Btcbuy
BTCUSDT Long As stated in my previous analysis, I do anticipate that the momentum will be bullish-biased. If the momentum does not retest the support zone at $56000, then the momentum might build up to the resistance zone at $69000
Let us now look into the 1-hour time frame and see where our entry point can be.
BTC is going to 82k easy then we will need to question...Pump it today so we can have an easy green week.
Seems like newbs will be exiting the market at the 63k to 65k levels, and then they will hop back in likely 66, 300 or so (always late)>
Heavy Bet but once your in, its an easy green for about 2 weeks while most have to restrategize.
Let me know your thoughts.
I got eyes on Storj.... that baby is overdue.
Follow for more contrarian wins. I will update as I change position
-jasdacylon91
BTC - Bitcoin Falling to $32,000! Or Will It Fall Lower?Bitcoin completed its measured move from the breakout at $31,800, to $37,800 and reached its peak at $48,900! As expected, we witness a sell signal at this level, indicating that the bull run is over. Should we short or long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
My last analysis began just after the confirmation bar closed after the sell signal that wicked at $48,900. This analysis called for a short to just above the trading range support at $38,350:
That short has come and gone, there is not enough area left to short without placing too much initial risk on the trade. It is still reasonable to short on lower timeframes like the 5m and 15m chart, but not the 4HR and Daily as we're doing here. We should be looking for long entries in the Trading Range zone between $31,800 and $37,500, right at the Daily 200EMA support.
If we find a strong bull signal and confirmation candles following that support area, we should enter at least a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio long with a position size near our maximum, as justified by these data points and the macro bull trend. Stop loss should be placed below the Trading Range at $34,300. It's reasonable to take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward around $38,900, move the stop loss to your entry price to lock in profits, and then swing the rest of the position to at least $41,200.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $36,600
🟥 Stop Loss: $34,300
✅ Take Profit #1: $38,900
✅ Take Profit #2: $41,200
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Measured Move completed followed by strong sell signal and confirmation bars
2. Two legs into a pullback with a gap to fill to the Daily 200EMA
3. Look for Support to long in the Trading Range near the Daily 200EMA
4. RSI at 38.00 and below the Moving Average, supports the continued to fall to the Trading Range
5. Once a strong signal and confirmation bull bars close above the Daily 200EMA, it's reasonable to long at 1:2 Risk/Reward
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
Bitcoin Lifetime Analysis → Reverse to $20,000 Before New Highs?Bitcoin broke out of it's trading range between $25,000 and $32,000 and touched $44,800! Does this mean we're going to new all-time highs? I'm skeptical for a parade of reasons, all of which are based on historical and current data points. Let's dig in!
How do we trade this? 🤔
Recent Data
Since the trend reversal in January 2023 we've had three pushes to the upside, which is a textbook leg count before the trend converts into a trading range. The RSI has also been over 70.00 since October 2023 and the Daily candles leading up to December 4th 2023 could be the exhaustion bars at the end of the bull trend. This is enough evidence to warrant a pull back, likely to the top of the trading range around $32,000.
Historical Data
When are we going to see new all-time highs? Refer to the Monthly chart above. We can see that prior to hitting 3 of the 4 new all-time high events, Bitcoin will make contact with Lifetime Support. The one exception was the 2013 all-time high. Another data point is the Bitcoin halving has occurred prior to *every* new all-time high.
There is one more clue in the Weekly chart to observe! Look at the 2019 high, looks very similar to where we are now: Double-bottom reversal before touching Lifetime Support on Feb 2019, three pushes to the upside hitting the 2019 high, RSI over 70.00, price failed to break the 2019 high then capitulated to Lifetime Support, Bitcoin Halving happened shortly after, THEN went to new all-time highs.
I believe this is the situation we're in right now. If we don't make contact with Lifetime Support, I believe we need to at least come back down into the trading range before hitting new all-time highs. We also have the Bitcoin halving happening in the April 2024 area, all seems conveniently timed based on what we've discussed here!
Trade Options
There are many ways to trade this:
1. Fading your position down to lifetime support: Longing support areas as the price falls, starting with smaller positions and increasing your entry at every level.
2. Waiting for a bounce at lifetime support or in the trading range: Playing the reversal, which includes not entering until you see a reversal signal then you enter with a larger position.
3. Scalp your positions with higher probability of profit, but less profit and more risk in your Risk/Reward Ratio.
To strike a balance between Risk, Reward, and Probability, I'll stick with a standard Reversal Entry, which means we wait for a reversal confirmation. Based on this analysis, we should look to enter after a Lifetime Support or Trading Range bounce around $25,000. Enter in this price area, place a protective stop below the last bear run low at $15,000. Take profit areas are based on previous resistance and the projected lifetime resistance range of $120,000 and $130,000. The first take profit is at the price we just hit around $45,000, the next take profit should be just before the current all-time high around $65,000, the final take profit should be below the projected new all-time high somewhere in the $120,000 and $130,000 area, around $105,000. You could add more take profit areas between $65,000 and $105,000 based on lower timeframe analysis, but we don't have that data yet.
More updates will be provided as the months go by. Let me know your thoughts!
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $30,000
🟥 Stop Loss: $15,000
✅ Take Profit #1: $45,000
✅ Take Profit #2: $65,000
✅ Take Profit #2: $105,000
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:5
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bullish since January 2023. This is not *THE* bull run.
2. Bull Breakout of $25,000 to $32,000 Trading Range, but RSI overbought.
3. Every New All-Time high was Preceded by Touching Lifetime Support.
4. Bitcoin has not Touched Lifetime Support. Pullback to $20,000 Area.
5. RSI is above 70.00, Supports Pullback.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Bitcoin continues to set new highs above the $35,500 threshold iU.S. stocks performed well on Wednesday, recovering for the first time in three months after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged for a second day in a row. The move has investors believing the central bank will not adjust interest rates for the rest of the year. At the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 221.71 points (equivalent to 0.67%) to 33,274.58 points. The S&P 500 rose 1.05% to 4,237.86 points, briefly above its 200-day moving average. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.64% to 13,061.47 points. Information technology stocks rose sharply, rising about 2%. In particular, the stock prices of semiconductor companies such as Advanced Micro Devices and Micron Technology rose 9.7% and 3.8%, respectively. Nvidia stock also rose more than 3%.
As expected, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged at a range of 5.25% to 5.5%. In previous comments, the Fed said the economy was growing at a "solid pace."
🤘BTC looking to take 32k, becoming more clear🤘BTCUSD along with the gold are two more or less clear markets for my strategy as for now, that's why will publish some updates on them.
BTC from the time of the previous update created a clear push and taking overall context into consideration, one of the possible scenarios are continuations to the upside.
See previous ideas for more context.
☝️Dear traders, no one here has super powers, and I'm as well just a human. Please take everything with a degree of doubt and critique. I'm just sharing my view and one of the possible scenarios of price action. When I enter I try to predict as little as possible and actually follow what the market is doing, joining the market and not arguing with it or force my will. Have good trading, keep constant flow of self awareness and do your best.
BTC 4HR Analysis - A Failed Breakout. Do We Remain Long?BTC broke out of the bull channel to the downside last Tuesday in a mad dash toward $25,000, the bottom of the Weekly trading range. As the price curled up to test resistance and confirm the breakout, the price failed to fall lower and as the days ticked by, the bears gave up. This past Monday, we broke back into the bull channel hard and went all the way to $30,000.
Do we remain long? Short answer, yes .
We are just below the mid-line of the channel and the bull pressure is strong. I believe this is a great scalp opportunity to the top of the channel at a 1:1 Risk/Reward with a reduced position size. We still could fall to the bottom of the channel, so hold some of that equity for a bounce off the channel bottom. Wait for confirmation as always to ensure the bounce is happening, which requires a bull signal such as a pin bottom with a close near the high of the bar followed by a strong bull bar closing at or near its high.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades, and I hope this information was helpful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Bitcoin rally comin?I don't usually follow BTC, but today I stumbled upon it, and this is what I saw. I don't really like BTC, but maybe this time it won't do something stupid again, and it won't crash further! We'll see what the future holds! We might continue going up on a monthly basis! We'll see! I think what's very important is to exit at $30,000 for sure.
#bitcoin #btc #buy
#BTC 🟢 M15. Long. (#BITCOIN)Range H4, within which the price has been moving stubbornly for more than three weeks.
After the enchanting liquidation of all longists by one hourly candle (who expected continued growth above 31K), an imbalance formed at the lower boundary of the H4 range, which I decided to take into work.
But he predicted the development of events for Monday, when all markets will be active and volumes will come in.
The long-awaited entry point, I did not expect that there would be an activation on the weekend, but it happened :)
M15 unbalance test, and instantly backlash like a spring to the first target.
The entry point is excellent, the price movement potentials are good.
I will close the targets within the H4 range and a little higher, at the unclosed potential of the previous H4 range (31744)
Another target as an experiment (additional order) is 34400.
Since something tells me that this will be the last long in our current H4 range, after which the price will break through it and fly to test the resistance of D1.
The price has gone under the First Buyer of stock options very much. (and this is currently 31500)
The buy price is below the market opening price. (✔️)
The purchase price is at the lower boundary of the H4 range. (✔️)
The purchase price is below the volume bearish candle. (✔️)
M15 Unbalance at the lower limit of the range H4. (✔️)
entry point: 30160 (on imbalance test)
stop: 29971
tp1: 30345
tp2: 30724
tp3: 31121
tp4: 31744
tp5: 34400