Bitcoin 50 & 100 SMA repeating patterns - UPDATE
This is another UPDATE on a chart I have posted in the past and it is continuing to show us a stunning level of repeating patterns, which, if it continues, will make 2025 a year to remember.
So, Lets dive in a nd see what we have here before I show you whats to come.
The RED line is the 50 week SMA and the Blue is the 100
From the 2013 ATH, it took 504 days for the 50 SMA to drop below the 100.
It remained below for 406 days and then it rose back above and PA began its rise to the Next ATH.
From the 2017 ATH, it took 448 days for the 50 to drop below the 100
It remained below for 294 and then rose above and went to a new ATH
From the 2021 ATH, it took 525 days for the 50 to drop below the 100, though it could also be said that it took 300 as there were 2 ATH that year, though the 2nd one could be seen as "outside of Scope"
It remained below for 441 days before it finaly managed to break back over despite many "headwinds". It should also be nothed how the 100 fell below the 200 ( Yellow) for the first time in BTC history. This is a legacy of the Hard bear market in 2022.
So, these day counts are not exactly the same but they are certainly with in a tolerance of Accuracy.
But this is surprising to me.
It was 1008 days from when the 50 rose above the 100, to when it fell back below in 2016
The 100 remained above for 294 days
When the 50 rose back over the 100 in Dec 2019, it remained above for 1001 days, just 1 week less than the previous occasion.
So, to me, I See a Flow of numbers with a near enough similarity, which allows me some Scope to show you the next Image.
Using the 1000 day approx count to when we may see the 50 drop back below the 100, this brings us to august 2026.
This Hapopens AFTER the ATH and using previous day counts, we can make a time period to maybe expect a "Top" ATH, shown with the Green Box.
This ATH Zone is around Q2 & Q3 2025
And that date range has SO much confluence with other charts, it is scary.........
BUT and this needs to be paid attention to, like a Valid Trendline, we need 3 "points" to make it Valid. This is all based on 2 "points" so may not work out
TIME WILL TELL
Btcath
Bitcoin and its 2013 Fratal run - UPDATE- 1 Million USDT BTC ?
This Bitcoin monthly chart shows us the Price Action ( PA ) since 2013 and a projection to Dec 2025. I posted this a number of Times since March 2023, showing the updates.
I have super imposed the PA from the ATH of 2013 to the ATH in 2017.
I anchored the 2013 ATH point to the ATH of Nov 2021 and, as you can see, Since that point, PA has followed that Fractal remarkably well, even to the point of the recent New ATH for BTC, that was said would happen last time I posted this chart.
So, Where now ?
There is one MAJOR difference between now and this Fractal and that is that the MACD is now OVERBOUGHT at this point in that Fractal ( June 2016)
As we can also see, the RSI ( Blue line) is now in approx the same place on both occasions.
But Given the overbought MACD, I think it is possible that we will now see the same 2 months of RED candles, small ones but certainly not Gainers.
This also follows with the expected pattern of post Halving, where in the past we have seen either a pull back or Range.....
The ETF inflows / outflows are now a dynamic we have not seen before and so there is a certain degree of uncertainty to what may happen now.
But a sharp and large pull back is unlikely.
SO, if we continue to follow this Fractal, we will see a Dip till Jun. From there a slow Range with maybe a total of 155% gain from that Low, that will include another new ATH in Early 2025.
And from that point, Off we go and if we continue to follow that Fractal, we reach a new ATH of 1 Milllion USDT by Oct - Dec 2025
This Is NOT Guarenteed in any way - it all depends on following this Fractal.......
But HANG ON, HODL and together, we CAN make this happen
More reasons to see BIG ATH late 2025 - BItcoin
As it says in the chart, These Trend lines are not formed by random placement but by the intersections of a line and the January Candles on this Bitcoin Monthly Chart going back to January 2013.
It takes a minimum of 3 points to make a valid trendline..and this has been done here.
The Lower trend line has a number of points and we can also see h ow in 2015, PA fell below.
The upper Trend line has only 3 but it is interesting to see how every tim,e PA rose over this line. it went to ATH. It also rose over this line, nearer to a January candle than away from from it.
The Upper sets of Day count are ATH to ATH and the 3rd is an estimation using the previous 2 day count.
I have used the 2nd ATH in Nov 2021 as the ATH as that is what it was, despite many saying it was a False push, the day count between ATHs near match. This does put the projected Next ATH arounf September 2025. ( many charts show a new formed ATH in Early 2025 and there isno reason why PA could not reach higher after, as it did in 2021 )
So, that fline But I thought I needed to see if there was anything supporting this move.
The Lower numbers are the day count from when PA broke over this Trend line to the time it next did that.
And they are 1430 days apart and then 1219 days apart. Near enough for me to see a pattern but we need 3 and that will not happen till 2025 BUT as an estiame, I added these 2 numbers and then fivided by 2 and Look.....It will come over that trend line near Jan, arounf Nov / Dec 2024, The same as previously, Nearer to Jan than away from it.
This is starting to look like a possibility to me.
Oh..That ATH....Around $300K
We Wait and I will see if there are anymore pointers to add to the growing list of ATH in Late 2025
But nothing is guaranteed. Remember that
Bitcoin is about to reach ATH zone! Are we gonna break it?We're now formalizing consolidation triangle which is mostly telling us about to continue of the trend, means that we're expecting to continue to grow. So by growing we're reaching the resistance of ATH, I think after that we are going for correction, or we're going for correction after breaking ATH.
You thoughts guys?
Bitcoin's Route to $3,000,000+: An Elliott Wave Based OutlookWhat are the possibilities for the future of Bitcoin? There's mixed perspective with the retail and institutional world of investors but to base things solely on my opinion of its all-time wavemapping, I think Bitcoin could see upwards of $3M-$4M per coin by the early 2030s. I too anticipate a number of heavy, undeniably deep corrections to come during that timeframe but Bulls should be able to do the heavy lifting to restore its value. Regardless of whether you're a lifelong Bitcoin fanatic or an unbiased trader for profit, the pending corrections can and should be avoided. This is how profits are maximized. Hopefully this is the last Bitcoin chart I'll ever have to share on TradingView but nevertheless, I will update accordingly.
Bitcoin's Probable Wavemap: $113K to $5KWhile Bitcoin's fate is unwritten, considering its historical, all-time price action there are certain signals that we should be able to gather, based solely on its continuous price action. Over the last few months, the wave count for BTC has been a bit muddy at best but should we be where I think we are, the Digital King will be soon on its way towards a new all-time high precisely in the range of $113K (based on BTC's all-inclusive wavemapping).
Though this hypothetical pending pump will be euphoric for many of us retail traders, from where I sit, the unorthodox ATH will amount to nothing more than a sucker's rally. The days of enormous Bitcoin growth are on ice until the current corrective phase finishes. Bitcoin enthusiasts across the world are happy that the downward-swing is signaling the end of the #CryptoWinter. I definitely look forward to the #CryptoSpring as well, but I am not very optimistic that that the mid-term (3-5 years) forecast will result in the bulls favor!
We could see seasonal swings of winter > spring > fall ...
#CryptoWinter = 2021-2022
#CryptoSpring = 2022-2024
#CryptoFall = 2024-2027?
Traders that have numbly relied on the Halvening to be the catalyst for Bitcoin's new growth cycle will likely be in for a rude awakening during the #CryptoFall. If/when Bitcoin Bulls are unable to maintain its current 5 year trend line, its heavy RSI divergence (since February 2021) should/could force a deep, healthy correction. Before Bitcoin is able to achieve more high-rate growth, it must first withstand a very probable, mind-blowing 93% correction from the likely ranges of $113K to $5K.
BITCOIN Deep Dive to find Bottom!Welcome Traders, Investors & Gamblers 😃
Let's Dive In and Find the Bottom!
Daily Charts:
Support & Resistance Levels
On a quick glance at this chart we would think that there isn't too much support in the area that Bitcoin is currently hangingon to, but down below I will go through all the indicators that lead me to call these current lows for Bitcoin in the beginning of the year already.
Weekly Charts:
200 Week SMA & Falling Wedge:
As mentioned yesterday, THE bullish scenario! Wick below the support and finish the week above the wedge support to go back and test the resistance.
2017 $20k ATH:
Right in the middle of major moving averages and Fibonacci levels we have the historic ATH from 2018.
Monthly Charts:
200 Week SMA, 50 Month SMA:
Pay attentio to the red circle, in the one instance where we touched the 200 week SMA but not the 50 month SMA we ended up falling short of a new ATH until we came back downand touched both moving averages.
Fibonacci Retracement:
The "Absolute Bottom" could lay around the.786 for BTC since we lost the .618 it would be logical to continue down to the next Fib. level and find a bounce there. As we know we have never closed a weekly candle below the 200week SMA and 50 Month SMA, but we have wicked way below on various ocasions with the last being in March 2020.
I would like to add that this is only for educational purpose and in no way a guarantee that it will play out this way, nor is this or are any of my posts financial advise.
As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏
Happy Trading ✌♥📈
BITCOIN 1000 DAYS!Good Evening Traders, Investors & Gamblers 😃
The Idea is pretty simple, it took Bitcoin roughly 1000 days on average to get to a new All Time High after the previous one. That would take us to Summer (July/August) 2024 and roughly in line with the next Bitcoin halving!
I would like to add that this is only for educational purpose and in no way a guarantee that it will play out this way, nor is this or are any of my posts financial advise.
As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏
Happy Trading ✌♥📈
BITCOIN 360k+ Update!Happy Saturday Everyone! 😃
It's been a little over two weeks since my "crazy" post and video where I spoke about why I think that Bitcoin could reach 165k to 360k before we break the uptrend on the larger time frames and fall into a full on bear market.
The original Idea and the follow up video got a lot of traffic and I want to thank all my new followers and @tradingview for the support! 😃🙏
I decided to post an update here on the Monthly BTCUSDT chart for better visibility.
Original Idea:
"...The Idea is simple, as you can see BTC has never fallen below the 200 Week SMA (black line), not even during black swan events like the start of the pandemic in 2020
... Bitcoin hasn't found the top yet as an 85% correction from the current 69k top would take us to about 10k and we would have to break the 200 week SMA which as previously mentioned, has never been broken.
Hence a result, to imitate the behaviour of Bitcoin during and after the ATH's in 2013 and 2017, BTC would have to rally to about 165k before dropping back down to the 200 week SMA..."
Update:
- The average correction after reaching a new ATH was 83% from top to bottom since 2010.
- 360k+ is more likely than 165k top since the weekly 200 SMA reaches 60k+ (rough estimate) after BTC reaches a top of 360k+..
- All ATH's since 2010 are taken into consideration.
Stay tuned for my Bitcoin update video 🎬, where I will discuss the most bullish path to reach those targets of 360k+ ! 📈
I would like to add that this post is meant exclusively for educational purpose and that non of my posts are financial advise.
As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏
Happy Trading ✌♥📈
BITCOIN 165k before 22k!Happy Sunday Everyone! 😃
This is a mid to long-term bullish scenario for Bitcoin.
The Idea is simple, as you can see BTC has never fallen below the 200 Week SMA (black line), not even during black swan events like the start of the pandemic in 2020.
We can also see that after the previous ATH's in 2013 and in 2017 , the price dropped roughly by an average of 85% .
The conclusion of this idea is that Bitcoin hasn't found the top yet as an 85% correction from the current 69k top would take us to about 10k and we would have to break the 200 week SMA which as previously mentioned, has never been broken.
Hence a result, to imitate the behaviour of Bitcoin during and after the ATH's in 2013 and 2017, BTC would have to rally to about 165k before dropping back down to the 200 week SMA roughly between 25k and 22k .
I would like to add that this post is meant exclusively for educational purpose and that non of my posts are financial advise.
As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏
Happy Trading ✌♥📈
165k BITCOIN Prediction Too CONSERVATIVE?!Happy Monday Everyone! 😃
The title says it all, I'm going over my very controversial chart from yesterday where I predicted a 165k top for BTC .
I will post an updated more detailed version of the chart in the coming days.
Please make sure to check out my other posts too if you liked this one!
And finally a massive THANK YOU to all of you new followers and THANK YOU to @TradingView for publishing my post on to the front page of the website! 🙏🚀😃📈
I would like to add that this post is meant exclusively for educational purpose and that non of my posts are financial advise.
As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏
Happy Trading ✌♥📈
Bitcoin New ATH! $80k in a few months!BTC New ATH Idea 2022! $80k in a few months!
Will we hit $80k in a few months?
Which scenario will you choose 1 or 2?
Please, leave your opinion in the comments.
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Please note that this is not a financial advice. Just my personal idea. Do your own research.
BTC New ATH Idea! $80k in a few months!BTC New ATH Idea 2022. What do you think about it?
Will we hit $80k in a few months? Please, leave your opinion in the comments.
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Please note that this is not a financial advice. Just my personal idea. Do your own research.
BTC/USDT 1HOUR UPDATEWelcome to this quick BTC/USDT analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
good morning btc current update as I said in the previous chart so far btc channel is moving as we are not able to take altcoin trades yet as btc is not thawed yet you guys know it's still trading Won't!
I am sorry that I am not able to give any business to you people will try to establish the right and profitable business as soon as possible
I think guys know it's not okay to do business right now
Who will I update as soon as there is any good news in the market!
stay with us
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
thank you.
Buttcorns down before UP UP UPIm predictiing we keep dropping... until 52k realistically, but there may be a scam wick to 48k since everyone can see the obvious 52k level.
boomercoin never does exactly wat u expect and always trying to trick u
the trend lines wer obvoius yet it still fake pumped to trick ppl long.
moar blood before the glory of 69420. was pissed wen we went to 69k and not the 420... my short limit was there... not hit... sad...
Interesting bullish pattern in btcI have noticed that bitcoin has a pattern that indicates when the price will go up. That pattern has been displayed 4 times and its currently happening. This pattern indicates an upward movement. I believe it will break the ATH and hit anywhere from 70k to 73k.
Remember to DYOR before buying or trading. And note this prediction may not be 100% accurate.
If bitcoin breaks below 58k then the idea has failed.
BTC Cup and Handle As you can see in the chart in our Previous ATH area BTC shaped a reverse C/H and the deep was exactly the C/H's target, now we can see opposite movement with a big bullish C/H, with a target around 75-77 K, the condition for this movement is to stay above the neckline (52800), Meantime we need to see a breakout from highest high of OBV, let's hope so!
BITCOIN Standing Strong! Hello and welcome to this exclusive update on the current BTC price action.
We saw a major drop in BTC price from a $52956 high straight to $42900 low. This drop liquidated many long positions in the market which was not good at all.
In a higher time frame (like 1 day), BTC is all in good hands. The 200 Day Moving Average showed a great support level for BTC and it is still holding the price there. BTC must close above this 200 MA and bounce back in order to stay bullish. We also have another strong support at the $42400 level where the recent drop has left a long shadow. If BTC fails to hold the 200 MA then $42400 will be the next support level for BTC.
On the other hand, a bounce in BTC will certainly lead the price back to the $50k level which is a psychological level for BTC, and in order to confirm the bull run, BTC must cross this level.
Conclusion:
1. Daily close above $46k to $47k is a must.
2. A bounce will once again test the $50k psychological level.
3. Break down below the 200 MA will drop the price till $42400.
Well, that's it for the update. If you find this update useful then do hit some likes, share your thoughts in the comment box, and do share.
Take care.