BTC – Weekly Perspective – 02/06 to 09/06On the first day of June, the SETUP used indicates a corrective bearish pivot on the long-term chart. Will we have a correction later on, so that the cryptocurrency finally breaks free and reaches new peaks?
When we analyze the impressive rise that the cryptocurrency has had in the last 16 months and trace just one Fibonacci retracement, we will see that the 50% region is around 44.6K.
In my opinion, a correction as soon as possible is completely healthy, as nothing goes up forever in a straight line without there being a correction at some point in the future.
Coming to the daily chart, we have prices on the verge of forming a corrective pivot, with enough strength to reach 44.5K, if prices do not remain above 69.6K.
The most interesting thing is to see that we have a confluence between the values provided by the Fibonacci retracement of the rise, in which 50% of this correction is at 44.6K, with the corrective pivot found on the daily chart, whose final destination has the potential to reach 44 .5K, as shown in the images above.
Can I trust what my eyes have just seen? To know for sure, unfortunately, I will have to live day by day.
Do your analysis and good business.
Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
See other graphical analyzes below.
Btcanalysis
BITCOIN - Crossroad between markets Hello everyone, with new the month around corner I decided to come back with
an update on Bitcoin.
I still hold the same opinion as stated in the Q2 update, this update is just for better
visual perception of what is going on in my opinion, since I believe we are in some
sort of unprecedented time for Bitcoin.
Why?
Looking at Yellow Parallel Channel we can see that we spent the last 10 years
methodically going up in it, until we broke out from it at Q3 2022.
Now two years later we are "testing" the bottom line of that channel and upcoming
month may show if we will be able to break back in and reach a much higher valuation
OR we reverse and come visit the middle line of our New Red Channel before potentially
testing Bottom Red line later on.
For better imagination I break idea down to 1W and 1D chart.
1W
1W
1W
1D
Hopefully, this elaboration was helpful for some of you in further market navigation.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me.
Also, if you are interested in more updates or you would like to receive more predictions with lower time frame updates daily, let me know in the comments or DM.
Best Regards,
Joe
Bitcoin is Ready for PUMP to $69,000(at least)Bitcoin is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the lower line of the ascending channel , and the 100_SMA(4-hour TF) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave C . The correction pattern is Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin is moving in a Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($69,500_$68,820) .
Note: If Bitcoin manages to break the lower line of the ascending channel, we should wait for Bitcoin to attack the support zone ($65,730_$64,180).
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSD - Topping out around 66k?BTC is yet to fully correct, at least on the weekly. In my eyes, these huge candles up are unsustainable without significant greed. Significant greed cannot continue indefinitely without returning to the mean (neutrality), and likely, significant fear.
There are a few factors I believe will influence a correction:
Greed across the traditional and crypto markets. See CNN's sentiment analysis and alternative.me's fear and greed index.
Only 5% of institutional financial managers are planning to hold BTC in 2021 (volatility being cited as the main reason), implying the feverishness of 'mass adoption' is overstated and overhyped.
Bitcoin is back in mainstream media. The more exposure it gets, the more FOMO and greed kick in, the more new investors pile in, the more people ready to buy right at the top and add selling pressure on the way down.
Big green (or red) candles, while difficult to gauge the top, often result in big moves back down. Similarly, an almost vertical acceleration implies a significant deviation from its mean (anecdotally, the further and quicker something deviates away from its mean, the quicker it comes back). Currently, BTC's yearly EMA is almost exactly the previous ATH of $20k.
Simply, a correction is due. It's gone up but hasn't come down much.
So, knowing that a correction is due at some point, we can then try and forecast the top.
While looking for similarities between the last ATH and this current rally, I noticed there was a period of consolidation, followed by a higher low that wicked down (marked on the chart).
Using these points as anchors, the next anchors are the ATH and the last high at $42k. While the intraday levels of these fibs fit nicely, there are 2 extensions that caught my eye on the weekly that fit almost perfectly.
The 1.618 level on the recent fib (grey) and the 3.618 level of the ATH fib (red) both sit around $66.1k and $66.3k respectively. Seeing how well the other levels line up through previous price action gives me confidence these are valid levels. I'll give coordinates at the end of this post so you can see what I mean.
I've also included a 3-factor BB on the chart for confluence. While the weekly close tomorrow will change the upper band, its near-vertical ascent will likely eventually be punctured by price. As denoted by the red circles, a reversal has occurred every time a swing has formed there. Moreover, for an asset to exceed 3 times its weekly standard deviation should ring alarm bells in anyone's ears.
Okay, so we know where the top might be. How can we make a trade based on this? I'll start with where I think it might end up.
If we use $66k as our first anchor and the bottom of the last consolidation at about $3.1k, then the 0.618 level (blue line) lines up perfectly with the most recent fib's 0.618 level on the way up. This falls at $27.5k, or rather, a contraction of 61.8%.
The tricky part is stop loss placement. I'm going to say that a technically invalid level would be past the 3.764 level of the ATH fib at $70k. Anything between $71-72k would likely invalidate this idea.
In summary:
Entry: $65k
Stop: $71-72k
TP: $27.5k, $31k if conservative, $42k if ultra conservative
Let me know what you think and give me a follow for more.
Happy trading!
COORDINATES:
ATH fib = (1) 1830.00, (2) 19666.00
Current fib = (1) 3122.28, (2) 42000.00
TP fib = (1) 66026.19, (2) 3122.28
Bitcoin Analysis(More fall)After Mt. Gox moved $840 million in Bitcoin to a new wallet , Bitcoin started to fall.
Bitcoin has managed to break the lower line of the ascending channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the next corrective waves have started .
I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)In the lower time frames, Bitcoin seems to be forming a corrective wave towards the 64K-63K range.
Below the candles, a liquidity pool is forming with lower H's.
We specified supply and demand.
The target is the green range.
Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
📉Think Outside the Box BTC!📈BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello Dear Traders.
🔴The market has reached the end of its suffering range and our team's holiday break is nearing its end.
⚡️ In this post I will track the BTCUSDT movements as long as it stays inside the Box.
🔴The past few weeks, the pressure of market volatility was very high and we needed a break.
We will review the market again from today.
Please share the analysis posts to support and give us energy.
🚨Bitcoin will Fall by Failed Falling Wedge Pattern🚨❌ Bitcoin failed to break the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,700-$67,520) 🔴.
📈From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , the Failing Wedge pattern failed, and since if the reversal pattern fails , the pattern will have a continuing role , the Bitcoin fall is still expected.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to continue its downward trend after the rise to the lower line and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡again.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin touches $65,500 , the bullish scenario can change, I will talk about the importance of this number in the next posts .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(15-minute time frame)⏰🌐 Bitcoin seems to have started to increase under the influence of Ethereum ETF news ➕ Inflows into Bitcoin ETFs hit $237 million on Monday .
🏃♂️ Bitcoin is currently moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($73,780-$71,920) 🔴 and the Resistance line .
🌊According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave 4 of the main wave 5 .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to Attack the Resistance zone after the completion of micro wave 4 from the main wave 5 .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSDT.1DBTC/USDT daily chart, several key technical indicators and levels stand out, providing insights into potential price movements.
Trend and Resistance Analysis:
The chart shows that Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced significant volatility, with the current price hovering around 66,707.40 USD. The price is currently testing the resistance level marked as R1, around 67,373.58 USD. A successful break above this level could see the price testing the next resistance at R2, which is around 71,320.28 USD. The overall trend appears to have a slight upward trajectory as the price has managed to break above a significant downward trend line.
Support Levels:
There are several key support levels identified. The immediate support level is labeled as S1 at approximately 66,000 USD. Below this, the next significant support levels are S2 at around 59,357.32 USD and S3 at approximately 56,447.95 USD. These levels have historically provided strong buying interest, which could prevent further declines if the price retraces.
RSI and MACD Indicators:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 58.91, indicating that the asset is in a neutral to slightly bullish zone. The RSI has been trending upwards, which suggests increasing buying momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bullish trend with the MACD line (blue) above the signal line (orange)
, supported by a positive histogram. This suggests that bullish momentum is currently stronger.
Volume Analysis:
The volume pattern indicates that the price increases are accompanied by substantial trading volume, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. The volume spikes at key price levels suggest strong market participation during upward movements.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the BTC/USDT pair is showing signs of a potential bullish breakout if it manages to stay above the R1 resistance level. The indicators, including a rising RSI and a bullish MACD, support the likelihood of continued upward movement. However, traders should remain cautious of potential retracements to the support levels at S1, S2, and S3, which could offer buying opportunities. Monitoring the price action around these critical support and resistance levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Overall, the market sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, with key levels and indicators suggesting a potential continuation of the upward trend, provided the resistance levels are successfully breached and maintained.
Bitcoin looks set to rally above 60kWe all know of the strong rally that catapulted to a fresh record high in March. Yet price action since appears to be corrective. Whilst we do not yet know if this is simply the first leg lower of a complex correction, or it is set to break to new highs - only time will tell. However, it appears set for a leg higher over the near term.
Volume retreated with prices since the March high, which is a typical characteristic of a retracement. Yet a final stab lower found support at the 100-day EMA, 38.2% and 50% retracement levels before a mini V-bottom formed. This also coincided with RSI (14) hitting oversold, which I define as below 40 during an uptrend.
The prices have since retreated lower from the rally back above 65k, and showing signs of stability above 60k. The retracement held above the 61.8% Fibonacci level and are now holding above the 50% level.
Bulls could enter live at market with a stop below 60k (or recent swing low) with an initial target at 65.5, a break above which brings 68k into focus - or the highs near the high-volume node.
📉📈 BTC Trade Analysis 🔄💼Current Situation:
Bitcoin (BTC) has successfully cleared the $66,540 level and is moving towards its all-time high (ATH) of $73,757. However, it has currently encountered resistance, and a pullback is anticipated as it contends with a previous bearish order block.
Trade Strategy:
Expected Retracement: It's logical to anticipate a pullback to the $70,000 level, given the current resistance and market behavior.
Post-Retracement Strategy: After the expected retracement to $70,000, we anticipate a push and potential breakthrough of the ATH.
Targets Post-Breakthrough: If BTC successfully breaks through the ATH of $73,757, the next target would be around $77,430.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Support Levels: $70,000 (anticipated retracement level)
Resistance Levels: $73,757 (ATH), $77,430 (target post-breakthrough)
📊🔍 Stay vigilant and monitor BTC's price action closely for validation of these levels and any potential adjustments needed to your trading strategy. #BTCAnalysis #CryptoTrading 🌐🔒
Bitcoin Analysis (It's time for Bears🐻🧸🐼)✅ As I expected , Bitcoin reached the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,700-$67,520) 🔴.
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing wave 5 .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
📈Looking at the Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) chart , I see that USDT.D% has completed its Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) in the 🟢Support zone(4.72%-4.53%)🟢. We should expect at least a temporary growth of USDT.D% , which means that Bitcoin should have a minimal correction.👇
🔔I expect Bitcoin to start falling from the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,700-$67,520) 🔴 and continue falling to at least the 🟢 Support zone($65,700-$64,180) 🟢 and the 50_SMA(Daily) .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 2-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSDT.4HUpon analyzing the BTC/USDT 4-hour chart, several critical technical indicators and levels stand out, providing insight into potential price movements.
Trend and Resistance Analysis:
The chart shows that Bitcoin has faced several periods of volatility, with the current price hovering around 66,707.40 USD. The price is currently testing the resistance level marked as R1, around 67,373.58 USD. A successful break above this level could see the price testing the next resistance at R2, which is around 71,320.28 USD. The overall trend appears to have a slight upward trajectory as the price has managed to break above a significant downward trend line.
Support Levels:
There are several key support levels identified. The immediate support level is labeled as S1 at approximately 66,000 USD. Below this, the next significant support levels are S2 at around 59,357.32 USD and S3 at approximately 56,447.95 USD. These levels have historically provided strong buying interest, which could prevent further declines if the price retraces.
RSI and MACD Indicators:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 58.91, indicating that the asset is in a neutral to slightly bullish zone. The RSI has been trending upwards, which suggests increasing buying momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bullish trend with the MACD line (blue) above the signal line (orange)
, supported by a positive histogram. This suggests that bullish momentum is currently stronger.
Volume Analysis:
The volume pattern indicates that the price increases are accompanied by substantial trading volume, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. The volume spikes at key price levels suggest strong market participation during upward movements.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the BTC/USDT pair is showing signs of a potential bullish breakout if it manages to stay above the R1 resistance level. The indicators, including a rising RSI and a bullish MACD, support the likelihood of continued upward movement. However, traders should remain cautious of potential retracements to the support levels at S1, S2, and S3, which could offer buying opportunities. Monitoring the price action around these critical support and resistance levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Overall, the market sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, with key levels and indicators suggesting a potential continuation of the upward trend, provided the resistance levels are successfully breached and maintained.
🚀Bitcoin will Go Up after Pullback🚀💡 Bitcoin managed to break the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,700-$64,180) 🔴, Resistance line and 50_SMA(Daily) yesterday.
💡 Bitcoin seems to be completing a pullback right now.
🌊Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 3 above the resistance zone and is currently completing wave 4 .
📈In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin managed to break the resistance zone , resistance line, and 50_SMA(Daily) with the help of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern . Bitcoin seems to have increased at least to the 🎯Target🎯 of this pattern.
💡Let's take a look at the Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) chart .
💡 USDT.D% seems to start falling after reaching the 🔴 Resistance zone(4.92%-4.87%) 🔴, which is in line with Bitcoin's analysis. ⚠️The scenario will change if USDT.D% can break the resistance zone⚠️.👇
🔔I expect Bitcoin to rise to the next 🔴 Resistance zone($65,700-$67,520) 🔴 after the completion of wave 4 (pullback) .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin falls below the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,700-$64,180) 🔴, the scenario will change.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 2-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
✈️Bitcoin is Ready to Pump✈️🏃♂️ Bitcoin is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($63,440-$62,690) 🔴
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be forming a main wave 3 (the next 5 impulsive waves).
📈In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin has succeeded in breaking the upper line of the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
💡Looking at the chart of Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) , we can see that USDT.D% managed to break the Support line and expect a drop to the 🟢 Support zone(4.72%-4.53%) 🟢 as I expected in the " USDT.D% will ⚔️Attack⚔️ to Support zone again " post.👇
🔔I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,700-$64,200) 🔴 and the 50_SMA(Daily) .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSDT.4HLet's dive into the 4-hour chart for BTC/USDT to extract insights and devise a potential trading strategy based on the observed technical data.
Key Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance 1 (R1): $59,357.32 - This level is acting as the immediate ceiling for price actions, which if broken, could indicate increased buying momentum.
Resistance 2 (R2): $67,373.58 - A higher resistance point that could be a medium-term target if R1 is convincingly surpassed.
Resistance 3 (R3): $71,320.28 - This represents a significant peak and a tough resistance to overcome.
Support 1 (S1): $56,447.95 - The primary support level based on recent lows, providing a potential floor.
Support 2 (S2): This appears to be even lower than S1, but the chart does not specify an exact value.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI stands at 48.42, which is near the neutral zone but slightly leans towards bearish sentiment. This positioning suggests that the price might still have some room before it reaches the oversold condition.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD is currently below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum. The MACD histogram also suggests that the bearish momentum might be increasing as the bars are growing in size on the downside.
Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a descending trend line, indicating that the overall momentum has been bearish. The price is consolidating below this trend line, suggesting resistance against an upward move.
Conclusion:
The BTC/USDT market currently exhibits a bearish bias, as indicated by both the MACD and the descending trend line. Traders might consider looking for shorting opportunities at resistance levels, especially if the price fails to break above the trend line and shows reversal signs such as rejection candles or increased selling volume.
For a bullish scenario, a break and close above the trend line and subsequent breach of R1 at $59,357.32 could invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially targeting R2 at $67,373.58. However, given the current indicators, maintaining a cautious approach with tight stop losses near resistance levels would be prudent.
Entering trades on pullbacks to significant resistance levels or breakdowns below support levels with confirmatory signals from RSI and MACD could optimize entry points. Monitoring the RSI for signs of divergence or an approach towards oversold conditions could provide additional clues about potential reversals or slowing momentum.
BTC – Weekly Perspective – 12/05 to 19/05It seems to me that the correction theorized in previous analyzes is occurring. See the image below:
Without further ado, let’s get to the graph.
On a monthly basis, for the first time, the SETUP used is pointing to a corrective pivot. If so, a bear trap region is found at 51.8K, meaning if prices don't break out of this range, it won't fall much! The support points are: 53.5 and 51.8K at the moment.
On a weekly basis, as I have been saying for a long time, we are within a corrective bearish pivot. Support point at 59.8K (which has worked so far) and 52.8K, with the loss of the 59.8K region. See the image below.
As incredible as it may seem, the daily chart is completely repeating what SETUP points out on the weekly chart, corrections.
Do your analysis and good business.
Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
See other graphical analyzes below.
first HH is a opportunity to buy BTCwe need to see first breakout above 65K . if that happened with good momentume that a good opportunity to buy your first target will be 73K and maybe will go more . we have two patterns first is correction of ABCDE and the second pattern is head and shoulders
be patient and don't be greedy
this is my analyse it's not a recomandation to buy or sell !!
BTCUSDT.4HThe 4-hour chart for BTC/USDT provides an excellent perspective on the current market dynamics, highlighting potential trade setups based on technical analysis.
Key Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance 1 (R1): $6,729.71 - This is the immediate resistance level which the price needs to breach to confirm further bullish sentiment.
Resistance 2 (R2): $7,384.73 - A more substantial resistance level which, if surpassed, could signal a stronger upward trend.
Support 1 (S1): $5,906.59 - Acting as the primary support, this level needs to hold to prevent further bearish momentum.
Support 2 (S2): $5,608.28 - If S1 is breached, S2 could serve as the next critical line of defense against a deeper retracement.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 41.28, suggesting that there is potential for upside as it is below the neutral 50 mark but not yet oversold.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD is below the signal line, which typically indicates bearish momentum. However, the histogram shows that negative momentum is waning, suggesting that a reversal or consolidation might be near.
Trend Analysis:
The price is showing a descending pattern, characterized by lower highs, which is evident from the descending trend line. This suggests an overarching bearish pressure. However, the recent formation might suggest a consolidation phase or potential reversal if the price can break the descending trend line and hold above.
Conclusion:
Considering the technical outlook on the BTC/USDT 4-hour chart, the market is at a pivotal point. Traders should watch for a potential reversal if the price can sustain a breakout above the descending trend line. A successful break above R1 at $6,729.71 could validate a bullish bias, potentially targeting R2 at $7,384.73.
However, given the current bearish setup indicated by the MACD, it's essential to remain cautious. If the price fails to break above the descending trend line and falls below S1 at $5,906.59, it might accelerate losses towards S2 at $5,608.28. Traders should consider using tight stop-loss orders to manage risks and possibly wait for a clearer signal, such as the RSI moving above 50 or the MACD crossing above the signal line, before taking more definitive positions.