Bitcoin (BTC) potential bull trap, bouncing 15% before the FED Bitcoin Update 26/01/22: Bitcoin (BTC) potential bull trap, bouncing 15% before the FED announcement, currently BTC is -45% gain from the ATH reached in November 2021. We currently are in a downtrend, BTC has recovered fast before and we could get the same here. The current RSI on the weekly is close to that of the March 2020 crash (which was a little lower than the current level)..patience will be key, wait for confirmation & price action, large volume back in the market will be key for confirmation of a reversal of the current trend. The FED will be deciding whether they will be hiking the current interest rates, and whether the current quantitative easing will continue or if they will be quantitative tightening. I believe we have not yet reached full capitulation and the $32K level will be very key before finding a true bottom. See previous analysis below. Happy Trading :)
Bitcoin Update 19/ 01 /22: BTC Death Cross on 14th January 2022, currently BTC is 63% away from the all time high price @ $69,004. A final capitulation may be in play before we can finally start climbing back up with a steady upward trend direction towards the previous ATH and the $79k target at the 127.20% fibonacci level. It is important to highlight that this final capitulation could occur at any time as long as there is high volume to confirm the bottom for us, a true bottom before a full trend reversal back to the ATH . One of the main aspects of the key capitulation from Dec 2018, March 2020 & May 2021 is that this has always signalled the bottom and the start of a new upward trend for BTC and alt-coins alike.
Bitcoin ( BTC ) on the daily chart is showing strong signs of an oversold market and is currently sitting just above a key support level at $40k, currently priced @ $41k. If the $40k level fails to hold as support BTC is on its way back down to retest the 23.60% at $39,694 which is currently -6% from the current price level. This current downward trend we are experiencing may lead to another consolidation period similar to that after the May crash where we saw BTC struggling to get past the 23.60% fibs 3 times consecutively during a 3 month period before finally breaking out in early August. Our AI script signalled a strong Buy Signal on the 28th July confirming the start of the last bull run phase which saw Bitcoin setting a new ATH just under $70K, a 1671% gain for BTC from the March 13th 2020 Bottom @ $3.8k.
As mentioned previously during the last year we believe the current cycle we are experiencing is something we have never experienced before (extended super cycle to foster the adoption cycle), old cycles have been broke and it is important to look at new information and data to better understand where we are going in terms of innovation. Technically, looking at the current structure of Bitcoin , we have a head and shoulders pattern, if this pattern plays out, which in a downtrend could see BTC below the bottom experienced in May. *Note this is just technically speaking, when looking at the market and on-chain analysis we can see that they are less and less Bitcoins available on exchanges, that coupled with the current inflation crisis & ongoing money printing are very strong fundamentals signals which are very bullish on the price of Bitcoin . 2022 promises to be yet another explosive year for the industry and like experienced in the past before, during these times you can really sniper in some great discounts for the next leg up 🎯
