BTC SHORT SETUPHi, dear traders. how are you ? Today we have a viewpoint to SELL/SHORT the BTC symbol.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Btcanalysis
BTC → Bitcoin Sell-off at $45,800! Time to Short? Let's Answer.Bitcoin made it to the measured move target at $45,800 which was followed by a massive 11% sell-off in the course of an hour. This is the second major sell-off at these levels in under a month. Is this the opportune time to short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We have several data points in favor of a short. We've completed a Measured Move, three legs up in a bull trend, two massive sell-offs (8% and 11%) in under a month at the major resistance level of $46,000 and an RSI under its Moving Average. I also have my Bitcoin Lifetime Analysis which describes in far more detail, why we need a massive pullback before we see new all-time highs:
We need to wait for a 4HR candle to close below its 200EMA or a Daily candle to close below its 30EMA. You could argue its reasonable to short now, but we lack confirmation, so the probability of profit is lower at this stage. I prefer more probability in my trades.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $42,600
🟥 Stop Loss: $46,900
✅ Take Profit: $38,300
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Measured Move Complete!
2. Two Sell-offs near the $45,000 area
3. Three Legs Up in a Bull Channel
4. RSI at 52.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
5. Wait for Final Sell signal, Short 1:1 Risk/Reward.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
There is over a 60% chance of a measured move after the breakout of a major resistance, normally, a trading range. That means the distance from the trading range resistance, to the top of the breakout, will happen again above the top of the breakout.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Will BTC drop to 38K soon?A day or 2 ago I posted an idea of BTC going back down to 38K, We retested resistance again since then and are slowly making our way to the range low and I think it will break this time towards 38K.
The ETF approval is nearing in the first week of the new year probably. This could trigger a selloff like most major news events in crypto
So far everything is going to my plan and I plan on buying more in this dip if it happens
BTC Still bullishIn addition to the fact that this trend is still up, in my opinion, because the trend line has been broken, but it has not reached the last bottom yet, so the trend should be changed and become downward.
👀
But it may happen from those fake breaks or fraudulent support and manipulation in the market that is only in crypto.
STILL A POSSIBILITY??We are back in the triangle "on-chart".
Support on 4-Hr, after tested severally got broken to downside
Daily: RSI looks lot more room to down side.
RUMOR: ETF approval usually precede down-move
KEY Pattern: Double-Top formed clearly on the chart. It is all there is to see.
Additionally what some people called M formation
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Testing $43,145 resistance at the top of the triangle, Amazing reversal followed by bullish pin bar 4h close at the bottom testing $40,583 support. Bullish engulfing on last 1D close, current daily moving for follow up. RSI on 4H and 1D looking good, Watch given S/R
BTCUSD H4 is going after the Liquidity and KEY Resistance!📉Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for BTCUSD H4. I see two key levels that most probably will be reached. The first one is Liquidity at the price of 39300. The second one is the resistance level from 38500, from this price I will look for a Long trade in case of confirmation.✅
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC Descending Triangle forming on 1D and 4H, let's see in what direction this breaks, $40,583 support in effect followed by a bearish engulfing on 4H, if 4h shoots closing above $42,070 the Descending Triangle will break bullish, previous daily close with bearish engulfing
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC dropped to $40,583 support Currently struggling at $41,577 support area. $43,145 support required to reattempt at $44,174 resistance. Bearish engulfing on last daily close, should avoid follow up today. Current key support $39,458, expect resistance at $42,070 & $43,145
$BTC Daily updateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC as expected $43,145 support good, $43,868-$44,174 resistance range holding strong, RSI on 4h looking good, weak volume in last 12 hours, gaining $44,174 support will help reattempt at $44,860 resistance , $45,622-$45,876 next resistance range to watch the $46,623.
$BTCUSD History Repeats itself - LONGIn continuation of our recent analysis , we meticulously conducted a comprehensive examination of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD price action. Employing a multifaceted approach, we synthesized various data inputs and discerned nuanced market conditions.
Our analysis delved into the historical 4-hour timeframe, specifically referencing November 4th, 2015. It is essential to note that the historical data, when viewed through the lens of 'relativity,' provides invaluable insights. As time elapses and market volume evolves, price action exhibits variations. This relativity facilitates a meaningful comparison between the present asset conditions and historical benchmarks.
Currently , a robust Fibonacci retracement analysis reveals a noteworthy gap of +33.381% spanning from the support zone to a key resistance level at 47,214. Upon confirmation, an anticipated swift retracement is projected, targeting approximately -41.38% at ±28.316. This critical juncture is anticipated to mark the commencement of Phase 2 within the Bull Cycle, propelling BTC price action to unprecedented heights.