BTC ANALYSIS SHORT TERMHello, good time, I hope you are well
One of the logical scenarios we have is this scenario.
According to Smart Money, I think we should move like this: if Bitcoin reaches the upper yellow circle, short it, and if it reaches the lower yellow circle, long it.
Comment if you have any questions
Btcanalysis
BITCOIN: CREATING NEW SUPPORT LEVELS.Hello traders, I hope you all are doing well with your health and your trades. Here's a quick update on BTC in a daily timeframe.
BTC has shown some rejection lately which is close to -6% in a single day. The denial may continue but only if it can break below the support 1 level at $20.35k. If BTC breaks down below the S1 level, we can expect the price to reach $19k and then a possible bounce back.
For now, if BTC maintains the support 1 level, it needs a breakout above $21.5k to continue a higher rally.
In long term, I am bullish on BTC and if BTC shows some correction then I will accumulate more.
That's it, for now. I will update BTC in a shorter timeframe as well.
Thank you for reading. Trade safely.
BTCUSD 4H and 1D analysis.After the enormous rise that BTCUSD has seen this year, the price is taking a pause and has started to consolidate. That is partly to harmonize the still vastly overbought 1D technical aspects (RSI = 87.317, MACD = 1105.700, ADX = 82.682) and to some extent short term traders booking profits. As an analytics firm, we suggest that a double time-frame analysis is best suited to analyze the current market dynamics.
The key aspect on the 4H chart (left) is the Bearish Divergence. The price is rising inside a Channel Up while the RSI is falling inside a Channel Down. Technically if the price breaches below the Channel Up, it will look for the 4H MA50 for Support validation, which by that time should very near the structure. If broken, that will be the wave that will correct the enormous rise to some extend and a sell opportunity. The 4H MA200 is the most likely target.
On the 1D chart (right) the key is Resistance Band 1 and whether or not a candle closes above it. If it does, we expect a rally extension to Resistance Band 2. If Resistance Band 1 rejects the candle, then we go back to the 4H correction mentioned above to the 4H MA200. An element that adds value here is the Support Band. On a 6 month variance it has offered the strongest levels of Support. This means that it is likely to see most candles closing inside it (or above it), which in turn suggests that the 4H MA200/ 1D MA50 may be approached by candle wicks momentarily on high volume candle extensions. Still, that addition can expand your analytical perspective if you are looking for an entry.
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BTC Price Analysis SHORT !! ??Hello to all traders out there!
Here's a BTC in a short situation in my personal opinion.
So we NEEED to hold the 20000 LV L or else we will go back and retest the 19632 LVL.
If we end up breaking that support we might head on down to test the 19126 LVL.
If that breaks.. we will go down and test the 18795 LVL.
Happy trading to all :) leave a comment or like, please! I'd love to hear what you think of my ideas! :)
Have an amazing day all!
Bitcoin Could Get A Hard Time Going Up From HereWe've been bullish since 16k. Now that we're up 4 thousand dollars, which is 30% higher, its time to look at some points of ressistance.
At this moment, Bitcoin is already at the top of a resistance zone. I think the market is waiting for tomorrow, since the SPX is also looking at a breakout/resistance.
If the SPX can break its resistance, Bitcoin will follow. If it does not, Bitcoin has probably reached its temporary top.
In the bullish scenario, the next stops are 22750, and 25500 usd.
BTC - More upside before breaking down!Dear Traders and Investors, as all you know Crypto Queens Here.
First of all we hope you have a good and profitable week, and that you are resting well this weekend because we are anticipating some intense moves this upcoming week. Without further ado, let's get to it.
A fast Short-term update regarding our latest report on 1D - BTCUSDT Post. Everything is going based on plan. BTC tested 17.000$ level, and at the time of writing it is still consolidating above 16.900$, which is a good indicator. A rising Wedge has been formed which as we all know, it's often considered a bearish chart pattern that pinpoints imminent breakout to the downside. Having as an example, the previous one which reacted quickly and broke structure to the downside. Nonetheless, nobody knows, when where that reversal will occur. Therefore, as long as we stay inside the pattern and as the price gradually, moves higher, we are aiming to test the FVG (Fair Value Gap) Area at 17300$. At this point, there are 2 scenarios in play:
SCENARIO 1: Close FVG at 17300$ and effective immediately reject, at the point mentioned in the chart (Support), at 16800$.
SCENARIO 2: Close FVG at 17300$, consolidate between 17300$ - 17100$ and test the lowest point of the Daily Bearish OB at 17700$, which ultimately will be rejected and lead us all the way to our Daily Bullish Orderblock (Support Area), at 16800$.
SCENARIO 3: Check the "link to related idea" . You will find a Long Term view indicated on previous Post on 1D regarding 1st Quarter.
IMPORTANT: This is strictly a Technical Analysis and Fundamentals CAN affect our Analysis!
Keep in mind though, when everyone seems optimistic, be pessimistic, and visa versa.
Not a Financial Advise!
Trade with Caution!
Best Regards, CryptoQueens.
BTC GO UPPER AGAINHi, dear traders. how are you ? Today we have a viewpoint to BUY/LONG the BTC symbol.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Watch out for the movement of BitcoinAbout Bitcoin (important):
Note: This view is not definitive, but this view should be kept in mind so as not to be surprised.
I followed the order flow on the chart, the orders from 28K have moved well to the lower nodes
The orders that matter to us are between $19,900 and $21,800.
Bitcoin may reach $19,900 to $21,800!
It is not at all unlikely that we have a pump or a trend in this area. .
Now you may ask what will happen to the 28K orders? This remains, once we reach lower areas and stronger support, the price will rise again and the orders will be moved or cleared.
Bitcoin Broke Structure At the moment of writing this article, Bitcoin is breaking structure. According to the Fetch Trends indicator, we've also established a new uptrend.
Now, this does not mean we kickstarted a new bull run. What this possibly could mean is the end of the falling trend, and that we can expect to go sideways from here.
If the bottom is not in, 12-14k are my next targets. But for now, we stay short term bullish.
Strong Resistance/Bullish and Bearish Conditions/Buying PressureBitcoin was supported the previous day by a retracement to the $17,322 range, which is the 50% Fibonacci retracement range, and rose to the resistance levels considered for it in the $18,000 range. The increase in the price of Bitcoin has continued until the previous ceiling in the range of 18,389 dollars. Resistance on the chart for the past seven months has much power to react. The important point is that in the daily time frame, the number of bullish candles and the shape of the candles are all signs of buying pressure. So this time, if there is an attempt to break the resistance of the previous ceiling and form a higher ceiling, we can get a strong signal for a trend change in the 4-hour time frame. For the short term and in the lower time frames, we expect the formation of a range trend below the current resistance for Bitcoin.
If Bitcoin can break this strong resistance of $18,389, located in the area of 100% daily Fibo, its next target is around $18,500 and then $19,200.
If the Bitcoin force does not reach this resistance, the specified supports will be its stations.
Be sure to use risk and asset management in your trades.
Bitcoin price bottom reached? Then target for growth is $355000Today our main goal is to inspire you with positive thinking, because there is too much negativity in the market.
Therefore, immediately a spoiler: "who will not give up and stay in the cryptocurrency market, they will be happy in the future"
To begin with, the current fall of the cryptocurrency market is directly linked to the possible bankruptcy of FTX.
But not everything is clear, there are many backstage games and such problems do not arise and are not solved in a few days. Yesterday Binance wanted to buy FTX, but now it does not. There is hope that next week Justin Sun will inject its own liquidity and save FTX. In general, we started to keep a chronology of events around FTX on the FTTUSDT chart back on 07.11, when the price was $22.6, if you are interested, we invite you to read:
To summarize, the FTX liquidity gap is currently estimated at $8bn, only the theft of BTC from MT.Gox in 2014 at the current price of +/- $11bn was bigger. This is if we compare the problems of crypto exchanges, which at one time occupied 2-3 places in the top.
Here is the BTCUSD chart since 2012. On this chart, we depicted parabolic arcs accompanying the growth and correction of the Bitcoin price from the beginning of trading and into the future.
The red arc shows the limits of critical falls
The blue arc shows the boundary of historical highs.
The range between the yellow and red arcs indicates critical purchases by "big money" while small and medium deposits sell their assets due to "bad news"
Above the yellow arc, the growth trend is gaining a natural character.
After breaking through and fixing the price above the light green arc, the growth trend accelerates. Also, the range between the light green and blue arcs can be called a "healthy environment for the Alt-season"
Why do we think that the bottom, if not already was, is very close?
Below we will present you some of our ideas that we published during the last 2 years. Not to brag or anything like that, but to show that in different periods of the market, calculations, patterns, or fractals have suggested +/- the same range of potential "bottom" in the future.
Publication from 28.02.2021
If you re-read the idea and turn on the workout, you will see that the target of the drop was $12000. However, this fall has shifted in time, and now the price of BTCUSDT is at the marginal support of dynamic Fibo levels.
Publication from 19.10.2021
The assumption was the formation of the "Double Top" reversal pattern. The range of working out of this pattern is from $63k to $12-16k
Publication from 25.01.2022
The growth was stopped by sellers at the critical point of $44500 and finally broke through the parabolic growth trend. The possible range of BTC price drop is $12-14k
Publication from 08.05.2022 with a screaming name that the apocalypse in the cryptocurrency market is possible if the "Head and Shoulders" pattern begins to work out
Unfortunately for most crypto enthusiasts, this pattern has already started its development. The target of this pattern is above $14900, the current low of $15500 is very close and the statistical error has not been canceled.
Of course, only you can evaluate the development of ideas, we are ready for constructive criticism in comments under this idea.
Let's move on.
The Bitcoin price chart clearly shows one interesting pattern.
Previously, there was already "BTC halving" 3 times. And it turns out that "the halving" was exactly in the middle between the absolute bottom and the absolute maximum of the current trend price movement.
It happened in 2012, 2016, and 2020, just check it on the chart.
The next halving is projected for early April 2024 (it may fluctuate +/- a few weeks depending on the BTC mining capacity involved)
So if we compare all the facts and assumptions based on this chart, we can come to the following conclusion:
- "The absolute bottom of the current trend may occur in the coming days/weeks, if not already was, in the range of $14-16k.
According to our calculations and assumptions, the potential for BTCUSDT price growth is up to $355-360k . In terms of time, such a goal can be achieved no earlier than autumn 2025.
If you liked our visualization and description of the chart: like it and write a comment under the idea. In this case, you will be subscribed to the idea, will receive updates on our thoughts on it, and will also be able to track the development for the next three years.
_____________________
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6 Reliable Bullish Candlestick PatternHello dear traders,
Here are some educational chart patterns that you must know in 2022 and 2023.
I hope you find this information educational and informative.
We are new here so we ask you to support our views with your likes and comments,
Feel free to ask any questions in the comments, and we'll try to answer them all, folks.
6 Reliable Bullish Candlestick Pattern
1) The Hammer
2) Bullish Engulfing Crack
3) Bearish Engulfing Sandwich
4) Morning Star
5) Tweezer Bottom
6) Piercing Line
1. The Hammer:-
Hammer is a bullish candlestick reversal candle.
Which is formed within the next few candles. As the price declines sharply, we anticipate a final bounce.
But how can we estimate without falling into overselling?
That's where Hammer comes into play. This gives us evidence that the selling pressure is subsiding or being absorbed. Furthermore, if the volume signature associated with the hammer candle is significant, it adds even more confidence to our thesis.
We are looking to cash in on shorts who are taking profits and covering, as well as dip buyers who are taking chances here on oversold positions. Expectation? an assembly.
Ideally, you identify a hammer candle, take a long position on a break on the upside of the candle, and set risk on the low or in the body of the hammer.
Bullish Hammer Example;-
Let’s look at a real-life example with BTC. Right off the open, BTC retests the lows from the pre-market. Once it reaches those levels, volume increases slightly as it reverses on the 5-minute chart seen here.
Visibly, there is a “shelf” forming near the low of the hammer candle’s body. The bar to the left and right is also closed and open in that price “shelf” area.
The second 5-minute chart opens with a bit of weakness, then rallies strongly above the Hammer candle.
This is your signal to go long. The break of the Hammer candle body.
Set the stop below the close of this bullish 5-minute candle.
2. Bullish Engulfing Crack:-
You can imagine that shorts will start covering given the rising price of the stock. This adds fuel to the already existing buying pressure.
The result is a bullish candlestick pattern that swallows up the bears' efforts. For the long-biased trader, the opportunity is perfect.
As is the case with any setup, we are looking for evidence to sway our confidence in either direction. The fact that the bears completely got away in this single bar is proof enough for us.
You go long on the break of the previous bar and set the stop on the low.
Bullish Engulfing Examples:-
Here's a snapshot of BTC, which provided us with a beautiful opening range breakout (ORB) opportunity right out of the gate on this particular day:
After the selloff, buyers come in and remove the selling pressure from the pre-market, engulfing the bears before moving up.
To be safe, you enter long when the red candle breaks, setting your risk at the low level or body of the first green candle.
There are some advanced traders who are more aggressive and may take their positions early if they feel a reversal is imminent.
3. Bearish Engulfing Sandwich:-
do not be confused. Just because the name says "bearish" doesn't mean it's a bearish pattern. Far from it, actually. It is often referred to as a stick sandwich.
The name is derived from the sandwiching of a "bearish engulfing" candle by two bullish candles. Thus, it is a bullish candlestick pattern in this context.
Similar to the above example of a Bullish Engulfing Crack, this pattern takes a bit longer to "move through" so to speak. Essentially an extra bar.
The perception is that the trend has reversed and we are now going down. After all, the bearish engulfing candle gives us that confidence,
If you're on the smaller side, there's hope. However, stocks don't always do what we want them to. We have to react to what the market gives us, not what we think should happen.
In this case, the Bearish Engulfing Crack is used by two bullish candles that move upwards. If you are short, hopefully, you have respected your stop loss. If you are a long-time bias, here is a good opportunity for you.
Bearish Engulfing Sandwich Example:-
After opening with a 5-minute candle chart, BTC gives a great view of it in real-time.
In this case, the right side of the sandwich acts similarly to the Bullish Engulfing Crack candlestick pattern. For all intents and purposes, you should treat your entries and risk according to the same pattern.
4. The Morning Star:-
Morning Star should gap down. It's difficult to find on an intraday basis. For this reason, we are good enough for a solid Doji candle reversal pattern.
The opening candle should be long-bodied and bearish. The middle candle is the one with the smaller body. A reversal candle is another bullish candle with a long body (usually gaping up). The close of this bullish long-bodied candle should be above the midpoint of the first candle.
Without much selling pressure, the candlestick climbs to higher prices as sellers cover and buyers take advantage of discounted stock pricing.
Morning stars can also appear as morning Doji stars. They look almost identical except for the body of the middle candle. The story of buyers and sellers remains the same.
Bullish Morning Star Example:-
You can see this in action with the BTC example below. A long-body bearish candle, followed by a narrow-body indecision candle. The bulls take control of the next candle and the rest is history.
It is worthwhile to note the volume of the first candle. We cannot assume that this is a complete recession. As you can see, there is buying pressure at lower levels. When a Doji candle is formed, it gives us confidence.
As a result, as soon as the price moves away from the lower level of the green candle; It does this in small amounts.
How can we explain that?
It took less effort to increase the price. Therefore, we can assume that the reverse is "ease of movement". This should give us confidence in our long position.
5. Tweezer Bottom:-
The Tweezer Bottom Bullish candlestick pattern consists of two candles – usually with small bodies. The first should be a red/bearish candle, and the second a green/bullish candle.
Theoretically, the Tweezer Bottom alerts the chart reader to the fact that an attempt is being made to push the price down, but to no avail. Two smaller-sized candles represent the presence of demand in the market.
Supply is being absorbed keeping candles short in the presence of selling pressure, so the volume sign will appear higher.
Entry should be taken as soon as the price breaks through the second candle. Stops can be set on the lows.
Bullish Tweezer Bottom Example:-
BTC is displaying a beautiful tweezer bottom candlestick pattern for us on the 5-minute chart. Note the narrow bodies of the two candlesticks, their symmetry, and the close range from red to green.
The volume of this first red Doji is particularly interesting. Note how high it is here. Given the context, we can interpret this as an absorption of supply.
The second candlestick (green) then rapidly decreases in volume. Thus, our thesis is confirmed that sales are absorbed and eliminated.
6. Piercing Line:-
The piercing line may look similar to a bullish engulfing pattern. The exception is that the piercing line does not completely encircle the previous candle.
It is still considered a bullish candlestick pattern as it overcame the downward momentum to close at least midway in the body of the previous candle.
It pierces the bottom line but inevitably retraces.
Bullish Piercing Line Example:-
Piercing lines may present a greater risk to reward at lower levels of support. They can also act as a spring in the trading range.
This 5-minute chart of BTC shows the combination of an opening range breakout (ORB) with a piercing line. Together, it's a combination that can really add confidence to our entryways.
As with any setup, the more evidence we have to confirm our bias and plan, the better. For this reason, it is always good to ask yourself:
Are the trends in my favor?
Is it time for a change?
Does the volume confirm my thesis?
Is the stock in an area of support or resistance?
Are the multiple timeframes in line with my view?
Trade with care.
If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment
Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you
The 4 Most Common Indicatorshello dear traders,
Here are some educational chart patterns that you must know in 2022 and 2023.
I hope you find this information educational and informative.
We are new here so we ask you to support our views with your likes and comments,
Feel free to ask any questions in the comments, and we'll try to answer them all, folks.
Trend traders attempt to isolate and extract profit from trends. The method of trend trading tries to capture gains through the analysis of an asset's momentum in a particular direction; there are multiple ways to do this. Of course, no single technical indicator will punch your ticket to market riches; in addition to analysis, traders also need to be well-versed in risk management and trading psychology. But certain strategies have stood the test of time and remain popular tools for trend traders who are interested in analyzing certain market indicators.
Moving Averages:-
Moving Averages:-
Moving Average is a technical analysis tool that smoothes price data by creating a continuously updated average price. On a price chart, the moving average forms a single, flat line that effectively eliminates any variation due to random price fluctuations.
The average is taken over a specific period of time—25 days, or any time period that the trader chooses. For investors and long-term trend followers, the 200-day, 100-day, and 50-day simple moving averages are popular choices.
There are many ways to use moving averages. The first is to look at the angle of the moving average. If it is moving mostly horizontally for an extended period of time, the price is not trending, it is ranging. A trading range occurs when a security trades between high and low prices consistently for a period of time.
If the moving average line is in an upward direction, then an uptrend is underway. However, moving averages do not make predictions about the future price of a stock; They simply reveal what the price is doing on average over a period of time.
Another way is to use crossover moving averages. By plotting the 200-day and 50-day moving averages on your chart, a buy signal occurs when the 50-day crosses above the 200-day. A sell signal occurs when the 50-day crosses below the 200-day.
When the price moves above the moving average, it can also be used as a buy signal, and when the price moves below the moving average, it can be used as a sell signal.
However, the price is more volatile than the moving averages, so this method is more prone to false signals, as shown in the chart above.
Moving averages can also provide support or resistance to the price.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):-
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):-
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a type of oscillating indicator. An oscillating indicator is a technical analysis indicator that oscillates over time within a band (above and below the centerline; the MACD oscillates above and below zero). It is both a trend-following and momentum indicator.
A basic MACD strategy is to look at which side of the MACD line is zero in the histogram below the chart. If the MACD lines are above zero for a sustained period of time, there is a possibility of an uptrend for the stock. Conversely, if the MACD lines are below zero for a sustained period of time, the trend is likely to be down. Using this strategy, potential buy signals occur when the MACD moves above zero, and potential sell signals when it moves below zero.
Signal line crossovers can also provide additional buy and sell signals. The MACD consists of two lines – a fast line and a slow line. A buy signal occurs when the fast line crosses through and above the slow line. A sell signal occurs when the fast line crosses through and below the slow line.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):-
Relative Strength Index (RSI):-
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is another oscillating indicator, but its movement ranges between zero and 100, so it provides different information than the MACD.
One way to interpret the RSI is to view the price as "overbought" - and due to a correction - when the indicator is above 70 in the histogram, and to view the price as oversold - and due to a bounce - when the indicator is below 70. is 30.
In a strong uptrend, the price will often reach 70 and above for sustained periods of time. For a downtrend, the price may remain at or below 30 for a long period of time. While general overbought and oversold levels can sometimes be accurate, they may not provide the most timely signals for trend traders.
One option is to buy near oversold positions when the trend is up and short near overbought positions in downtrends.
For example, suppose the long-term trend of a stock is up. A buy signal occurs when the RSI crosses below 50 and then crosses back above it. Essentially, this means that the price has come down. Hence the trader buys when the pullback appears to be over (according to the RSI) and the trend is resuming. The 50-level is used because the RSI typically does not reach 30 in an uptrend unless a potential reversal is taking place. A short-trade signal occurs when the trend is down and the RSI moves above 50 and then moves back below it.
Trendlines or moving averages can help establish the direction of the trend and in which direction to take trading signals.
On-Balance Volume (OBV):-
On-Balance Volume (OBV):-
Volume is a valuable indicator in its own right, and on-balance volume (OBV) takes important volume information and compiles it into a single-line indicator. The indicator measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on "up" days and decreasing volume on "down" days.
Ideally, the volume should confirm the trends. With an increasing price there should be an increasing OBV; With a falling price, the OBV should also fall.
If the OBV is rising and the price is not rising, it is likely that the price will follow the OBV in the future and start rising. If the price is rising and the OBV is flat-lining or declining, the price may be nearing the top. If the price is falling and the OBV is flat-lining or rising, then the price may be nearing the bottom.
The Bottom Line:-
In addition to providing trend trading signals and warnings about reversals, indicators can simplify price information. The indicators can be used on all time frames, and for the most part, they have variables that can be adjusted to suit each trader's specific preferences. Traders can combine indicator strategies - or come up with their own guidelines - so the entry and exit criteria for trades are clearly established.
Learning to trade indicators can be a difficult process. If a particular indicator appeals to you, you may decide to do further research on it. Most importantly, it is a good idea to test it before using it to trade live. And for those who have never actively traded before, it is important to know that opening a brokerage account is an essential first step in gaining access to the crypto market.
Trade with care.
If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment
Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you
BITCOIN WEEKLY UPDATE: BULL RUN IS AROUND THE CORNERGreetings, traders. It has been a good new year start with BTC moving up and good gains in the altcoins lately.
Note: This is an important update so do read it till the very end. It will be much better if can spare your valuable time to read this update.
Today, I want to share with you all a thorough analysis of bitcoin and where the price is going to head next.
Highlight: It has been a long 420 days of a bear market ever since BTC hit the new all time high. Things have been pretty rough but that's part of the game. In a shorter timeframe, BTC has broken above the $17k resistance line which is good for the market.
Weekly Analysis: In the weekly timeframe, BTC is resting under the support and resistance horizontal line. These two lines are going to be crucial for BTC and the entire market. The resistance is based on 2017 all time high and the support line is based on the 2019 high.
Now, the supporting trendline (in white) shows how BTC has maintained it and BTC actually started rallying right after it hit the lower trendline. The resistance trendline shows the next bull run target for BTC which is beyond the $100k target.
The RSI is at the oversold range which shows a positive indication of a massive rally coming soon.
Bull Run: I believe the bull run is around the corner but before we see a rally, we may witness one last drop. From the current price, BTC can reach up to $18k to $19k, and then it may take drop back to $15k or below it. With such bullish hype in the market, things look skeptical and it could head in any direction. But one thing is clear if BTC has to drop then the support level will be between $13.9k and $14k, and if BTC has to rally then it must surpass the resistance of $19.9k to $20k.
Key points:
1. Support level: $13.9k or $14k.
2. Resistance level: $19.9k to $20k.
3. Entire social showing bullish news (which could be a trap).
4. RSI indicates a bullish rally.
I hope this update was helpful. Do like, share, and comment to show support for our community.
Thank you so much and trade safely.
BTC Daily TA Neutral BullishBTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 53% BTC, 47% Cash.
* The December US Employment Situation was released this morning , the Unemployment Rate is back down to 3.5% from 3.7% in November, while 223k Nonfarm Jobs were added (compared to 263k in November) and the Labor Force Participation Rate ticked up to 62.3% from 62.1% in November. These numbers hardly reflect an economy affected by higher central bank interest rates and will likely spur conversation regarding whether or not to go back to a 75bps rate hike (as opposed to 50bps) come February 1st. The Fed Minutes released yesterday reaffirmed that the Fed is committed to bringing down inflation, they don't see rates cuts in 2023, and that Russia and China both are still major factors of supply chain disruptions which will continue to reverberate through global markets until some resolution is found. In the report, notable changes are significant rises to consumer credit and decreases to commercial real estate construction and investing. December Global Manufacturing PMI released on 01/03 showed an accelerated decrease to 48.6 from 48.8 in November, influenced primarily by lower output from USA, China, Japan and Europe, and is now at a 30-month low. Among the countries which saw an expansion of output production, Russia and India were in the top 5 (BRICS). The latest GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate (01/05) is 3.8% , down from 3.9% on 01/03.
Cryptos, US Equities, US Equity Futures, 1-M and 2-M US Treasurys, Energy, Metals, Agriculture (Mixed), EURUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD, CNYUSD, NI225 and N100 are up. DXY, US Treasurys, VIX and HSI are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: Next GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 01/10; US December CPI at 830am EST 01/12; UofM Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am 01/13. *
Price is currently trending up at ~$16800 as it continues to test the 50MA for the tenth consecutive session. Volume remains Moderate (moderate) and is on track to favor buyers in five out of the past six sessions; Price continues to trade within the second largest supply/demand zone. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $17600, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI continues to trend sideways at 50 for the third consecutive session as it aims to retest the upper trendline of the descending channel from January 2021 at 57 as resistance. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 97 as it approaches max top. MACD remains bullish for a fifth consecutive session and is currently trending up at -63; the next resistance is at 312 while the next support (minor) is at -232. ADX continues to trend down at 16 and is beginning to form a soft trough as Price continues to trade in range with a short term uptrend, this is bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to break above the 50MA at $16800 and establish short-term support there, the next resistance is the local-high at ~$18600 as resistance before potentially testing $19417 resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the uptrend line from March 2017 at $15800 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $16300.
BITCOIN: $18K POSSIBLE.Hello guys, welcome to this BTC update in 6 hours timeframe.
For the last couple of weeks, BTC has remained less volatile and has moved sideways with 3%-4% of ups & downs. Currently, BTC is in the blue box area and it is an important one because if we see a breakout above the blue zone then $18k is expected. For support, we already have the lower support line at $16.6k.
So, BTC has been hovering in this price range for quite some time, and looks like we have reached a point where a breakthrough is a must.
Key points:
1. Expected target: $18k.
2. Invalidation point: Close below $16.6k.
3. Confirmation: Breakout above the blue box.
Thank you for reading.
Stay healthy and trade safely.
BTC WILL DROP SOONI hope you are fine
Before anything else, don't forget capital management, leverage and volume and stop setting.
A bearish contraction triangle is being completed, with the E wave of this triangle just remaining.
Wave D has just ended. We will soon see a fall.
If you have any questions, comment. Thank you
BTC/USDT 4HOUR UPDATEHello and welcome to this BTC /USDT chart update by Crypto Sanders.
I have tried to bring the best possible result in this chart.
Chart Analysis:- BTC bounced from the local support after a successful retest but got rejected after hunting stops above horizontal resistance and MA 200.
It has also formed a cup and handle pattern, which is technically a bullish pattern. Currently, the price is consolidating in a shape of a handle.
A solid breakout of the horizontal resistance would be a bullish continuation sign in it, and the invalidation of the handle is a breakdown of the local support with a retest below it.
This is not a piece of financial advice.
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