflect in the chart.
The U.S. is formalizing a Bitcoin reserve policy.: Call it political, strategic, or monetary — either way, it reinforces that dips like this are being bought by giants.
The candle doesn’t lie but neither does the macro narrative when they both point in the same direction.
Mindset Tip: Ride Logic, Not Emotion
This setup teaches us something important:
You don’t have to catch every move. You just need to understand why it moved — and position accordingly.
If it pulls back, don’t panic. Let the market invite you, not rush you.
BTCUSD Hey everyone,
Taking a closer look at the BTCUSD chart, I've plotted some interesting price levels that could act as significant support and resistance in the coming weeks. This analysis aligns with what appears to be a trend-based Fibonacci time analysis, and I've also marked some crucial dates where we might see major market changes.
Based on our observations, we're seeing a range of important price action. For instance, notice the cluster of highs around the 112,048 to 113,343 area. These levels, particularly those marked with an asterisk such as 112,167, 112,503, and 113,006, have previously shown strong upward movements, suggesting they could serve as notable resistance if price attempts to push higher.
Conversely, on the downside, the levels from 111,952 down to 110,665, with points like 111,833, 111,499, and 110,832 highlighted, have historically seen bounces or significant slowing of downward momentum. These could very well act as crucial support areas, preventing further declines.
As we move forward, it will be crucial to observe how price interacts with these levels, especially around the following dates where we might see major market shifts:
July 4th, 2025
July 11th, 2025
July 26th, 2025
August 9th, 2025
August 16th, 2025
September 9th, 2025
The higher resistance points reaching up to 118,793 and lower support extending to 105,407 define a broader range we'll be watching closely.
Keep an eye on these zones for potential reversals or breakthroughs, particularly around the dates mentioned, which could signal the next significant move for Bitcoin. As always, manage your risk accordingly.
What are your thoughts on these levels and potential turning points? Share in the comments below!
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Let me know how this analysis works for you—your insights will shape future reports!
Let’s navigate the markets together—wisely and proactively.
Trade safely!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
Price High Price Low
112048 111952
112084 111916
*112167 *111833
*112335 *111666
*112503 *111499
*112670 *111332
*112838 *111165
*113006 *110998
*113174 *110832
*113343 *110665
114017 110001
*114693 *109339
115372 108678
116052 108020
116734 107364
*117419 *106709
118105 106057
118793 105407
$BTC correction has just started. What is coming next?As I previously stated in my CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 analysis — this move was expected. Check out my other ideas for more detailed breakdowns.
So, what’s happening?
Bitcoin maximalists have been buying heavily at the top, right when RSI and MACD were in overbought territory, creating a clear bearish divergence.
Something Saylor and others seem to ignore: you can't defy mathematics — what needs a correction will correct.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC still looks bullish on the weekly timeframe, so we’re not entering a bear market. However, the pump is over, key supports have broken, and altcoins are correcting — some by -25% in a single day.
Purely from a charting perspective, we can identify multiple potential support levels for CRYPTOCAP:BTC :
$101K, $94K, $89K, $87K, with a lower-probability retest down to $75K.
We’re likely entering a 2-week correction, after which CRYPTOCAP:BTC could resume its uptrend — potentially closing June at a new all-time high.
DYOR.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoins #CryptoCrash #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCdominance #TOTAL2 #BearishDivergence #Saylor #RSI #MACD #ATH #DYOR
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Last week, Bitcoin made a sharp bullish move upward, aiming for retail liquidity, which made the forecast path more difficult.
The green zone is a support area where Bitcoin might react.
To collect the ATH liquidity, Bitcoin needs to break through the red zone.
Let’s see what happens | when the market direction isn’t clear, there’s no need to take unnecessary risks.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Near Breakout – CPI Miss Could Be the Catalyst?Just Released: Key U.S. Inflation Data:
Core CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast)
CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast)
CPI y/y: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast)
Market Reaction & Outlook:
The softer-than-expected inflation figures suggest easing price pressures in the U.S. economy — a potential bullish signal for risk assets, such as Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
-----------------------------
Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame .
Bitcoin is trading in the upper part of a Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) and is trying to break through this zone. The announcement of US indexes could be a trigger for a breakout of this zone .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . The structure of microwave 4 is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support line again and rise to at least $110,670 and if the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) is broken we should expect new ATHs in the coming days .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $108,791-$107,887
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,840-$105,457
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $111,381-$110,568
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $105,700(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines.
If you want to know my weekly analysis about BTC , I suggest you check out the following idea:
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Will Bitcoin move toward its ATH?This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that the red zone marked on the chart could potentially be broken.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin’s diametric pattern has completed, and it has entered a corrective phase.
It now appears that we are in wave B of a running flat, and wave B could complete around the all-time high or slightly above it.
Let’s see whether this move will play out or not.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin’s Final Wave & Time Reversal Zone _ New ATH Loading?Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the weekly time frame and answer these questions :
Can Bitcoin create a new All-time High(ATH) or not!?
At what price range can Bitcoin's uptrend end!?
When can we expect the uptrend to end!?
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin appears to have managed to break the Resistance lines , although we saw a fake break a few months ago , and it also appears to have a Hammer Candlestick Pattern in the previous weekly candle , which could signal the completion of Bitcoin's pullback to the Resistance lines(broken).
In terms of time , if we want to analyze the Bitcoin chart and look at Bitcoin's past, in general, the months of June(Average=-0.13%/Median=+2.20%) and especially July(Average=+7.56%/Median=+8.90%) have been among the most productive months for Bitcoin , and the months of August(Average=+1.75%/Median=-8.04%) and September(Average=-3.77%/Median=-4.35%) were the months when Bitcoin had a correction . Technical analysis tools show the end of the upward trend and the beginning of Bitcoin's correction at the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing the main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Bitcoin to trend higher(+10%) in the coming weeks and create a new ATH . New ATH could be created in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and TRZ , and then we can wait for the start of the main correction .
What do you think about Bitcoin’s future movement? Can Bitcoin create a new ATH? When and at what price?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
These days, Bitcoin's movement is mostly driven by liquidity hunting and is caught in complex and risky corrections.
The resistance zone currently in front of Bitcoin is marked in red. If the price is going to get rejected, it should happen from this zone. However, if this zone is broken and price stabilizes above it, Bitcoin could turn bullish again.
Considering today is Monday, volumes are still low, and the price is near a strong order block | you should be careful with your positions.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin’s Reversal from Supports — Is the Correction Over? Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous idea , and it also reversed the decline I intended and started to rise from the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) , Support lines , and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,500-$105,265) , and Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave Y . The main corrective structure was the Double Three Correction(WXY) . If the Resistance lines are broken , we can confirm the end of the main wave Y .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising after a re-correction from Cumulative Long Liquidations Leverage and reach the targets I have specified on the chart.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $102,883-$102,181
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $101,318-$100,748
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines.
Note: $105,500 is an important price for Bitcoin, and if Bitcoin can close the 4-hour candle above it, we can expect a break of the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)After dropping toward the 100K zone and sweeping the liquidity pool, Bitcoin has made a strong rebound to the upside, putting high-leverage short positions at risk. However, it is now approaching a supply zone that could potentially push the price back down toward the 98K area.
If the market maker intends to drive the price lower and trigger a bearish scenario, this is the zone to do it from. Let’s see what happens.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level ($107,000) would invalidate this analysis.
Let’s see how Bitcoin reacts to the red box.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin's Structure Breaks — PRZ May Trigger a BounceBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has finally continued its downward trend , as I expected in my previous idea .
Do you think this downward trend will continue or not?
Bitcoin has now managed to break the Support zone($104,180-$103,670) and the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to continue to decline to the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and then start to rise again.
I choose to label this idea as ''Long''.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin’s Bearish Signal: Key Levels to WatchFenzoFx—Bitcoin consolidates near $104,225 after breaking below the bullish trendline, signaling a possible break of structure. This level acts as immediate support, and a bearish wave could form if BTC closes below it, targeting the $101,880 demand zone.
The bearish outlook remains valid unless Bitcoin surpasses $108,215. If broken, price could rise toward $111,800.
$BTC UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $104,987 support in effect, previous weekly closed with bearish engulfing, 4h closed with bullish engulfing - current 4H trying to follow thru. $107,461 support needed to push for $110,423 resistance, and then the new ATH. $103,093 current support, $99,361 key support from here. Watch given S/R
Bitcoin’s Rally Fades Below Resistances — Bearish Wave Setup!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , but failed to break the Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,820) .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($107,520-$105,940) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($106,720-$105,948) , and the Resistance lines .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 4 near the Resistance lines. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 could be the Evening Star Candlestick Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($103,666-$102,800) AFTER breaking the Support line , and the next target is the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) .
Note: Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine could help drive down Bitcoin.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $107,600, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC NewUpdate (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
As we had identified in the previous analysis, the price could have reversed to the upside from either the upper or lower green zone. It seems that the orders in the upper green zone were sufficient.
Given the break of the trigger line, the area marked by the yellow circle is now a key zone for us. If the price pulls back to this yellow circled area, it could move toward the red zone. And if the red zone is broken, we might witness a new all-time high (ATH).
The closure of a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Faces Critical Resistance—Breakout or Further Decline?FenzoFx—Bitcoin continues its bearish trend after hitting its 2025 all-time high at 113,165. BTC/USD is currently trading near $105,400, a high-volume area where price could either bounce or break lower.
The key resistance level rests at $103,170, supported by a bullish Fair Value Gap. If price holds above this zone, Bitcoin could rise toward $107,090.
However, a close below $103,170 would invalidate the bullish outlook, with the next bearish target at $99,435.
Bitcoin is bearish | stay cautious (1H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We have been warning about a potential Bitcoin correction for some time. It appears that wave G has ended, and key levels have been lost. If the price reaches the red box, it is expected to be rejected downward.
The green zone is a relatively strong support area for Bitcoin, and we should closely watch this level.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Bounce on Trump Tariff Delay – Short Setup Still Valid!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , and declined near the Support lines .
Bitcoin started pumping after the news that " US President Trump agreed to postpone 50% EU tariffs until July 9th ." Do you think this pumping of Bitcoin will continue?
Bitcoin is trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,800) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , Bitcoin appears to be in corrective waves , which is why I am labeling this idea as a ''Short''. The corrective waves structure is of the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) type.
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines once again, and if these lines are broken, it will decline to the Targets I have indicated on the chart.
Notes :
MicroStrategy bought another 4,020 Bitcoins, but it didn't have much of an impact on the market.
If the Bitcoin price falls back below $109,000, about $185 million in long Bitcoin positions will be liquidated . = Attractive for exchanges
Bitcoin 2025 Conference to be Held in Las Vegas, Tuesday-Thursday = Could Cause Market Excitement .
Note: If Bitcoin touches $112,080, we should expect more pumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin's upward movement continuesThe upward movement that Bitcoin started at $74,550 has many similarities between its waves. Considering the similarity in price and the large time between waves A-C-E-G and waves B-D-F, it is clear that a diametric or symmetrical is forming.
Considering that the post-pattern movement after the g-wave has not passed, there are two scenarios:
1- Formation of an x-wave after the diametric
2- Formation of a symmetrical
However, considering that the post-pattern movement after the g-wave has not been confirmed and the high similarity in price in all waves, my opinion is that a symmetrical is forming and we will have another upward wave. This upward wave could end at $115,500 or $123,000.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
BTCUSD - $100K FINALLY!! WHAT NEXT?MARKET UPDATE
We've finally seen BTC @$100k after the long wait. So what's next on BTC Price Action?
My next Target is $110,000 which was the highest point it got to before the drop. With the current momentum i don't think it'll make a deep retracement before getting that price target.
MARKET PROFILE
I want to see a displacement to the upside earlier in the week(before CPI), with Tuesday's CPI forming the HOW(High of Week) after taking the High @$110k. I'll only be participating on the bullish run to $110k and once my DOL has been met i'll be neutral on BTC and sit on the sideline.
FINAL NOTICE
Patience pays, i'll wait for price to get to my level before executing(if it hasn't traded to my DOL). If price leaves me behind and makes the run to $110k i won't chase price.
What do you think BTC is likely to do next? Share your opinions in the comment guys.
Bitcoin Be Setting Bull Trap?_Breakout Without High VolumeBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall yesterday after forming a new All-Time High(ATH) with high volume , but started to rise again. One of the reasons for Bitcoin’s sudden drop yesterday was the sharp drop in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) index .
First of all, I must say that Bitcoin’s situation is a bit complicated and difficult to analyze , so pay more attention to money management. Be prepared for any scenario.
Bitcoin is trading above the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) and near the Resistance lines and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($113,020-$111,833) . What is worrying is that the break of the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) was NOT accompanied by high volume , suggesting a bull trap is possible .
I see a correction to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($109,972-$108,609) given the low breakout volume for Bitcoin and the large sell orders in the upper prices for Bitcoin .
--------------------------------------------
Today, the Flash PMI data from the U.S . came in stronger than expected:
Flash Manufacturing PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 49.9, previous 50.2)
Flash Services PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 51.0, previous 50.8)
Analysis :
Both numbers exceeded expectations, signaling stronger economic activity in the U.S. This is bullish for the USD( TVC:DXY ) and could put short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin, as it lowers the chances of near-term Fed rate cuts.
--------------------------------------------
Do you think Bitcoin is completing a Bull Trap or should we expect Bitcoin to increase further?
Note: If Bitcoin breaks above $114,500 with high momentum, we can expect Bitcoin to rise to near $119,000.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.